Controlled flight into terrain involving Cessna 404, VH-OZO, Lockhart River, Queensland, on 11 March 2020

Final report

Report release date: 15/12/2022

Executive summary

What happened

On 11 March 2020, a Cessna 404 aircraft, registered VH-OZO, was being operated by Air Connect Australia to conduct a passenger charter flight from Cairns to Lockhart River, Queensland. On board were the pilot and 4 passengers, and the flight was being conducted under the instrument flight rules (IFR).

Consistent with the forecast, there were areas of cloud and rain that significantly reduced visibility at Lockhart River Airport. On descent, the pilot obtained the latest weather information from the airport’s automated weather information system (AWIS) and soon after commenced an area navigation (RNAV) global satellite system (GNSS) instrument approach to runway 30.

The pilot conducted the first approach consistent with the recommended (3°) constant descent profile, and the aircraft kept descending through the minimum descent altitude (MDA) of 730 ft and passed the missed approach point (MAPt). At about 400 ft, the pilot commenced a missed approach.

After conducting the missed approach, the pilot immediately commenced a second RNAV GNSS approach to runway 30. 

During this approach, the pilot commenced descent from 3,500 ft about 2.7 NM prior to the intermediate fix (or 12.7 NM prior to the MAPt). The descent was flown at about a normal 3° flight path, although about 1,000 ft below the recommended descent profile. While continuing on this descent profile, the aircraft descended below the MDA. It then kept descending until it collided with terrain 6.4 km (3.5 NM) short of the runway. The pilot and 4 passengers were fatally injured, and the aircraft was destroyed.

What the ATSB found

The weather conditions when the aircraft reached the MAPt for the first approach could not be determined. It is possible that the conditions were better than the landing minima at that point but then deteriorated as the approach continued and when the aircraft was at a lower altitude.

The indicated airspeed during the latter part of the first approach was about 140 kt, which significantly exceeded the operator’s preferred speed after the final approach fix (FAF) (about 110 kt) and the operator’s stabilised approach criteria speed (about 110 kt at 300 ft above aerodrome elevation). Whether the pilot made the decision to conduct the missed approach based on the weather conditions, airspeed, descent rate or some combination of those factors could not be determined.

The aircraft probably entered areas of significantly reduced visibility during the second approach. In particular, there was a period of heavy rainfall at the airport after the first approach, and it is likely the aircraft entered the rain during the second approach.

There was no evidence of any conditions or circumstances likely to induce a medical problem or incapacitation for the pilot and the aircraft appeared to be in controlled flight up until the time of the impact. There was also no evidence of any aircraft system or mechanical anomalies that would have influenced the accident. Therefore, based on the available evidence, the accident was very likely the result of controlled flight into terrain (CFIT).

The most likely scenario to explain the descent 1,000 ft below the recommended descent profile on the second approach could not be determined. Regardless of the exact scenario, it is evident from the continued descent that the pilot did not effectively monitor the aircraft’s altitude and descent rate for an extended period.

In addition, when passing the FAF (5 NM prior to the MAPt), the aircraft significantly exceeded the operator’s required (lateral) navigational tolerance for the instrument approach for an extended period. This should have resulted in a second missed approach but, although the pilot was correcting the lateral deviation, a missed approach was not conducted. The aircraft’s speed after the FAF also increased to 140 kt, before increasing to 150 kt towards the end of the flight.

The ATSB found that the pilot was probably experiencing a very high workload during periods of the second approach. In addition to the normal high workload associated with a single pilot hand flying an approach in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC), the pilot’s workload was elevated due to conducting an immediate entry into the second approach, conducting the approach in a different manner to their normal method, the need to correct lateral tracking deviations throughout the approach, and higher than appropriate speeds in the final approach segment.

The pilot had the required qualifications and had been regularly logging RNAV GNSS approaches, although these approaches were almost all conducted in visual meteorological conditions. However, their workload was potentially further exacerbated by having limited recent experience in conducting RNAV GNSS approaches in IMC.

The aircraft had sufficient fuel to conduct the flight from Cairns to Lockhart River and return, with additional fuel for holding on both sectors if required. In addition, there was no evidence to indicate any organisational or commercial pressures on the pilot to complete the flight, but the extent to which self-imposed pressures or incomplete knowledge of procedural requirements influenced the pilot’s performance could not be reliably determined.

The aircraft was not fitted with a terrain avoidance and warning system (TAWS). Given the aircraft’s descent profile on the second approach, if a TAWS had been fitted and been operational, it would have provided the pilot with both visual and aural alerts of the approaching terrain for an extended period.

There was no requirement in Australia for piston-engine aeroplanes (such as VH-OZO) to be fitted with a TAWS. Although the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) had been considering changes to TAWS requirements since 2008, the Australian requirements at the time of the accident for some types of small aeroplanes being used for air transport operations were less than those of comparable countries and they were not consistent with International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) standards or recommended practices.

More specifically, although there was a TAWS requirement in Australia for turbine-engine aeroplanes carrying 10 or more passengers under the IFR, there was no requirement for piston-engine aeroplanes authorised to carry 10 or more passengers (an ICAO standard adopted as a requirement by many comparable countries) and no requirement for turbine-engine aeroplanes authorised to carry 6 to 9 passengers (an ICAO recommended practice adopted as a requirement by many comparable countries). However, even if these changes had been introduced in Australia prior to the accident, it is unlikely they would have resulted in an aeroplane such as VH-OZO being fitted with a TAWS.

The aircraft was fitted with 2 Garmin GNS 430W GPS units that provided navigation and radio communication capability. As part of the unit’s navigation capability, there was also a terrain awareness function capable of providing visual pop-up terrain alerts. However, that functionality was not to the same standard required for a TAWS installation. It could not be determined whether this function was selected on by the pilot during the accident flight.

Although the GNS 430W unit was suitable for an RNAV GNSS approach and other non-precision instrument approaches, it did not provide vertical guidance information, which would have explicitly indicated that the aircraft was well below the recommended descent profile.  

CFIT accidents have been a significant problem over many years, although the rate of such accidents has been decreasing. However, risk factors still remain, particularly for smaller operators. Ideally, in order to minimise the risk of CFIT, operators conducting passenger transport operations under the IFR would use aircraft fitted with a TAWS and/or have a GPS/navigational system that provides vertical guidance during non-precision instrument approaches.

Nevertheless, even without these systems, there are other means available for such operators to minimise CFIT risk. In this case, the operator had specified a flight profile for straight-in instrument approaches and stabilised approach criteria in its operations manual, and encouraged the use of stabilised approaches, but there were limitations with the design of these procedures.

In particular, the operator’s stabilised approach criteria specified an applicable height of 300 ft above aerodrome elevation for operations in IMC. A similar problem has also been identified in multiple other operators conducting passenger transport operations under the IFR. Although an applicable height of 1,000 ft in IMC has been widely recommended by ICAO and many other organisations for over 20 years, CASA had not provided formal guidance information to operators in Australia regarding the content of stabilised approach criteria.

There were also limitations with the operator’s other risk controls for minimising the risk of CFIT, including no procedures or guidance for the use of the terrain awareness function on the aircraft’s GNS 430W units, and limited monitoring of the conduct of line operations.

What has been done as a result

On 2 December 2021, Civil Aviation Safety Regulation (CASR) Part 121 (Australian air transport operations – larger aeroplanes) and CASR Part 135 (Australian air transport operations – smaller aeroplanes) commenced. Associated with these regulations, piston-engine aircraft being used for air transport with a maximum operational passenger seat configuration (MOPSC) of 10 or more were required to have a TAWS and operate under Part 121, with the applicable dates dependent on the MOPSC and other factors.

In December 2021, CASA also published guidance material for CASR Part 121 and Part 135. This included guidance information about stabilised approach criteria, including advice regarding applicable heights for stabilised approach criteria in IMC, including an example height of 1,000 ft above aerodrome elevation in IMC.

Associated with the introduction of CASR Part 135 in December 2021, air transport operators of smaller aeroplanes were required to conduct a flight crew member proficiency check at intervals of 6 months (for IFR or night VFR operations) or 12 months (for day VFR operations).

Safety message

All operators conducting air transport operations under the IFR should evaluate the risk of CFIT in their operations. In addition, any such operators that do not currently have a TAWS fitted to their aircraft should recognise the substantial benefits of a TAWS, and be actively seeking to install a TAWS to maximise the safety of their operations.

In addition, there are many other lessons for operators of small aircraft to reduce their CFIT risk. These include:

  • If a TAWS is not currently viable but they have aircraft with a GNS 430 or similar system that provides a terrain awareness function, fully understand the nature and limitations of this function and develop procedures and guidance for pilots about its operation (particularly for instrument approaches or operations in IMC).
  • If not already fitted, actively seek to upgrade their GPS/navigational system to one that provides vertical guidance information on non-precision instrument approaches.
  • Develop (or review) flight profiles for instrument approaches that provide clear guidance regarding the expected configuration, speed and other requirements at key stages of the approach.
  • Develop (or review) stabilised approach criteria in line with best-practice industry guidance and ensure that the applicable heights or reference points are suitable for straight-in approaches and operations in IMC.
  • Review the frequency and content of flight crew member proficiency checks to ensure they provide sufficient opportunities to monitor the way instrument approaches are being conducted during line operations (noting that such checks for IFR operations conducted under CASR Part 135 are now required every 6 months). In addition, such operators should consider options for obtaining and reviewing recorded flight data of normal line operations for continuous learning purposes.

 

The occurrence

Overview

On 11 March 2020, a Cessna 404 aircraft, registered VH-OZO, was being operated by Air Connect Australia to conduct a passenger charter flight from Cairns to Lockhart River, Queensland. On board were the pilot and 4 passengers. The flight was being conducted under the instrument flight rules (IFR).[1]

Consistent with the forecast, there were areas of cloud and rain that significantly reduced visibility at Lockhart River Airport. After arriving at Lockhart River, the pilot commenced an area navigation (RNAV) global satellite system (GNSS) instrument approach to runway 30. The aircraft descended to an altitude of about 400 ft before the pilot conducted a missed approach. The pilot immediately commenced a second RNAV GNSS approach to runway 30, and during the descent the aircraft collided with terrain.

Planned flight

The passengers were contracted to carry out work at the local school at Lockhart River. The client arranged with the operator for the aircraft to depart Cairns at 0730 Eastern Standard Time[2] on 11 March 2020, wait on the ground at Lockhart River for about 5 hours, then depart at 1430 with the same passengers for the return flight. The operator assigned the pilot who regularly conducted the operator’s charter flights.

For the arrival at Lockhart River, the forecast weather was for light winds and rain and low cloud with periods of visibility reducing to 3 km in rain. There was also a 30% probability of thunderstorms. The pilot had submitted a flight notification, which specified IFR and capability for an RNAV instrument approach. The aircraft had sufficient fuel to conduct an approach at Lockhart River and return to Cairns and hold at Cairns for 1 hour if required.

Flight to Lockhart River

The aircraft departed Cairns at 0719 and tracked for the first planned waypoint on climb to its cruise level of 10,000 ft above mean sea level. Based on the forecast winds, the estimated time of arrival at Lockhart River was 0852. As the flight progressed, the pilot amended the estimated time of arrival to 0904. The aircraft’s track during the flight is shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1: VH-OZO recorded flight path from Cairns to Lockhart River, Queensland

VH-OZO recorded flight path from Cairns to Lockhart River, Queensland

Source: Google Earth overlaid with OzRunways data, annotated by the ATSB

At 0836, the pilot advised air traffic control that the aircraft was approaching top of descent, then tracking direct for the runway 30 RNAV GNSS instrument approach at Lockhart River, and the pilot requested traffic information. The controller responded there was no reported IFR traffic. At 0840, the pilot reported leaving 10,000 ft on descent and, at 0842, the controller advised the pilot of the very high frequency (VHF) and high frequency (HF) radio frequencies applicable to the rest of the flight. That was the controller’s last contact with the pilot and no further routine interactions with the controller were expected.[3]

During descent, the pilot transmitted on the common traffic advisory frequency (CTAF) for Lockhart River to activate the runway lighting for a period of 30 minutes. At 0852, the aerodrome frequency response unit (AFRU) broadcast ‘Lockhart River CTAF, runway lights are on’.

At about this time, the pilot very likely obtained weather information from the automated weather information service (AWIS) via VHF radio. Notes taken by the pilot indicated the wind was calm, visibility was at least 10 km, there was broken cloud[4] at 1,800 ft, broken cloud at 3,500 ft and overcast cloud at 5,300 ft, and the QNH was 1,008 hPa (see Automated weather information service).

At about 0857, the aircraft levelled off at 5,500 ft. At this time the aircraft was heading to waypoint LHREB, one of 3 initial approach fixes (IAFs) for the RNAV GNSS instrument approach to runway 30 (Figure 2). The weather information indicated that the conditions were better than the landing minima (which were a cloud ceiling of 730 ft and visibility 4,200 m).[5]

Figure 2: Lockhart River RNAV GNSS runway 30 approach chart

 Lockhart River RNAV GNSS runway 30 approach chart

Source: Airservices Australia, annotated by the ATSB

First approach at Lockhart River

Figure 3 depicts the aircraft’s recorded flight track for the first approach and missed approach at Lockhart River. The altitudes described throughout the report are truncated to the nearest 100 ft. [6]

At 0859:38, the aircraft passed abeam LHREB, commenced descent from 5,400 ft and turned left to track to the runway in accordance with the RNAV GNSS procedure. At 0901:25, the pilot made a radio broadcast on the CTAF, advising the aircraft was 10 NM[7] to the south-east of the aerodrome, inbound to runway 30 and on descent passing 4,000 ft. Shortly afterwards, the aircraft passed the intermediate fix (IF) LHREI at 4,000 ft.  

Figure 3: Flight track of VH-OZO during first RNAV GNSS approach at Lockhart River Airport with times, feature labels, and approach parameters superimposed

Flight track of VH-OZO during first RNAV GNSS approach at Lockhart River Airport with times, feature labels, and approach parameters superimposed

Source: Google Earth overlaid with OzRunways data, annotated by the ATSB

At about 0903, one of the passengers sent a text message that contained an image of conditions outside the aircraft (Figure 4). At that time, the aircraft was over halfway between LHREI and the final approach fix (FAF) LHREF, at an altitude between 3,100 and 2,500 ft. The photograph had been taken through a passenger window on the right side of the aircraft cabin and, although there was significant cloud in the vicinity, some terrain/coastline was visible near the intersection of the wing’s leading edge and the engine cowl.

Figure 4: Image recorded by a passenger looking forward over the right engine and sent via text message at 0903

Image recorded by a passenger looking forward over the right engine and sent via text message at 0903

Source: Supplied, lower section of image cropped by the ATSB

The aircraft continued the descent on the approach track and passed LHREF on descent through 2,300 ft. At 0904:27, the pilot broadcast on the CTAF that the aircraft was at 5 NM and on final (approach) to runway 30.

The minimum descent altitude (MDA) was 730 ft.[8] The aircraft arrived at the missed approach point (MAPt) LHREM at 0906:17 on descent through about 600 ft. The descent continued to about 400 ft then, about 1,000 m from the runway, the aircraft started to climb. The aircraft was passing 600 ft as it crossed the runway threshold in the early stages of a missed approach. In accordance with the missed approach procedure, the aircraft was turned slightly right to track towards the turning fly-over waypoint LHREH.

At 0907:22, the pilot broadcast on the CTAF that they were conducting a missed approach for runway 30, tracking to the west then turning back to the east and climbing towards 3,500 ft (as specified for the missed approach procedure). After passing LHREH at 0907:43 on climb through 1,200 ft, the aircraft turned right to track east as prescribed by the approach chart.

At 0909, the pilot contacted Flightwatch[9] on HF and advised:

[VH-OZO] conducting a missed approach runway three zero [30] at Lockhart River, and we’ll be joining the approach on runway three zero [30], ops normal time two three three zero [2330]

The middle part of this radio transmission, as recorded by Airservices Australia, was unclear, which is not uncommon for HF radio communication.

Second approach at Lockhart River

The aircraft continued the climb to 3,800 ft before descending to level out at 3,500 ft, heading towards the closest IAF, LHREA. At 0912:51, the AFRU recorded runway lights on, consistent with the pilot reactivating the runway lights for another 30-minute period. About 2.0 NM prior to reaching LHREA, at 0913:53, the aircraft commenced a right turn towards the IF, and initially was right of the inbound track to LHREI (Figure 5).

Figure 5: Flight track of VH-OZO during second RNAV GNSS approach at Lockhart River Airport with times, feature labels, and approach parameters superimposed

Flight track of VH-OZO during second RNAV GNSS approach at Lockhart River Airport with times, feature labels, and approach parameters superimposed

Source: Google Earth overlaid with OzRunways data, annotated by the ATSB

At about 0914, while the aircraft was tracking towards LHREI on a south-westerly heading at 3,500 ft, an image was uploaded to social media by one of the passengers (Figure 6). The camera was oriented to the west, which was in the general direction of Lockhart River. An associated message indicated very low visibility and that the pilot was circling while waiting for a break in the weather. Another passenger sent a text message at 0914 stating that the first attempt at landing was unsuccessful, the runway was not visible and there was heavy rain. 

Figure 6: Image recorded by a passenger looking over the right wing and uploaded to social media at 0914

Image recorded by a passenger looking over the right wing and uploaded to social media at 0914

Source: Supplied

At about 0914:43, when about 2.7 NM from LHREI, the aircraft started descending from 3,500 ft. At this time, the aircraft was tracking towards the initial approach track between LHREA and LHREI (Figure 5).        

At 0915:50, the pilot made another inbound broadcast on the CTAF advising:

ten miles [10 NM] to the south-east on descent passing three thousand eight hundred [3,800 ft] correction two thousand eight hundred [2,800 ft], straight-in approach runway three zero [30], circuit area two one [time 0921].

The recorded height was about 2,800 ft at this time.

The aircraft continued descending and passed over LHREI and turned right to fly parallel to the intermediate approach track at about 2,800 ft. According to the recommended flight profile for a 3° approach (Figure 2), the aircraft should have descended from 3,500 ft at about 4.2 NM from the FAF (9.2 NM from the MAPt). At this point, the aircraft was at about 2,500 ft.

The descent continued at a similar gradient to the first approach although at about 1,000 ft lower than that approach. About halfway between LHREI and LHREF, the aircraft descended below the intermediate segment minimum safe altitude of 1,800 ft and continued to descend on the same descent profile.

When the aircraft passed LHREF at 0918:23, it was on descent through about 1,100 ft (below the 3° approach profile height of 2,160 ft). The aircraft was right of the final approach track and, shortly after passing LHREF, the aircraft started turning back towards the final approach track.

From LHREF to LHREM, the altitude limitation was the MDA of 730 ft and, at 09:18:55, the aircraft was approaching 700 ft. The aircraft then descended below the MDA and, soon after, the aircraft’s flight path crossed the final approach track (on a ground track about 20° left of the final approach track).

Collision with terrain

The aircraft’s track and descent continued until it impacted a sand dune on the coastline at about 0919:41. The pilot and 4 passengers were fatally injured, and the aircraft was destroyed. Due to the impact forces, the accident was not survivable.

Context

Pilot information

Qualifications and experience

The pilot held a commercial pilot licence (aeroplane) with an instrument rating and multi-engine aeroplane endorsement. They had recorded a total of 3,220 hours before the accident flight.

The pilot obtained the multi-engine endorsement in June 2014 (on a Cessna 310 aircraft), and had accrued 1,177 hours on multi-engine aircraft, including 399 hours on the Cessna 404 aircraft type. In June 2014, the pilot also obtained their initial (multi-engine) instrument rating, and their total instrument time was recorded as 148 hours.

The pilot operated as a commercial pilot in remote locations for about 5 years. Up until March 2016, they operated single-engine aircraft. In March 2016 they received training and were found competent on the Piper PA31 aeroplane type. Between March 2016 and February 2018, the pilot conducted flights for a charter company that operated Cessna 310 and Piper PA-31 aircraft, usually under visual flight rules (VFR[10]) with occasional instrument flights. They were approved by the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) as chief pilot of this operator in December 2016.

From October 2018, the pilot was employed by Air Connect Australia on a casual basis. Prior to joining the operator, the pilot’s recorded total flying time was 2,800 hours. The pilot completed induction then conducted a flight for type-specific training in a Cessna 421 from an independent CASA-approved flight examiner that the operator frequently used for proficiency checks. This flight was about 1.6 hours and the examiner recalled that the pilot managed the transition to the 400-series Cessna without any problems. Other than the pressurisation system in the Cessna 421, the examiner considered it was operationally equivalent to the unpressurised Cessna 404.[11]

Following this type-specific training, the chief pilot of Air Connect Australia supervised the pilot on 4 flight sectors in VH-OZO and conducted an operator proficiency check (OPC) over 2 further sectors on 29 October 2018. The chief pilot noted that the pilot’s planning was satisfactory, and operation of the aircraft was above standard.

From November 2018 to the accident flight, the pilot was based in Cairns and conducted most of the operator’s charter flights, normally in VH-OZO. In December 2019, the chief pilot organised for the pilot to undertake some supervised flying at night with an instructor in a Piper PA-44 Seminole in order for the pilot to maintain night recency. The operator rarely conducted night flights.

In the 90 days prior to the accident (11 March 2020), the pilot had conducted 59 flights (60 flight hours), all in VH-OZO. This included 4.5 hours recorded instrument flying time. In the last 30 days, the pilot had conducted 12 flights (13.5 flight hours), including 1.0 hour recorded instrument flying time. The most recent flights were on 18 February 2020.

Since joining the operator in late 2018, the pilot had logged 69 RNAV GNSS approaches to various aerodromes. These included 21 RNAV GNSS approaches in the previous 6 months, 12 in the previous 90 days, and 2 in the previous 30 days (with the last on 18 February 2020). Only one of the approaches in the previous 6 months was conducted to some extent in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC),[12] and this approach resulted in a missed approach (see Prior missed approach during an RNAV GNSS approach (22 January 2020).

Lockhart River experience

Since the start of 2019, the pilot had flown into Lockhart River 8 times, 6 of which were logged as RNAV GNSS approaches, with the most recent being on 14 October 2019.

The recorded data for previous RNAV GNSS approaches into Lockhart River were reviewed by the ATSB, with the details provided in Table 1. A review of recorded weather information indicated that none of these previous approaches at Lockhart River were conducted in IMC. For the 17 January 2019 approach, there may have been reduced visibility in the early part of the approach.[13]

Table 1: Pilot’s prior flights to Lockhart River 2019–2020

DateDeparture locationApproach type recordedATSB comments
17 January 2019CairnsRNAV GNSSAircraft passed over MAPt for runway 30 at 1,500 ft and then conducted a circling approach to land on runway 12 
21 March 2019CairnsRNAV GNSSMissing flight data for the approach and landing though appeared to be heading for runway 30 IAF
23 March 2019CairnsRNAV GNSSFlight data shows an RNAV approach to runway 30 from the FAF but missing flight data before that point
24 March 2019CoenRNAV GNSSFlight data shows an RNAV approach to runway 30 from the FAF but missing flight data before that point
24 March 2019CoenVFRLogged as VFR flight, so data was not reviewed
18 April 2019CairnsVFRLogged as VFR flight, so data was not reviewed
9 October 2019CairnsRNAV GNSSNo flight data available
14 October 2019CairnsRNAV GNSSNo flight data available

Proficiency checks and flight reviews

The pilot conducted initial instrument flight training in 2014. During training it was noted that the pilot needed to scan faster, improve situation awareness and improve radio phraseology. On one simulator training exercise it was noted the pilot was too high on the RNAV GNSS MDA and minimum altitudes.

The pilot did not pass their first attempt at attaining an instrument flight rating (in a Cessna 310) on 2 June 2014 for not maintaining altitude within +100 ft and -0 ft at the MDA, not using accepted navigation procedures, not being within half-scale deflection of glideslope, and not demonstrating sound command judgement. On the next day, 3 June 2014, the pilot passed on their second attempt.

Under Civil Aviation Safety Regulation (CASR) 61.650, pilots need to have completed an instrument proficiency check (IPC) in the previous 12 months to fly a multi-engine aircraft under the instrument flight rules (IFR). The IPC must also be done in a multi-engine aircraft of the same category.

The pilot undertook 6 IPCs with 3 different independent CASA-approved flight examiners between 2016 and 2019. These are detailed in Table 2.

Table 2: Pilot instrument proficiency checks 2016–2019

DateOutcome
17 March 2016Competent
14 May 2017Not competent on a ground component (underpinning knowledge) with no assessment of flying capability
27 July 2017Competent
4 August 2018Not competent due to misread of altimeter by 1,000 ft (under-read)
5 August 2018Competent
7 August 2019Competent

The pilot’s last 3 IPCs were conducted on 4 August 2018, 5 August 2018 and 7 August 2019, all with the same CASA-approved flight examiner (who also conducted the IPC in March 2016).

On 4 August 2018, the pilot did not pass the IPC due to misreading the altimeter. The flight examiner recalled that they were on descent to the minima on a circling approach and, when the aircraft was at 1,000 ft above the MDA, the pilot asked whether they were visual. It then became apparent that the pilot had misread the altimeter by 1,000 ft (that is, they thought the aircraft was 1,000 ft lower than it was). The pilot successfully passed the check the following day.

The pilot’s most recent IPC was conducted on 7 August 2019 and was valid until 7 August 2020. The flight examiner who conducted this check was selected by the pilot; it was not the flight examiner regularly used by the operator (and who was familiar with the Air Connect Australia operations manual and could also conduct OPCs).

For each of the IPCs in 2018 and 2019, the pilot conducted a training flight with an instructor prior to the test flight, using the same Cessna 310 aircraft as in the test flights. The instructor commented that the pilot flew significantly better in 2019. Between the 2 checks in 2018 and 2019, the Cessna 310 aircraft was fitted with a GPS/navigational system and electronic flight instruments comprising an attitude display indicator (ADI) and a horizontal situation indicator (HSI). The ADI displayed aircraft attitude information, together with a secondary display of air data information (airspeed, altitude and vertical speed). The ADI and HSI each provided course and advisory vertical guidance during RNAV GNSS approaches.[14]

As already noted, the pilot undertook an operator proficiency check (OPC) on 29 October 2018 before commencing line operations with Air Connect Australia. This was the last OPC carried out on the pilot (see also Operator proficiency checks).

Between February and June 2018, prior to joining the operator, the pilot undertook training with an airline in a multi-crew environment and high-performing (turboprop) aircraft. Although the pilot obtained high marks in theory and written tests, they did not obtain satisfactory ratings during 3 proficiency assessments in a simulator (with remedial training given after each of the first 2 assessments). A common identified problem was instrument approaches, with issues identified including inefficient instrument scan, fixation (on some parameters), speed control, workload management, insufficient situational awareness and ineffective profile management. The ATSB notes that the training and checking environment at the airline was different to the pilot’s previous experience and the operational environment at Air Connect Australia.

Observations of the pilot’s approach to safety

The chief pilot (and managing director) of Air Connect Australia described the pilot as being a good pilot who would not have gone into an approach if they thought the weather was going to be poor, and that there was never any pressure to fly in poor weather. The pilot was trusted to make safety decisions, which would be supported by the chief pilot. This was consistent with the recollection of a previous pilot who flew with the operator, who reported that there was never any operational pressure (from the operator’s key personnel).

Another pilot stated that the pilot of the accident flight had ‘good stick and rudder skills’ and that everything was done ‘by the book’. It was also reported that the pilot had not expressed any concerns about the operator, including its approach to safety.

Former colleagues from when the pilot was chief pilot at a previous operator described the pilot as smart, diligent, and methodical with good knowledge of the rules and regulations. They reported that the pilot did not take shortcuts or unnecessary risks and had good hand-flying skills.

With reference to instrument approaches, one pilot advised that they had many conversations with the pilot of the accident flight regarding aircraft accident reports and safety, and the pilot of the accident flight had stated that they would conduct instrument approaches using the published constant-descent profile and would not intentionally deviate below published segment minimum safe altitudes in order to get visual early in an approach.

During January 2020, the pilot spent a week conducting a series of charter flights between Aurukun and Weipa, Queensland, in VH-OZO with the same group of passengers (see also Prior missed approach during an RNAV GNSS approach (22 January 2020)). Their perception was that the pilot was a good, competent pilot who was diligent, professional, and responsible and that they never felt unsafe. They also advised that they observed the pilot reviewing forecast and actual weather conditions regularly and that the pilot would delay flights due to weather conditions if necessary. Some of the passengers reported observing the pilot make weather-based decisions and did not display any indications of external pressure to fly in poor weather. One of the passengers reported that the pilot had said they would only ever make 2 attempts at landing and, after that, would return to the departure aerodrome or divert to an alternate.

Recent history

The pilot had recently returned from annual leave, with their last flights before leave conducted on 18 February 2020. The 3 days prior to the accident flight were reported to be uneventful. It was described that the pilot ate and exercised regularly and had been sleeping well with a standard time to sleep about 2230 and wake time about 0700–0730. The night before the accident flight, the pilot went to bed at about 2230 and woke at about 0530. There was nothing of note from the pilot’s recent history to suggest they were experiencing a level of fatigue known to affect performance.

The pilot was notified about the 11 March 2020 flight a few days in advance. It was reported that the pilot had been in a good mood in the days prior to the flight and was looking forward to flying again. On the day before the flight, the pilot went to Cairns Airport and started the aircraft’s engines to re-familiarise themselves and ensure everything was ready for the next day’s flight.

Medical information

The pilot’s Class 1 Aviation Medical Certificate was renewed on 14 February 2020 and was valid until 14 February 2021. There were no indications of any significant medical problems in the pilot’s aviation medical records. There was no evidence to suggest the pilot had any current or ongoing medical issues at the time of the accident.

A post-mortem examination was conducted by a forensic pathologist on behalf of the Queensland Coroner. The pathologist found that there was ‘No obvious natural disease to contribute to the cause of death within limits of examination …’. Forensic toxicology screening returned negative results (that is, no alcohol or substances were detected). The sample was unsuitable for analysis for carbon monoxide.

Aircraft information

General information

The Cessna 404 Titan is an unpressurised, low-wing, twin piston-engine aircraft with retractable landing gear. The maximum take-off weight (MTOW) is 3,810 kg, and the aircraft was certified to be flown by a single pilot.

VH-OZO was manufactured by the Cessna Aircraft Company in 1980. It was reported that the aircraft was first operated in Australia before being transferred to Papua New Guinea and registered as P2-ALG. In December 2009, a CASA Certificate of Airworthiness was issued, and the aircraft was registered as VH-OZO. At that time, the aircraft’s total time in service was 28,193 hours.

Seating

The type certificate data sheet for the Cessna 404 stated the aircraft type had 11 total seats (2 pilot seats and 9 passenger seats). In 1980, VH-OZO was configured with a modified seating configuration with 13 seats (2 pilot seats and 11 passenger seats).[15]

During an audit of Air Connect Australia in June 2017, CASA identified that the Airplane Flight Manual stated a maximum of 9 passenger seats aft of the pilot seats but there was 11 on the aircraft. In its initial audit response, the operator stated that the seating change was approved many years ago and it was attempting to find supporting documentation. In a subsequent response, the operator stated that it had previously operated and would continue to operate with a maximum of 9 passengers. It noted that the extra seating would remain in the aircraft as it formed part of the aircraft’s current weight and balance data.

During the investigation, the chief pilot confirmed that the operator never operated the aircraft with more than 9 passengers and normally operated with significantly less than 9 passengers.

Photos taken during the accident flight indicated that no passengers were seated in the front right seat next to the pilot.

Aircraft instruments and systems

On arrival into Australia, the aircraft was fitted with aerial geophysical survey equipment and was operated in that configuration until the equipment was removed in March 2012. Concurrently, the aircraft were modified in accordance with an engineering order to install new types of avionics and integrate those with existing units. The post-modification avionics, including existing equipment, consisted of:

  • Garmin GMA 340 audio panel
  • dual Garmin GNS 430W GPS/Nav/Com units
  • dual Garmin GI-106A GPS/VOR/LOC course deviation indicators (CDIs)
  • Garmin GTX327 transponder
  • Bendix/King KR87 automatic direction finder (ADF) and Bendix/King KI-227 ADF indicator
  • Collins HF radio
  • Cessna 400B Navomatic autopilot
  • Bendix weather radar (monochrome display).

These units were still installed at the time of the accident except for the transponder, which had been replaced by an automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast (ADS-B) compliant unit in April 2017.

VH-OZO was not fitted with a terrain avoidance and warning system (TAWS), nor was it required to be under legislation in place in Australia at the time of the accident. Further information is provided in Terrain avoidance and warning systems.

An assigned altitude indicator was fitted to the aircraft, which was designed to be used as a reminder of the designated altitude. Altitudes could be manually set by means of individual thumb wheels and no aural or visual alerts were provided when reaching or leaving the set altitude. The aircraft did not have an altitude alerting system, nor was it required for the type of aircraft and operation.[16]

The 400B autopilot was one of the standard equipment options for the Cessna 404 type. It could provide pitch and roll control with heading and altitude hold (on command). A navigation function provided the autopilot with inputs from an associated CDI (the GI-106A), which in this case received data from the number‑1 GNS 430W.

For an RNAV GNSS approach, a pilot could ‘couple’ the autopilot for lateral navigation and manage vertical navigation by adjusting the autopilot pitch wheel to achieve the intended rate of descent. For a level segment, the pilot could select altitude hold on reaching the intended altitude. Several pilots who had flown VH-OZO advised that they routinely hand flew instrument approaches due to autopilot constraints.

The aircraft was fitted with the instrumentation required for operations under the IFR. These flight instruments were conventional analogue indicators and reflected the original specifications for the aircraft. The second artificial horizon/attitude indicator and altimeter were located on the right side of the co-pilot panel (far side of the instrument panel relative to the pilot) (Figure 7).

Figure 7: VH-OZO instrument panel

VH-OZO instrument panel

Source: Supplied, annotated by the ATSB

A closer view of the instrument panel is depicted in Figure 8. It had the standard 6 flight instruments directly in front of the pilot’s seat on the left. These include the attitude indicator, which depicts the aircraft’s basic roll and pitch attitude, and the primary performance instruments – altimeter, airspeed indicator and vertical speed indicator (VSI). Below those were 2 (GI-106A CDI) instruments[17] that provided course deviation indication provided either by the GNS 430’s digitally-tuned VOR/localiser and glideslope receiver or GPS input to conduct an RNAV GNSS approach. One CDI instrument was coupled to the aircraft’s number-1 GNS 430W GPS unit and the other to the number-2 GPS unit.

The basis of cockpit design is to have the primary instruments within a small arc of the pilot’s forward line of sight. Navigation systems such as the GPS units may be located next to the primary instruments, as was the case in VH-OZO. While conducting an RNAV GNSS approach, it is imperative that the pilot includes the GPS units in the scan.

Figure 8: Instrument panel of VH-OZO

Instrument panel of VH-OZO

Source: Supplied, annotated by the ATSB

Altimeters

VH-OZO was equipped with two 3-pointer altimeters (Figure 9), including one directly in front of the pilot. They had a 100-ft pointer (long and narrow), 1,000-ft pointer (short and wide) and 10,000-ft pointer (long and thin with a triangle at the end). The diagonal hashing indicated when below 10,000 ft and was gradually covered above that height.

These types of 3-pointer altimeters are very common in general aviation aircraft, including small aeroplanes used for passenger transport activities. Research has shown that such altimeters can be associated with misreading errors, including misreading the altitude by 1,000 ft, although accidents known to be associated with such errors seem relatively rare. Accordingly, such altimeters (and some other altimeter designs) are no longer allowed to be used on air transport certificated aircraft. Further information about requirements and guidance regarding altimeters is provided in Appendix A – Research and guidance regarding design of altimeters.

The aircraft was not fitted with a radio altimeter, nor was it required for the type of aircraft and operation.

Figure 9: Example of the 3-pointer type of altimeter fitted in VH-OZO

Example of the 3-pointer type of altimeter fitted in VH-OZO

This altimeter shows an altitude of 1,210 ft (10,000 ft pointer indicating 0, 1,000 ft pointer indication 1,000 ft and 100 ft pointer indicating 210 ft.

Source: avioelectronica.com

GNS 430W overview

The Garmin GNS 430W is a panel-mounted unit that provides GPS navigation, instrument landing system or VHF omnidirectional radio range navigation, and VHF radio communication. It was approved for IFR operations, including RNAV GNSS approaches, and was used in conjunction with a CDI.

Although the ‘W’ designated wide area augmentation system capabilities[18] that facilitated GPS approaches with vertical guidance, Australia did not have the associated satellite-based augmentation system to enable this functionality at the time of the accident. As such, the GNS 430W was approved to provide distance and track information only for RNAV GNSS non-precision approaches.

Information was displayed to the pilot on an 8.4 cm by 4.6 cm (240 by 128 pixel) high-contrast colour LCD. A pilot could select the pages and menus to display relevant information during various flight stages. Those included the default navigation page and additional pages including:

  • a 2-dimensional representation of terrain relative to the aircraft position
  • information for vertical navigation of the aircraft
  • a moving map display
  • information about the status of the GPS satellite constellation
  • information relevant for the navigation and communication functions of the unit.

When used for an RNAV GNSS approach, the navigation page would display a graphic CDI together with the active leg of the approach and 6 user-selectable data fields.[19] After passing the waypoint it was tracking to, the unit would automatically sequence to the next waypoint.

When approaching a waypoint such as an initial approach fix (IAF), if a turn was required, the unit would display the recommended flight path (turn) to intercept the next track segment. The unit would also display a flashing message about 10 seconds prior to the start of the recommended turn, alerting the pilot that a turn was required and the track to intercept.

To use the unit for RNAV GNSS approaches, it was a requirement that the NavData card[20] was valid and the approach procedure was loaded from the database. The operator subscribed to the Jeppesen NavData service that provided monthly updates. It was reported that the pilot updated the NavData card using a laptop computer in the 24 hours prior to the flight. There were no changes in the update that would have been relevant to the accident flight.

The terrain, obstacle and airport terrain database was loaded on a terrain data card. The operator did not subscribe to an update service for terrain/obstacle data. Obstacle data was updated on a 56-day cycle and updates to the terrain database were released on an ‘as-needed’ basis. There was no requirement to have current obstacle or terrain databases to use the GNS 430W for flight under the IFR and/or during an RNAV GNSS approach. A June 2018 photograph of VH‑OZO’s GNS 430W receivers indicated the obstacle database installed at that time was dated October 2011.[21]

Fault detection and exclusion was incorporated into the GNS 430W software to detect satellite failure and exclude failed satellites from usage.

In addition to their experience with VH-OZO, the pilot of the accident flight had experience using GNS 430 units during their time flying Cessna 310 and PA-31 aircraft with a previous operator, which included units with a terrain awareness function.

Garmin TERRAIN function

Garmin TERRAIN was a non-certified[22] terrain awareness system, provided as a standard feature of 400W-series units, to increase pilot situation awareness and help reduce the risk of controlled flight into terrain (CFIT). The functions required a valid 3D GPS position and a valid terrain and obstacle database. Terrain and obstacle information was advisory only and was not equivalent to warnings provided by TAWS. The Garmin 400W Series Pilot’s Guide & Reference manual stated:

CAUTION: The Terrain feature is for supplemental awareness only. The pilot/crew is responsible for all terrain and obstacle avoidance using information not provided by the 400W-series Terrain feature.

When the GNS 430’s terrain page was selected, it presented a 2-dimensional colour-coded display of terrain tiles and obstacles from its database, relative to the aircraft’s current position/altitude. Red (warning) indicated terrain/obstacles above and up to 100 ft below the aircraft’s current altitude, yellow (caution) between 100 ft and 1,000 ft below the current altitude, and black more than 1,000 ft below the current altitude. The terrain page would not normally be selected when conducting an RNAV GNSS approach.

Terrain advisory and alert messages were provided when flight conditions met specific parameters. The advisories/alerts comprised a visual annunciation in the lower left corner of the unit’s LCD display, accompanied by a larger pop-up advisory/alert on the current display page (except the page displaying terrain). To clear the pop-up advisory/alert, the pilot would either acknowledge the message to return to the selected page or acknowledge the advisory/alert and display the terrain page. The system did not provide auditory alerts.

A pilot could use an ’inhibit mode’ to deactivate the terrain advisory/alert message system and pop-up messages would not be generated. The terrain page was still selectable and would display colour-coded terrain and obstacle information relative to the aircraft’s position. Once inhibited, the terrain annunciator field displayed a ‘TER INHIB’ annunciation and the terrain alert system remained deactivated until reselected. The GNS 400W-Series manual stated that the terrain inhibit mode could be used when the advisories/alerts were deemed unnecessary by the pilot. The manual also stated:

Flying VFR into an area where unique terrain exists could cause the system to annunciate a nuisance alert. Pilots should use discretion when inhibiting the TERRAIN system and always remember to enable the system when appropriate.

According to the GNS 400W-Series manual, the terrain system issued a premature descent alert (PDA) when the aircraft was significantly below the normal approach path to a runway. The manual indicated that this alert would activate depending on the aircraft’s height above terrain and distance from the runway threshold (for example, it would be triggered if the aircraft was about 400 ft above terrain when 10 NM from the runway threshold, 350 ft at 5 NM, 320 ft at 4 NM, and 280 ft at 3 NM). PDA alerts were not provided when the aircraft was within 0.5 NM of the runway or less than 125 ft above terrain within 1.0 NM of the runway.

Based on this information and the recorded data for the accident flight (Recorded flight data), provided that the terrain advisory/alert function was enabled, a yellow and black ‘TERRAIN’ annunciation would be generated in the lower left corner of the LCD display, accompanied by a yellow and black ‘TOO LOW – TERRAIN’ PDA pop-up alert (Figure 10), about 15 seconds prior to the terrain collision.

Figure 10: Premature descent alert on the GNS 430W display

Premature descent alert on the GNS 430W display

Source: Garmin GNS 400W Series Pilot’s Guide & Reference

The terrain system also provided forward-looking terrain avoidance (FLTA) alerts. Provided the terrain system was enabled, a FLTA terrain alert was generated when the predicted or present aircraft altitude above terrain or obstacles was below the minimum clearance value for that phase of flight. During an approach, the clearance value was 150 ft during level flight and 100 ft when descending.[23] The terrain/obstacle advisory alert comprised a yellow and black ‘TERRAIN’ annunciation in the lower left corner of the LCD display, accompanied by a yellow and black ‘TERRAIN ADVISORY’ or ‘CAUTION OBSTACLE’ pop-up message. The pop-up advisory alert would be displayed on all selectable pages (except the terrain page) and remained visible until the message was cleared/acknowledged by the pilot, or the minimum clearance value was no longer infringed.

If the minimum clearance value for terrain/obstacles remained, a terrain/obstacle ahead alert would be generated. The alert consisted of a flashing yellow and black ‘TERRAIN’ annunciation in the lower left of the LCD panel display and a flashing yellow and black ‘TERRAIN AHEAD’ or ‘OBSTACLE AHEAD’ pop-up alert. The pop-up alert would be displayed on all selectable pages, except the terrain page and remained visible until the message was cleared/acknowledged by the pilot, or the minimum clearance value was no longer infringed.

The GNS 400W-Series manual did not specify the warning period for FLTA alerts. However, an earlier version of the 430/430A-Series manual indicated the ‘TERRAIN ADVISORY’ or ‘OBSTACLE ADVISORY’ pop-up terrain alert would be displayed when approximately 60 seconds from potential impact and the ‘TERRAIN AHEAD’ or ‘OBSTACLE AHEAD’ flashing pop-up terrain alert when 30 seconds from potential impact.

On the accident flight, the descent rate when the aircraft reached 5 NM from the runway threshold (or 3.6 NM from the MAPt) is unclear (see Recorded flight data). However, soon after, the descent rate was about 1,200 ft/min and the predicted flight path would have resulted in an FLTA alert to be generated. Therefore, if the terrain awareness/alert system was enabled, an FLTA alert should have been generated about 30 seconds (or longer) prior to the collision.

Air Connect Australia did not have any operational guidance or procedures regarding the use of the terrain awareness function on the GNS 430W units. The chief pilot reported that, when they were the pilot flying VH-OZO, they would generally leave the function turned on, even though it could be annoying in some locations. However, they did not regularly fly the aircraft and had not conducted the most recent flights in the aircraft.

The ATSB spoke to several pilots who were familiar with GNS 430 units with a terrain awareness function. Some advised that the terrain awareness function would often be inhibited, whereas others would use the function on one 430 unit and inhibit it on the second 430 unit. None of the pilots were aware of operators having specific procedures and guidance for using the terrain function.

Pilots stated that the main reason for the terrain awareness function to be inhibited was the perception that it could issue nuisance alerts, with some of these pilots clarifying that this would only occur (or be a valid concern) when conducting visual approaches at non-licenced aerodromes. One pilot advised that they had heard of some pilots in one operator being concerned about using the terrain function if the terrain/obstacle database was not current. However, 2 experienced flight examiners advised that, in their experience, these databases were commonly not current on aircraft they encountered in their roles and that having a current database was not critical; the advantages of the terrain awareness function were more significant than any potential problem with a terrain/obstacle database not being current.

There was no information available regarding what the pilot of the accident flight normally did with the terrain awareness function when flying VH-OZO. Based on the available information, the ATSB could not establish if the terrain awareness function was enabled or inhibited during the accident sequence, or to what extent the pilot had previously encountered terrain alerts when conducting operations in the aircraft.

Configurations and speeds

The flap settings on the Cessna 404 included ‘UP’, ‘T.O. & APPR’ (take-off/approach) and ‘LAND’ (landing). The take-off/approach setting was often referred to as ‘approach flap’ and sometimes called ‘10° flap’.[24]  

According to the Cessna 404 Pilot’s Operating Handbook (POH), which included the Airplane Flight Manual approved by the US Federal Aviation Administration, the maximum landing gear extension speed (and operating speed) was 182 kt, the maximum speed to select approach flap was 182 kt, and the maximum speed to select landing flap was 152 kt.

The POH specified a recommended minimum approach speed (or Vref[25]) at 50 ft of 91 kt (all engines operating, landing flaps, weight 8,100 lb or 3,6764 kg). For all aircraft weights of 7,500 lb (3,402 kg) and lower, the POH stated approach airspeeds (at 50 ft) of 88 kt. Consistent with the POH, the operator’s operations manual provided values for VAPP[26](approach speed) of 91 kt at 8,100 lb and 88 kt at 7,500 lb and lower weights.

The POH stated the minimum control speed (VMCA) with approach flap selected was 78 kt. In addition, the one-engine inoperative best rate-of-climb speed for the aircraft type was 102 kt (flap in the take-off/approach position and gear up) and 109 kt (flap and gear up).

Aircraft maintenance

The aircraft logbook statement specified that VH-OZO was to be maintained in accordance with the system of maintenance developed by the aircraft owner and approved by CASA. The key elements of the system were:

  • daily inspection in accordance with the Cessna 404 POH
  • engine and airframe inspections every 100 +/- 10 hours in accordance with the Cessna 404 progressive care program (Operations 1 and 2 plus 3 and 4 completed within 12-month period)
  • electrical and instrument inspections every 220 hours or 12 months in accordance with system of maintenance schedules
  • IFR avionics inspections every 220 hours or 12 months in accordance with system of maintenance schedules
  • special inspections, supplemental inspection documents, and corrosion prevention control program as required
  • altimeter and pitot-static system inspection and test every 24 months
  • maintenance release issue for a period of up to 220 hours or 12 months, whichever occurred first. 

Scheduled engine and airframe maintenance was carried out by the CASA-approved maintenance organisation associated with the aircraft owner. While the aircraft was based in Cairns, electrical, instrument, and radio maintenance as well as unscheduled maintenance was contracted to licensed aircraft maintenance engineers.

The most recent maintenance was the scheduled 100-hour inspection based on Operations 3 and 4 of the Cessna 404 progressive care program. That was completed on 16 February 2020 at 31,066 hours total time. A maintenance release was issued with the next scheduled maintenance being the oil/filter change after 50 hours operation and compass swing in July 2020. 

Other key maintenance was:

  • 19 January 2020 at 31,050 hours: inspection of the electrical, instrument and IFR avionic systems certified as satisfactory
  • 29 January 2019 at 30,750 hours: inspection and test of the pitot-static system and check of altimeters certified as satisfactory.

The current maintenance release was not found at the accident site. Operator records showed that the aircraft had been operated for 3.8 hours between maintenance release issue and the accident flight. The operator and aircraft owner both advised that no aircraft defects had been reported.

The ATSB identified that the vacuum pumps had been in service for a relatively long period and internal wear had not been inspected at the recent 100-hour inspection. Also, there was no record of testing or replacement of the vacuum manifold in the previous 10 years. Although these aspects increased the likelihood of a vacuum system failure, there was no evidence that the vacuum-powered instruments were adversely affected. Further information regarding the maintenance and serviceability of the vacuum system (associated with the attitude indicators and directional gyro) is provided in Appendix B – Vacuum system analysis.

Terrain avoidance and warning systems

General description

A terrain avoidance and warning system (TAWS) provides visual and aural alerting including a look-ahead terrain function. The aircraft’s height above terrain can be based on GPS or radio altitude information. TAWS is a generic term that also includes a ground proximity warning system (GPWS) with a forward-looking terrain avoidance function.

A TAWS is an important tool to help minimise the risk of controlled flight into terrain (CFIT). It provides an independent and unambiguous warning of proximity to the ground or obstacles, regardless of any navigational uncertainty or error such as mis-setting or misreading the altimeter.

Multiple levels or classes of TAWS are defined and internationally recognised. Class B TAWS (TAWS B) includes a minimum of the following alerts:

  • reduced required terrain clearance
  • imminent terrain impact
  • premature descent
  • excessive rates of descent
  • negative climb rate or altitude loss after take-off
  • descent of the aeroplane to 500 ft above the terrain or nearest runway elevation (voice callout ‘Five hundred’) during a non-precision approach.

Class B+ TAWS also has a terrain awareness display that shows surrounding terrain/obstacles relative to the aircraft. Class A TAWS (TAWS A) has all the requirements of Class B+ TAWS, plus 3 additional alerts. Both Class A and class B TAWS have a forward-looking terrain avoidance function.

To maximise its effectiveness, an aircraft operator should have standard operating procedures for the use of a TAWS and for actions to take in response to TAWS alerts.

Australian requirements

Civil Aviation Order (CAO) 20.18 (Aircraft equipment — basic operational requirements), which was in force at the time of the accident, stated that for Australian aircraft:

9.1C A turbine-engined aeroplane that:

(a) has a maximum take-off weight [MTOW] of more than 15 000 kg or is carrying 10 or more passengers; and

(b) is engaged in RPT [regular passenger transport], or charter, operations;

must not be operated under the I.F.R. unless it is fitted with

(c) an approved ground proximity warning system that has a predictive terrain hazard warning function…

(e) if the aeroplane has a maximum take-off weight of 5 700 kg or less, but is carrying 10 or more passengers – a TAWS-B+ system.

In effect, this meant that turbine-engine aeroplanes being used to conduct passenger transport operations under the IFR were required to have a TAWS if the aeroplane was carrying 10 or more passengers or it was a larger air transport aeroplane.[27] There was no requirement for a piston-engine aeroplane (such as VH-OZO) to be fitted with a TAWS.

International requirements for turbine-engine aeroplanes

The Australian TAWS requirements for turbine-engine aeroplanes were consistent with the standards included in International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) Annex 6 (Operation of Aircraft) Part I (International Commercial Air Transport – Aeroplanes), which included a standard[28] for all turbine-engine aeroplanes with a MTOW of more than 5,700 kg or authorised to carry 10 or more passengers to have a TAWS. In addition to Australia, this standard had been adopted by comparable countries, including the United States, Canada, New Zealand and Europe.

In 1996, the US National Transport Safety Board (NTSB) issued a recommendation to the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to require that all turbojet-powered airplanes equipped with 6 or more passenger seats have an operating GPWS installed. In 1999 it also recommended that all turbine-powered aeroplanes of the same size be fitted with a TAWS. 

In response, the FAA commissioned a report that examined 44 CFIT accidents that occurred between 1985 and 1994 in the US involving turbine-powered aeroplanes with 6 to 10 passenger seats. Of the 44 aeroplanes, 11 were powered by turbojets and 33 were powered by turboprops. None were fitted with a GPWS system. Computer modelling techniques used to analyse the data showed that, had GPWS been fitted, 33 accidents could have been prevented; had enhanced GPWS been fitted, 42 accidents could have been prevented.

Accordingly, the FAA introduced a requirement for all turbine-powered aeroplanes with 6 or more passenger seats to be fitted with a TAWS B (in Federal Aviation Regulations 91.223 and 135.154). The requirement commenced in March 2002 for new aircraft and March 2005 for older aircraft.

The FAA did not propose to introduce the same requirement for piston-engine (or reciprocating-engine) aeroplanes. In its final rule summary in 2000, the FAA stated:

The General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA) is against requiring TAWS on reciprocating-powered [piston-engine] airplanes because the costs would be high (e.g., “TAWS equipment would cost more than the hull value of the aircraft”), and the panel space for installing TAWS with a situational display is not available in these airplanes.

The FAA did not receive any comments that would justify undertaking a new rulemaking project to mandate TAWS for reciprocating-powered airplanes.

However, regarding the issue of panel space, the FAA knows of at least one manufacturer who has developed a complete TAWS unit that was designed to replace an existing panel instrument.

Following the US introduction, from November 2006, ICAO Annex 6 Part I included a recommendation that turbine-engine aeroplanes with an MTOW of 5,700 kg or less and authorised to carry 6–9 passengers should be equipped with a TAWS. This recommended practice was introduced as a regulatory requirement in other countries, including New Zealand (from 2007 for air transport operations under the IFR), Canada (from 2014 for operations other than day VFR flights), and in Europe (for such aeroplanes with an individual certificate of airworthiness issued after 1 January 2019).[29]

International requirements for piston-engine aeroplanes

Applicable from January 2007, ICAO Annex 6 Part I included a standard for TAWS B to be fitted to piston-engine aeroplanes with a MTOW greater than 5,700 kg or authorised to carry 10 or more passengers.

Subsequently, TAWS requirements were introduced in Canada (from 2014 for air transport operations other than day VFR flights), New Zealand (from 2007 for air transport operations under the IFR) and Europe (from 2012 for air transport operations) for piston-engine aeroplanes. No such requirements for piston-engine aeroplanes were introduced in the United States.

Canada also introduced the same requirement for piston-engine aeroplanes with a passenger seating capacity of 6–9 conducting air transport operations other than day VFR flights from 2014. As far as could be determined, no other countries had introduced a TAWS requirement for piston-engine aeroplanes with a passenger seating capacity less than 10.

In its notice of amendments about TAWS requirements in 2012, Transport Canada indicated that the cost for installing a TAWS B on small aeroplanes conducting air taxi (charter) operations in aircraft with a passenger seating capacity of less than 10 was about Can$23,000. It also noted that the expected benefits of TAWS (in terms of reduced fatalities, serious injuries and accidents due to CFITs) were significantly higher than the costs.[30]

Considerations of changes in Australia

In March 2006, the ATSB issued safety recommendation R20060008:

The Australian Transport Safety Bureau recommends that the Civil Aviation Safety Authority review the requirements for Terrain Awareness Warning Systems for Australian registered turbine-powered aircraft below 5,700 kgs, against international standards such as ICAO Annex 6 and regulations such as FAR 91.223, with the aim of reducing the potential for CFIT accidents.

CASA accepted the recommendation and stated that it would examine the capital/installation costs and benefits. This work was initiated as part of CASA’s notice of proposed rule making (NPRM) 0808OS (Passenger transport services and international cargo operations – Small aeroplanes) published in February 2009. The proposed requirements included that small aeroplanes (regardless of engine type) conducting passenger transport operations carrying 6 or more passengers under the IFR to be fitted with a TAWS B. In terms of benefits and costs, the NPRM stated:

The costs and benefits of mandating TAWS B equipment for IFR aeroplanes carrying 6 to 9 passengers has been assessed by CASA. Equipment and fitment costs are forecast to be approximately $23,000 per aeroplane. Options to offset these additional costs are under consideration by the Government. Benefits are expected to flow to the industry from increased public confidence with this equipment fit to small aeroplanes in which passenger operations are conducted, as the overall accident rate is expected to reduce.

Accordingly, the ATSB recommendation was closed.

Subsequently, CASA released a consultation draft of Civil Aviation Safety Regulation (CASR) Part 135 (Australian air transport operations—smaller aeroplanes) in 2012. This contained a requirement for a TAWS for aeroplanes conducting passenger transport operations with a maximum operational passenger seat configuration (MOPSC)[31] of 6 or more. The proposed requirement’s applicability had expanded to include all flights (not just IFR flights) and was based on the passenger seat capacity rather the actual number of passengers carried on a flight.

Following further consultation, the 2012 proposal was amended to a MOPSC of 10 or more. In the summary of proposed change for CASR Part 135 (published in August 2018), CASA stated:

CASA had originally proposed the fitment of a minimum of TAWS-Class B for aeroplanes with a MOPSC greater than 5 which aligned with the Federal Aviation Administration of the USA (FAA) and Transport Canada rules however this was changed after discussion with the Aviation Safety Advisory Panel Technical Working Group.

In the 2018 explanatory statement in for the introduction of CASR Part 135, CASA outlined the options it considered (in its regulatory impact statement) regarding the implementation of TAWS. It noted that the estimated cost of installing a TAWS was about $21,000 (including about $12,000 for the system and additional costs for installation and training). One option (named option 2) was to only require a TAWS for all aeroplanes with a MOPSC of 10 or more or a MTOW greater than 5,700 kg. It was determined that this would affect 18 aeroplanes (in addition to those that already had or required a TAWS). Another option (option 3) was to require a TAWS for all aeroplanes with a MOPSC of 6–9 as well. In terms of option 3, the statement noted:

The types of aircraft that are within this category include, the piston powered AeroCommander 680, Beech 95 and Cessna 421 and the turbine powered aeroplanes that include the Cessna 208, Fairchild SA 226 and Pilatus PC 12. CASA estimates that there are approximately 323 of these types of aircraft. Based on 323 aircraft within the six to nine seat range and the 18 aircraft with MTOW>5700kg of option 2 this would result in an estimated cost impact of $7.2m for 341 aircraft... [as well as $0.72m annually]

The statement noted that initially CASA had proposed option 3 to industry but, following initial consultation, it did not pursue this option. Feedback associated with the initial consultation on TAWS (and other proposed regulatory changes) included that charter businesses were operating in a difficult marketplace with many not being profitable.

As a result of this regulatory reform process, the Australian requirements for TAWS changed from December 2021, such that piston-engine aeroplanes with a MOPSC of 10 or more conducting air transport operations were required to have a TAWS, with the applicable date being December 2021 or December 2022 dependent on various factors (see Safety issues and actions).

For VH-OZO and its seating configuration at the time of the accident, CASA advised the MOPSC was 12.[32]As such, if the operator had continued operating the aircraft for passenger transport flights with that seating configuration, the aeroplane would have been required to have a TAWS by December 2022 and, from December 2024, the operator would have had to operate the aeroplane under CASR Part 121 (and conduct all flights with 2 pilots under the IFR, as well as meet additional requirements compared to Part 135). Alternatively, the aeroplane would not have been required to have a TAWS or be operated under Part 121 if some seats were removed such that the MOPSC was 9 or less.[33]

Aerodrome information

Lockhart River Airport had one sealed runway (12/30), which was 1,500 m long and 30 m wide. It was not serviced by an air traffic control (ATC) tower and it was outside of ATC radar coverage. The airport had a common traffic advisory frequency (CTAF), which was used by pilots to advise intentions and arrange separation with other traffic.  

The elevation of the runway was 76 ft at the threshold for runway 30 and 48 ft at the threshold for runway 12. The runway was equipped with low-intensity runway lights, and there was no visual approach slope guidance.

At the time of the accident there were 3 instrument approaches available at the airport:

  • NDB approach to runway 30
  • RNAV GNSS approach to runway 12
  • RNAV GNSS instrument approach to runway 30 (Figure 2).

The airport was located on a coastal plain 4.5 km west of the Lockhart River township. The Great Dividing Range was nearby with the terrain rising to over 800 ft to the south-west and west within about 8 km of the airport.

Lockhart River was known to experience low cloud and poor visibility conditions. The average (mean) rainfall at Lockhart River is 2,058 mm. In the month of March, the average rainfall is 446 mm and 19.5 days have rainfall of more than 1 mm.

The ATSB interviewed several pilots with experience conducting RNAV GNSS approaches, including some who had conducted multiple approaches at Lockhart River due to poor visibility conditions. The pilots had several suggestions for reducing workload for a second approach, including holding or diverting to Coen or Weipa to wait for weather to pass.

Meteorological information

Weather forecasts - overview

The Bureau of Meteorology produced aviation forecasts, observations, warnings and advisories. As the official provider of the Aeronautical Information Service, Airservices Australia delivered the bureau’s aviation meteorological products to pilots through National Aeronautical Information Processing System (NAIPS).

For the flight from Cairns to Lockhart River, the meteorological forecast information consisted of aerodrome forecasts (TAFs), graphical area forecasts (GAFs), grid point wind and temperature charts (GPWTs) and any warnings (such as SIGMETs[34]). These could be supplemented by aerodrome weather reports (METARs), ground-based weather radar imagery, and satellite imagery.

According to the weather forecasts, the pilot would have expected mostly visual meteorological conditions (VMC)[35] during the day at Cairns with some periods of rain showers and low cloud. For the arrival at Lockhart River, the forecast weather was predominantly VMC but there were overlapping periods of rain and low cloud with 30% probability of thunderstorms.

Aerodrome forecasts

A TAF for Lockhart River was issued at 0449 EST[36] and was valid from 0600 to 1800. The expected weather conditions were:

  • From 0600 to 1000: wind variable at 3 kt with visibility 10 km or greater. Light rain showers and cloud scattered at 1,000 ft.[37]
  • Between 0600 and 1000: TEMPO[38] - visibility reduced to 3,000 m with rain and broken cloud at 500 ft.
  • From 0600 to 0800: 30% probability of fog with visibility reduced to 500 ft and broken cloud at 100 ft.
  • From 1000 to 1800: wind from the north-east at 5 kt with visibility 10 km or greater. Light rain showers with scattered cloud at 1,000 ft.
  • Between 1000 and 1800: TEMPO - visibility reduced to 3,000 m with rain showers and broken cloud at 800 ft.
  • For the whole forecast period, 0600 to 1800: 30% probability TEMPO - winds gusting 25 to 35 kt and visibility reduced to 1,000 m due to thunderstorms and rain. This was associated with broken cloud at 500 ft and scattered cumulonimbus cloud with the base at 1,000 ft.

Based on this forecast a pilot arriving at Lockhart River was required to plan for 60 minutes holding or diversion to an alternate aerodrome. The aircraft had more than sufficient fuel for that purpose (see Fuel calculations).

An amended TAF for Lockhart River was issued at 0925 (5 minutes after the accident) and was valid from 0900 to 1800. The expected weather conditions were:

  • From 0900 to 1300: wind variable at 3 kt with visibility 10 km or greater. Light rain showers with cloud scattered at 1,000 ft and broken at 2,000 ft.
  • For whole forecast period, 0900 to 1800: TEMPO – winds gusting from 20 to 35 kt and visibility reduced to 1,000 m due to thunderstorms and rain. This was associated with broken cloud at 500 ft and scattered cumulonimbus cloud with the base at 1,500 ft.
Graphical area forecasts

A GAF was issued at 0835 and was valid from 0900 to 1500 and applicable from surface to 10,000 ft. This covered the Queensland-North region, which was divided into 6 areas for this forecast. Most of the flight including the arrival at Lockhart River was within one area that was forecast to have the following conditions:

  • Broken stratus 1,000 ft to 2,000 ft with broken cumulus/stratocumulus above that. Visibility reduced to 6,000 m in widespread rain.
  • Isolated towering cumulus from 2,000 ft, broken stratus from 800 to 2,000 ft, and broken cumulus/stratocumulus from 2,000 ft. Visibility reduced to 2,000 m in scattered rain showers.
  • Isolated cumulonimbus from 2,000 ft and broken status between 500 ft and 1,000 ft. Visibility reduced to 500 m in isolated thunderstorm rain showers.

A GPWT forecast was issued at 0538 and was valid to 1000. Lockhart River was located near the intersection of 4 data boxes and therefore roughly equidistant from 4 forecast locations. Taking 2,000 ft as a reference height for the approaches and coastal data as more relevant, the wind was forecast to be from the north-west at 9 kt increasing to 21 kt north of Lockhart River.

There were no significant weather warnings applicable to the flight.

Weather conditions - overview

The Bureau of Meteorology provided an overview to the ATSB of the actual weather conditions at Lockhart River on the day of the accident. It stated that a developing monsoon trough extended across Cape York Peninsula crossing the coast near Weipa and Lockhart River. A tropical low was embedded in the trough and was near Weipa at 1000, moving slowly eastward. The monsoon trough and low were causing scattered to widespread rain and isolated thunderstorms over much of Cape York Peninsula.

The surface winds at Lockhart River Airport were generally light and variable. Automatic weather sensors detected rain and heavy rain reducing visibility to 800 m and scattered to broken layers of cloud as low as 1,100 ft above ground level.

Aerodrome weather reports for Lockhart River

The METARs for Lockhart River were automatically generated every 30 minutes for routine reports and were issued as a special report (SPECI) at other times when one or more elements met specified criteria for degradation and improvement. For the period from 0830 to 0929 on 11 March 2020, the reports included:

  • 0830: nil wind, visibility[39] 10 km or greater with rain and scattered cloud from 3,000 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were both 25 °C. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm.
  • 0900: nil wind, visibility 10 km or greater with rain and broken cloud at 2,000 ft, 3,500 ft, and 4,100 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were both 25 °C. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm.
  • SPECI 0910: nil wind, visibility 10 km or greater with rain and broken cloud at 1,800 ft and 3,400 ft then overcast at 4,200 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were 26 and 25 °C respectively. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm.
  • SPECI 0913: nil wind, visibility 3,800 m with rain and broken cloud at 1,800 ft and 3,400 ft, overcast at 4,200 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were 26 and 25 °C respectively. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 2.2 mm.
  • SPECI 0929: wind westerly at 5 kt, visibility 8,000 m with heavy rain and scattered cloud at 1,200 ft, broken cloud at 1,900 ft, and broken cloud at 3,600 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were both 25 °C. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm and rainfall since 0900 was 3.8 mm.

The QNH remained at 1,008 hPa during this period.

Automatic weather station

The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) provided data from the Lockhart River Airport automatic weather station (AWS) recorded at 1-minute intervals. Table 3 details 1-minute rainfall, 30-minute cloud and 10-minute visibility data for the period encompassing the aircraft’s first approach prior to the final approach fix (FAF) at 0904 to the accident at 0920. The last column in the table indicates the 1-minute visibility associated with the telephone message for the aerodrome’s automated weather information service (see following section section). More detailed information from the Lockhart River AWS for the period 0850 to 0930 is provided in Appendix C – Detailed 1-minute weather data Lockhart River 0850–0930.

Table 3: Extract of 1-minute weather data from Lockhart River Airport AWS

Time (EST)1-minute precipitation (mm)Lowest cloud layer amount (oktas)Lowest cloud layer height above aerodrome elevation (ft)10-minute visibility (m)1-minute visibility reported by AWIS (m)
09040.22 (few)1,80010,00010,000
09050.02 (few)1,80010,00010,000
09060.03 (scattered)1,80010,00010,000
09070.03 (scattered)1,80010,00010,000
09080.03 (scattered)1,80010,00010,000
09090.04 (scattered)1,80010.00012,000
09100.24 (scattered)1,80010.0006,000
09110.25 (broken)1,80010,0001,500
09120.85 (broken)1,8006,000800
09130.85 (broken)1,8003,8001,000
09140.45 (broken)1,8002,8001,400
09150.25 (broken)1,8002,4002,300
09160.24 (scattered)1,8002,2004,300
09170.04 (scattered)1,8002,2003,600
09180.24 (scattered)1,8002,1004,800
09190.23 (scattered)1,8002,0004,800
09200.03 (scattered)1,8001,9006,000
09210.02 (scattered)1,8002,0008,000

The first shaded area indicates when the aircraft was at the MAPt on the first approach and the second shaded area indicates the time of the accident on the second approach. The 1-minute visibility data was that recorded to be broadcast by the AWIS by telephone. The times have been displaced by 1 minute (back) to align with the 1-minute rainfall data provided by BoM. The cloud data was averaged over the previous 30 minutes (see description in report text).

Source: Bureau of Meteorology

The cloud information was derived using a sky condition algorithm. This involved taking a sample (using a ceilometer at the aerodrome) at least every 30 seconds and averaging the data over a 30-minute period, with samples taken in the last 10 minutes provided double weighting.[40] Although this algorithm provided more stable estimates of cloud than each sample, the reported cloud for any given minute did not necessarily reflect the cloud level at that specific point in time.[41]

The visibility meter estimated atmospheric visibility based on the continuous sampling of a single point, providing a measurement of the prevailing visibility at the sensor. However, it sampled a relatively small volume of air in the immediate vicinity of the instrument and, unlike a human observer, was not capable of estimating visibility in different directions or over longer distances. One-minute data was based on the last 60 seconds of sensor output, as an average based on a processing algorithm. The 10-minute data recorded each minute was the average value over the previous 10 minutes.

A number of factors can affect the accuracy of the reported visibility, including:

  • discrete air masses, such as a shower of rain or a bank of fog, will not be identified unless the sensor is engulfed, and if the phenomenon is not of uniform density the visibility will be misreported
  • stationary localised patches of fog will remain undetected if the sensor is clear of fog, or if the sensor is within the patch of fog the reported visibility may be less than actual.

The temperature and dewpoint were about 25 °C for the duration with the relative humidity at 99% (increasing to 100% from 0917).

The reported wind speeds and directions were the mean values at 10 m above ground level, averaged over the last 1-minute period. The recorded wind was 0 kt until 0914, with speeds of 3–4 kt from the west, between 0916 and 0921.

Automated weather information service

Lockhart River was equipped with an automated weather information service (AWIS) that transmitted AWS data in text-to-speech format on a discrete VHF frequency. A new AWIS message was generated every minute in a similar format to the METAR reports. To produce the reports from the AWS 1-minute data, some averaging and rounding of the information occurred. The broadcasts were not recorded.

In addition, AWIS data at Lockhart River could also be accessed by telephone. A different phone message based on the AWS data was produced every minute and this was recorded. However, the AWIS information available by telephone was processed differently to the AWIS information available by VHF, and therefore there could be slight differences in the information produced at the same time.

During the flight, the pilot recorded the following data in the space allocated for arrival weather information in the flight plan/log:

  • calm (nil wind)
  • 10 km (visibility)
  • B1800 (broken cloud at 1,800 ft)
  • B3500 (broken cloud at 3,500 ft)
  • OV 5300 (overcast cloud at 5,300 ft)
  • 1008 (QNH 1,008 hPa)
  • 25 (temperature 25 °C).

This information closely matched the recorded AWS 1-minute data at 0854, which stated (with expected transmitted message in brackets):

  • wind 0 kt at 023° (wind calm)
  • visibility 10 km (visibility one zero)
  • (present weather – rain)
  • cloud 4 oktas[42] at 1,800 ft (cloud broken one thousand eight hundred)
  • cloud 5 oktas at 3,500 ft (broken three thousand five hundred)
  • cloud 7 oktas at 5,300 ft (broken five thousand three hundred)
  • temperature 25.4 °C (temperature two five)
  • dewpoint 25.2 °C (dewpoint two five)
  • QNH 1,008.5 hPa (QNH one zero zero eight hectopascals)
  • rainfall last 10 minutes 0.4 mm (rainfall last ten minutes zero decimal four millimetres). 

The pilot’s recorded weather information was also broadly consistent with the recorded AWIS messages available by phone for the period 0853­–0855. It did not closely match any of the other recorded AWS 1-minute data or the recorded AWIS messages available by phone during 0840–0920. Accordingly, it is very likely that the pilot wrote down the AWIS data accessed by VHF radio at about 0854. It could not be determined whether the pilot additionally accessed the AWIS data prior to this time and/or after this time.

The AWIS broadcasted the most recent 1-minute visibility data measured by the AWS (see Table 3, last column). This data indicated visibility below the landing minima (4,200 m) at the AWS site between 0911 and 0915, and at 0917.

BoM operated a network of weather watch radars around Australia that detected water droplets in the atmosphere. Information from the weather radar was displayed on a map, with different colours depicting the approximate rainfall/precipitation intensity.

The nearest weather radar was at Weipa, approximately 150 km west of Lockhart River. Coverage in the vicinity of Lockhart River was affected by the distance from the radar and terrain, reducing the radar’s ability to detect low-level showers. However, precipitation at higher altitudes would still produce radar echoes.

Figure 11 provides an indication of the weather around Lockhart River at 0918 on the morning of the accident (during the second approach), with Figure 12 displaying an extract of radar images from the time of the first approach and the time of the accident. The weather radar depicted areas of moderate precipitation in the vicinity of Lockhart River. In addition, an analysis of a sequential series of images showed precipitation moving through the area at a speed of about 30 kt (55 km/h) from the north-west.

The minute-by-minute data from the AWS around the time of the accident (see Automatic weather station and Table 3) recorded no significant surface wind. However, there was a short period of rainfall between 0910 and 0916, including moderate to heavy rainfall between 0912 and 0914. If this rainfall persisted and continued moving in a direction/speed consistent with the observed radar returns, it would have been in the vicinity of the accident site about the time of the accident.

Figure 11: Weipa radar image at 0918 EST (about 2 minutes prior to the accident) showing weather in Lockhart River area (circled, approximate radius 25 NM/46 km)

Weipa radar image at 0918 EST (about 2 minutes prior to the accident) showing weather in Lockhart River area (circled, approximate radius 25 NM/46 km)

Source: Bureau of Meteorology, annotated by the ATSB

Figure 12: Extract of Weipa radar images at 0906 (time of the first approach) and 0918 EST showing rain rate on the approach path to runway 30 at Lockhart River Airport

Extract of Weipa radar images at 0906 (time of the first approach) and 0918 EST showing rain rate on the approach path to runway 30 at Lockhart River Airport

Source: Bureau of Meteorology, annotated by the ATSB

Local weather observations

Two pilots were operating aircraft in the Lockhart River area before and after the accident. The first pilot, operating before the accident, tracked to Lockhart River from the south and conducted the RNAV GNSS runway 30 approach, landing at 0810. There were intermittent rain showers in the area and the pilot advised that the end of the runway was visible while descending through 1,000 ft. The pilot remained on the ground at Lockhart River until later in the day and heard an aircraft (VH-OZO) fly over at high engine power. They recalled that, at that time, there was scattered low cloud at 500–1,000 ft with reduced visibility in rain showers.

The following pilot, operating after the accident, tracked to Lockhart River from the south-west and diverted 15 NM to the right of track due to weather. On arrival, the pilot conducted the Lockhart River RNAV GNSS runway 30 approach and landed at 0953. The pilot reported that there was rain in the area and, although the conditions allowed visual navigation after the final approach fix (FAF) while descending through 1,500 ft, the runway was not visible until later in the approach.

A person who was near the airport at the time of the accident described the conditions as an unusual morning with mist coming from the rainforest, and that there was about 5 to 10 minutes of heavy rain at about the time the aircraft would have been in the area. At that time, there was low-lying cloud (north-west of the airport) and no wind.

Fishermen who were in the area at the time reported that, at about the time of the second approach, there was a ‘wall’ of heavy rain that came across from the north-west.

Instrument approach

Overview

An instrument approach is a published procedure that allows for safe navigation of an aircraft operating in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) to descend from the lowest safe altitude to a specified position (missed approach point - MAPt) near the aerodrome. If the conditions are suitable, the approach can be continued to land. If the conditions are not suitable, the pilot must conduct a missed approach in accordance with the procedure.

There are 2 general categories of instrument approach:

  • 2-dimensional (2D) – lateral/tracking guidance only, also known as non-precision approaches or LNAV (lateral navigation)
  • 3-dimensional (3D) – lateral/tracking and vertical guidance, including precision approaches such as an instrument landing system (ILS) approach and a (non-precision) approach with vertical guidance (APV).

Both categories of instrument approaches were only conducted utilising ground-based navigation aids until RNAV GNSS[43] approaches were available in Australia from 1998.

An RNAV GNSS approach is a 2D instrument approach that utilises an on-board GPS receiver (or flight management system - FMS) to generate lateral/tracking guidance and distance information. These approaches are pre-programmed in a GPS/navigation system’s database. Other types of non-precision approaches use ground-based aids such as a non-directional beacon (NDB) or a VHF omni directional radio range (VOR).

The transition in Australia from navigation reliant on ground-based navaids to performance-based navigation is continuing. As part of that process, Airservices Australia has been implementing barometric vertical navigation (Baro-VNAV) APV approaches since 2016. These 3D approaches are restricted to runways with a validated (LNAV/VNAV RNP APCH) procedure and aircraft with the applicable avionics, typically an FMS. Although these approaches were available at Lockhart River from 3 December 2020, VH-OZO was not Baro-VNAV capable.[44]

RNAV GNSS approach design

RNAV GNSS approaches in Australia have a Y-pattern, runway-aligned design. The Lockhart River runway 30 RNAV GNSS approach uses this typical layout, as shown in Figure 13.

Figure 13: Extract from Lockhart River RNAV GNSS runway 30 approach chart showing layout of waypoints

Extract from Lockhart River RNAV GNSS runway 30 approach chart showing layout of waypoints

Source: Airservices Australia, annotated by the ATSB

The approaches have 3 initial approach fixes (IAFs, in this case, LHREA, LHREB and LHREC), followed by an intermediate fix (IF, LHREI), final approach fix (FAF, LHREF) and missed approach point (MAPt, LHREM).

The segment between an IAF and the IF is the initial approach segment, the segment between the IF and the FAF is the intermediate approach segment, and the segment between the FAF and the MAPt is the final approach segment. Each segment is typically 5 NM.

The intermediate approach track is normally aligned with the final approach track. One of the IAF waypoints is also aligned with the intermediate/final approach track (in this case, LHREB) and the other IAFs are located 70° off the intermediate/final approach track (LHREAS and LHREC). A pilot can commence an approach by flying to one of the 3 IAFs within the capture region for that waypoint. The capture region is a 140° arc for the IAF on the intermediate/final approach track and a 180° arc for the IAFs not on the intermediate/final approach track (with the extreme points parallel to the intermediate/final approach track).

Instrument approach waypoints can either be fly-by waypoints (which require turn anticipation to allow tangential interception of the next segment) or flyover waypoints (at which the turn is initiated). For RNAV GNSS approaches, the IAFs, IF and FAF are fly-by waypoints and the MAPt is a flyover waypoint.

The approaches are recommended to be flown using a continuous descent angle.

The recommended profile published on approach charts consists of an initial approach altitude which then joins a constant descent to 50 ft above the runway threshold. The approach path angle of the descent is normally (and ideally) 3°. Depending on the approach, the initial approach altitude joins the constant descent profile at about the FAF or earlier.

For example, the approach chart for the Lockhart River runway 30 approach (Figure 14) had an initial approach altitude of 3,500 ft leading to an approach path angle of 3°, which commenced 0.8 NM after the IF (4.2 NM prior to the FAF and 9.2 NM prior to the MAPt).

Figure 14: Excerpt from Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) runway 30 approach chart showing recommended vertical profile and segment minima safe altitudes

Excerpt from Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) runway 30 approach chart showing recommended vertical profile and segment minima safe altitudes

The full approach chart is provided in Figure 2.

Source: Airservices Australia, annotated by the ATSB   

Each segment of an RNAV GNSS approach has one or more specified segment minimum safe altitudes, depicted by shading on the chart’s profile diagram and the relevant altitude with a solid line underneath. For example, between the IF and the FAF on the runway 30 approach, the segment minimum safe altitude was 1,800 ft. The last segment minimum safe altitude, in the final approach segment, is the minimum descent altitude (MDA).

During an instrument approach, a pilot is able to descend below the recommended descent profile, but they are not allowed to descend below a segment minimum safe altitude, except for the MDA if certain conditions are met (as discussed below).[45] However, as stated in the Civil Aviation Advisory Publication (CAAP) 178-1(2) (Non-precision approaches (NPA) & approaches with vertical guidance (APV)):

While some pilots in the past have flown NPAs as a series of descending steps conforming to the minimum published altitudes, (a technique colloquially referred to as the ‘dive and drive’), CASA recommends a constant angle descent in a stabilised configuration. Many Controlled Flight into Terrain (CFIT) accidents have been attributed to the ‘dive and drive’ technique, due to human errors such as early descent before a step or failing to arrest descent. In addition, the aircraft’s descent is more difficult to manage due to changes in airspeed, rate of descent and configuration.

If the recommended descent profile starts prior to the FAF, the RNAV GNSS approach chart includes an advisory crossing altitude (or procedure height) at the FAF (and if required the IF) to assist pilots with maintaining the recommended descent profile (for example, 2,160 ft at the FAF in Figure 14). In addition, a pilot is provided with a distance/altitude scale on the approach chart that provides guidance for the recommended descent profile (see top of Figure 14). The distance specified is the distance to the next waypoint.

Approach waypoint naming convention

The waypoints documented on an RNAV GNSS approach chart are identified by a unique identifier comprising the airport identifier (in this case LHR), compass quadrant from which the approach is flown (E - east), and position on the approach (A, B, C, I, F, M or H).

During the investigation, some flight examiners stated that pilots occasionally misidentified waypoints (due to their similar names) and believed that they were on a different segment of the approach than they actually were. One flight examiner noted that this was more likely to occur when coming straight in via the IAF ‘B’ rather than when coming via one of the other 2 IAFs. This flight examiner also noted that one operator they worked with had introduced call-out requirement for pilots to annunciate that they were tracking from one waypoint to another in order to minimise this risk.

Conducting an approach

Before conducting the approach, the pilot must ensure they are qualified for RNAV GNSS approaches and satisfy the recent experience requirements. The aircraft must be equipped with an approved GPS receiver with a valid aeronautical database. It is also essential that the availability of receiver autonomous integrity monitoring (RAIM) is checked pre-flight and before entering the approach.[46]

To conduct the approach, the pilot selects the specific approach and IAF in the GPS unit (or FMS) and tracks towards the applicable IAF within the capture region. Prior to passing the IAF, a pilot must set the QNH to either the actual aerodrome QNH (from an approved source such as AWIS) or the aerodrome/area forecast QNH.

As the approach proceeds, the GPS (or FMS) will automatically sequence through the waypoints, displaying the next waypoint and distance to that waypoint. The pilot maintains the track with reference to the associated course deviation indicator (CDI).  

To maintain the recommended descent profile (without electronic vertical guidance), pilots are required to:

  • establish a 3° descent by managing the descent rate proportional to the groundspeed (through engine power and pitch angle)
  • with reference to the altimeter, monitor the aircraft’s altitude - relative to the distance from the next waypoint with reference to the table on the approach chart and/or when passing waypoints with advisory altitudes     
  • adjust the descent rate and/or groundspeed as required to correct the profile
  • level at the MDA and continue tracking to the MAPt unless the conditions are suitable for continuation of the approach.

The height of the MDA above the aerodrome elevation and the required visibility (in km) to complete the approach were included as bracketed figures after the MDA. If the minima label boxes on the approach chart were shaded, the MDA could be reduced by 100 ft when the actual aerodrome QNH was set. For example, for the accident flight, the pilot had noted the actual QNH so the 830 ft MDA could be reduced to 730 ft (Figure 15). At the lower MDA, the aircraft would be 653 ft above the aerodrome elevation and the minimum required visibility was 4.2 km. Practically, if the visibility was at the minima value, the pilot would see the runway threshold before the MAPt and, if the aircraft was on the recommended profile, by the MDA.

Figure 15: Excerpt from Lockhart River RNAV GNSS runway 30 approach chart showing minima table

Excerpt from Lockhart River RNAV GNSS runway 30 approach chart showing minima table

The full approach chart is provided in Figure 2.

Source: Airservices Australia

The Aeronautical Information Publication (AIP) outlined several instructions or methods for pilots regarding the conduct of instrument approaches, in addition to those specified by an operator’s operations manual. CAO 20.91 (Instructions and directions for performance-based navigation, Instrument 2014) also applied to the operation of Australian aircraft using performance-based navigation (which included RNAV approaches during IFR flight), providing instructions/directions to operators and pilots conducting those operations. Relevant CAO and AIP requirements, instructions and methods are outlined in subsequent sections below.

Descent below the minimum descent altitude

After passing the FAF, a pilot is permitted to descend to the MDA (provided the aircraft is within navigational tolerances). Further descent below the MDA must not be made without the required visual reference. There may be different MDAs specified for a straight-in or circling approach. Descent below the straight-in approach MDA could only be conducted (AIP ENR 1.5, 1.8.2)[47] when:

  • visual reference can be maintained;
  • all elements of the meteorological minima are equal to or greater than those published for the aircraft performance category…; and
  • the aircraft is continuously in a position from which a descent to a landing on the intended runway can be made at a normal rate of descent using normal flight manoeuvres that will allow touchdown to occur within the touchdown zone of the runway of intended landing.

The AIP also stated that, if visual reference is not established at or before reaching the MAPt, a missed approach must be executed (ENR 1.5, 1.10.1).

The competencies and standards required for an initial instrument rating and IPCs were specified in the CASR Part 61 Manual of Standards (MOS). For a 2D approach, the required tolerance was within +100 ft at the MDA but not below it.

Lateral tolerances

The AIP stated that instrument approach procedures were based on specific navigation aids, ‘with the applicable navigation tolerances associated with the aids being used in the development of the procedure’s obstacle protection surfaces.’ For an RNAV GNSS approach, CAO 20.91 stated that the lateral tracking tolerances were 1.0 NM (1,852 m) for the initial, intermediate and missed approach segments (terminal area operations) and 0.3 NM (556 m) for the final approach segment.

Navigational equipment could be designed so that full-scale deflection on the CDI represented the required navigation performance (RNP) lateral tracking tolerance during that phase of flight. For an RNAV GNSS approach, this would typically be represented as a lateral 1 NM displacement being represented as a full-scale CDI deflection during the initial segment and most of the intermediate segment, then transitioning from about 2 NM (3,704 m) prior to the FAF to a 0.3 NM displacement being full-scale deflection about 1 NM after reaching the FAF (Figure 16).

The GNS 400W-series manual indicated that the CDI full-scale deflection varied during the final approach segment.[48] When conducting an RNAV GNSS approach using a GNS 400W-series unit, the full-scale deflection was 350 ft (0.06 NM or 107 m) at the MAPt, diverging back to the FAF at an angle of either 2° to the final approach track, or an angle such to achieve 0.3 NM full-scale deflection at the FAF, whichever was less (Figure 16).[49] For 5 NM final approach segments, the angular 2° would always be less than the lateral 0.3 NM CDI full-scale deflection at the FAF.

Figure 16: Conventional transition from RNP 1.0 to RNP 0.3 NM during final approach segment (represented by full-scale CDI deflection) compared to the full-scale CDI deflection provided by the GNS 400W-series GPS

Conventional transition from RNP 1.0 to RNP 0.3 NM during final approach segment (represented by full-scale CDI deflection) compared to the full-scale CDI deflection provided by the GNS 400W-series GPS

Source: ATSB, derived from information contained in ICAO Doc 8168 Procedures for Air Navigation Services-Aircraft Operations, Vol II − Construction of Visual and Instrument Flight Procedures and the Garmin GNS 400W-Series Pilot’s Guide & Reference manual.

For the 5 NM final approach segment for the runway 30 approach at Lockhart River, an angular 2° to the final approach track displaced 350 ft (107 m) at the MAPt equated to 0.23 NM (430 m) at the FAF. The transition from 1.0 NM full-scale deflection during the intermediate segment to the 2° automatic rescaling full-scale deflection for the final approach segment commenced 2 NM prior to reaching the FAF and was completed by the FAF. In other words, during the final approach segment, GNS 400W series units presented CDI full-scale defection that was less than the lateral tracking limit specified in CAO 20.91 for the final approach segment. This difference was relatively minor at the FAF (0.3 NM versus 0.23 NM) but increased significantly as the aircraft got closer to the MAPt.

When using the GNS 400-series units, if the CDI exceeded a full-scale deflection, a green arrow and distance was displayed on the default navigation page’s CDI, indicating the direction (left or right) and distance the aircraft was displaced (in NM) from the required track.

For a straight-in, area navigation-based approach (such as the RNAV GNSS approach to runway 30 at Lockhart River), the AIP (ENR 1.5, 1.21) stated that an aircraft was required to:

…pass the waypoint, and when established on the specified track, descend to not below the specified altitude….

Note: “Established” means being within half full scale deflection for the ILS, VOR and GNSS... [50]

The AIP (ENR 1.5, 1.10.1) also stated that a missed approach had to be conducted if:

…during the final segment of an instrument approach, the aircraft is not maintained within the applicable navigation tolerance for the aid in use…

CAO 20.91, Appendix 6, contained operating standards for conducting an RNAV GNSS approach, which included the requirement to commence a missed approach if the cross-track error/deviation equalled or was reasonably likely to equal the RNP for that segment of the approach (that is, 1.0 NM for the initial and intermediate segments and 0.3 NM during the final approach segment).

In other words, to comply with the AIP, after passing the FAF, the aircraft needed to be established within half full-scale deflection before descending below the previous segment’s MSA. If the aircraft was established within half full-scale deflection, the descent could continue to an altitude not below the segment minimum safe altitude, which in this case was the MDA.[51] In addition, to comply with CAO 20.91, a pilot was required to conduct a missed approach if the aircraft was laterally displaced 0.3 NM or more from the final approach track.

CASA advised the ATSB that there was, in the aviation community, a commonly held misconception that half full-scale deflection was the required tracking tolerance limit. This was potentially related to a number of factors, such as:

  • CAO 20.91 included a note that stated ‘So far as practicable, the cross-track error/deviation for normal operations should be limited to 0.5 NM (½ x RNP) for the initial segment, the intermediate segment and a missed approach, and to 0.15 NM (½ x RNP) for the final approach segment. Brief deviations are acceptable during and immediately after turns where accurate cross-track information is not provided during the turn.’ This reference to half the RNP was providing a target level of safety rather than a minimum acceptable level of safety.
  • The CASR Part 61 MOS required tolerance when assessing a pilot’s competency for a 2D approach was within half full-scale deflection.
  • CAAP 179A-1(1) (Navigation using the Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS)), issued in 2006, stated (erroneously) that for an RNAV GNSS approach that ‘The tracking tolerance is half of full-scale deflection regardless of the CDI scale’.[52]

CASA advised that operators could choose to specify a more restrictive lateral tracking requirement than that stated in CAO 20.91. If an operator specified a more restrictive limit (such as half RNP or half full-scale deflection), and included that in its operations manual, then that limit would be the applicable limit for that operator.

As discussed in Operator’s stabilised approach criteria, the operator of VH-OZO specified in its operations manual that a missed approach was required if an aircraft on an RNAV approach was not within ‘half scale deflection’ at the FAF. The ATSB is aware through its investigations that a number of other operators also specified a similar requirement for initiation of a missed approach.

Handling speeds

The AIP (ENR 1.5, 1.16) stipulated handling airspeeds for aircraft during instrument approaches based on the aircraft’s performance category. Aircraft performance categories were based on an indicated airspeed at the runway threshold (VAT).[53]

The Cessna 404 VAT was 91 kt. Therefore, the performance category for the Cessna 404 was category B, which applied to aircraft with a VAT  of 91­–120 kt.

The relevant handling speeds for instrument approaches for category B aircraft were:

  • 120 to 180 kt for the initial and intermediate approach segments
  • 85 to 130 kt for the final approach segments
  • maximum 150 kt for the missed approach.

A note in the AIP stated that a pilot was permitted to reduce the speed below the minimum in the initial/intermediate segments ‘to enable the final approach speed to be achieved prior to the commencement of the final segment’. In other words, for a category B aircraft, a pilot could operate below 120 kt prior to reaching the FAF but they could not operate above 180 kt.

The AIP handling speeds are broad speed bands used for purposes such as ensuring aircraft remain within the design tolerances for instrument approach procedures. Operators should provide more specific guidance regarding the appropriate speeds to use during instrument approaches for their aircraft types (see Flight profiles).

The AIP also stated that the descent rate after the FAF ‘should not normally exceed’ 1,000 ft/min.

Instrument flying and workload

Single pilot IFR operations are widely regarded to be among the most difficult and/or involve the highest workload. As stated by the US Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association (AOPA) in 2006:

No type of flying requires greater skill or longer periods of concentration than [single-pilot IFR] SPIFR…

Very simply, the problem is pilot workload, aggravated by the need for multi-tasking. A single IFR pilot also serves as navigator, radio operator, systems manager, onboard meteorologist, record keeper, and sometimes, flight attendant. En route flight in benign weather is usually not too stressful, but add high-density traffic in poor weather conditions or a significant equipment malfunction, and overload may not be far away.

In instrument flight, the pilot maintains an awareness of the aircraft’s spatial position by reference to instruments rather than outside visual references. The fundamental skills of instrument flight are instrument scanning and instrument interpretation. Instrument scanning is ‘the continuous and logical observation of instruments for attitude and performance information’ (FAA 2012).

In any phase of flight or manoeuvre, there are primary instruments that give the most pertinent information and supporting instruments that assist in their continued correct interpretation. For example, even when the aircraft is established in a constant-rate descent, and trimmed to remove control pressure on the yoke, it is necessary for the pilot to continuously check relevant instruments and make appropriate control adjustments to maintain aircraft performance and control. 

With proficiency, a pilot scans at an appropriate rate and is able to interpret the instruments to maintain an accurate mental picture of what is happening. An ineffective scan, such as fixation on one instrument or the omission of another, or misinterpretation of the displayed information, can result in a pilot having an incorrect mental model of the aircraft’s position or flight path.

More generally, workload is described by Wickens and others (2013) as follows:

Mental workload characterizes the demands of tasks imposed on the limited information processing capacity of the brain in much the same way that physical workload characterises the energy demands upon the muscles. In any resource-limited system, the most relevant measure of demand is specified relative to the supply of available resources...

People experience workload differently, based on their individual capabilities and the local conditions at the time such as training and experience in the situation at hand and the operational demands during that phase of flight (Orlady and Orlady 1999). When workload gets too high for the available resources task shedding occurs (Wickens and others 2013).

Dismukes and others (2007) discussed task shedding in this context, explaining that a pilot may move from a proactive assessment of the situation, commonly referred to in aviation as ‘being ahead of the aircraft’, to a reactive situation, where the pilot is responding to events as they occur without an overall strategy to manage the situation (that is, being behind the aircraft). Wickens and others (2013) further explained that task shedding can result in some tasks being shed altogether, and others being shed in a non-optimal manner. In addition, tasks such as internal and external communication are often shed during periods of high workload.

Holmes and others (2003) stated that distractions and high workload can result in a pilot scanning fewer instruments and checking them less frequently. High workload can also lead to a reduction in the number of information sources that an individual will search, as well as the frequency or amount of time these sources are checked (Staal 2004). Additionally, vigilance tasks, such as monitoring flight instruments, require sustained attention with the associated eye movements being fatiguing (Wickens and others 2013).

The United Kingdom Civil Aviation publication, Monitoring Matters, provided information regarding monitoring and stated:

… whilst you are ahead of the game, concentrating on the next event, keeping an eye on all the flight parameters, system modes etc, everything runs fairly smoothly. But as soon as something draws your attention away and you become out of the loop it becomes difficult to play catch up. 

Although it is possible to attend to more than one task using selective attention techniques, there is a limit to cognitive capacity. If tasks consume this capacity, that is when task shedding will occur. This publication further advised that under high workload, especially during approach and descent, attention capacity diminishes. This includes the ability to detect when the configuration of the aircraft is not correct, even when there is an aural or visual alert, particularly in the case of single-pilot operations as:          

…the processes and procedures will be equivalent to multi crew operation except there will only be one person in the cockpit and the systems may be less automated. Hence the need to monitor the flight profile, flight instruments, fuel state, engines, radios, etc. diligently. The instrument scan must be carried out very frequently, especially during departure and approach in order to monitor the aircraft state and planned profile.

In addition to being a complex skill to acquire, instrument flying skills needs to be maintained by frequent practice (Newman 2007). As stated by CASA in 2016 (Changes to instrument proficiency checks):

Conducting IFR operations is a relatively high risk activity and so requires dedicated knowledge and practical flight training… Skill-based qualifications, like the instrument rating, require the qualification holder to maintain their skills and operational knowledge. Skills and knowledge degrade over time. In the interests of safety, rules are put in place to ensure pilots are sufficiently competent conducting IFR operations.

Accordingly, there are requirements in place for pilots conducting IFR operations to regularly undertake proficiency checks (Proficiency checks and flight reviews) and have recent experience (Monitoring of pilot recency). In general, skill decay or skill degradation increases as the retention interval (or time since learning) increases, and it also increases depending on the quantity and quality of the initial and recurrent training and the amount of task exposure (Arthur and others 1998, Sanli and others 2018, Vlasblom and others 2020). Skill decay has various effects, such as preventing the development of further expertise and decreasing spare mental capacity. As noted by the European Aviation Safety Agency (2021):

Proficiency decay in only a few skills may lead to time management issues, reduced situation awareness, and the ability to keep ahead of the situation. In non-normal situations or emergencies, appropriate actions may not be taken due to one’s inability to analyse the situation as a result of the cognitive overload.

RNAV GNSS approach workload

There has been limited research that has compared different types of instrument approaches, and specifically looked at RNAV GNSS approaches. Research was conducted by the ATSB following a CFIT accident on an RNAV GNSS approach at Lockhart River in 2005 (Godley, 2006). The study found that, for pilots of smaller single-engine and twin-engine aircraft, pilot workload was perceived as being higher, and reported losses of situational awareness were more common, for RNAV GNSS approaches compared to other approach types except for NDB non-precision approaches.

In contrast, pilots of larger aircraft found that RNAV GNSS approaches were not as problematic, with the workload only being higher than ILS (precision) approaches. The different aircraft category responses were likely to have been due to high capacity aircraft having advanced automation capabilities and operating mostly in controlled airspace. Such aircraft were also more likely to have an FMS rather than a GPS unit.

The concern most respondents had regarding the design of RNAV GNSS approaches was that they did not use references for distance to the missed approach point on the approach chart and cockpit displays (in contrast to previous types of approaches). Other problems raised were short and irregular segment distances and multiple minimum segment altitude steps, that the RNAV GNSS approach chart was the most difficult chart to interpret, and that five letter long waypoint names differing only by the last letter can easily be misread. The most common incident reported with RNAV GNSS approaches was commencing the descent too early due to a misinterpretation of position.

It should be noted that at the time of this research, many GPS units displays only provided numerical data rather than a map view of the aircraft’s lateral position (such as with the GNS 430W). In addition, RNAV GNSS approaches have become more common and pilots have become more familiar with them, and the design of RNAV GNSS approach charts has improved.

Recorded flight data

General information

The aircraft was not fitted with a flight data recorder or cockpit voice recorder, nor was it required for the type of aircraft and operation.

The ATSB obtained data broadcast by the automatic dependent surveillance broadcast (ADS-B)[54] equipment fitted to the aircraft and GPS data from the pilot’s iPad with the OzRunways[55] application installed. The data included:

  • timestamp
  • latitude and longitude
  • pressure altitude (from the ADS-B data) – rounded to the nearest 100 ft (for example, 498 ft would be rounded to 500 ft)
  • GPS altitude (from OzRunways) – truncated to 100 ft (for example, 498 ft would be presented as 400 ft)
  • groundspeed.

The lateral location (latitude and longitude) from OzRunways and ADS-B-based data were in close agreement. This indicated that the data from OzRunways was sufficiently reliable to show the aircraft’s lateral flight path.

The pressure altitude data from the ADS-B data was fairly consistently 100 ft higher than the OzRunways GPS height, which was partially due to the ADS-B data being rounded to the nearest 100 ft and the OzRunways data being truncated to the nearest 100 ft. In addition, the local QNH was 1,008.5 to 1,008.9 hPa during the period from 0900 to 0921, lower than the standard 1,013.25 hPa datum for pressure altitude. This would result in an altimeter set to the local QNH reading about 130–140 ft lower than the pressure altitude.[56] Thus, within the applicable errors, the altitudes from the 2 sources were consistent.

The OzRunways data points were provided at 5-second intervals, with some data points missing, and they covered the whole flight (including all of the 2 approaches), whereas the ADS-B data points were only available for parts of the approaches and/or were provided at less frequent intervals. As such, the OzRunways data is used in this report.

Figure 17 depicts the recorded data for the first and second approaches from the initial approach fix (IAF), through the intermediate fix (IF) and final approach fix (FAF) and to the missed approach point (MAPt). The top panel displays the aircraft’s altitude, the middle panel displays the lateral position, and the bottom panel displays the groundspeed. All distances on the horizontal axes are relative to the next waypoint, as would be displayed to the pilot on the GPS unit during the approach.

Figure 17: Recorded data for first and second approaches to Lockhart River

Recorded data for first and second approaches to Lockhart River

The upper panel shows altitude, the middle panel shows lateral deviation from the instrument approach path and the lower panel shows groundspeed. The purple bands on the groundspeed panel refer to the handling speeds (for indicated airspeed) specified in the Aeronautical Information Publication for a category B aircraft, such as the Cessna 404 (see Handling speeds).

Source: OzRunways data overlaid with Airservices approach information, annotated by the ATSB

Altitude during approaches

The top panel of Figure 17 shows the 3° approach path guidance (recommended descent profile) to the MAPt, which commenced from the initial approach altitude of 3,500 ft about 9.2 NM from the MAPt. As previously noted, the minimum descent altitude (MDA) was 730 ft unless the pilot had the required visibility. Key aspects regarding the recorded altitude data included:

  • The first approach (in blue) was flown at or slightly above a 3° approach to the MAPt from significantly prior to the IAF until reaching 700 ft just prior to the MAPt. The average descent rate during the first approach from the IAF to the MAPt was about 720 ft/min.
  • Although not indicated on the figure, the aircraft kept descending and reached a recorded altitude of 400 ft[57] at about 0.5 NM past the MAPt or 0.9 NM (1,700 m) before the runway threshold. It remained at that recorded altitude over 3 data points, or until it was 0.5 NM (900 m) from the runway threshold. The next 2 data points were not recorded, with the subsequent recorded data point indicating an altitude of 600 ft as the aircraft passed the runway threshold.
  • ADS-B data was available for the latter part of the first approach, and this data indicated that the aircraft had still been descending when it reached the second of the 400-ft data points (0.7 NM or 1,300 m from the runway threshold), and had started climbing just before the third of the 400-ft data points (1,000 m from the threshold). The ADS-B data also provided recorded values of geometric altitude rate of change. This data indicated that just before and just after the MAPt the descent rate was about 900 ft/min, and at about the second 400-ft data point the descent rate was about 960 ft/min.
  • The second approach (in red) was flown at about 3,500 ft prior to and after passing the IAF, with the aircraft starting to descend at about 0914:48 when about 2.7 NM from the IF. From about 1.6 NM prior the IF (at 0915:18 and an altitude of 3,300 ft), this descent was flown at about a 3° flight path, although about 1,000 ft below the recommended descent profile.
  • The radio call commencing at 0915:50, when the pilot stated the position (10 NM) and altitude of the aircraft (3,800 ft then corrected to 2,800 ft), started about 0.4 NM prior to the IF. At 0915:58, about 0.2 NM prior to the IF, the aircraft was at a recorded height of 2,800 ft.
  • For the second approach, the descent rate was about 700 ft/min during the descent from 3,300 ft to about 700 ft (at 0919:08 and 3.3 NM before the MAPt). From 700 ft until 100 ft, the descent rate was about 1,200 ft/min. Given this last part of the descent was over a 30-second period, it probably indicates an actual change rather than the effect of truncated data.
  • During both approaches, there were several instances during descent where 2 data points in succession were at the same recorded altitude. There were also 2 occasions during the second approach where 3 data points in succession were at the same recorded altitude (at 700 ft and at 2,200 ft). Although this could indicate that the descent rate decreased to some extent at those altitudes, such patterns could also occur (at least in part) due to the data being truncated to the nearest 100 ft and the small amount of error associated with each GPS data point. A descent rate of about 700 ft/min would equate to about 60-ft difference every 5 seconds, whereas a descent rate of 600 ft/min would equate to about a 50-ft difference every 5 seconds.
Lateral position during approaches

Figure 17 depicts the lateral paths flown on the 2 approaches relative to the lateral track prescribed for the approach (shown as a dash-dot line). Dotted lines depict the full-scale CDI deflection on the Garmin GNS 430W and show the scale transitioning from 1 NM full-scale deflection during the intermediate approach segment to 0.23 NM full-scale deflection at the FAF, narrowing to 0.06 NM full-scale deflection at the MAPt. The aircraft’s position is based on GPS data; the actual CDI values displayed to the pilot were not recorded.

Key aspects regarding the lateral position data include:

  • The flight paths for both approaches were consistent with the pilot hand-flying the aircraft, rather than the autopilot maintaining a programmed track.
  • The first approach passed the IAF LHREB in the middle of the capture region for that waypoint. The whole approach was contained within half full-scale deflection of the CDI.
  • For the second approach, the aircraft was just within the 180° capture region for the IAF LHREB when the pilot commenced the turn towards the IF LHREI (Figure 5). Prior to turning towards the initial approach track, the aircraft was on a track that was about 100° to the initial approach track.
  • On the second approach, the turn onto the track between the IAF and the IF resulted in the aircraft initially being displaced full-scale CDI deflection to the right, which was corrected soon after. The aircraft was also turned slightly late at the IF and overshot the waypoint, before being corrected back to the intermediate approach track.
  • About 3 NM before the FAF, the aircraft started deviating right of the intermediate approach track. About 2 NM before the FAF, the sensitivity of the CDI began increasing (as indicated by the dotted lines, see also Figure 17).
  • When passing the FAF on the second approach, the aircraft was at about full-scale CDI deflection (0.23 NM to the right), and it continued deviating further right of the final approach track for 25 seconds before starting to return closer to the final approach track. The aircraft remained outside full-scale deflection in the final approach segment for about 55 seconds and outside half-full scale deflection for an additional 5 seconds. From about 17 to 32 seconds after passing the FAF, the aircraft’s deviation equalled or slightly exceeded 0.3 NM to the right of the final approach track (the lateral tracking tolerance specified in CAO 20.91 for the final approach track).
  • The aircraft started to deviate left of the final approach track at about 2.5 NM prior to the MAPt and it continued left until the end of the recorded data. 
Groundspeed during approaches

Deriving an estimate of indicated airspeed from groundspeed involves considering several factors. In this case:

  • The recorded wind at ground level indicated nil wind during the first approach and 3–4 kt from about 280° during the second approach. However, a review of wind and temperature forecast and analysis charts from multiple sources indicated that there would have been more wind at higher altitudes. Acknowledging that this was forecast and analysis data rather than recorded data, the ATSB estimated that there would have probably been about 10 kt headwind on the intermediate/final approach track at 2,300 ft and 5 kt at 1,000 ft. In addition, when the aircraft was heading towards the IAF on the second approach at 3,500 ft, and when the aircraft was heading from the IAF to the IF, there would have been a tailwind.
  • Air pressure and temperature differences from a standard atmosphere meant that calibrated airspeed would have been lower than the true airspeed, with this difference increasing as the altitude increased. The difference was about 10 kt at 3,500 ft and 5 kt at 1,100 ft.
  • The Cessna 404 Pilot’s Operating Handbook (POH) stated that the indicated airspeed at 140 kt was 1 kt higher than the calibrated airspeed with gear and flap up, 3 kt higher with gear down and flap selected to the take-off/approach position, and 5 kt higher with gear down and flap selected to the landing position. During the descent part of an approach, the operator’s flight profile stated the landing gear should be down and the flaps in the approach position (Flight profiles).[58]

Overall, the ATSB estimated that the indicated airspeed would have probably been close to (within 0 to +5 kt) of the recorded groundspeed during the 2 approaches while the aircraft was on or close to the intermediate/final approach track. For simplicity in this report, the groundspeed was considered to be equivalent to the indicated airspeed during these periods.

Key aspects of the recorded groundspeed (and estimated indicated airspeed) data for the 2 approaches include:

  • The groundspeed (and estimated indicated airspeed) for the first approach was about 130–­140 kt for the whole approach between the IAF and the IF, and 130 kt at the FAF. It then increased to 140 kt before the aircraft reached 1,000 ft and then remained at about that speed as the aircraft passed through the MDA, passed the MAPt and passed the runway threshold.
  • For the second approach, the groundspeed when the aircraft was heading toward the IAF was about 185 kt, but the indicated airspeed was about 160 kt. After making the turn towards the IF, the groundspeed was about 160 kt and the indicated airspeed was about 145 kt.
  • Before commencing descent from 3,500 ft, at 0914:43, the groundspeed was about 150 kt and the indicated airspeed was about 135 kt. Soon after, there was a decrease in speed, which was probably associated with the pilot selecting approach flap and lowering the landing gear. The subsequent increase was probably associated with the aircraft’s descent.
  • Between the IF and the FAF, the groundspeed (and estimated indicated airspeed) was about 135 kt. It increased to 140 kt soon after passing the FAF and, when the aircraft was 3 NM from the MAPt, the groundspeed increased to about 150 kt (associated with the aircraft’s increased descent rate).

Wreckage and impact information

The accident site was located on a sand bank adjacent to the beach, about 6.4 km (3.5 NM) south-east of the runway 30 threshold at Lockhart River Airport and 500 m to the south-west of the specified final approach track. This location was about 2.1 NM (3.9 km) from the missed approach point (MAPt).

The accident site was in line with the aircraft’s recorded track over the previous 3 data points. It was about 200 m beyond the last recorded data point (which had a recorded height of 100 ft), and its location indicated that the impact occurred less than 3 seconds after the last recorded data point.

The wreckage trail was spread over a distance of about 20 m from the initial impact point and the trail indicated that the aircraft was on a heading of about 280° (magnetic), with the impact point about 30 ft above mean sea level (Figure 18).

Figure 18: Overview of accident site

Overview of accident site

Source: ATSB

The ATSB’s on-site examination of the wreckage, damage to surrounding vegetation and ground markings indicated that at initial impact the aircraft was:

  • upright and close to wings level
  • at a flight path angle of about 5° nose down
  • at relatively high speed.

An area of foliage around the aircraft displayed signs of chemical burn from avgas, indicating that the aircraft had a significant amount of fuel on board. There was no evidence of any structural or mechanical defects, but the examination was limited by the extensive damage.

The damage to the recovered propellor blades indicated significant rotational energy at impact consistent with both engines operating normally with substantial power.

The landing gear was extended at the time of impact. Other aircraft configuration information such as flap position, trim settings and switch selections could not be validated due to the impact damage.

The only components on the aircraft that may have recorded data were a digital fuel flow indicator/totaliser and a transponder, and the ATSB recovered these components. After consideration of the damage to these components and the potential value of any data, no further examination was undertaken.

Survivability aspects

Given the aircraft’s speed at impact (about 150 kt or 278 km/h) and the resultant impact forces (as evidenced by the nature of the wreckage), the accident was not considered survivable.

The aircraft was not fitted with a fixed emergency locator transmitter (ELT), nor was it required to be under the current regulations. A personal locator beacon (PLB) was in the pilot’s flight bag. Post-accident onsite examination noted it was within its expiry date and it passed a function test. PLBs do not have an inertial g-switch to automatically switch them on when an accident occurs, so the PLB did not activate during the accident sequence.

At 0934 and 0938, air traffic control (ATC) attempted to contact the pilot of VH-OZO after they had not cancelled or amended the SARTIME[59] of 0930. ATC also requested that the pilot of an inbound aircraft attempt to contact VH-OZO on the CTAF.

At 0939, an INCERFA was declared (which is a situation where uncertainty exists regarding the safety of an aircraft and its occupants) and soon after ATC transferred management of the situation to the Joint Rescue Coordination Centre (JRCC). At 1020, the JRCC advised ATC that it had declared a DETRESFA or distress phase (which is a situation where there is reasonable certainty that an aircraft and its occupants require immediate assistance). At 1251, the JRCC advised the ATSB that the wreckage at been located.

Organisational information

Air Connect Australia

Air Connect Australia was issued with an Air Operator’s Certificate (AOC) by the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) in March 2017 with an expiry date of 31 March 2020. It authorised the certificate holder to operate Cessna C310/340, C404, C402/421 and Raytheon Baron/Travelair twin piston-engine aeroplane types as well as single piston-engine aeroplane types with a MTOW not exceeding 5,700 kg on charter and aerial work operations.

At the time of the accident, CASA was assessing the operator’s application to renew the AOC, which was subsequently issued on 1 May 2020 with an expiry date of 30 September 2023.

From April 2017, the operator dry-leased VH-OZO from the aircraft owner, who was based in Western Australia. In this arrangement, the aircraft owner was responsible for the continuing airworthiness of the aircraft and the operator managed the operational aspects, such as fuel and flight crew.

Initially the operator’s personnel consisted of a chief pilot and the managing director, who was also the head of aircraft airworthiness and maintenance control. The chief pilot and managing director were the operator’s only line pilots. The chief pilot left in 2018, and the manager director became the chief pilot following an assessment by CASA.

In the 18 months prior to the accident, VH-OZO was the only aircraft operated and the operator employed one pilot (the pilot of the accident flight) additional to the chief pilot. As previously stated, the pilot of the accident flight conducted most of the operator’s flights.

Operator proficiency checks

To conduct IFR flights in a multi-engine aircraft, a pilot was required to complete an instrument proficiency check (IPC) every 12 months. The checks had to be conducted by a CASA-approved flight examiner. There were no additional requirements for proficiency checks for pilots conducting passenger charter operations under the IFR unless the operator had a check and training organisation as specified in Civil Aviation Regulation 217 (Training and checking organisation), which did not apply to operators such as Air Connect Australia.

CASR Part 135 (Australian air transport operations—smaller aeroplanes) was registered in December 2018 and commenced on 2 December 2021. It included a requirement for operators to conduct proficiency checks on pilots, with the requirements for such checks to be specified in the Manual of Standards (MOS). The draft Manual of Standards (MOS) for Part 135, publicly consulted in September 2018, included specific requirements for recurrent proficiency checks. For operators conducting IFR flights or flights at night, an operator proficiency check (OPCs) was required about 6 months after commencing unsupervised line operations for the operator and subsequently at intervals of 6 months. The MOS for Part 135 that came into effect in December 2021 had effectively the same requirements (with an OPC now called a ‘flight crew member proficiency check’).

Version 2 of the operator’s operations manual (February 2018) required an OPC to be conducted ‘every year’, with another section stating these needed to be completed ‘within the previous 12 months’. Version 3 of the manual (February 2020) required an OPC be conducted at the chief pilot’s discretion at periods not exceeding 24 months.[60] The manual stated that the OPC could be conducted by the chief pilot or a designated flight examiner.

The chief pilot noted that the flight examiner who regularly conducted IPCs for the operator (and was designated to conduct OPCs) would effectively conduct an OPC when they did an IPC. The change to every 24 months was done to provide more flexibility for scheduling checks.

In terms of the nature or content of the OPC, the operations manual stated that an OPC was required to be conducted

…on a flight encompassing all operations in which the pilot would normally be engaged. These flights will cover flight planning, refuelling, aircraft weight and balance, passenger briefing, forced landings and all emergency operations.

The manual also included an OPC form, which listed 23 items to be evaluated.

As previously discussed (Qualifications and experience), after the pilot of VH-OZO was cleared for line operations on 29 October 2018 (which included an OPC), the operator did not conduct any OPCs on the pilot. In addition, the chief pilot did not conduct any flights with the pilot after October 2018.

The pilot’s IPC in August 2019 was conducted with a flight examiner who was not familiar with the operator’s operations manual and therefore did not cover all aspects of an OPC, and the additional supervised training in December 2019 for night recency was done by an external provider and did not evaluate line operations.

Monitoring of pilot recency

CASR Part 61 outlined several different recency requirements. With relevance to the accident flight, these included a pilot not being able to:

  • conduct a flight with passengers by day in a particular category of aircraft unless had conducted 3 take-offs and landings within the previous 90 days in that category of aircraft (CASR 61.395 (1))
  • conduct a flight under the IFR unless had conducted at least 3 instrument approaches within the previous 90 days (CASR 61.870 (2))
  • conduct a flight under the IFR in a particular category of aircraft unless had conducted at least 1 instrument approach in the previous 90 days in that category of aircraft (CASR 61.870 (3))
  • conduct a 2D instrument approach unless had conducted at least one such approach in the previous 90 days (CASR 61.870 (4))
  • conduct a flight under the IFR in a single-pilot operation unless had conducted at least one single-pilot flight under the IFR in the previous 6 months that had a duration of at least 1 hour and involved one instrument approach (CASR 61.875).

The CASA website stated:

We use recent experience requirements to maintain a pilots knowledge and skills when conducting instrument approach operations.

When conducting an approach to satisfy a recent experience, pilots should recognise the purpose of the approach is to maintain their competency to conduct such operations.

Simulating IMC, when safe to do so, will enhance the purpose of the approach. Conducting the approach provides some effective practice…

As previously noted, the pilot had been regularly logging the conduct of RNAV GNSS approaches (Qualifications and experience) as well as other types of instrument approaches. The pilot met all required recency requirements listed above.

The operator used the Aerotrack aviation management tool. The tool could be used to manage flight scheduling, fleet operations, and crew recency and rostering to meet regulatory requirements. It also created an online pilot logbook, as it tracked all flights conducted for the operator, and totalled recency requirements such as IFR flight time and instrument approaches.

The Aerotrack system correctly tracked all of the recency requirements except for CASR 61.875. The system tracked the total number of single-pilot IFR flight hours over a rolling 6-month period, calculated as a sum of all hours logged including partial hours (such as 0.5 hours).[61] However, it was not programmed to track if a single-pilot flight under the IFR (of at least 1 hour duration) was conducted.  

Regulatory oversight

In June 2017, CASA conducted a level-1 surveillance event on Air Connect Australia. CASA concluded that the operator was:

an overall compliant organisation with sufficiently equipped facilities and suitable qualified personnel conducting operations in accordance with its legislative authorisations and responsibilities.

The audit identified 5 non-compliance notices, including 3 relating to operations manual content regarding transponders, daily inspections and oil consumption records, and 2 relating to incomplete staff induction records for one pilot and the emergency proficiency checks for one pilot carried out by a person who was not the chief pilot. Other findings included 2 observations relating to job descriptions and one aircraft survey report finding. These findings were addressed by the operator.

In June 2018, CASA conducted a level-2 airworthiness and maintenance system surveillance activity relating to VH-OZO, prior to a flying operations inspector flying on the aircraft for the purpose of a chief pilot assessment. The surveillance report found there were no anomalies identified in either the technical documentation assessment or the physical inspection of the aircraft and the chief pilot assessment was then conducted.

In February 2020, CASA conducted a desk-top surveillance activity to determine if the AOC could be subsequently re-issued. The surveillance considered the organisation’s surveillance and compliance history, the management structure and operational oversight effectiveness. The review did not indicate any matter that would preclude a subsequent issue of the organisation’s AOC.

In May 2020, CASA conducted a post-accident regulatory and safety review. This review concluded that VH-OZO was correctly registered, certified for flight, maintained by qualified people, flown by a qualified person to a qualified aerodrome using a correctly validated approach. The review stated that past and current surveillance events had not detailed safety concerns with the operation of VH-OZO.

Operational information

Pre-flight planning and in-flight monitoring

Civil Aviation Regulation 239 (Planning of flight by pilot in command) stated:

Before beginning a flight, the pilot in command shall study all available information appropriate to the intended operation, and, in the cases of flights away from the vicinity of an aerodrome and all I.F.R. flights, shall make a careful study of:

a. current weather reports and forecasts for the route to be followed and at aerodromes to be used;

b. the airways facilities available on the route to be followed and the condition of those facilities;

c. the condition of aerodromes to be used and their suitability for the aircraft to be used; and

d. the air traffic control rules and procedure appertaining to the particular flight;

and the pilot shall plan the flight in relation to the information obtained.

AIP ENR 1.10 (Flight Planning) also stated these requirements. In addition, it stated a pilot was required to review NOTAMs[62] applicable to the flight.

At 1326 on the day before the accident flight, the pilot accessed a location briefing for Lockhart River from the National Aeronautical Information Processing System (NAIPS) via an electronic flight bag (EFB) application. This type of briefing typically displayed current forecasts, reports, and ‘notice to airmen’ (NOTAM) applicable to the nominated location.

Later that day, at 1830, the pilot requested grid point wind and temperature charts (GPWT) and a specific pre-flight information bulletin (SPFIB) from NAIPS via flight planning software. The SPFIB request was for Cairns to Lockhart River and return with the estimated time of departure nominated as 1930 the same day. This bulletin was valid until 1830 on the day of the accident.

A printout of the SPFIB found at the accident site showed aerodrome forecast (TAF) and weather reports (METAR) for Cairns. The weather for the next day (day of accident flight) at Cairns Airport was expected to be a visibility of 10 km or greater and showers of light rain with scattered cloud at 1,800 ft in the morning lifting to 2,500 ft. In addition, the forecast imposed a TEMPO for the next day to specify periods of visibility reduced to 2,000 m with showers of moderate rain and broken cloud at 1,000 ft.

On the printout of the SPFIB, a METAR for Lockhart River for 1800 (10 March 2020) showed light winds, visibility 10 km or greater and nil cloud detected. Since 0900 that morning, recorded rainfall was 1.8 mm.

No TAF was provided on the SPFIB for Lockhart River as the time of the request was outside the issue and validity period. There were no predicted outages of global positioning system/global navigation satellite system (GPS/GNSS) capability for Cairns or Lockhart River. NOTAM information included a change to Lockhart River runway distance and gradient data and no other notices with significance for the planned flight.

After the SPFIB was received, at 1942, the pilot submitted a flight notification for the planned departure from Cairns at 0730 the next morning to Lockhart River followed by a departure at 1430 for the return sector. Both sectors were planned under IFR with nominated capability for instrument approaches using GPS/GNSS equipment.

After the pilot requested the SPFIB and submitted the flight notification on the evening before the accident flight, there was no record of further requests for meteorological information from NAIPS. Such information was also available from the Bureau of Meteorology website and other sources without any user registration requirements. The ATSB was advised that the pilot was aware of the current weather forecasts for Lockhart River and Cairns on the morning before the flight.  

A damaged and partly illegible copy of the pilot’s flight plan/log was found at the accident site. This was a printout from flight planning software showing key navigational data and pilot notes on progress of the flight. There was no indication of any operational abnormalities.

Fuel calculations

On the morning of the flight, the pilot refuelled the aircraft with 650 L of avgas. A tabulated fuel plan showed 1,040 L on board at engine start at Cairns and expected fuel consumption of 285 L for the planned 94-minute flight to Lockhart River. The pilot had included provision for 45 minutes fixed reserve (124 L), 40 L variable reserve and 60 minutes holding (110 L) if required (consistent with the forecast TEMPO conditions in the TAF, see Aerodrome forecasts). If the variable reserve and holding allowance was consumed on the outbound sector (in addition to the calculated flight fuel), the remaining 605 L was sufficient to return to Cairns with allowance for 60-minutes holding on arrival.

In summary, the aircraft had sufficient fuel to conduct the flight from Cairns to Lockhart River and return, with additional fuel for holding on both sectors if required. The pilot was probably not intending to refuel at Lockhart River, although avgas was available if required.

Weight and balance

The pilot completed the operator’s passenger/cargo manifest form and calculated the aircraft’s weight and balance with reference to individual passenger weights and baggage. The take-off weight was recorded as 3,678 kg and nominal landing weight as 3,366 kg (7,421 lb). The aircraft’s maximum take-off weight was 3,810 kg and maximum landing weight was 3,674 kg. The graphical trimsheet showed the centre of gravity was within limits throughout the flight.

A copy of the operator’s in-flight monitoring form was found at the accident site. When the pilot completed the form in cruise at 10,000 ft, all of the recorded engine parameters for each engine were comparatively similar with no indication of any aircraft-related problems.

Communications during approaches

The AIP (ENR 1.1, 10.1) recommended radio calls at an uncontrolled aerodrome. These included:

  • the pilot being inbound to an aerodrome (10 NM or earlier, commensurate with aeroplane performance and pilot workload, with an estimated time of arrival)
  • during an instrument approach:
    • departing the FAF or established on the final approach segment (including details of position and intentions)
    • terminating the approach or commencing the missed approach (including details of position and intentions).

The Air Connect Australia operations manual stated the following for communications at non-towered aerodromes:

When operating within the vicinity of a non-controlled aerodrome, a known training area or authorised low flying area, Company pilots are to broadcast their intentions, listening out and communicate with any possible conflicting aircraft in accordance with the requirements of the AIP. 

Additionally, for straight-in approaches at non-towered aerodromes, the manual stated:

  • Monitor / broadcast on CTAF shall be made by 10 NM and include aircraft type, position, callsign and include the intention to make a straight-in approach.
  • Monitor / broadcast at 3 NM that the aircraft is established on the final approach.

During both of the approaches at Lockhart River, the pilot of VH-OZO made broadcasts when at 10 NM (that is, at about the IF). During the first approach, the pilot also made a broadcast at 5 NM (at the FAF) and during the missed approach. There was no call recorded when the aircraft was at 5 NM on the second approach.

Electronic flight bag and approach charts

During the flight, the pilot was using an iPad with an electronic flight bag (EFB) application (OzRunways) and was carrying a second iPad as a backup. The operator’s operations manual (section 2A1.3.2.2) stipulated that all EFB devices permitted for use were class 1 (portable electronic device) and functionality level 1, which meant that it could be one or more of the following:

  1. held in the hand
  2. mounted on an approved mount
  3. attached to a stand-alone kneeboard secured to a flight crew member
  4. connected to the aircraft power for battery re-charging
  5. connected to an installed antenna intended for use with the EFB for situational awareness but not navigation.

Furthermore, unless secured in accordance with b or c above, the EFB was required to be stowed during take-off, landing, instrument approach and when flying less than 1,000 ft above terrain. It was also only to be used:

…as a source of navigational data e.g. Departure and Approach plates and airport information.

The operator did not have an approved mount for the iPad. Accordingly, the operator required paper approach charts to be used when conducting an instrument approach. The chief pilot stated that the pilot subscribed to the departure and arrival procedure charts published by Airservices Australia. There was a clamp on the control column where a paper approach chart could be placed (Figure 8). There were no paper approach charts identified at the accident site, although the flight plan/log was found. Due to the disruption of the wreckage, it could not be determined whether the pilot carried the paper charts on board.

A friend of the pilot stated that they had provided the pilot with a mounting device that could be used to mount an iPad on a control column. The pilot’s iPad EFB was on[63] during the approach, however there were differing reports about how the pilot used the iPad during previous flights and whether it was mounted on the control column, placed on their knee or placed on the vacant seat next to the pilot. Due to disruption of the aircraft in the accident, only the second (backup) iPad was found at the accident site.

Flight profiles

The operator’s operations manual included flight profiles to be used for various situations for the Cessna 404, and stated that the profiles were required to be used for all operations. The prescribed flight profile for an RNAV GNSS approach (and other straight-in instrument approaches) is shown in Figure 19.

The indicated airspeed was required to be below 180 kt at the IAF and at 130 kt (+ or - 5 kt) at the start of the descent after passing the IAF (with the landing gear down and approach flap selected). The airspeed was also required to be Vref to Vref +10 kt at the FAF. As noted in Configurations and speeds, the Vref at maximum landing weight (8,100 lb) for the Cessna 404 was 91 kt and at weights 7,500 lb and below was 88 kt. In effect, the operator’s flight profile requirement to be at Vref to Vref + 10 kt at the FAF equated to an indicated airspeed of about 90–100 kt.

Figure 19: Flight profile for Cessna 404 RNAV GNSS approach

Flight profile for Cessna 404 RNAV GNSS approach

In another section titled ‘Final approach & threshold speeds’, the operations manual stated:

  • The [pilot] shall conduct the final approach in accordance with the stabilised approach criteria… [see next section]
  • CAT B: Speeds 91 – 120 kts. Initial / Intermediate 120 – 180 kts. Final app 85 – 130 kts. Visual circling 135 kts. Max speed for Missed Approach 150 kts.

These were the ‘handling speeds’ referred to the AIP for instrument approaches for a category B aircraft, such as the Cessna 404 (see Handling speeds). In effect, these speeds meant that the maximum allowed indicated airspeed after passing the IAF for the Cessna 404 was 180 kt and the maximum airspeed after passing the FAF was 130 kt.

The chief pilot recalled that the flight profiles were included in the operations manual by the previous chief pilot, who had based them on profiles used by another operator. The chief pilot stated that they advised the pilot of the accident flight to be at about 5,000 ft at the start of an approach (at the IAF) and then use a continuous descent to the runway from the IAF, and they demonstrated this to the pilot during their supervised flying in October 2018.

The chief pilot recalled that, when they flew the aircraft, they would select approach flap and landing gear early in the descent and be stabilised at a speed of 120 kt and a descent rate of 600 ft/min[64] well before the FAF. The chief pilot stated that the speed at the FAF should be about Vref + 20 kt (which equates to about 110 kt) but that the 100 kt specified in the flight profile would be acceptable. They stated that 130 kt at the FAF was too fast.

The previous chief pilot also recalled that the operator’s flight profile was most likely obtained from another operator. They noted their recollection of speeds was limited given the time since they flew the aircraft, but they recalled that they would be at least at Vref + 10 kt (that is, 100 kt) but not faster than 120 kt at the FAF, then slowing the aircraft down by 1,000 ft.

The flight examiner regularly used by the operator also worked with another operator of Cessna 404 aircraft (which was a different operator to that referred to by the previous chief pilot). The examiner stated that at the IF they would normally be at 130 kt with gear down and approach flap selected. The normal speed they used at the FAF was 110 kt (Vref + 20 kt), and 100 kt would be a little slow at that point on the approach. The examiner advised that these speeds were also used by the other Cessna 404 operator.

In summary, the ATSB concluded that the operator’s published flight profile speed of 90–100 kt at the FAF was probably not the operator’s preferred speed during flight operations. Rather, it appeared that the preferred speed at the FAF was probably about 110 kt. However, the extent to which this was clearly communicated to the pilot of the accident flight could not be determined.

Stabilised approach criteria

Guidance regarding stabilised approach criteria

A stabilised approach is one in which all criteria specified in the operations manual are met, at or before the applicable height or reference point. The Flight Safety Foundation (FSF) has for many years recommended that operators have stabilised approach criteria. Detailed guidance was provided by the FSF in its approach and landing accident reduction (ALAR) briefing note 7.1 (Stabilized approach, 2000a). The recommended criteria were summarised in a list, as reproduced in Figure 20.

Figure 20: FSF recommended elements of a stabilised approach

 FSF recommended elements of a stabilised approach

Source: ALAR briefing note 7.1  (Flight Safety Foundation 2000a)

The FSF briefing note also stated:

The flight crew must “stay ahead of the aircraft” throughout the flight. This includes achieving desired flight parameters … during the descent, approach and landing. Any indication that a desired flight parameter will not be achieved should prompt immediate corrective action or the decision to go around.

The minimum stabilization height constitutes an approach gate on the final approach; a go-around must be initiated if:

  • The required configuration and airspeed are not established, or the flight path is not stabilized when reaching the minimum stabilization height;
  • The aircraft becomes unstabilized below the minimum stabilization height.

ICAO Annex 6 Part I applied to international commercial air transport operations in aeroplanes. Since 1998, it included a standard stating an operator’s operations manual had to include stabilised approach procedures.

ICAO document 8168 (Procedures for Air Navigation Services, Aircraft Operations, known as PANS-OPS) provided recommendations on procedures for flight crew. Since 2001, PANS-OPS included content on stabilised approaches and stabilised approach criteria. It stated:

Studies have shown that the risk of controlled flight into terrain (CFIT) is high on non-precision approaches. While the procedures themselves are not inherently unsafe, the use of the traditional step down descent technique for flying non-precision approaches is prone to error, and is therefore discouraged. Operators should reduce this risk by emphasizing training and standardization in vertical path control on non-precision approach procedures…

Operators should use the CDFA (continuous descent final approach) technique whenever possible as it adds to the safety of the approach operation by reducing pilot workload and by lessening the possibility of error in flying the approach…

This technique requires a continuous descent, flown either with vertical navigation (VNAV) guidance calculated by on-board equipment or based on manual calculation of the required rate of descent, without level-offs. The rate of descent is selected and adjusted to achieve a continuous descent to a point approximately 15 m (50 ft) above the landing runway threshold or the point where the flare manoeuvre should begin for the type of aircraft flown...

The guidance document also stated:

The primary safety consideration in the development of the stabilized approach procedure shall be maintenance of the intended flight path as depicted in the published approach procedure, without excessive manoeuvring.

PANS-OPS stated the types of information that should be included in stabilised approach criteria (such as speeds, minimum power settings, attitudes, crossing altitude deviation tolerances, aircraft configuration, maximum sink rate and competition of checklists and briefings). In addition, the document stated that an operator’s procedures should include, as a minimum:

a) that in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC), all flights shall be stabilized by no lower than 300 m (1 000 ft) height above threshold; and

b) that all flights of any nature shall be stabilized by no lower than 150 m (500 ft) height above threshold.

Although the FSF and ICAO guidance may be considered most applicable to larger air transport aircraft with multi-crew operations and turbine engines, similar guidance (with the same applicable heights of 1,000 ft for operations in IMC and 500 ft for operations in VMC) has also been widely recommended for operations in smaller aircraft (Appendix D – Guidance to industry regarding stabilised approaches). This guidance has emphasised the benefits of using a CDFA technique with stabilised approach criteria in terms of reducing workload and increasing the time to monitor, detect and react to problems.

In Australia, since 2014, the Civil Aviation Advisory Publication (CAAP) 215-1 (Guide to the preparation of operations manuals) stated that an operator’s manual should include stabilised approach criteria in its section on approach and landing procedures. Guidance regarding applicable heights or reference points for such criteria were not specified in the CAAP or other CASA guidance documents.[65]

CASA advised the ATSB that specific Australian guidance was not provided prior to 2021 since there was no direct legislative requirement for operators to use such criteria, and it was considered that there was readily available and significant global guidance on this topic available from a wide range of authoritative sources.

Operator’s stabilised approach criteria

The Air Connect Australia operations manual stated:

Stabilised Approach Criteria are as follows:

(a) All flights, other than training flights, must be stabilised by 300 feet above aerodrome elevation in both IMC and VMC.

(b) An approach is stabilised when the following criteria are met:

  • The aircraft is on the correct flight path;
  • Only small changes in heading and pitch are required to maintain the correct flight path;
  • The aircraft is not more than Vref + 20 kts and not less than Vref indicated airspeed
  • The aircraft is in the correct landing configuration;
  • Sink rate is no greater than 1000 fpm [ft/min];[66] if an approach requires a sink rate greater than 1000 fpm, a special briefing should be conducted;
  • Power setting is appropriate for the aircraft configuration and is not below the minimum power for approach as defined by the aircraft operating manual;
  • All briefings and checklists have been conducted;
  • Instrument approaches are stabilised by the final approach fix, if they also fulfil the tracking requirements – established within ‘half scale deflection’ for the ILS, VOR and GNSS, within + or – 5 degrees for the NBD; during a circling approach, wings should be level on final by 300 feet above aerodrome elevation;
  • Unique approach procedures or abnormal conditions requiring a deviation from the above elements of a stabilized approach require a special briefing.

Missed Approach Procedure is as follows:

(a) Other than on training flights, an approach that is not stable below 300 feet aerodrome elevation in both IMC and VMC requires an immediate GO-AROUND. The procedure for a go around / missed approach is as follows:

  • Should be flown as per the approach chart missed approach procedure, or as advised by ATC;
  • The aircraft handling technique will be as per the relevant AFM for the appropriate aircraft…

The manual further stated:

If an approach does not meet the criteria for a stabilised approach…, the Pilot-in-Command shall conduct a missed approach.

To meet these stabilised approach criteria, the maximum indicated airspeed in a Cessna 404 needed to be Vref + 20 kt or about 110 kt at 300 ft above aerodrome elevation.

The chief pilot advised the ATSB that the published applicable height of 300 ft was too low to be effective, as it was normally below the MDA. They believed approaches should be stabilised much earlier, ideally at height of about 1,000 ft or even earlier. The chief pilot also stated that all configuration changes should be done early in the approach, with only the selection of landing flap to be completed late in the approach at the pilot’s discretion. The flight examiner used by the operator noted that stabilised approach criteria for most piston twin-engine and single-engine aeroplanes needed to acknowledge that the last stage of flap (or landing flap) should generally not be selected until about 300 ft due to aircraft performance considerations.

The chief pilot also recalled that they had discussed the importance of being stabilised early in the approach to the pilot of the accident flight on multiple occasions, and they had stated the importance of conducting constant angle descents down to the MDA at 600 ft/min. The chief pilot also noted that they had emphasised to the pilot the importance of gradual reductions in power and therefore speed during approaches in order to minimise undesirable cylinder head temperatures, and use slow descent rates for passenger comfort. 

Additional information

During its investigation into the 2005 CFIT accident of a Metro aircraft at Lockhart River involving an operator that conducted passenger transport operations in Metro turboprop aircraft, the ATSB identified that that operator did not have stabilised approach criteria.[67] Of 5 other operators conducting operations in Metro aircraft, all had stabilised approach criteria, with 1 having an applicable height of 200 ft, 2 having an applicable height of 300 ft and 2 having an applicable height of 1,000 ft.

The ATSB also identified that an operator conducting passenger transport operations in a DHC-8 aircraft in 2012 had stabilised approach criteria based on an applicable height of 300 ft.[68] In addition, during another investigation commenced in 2021, the ATSB recently identified another operator of turboprop aircraft conducting passenger transport operations (charter) that had stabilised approach criteria with an applicable height of 300 ft. The ATSB has also identified that major airlines and some operators of single-pilot IFR operations in Australia have criteria based on 1,000 ft above ground level in IMC.

Prior missed approach during an RNAV GNSS approach (22 January 2020)

A review of the pilot’s logbook identified one other flight since the pilot joined the operator that involved 2 instrument approaches (and therefore a missed approach following an instrument approach). This occurred on a flight from Weipa to Aurukun, Queensland, on 22 January 2020, after which the pilot logged 2 RNAV GNSS approaches. Recorded data confirmed that the pilot conducted 2 approaches to runway 34 at Aurukun.

Analysis of the weather conditions and interviews with the passengers identified that there was a storm in the vicinity at the time, and interviews and recorded flight data indicated that the pilot was trying to avoid the weather. The passengers recalled observing the pilot using the onboard weather radar as well as an iPad with the weather on it to track the movement of the storm.

Passenger recollections regarding the weather during the first approach were varied; some recalled that they could not see the runway at times whereas others recalled the runway was still visible though restricted. The ground appeared to be visible most of the time. Images taken by a passenger during the first approach confirmed that there was significant cloud in the area though the ground could be seen to the left of the aircraft.

Review of the recorded flight data indicated that, on the first approach, the aircraft commenced descent on the recommended descent profile from about 1,600 ft, slightly below the initial approach altitude of 1,800 ft. The aircraft passed the FAF at an indicated airspeed of about 140 kt, and it was about 200–300 ft below the recommended descent profile when it passed the MDA at an indicated airspeed of about 145 kt. The aircraft descended to a recorded altitude of about 200–300 ft (at about 140 kt) before starting to climb.

The missed approach did not conform to the published missed approach procedure, with the aircraft flying to the right of the MAPt rather than maintaining the runway heading. However, the conditions may have been visual at this time. After the missed approach, the pilot circled for some time, remaining in VMC and waiting for the storm to pass, before conducting a second approach (about 31 minutes after the first approach). Images taken by a passenger during the second approach confirmed that the weather conditions were significantly better than on the first approach.

The exact reasons for the missed approach could not be determined (that is, whether it was due to reduced visibility of the runway or also due to the aircraft’s speed not meeting the operator’s stabilised approach criteria at 300 ft above aerodrome elevation).

Further details of these 2 approaches are provided in Appendix E – Aurukun incident flight – 22 January 2020.

Review of the pilot’s recent RNAV GNSS approaches

General aspects

The ATSB reviewed the available recorded data for the pilot’s flights in the previous 6 months for which the pilot had logged an RNAV GNSS approach (that is, 21 approaches). Recorded data was available for 16 of these approaches. Of these 16 approaches:

  • 10 involved straight-in approaches to the runway
  • 5 were flown to past the FAF and then a circling approach was flown from above the specified circling minima to the opposite (reciprocal) runway
  • 1 was not an RNAV GNSS approach as it did not fly near the designated waypoints (and it was therefore not considered for further analysis).

Based on a review of available weather information, all 21 approaches were very likely conducted in VMC except for the first approach conducted at Aurukun on 22 January 2020 (which was potentially in IMC for a brief period). For those approaches conducted in VMC, the pilot was not specifically required to conduct an RNAV GNSS approach, except for the purpose of meeting recency requirements.

The published approach charts for all the approaches had 5 NM segments between the IAF and IF, IF and FAF, and FAF and MAPt. Most of the approaches were conducted at locations where the recommended descent profile commenced at about the FAF, except for one approach to runway 11 at Cooktown (where the recommended descent profile commenced at the IAF).

Vertical profiles

For most of the 15 RNAV GNSS approaches with recorded data available, the data showed the pilot typically descended to about 5,000–5,300 ft and then levelled out for a short period prior to the IAF. When passing the IAF, the pilot commenced a continuous descent to join the approach’s recommended descent profile on about a 3° approach.

The only exceptions to this method were the 2 approaches conducted at Aurukun on 22 January 2020 (when the pilot commenced descent on the approaches from close to the published initial approach altitude of 1,800 ft). As noted in Recorded flight data, the second approach at Lockhart River during the accident flight was also commenced at a lower altitude (that is, the published initial approach altitude of 3,500 ft) when the aircraft was between the IAF and the IF).

In general, the approaches were conducted close to the recommended descent profile. The only exception was the first approach at Aurukun on 22 January 2020, which reached the MDA about 200–300 ft below the recommended profile.

Lateral positions

The pilot generally entered each approach via the nearest of the 3 IAFs. In most cases, the aircraft passed the IAF from close to the middle of the capture region for that waypoint, or at least on a track that was less than 45° difference to the initial approach track. On one approach (at Cooktown), they entered from a similar position as the second approach at Lockhart River, although from about 65° right of the extended initial approach track to the IAF labelled ‘A’ (as opposed to about 100° at Lockhart River).

For all the straight-in runway approaches (except the second approach at Lockhart River), the aircraft remained close to the intermediate approach track and final approach track. In most cases, the aircraft also remained close to the initial approach track. The only exceptions were:

  • the Cooktown approach (when the aircraft flew over the IAF then, while descending, deviated left of the initial approach track by 0.9 NM and remained left until close to the IF)
  • the first approach at Aurukun on 22 January 2020 (when the pilot commenced the approach from slightly more than 1 NM west of the IAF and flew direct to the IF from that position, while remaining close to the initial approach altitude).

Indicated airspeeds

The ATSB reviewed the indicated airspeeds during the pilot’s 8 previous straight-in RNAV GNSS approaches to evaluate their consistency with the operator’s speed requirements and preferences, and these were compared with the 2 approaches at Lockhart River on the day of the accident (Figure 17). The 8 other approaches included the 2 approaches conducted at Aurukun on 22 January 2020 (Figure 25), and 6 other approaches that the pilot conducted from December 2019 to February 2020 and logged as RNAV GNSS approaches.

For the 10 approaches, the ATSB estimated the indicated airspeeds based on the recorded groundspeed, forecast and analysis wind charts and other relevant information. The actual wind speeds above the aerodrome on each occasion were not known, and as a result there could have been some differences between the estimated indicated speeds and the actual indicated airspeeds.

The results for key points on the approaches are shown in Table 4. In general terms:

  • In all 10 cases, the approaches did not exceed (and were well below) the maximum AIP handling speed of 180 kt in the initial and intermediate approach segments.
  • In all 10 cases, the approaches exceeded the operator’s preferred speed of 110 kt at the FAF. Most of the approaches were about 130–140 kt at the FAF, and 7 of the approaches appeared to exceed the maximum AIP handling speed of 130 kt at or after passing the FAF by 10 kt or more.
  • In most cases, the approaches appeared to be close to the operator’s maximum stabilised approach speed of 110 kt at or approaching 300 ft. However, in 3 cases there was a significant exceedance. These included the first approach at Aurukun on 22 January 2020 (which was followed by a missed approach), and the 2 approaches at Lockhart River (with the first followed by a missed approach).

Table 4: Summary of estimated indicated airspeeds during the pilot’s recent RNAV GNSS approaches (in kt)[69]

 IFFAFFAF1,000 ft300 ft
Operator requirement or preference(180 max)110 preferred(130 max)(130 max)110 max
Mornington Island, 2 Dec 2020 (VMC)145140140140120
Normanton, 9 Dec 2020 (VMC)145145145145125
Cooktown, 4 Jan 2020 (VMC)140140140140115
Aurukun, 22 Jan 2020 (potential IMC, missed approach)140140140140140
Aurukun, 22 Jan 2020 (VMC, second approach) 135135135125105
Aurukun, 3 Feb 2020 (VMC)150145145145115
Kowanyama, 13 Feb 2020 (VMC)140120120120115
Pormpuraaw, 18 Feb 2020 (VMC)150130130120115
Lockhart River, 11 Mar 2020 (IMC, missed approach)1351301301401401
Lockhart River, 11Mar 2020 (IMC, second approach, accident)135135135140150

The requirement at 300 ft above aerodrome elevation is from the operator’s stabilised approach criteria. The maximum requirements for the IF, FAF and 1,000 ft above aerodrome elevation are from the AIP handling speeds for a category B aircraft (also referred to in the operations manual). The operator preferred speed at the FAF is based on interviews. All speeds rounded to nearest 5 kt. Green shading indicates the speed was consistent with the requirement or preference (within 5 kt), orange shading indicates a small exceedance (within 10 kt), and red shading indicates a significant exceedance (15 kt or more).

1Descent to just above 300 ft above aerodrome elevation (or just below that height) on this approach occurred after passing the MAPt.

In summary, the pilot was not conducting RNAV instrument approaches in the Cessna 404 in accordance with the operator’s preferred speed of 110 kt at the FAF. In some cases, the pilot appeared to be complying or was close to the AIP handling speed requirement to be at a maximum speed of 130 kt in the final approach segment, but in some cases they exceeded this requirement. The chief pilot advised that they were unaware that the pilot was conducting RNAV approaches with a speed that was significantly above 110 kt at the FAF.

Controlled flight into terrain

CFIT accident data

The ATSB research report CFIT: Australia in context 1996 to 2005 (ATSB, 2007), defined a controlled flight into terrain (CFIT) as an in-flight collision with terrain, water, or obstacles, in which:

  • the aircraft is under the control of the pilot(s)
  • there is no defect or unserviceability that would prevent normal operation of the aircraft
  • the pilot(s) had little or no awareness of the impending collision.

In the 10-year reporting period for that research (1996–2005), there were 27 CFIT occurrences in Australia. Of these 27 occurrences:

  • 25 were accidents, including 15 fatal accidents, resulting in a total of 47 fatalities.
  • 19 involved aeroplanes (including 18 accidents and 12 fatal accidents) and 8 involved helicopters (including 7 accidents and 3 fatal accidents)
  • 17 (63%) occurred during the approach phase, with 8 during a visual approach and 9 during an instrument approach
  • 1 occurred during a low-capacity regular public transport flight (RPT), 8 during charter flights, 4 during aerial work flights and 14 during private/business flights.
  • only one aircraft of the 27 occurrences was fitted with a TAWS – the Fairchild SA227-DC (Metro) aircraft involved in the low-capacity RPT CFIT accident at Lockhart River in May 2005.[70] This GPWS was not a predictive or enhanced TAWS, which became required for turbine aircraft like the Metro by the end of June 2005.

Of the 9 CFIT occurrences that occurred during an instrument approach:[71]

  • all 9 were accidents, including 7 fatal accidents, resulting in a total of 31 fatalities
  • all 9 involved aeroplanes
  • 4 occurred during an RNAV GNSS approach, 2 during a GPS arrival and 3 during an NDB approach.
  • 1 occurred during a low-capacity RPT flight, 3 during charter flights, 2 during aerial work flights and 3 during private/business flights.

Further details of some of these accidents are provided in Appendix F – R­elated occurrences.

A review of the ATSB database for the 15-year period 2006–2020 identified only 1 CFIT involving an aeroplane on an instrument approach (that is, VH-OZO at Lockhart River, resulting in 5 fatalities). There were also 5 other CFITs involving aeroplanes on visual approaches, which resulted in 2 accidents, including 1 fatal accident with 4 fatalities.

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) (2018) published a report on worldwide CFIT accidents from 2008 to 2017 involving aircraft with a MTOW of at least 5,700 kg (12,540 lb). During that period, there were 47 CFIT accidents, which accounted for 6% of total accidents. Most (42 or 89%) of the CFIT accidents involved fatalities, and CFIT was the second highest fatal accident category (after loss of control in-flight), accounting for 28% of all fatal accidents.

Of the 47 CFIT accidents, 24 (51%) occurred during the approach phase of flight, 7 (15%) during landing, and 4 (9%) during a go-around. Turbo-prop aircraft had a much higher CFIT rate (per million flights) than jet aircraft. Older generation aircraft were also involved in more CFIT accidents.

The IATA report found that the rate of CFIT accidents was significantly lower in the last 5 years (2013–17) compared to the first 5 years (2008–12). The report stated:

It is generally accepted that the reduction in CFIT accidents can be traced back to the introduction of Ground Proximity Warning System (GPWS), and Terrain Awareness Warning System (TAWS). Other improvements, may have also contributed directly or indirectly to the reduction of the likelihood of CFIT accidents, including aircraft design, replacing non-precision with precision approach procedures, pilot training, improved flight standards, Continuous Descent Final Approach (CDFA) technique, approach lightning, visual approach guidance and procedures, ground-based Minimum Safe Altitude Warning (MSAW) system, visual and instrument approach guidance and procedures.

In addition, the IATA report noted common contributing factors to CFIT accidents, including poor visibility or IMC (49%) and lack of visual reference (33%). Unstable approaches were cited in 10% of accidents. The report stated:

Unstable approaches increase the possibility of diverting a flight crew’s attention away from the approach procedure to regain better control of the airplane. Stabilized approach policies broadly concur in stating that a safe approach requires the flight path angle, configuration, and airspeed to be stabilized. Once one or more of these parameters are violated, the approach becomes unstable and the margin for a safe landing is decreased to a level requiring flight crew action; a go-around should be initiated.

Since the CDFA techniques contribute to a stabilized approach, the industry should also as soon as, and wherever, possible to develop procedures and train pilots to fly a stabilized CDFA…

The report also stated:

It is evident that most of the CFIT accidents result from a pilot’s breakdown in situational awareness (SA) instead of aircraft malfunction or a fire. In other words, these accidents are, for the most part, entirely preventable by the pilot. SA refers to the accurate perception by flight crew of the factors and conditions currently affecting the safe operation of the aircraft, and their vertical and/or horizontal position awareness in relation to the ground, water, or obstacles. The data shows that 49 percent of CFIT accidents had vertical, lateral or speed deviations as a contributing factor to CFIT accidents. One method to provide pilots with a greater level of safety through enhanced situational awareness and, more reliable warnings of possible terrain conflicts such as EGPWS that is equipped with accurate navigation systems like global positioning system (GPS) for both navigation and terrain surveillance.

Research conducted for the Netherlands Directorate-General of Civil Aviation, under the auspices of the Flight Safety Foundation, identified a fivefold increase in accident risk in commercial aircraft flying a non-precision approach compared with a precision approach (Enders and others, 1996).

Other research conducted into the human factors associated with CFIT accidents between 2007 and 2017 found that 24 out of 50 accidents reviewed (48%) occurred during the approach phase of flight (Kelly and Efthymiou, 2019). This research also found that ‘Breakdown of the Visual Scan’ occurred in 84% of accidents and that, in 42 of the analysed accident reports, a critical parameter such as altitude was ignored, and an unsafe situation occurred through ‘distraction’, ‘complacency’ or ‘lack of skill’.

Efforts to reduce CFIT accidents

In 1995 an international CFIT task force, whose major goal was to prevent CFIT accidents, completed its work after creating several unique products for the Flight Safety Foundation (FSF) including a CFIT Education and Training Aid. The training aid described GPWS (now known as TAWS) as ‘one of the major weapons in the growing arsenal of CFIT prevention methods.’ It further recommended every aircraft be fitted with such a system, as a GPWS warning ‘is normally the flight crew’s last opportunity to avoid CFIT’.

The training aid recommended standard operating procedures and/or guidance from the aircraft manufacturer that specified flight crew actions in the event of a terrain warning. In the absence of these, the aid provided a standard escape manoeuvre for flight crew to follow in the event of a terrain warning.

The CFIT task force identified 2 ‘basic causes’ of CFIT accidents – a lack of flight crew’s vertical position awareness and their lack of horizontal position awareness in relation to the ground, water, or obstacles. More than two-thirds of all CFIT accidents were the result of altitude error or lack of vertical situational awareness. To mitigate against this, the training aid emphasised the importance of flight crew training and discipline.

CFIT mitigation strategies

In 1994, the international CFIT task force also designed a CFIT checklist for the FSF, aimed at reducing CFIT accidents (Appendix G – Flight Safety Foundation CFIT Checklist). The checklist had 3 parts:

  • Part I enabled a calculation of the CFIT risk factors for the planned destinations (including air traffic control capabilities and the types of approaches available) and risk multipliers (such as the type of operation and weather conditions). Some of the risk factors relevant to this accident included no ATC at the airport and a non-precision approach type. Risk multipliers included passenger-carrying charter operation, IMC, and a single-pilot flight crew.
  • Part II of the checklist listed CFIT risk-reduction factors in 4 areas: company culture, flight standards, hazard awareness and training, and aircraft equipment. 
  • Part III calculated the CFIT risk score by adding the destination CFIT risk factors (which are negative values) multiplied by the calculated risk multiplier to the risk-reduction factors.

The ATSB included copies of the FSF checklist in several of its accident reports, and also referred to the checklist in the research report CFIT: Australia in context 1996 to 2005 (ATSB, 2007).

In addition to the checklist, the FSF developed a CFIT Education and Training Aid in the 1990s, which included an example CFIT training program (albeit focussed on larger aircraft operations). It also developed a video training aid (for regional and business aircraft operators) and the ALAR Tool Kit, which included a number of briefing notes, such as the briefing note on stabilised approaches (see Guidance regarding stabilised approach criteria).

More recently, the FSF also developed a basic aviation risk standard (BARS) program that was designed to provide organisations that engaged contracted aircraft operators with a standard to assist in the risk-based management of aviation activities. It advised that the standard was suited to any organisation that used aircraft operators to provide contracted aviation support for its operations, particularly within remote and challenging environments. The program was used by several large mining/resource companies and other organisations. Participating aircraft operators could be audited against the standard.

The standard document stated:

All national and international regulations pertaining to aviation operations must be followed. This Standard is designed to supplement those requirements.

With regards to CFIT, the following risk controls were specified:

  • 2 pilots for flights to be flown at night or ‘in IFR’
  • multi-engine aircraft to be used for flights flown at night or ‘in IFR’
  • aircraft operators to include type-specific stabilised approach requirements in their operations manual
  • aircraft that fly under IFR or at night and on long-term contract to be fitted with an approved and serviceable Class A TAWS when an approved modification exists for the aircraft type (and the operator must have related procedures to be followed by the flight crew in the event of an alert).

The BARS implementation guide outlined guidance for stabilised approach criteria, based on the ALAR briefing note 7.1.

Operator’s CFIT risk mitigation

General aspects

At the time of the accident, Air Connect Australia was not required to have a safety management system (SMS). At the core of an SMS is a formal risk safety management process, which is used specifically to:

  • identify hazards associated with an organisation’s operations
  • analyse and assess the risks associated with those hazards
  • implement control, to prevent future accidents, incidents or occurrences (CASA, 2018).

The operator advised it had an SMS incorporated into its operations manual, which included a requirement for 6-monthly safety meetings as well as a hazard, incident and accident report form. However, this did not include a detailed hazard identification and mitigation process. Without a documented hazard identification process, Air Connect Australia had not explicitly identified CFIT as a hazard nor detailed how it would mitigate the risk.

Based on the FSF CFIT checklist, the ATSB assessed that a single-pilot passenger transport operation involving non-precision approaches to airports without ATC and radar coverage (such as Lockhart River) in IMC carried a significant CFIT risk. Many of the risk-reduction factors listed in the checklist were specific to multi-crew operations and would not be appropriate or viable for a small operator conducting single-pilot operations such as Air Connect Australia. However, the checklist highlighted the CFIT risk for such an operation and provided some ways to mitigate the risk.

The ATSB further assessed Air Connect Australia and the aircraft (VH-OZO) against the suggested risk-reduction factors, as outlined in the following sections.

Section 1 – Company culture

The checklist items included aspects such as the operator placing safety before schedule and placing no negative conations on diversions or missed approaches. The chief pilot advised the ATSB that they often cancelled or postponed flights due to adverse weather. They also stated that they had frequent discussions with the pilot, and they were approachable and open to discussions with the pilot about any safety issues or concerns. Friends of the pilot were not aware of the pilot having any concerns about the chief pilot or the operator and confirmed that the pilot and chief pilot had frequent discussions about operational matters before flights.

Section 2 – Flight standards

The CFIT checklist did not specifically refer to stabilised approach criteria (which were introduced in later FSF guidance material). However, it listed a number of other items. Those potentially applicable to single-pilot operations included:

Reviewing approach or departure plates

Reviewing significant terrain along intended approach or departure course…

Briefing and observing MSA circles on approach charts as part of plate review

Checking crossing altitudes at IAF positions

Checking crossing altitudes at FAF and glideslope centering…

Use of 500-foot altitude call and other enhanced procedures for NPAs…

The operator’s operations manual stated, for all arrivals:

Before descending to an ALA [aircraft landing area], the Pilot-in-Command shall study available charts of the proposed ALA and surrounding area and make a note of hazards indicated on the charts.

The manual also required pilots to check the existing conditions in flight to determine their suitability for the approach and landing (including in terms of the MDA and required visibility on the approach charts). In addition, the manual included a requirement for crew to self-brief prior to the approach and also before landing:

Instrument Approaches – A self-briefing is to be carried out before every landing regarding the intentions of the Pilot-in-Command before / after the commitment point.

…

An emergency self-briefing is to be carried out before the landing regarding:

(a) the intentions of the Pilot-in-Command before / after the commitment point; and

(b) identifying missed approach track or heading.

As previously noted, the flight profile for a straight-in instrument approach also required a pilot to check the altimeter at the FAF. No other checks or altitude calls were explicitly stated.

Section 3 – Hazard awareness and training

The FSF checklist outlined various requirements for CFIT hazard awareness, including:

Your company’s pilots are reviewed annually about the following:

Flight standards operating procedures

Reasons for and examples of how the procedures can detect a CFIT “trap”

Recent and past CFIT incidents/accidents

Audiovisual aids to illustrate CFIT traps

Minimum altitude definitions…

The operator did not conduct formal hazard awareness training and there were no records of any training relating specifically to CFIT. There was no specific regulatory requirement for the operator to conduct such training.[72] 

The checklist also included items regarding incident reporting and investigation:

You have an incident/exceedance review and reporting program

Your organization investigates every instance in which minimum terrain clearance has been compromised

The company culture items also referred to fostering a culture where CFIT incidents could be reported. The chief pilot advised they had frequent discussions with the pilot and believed there was a high level of mutual trust, such that that if the pilot had a concern they would feel comfortable coming to talk to the chief pilot about it. However, the chief pilot was not aware of the circumstances associated with the missed approach at Aurukun in January 2020.

The chief pilot advised that the pilot used their own tablet device (iPad) and OzRunways subscription. As a result, the chief pilot did not have access to the recorded data.

Section 4 – Aircraft equipment

The CFIT checklist referred to GPWS, radio altimeter, various types of displays and autopilot functions. The checklist was not up-to-date and not targeted to the needs and potential current opportunities for small aircraft.

As previously noted, VH-OZO was not fitted with a TAWS or radio altimeter, nor were these mandated by the regulatory requirements at the time. The aircraft’s GPS units did not provide vertical guidance for RNAV GNSS approaches and the autopilot was not capable of maintaining a vertical profile without pilot input.

CFIT risk score

Based on the total CFIT risk factors for the destination and risk multipliers, then consideration of the available risk-reduction factors, the total CFIT risk score calculated for the operator was less than zero and indicated a significant CFIT risk. However, as already noted, other operators conducting single-pilot charter flights involving non-precision approaches in IMC to airports without ATC and radar coverage (such as Lockhart River) would also be exposed to a significant CFIT risk as assessed by this checklist.

Safety analysis

Introduction

After conducting an area navigation (RNAV) global navigation satellite system (GNSS) approach to runway 30 at Lockhart River and then a missed approach, the pilot of the Cessna 404 aircraft (VH-OZO) immediately commenced a second RNAV GNSS approach to runway 30. The aircraft’s descent gradient was similar to the first approach but significantly lower than the recommended profile in the approach chart. This descent continued until the aircraft collided with terrain 6.4 km short of the runway.

There was no evidence of any conditions or circumstances likely to induce a medical problem or incapacitation for the pilot, who had been in good health and was well rested. Also, based on the recorded flight data and impact information, the aircraft appeared to be in controlled flight up until the time of the impact. Accordingly, it is very unlikely that the pilot was incapacitated or impaired during the flight.

There was no evidence of any aircraft system or mechanical anomalies that would have influenced the accident. However, as a consequence of extensive aircraft damage, it was not possible to be conclusive about the aircraft’s serviceability.

Therefore, based on the available evidence, the accident was very likely the result of controlled flight into terrain (CFIT). That is, an airworthy aircraft under the control of the pilot was flown unintentionally into terrain, probably with no (or very limited) prior awareness by the pilot of the aircraft’s proximity to terrain.

As evidenced in this case, a CFIT accident generally results in significantly adverse consequences for the occupants of an aircraft, and thus operators conducting operations in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) or degraded visual conditions need to have robust risk controls to minimise the risk of such accidents.

This analysis considers the weather and sequence of events, followed by the factors that likely influenced the pilot’s performance. It also discusses risk controls for CFIT relevant to this accident.

Weather conditions

The weather conditions at Lockhart River at the time of the 2 approaches were consistent with the forecast, with periods of reduced visibility due to rain and cloud. The conditions had been suitable for the pilot of one aircraft to land about 1 hour prior to the accident and allowed another to land about 30 minutes afterwards.

Although the pilot of VH-OZO had not obtained the latest weather forecast for Lockhart River on the morning prior to the flight using their National Aeronautical Information Processing System (NAIPS) account, they could have obtained the forecast from other sources and they were reportedly aware of the current weather information. In any case, the pilot had ensured the aircraft had sufficient fuel to hold, divert or return to Cairns if necessary.

The landing minima for the runway 30 approach at Lockhart River included a cloud ceiling (for broken cloud or worse) of 730 ft and a visibility of 4,200 m. On arrival at Lockhart River, the pilot listened to the automated weather information service (AWIS) via VHF radio, and received information that the reported conditions were above the landing minima (with 10 km visibility and broken cloud at 1,800 ft).

The conditions recorded by the airport’s automatic weather station (AWS) at the time of the first approach’s final segment (0904–0907) included a visibility of 10 km, some rainfall (0.2 mm at 0904) and nil wind. The visibility was measured in the immediate vicinity of the sensor and may not have reflected the conditions experienced by the pilot during the approach. The recorded cloud base was 1,800 ft, however the recorded values for cloud were averaged over the preceding 30-minute period, and the cloud conditions at any specific time may have been worse than recorded.

Based on a witness report, it appeared as though the conditions at times were probably worse than recorded, with periods of reduced visibility due to cloud and rain. Messages sent by 2 of the passengers at 0914 indicated there was low visibility and one stated there was heavy rain, however it was not clear whether these comments were related to the conditions during the first approach or were observations of the conditions closer to 0914, which was about 7 minutes after the aircraft passed the missed approach point (MAPt).

Therefore, although the AWS observations indicated the weather was above the landing minima, there were areas of reduced visibility in the vicinity of the airport and it was not possible to conclusively determine the actual conditions experienced by the pilot when they reached the MAPt during the first approach.

The recorded visibility deteriorated to 800 m at 0912 and was below the landing minima for most of the period 0911–0917. This aligned with recorded rainfall between 0910–0916, including moderate to heavy rain during 0912–0914. Weather radar images from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) also showed rain passing through the Lockhart River area during both approaches, with heavier rain during the second approach. The radar images were consistent with the weather observations by people in the area, including that a ‘wall’ of heavy rain passed through at about the time of the accident. Given the direction the radar returns were moving, it is likely the aircraft entered the rain during the second approach.

In summary, while the pilot was operating in the vicinity of Lockhart River Airport, there were areas of cloud and rain that significantly reduced visibility and increased the risk of CFIT. In particular, the aircraft probably entered areas of significantly reduced visibility during the second approach. As a result of the reduced visibility, the pilot would have been reliant on the aircraft’s flight instruments and GPS units during both approaches.

Conduct of the approaches

First approach and missed approach

On the first approach, the pilot levelled at about 5,000 ft prior to the initial approach fix (IAF), which in this case was LHREB, then established the aircraft on a 3° descent from the IAF. This was consistent with the pilot’s normal method and conformed to the operator’s recommendations and the guidance shown on the approach chart. The pilot conducted the approach consistent with the recommended (3°) constant descent profile, and the aircraft kept descending through the minimum descent altitude (MDA) of 730 ft and passed the missed approach point (MAPt).

There were no significant lateral deviations from the published track, and the indicated airspeed when passing the final approach fix (FAF) was about 130 kt. However, after the FAF, the airspeed increased to about 140 kt, which was sustained throughout the remaining descent. This was significantly in excess of the operator’s preferred airspeed for such approaches (about 110 kt at the FAF), and it also exceeded the applicable handling speed limit specified in the Aeronautical Information Publication (AIP) of 130 kt in the final approach segment.

After passing the MAPt, the aircraft’s recorded descent rate was 900 to 960 ft/min. When the aircraft reached about 400 ft, the pilot initiated a missed approach. The airspeed at that time significantly exceeded the operator’s stabilised approach criteria speed (that is, about 110 kt at 300 ft above aerodrome elevation).

The reason for the non-conforming airspeed on this approach could not be determined. It is possible that this was intentional, and the pilot was expediting the arrival in response to the visible weather. Alternatively, it could have been inadvertent and associated with a focus on other flying tasks in this phase, such as maintaining track (with reduced tolerances) and/or searching for visual cues such as the runway threshold in reduced visibility (see also Awareness of procedural requirements). Whatever the reason, the high airspeed would have made it difficult to configure the aircraft for a stabilised final approach and landing.  

Although the descent rate was just within the operator’s limit for a stabilised approach (that is, 1,000 ft/min), it was higher than the 600 ft/min that would be typical for this stage of a final approach. It was also higher than the 750 ft/min that would be commensurate with a 3° profile at 140 kt. Similar to the high airspeed, the reason for the relatively high descent rate could not be determined. It is possible that the pilot was attempting to maintain visual reference.     

As previously noted, the weather conditions when the aircraft reached the MAPt could not be determined. It is possible that the conditions were better than the landing minima at that point but then deteriorated as the approach continued and when the aircraft was at a lower altitude.

Irrespective of the conditions, this was not a stable approach due to the relatively high airspeed and a missed approach was necessary. Ultimately, the pilot commenced the missed approach when the aircraft reached about 400 ft. Whether the decision to conduct the missed approach at that time was based on the weather conditions, airspeed, descent rate or some combination of those factors could not be determined.

After initiating the missed approach, the pilot was required to select one of 4 options:

  • immediately conduct another instrument approach
  • hold in the area, monitor the weather at Lockhart River and, if suitable, conduct another instrument approach
  • divert to a nearby airport, monitor the weather at Lockhart River and, if suitable, return for another approach 
  • return to Cairns.

Having descended to 400 ft then overflown the airport during the missed approach, it is expected that the pilot had an appreciation of the low-level weather conditions. Then, during the missed approach, the aircraft tracked initially to the north-west, which was in the direction of weather that was moving towards Lockhart River. Given heavy rain was recorded at the airport about 5–7 minutes after the aircraft had been overhead, the boundary of this rain area may have been visible to the pilot. The rain should also have been displayed on the aircraft’s weather radar display and potentially also the iPad the pilot was using during the flight, although exactly what information was displayed to (or observed by) the pilot could not be determined.

As reported by a passenger in a text message at 0914, at some point during the missed approach or transition to the second approach, the aircraft was in or near heavy rain. Although the AWS between 0911 and 0917 was indicating below-minima weather at the airport, it is unlikely that the pilot had spare capacity to access the AWIS in that period.      

Given this context, the pilot may have considered there was a window of opportunity to conduct a second approach before there was heavy rain at the airport and, accordingly, they expedited the second approach.  

Second approach – vertical profile

The pilot tracked directly towards the IAF LHREA at 3,500 ft to commence the second approach. After passing the IAF, the aircraft remained at that altitude while heading to the IF. The pilot then commenced descent from 3,500 ft about 2.7 NM prior to the IF. From about 1.6 NM before the IF, the descent was flown at about a normal 3° flight path, although about 1,000 ft below the recommended descent profile. The aircraft descended through the intermediate segment minimum safe altitude of 1,800 ft and passed the FAF at about 1,100 ft. When the aircraft reached a recorded altitude of 700 ft, the descent rate increased from about 700 ft/min to about 1,200 ft/min until the collision with terrain.

The investigation considered 3 main scenarios to explain the vertical profile of the second approach. The first scenario is the pilot misunderstood their position along the approach (or misidentified the waypoints) and believed they were one segment (5 NM) further along the approach than they actually were. Figure 21 shows the vertical profile of the second approach (in red) and it also shows the vertical profile moved 5 NM to the left (in green), as if the pilot thought they were one segment further along the approach. With regard to this scenario:

  • The scenario does not provide a good explanation of the recorded data as the aircraft remained about 600 ft above the recommended profile for an extended period and there was no indication of any attempt to correct such a perceived problem prior to reaching the perceived MAPt.
  • The waypoint names on RNAV approaches are similar and there is some potential for confusion. However, in this case the pilot had significant cues to indicate their position along the approach, given they were turning at the IF (10 NM from the MAPt), and they had broadcasted they were at this position just prior to the turn. Although the absence of a subsequent broadcast by the pilot at the FAF (5 NM) could indicate a loss of awareness of the aircraft’s position at that time, it could also have been omitted because the pilot assessed it was unnecessary due to the lack of other aircraft in the vicinity, and/or the pilot was experiencing high workload.

Figure 21: Second approach to runway 30 (red), second approach displaced 5 NM (green) and second approached raised 1,000 ft (yellow)

Second approach to runway 30 (red), second approach displaced 5 NM (green) and second approached raised 1,000 ft (yellow)

The second scenario is the pilot believed they were 1,000 ft higher than they actually were during most of the descent. This scenario is shown on Figure 21 (in yellow). With regard to this scenario:

  • The scenario closely matches the recommended descent profile in terms of commencing the 3° descent at about the right point for a constant descent and then continuing the descent past the IF and FAF.
  • When the pilot commenced the descent from 3,500 ft, they were correcting the aircraft’s lateral position (right of the initial approach track) and would therefore have been experiencing a high workload. The potential to mis-read instruments (such as an altimeter) is significantly increased under high workload, and the ability to subsequently detect and correct such an error would also be reduced, given that high workload can lead to scanning information sources less frequently and also scanning them for shorter durations.
  • Just prior to passing the IF, the pilot broadcasted that they were at ‘3,800 correction 2,800 ft’, and this correction was an accurate broadcast of the aircraft’s altitude at the time. This indicated an initial mis-reading of the altimeter, but it also indicated that the pilot had correctly read the altimeter at that time. However, this correction occurred at one point in time for the purpose of making the radio broadcast, and the pilot may not have fully assimilated the information for the purpose of monitoring their descent profile.
  • The pilot should have been regularly checking the altimeter during the descent as part of their instrument scan, so for this scenario to be viable the pilot would need to mis-read the altimeter multiple times, or at least not detect a problem when scanning the altimeter after an initial error. This would seem unlikely over an extended period. However, as noted before, the pilot may have been scanning instruments less frequently and for shorter durations due to workload. They may also have been focussing more on the vertical speed indicator than the altimeter after commencing the descent.
  • The aircraft was fitted with a 3-pointer altimeter, which are widely used in small aircraft. Research has shown that pilots can mis-read this type of altimeter, including mis-reading by 1,000 ft, although accidents known to be associated with such errors seem relatively rare.
  • The scenario does not specifically explain why the descent rate increased in the last 30 seconds of the approach. However, the pilot was probably experiencing a very high workload at that time associated with correcting the aircraft’s lateral position (see Second approach - lateral position). The pilot may also have started increasing the amount of time they were looking outside the aircraft for visual cues, and/or their attention was diverted when entering heavy rain. In addition, heavy rain on a windshield is known to create refraction effects that can lead a pilot to perceive that the aircraft is too high, which can result in an unwarranted nose-down correction and flight below the desired flight path (Flight Safety Foundation 2000).[73] 

The third scenario is the pilot intentionally descended below the recommended descent profile and segment minimum safe altitude in order to maximise the chances of becoming visual before reaching the MAPt. For this type of scenario, it is unlikely a pilot would intentionally descend below the MDA before the MAPt unless there were some visual references. With regard to this scenario:

  • There were no indications in the pilot’s recent RNAV GNSS approaches of descending this early on an approach or descending below segment minimum safe altitudes, although it is acknowledged that the pilot had limited experience with having to conduct a second approach in IMC. There was also no indication that the pilot took unnecessary risks in interviews with other pilots who had flown with the pilot.
  • Lockhart River is a location widely known to be problematic in terms of the weather conditions and terrain. Although the pilot had flown to Lockhart River on several occasions, as far as could be determined they had not previously encountered IMC at this location before. Nevertheless, given the location’s reputation, it would be reasonable to expect that the pilot would be conducting approaches cautiously and therefore less likely to descend below altitude limits.
  • If the pilot was intentionally descending early, it is not exactly clear why they would choose to conduct a 3° descent that was about 1,000 ft below the recommended descent profile. However, it is possible the pilot wanted to reach the MDA over water (to ensure more clearance from terrain) and had calculated that such a profile would enable the aircraft to be over water just after reaching the FAF.
  • There was some indication in the recorded data that the aircraft’s descent rate may have briefly reduced near the MDA, with 3 successive data points recorded at 700 ft. This might be associated with an attempt to level out at about the MDA. Alternatively, the descent rate may have only briefly reduced from 700 ft/min to 500–600 ft/min due to the pilot’s workload and attention been focussed on the aircraft’s lateral position at that time, or due to the pilot’s attention being diverted when they entered heavy rain. It is also possible that the 3 data points at the same level were an artefact of the recorded data and there was no significant change in descent rate.
  • If the pilot was attempting to level out at about 700 ft, it is unclear why the aircraft kept descending for over 30 seconds after reaching this altitude at a descent rate of 1,200 ft/min. It is possible the pilot did not retrim the aircraft after levelling out and then did not effectively monitor the altimeter due to other tasks, including looking outside to gain visual references.

In summary, following the missed approach, the pilot immediately conducted another approach to the same runway that was on a similar gradient to the recommended descent profile but displaced about 1,000 ft below that profile. While continuing on this descent profile, the aircraft descended below a segment minimum safe altitude and the minimum descent altitude, then kept descending until the collision with terrain about 6 km before the runway threshold.

Based on the available evidence, it is unlikely that the pilot thought they were one segment out on the approach and there was no specific evidence to indicate that the pilot had or would intentionally descend below the recommended descent profile and below a segment minimum safe altitude. Overall, mis-reading the altimeter by 1,000 ft appears to be the most likely scenario, although there was insufficient evidence to provide a definitive conclusion. Regardless of the exact scenario, it is evident from the continued descent that the pilot did not effectively monitor the aircraft’s altitude and descent rate for an extended period.

Second approach - lateral position

The aircraft was just within the capture region for the IAF LHREA when the pilot commenced the turn towards the IF, and it was then initially significantly to the right of the initial approach track. The pilot corrected the aircraft’s heading, but the aircraft was still more than half full-scale deflection on the course deviation indicator (CDI) at the time it started descending from 3,500 ft. The descent was paused soon after and then recommenced, before the IF, with the aircraft within the required half full-scale deflection in order to descend.

Before reaching the IF, the aircraft was close to the initial approach track. The pilot then turned slightly late at the IF and the aircraft was left of the intermediate approach track, reaching about half full-scale deflection on the CDI. The pilot promptly took corrective action, though the aircraft then started deviating to the right of the approach track about 3 NM prior to the FAF. However, the lateral deviation at that stage was less than half full-scale deflection.  

Nearing the FAF, the sensitivity of the CDI increased, and when the aircraft passed the FAF it was at about full-scale deflection on the CDI (as presented by the Garmin GNS 430W), and then it exceeded full-scale deflection for about 55 seconds (and was outside half-scale deflection for about 60 seconds). The aircraft’s change of track to the left during the final 30 seconds of the approach suggests the pilot had observed the CDI and attempted to correct the situation, but had then flown through the final approach track and, before a further correction back to the right could be conducted, the aircraft impacted terrain.

Given the aircraft was more than half full-scale deflection on the CDI when it reached the FAF, the pilot was required to conduct a missed approach in accordance with the operator’s stabilised approach procedures. It is acknowledged that the GNS 430W presented full-scale CDI deflection more restrictively than the required navigation performance (RNP) requirements specified in Civil Aviation Order (CAO) 20.91 (that is, 0.23 NM compared to the RNP of 0.3 NM at the FAF). Nevertheless, given that the aircraft’s position was at full-scale deflection (rather than half-scale deflection), this difference should not have affected the pilot’s decision.   

In addition, the aircraft was at 0.3 NM lateral displacement shortly after passing the FAF (for about 10 seconds). This would have been displayed to the pilot as more than full-scale CDI deflection, and the lateral displacement distance would also have been displayed on the graphical CDI on the default NAV page of the GNS 430W. Accordingly, the pilot was also required to conduct a missed approach in accordance with the CAO 20.91 requirements at that time.

Finally, with reference to the AIP, the pilot was also required to be within half full-scale deflection on the CDI after passing the FAF before continuing the descent below the previous segment minimum safe altitude (1,800 ft). This should have precluded further descent when passing the FAF (actual altitude 1,100 ft) or soon after (when the actual height was 800 ft and the perceived height may have been 1,800 ft).

It is possible the pilot may not have promptly detected the lateral deviation due to other workload, or they may not have fully realised the extent of the change in the sensitivity of the CDI near the FAF. Alternatively, it is possible that the lateral deviation was due, in part, to the pilot attempting to avoid the most adverse weather.

In summary, the pilot experienced some difficulty controlling the aircraft’s lateral position throughout the second approach. In particular, when passing the FAF and after passing the FAF, the aircraft reached or exceeded the required limits to conduct a missed approach, and a missed approach was not conducted. Regardless of the reason for the lateral deviations, by continuing the approach the pilot significantly increased their workload and the risk of collision with terrain/obstacles.

Second approach - indicated airspeed

The aircraft was at about 135 kt when it passed the FAF, before increasing to 140 kt soon after the FAF. It then increased to 150 kt towards the end of the flight, which was associated with the increased descent rate.

By exceeding the operator’s preferred speed of 110 kt at the FAF, the pilot significantly increased their workload and reduced the time available in the final approach segment to detect and identify other problems with the conduct of the approach (in terms of altitude, descent rate or lateral deviation). More specifically, if the airspeed had been about 110 kt at the FAF, and remained at or below that speed, the pilot would have had over 20 seconds more time prior to the collision to identify problems with the aircraft’s flight path (as well as additional time prior to reaching the FAF). A lower speed would also have made it easier to effectively correct the aircraft’s lateral position.

Unstable approach

Overall, at times during the conduct of the second approach, the pilot appeared to experience difficulty controlling the aircraft’s lateral position, and after passing the FAF they did not effectively control the aircraft’s altitude, descent rate, lateral position and airspeed. As already noted, the approach did not meet the operator’s stabilised approach criteria for lateral deviation at the FAF, and the pilot was required to conduct a missed approach at that point.

In addition, the second approach did not meet the stabilised approach criteria for airspeed (110 kt maximum) or descent rate (1,000 ft/min) at the operator’s applicable height of 300 ft above aerodrome elevation. At this point, the aircraft was travelling at about 150 kt and descending at 1,200 ft/min. However, given that the pilot may have believed the aircraft was 1,000 ft higher than it actually was during the approach, or may have thought they were in level flight near the MDA, they may have not yet considered these stabilised approach criteria.  

Factors influencing pilot performance

Introduction

As previously noted, there was no evidence to indicate that the pilot was incapacitated during the accident flight. There was also no evidence to indicate the pilot was experiencing fatigue. The investigation considered a range of other factors that could have influenced the pilot’s performance, including workload, instrument flying proficiency, awareness of procedural requirements, and operational, social or organisational pressures.

Workload and monitoring

Single-pilot operations under the instrument flight rules (IFR), conducting instrument approaches in poor visibility and hand flying an aircraft are all demanding tasks. A pilot needs to be regularly scanning and interpreting the flight instruments, GPS unit (or navigational display) and approach chart, and assimilating the information from multiple sources. As they near the MAPt, they also need to be looking outside to evaluate the visual conditions.

It could not be determined with certainty whether the pilot was using a paper approach chart clamped to the control column and/or was referring to an iPad with the approach chart displayed. Based on the evidence available, it was more likely the pilot was using an iPad, but it was not clear whether it was secured to the control column or if it was on the pilot’s knee. If they were routinely scanning an iPad that was not fixed to the control column, this would have increased the difficulty of the pilot’s scanning and exacerbated the inherent workload associated with the tasks.

Overall, the pilot’s workload on the second approach was elevated throughout the approach compared to the first approach (and other recent instrument approaches conducted by the pilot). Initially the workload was elevated because they joined the approach directly after conducting the missed approach and from just within the capture region of the IAF LHREA. This limited their time to prepare for the approach, and also required more manoeuvring than normal at the IAF.

After turning at the IAF, the pilot’s workload was further elevated by the need to correct the aircraft’s track while also reducing airspeed. As previously noted, it was during this period that the pilot decided to commence the descent from 3,500 ft, which also involved selecting the approach flap and lowering the landing gear soon after.

The pilot’s workload after turning at the IF was also elevated due to the turn being slightly late and then needing to correct the aircraft’s track. This workload would have been significantly elevated after passing the FAF, with the deviation from the final approach track needing more significant correction, as well as due to potentially starting to look more outside the aircraft to assess the visual conditions.

At some point the aircraft probably entered rain, and this would also have increased the pilot’s workload and the difficulty of their task. The presence of rain decreases contrast in the visual environment, making it more difficult to detect terrain features. This effect is exacerbated when approaching or flying over water. In addition, as already discussed, heavy rain on a windshield can lead to a perception of being too high. Light rain can also result in a pilot misperceiving their aircraft to be higher than it is, resulting in a tendency to pitch down (Gibb and others 2010, Flight Safety Foundation 2000b, Previc 2004).

A further factor potentially increasing the difficulty of the pilot’s task after passing the FAF was the increasing sensitivity of the Garmin GNS 430W’s CDI. At and just past the FAF, where a decision to conduct a missed approach should have been made, full-scale deflection on the 430W was not significantly different to the RNP. Towards the MAPt, the 430W was significantly more restrictive than the RNP. The pilot should have been familiar with the system, although the extent to which they fully appreciated the effect of the increasing sensitivity could not be determined.

As previously noted, the omission of the broadcast at 5 NM could be an indication of the pilot’s high workload at that time. In addition, the aircraft’s increased descent rate and speed in the final 30 seconds as the pilot was correcting the lateral deviation is also consistent with the effects of high workload, reducing the ability to monitor and effectively control multiple flight parameters at the same time.

As previously discussed, the pilot’s workload could have been reduced by conducting the approach at a lower airspeed prior to and after the FAF. In addition, there were other available options after conducting the missed approach, including taking more time prior to conducting the second approach and commencing it from another position (for example, tracking further away from the IAF and then approaching it from closer to the centre of its capture region). Alternatively, the pilot could have conducted a holding pattern and waited for the weather to pass before attempting the second approach.

Such options would have provided more time to prepare for the approach and minimise the potential for altitude, descent rate or lateral deviations or other workload problems. These options may also have provided the pilot more opportunity to use the autopilot to reduce their sustained workload prior to initiating the second approach. 

Instrument flying proficiency

Many pilots experience some difficulty with developing instrument flying skills and then consistently maintaining those skills. The pilot of the accident flight experienced some difficulties obtaining their initial instrument rating in 2014, and also experienced some difficulties in subsequent instrument proficiency checks (IPCs) in 2016 (underpinning knowledge) and 2017 (mis-reading the altimeter), before passing subsequent assessments. The pilot also experienced significant difficulties in conducting instrument approaches, including the management of multiple flight parameters at the same time, when being assessed in an airline simulator in early 2018, albeit in a much different environment to their previous operations.

The pilot’s last IPC was conducted in August 2019, 7 months prior to the accident, and no problems were noted. However, on that occasion, the Cessna 310 aircraft used for the check was fitted with a navigational system capable of providing vertical guidance for an RNAV GNSS approach. As far as could be determined, the pilot’s instrument flying skills using VH-OZO (a Cessna 404 with GNS 430 GPS units) or similar aircraft had not been observed by the chief pilot or a flight examiner pilot since they were cleared for line operations in October 2018.

Since their last IPC, the pilot had regularly logged RNAV GNSS approaches in VH-OZO and these approaches were generally flown accurately. However, these approaches were almost all conducted in VMC, which would have provided the pilot with cues to identify and correct problems with the aircraft’s position.

The pilot had only conducted one previous approach since the last IPC that potentially encountered IMC for a brief period, at Aurukun on 22 January 2020. This approach was not initiated in the pilot’s normal manner (with a descent from about 5,000 ft at the IAF). In addition, the aircraft reached the MDA 200–300 ft below the recommended descent profile and there were problems with speed control, with the speed after the FAF reaching 145 kt.

Overall, it was difficult to assess the pilot’s instrument flying skills at the time of the accident. Given the limited number of recent RNAV GNSS approaches in IMC or simulated IMC, it is conceivable that the pilot would have experienced significant workload in conducting an approach in IMC, particularly in circumstances where the approach required them to use a different method to normal. They would probably also have had limited ability to manage any additional problems or tasks that occurred during the conduct of an approach in IMC.   

Awareness of procedural requirements

The operator’s published flight profile for an RNAV GNSS approach required a Cessna 404 to be at an indicated airspeed of about 90–100 kt at the FAF. However, interviews with the operator’s relevant personnel suggested that the operator’s preferred speed was probably about 110 kt. Given that the one-engine inoperative best rate of climb speed for the aircraft type was 102 kt (flap in the take-off/approach position and gear up), 110 kt was a more appropriate speed at the FAF. The pilot’s approaches routinely exceeded the operator’s preferred speed by a significant margin, with speeds of 130–140 kt being common.

Although the pilot should have been familiar with the contents of the operations manual, it is unclear to what extent they were aware of the flight profile speed or the operator’s preferred speed, and, if they were aware, the extent to which they thought these were reasonable expectations. In other regards, the pilot appeared to be conducting RNAV GNSS approaches in a manner consistent with the chief pilot’s expectations, using a constant descent from about 5,000 ft at the IAF in order to maximise the potential for a stabilised approach.

Having held an instrument rating since 2014, and been subject to many IPCs since then, the pilot should have been aware of the requirement to be to be no faster than 130 kt after the FAF while conducting an RNAV GNSS approach. They should also have been aware of the operator’s requirement to be within half-scale deflection of CDI in the final approach segment.

There were no indications from interviews with various people who flew with the pilot to suggest that the pilot routinely or intentionally deviated from procedural requirements. Given many of the pilot’s previous instrument approaches were conducted in VMC, it is possible the pilot did not consider that some procedural requirements, such as keeping the speed below 130 kt, were essential during such approaches. The pilot may have then become familiar with using such speeds and, when actually conducting approaches in IMC, did not fully recognise the problem. Alternatively, as already discussed, these speed deviations on the approaches in IMC may have been unintentional and were symptoms of high workload and/or limited proficiency.

Operational, social and organisational pressures

Pilots conducting passenger charter flights can experience or perceive a range of social and organisational pressures that can influence the potential to conduct or continue flights in unsuitable conditions (Paletz and others 2009, Michalski and Bearman 2014). These can include not wanting to disappoint customers, reluctance to admit defeat or time-related pressures.

Although such pressures can exist in operational environments, the ATSB identified no evidence to indicate the pilot was subject to any pressure to conduct this flight, complete the flight as quickly as possible, or to deviate from procedural requirements. The chief pilot had previously cancelled flights due to poor weather, but the forecast conditions in this case did not necessitate that the flight be cancelled.

As previously noted, the pilot had ensured the aircraft had sufficient fuel to conduct holding after arrival at Lockhart River, and divert or return to Cairns. They had also conducted holding for an extended period after a missed approach on a previous flight to Aurukun while waiting for a storm to pass, without any apparent negative social or organisational consequences.

As noted above, it is possible that, following the missed approach during the accident flight, the pilot assessed that the weather conditions were worsening and they had limited time to conduct a second approach before a more extensive delay. It is also possible that the pilot was worried about some aspect of the aircraft’s serviceability and did not want to delay the flight further. However, as previously noted, there was no evidence available to indicate a problem with the aircraft’s serviceability.

The pilot had previously commented to a passenger that they would only ever attempt 2 approaches prior to diverting. To what extent this may have placed self-imposed pressure on the pilot on this occasion to continue the approach could not to be determined.

Summary

In summary, the pilot was probably experiencing a very high workload during periods of the second approach. In addition to the normal high workload associated with a single pilot hand flying an approach in IMC, the pilot’s workload was elevated due to conducting an immediate entry into the second approach, conducting the approach in a different manner to their normal method, the need to correct lateral tracking deviations throughout the approach, and higher than appropriate speeds in the final approach segment. The workload was potentially further exacerbated by the pilot having limited recent experience in conducting RNAV GNSS approaches in IMC.

There was no evidence to indicate any organisational or commercial pressures on the pilot to complete the flight, but the extent to which self-imposed pressures or incomplete knowledge of procedural requirements influenced the pilot’s performance could not be reliably determined.

Risk controls for minimising the likelihood of controlled flight into terrain

Introduction

CFIT accidents have been a significant problem over the years, although the rate of such accidents has been decreasing. In Australia, the number of CFIT accidents during instrument approaches decreased from 9 in the 10-year period 1996–2005 and only 1 in the subsequent 15 years (that is, the accident involving VH-OZO at Lockhart River).

This decrease can be attributed, at least in part, to improved instrument approach designs, the increased use of better equipment to display relevant lateral and vertical navigational information, the increased fitment of a terrain warning system (TAWS), and greater use of constant descent angle approaches. However, risk factors still remain, particularly for smaller operators.

Air Connect Australia was a very small operator, with effectively only 2 pilots and one conducting almost all of the operator’s flights. Nevertheless, it conducted passenger transport operations in an aircraft with up to 9 passengers, and multiple factors existed that indicated a significant CFIT risk. These factors included:

  • single-pilot operations under the IFR
  • many of the operator’s destination aerodromes were in uncontrolled airspace and outside radar coverage
  • most of the destination aerodromes offered only non-precision approaches with limited runway lighting systems and without visual approach slope indicating systems
  • some of the destination aerodromes (such as Lockhart River) were associated with frequent rainfall or adverse weather conditions.

Although the operator had started introducing a safety management system (SMS), it had not developed a formal hazard register and a formalised approach to addressing the risk of hazards such as CFIT. The operator had introduced various measures to manage CFIT risk, such as a flight profile and stabilised approach criteria. However, there were limitations with these and some of the operator’s other risk controls.

Design of the flight profile

The operator’s operations manual included a flight profile for RNAV GNSS and other straight-in runway approaches. Such a flight profile can be an effective way of summarising an operator’s requirements and expectations for pilots regarding how an approach should be conducted.

However, as previously noted, the stated speed on the profile at the FAF (Vref to Vref + 10 kt) was very conservative and unrealistic in most situations. In addition, it did not appear to reflect the expectations of the operator’s key personnel (which equated to Vref + 20 kt or about 110 kt). The flight profile also did not include any requirements or expectations at the IF, which increased the potential for ambiguity.

Design of stabilised approach criteria

An essential and effective means of minimising the risk of CFIT accidents is for an operator to publish clear and relevant stabilised approach criteria, and then ensure that flight crew are aware of and comply with these criteria. Air Connect Australia’s stabilised approach criteria covered relevant parameters and factors, such as airspeed, configuration, descent rate, lateral tracking and briefings/checklists. The chief pilot also reportedly promoted the use of stabilised approaches to the pilot.

However, other than for lateral flight path deviations, the operator’s published criteria had an applicable height of 300 ft above aerodrome elevation for operations in both IMC and VMC. Such a height will have limited effectiveness for non-precision (or 2D) instrument approaches conducted in IMC, particularly given that the MDA for such approaches will often be above 300 ft. An applicable height of 1,000 ft above aerodrome elevation in IMC is widely recommended, including for operations in small aeroplanes. This will enable pilots to ensure that an approach is stable well before reaching the MAPt, reducing workload and maximising the time available to monitor the approach and identify and correct any problems.

The pilot of the accident flight generally appeared to be close to the stabilised approach speed of 110 kt at 300 ft in most of the instrument approaches examined by the ATSB, with 2 main exceptions being the first approach at Aurukun on 22 January and the first approach at Lockhart River, both of which resulted in missed approaches. Based on this information, the pilot appeared to be generally complying with the stabilised approach criteria. Therefore, had the operator specified an applicable height of 1,000 ft in IMC, it seems likely that the pilot would generally have been conducting approaches with a lower speed at this height.

However, it is not clear whether an applicable height of 1,000 ft would have influenced the pilot’s performance and changed the outcome of the second approach on the accident flight. As previously discussed, the exact reasons why the aircraft was descending below the recommended descent profile could not be determined. The pilot may have believed the aircraft was 1,000 ft higher than it was, and therefore thought the aircraft was still above 1,000 ft in the period immediately prior to the collision. Nevertheless, if they were effectively monitoring the flight instruments and complying with the criteria, they should have been slowing down well before reaching an altitude of 1,100 ft (the applicable height at Lockhart River given the aerodrome elevation).

An applicable stabilised approach height of 1,000 ft has been widely recommended by organisations such as the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), the Flight Safety Foundation (FSF) and overseas regulators. However, as of the time of the accident, no formal guidance regarding the content of stabilised approach criteria had been published for Australian operators by the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA). The ATSB has identified a number of Australian operators over the years conducting passenger transport operations under the IFR with applicable heights for all approaches of 300 ft. Accordingly, providing more specific formal guidance in Australia should reduce the likelihood that other operators will use such heights as the reference point for their criteria for all approaches.

It is acknowledged that operators need to tailor stabilised approach criteria to their specific aircraft and operations, and the use of 300 ft may be appropriate for some criteria on some types of approaches. In particular, circling approaches could involve a turn onto final approach at about 500 ft, and therefore cannot meet all stabilised approach criteria until about 300 ft (which is acknowledged in the FSF’s recommended criteria). In addition, it may not be appropriate to select full flap on many smaller aeroplanes until much lower than 1,000 ft on an approach (although other criteria could be met at a different height).

Nevertheless, with greater use of straight-in approaches, all operators should ensure the applicable heights for their stabilised approach criteria are consistent with contemporary guidance where possible for such approaches, particularly for operations in IMC.

Fitment of a terrain avoidance and warning systems

The use of a terrain avoidance and warning system (TAWS) has been shown to significantly reduce the risk of a CFIT. However, VH-OZO was not fitted with a TAWS, nor was one required to be fitted.

Given the aircraft’s descent profile on the second approach, if a TAWS had been fitted and been operational, it would have provided the pilot with both visual and aural alerts of the approaching terrain for an extended period. Accordingly, it is very likely that the accident would not have occurred.

The requirements for a TAWS have been increasing over time. However, the requirements in Australian have lagged behind those in comparable countries, and they were also not consistent with ICAO standards and recommended practices. In Australia there was a requirement for turbine-engine aeroplanes carrying 10 or more passengers on air transport flights under the IFR to be fitted with a TAWS, whereas the ICAO standard required aeroplanes authorised to carry 10 or more passengers to be fitted with a TAWS, regardless of the number of passengers carried on a flight. More importantly:

  • There was no requirement for piston-engine aeroplanes conducting air transport operations to be fitted with a TAWS, even though this had been an ICAO standard since 2007 for such aeroplanes authorised to carry 10 or more passengers, and this standard had been adopted as a requirement in many comparable countries.
  • There was no requirement for turbine-engine aeroplanes conducting air transport operations that were authorised to carry 6–9 passengers to be fitted with a TAWS, even though this had been an ICAO recommended practice since 2007, and this recommended practice had been adopted as a requirement in many comparable countries.

CASA had been consulting on applying TAWS requirements to more aircraft since 2008, and had proposed introducing a TAWS requirement for aeroplanes conducting air transport operations (turbine- and piston-engine) with a maximum operational passenger seat configuration (MOPSC) of 6 or more in 2012. However, following consultation with industry, this proposal was amended in 2018 to only require aeroplanes with a MOPSC of 10 or more to be fitted with a TAWS, with the application date being December 2021 or December 2022 depending on various factors.

VH-OZO had 12 seats that could be used by passengers and therefore it had a MOPSC of 12 when used for single-pilot operations. If it remained in that configuration, the operator would have had to have fitted a TAWS to the aircraft by December 2022 and, by December 2024, operated the aircraft under CASR Part 121 (which imposed additional requirements, including 2 pilots for all flights). Given that context, it is likely that an operator in this situation would have chosen to modify such an aircraft so that its MOPSC was 9 or less. Consequently, even if the changes to the TAWS requirements had been introduced in Australia earlier, they probably would not have resulted in an aircraft such as VH-OZO being fitted with a TAWS.

In terms of other comparable countries, only Canada has introduced a requirement for piston-engine aeroplanes with a passenger seating capacity of 6–9 seats to be fitted with a TAWS. However, it is noted that Canada generally experiences more adverse weather conditions than most areas of Australia.

In summary, there was no requirement for VH-OZO to be fitted with a TAWS, and piston-engine aeroplanes with a passenger seating capacity of 6–9 seats were not required to have a TAWS in most comparable countries. Accordingly, it would probably have been difficult to justify mandating that such aeroplanes be fitted with a TAWS in Australia.

Nevertheless, the lessons from the VH-OZO accident (and many previous accidents) are clear: all operators conducting passenger transport operations under the IFR in aircraft that do not currently have a TAWS should recognise the substantial benefits of a TAWS, and be actively seeking to install a TAWS in their aircraft to maximise the safety of their operations.

Use of the GNS 430W terrain awareness function

Although not developed to the same standard and with the same functionality as a TAWS, the Garmin GNS 430W units fitted to VH-OZO had a terrain awareness function that was capable of providing visual pop-up terrain alerts. If the function was selected on, then the system should have displayed a terrain alert to the pilot within the last 30 seconds of the flight (and potentially longer).

However, the terrain awareness function could be inhibited by a pilot, in which case no terrain alerts would be displayed. It could not be determined whether the function was selected or inhibited during the approaches at Lockhart River.

Given the pilot had significant experience using GPS units with a terrain awareness function, it would be expected that they were aware of the function and had seen terrain alerts in the past. However, the investigation could not determine how the pilot normally used the function (that is, whether they normally had it selected on or inhibited).  

The Garmin 400W Series Pilot’s Guide & Reference manual explicitly stated that the system’s terrain awareness function was to be used for supplemental awareness only and was not to be relied upon for terrain avoidance. Nevertheless, although not as effective as a TAWS, the terrain awareness function could still be a valuable tool during instrument approaches in IMC if an operator (and its pilots) had clearly-defined procedures, training and guidance on how to effectively and safely use the function.

For example, an operator could require its pilots to confirm that the function was selected on as part of the descent checklist (particularly when conducting an instrument approach). However, the operator of VH-OZO did not have any explicit procedures or guidance, and this was similar to other operators who used the same type of equipment.

Vertical guidance information

At the time of the accident, the approaches available to the pilot at Lockhart River were RNAV GNSS approaches available for runways 12 and 30, and an NDB approach for runway 30. These were non-precision approaches that did not provide vertical guidance to pilots.

More advanced GPS/navigational systems than the GNS 430W, such as that fitted to the aircraft in which the pilot conducted their most recent IPC, can provide vertical guidance to aid in maintaining the correct vertical profile for a non-precision RNAV GNSS approach.  

Vertical guidance information (showing the aircraft’s vertical position during the approach) would have significantly assisted the pilot in maintaining awareness of the aircraft’s vertical position and would have provided a salient indication that the aircraft was dangerously low for an extended period. Having vertical guidance available would also have reduced the pilot’s workload, such as reducing the extent of the mental calculations required to ascertain the aircraft’s position versus altitude and any necessary corrections to the descent rate.

There was no requirement for VH-OZO to be fitted a GPS/navigational system that provided vertical guidance information. However, in the absence of a TAWS, such a system could have significantly reduced the risk of CFIT during instrument approaches.

Monitoring of line operations

The pilot generally conducted instrument approaches in a manner that was consistent with the chief pilot’s preferred method. However, the approaches were also conducted at speeds significantly higher than the operator’s preferred speed. Although they were having regular discussions with the pilot about their flights, the chief pilot had no awareness that this was occurring.

One means of identifying potential problems with the conduct of line operations is through regular proficiency checks. The pilot had not received an operator proficiency check (OPC) since being checked to line in October 2018, and the chief pilot (or the designated flight examiner who could conduct OPCs) had also not flown with the pilot since that time. The pilot had completed an IPC in August 2019, although with a flight examiner who was not familiar with the operator’s procedures and in a different aircraft, with different navigational equipment, than the operator used.   

At the time of the accident, there was no specific regulatory requirement for most charter operators to conduct OPCs on their pilots (though pilots conducting IFR operations still needed to undertake an IPC every 12 months). However, as of December 2021, such operators needed to conduct OPCs (or flight crew member proficiency checks) every 6 months.

It is acknowledged that OPCs will not necessarily identify all problems, and pilots may sometimes perform differently when being observed compared to when they are not being observed. However, such checks provide a valuable opportunity for identifying potential misunderstandings regarding the operator’s expectations about how key aspects of flight operations should be conducted.

Another option now readily available to small operators is the use of GPS-based flight data, either through an electronic flight bag application (EFB) or via other sources. Such data may only include some basic flight parameters, which is not as useful as a flight data recorder or other device specifically designed for monitoring flight operations. However, it could still assist with evaluating some aspects of flight operations, including the way instrument approaches are conducted.

Reviewing recorded GPS-based flight data would require a chief pilot or other designated person to be aware of the limitations of the data, and the process would be best done cooperatively with pilots. Nevertheless, the process would not require significant resources and, if done on a regular basis, could help identify potential misunderstandings regarding the operator’s expectations and also provide useful feedback and learning opportunities for pilots.

Hazard awareness training

As stated by the FSF, another useful mitigator for reducing the risk of CFITs is hazard awareness training. The operator had not developed any hazard awareness training material relating to CFIT, and it would be difficult for a small operator to develop a detailed and tailored training program. Nevertheless, various resources from the FSF could be selected and used to provide some guidance information to pilots, together with focussed discussions regarding flight profiles and stabilised approach criteria.

Summary

Ideally, in order to minimise the risk of CFIT, operators conducting passenger transport operations under the IFR would use aircraft fitted with a TAWS and/or have a GPS/navigational system that provides vertical guidance during a non-precision instrument approach. However, without such equipment being a regulatory requirement, it would be difficult for some operators to justify the cost, including in cases where they are leasing the aircraft from another organisation (as was the case with Air Connect Australia).

Nevertheless, there are other means available for such operators to minimise CFIT risk. In this case, the operator had included stabilised approach criteria and flight profiles in its operations manual, and it encouraged the use of stabilised approaches. However, there were problems with the applicable height for the criteria (that is, not 1,000 in IMC) and the flight profile for straight-in approaches did not fully reflect the operator’s requirements or preferences. The operator had also not developed clear procedures and guidance for the use of the terrain awareness function in the aircraft’s 430W GPS/navigational units, and had not conducted regular OPCs or other checks of line operations. Overall, improving these procedural controls would have reduced the operator’s CFIT risk and probably reduced the likelihood of this particular accident.

It is likely that many of these limitations will also exist in other small operators conducting passenger transport operations in small aircraft. Accordingly, this accident has provided many important lessons to such operators regarding ways they can minimise their CFIT risk during IFR operations. These are summarised in the Executive summary.

Findings

ATSB investigation report findings focus on safety factors (that is, events and conditions that increase risk). Safety factors include ‘contributing factors’ and ‘other factors that increased risk’ (that is, factors that did not meet the definition of a contributing factor for this occurrence but were still considered important to include in the report for the purpose of increasing awareness and enhancing safety). In addition ‘other findings’ may be included to provide important information about topics other than safety factors. 

Safety issues are highlighted in bold to emphasise their importance. A safety issue is a safety factor that (a) can reasonably be regarded as having the potential to adversely affect the safety of future operations, and (b) is a characteristic of an organisation or a system, rather than a characteristic of a specific individual, or characteristic of an operating environment at a specific point in time.

These findings should not be read as apportioning blame or liability to any particular organisation or individual.

From the evidence available, the following findings are made with respect to the controlled flight into terrain involving a Cessna 404 aircraft, registered VH-OZO, which occurred near Lockhart River Airport, Queensland, on 11 March 2020.

Contributing factors

  • While the pilot was operating in the vicinity of Lockhart River Airport, there were areas of cloud and rain that significantly reduced visibility and increased the risk of controlled flight into terrain. In particular, the aircraft probably entered areas of significantly reduced visibility during the second approach.
  • After an area navigation (RNAV) global satellite system (GNSS) approach to runway 30 and missed approach, the pilot immediately conducted another approach to the same runway that was on a similar gradient to the recommended descent profile but displaced about 1,000 ft below that profile. While continuing on this descent profile, the aircraft descended below a segment minimum safe altitude and the minimum descent altitude, then kept descending until the collision with terrain about 6 km before the runway threshold.
  • Although the exact reasons for the aircraft being significantly below the recommended descent profile and the continued descent below the minimum descent altitude could not be determined, it was evident that the pilot did not effectively monitor the aircraft’s altitude and descent rate for an extended period.
  • When passing the final approach fix (FAF), the aircraft’s lateral position was at about full-scale deflection on the course deviation indicator (CDI), and it then exceeded full-scale deflection for an extended period. In accordance with the operator’s stabilised approach procedures, a missed approach should have been conducted if the aircraft exceeded half full-scale deflection at the FAF, however a missed approach was not conducted.
  • The pilot was probably experiencing a very high workload during periods of the second approach. In addition to the normal high workload associated with a single pilot hand flying an approach in instrument meteorological conditions, the pilot’s workload was elevated due to conducting an immediate entry into the second approach, conducting the approach in a different manner to their normal method, the need to correct lateral tracking deviations throughout the approach, and higher than appropriate speeds in the final approach segment.
  • The aircraft was not fitted with a terrain avoidance and warning system (TAWS). Such a system would have provided visual and aural alerts to the pilot of the approaching terrain for an extended period, reducing the risk of controlled flight into terrain.
  • Although the aircraft was fitted with a GPS/navigational system suitable for an area navigation (RNAV) global satellite system (GNSS) approach and other non-precision approaches, it was not fitted with a system that provided vertical guidance information, which would have explicitly indicated that the aircraft was well below the recommended descent profile.
  • Although the operator had specified a flight profile for a straight-in approaches and stabilised approach criteria in its operations manual, and encouraged the use of stabilised approaches, there were limitations with the design of these procedures. In addition, there were limitations with other risk controls for minimising the risk of controlled flight into terrain (CFIT), including no procedures or guidance for the use of the terrain awareness function on the aircraft’s GNS 430W GPS/navigational units and limited monitoring of the conduct of line operations. (Safety Issue)

Other factors that increased risk

  • Although an applicable height of 1,000 ft for stabilised approach criteria in instrument meteorological conditions has been widely recommended by organisations such as the International Civil Aviation Organization for over 20 years, the Civil Aviation Safety Authority had not provided formal guidance information to Australian operators regarding the content of stabilised approach criteria. (Safety issue)
  • The Australian requirements for installing a terrain avoidance and warning system (TAWS) were less than those of other comparable countries for some types of small aeroplanes conducting air transport operations, and the requirements were not consistent with International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) standards and recommended practices. More specifically, although there was a TAWS requirement in Australia for turbine-engine aeroplanes carrying 10 or more passengers under the instrument flight rules: 
    • There was no requirement for piston-engine aeroplanes to be fitted with a TAWS, even though this was an ICAO standard for such aeroplanes authorised to carry 10 or more passengers, and this standard had been adopted as a requirement in many comparable countries.
    • There was no requirement for turbine-engine aeroplanes authorised to carry 6–9 passengers to be fitted with a TAWS, even though this had been an ICAO recommended practice since 2007, and this recommended practice had been adopted as a requirement in many comparable countries. (Safety Issue)

Other findings

  • The forecast weather at Lockhart River for the time of the aircraft’s arrival required the pilot to plan for 60 minutes holding or diversion to an alternate aerodrome. The aircraft had sufficient fuel for that purpose; and the aircraft had sufficient fuel to conduct the flight from Cairns to Lockhart River and return, with additional fuel for holding on both sectors if required.
  • There was no evidence of any organisational or commercial pressure to conduct the flight to Lockhart River or to complete the flight once to commenced.
  • Based on the available evidence, it is very unlikely that the pilot was incapacitated or impaired during the flight.
  • There was no evidence of any aircraft system or mechanical anomalies that would have directly influenced the accident. However, as a consequence of extensive aircraft damage, it was not possible to be conclusive about the aircraft’s serviceability.
  • The aircraft was fitted with Garmin GNS 430W GPS/navigational units that could be configured to provide visual (but not aural) terrain alerts. However, it could not be determined whether the terrain awareness function was selected on during the accident flight.

Safety issues and actions

Central to the ATSB’s investigation of transport safety matters is the early identification of safety issues. The ATSB expects relevant organisations will address all safety issues an investigation identifies.

Depending on the level of risk of a safety issue, the extent of corrective action taken by the relevant organisation(s), or the desirability of directing a broad safety message to the aviation industry, the ATSB may issue a formal safety recommendation or safety advisory notice as part of the final report.

All of the directly involved parties were provided with a draft report and invited to provide submissions. As part of that process, each organisation was asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they had carried out or were planning to carry out in relation to each safety issue relevant to their organisation.

Descriptions of each safety issue, and any associated safety recommendations, are detailed below. Click the link to read the full safety issue description, including the issue status and any safety action/s taken. Safety issues and actions are updated on this website when safety issue owners provide further information concerning the implementation of safety action.

Operator’s risk controls to mitigate CFIT risk

Safety issue number: AO-2020-017-SI-01

Safety issue description: Although the operator had specified a flight profile for a straight-in approaches and stabilised approach criteria in its operations manual, and encouraged the use of stabilised approaches, there were limitations with the design of these procedures. In addition, there were limitations with other risk controls for minimising the risk of controlled flight into terrain (CFIT), including no procedures or guidance for the use of the terrain awareness function on the aircraft’s GNS 430W GPS/navigational units, and limited monitoring of the conduct of line operations.

Regulatory requirements for TAWS

Safety issue number: AO-2020-017-SI-02

Safety issue description: The Australian requirements for installing a terrain avoidance and warning system (TAWS) were less than those of other comparable countries for some types of small aeroplanes conducting air transport operations, and the requirements were not consistent with International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) standards and recommended practices. More specifically, although there was a TAWS requirement in Australia for turbine-engine aeroplanes carrying 10 or more passengers under the instrument flight rules:

  • There was no requirement for piston-engine aeroplanes to be fitted with a TAWS, even though this was an ICAO standard for such aeroplanes authorised to carry 10 or more passengers, and this standard had been adopted as a requirement in many comparable countries.
  • There was no requirement for turbine-engine aeroplanes authorised to carry 6–9 passengers to be fitted with a TAWS, even though this had been an ICAO recommended practice since 2007, and this recommended practice had been adopted as a requirement in many comparable countries.

Regulatory guidance for stabilised approach criteria

Safety issue number: AO-2020-017-SI-03

Safety issue description: Although an applicable height of 1,000 ft for stabilised approach criteria in instrument meteorological conditions has been widely recommended by organisations such as the International Civil Aviation Organization for over 20 years, the Civil Aviation Safety Authority had not provided formal guidance information to Australian operators regarding the content of stabilised approach criteria.

Safety action not associated with an identified safety issue

Whether or not the ATSB identifies safety issues in the course of an investigation, relevant organisations may proactively initiate safety action in order to reduce their safety risk. All of the directly involved parties are invited to provide submissions to this draft report. As part of that process, each organisation is asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they have carried out to reduce the risk associated with this type of occurrences in the future. The ATSB has so far been advised of the following proactive safety action in response to this occurrence.
Additional safety action by Aerotrack

The owner of Aerotrack has made a change to the tool to ensure compliance with Civil Aviation Safety Regulation 61.875. As a result, only instrument flight rules (IFR) flights with over 1 hour IFR flight time were included in the calculation of recency, and decimals were not included in the calculation.

Additional safety action regarding instrument approach types

A barometric vertical navigation (Baro-VNAV) approach with vertical guidance (APVs) enables a suitably-equipped aircraft’s systems to compute and display a vertical guidance path. Accordingly, they are a 3D instrument approach. Airservices Australia has been implementing Baro-VNAV APV approaches since 2016. After the accident (in December 2020), a Baro-VNAV approach was implemented at Lockhart River (and several other airports in Australia). However, this type of approach requires the aircraft to have a flight management system and VH-OZO was not equipped to conduct a Baro-VNAV approach.

Additional safety action regarding recurrent proficiency checks

On 2 December 2021, CASR Part 135 (Australian air transport operations – smaller aeroplanes) commenced. Air transport operations included passenger transport operations, regardless of whether they were scheduled or charter operations.

It included a requirement for operators to conduct proficiency checks on pilots, with the requirements for such checks to be specified in the Manual of Standards (MOS). The MOS for Part 135 defined a flight crew member proficiency check as:

… an assessment, conducted by an aeroplane’s operator in accordance with the operator’s exposition, of whether a person is competent to safely carry out the person’s duties as a flight crew member in the aeroplane, which relates to the matters mentioned in subsection 12.05(2).

Standard 12.08 stated:

(3) The flight crew member must successfully undertake the operator’s flight crew member proficiency check, for the relevant type or class of aeroplane, as follows:

(a) for a flight crew member only conducting a flight under the VFR by day — subject to subsections (4) and (5), initially 6 months after first commencing unsupervised line operations for the operator, and then at intervals of 1 year after the previous proficiency check;

(b) otherwise — subject to subsections (4) and (5), initially 6 months after first commencing unsupervised line operations for the operator, and then at intervals of 6 months after the previous proficiency check.

For the 1-year requirement, the check could be done within 90 days of the required date and for the 6-months requirement the check could be done within 30 days of the required date.

The matters specified in 12.05(2) were:

(a) training in the duties and responsibilities for the flight crew member’s position;

(b) training in the standard operating procedures for the type or class of aeroplane used for the flight;

(c) training in the normal, non-normal and emergency procedures for an aeroplane of that type or class;

(d) training in any flight procedures or manoeuvres, conducted in an aeroplane of that type or class, for which the operator holds an approval under regulation 91.045, or 135.020, of CASR;

Note: Examples of approvals issued under regulation 91.045, or 135.020, of CASR include approvals to conduct low visibility operations and flights using certain PBN navigation specifications.

(e) training in the procedures for any other operations conducted by the operator in an aeroplane of that type or class that the flight crew member has not previously experienced, for example, precision runway monitor operations or land and hold short operations.

Glossary

ADS-B              Automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast

AFRU               Aerodrome frequency response unit

AGL                  Above ground level

AIP                   Aviation information publication

AOC                 Air operator’s certificate

APV                 Approach with vertical guidance

ATC                  Air traffic control

AWIS                Automated weather information service

AWS                 Automatic weather station

BARS               Basic aviation risk standard (a Flight Safety Foundation program)

BoM                 Bureau of Meteorology

CASA               Civil Aviation Safety Authority

CASR               Civil Aviation Safety Regulations

CDI                   Course deviation indicator

CFIT                 Controlled flight into terrain

CTAF                Common traffic advisory frequency

DETRESFA       Distress phase

EFB                  Electronic flight bag

EST                  Eastern Standard Time

ETA                  Estimated time of arrival

FAF                  Final approach fix

FLTA                Forward looking terrain avoidance (a function of the Garmin GNS 430W unit)

FMS                 Flight management system

FSF                  Flight Safety Foundation

GAF                 Graphical area forecast

GNSS               Global navigation satellite system

GPS                 Global positioning system

GPWS              Ground proximity warning system

GPWT               Grid point wind and temperature chart

HF                    High frequency

IAF                   Initial approach fix

ICAO                International Civil Aviation Organization

IF                     Intermediate fix

IFR                   Instrument flight rules

ILS                   Instrument landing system

IMC                  Instrument meteorological conditions

INCERFA          Uncertainty phase

IPC                   Instrument proficiency check

JRCC                Joint Rescue Coordination Centre

LCD                  Liquid crystal display

LNAV                Lateral navigation

MAPt                Missed approach point

MDA                 Minimum descent altitude

METAR             Meteorological aerodrome report

MOPSC            Maximum operational passenger seat configuration

NAIPS              National Aeronautical information Processing System

NM                   Nautical miles

NOTAM             Notice to airmen

NPRM               Notice of proposed rule making

OPC                 Operator proficiency check

PDA                 Premature descent alert (a function of the Garmin GNS 430W unit)

PLB                  Personal locator beacon

POH                 Pilot’s operating handbook

QNH                 That pressure setting which, when placed on the pressure setting sub‑scale of a sensitive altimeter of an aircraft located at the reference point of an aerodrome, will cause the altimeter to indicate the vertical displacement of the reference point above mean sea level.

RAIM                Receiver autonomous integrity monitoring

RNAV               Area navigation

RNP                 Required navigation performance

SIGMET            Significant meteorological information

SMS                 Safety management system

SPFIB               Specific pre-flight information bulletin

TAF                  Aerodrome forecast

TAWS               Terrain avoidance and warning system

VFR                  Visual flight rules

VHF                  Very high frequency

VMC                 Visual meteorological conditions

VNAV               Vertical navigation

Vref                   Reference landing speed

VSI                   Vertical speed indicator

Sources and submissions

Sources of information

The sources of information during the investigation included the:

  • operator/chief pilot of Air Connect Australia
  • aircraft owner and maintainer for VH-OZO
  • GPS unit manufacturer (Garmin)
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • Queensland Police Service
  • Airservices Australia
  • Bureau of Meteorology
  • OzRunways flight data.

References

Arthur W, Bennett W, Stanush PL and McNelly TL (1998) ‘Factors that influence skill decay and retention: A quantitative review and analysis’, Human Performance, 11:57-101.

Australian Transport Safety Bureau (2007) CFIT: Australia in context 1996 to 2005.

Civil Aviation Authority (2013) Monitoring matters: guidance on the development of pilot monitoring skills, CAA Paper 2013/02.

Dismukes RK, Berman BA & Loukopoulos LD (2007) The limits of expertise: Rethinking pilot error and the causes of airline accidents, Ashgate, Aldershot UK.

Enders JH, Dodd R, Tarrel R, Khatwa R, Roelen ALC & Karwal AK (1996) Airport safety: a study of accident and available approach-and-landing aids, Flight Safety Foundation, Flight Safety Digest, 15(3).

European Union Agency Safety Agency (2021), Safety issue report – Skills and knowledge degradation due to lack of recent practice, downloaded from www.easa.europa.eu.

Federal Aviation Administration (2012) Instrument flying handbook, FAA-H-8083-15B

Flight Safety Foundation 2000a ‘ALAR briefing note 7.1 – Stabilized approach’, Flight Safety Digest, August-November 2000.

Flight Safety Foundation 2000b ‘ALAR briefing note 5.3 – Visual illusions’, Flight Safety Digest, August-November 2000.

Gibbs R, Gray R & Scharff L (2010) Aviation visual perception: Research, misperception and mishaps, Ashgate, Aldershot UK.

Godley ST (2006) Perceived pilot workload and perceived safety of RNAV (GNSS) approaches, Australian Transport Safety Bureau.

Hoekstra HD, Perry EB & Huang S (1972) Altimetry display study Part 2 – Analysis of altitude accidents, Report No. FAA-RD-72-46 II, prepared by the Flight Safety Foundation for the US Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration.

Holmes S, Bunting A, Brown D, Hiatt K, Braithwaite M & Harrigan M (2003) ‘Survey of spatial disorientation in military pilots and navigators’, Aviation, Space, and Environmental Medicine, 74:957-965.

International Air Transport Association (IATA) (2018) Controlled flight into terrain accident analysis report 2008–2017 data, Montreal, Canada

Kelly D & Efthymiou M (2019) ‘An analysis of human factors in fifty controlled flight into terrain aviation accidents from 2007 to 2017’, Journal of Safety Research, 69:155-165.

Michalski DJ & Bearman C (2014) ‘Factors affecting the decision making of pilots who fly in Outback Australia’, Safety Science, 68:288-293.

Mitchell TR (1972) Altimetry display study Part 1 – Summary report, Report No. FAA-RD-72-46 I, prepared by The Mitre Corporation for the US Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration.

Orlady HW & Orlady LM (1999) Human factors in multi crew operations, Ashgate, Aldershot, UK.

Paletz SBF, Bearman C, Orasanau J & Holbrook J (2009) ‘Socializing the human factors analysis and classification system: Incorporating social psychological phenomena into a human factors error classification system’, Human Factors, 51:435-445.

Previc FH (2004) ‘Visual illusions in flight’, in FH Previc & R Ercoline (Eds) Spatial disorientation in aviation, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Reston VA.

Sanli EA and Carnahan H (2018) ‘Long-term retention of skills in multi-day training contexts: A review of the literature’, Industrial Journal of Ergonomics, 66:10–17.

Shrager JJ (1972) Altimetry display study Part 3 – Review of R&D on display readability, Report No. FAA-RD-72-46 III, prepared by the Navigational Aviation Facilities Experimental Center for the US Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration.

Staal MA (2004) Stress, cognition, and human performance: A literature review and conceptual framework, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Technical Memorandum NASA/TM-2004-212824.

Vlasblom JID, Pennings HJM, Van der Pal J and Oprins EAPB (2020) ‘Competence retention in safety-critical professions: A systematic literature review’, Educational Research Review, 30:10.1016.

Wickens CD, Hollands JG, Banbury S & Parasuraman R (2013) Engineering psychology and human performance, 4th edition, Pearson Boston, MA.

Submissions

Under section 26 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003, the ATSB may provide a draft report, on a confidential basis, to any person whom the ATSB considers appropriate. That section allows a person receiving a draft report to make submissions to the ATSB about the draft report.

A draft of this report was provided to the following directly involved parties:

  • the aircraft operator
  • the aircraft owner/maintainer
  • the Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • Airservices Australia
  • Bureau of Meteorology
  • Aerotrack
  • United States National Transportation Safety Board
  • the aircraft manufacturer
  • Garmin.

Submissions were received from:

  • the aircraft operator
  • the Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • Bureau of Meteorology
  • Garmin.

The submissions were reviewed and, where considered appropriate, the text of the report was amended accordingly.

Appendices

Appendix A – Research and guidance regarding design of altimeters

Civil Aviation Order (CAO) 20.18 (Aircraft equipment — basic operational requirements) required that aeroplanes engaged in passenger charter operations under the instrument flight rules (IFR) be equipped with 2 sensitive pressure altimeters. As already noted in Aircraft instruments, VH‑OZO was fitted with two 3-pointer altimeters that met this requirement.

A series of research studies have compared the effectiveness different types of altimeter display. In summarising the research from 1960 to 1972 for the United States Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), Shrager (1972) concluded:

3. Comparative laboratory, simulator, and flight tests of 3P [3-pointer], DP [drum-pointer], CP counter-pointer], and CDP [counter drum pointer] altimeter displays[76] indicate that the least preferred was the 3P and the most desirable was the CDP by subject opinion. This order of ranking is most pronounced when the subjects used were pilots as opposed to nonpilots. The subjective display preference was further accentuated when random dynamic changes in altitude and secondary tasks were introduced into the experiment.

4. The 3P display required the longest time to interpret and produced the largest number of errors among all the production-type displays evaluated. The misreading errors included both those of l,000- and 10,000-foot altitudes. The experimental test results have been supported by significant actual flight experiences on the part of both the military and commercial aviation.[77]

5. A majority of the air carriers and the military have or are converting to displays other than the 3P. The principal display selected has been the CDP.

6. The most prevalent type of altimeter display in general aviation is the 3P. The 10,000-foot error of the 3P display has not been supported by significant actual flight experience by general aviation. However, the 1,000-foot error is a problem in the 3P display.

As part of a related research program, Hoekstra and others (1972) reviewed civil and military accidents during 1964–1970. They noted that problems with misreading an altimeter were cited in a small number of accident investigation reports. For the examples provided, where the type of altimeter was stated or otherwise known, the majority involved 3-pointer altimeters. This study also conducted a survey of various organisations. Its conclusions included:

1. Official investigations have cited altimetry as a causal factor in approximately 1% of all accidents; considering accidents of unknown causes and those where altimetry could possibly have been a factor, it is estimated that altimetry contributes to a maximum of 3% of all accidents. This estimate includes mechanical malfunctions and human errors.

2. Ten to twenty percent of all accidents are "altitude-related" as they involve altitude displacement for some reason.

3. "Altitude-related" accidents occur more frequently in conditions where it is difficult to see the terrain, i.e., at night and in restricted visibility.

4. The majority of "altitude-related" accidents occur during the landing approach. Most are without benefit of vertical guidance from any source other than the altimeter and pilot visual contact with the terrain.

5. Although a few accidents occurred in landing approaches where precision aids were used, they were characterized by a deviation from the glide path after the pilot gained visual contact.

6. Survey comments indicated that the three-pointer altimeter is susceptible to frequent misreading by 1,000 or 10,000 feet, but the number of accidents known to have been caused or possibly could have been caused, by this type of misreading was small. However, several incidents of misreading were reported.

7. Small improvements in the accident rate could be achieved by improving altimetry display, static/pitot systems and setting procedures, but greater improvement would result from the provision of more precision aids and visual warning systems in the ground environment.

A report summarising the FAA research program (Mitchell 1972) concluded that retrofitting of aircraft was not justified. However, it recommended that an advisory circular should be distributed, suggesting that all 3-pointer and drum-pointer altimeters be replaced with counter-drum pointer altimeters where feasible, and that counter-drum pointer altimeters should be required for all yet-to-be-constructed transport category aircraft and more expensive general aviation aircraft.

In 1991, the Flight Safety Foundation launched a campaign to reduce the number of controlled flight into terrain (CFIT) accidents and, together with other organisations, it formed a task force. As part of its work, the FSF CFIT task force made 8 recommendations to the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), including a warning against the use of 3-pointer and drum-pointer altimeters.

ICAO Annex 6 (Operation of Aircraft) Part I (International Commercial Air Transport – Aeroplanes) paragraph 6.9.1 required that aeroplanes operated in accordance with IFR (for commercial air transport) be equipped with 2 sensitive pressure altimeters. Since 1998, it also required that these altimeters have ‘counter drum-pointer or equivalent presentation’. A note under this requirement stated that 3-pointer or drum-pointer altimeters did not satisfy this requirement.[78]

All modern transport aircraft are equipped with vertical altimeter displays or, for some older transport aircraft, counter-drum pointer altimeters. However, 3-pointer altimeters are still very common in general aviation aircraft, including small aeroplanes used for passenger transport activities.

Several experienced pilots interviewed by the ATSB during the investigation reported that misreading a 3-pointer altimeter is more commonly seen in pilots undergoing initial instrument training.

Appendix B – Vacuum system analysis

System overview

VH-OZO had 2 artificial horizon (attitude indicator) instruments and one directional gyro instrument that were powered through hoses connected to a common manifold with 2 sources of power from a vacuum pump on each engine, controlled by in-line regulators. An analogue suction indicator (vacuum gauge) located on the lower left pilot-side instrument panel showed the pilot the net amount of suction at the manifold and ‘dolls eye’ indicators showed if each vacuum pump was operating or not.  

Maintenance history

Both artificial horizon instruments and directional gyro instrument as well as vacuum regulators were not subject to service life or maintenance requirements, other than regulator garter filter changes that were being carried out. According to a service bulletin issued by the manufacturer of the vacuum pumps, the vanes could be inspected through a wear indicator port and it recommended the pump be replaced at the wear limit.  

The left vacuum pump had been in service for about 1,076 hours and the right for about 911 hours, which exceeded the life of the previous pumps (711 hours and 880 hours respectively). The previous pumps were replaced due to failing in service rather than due to wear. Inspection of pump wear through a port was not carried out consistently by the aircraft maintainer and it is unlikely it was conducted at the previous periodic inspection.

The ATSB identified that the vacuum system manifold had not been tested in the previous 5 years or replaced in the previous 10 years, as specified by the component manufacturer. This was due to an oversight in the maintenance tracking system that was subsequently rectified. A search of the aircraft logbooks did not identify any recorded replacement of the manifold and markings that might indicate component life were indistinct. 

Pilots and engineers can carry out an informal test of the manifold by alternating the engine that is started (and/or shut down) first and verifying that either vacuum pump by itself can maintain adequate supply. This was not noted at the recent 100-hour inspection and it is not known if the pilot routinely monitored the operation of each vacuum pump at engine start or shutdown. Damage sustained in the accident prevented functional testing and examination of the internal condition of the manifold.           

Although the vacuum manifold was outside its specified service life and its condition could not be verified, if there was an age-related defect there was no effect on aircraft operation unless one of the vacuum pumps failed.

Post-accident inspection

Both vacuum pumps were recovered from the aircraft after the accident and examined.

The right vacuum pump showed evidence of casing deformation and damage consistent with a heavy impact sustained during the accident sequence. When the right vacuum pump was removed from the engine the drive shaft was observed to have sheared. An accurate wear measurement could not be ascertained due to internal damage within the unit. Inspection of the internal components indicated that the pump vanes were intact, and the carbon block had fractured. The support pin had also failed in overload. Inspection of the frangible drive shaft showed damage indicative of overload. Further examination of the frangible shaft fracture surface under a microscope did not identify any features indicative of surface-to-surface rotation contact that may be possible when the engine is running and the pump is seized. Post-accident examination concluded that it was highly likely the pump failed due to the impact with terrain. 

The left vacuum pump showed no sign of external damage and the drive shaft was intact. The pump did not show any signs of accident damage. An accurate wear measurement could not be conducted because the pump did not have an inspection port. Inspection of the internal components indicated that the pump vanes and carbon block were intact. The pump internal components were rotated and observed to work as designed. There were no pre- or post-impact defects identified within the left vacuum pump that would make it incapable of supplying pressure as required.

The left artificial horizon instrument and directional guidance instrument were recovered from the aircraft after the accident, disassembled and examined. The left artificial horizon instrument was significantly damaged, however detailed examination of the components did not identify any pre-impact defects. Rotational scoring was noted between the rotor, the casing and the end cap with metal transfer evident (Figure 22). This indicates that the rotor was rotating with significant speed, highly likely produced by suction from the vacuum pump(s), when the aircraft impacted with terrain.

Figure 22: Left artificial horizon internal components showing rotational contact damage

Left artificial horizon internal components showing rotational contact damage

Source: ATSB

The directional gyro instrument was significantly damaged, with detailed examination producing no identified pre-impact defects with the components that were available for inspection. There was evidence of rotational scoring on the rotor case end and the rotor end. There was no scoring evidence in the rotor case. The rotational scoring indicates that the directional gyro was rotating at significant speed, highly likely produced by suction from the vacuum pump(s), when the aircraft impacted with terrain.

Appendix C – Detailed 1-minute weather data Lockhart River 0850–0930

Detailed 1-minute weather data Lockhart River 0850–0930
Detailed 1-minute weather data Lockhart River 0850–0930

Appendix D – Guidance to industry regarding stabilised approaches

Overview

This appendix provides examples of guidance provided regarding stabilised approach criteria for flight operations in addition to that provided by the Flight Safety Foundation.

Transport Canada guidance

Transport Canada’s Advisory Circular AC700-028 (Vertical path control on non-precision approaches, issued 2013) was applicable to all flight crew and types of operations. It was issued in 2013, at the same time that NAV CANADA introduced non-precision approach (NPA) charts with constant descent angles. In terms of stabilised approaches, the AC stated:

Many air operators require their crews to use a stabilized approach technique which is entirely different from that envisaged in the original NPA procedure design. A stabilized approach is calculated to achieve a constant rate of descent at an approximate 3° flight path angle; with stable airspeed, power setting, and attitude; and with the aircraft configured for landing. The safety benefits derived from a stabilized final approach have been recognized by many organizations including ICAO, the Federal Aviation Administration, and Transport Canada Civil Aviation (TCCA). Those air operators not already doing so are encouraged to incorporate stabilized approach criteria into their Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) and training syllabi.

With regard to reference points for stabilised approach criteria, the AC stated:

Stabilized approach criteria should be defined for all approaches and may include:

  1. that flights shall be stabilized by no lower than 1,000 feet (ft.) above the threshold when in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC);
  2. that all flights shall be stabilized by no lower than 500 ft. above the threshold;
  3. that the flight remain stabilized until landing
  4. that if an approach is not stabilized in accordance with these requirements, or has become destabilized afterwards, a go-around is required.[79]

The AC also provided detailed comments regarding step-down versus constant descent angle approach techniques. It noted that step-down techniques were inherently unstable and resulted in higher workload. They also resulted in inconsistent rates of descent and at times high rates of descent, and also extended periods with the aircraft flown at minimum safe altitudes. In contrast, constant descent angle approaches were inherently stable and associated with lighter workload.

In 2015, Transport Canada also issued a Civil Aviation Safety Alert 2015-04 (Stabilized approach) for all commercial air operators (including airline, commuter, air taxi and aerial work). It reiterated the key points of the AC, and noted that:

Rushed and unstabilized approaches remain a significant factor in Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT) and other Approach-and-Landing Accidents (ALA). The safety benefits derived from a stabilized final approach have been recognized by many organizations including ICAO, the FAA, EASA and TCCA. These benefits include:

  • Increased flight crew situational awareness;
  • More time and attention for monitoring ATC communications, weather conditions and systems operation;
  • More time and attention for flight path and energy monitoring;
  • Defined flight parameter deviation limits and minimum stabilization heights to support the decision to land or to go-around; and,
  • Landing performance consistent with expected performance values.

It also stated:

Stabilized approach criteria should be defined for all approaches and should include that:

  • Approaches be stabilized by no lower than 1,000 feet (ft) above aerodrome elevation (AAE) when in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC);
  • All approaches be stabilized by no lower than 500 ft AAE in visual meteorological conditions (VMC);
  • A call be made upon reaching 1000 ft AAE in IMC or 500 ft AAE in VMC as to whether the approach is stabilized or not;
  • The approach remain stabilized until landing;
  • If an approach is not stabilized in accordance with these requirements, or has become destabilized afterwards, a go-around is required.
Federal Aviation Administration guidance

The United States Federal Aviation Administration issued guidance for general aviation pilots regarding CFIT in Advisory Circular AC 61-134 (General aviation controlled flight into terrain awareness), issued in 2003. The background section stated:

According to FAA information, general aviation CFIT accidents account for 17 percent of all general aviation fatalities. More than half of these CFIT accidents occurred during IMC…

Because a single-piloted, small GA aircraft is vulnerable to the same CFIT risks as a crewed aircraft but with only one pilot to perform all of the flight and decision-making duties, that pilot must be better prepared to avoid a CFIT type accident…

Under a section regarding GA operations in IMC on an IFR flight, the AC stated:

These operations also pose special risks. Whether it is failure to follow safe takeoff and departure techniques, recommended en route procedures ― which includes loss of situational awareness ― or failure to maneuver safely to a landing, IFR operations can be dangerous for those not prepared to operate or not current and proficient in the IMC and IFR environments. Many of these accidents result in fatalities. Techniques or suggestions for avoiding some of these IFR risk factors include…

s. The importance of flying a stabilized approach. A common definition of a stabilized approach is maintaining a stable speed, descent rate, vertical flightpath, and configuration throughout the final segment of the approach. Although originally designed for turbojet aircraft, a stabilized approach is also recommended for propeller-driven aircraft. The idea is to reduce pilot workload and aircraft configuration changes during the critical final approach segment of an approach. The goal is to have the aircraft in the proper landing configuration, at the proper approach speed, and on the proper flightpath before descending below the minimum stabilized approach height. The following are recommended minimum stabilized approach heights.

(1) 500 feet above the airport elevation during VFR weather conditions.

(2) MDA or 500 feet above airport elevation, whichever is lower, for a circling approach.

(3) 1,000 feet above the airport or touch down zone elevation during IMC.

In 2011, the United States Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) issued AC 120-108 (Continuous descent final approach), providing guidance for operators on the continuous descent final approach technique for NPAs. The AC was intended for airline and air taxi operators, though it noted the guidance was beneficial to all operators. The background section stated:

Controlled flight into terrain (CFIT) is a primary cause of worldwide commercial aviation fatal accidents. Unstabilized approaches are a key contributor to CFIT events. Present NPAs are designed with and without stepdown fixes in the final approach segment. Stepdowns flown without a constant descent will require multiple thrust, pitch, and altitude adjustments inside the final approach fix (FAF). These adjustments increase pilot workload and potential errors during a critical phase of flight. NPAs designed without stepdown fixes in the final segment allow pilots to immediately descend to the MDA after crossing the FAF. In both cases, the aircraft remains at the MDA until descending for the runway or reaching the missed approach point (MAP). This practice, commonly referred to as “dive and drive,” can result in extended level flight as low as 250 feet above the ground in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) and shallow or steep final approaches.

In terms of stabilised approaches, the AC 120-08 stated:

A stabilized approach is a key feature to a safe approach and landing. Operators are encouraged by the FAA and the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) to use the stabilized approach concept to help eliminate CFIT. The stabilized approach concept is characterized by maintaining a stable approach speed, descent rate, vertical flightpath, and configuration to the landing touchdown point. Depart the FAF configured for landing and on the proper approach speed, power setting, and flightpath before descending below the minimum stabilized approach height; e.g., 1,000 feet above the airport elevation and at a rate of descent no greater than 1,000 feet per minute (fpm), unless specifically briefed. (Refer to AC120-71.)

The FAA also issued guidance regarding stabilised approaches in AC 91-79A (Mitigating the risks of a runway overrun upon landing), issued in 2014 and last updated in 2018. The intended audience was all pilots, flight crew and operators. The AC stated in part:

Stabilized on Profile. The airplane should be stabilized on profile before descending through the 1,000-ft window or through the 500 ft above touchdown zone elevation (TDZE) window in visual meteorological conditions (VMC). Configuration, trim, speed, and glidepath should be at or near the optimum parameters early in the approach to avoid distractions and conflicts as the airplane nears the threshold window. The electronic or visual glidepath or an optimum glidepath angle of 3 degrees should be established and maintained…

Indicated Airspeed. Indicated airspeed should be not more than VREF + 5 or the POH published approach airspeed, with appropriate adjustments for wind or other factors, and never less than VREF or the appropriate airspeed in order to avoid the loss of aircraft control.

United States Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association

The United States Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association (AOPA) stated in a 2000 article (The stabilized approach):

Most of us don’t have to worry about the vagaries of turbine aircraft and their response to power and speed changes on approach. But there are plenty of good reasons to fly stabilized approaches regardless of whether you fly a Cessna Skyhawk or Golden Eagle, Beech King Air or Piper Super Cub. Here are a few:

  • It reduces workload…
  • It gives us more opportunity to see the big picture…
  • It slows the aircraft down earlier, allowing more time to think…
  • It allows more time to react...
  • It makes it easier to fly the VOR, ILS, or ADF needles...
  • It allows the pilot more opportunity to detect changes in the wind on approach…
  • It reduces the variables and thus reduces our required reactions to these changes. When you have the airspeed nailed early, you have one less variable to worry about, freeing you to focus on other things. If we can set the power and mostly forget it, we don't have to constantly change power in response to our configuration and speed changes.
  • It creates the time to finish your before-landing checklist and to really look around the airplane for other things you might have missed or neglected when rushed...
  • It makes the approach—and thus the landing spot—predictable because you do it the same every time.

Notice that time is the major benefit when we fly a stabilized approach. Time allows us to more easily perceive changes and then make corrections to course, altitude, or airplane management.

Most airlines set the stabilized approach point at 500 feet in visual conditions and 1,000 feet when the weather is IMC. These 500- and 1,000-foot target points might be a good starting place when establishing your own stabilized approach minimums. You might also want to use 1,000 feet for night approaches and landings because the fewer visual cues at night reduce your ability to perceive differences and changes.

Appendix E – Aurukun incident flight – 22 January 2020

Introduction

On 22 January 2020, on a flight from Weipa to Aurukun, the pilot conducted 2 RNAV (GNSS) approaches to runway 34 at Aurukun in VH-OZO, with the first approach followed by a missed approach.

An extract of the relevant Airservices Australia approach chart is depicted in Figure 23. As indicated in the chart, the recommended initial approach altitude was 1,800 ft, with the recommended 3° approach profile to the runway threshold commencing just prior to the final approach fix (FAF). The minimum descent altitude (MDA) for a pilot with an actual QNH was 450 ft.

The ATSB analysed OzRunways GPS data from the 2 approaches and the missed approach (Figure 24). The data was recorded at 5-second intervals. Recorded altitude, lateral position and groundspeed data for the 2 approaches from the initial approach fix (IAF) to the missed approach point (MAPt) is shown in Figure 25.

The recorded altitudes were slightly below the recommended approach profile during the 2 approaches. Aurukun Airport has an elevation of about 30 ft above sea level, and one of the passengers recalled observing the altimeter reading 50–100 ft when the aircraft was on the ground after landing. This indicated the QNH set on the altimeter may not have accurately reflected the actual QNH when the aircraft landed,[80] and the altimeter may have been slightly overreading during the approaches. In addition, the recorded altitude data was truncated to the nearest 100 ft.

Figure 23: Extract of the Aurukun RNAV (GNSS) RWY 34 approach

Extract of the Aurukun RNAV (GNSS) RWY 34 approach

Source: Airservices Australia, annotated by the ATSB

Figure 24: VH-OZO recorded data 22 January 2020 at Aurukun, Queensland

VH-OZO recorded data 22 January 2020 at Aurukun, Queensland

Source: Google Earth overlaid with OzRunways data, annotated by the ATSB

First approach

The data showed that the aircraft approached from the north and about 1,100 ft and overflew the runway 34 threshold before continuing to track south. After passing about 3 NM west of the initial approach fix (IAF) AURSB at 1,500 ft, the aircraft turned 180° then passed 1 NM to the west of the IAF and then tracked direct towards the intermediate fix (IF) AURSI at 1,500 ft. About 1 NM prior to AURSI, the aircraft climbed to 1,700 ft and passed over the IF.

The aircraft was at 1,600 ft when it reached the FAF AURSF, and it then commenced the descent on about a 3° profile (Figure 25). The aircraft was about 200–300 ft below the recommended 3° descent profile when it reached the MDA, about 1.8 NM prior to the MAPt AURSM. The minimum recorded altitude the aircraft descended to (1 data point) was 200 ft when 1.2 NM prior to the MAPt, and it was at a recorded altitude of 200–300 ft over 4 data points (15–20 seconds) prior to reaching the MAPt.

Figure 25: Recorded data for 2 RNAV approaches to Aurukun 22 January 2020

Recorded data for 2 RNAV approaches to Aurukun 22 January 2020

Source: ATSB

The descent rate from the FAF (recorded height 1,600 ft) until the aircraft reached 900 ft was about 650 ft/min, and the descent rate for the remainder of the descent was about 1,050 ft/min.

A review of wind and temperature forecast and analysis charts from multiple sources and other information indicated that the indicated airspeeds would have been about 5 kt higher than the recorded groundspeeds during the 2 approaches while the aircraft was on or near the intermediate/final approach track. Therefore, on the first approach the indicated airspeed was about 140 kt when the aircraft passed the FAF, about 145 kt when the aircraft passed through the MDA and about 140 kt when the aircraft reached a height of 300 ft above aerodrome elevation.

Missed approach

A missed approach was commenced prior to the MAPt, with the aircraft climbing and passing 0.2 NM to the right of the MAPt. The aircraft passed over the Aurukun township at an altitude of about 800 ft, then turned left and heading south, climbing to 1,900 ft.

The published missed approach commenced at AURSM and required the aircraft to maintain runway direction for 3 NM before turning left to heading 170° and climbing to 1,700 ft. Based on witness reports, it is possible that the pilot was avoiding a nearby thunderstorm during the missed approach and/or was in visual conditions at the time.

The exact reasons for the missed approach could not be determined (that is, whether it was due only to reduced visibility of the runway at the time or also due to the aircraft’s speed not meeting the operator’s stabilised approach criteria at 300 ft above aerodrome elevation).

Second approach

The aircraft then headed south to about 8 NM south-south west of AURSB, before turning back to the IAF and then doing a holding pattern before again approaching the IAF. The pilot then commenced a second RNAV approach about 31 minutes after the first approach from an altitude of about 1,900 ft. The aircraft was close to the published descent profile throughout the approach and also within the required lateral tolerances.  

Given the indicated airspeeds were about 5 kt higher than the recorded groundspeeds, the indicated airspeeds were 135 kt at the FAF and 105 kt at 300 ft above aerodrome elevation. Overall, the approach appeared to comply with the operator’s stabilised approach criteria.

Appendix F – R­elated occurrences

Collision with Terrain involving Fairchild Metro 23 aircraft, VH-TFU, 11 km north-west of Lockhart River Airport, Queensland, on 7 May 2005

On 7 May 2005, a Fairchild Aircraft Inc. SA227-DC Metro 23 turbo-prop aircraft, registered VH-TFU, with 2 pilots and 13 passengers, was being operated on an instrument flight rules (IFR) regular public transport service from Bamaga to Cairns, with an intermediate stop at Lockhart River, Queensland. At 1143:39 local time, the aircraft impacted terrain 11 km north-west of the Lockhart River Airport. At the time of the accident, the crew was conducting an area navigation global navigation satellite system (RNAV GNSS) non-precision approach to runway 12. The occupants were fatally injured and the aircraft was destroyed.

The accident was almost certainly the result of a controlled flight into terrain. Weather conditions in the Lockhart River area were poor and necessitated the conduct of an instrument approach procedure for an intended landing at the aerodrome. The cloud base was probably between 500 ft and 1,000 ft above mean sea level and the terrain to the west of the aerodrome, beneath the runway 12 RNAV GNSS approach, was probably obscured by cloud.

The investigated identified a significant number of contributing factors and other safety factors associated with the crew’s performance, local conditions, the operator’s procedures and regulatory oversight. With relevance to the findings of the 2020 accident involving VH-OZO, these included the aircraft descending below the segment minimum safe altitude for the aircraft’s position on the approach (after passing the final approach fix) and the speeds and descent rate exceeding those appropriate for a stabilised approach. The operator’s procedures did not provide clear guidance on approach speeds, when to select aircraft configuration changes during an approach and clear criteria for a stabilised approach. There were also problems with the operator’s processes for supervising the standard of flight operations, and the operator did not have a structured process for managing safety-related risks.

The aircraft was fitted with a ground proximity warning system (GPWS), but there would have been insufficient time for the crew to effectively respond to the GPWS alert and warnings that were probably annunciated during the final 5 seconds prior to impact with terrain. The aircraft was not fitted with a terrain avoidance and warning system (TAWS).

The GPS unit fitted to the aircraft (Garmin GPS 155XL) also had several limitations compared with more recent models available at the time. These included the limited usefulness of the moving map display because of the vertical size of the screen size, the lack of an option to display a distance to the missed approach point (MAPt) throughout the approach, and the lack of any form of vertical advisory guidance.

Additional CFIT investigations in Australia

The ATSB has investigated a number of other CFIT accidents in Australia, all involving aircraft that were not fitted with a TAWS. These included the following occurrences.

ATSB occurrence 200105769

On 10 December 2001, a Raytheon Beech 200C Super King Air was being operated under the IFR to Mt Gambier, South Australia, on an aeromedical flight with the pilot and a medical crew member on board. At approximately 2333 local time, the pilot reported to air traffic control that they were in the circuit at Mt Gambier and would report after landing. At approximately 2336, the aircraft impacted the ground at a position 3.1 NM from the threshold of the runway. The pilot was fatally injured and the medical crew member sustained serious injuries.

Dark night conditions existed in the area. The available evidence indicated that the pilot was conducting a GPS arrival procedure.

ATSB occurrence 200302172

On 15 May 2003, a Raytheon Beech 200C Super King Air was being operated under the IFR to Coffs Harbour, New South Wales, on an aeromedical flight with a pilot, 2 medical crew and a patient on board. The pilot conducted a missed approach from a low height and the aircraft impacted the sea, or a reef, approximately 3.2 NM north of the airport at about 0833 local time. During the missed approach, the aircraft narrowly avoided a breakwater and an adjacent restaurant. During the subsequent landing the aircraft was substantially damaged.

The pilot was conducting a GPS non-precision approach. Instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) existed at the time, including heavy rain and restricted visibility.

ATSB occurrence 200402797

On 28 July 2004, a Piper PA-31T Cheyenne, with one pilot and 5 passengers, was being operated on a private IFR flight from Bankstown, New South Wales, to Benalla, Victoria. The aircraft collided with terrain 18 NM south-east of Benalla. All occupants were fatally injured and the aircraft was destroyed.

IMC existed at the time and the pilot had reported commencing a GPS non-precision approach to Benalla.

ATSB occurrence 200503265

On 28 July 2004, a Piper PA31-350 Navajo Chieftain was being operated under the IFR to Mount Hotham, Victoria on a passenger charter flight with the pilot and 2 passengers on board. The aircraft collided with terrain 5 km south-east of the aerodrome and to the left of the extended centreline of runway. All occupants were fatally injured and the aircraft was destroyed.

IMC existed at the time and the pilot had reported commencing an RNAV GNSS approach.

Appendix G – Flight Safety Foundation CFIT Checklist

Appendix G – Flight Safety Foundation CFIT Checklist
Appendix G – Flight Safety Foundation CFIT Checklist
Appendix G – Flight Safety Foundation CFIT Checklist
Appendix G – Flight Safety Foundation CFIT Checklist

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information 

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2022

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[1]     Instrument flight rules (IFR): a set of regulations that permit the pilot to operate an aircraft in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC), which have much lower weather minimums than visual flight rules (VFR). Procedures and training are significantly more complex as a pilot must demonstrate competency in IMC conditions while controlling the aircraft solely by reference to instruments. IFR-capable aircraft have greater equipment and maintenance requirements.

[2]     Eastern Standard Time (EST): Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) + 10.0 hours.

[3]     In the Lockhart River area, VHF contact with air traffic services was not generally available below 4,500 ft. Outside of VHF coverage, pilots communicated with Flightwatch using HF radio.

[4]     Cloud cover: in aviation, cloud cover of the sky is reported using words/abbreviations that denote the extent of the cover. ‘Sky clear’ (SKC) indicates no cloud, ‘few’ (FEW) indicates 1–2 oktas (or eighths) is covered, ‘scattered’ (SCT) indicates 3–4 oktas is covered, ‘broken’ (BKN) indicates 5–7 oktas is covered, and ‘overcast’ (OVC) indicates that 8 oktas is covered.

[5]     Landing minima: specified meteorological conditions of cloud ceiling and visibility. In order for an aircraft to land at an aerodrome, the actual weather conditions need to be at or above the landing minima.

[6]     The ATSB obtained data broadcast by the automatic dependent surveillance broadcast (ADS-B) equipment fitted to the aircraft and GPS data transmitted from the pilot’s iPad with the OzRunways application installed. Further information on the aircraft’s recorded flight path during the 2 approaches is provided in Recorded flight data.

[7]     1 NM = 1.852 km

[8]     The MDA published on the instrument approach chart was 830 ft and was based on the aerodrome forecast (TAF) QNH being set on the subscale of the aircraft’s pressure-sensitive altimeter. For this chart, the MDA could be reduced by 100 ft (to 730 ft) when using the actual QNH from an approved source. With the aircraft above the aerodrome and the actual QNH set, the altimeter indicates the approximate height above mean sea level. The aerodrome’s AWIS was an approved source for actual QNH and valid for a 15-minute period from the time of receipt. 

[9]     Flightwatch: on-request flight information service used to provide operational information including weather, aerodromes and navigational aids.

[10]    VFR: a set of regulations that permit a pilot to operate an aircraft only in weather conditions generally clear enough to allow the pilot to see where the aircraft is going.

[11]    The operator’s operations manual stated: ‘Due to the possibility of engine damage, asymmetric training in Company Cessna 404 aircraft is to be undertaken only where strictly necessary. Abrupt or large power changes are to be avoided where possible.’

[12]    Instrument meteorological conditions (IMC): weather conditions that require pilots to fly primarily by reference to instruments, and therefore under instrument flight rules (IFR), rather than by outside visual reference. Typically, this means flying in cloud or limited visibility. 

[13]    The aerodrome forecast for that flight included periods of reduced visibility (3,000 m) in rain showers and cloud at 1,200 ft. Data from the aerodrome’s automatic weather station indicated the 1-minute visibility was 2,500 m at the airport when the aircraft passed the initial approach fix (IAF). However, the visibility had improved to 4,200 m by the time the aircraft reached the final approach fix (FAF) and continued to improve, to more than 10 km by the missed approach point (MAPt). There was no recorded rainfall during this period. The forecast and observed wind favoured a landing on runway 12.

[14]    This aircraft retained the conventional airspeed indicator, altimeter and vertical speed indicator flight instruments, which were mounted in their usual positions relative to the ADI display. Those instruments were similar to the instruments fitted to VH-OZO.

[15]    A number of other Cessna 404 aircraft introduced to Australia at about the same time also had modified seating arrangements with 11 passenger seats.

[16]    An altitude alerting system provides an aural alert (tone) and/or a visual alert when an aircraft on climb/descent approaches the designated altitude and when deviating from that altitude during cruise. They are generally used to assist pilots monitor adherence to the ATC assigned level in controlled airspace, rather than mitigate the risk of controlled flight into terrain. Civil Aviation Order (CAO) 20.18 required aircraft conducting IFR operations in controlled airspace to have either an assigned altitude indicator or an altitude alerting system. For piston-engine aircraft, an altitude alerting system was only required for IFR operations above flight level 150 (which is 15,000 ft measured according to a standard atmosphere).

[17]    Second CDI is partially hidden behind control column and clamp in Figure 8.

[18]    The wide area augmentation system (WAAS) was developed by the US Federal Aviation Administration. The system provided augmentation information to GPS receivers, which improved the position accuracy and enabled localiser performance with vertical guidance (LPV) approaches to the runway. Those approaches took advantage of the increased position accuracy and were flown to a decision altitude, similar to a Category I instrument landing system procedure. The WAAS system covered most of the US, parts of Canada and Mexico.

[19]    The default settings for the user-selectable fields were distance to the next waypoint, desired track, bearing to waypoint, groundspeed, ground track and estimated time en route.

[20]    The navigation and terrain data were contained on 2 removable data cards, which slotted into the front face of each unit.

[21]    One of the GNS 430W units was swapped with that from another aircraft in July 2018. The last terrain/obstacle database update of that unit was not determined.

[22]    The series of Technical Standard Orders (TSO) C151 stipulated the minimum operational performance standards that a terrain awareness and warning system (TAWS) must meet to comply with regulatory requirements for the fitment and use of those systems.

[23]    FLTA alerts were automatically inhibited when the aircraft was less than 200 ft above terrain while within 0.5 NM of the runway, or less than 125 ft above terrain within 1.0 NM of the runway.

[24]    With approach flap selected, the inboard flap surface extended 10° and the outboard flap surface extended 8°.

[25]    Vref: reference landing speed. It is normally defined as the speed required when crossing the runway threshold at 50 ft given the landing weight and configuration of the aircraft. It is usually calculated as 1.3 times the stalling speed in the landing configuration and at the prevailing aircraft weight.

[26]    The operations manual used the term VAPP and Vref interchangeably. Often VAPP is used to refer to Vref plus additions for wind and other factors.

[27]    Turbo-prop aeroplanes such as the SAAB 340 (maximum 37 passengers) and the Embraer EMB 120 (maximum 30 passengers) had a MTOW less than 15,000 kg.

[28]    ICAO annexes specified standards and recommended practices (SARPS).

[29]    In its notice of proposed amendment, the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) noted that the absence of a TAWS had been noted as a factor in 2 accidents in Europe for these types of aircraft in the previous 10 years.  It also noted that new aeroplanes were already fitted with a TAWS and that a significant number of older aeroplanes had already been retrofitted with a TAWS or equivalent system. EASA also noted that the cost of fitting a TAWS in Europe was between €20,000 to €50,000.

[30]    Transport Canada also noted that it had considered only introducing this requirement for turbine-engine aeroplanes (as per the US FAA) but that some stakeholders noted that some operators may discontinue using turbine-engine aeroplanes in favour of (less reliable) piston-engine aeroplanes to eliminate the cost of installing TAWS.

[31]    MOPSC was defined at that time as the maximum passenger seat capacity of the aircraft, excluding pilot seats, flight deck seats and cabin crew seats.

[32]    When the aeroplane was operated by a single pilot, this included the 11 passenger seats in the cabin and the front right seat, as that could also be used by a passenger. CASA further advised that an aeroplane with 2 seats at the front and 9 seats in the cabin (such as a Cessna 404 with the seating configuration specified in its type certificate data sheet) would be considered to have a MOPSC of 9 and the front right seat would not have to be removed.

[33]    CASA advised that the definition of MOPSC referred to the number of passenger seats fitted to an aircraft available to be used by a passenger. An operator could not elect to limit the number of seats of an aircraft with a MOPSC of 10 or more through administrative or operational controls in order to have a MOPSC of 9 or less. Rather, seats would have to be physically removed from the aircraft.

[34]    A SIGMET provides a concise description concerning the occurrence or expected occurrence, in areas over which meteorological watch is being maintained, of en-route weather phenomena that are potentially hazardous to aircraft.

[35]    Visual meteorological conditions (VMC): an aviation flight category in which visual flight rules (VFR) flight is permitted – that is, conditions in which pilots have sufficient visibility to fly the aircraft while maintaining visual separation from terrain and other aircraft.

[36]    In aviation meteorological products, time is expressed as coordinated universal time (UTC) and the data is generally expressed in coded terms. For ease of reference, the time has been converted to EST and the data has been decoded.

[37]    In aerodrome forecasts and reports, the height datum for cloud is aerodrome elevation.

[38]    TEMPO: a significant temporary variation from the prevailing conditions previously given in the TAF, expected to last for periods of between 30 and 60 minutes.

[39]    Visibility reported in METARs/SPECIs was a 10-minute average.

[40]    This improved the ceilometer’s response time to report changing conditions.

[41]    In May 2012, BoM published a pamphlet Ceilometers and Visibility Meters as part of their aviation reference material series (available from www.bom.gov.au). The pamphlet provided information about the measurements made by these instruments and the associated advantages and limitations of the equipment.

[42]    The term okta is used to refer to one eighth of cloud cover.

[43]    From 9 September 2021, the naming of RNAV (GNSS) charts in Australia was progressively changed to RNP (required navigation performance) in alignment with an international convention.

[44]    APV Baro-VNAV procedures required a navigation system capable of continuously computing a barometric VNAV path and displaying the relevant information on the instrument display.

[45]    Civil Aviation Regulation 178 (Minimum height for flight under I.F.R.) stated that a pilot could not fly below a published lowest safe altitude except under certain conditions, such as during arrival if the aircraft was being flown in accordance with any instructions in the AIP, during an authorised instrument approach procedure, or if the aircraft was being flown by day in VMC.

[46]    Availability of RAIM during the conduct of an RNAV GNSS approach provides an assurance of the integrity of the navigation system and that the calculated position is within the required tolerance for the procedure being flown.

[47]    This paragraph and other AIP references were correct for the edition current at the time of the accident. That paragraph numbering may have changed during subsequent revisions of the publication.

[48]    As discussed in the section GNS 430W overview, these receivers used satellite or ground-based augmentation (in regions where augmentation was available) to improve the position accuracy, enabling approaches providing localiser performance with vertical guidance (LPV) that could be flown to a decision altitude, similar to a Category I instrument landing system procedure.

[49]    GPS units in the manufacturer’s 400 series without the ‘W’ designation (for example GPS 400, GNS 430/430A) used 0.3 NM CDI full-scale during the final approach segment. Those units could not be used to conduct LPV procedures.

[50]    The approach procedure instructions published in the AIP to be established on the specified track before commencing descent were different to the navigation tolerances specified for the approach.

[51]    For an aircraft conducting the Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) runway 30 approach, descending on the recommended constant angle 3° profile, the aircraft crosses the FAF about 360 ft above the intermediate segment MSA.

[52]    The CASA CNS/ATM resource kit (Chapter 9: Instrument flight rules operations, Flying the approaches), on the CASA website, also stated that ‘The tracking tolerance is half of full-scale deflection regardless of the CDI scale’. This resource kit content was based on the pre-December 2021 legislation but remained on the CASA website after December 2021.

[53]    VAT is the indicated airspeed at the runway threshold (50 ft), which is equal to the stalling speed with landing gear extended and flaps in the landing position multiplied by 1.3. It is calculated at the aircraft’s maximum landing weight. At the maximum landing weight, VAT and Vref are the same.

[54]    The aircraft was fitted with on-board Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) equipment, transmitting real-time operational data that enabled air traffic service providers to track aircraft. Airservices Australia recorded the transmissions received by its network of ADS-B receivers. That data could also be received by privately-operated equipment used to feed information to flight tracking websites.

[55]    OzRunways is an electronic flight bag application that helps flight crew perform flight management tasks without the need for paper-based information. The OzRunways application also recorded flight data via a built-in GPS receiver. The data used in this investigation was transmitted from an iPad during the flight.

[56]    1 hPa difference equates to an altitude difference of about 30 ft.

[57]    As previously noted, due to recorded altitude being truncated, this data have meant an altitude of 400–499 ft. The elevation of the terrain in the area was about 100 ft.

[58]    According to the POH, the maximum gear extension speed was 182 kt, the maximum speed to select take-off and approach flap was 182 kt, and the maximum speed to select landing flap was 152 kt.

[59]    Search and rescue time (SARTIME): the time nominated by a pilot for the initiation of search and rescue (SAR) action. If the pilot does not contact the SARTIME holder by the allotted time the search and rescue response will begin.

[60]    The chief pilot advised the ATSB that, at some point prior to 29 October 2019, a Notice to Aircrew (number 13) was issued which outlined the operator’s change of requirements for OPCs to a period not exceeding 24 months.

[61]    In this case, the pilot had conducted multiple flights under the IFR of over 1-hour duration in the last 6 months. On such flights, they had recorded a maximum of 30 minutes IFR flight time on these flights in their logbook.

[62]    NOTAM: a notice distributed by means of telecommunication containing information concerning the establishment, condition or change in any aeronautical facility, service procedure or hazard, the timely knowledge of which is essential to personnel concerned with flight operations.

[63]    The flight data used in this investigation was transmitted from the iPad during the approach.

[64]    A descent rate of 600 ft/min requires a groundspeed of 113 kt to achieve a 3° approach path angle.

[65]    CASA’s Air Operator’s Certificate Handbook: Volume 2 – Flying Operations stated in version 3.0 (November 2018) that ‘The use of the stabilised approach concept is mandatory for all approach operations.’ No further guidance regarding the contents of this guidance was included.

[66]    The AIP also stated that, after passing the FAF, the descent rate ‘should not normally’ exceed 1,000 ft/min.

[67]    ATSB Aviation Occurrence Report 200501977, Collision with Terrain, 11 km NW Lockhart River Aerodrome, 7 May 2005, VH-TFU, SA227-DC.

[68]    ATSB Aviation Occurrence Investigation AO-2012-070, Unstable approach involving de Havilland Canada Dash 8, VH-XFZ, Laverton Aerodrome, WA, 17 May 2012.

[69]    The ATSB also reviewed the recorded data for 2 other straight-in approaches that the pilot logged as RNAV GNSS approaches in September to October 2019. The recorded groundspeeds were 145–150 kt at the FAF, 140–155 kt at 1,000 ft and 115–135 kt at 300 ft. A full review of winds and indicated airspeeds was not conducted.

[70]    ATSB Occurrence Report 200501977, Collision with Terrain, 11 km NW Lockhart River Aerodrome, 7 May 2005, VH-TFU, SA227-DC (Metro 23).

[71]    In addition to these accidents, notable CFIT accidents during non-precision instrument approaches resulting in multiple fatalities also occurred on 11 June 1993 (Piper PA-31 piston-engine aircraft on scheduled passenger transport flight to Young, New South Wales, on an NDB/circling approach, 7 fatalities) and 27 April 1995 (Israel Aircraft Industries Westwind 1124 turbojet aircraft on scheduled freight flight to Alice Springs, Northern Territory, on a twin locator NDB approach, 3 fatalities).

[72]    Between October 1999 and December 2000, there was a requirement for passenger transport operators under the IFR in turbine-engine aeroplanes with a MTOW more than 15,000 kg or carrying more than 9 passengers to conduct CFIT hazard awareness if the aircraft was not fitted with a GPWS or TAWS. After that time, all such aircraft were required to have a GPWS or TAWS. Some operators continued to include CFIT hazard awareness training as a requirement in their operations manual. Further details are provided in ATSB Occurrence Report 200501977.

[73]    The operator’s operations manual also stated: ‘Extreme caution should be exercised in low visibility operations. Note that when encountering low visibility conditions due to rain, it is important to be aware that an illusion of being too high can occur, with a resulting undershoot being a possibility.’

[74]    The MOPSC for an Australian operator was defined as the maximum passenger seat capacity of the aircraft approved by CASA as part of the approval of the operator’s exposition under CASR Part 119 and specified in the operator’s operations manual.

[75]    That is, aeroplanes certified to be operated by a single pilot in accordance with the type certificate data sheet and whose flight manual provided that the flight crew could consist of a single pilot.

[76]    A drum pointer altimeter has a single pointer that indicates tens and hundreds of feet, while a single drum indicates thousands and tens-of-thousands of feet (and fractions thereof) in numerals. A counter-drum pointer altimeter includes a single pointer that indicates tends and hundreds of feet while one or more coupled drums (or counters) indicated hundreds, thousands and tens-of-thousands of feet.  

[77]    Previous research conducted by Fitts and Jones (1947) also identified similar problems with misreading of 3-pointer altimeters, particularly in terms of misreading by 1,000 ft and misreading by 10,000 ft. They found that misreading of altimeters was the most common error in interpreting aircraft instruments at that time.

[78]    The same exclusion for 3-pointer and drum-pointer altimeters was not stated in ICAO Annex 6 Part II International General Aviation – Aeroplanes.

[79]   

[80]    1 hPa difference equates to an altitude difference of about 30 ft.

Preliminary report

Report release date: 11/06/2020

This preliminary report details factual information established in the investigation’s early evidence collection phase and has been prepared to provide timely information to the industry and public. Preliminary reports contain no analysis or findings, which will be detailed in the investigation’s final report. The information contained in this preliminary report is released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003.

The occurrence

First phase of the flight

On 11 March 2020, Air Connect Australia was operating a Cessna 404, registered VH-OZO, on a passenger charter flight from Cairns to Lockhart River and return (Figure 1). The client arranged for the aircraft to depart Cairns at 0730 Eastern Standard Time[1] with four passengers, wait on the ground at Lockhart River for about 5 hours, then depart at 1430 with the same passengers for the return flight. The operator assigned the pilot who regularly conducted the client’s charter flights.

Figure 1: Location of Cairns and Lockhart River in north Queensland, Australia

Figure 1: Location of Cairns and Lockhart River in north Queensland, Australia.
Source: Google Earth, annotated by the ATSB

Source: Google Earth, annotated by the ATSB

According to the weather forecasts, the pilot could expect mostly visual meteorological conditions (VMC)[2] during the day at Cairns with some periods of rain showers and low cloud. For the arrival at Lockhart River, the forecast weather was predominately VMC but there were overlapping periods of rain and low cloud with 30 per cent probability of thunderstorms.

The pilot had submitted a flight notification, which specified instrument flight rules (IFR)[3] and capability for an area navigation (RNAV) instrument approach. On the morning of the flight, the pilot refuelled the aircraft with 650 L of avgas.

The aircraft departed Cairns at 0719 and the pilot tracked for the first planned waypoint on climb to 10,000 ft above mean sea level. Based on the forecast winds, the estimated time of arrival (ETA) at Lockhart River was 0852. As the flight progressed, the pilot amended the ETA to 0904.

At 0840, the pilot advised air traffic control that he was leaving 10,000 ft on descent to Lockhart River. A couple of minutes later, the controller advised the pilot of the very high frequency (VHF) and high frequency (HF) radio frequencies applicable to the rest of the flight. That was the controller’s last contact with the pilot and no further routine interactions with the controller were expected.[4]

During descent, the pilot transmitted on the common traffic advisory frequency (CTAF) for Lockhart River to enable the pilot activated lighting (PAL) for a period of 30 minutes. At 0852, the aerodrome frequency response unit (AFRU) broadcast ‘Lockhart River CTAF, runway lights are on.’

As the aircraft was descending, the pilot tracked to waypoint LHREB, one of three initial approach fixes for the RNAV (GNSS) runway 30 instrument approach at Lockhart River.

First approach at Lockhart River

Note: Figure 2 and Figure 4 provide information on the pilot’s first approach and Figure 3 and Figure 4 provide information on the second approach. Figure 11 shows the applicable approach chart, and key parameters for the approaches are incorporated into Figures 2, 3 and 4.

The aircraft flightpath parameters referenced in the following text and shown in Figures 2, 3, and 4 are taken from transmitted GPS data recorded at 5-second intervals by an electronic flight bag application. The quoted heights are geometric altitudes rather than barometric altitudes indicated by an altimeter, which is the primary altitude reference for this approach. The ATSB notes that GPS altitude was transmitted as a rounded value so the recorded altitude could vary up to 100 ft from the actual GPS-computed geometric altitude. Preliminary validation of the flight data indicates that the recorded geometric altitudes correlate with barometric altitude data that is available for part of the flight.

The pilot passed abeam LHREB at 0859:38 on descent through 5,400 ft and turned left to track to the runway in accordance with the RNAV procedure.

At 0901:25, the pilot made a radio broadcast on the CTAF, advising the aircraft was 10 NM to the south-east of the aerodrome, inbound to runway 30 and on descent passing 4,000 ft. Shortly afterwards, the aircraft passed intermediate approach fix LHREI at 4,000 ft.

The pilot continued the descent and inbound track to pass the final approach fix LHREF on descent through 2,300 ft. At 0904:27, the pilot broadcast on the CTAF that he was 5 NM out and on final (approach) to runway 30.

The aircraft arrived at the missed approach point LHREM at 0906:17 and 570 ft. The specified minimum descent altitude (MDA) was 830 ft, which could be lowered by 100 ft if the pilot set the current aerodrome QNH[5] from the automated weather information service (AWIS). The pilot continued the descent to 500 ft then climbed to 600 ft and maintained the approach track for a further 2 NM. Coincident with passing over the aerodrome facilities, the pilot initiated a missed approach and, while climbing, turned slightly right to track to the missed approach turning fix LHREH.

At 0907:22, the pilot broadcast on the CTAF that he was conducting a missed approach for runway 30, tracking to the west then turning back to the east and climbing to 3,500 ft.

After passing LHREH at 0907:43 on climb through 1,200 ft, the pilot made a right turn to track to the east as prescribed by the approach chart. At 0908, the pilot contacted Flightwatch on HF to advise of the missed approach and his intention to provide an update of ‘operations normal’ by 0930. The middle part of this radio transmission, as recorded by Airservices Australia, was unclear, which is not uncommon for HF radio communication. Based on the fragments and context, the pilot was probably advising his intention to conduct another approach.

The pilot continued the climb to 3,500 ft as specified for the missed approach procedure.

Figure 2: Flight track of VH-OZO during first RNAV (GNSS) approach at Lockhart River Aerodrome with time stamps, feature labels, and approach parameters superimposed

Figure 2: Flight track of VH-OZO during first RNAV (GNSS) approach at Lockhart River Aerodrome with time stamps, feature labels, and approach parameters superimposed.
Source: Google Earth, annotated by the ATSB

Source: Google Earth, annotated by the ATSB

Second approach at Lockhart River

Following the missed approach, the pilot levelled the aircraft at 3,500 ft and turned from the easterly heading towards the closest initial approach fix LHREA. At 0912:51, the AFRU recorded runway lights on, consistent with the pilot reactivating the runway lights for another 30-minute period.

About 2 NM from LHREA, the pilot turned right toward the general direction of intermediate approach fix LHREI and tracked to the south-west for about 2 NM then turned left to intercept the defined inbound track to LHREI. The pilot started descent from 3,300 ft at 0915:18.

At 0915:50, the pilot made another inbound broadcast on the CTAF advising:

10 miles [NM] to the south-east on descent passing three thousand eight hundred [3,800 ft] [unclear phrase, possibly ‘correction’] two thousand eight hundred [2,800 ft], straight-in approach runway three zero [30], circuit area two one [time 0921].

At the start of the transmission, the aircraft was on descent through 2,900 ft. The ATSB notes that the recorded transmission sounded routine; no further transmissions from VH-OZO were recorded.

After passing over LHREI, the pilot flew parallel to the defined RNAV approach track and continued the descent at a similar gradient to the first approach. About halfway between LHREI and final approach fix LHREF, the aircraft descended through the segment minimum safe altitude of 1,800 ft.

When the aircraft passed LHREF at 0918:23, the aircraft was on descent through 1,100 ft. From LHREF to LHREM, the altitude limitation was the MDA of 730 ft (assuming the pilot had set the current QNH). About 30 seconds later, the aircraft was approaching 700 ft with an apparent decrease in the descent rate for a short period. The aircraft then descended below the MDA and the aircraft track diverged to the left, crossing the inbound track at an angle of about 20°.

The divergent aircraft track and descent continued until the aircraft impacted a sand dune on the coastline at 0919:40. The pilot and four passengers were fatally injured and the aircraft was destroyed.

Figure 3: Flight track of VH-OZO during second RNAV (GNSS) approach at Lockhart River Aerodrome with time stamps, feature labels, and approach parameters superimposed

Figure 3: Flight track of VH-OZO during second RNAV (GNSS) approach at Lockhart River Aerodrome with time stamps, feature labels, and approach parameters superimposed.
Source: Google Earth, annotated by the ATSB

Source: Google Earth, annotated by the ATSB

Profile and speed information

The descent profile of the aircraft on the first approach was slightly higher than the nominal 3° approach gradient specified on the approach chart. The descent profile of the aircraft on the second approach had a similar gradient but was generally displaced 1,200 ft lower.

The ATSB calculated the average groundspeed of the aircraft from the distance travelled between data points in the specified time. This is provisional data that requires further adjustment for the effects of wind, altitude, and temperature to derive estimates of aircraft airspeed.

On the first approach, the groundspeed was between 130 and 140 kt until the missed approach was initiated. On the second approach, the groundspeed was also between 130 and 140 kt until it increased to 150 kt as the aircraft descended below the MDA up to the collision with terrain.

Figure 4: Profile of VH-OZO during the two RNAV (GNSS) approaches to Lockhart River Aerodrome with approach parameters and features incorporated.

Figure 4: Profile of VH-OZO during the two RNAV (GNSS) approaches to Lockhart River Aerodrome with approach parameters and features incorporated.
Note: Short periods of constant altitude represented in the diagram do not necessarily indicate a constant altitude because the transmitted/recorded data is rounded.  
Source: ATSB

Note: Short periods of constant altitude represented in the diagram do not necessarily indicate a constant altitude because the transmitted/recorded data is rounded.

Source: ATSB

Site and wreckage

The accident site was located on a sand bank adjacent to the beach, about 6 km south-east of Lockhart River Aerodrome and 300 m to the south-west of the specified RNAV track. The wreckage trail was about 20 m from the initial impact point (Figure 5), and indicated that the aircraft was on a heading of about 280° (magnetic), with the impact point about 30 ft above mean sea level.

Figure 5: Overview of accident site

Figure 5: Overview of accident site.
Source: ATSB

Source: ATSB

The ATSB’s on-site examination of the wreckage, damage to surrounding vegetation and ground markings indicated that at initial impact the aircraft was:

  • upright and close to wings level
  • about 5° nose down
  • at relatively high speed.

An area of foliage around the aircraft displayed signs of chemical burn from avgas, indicating that the aircraft had a significant amount of fuel on board.

There was no evidence of any structural or mechanical defects, but the examination was limited by the extensive damage (Figure 6). All but one of the propeller blades were located at the site; damage to the recovered blades indicated significant rotational energy at impact consistent with both engines operating normally with substantial power.

The landing gear was extended at the time of impact. Other aircraft configuration information such as flap position, trim settings and switch selections could not be validated due to the impact damage. The serviceability of the flight instruments and associated systems could also not be verified.

Figure 6: Impact points of VH-OZO and main wreckage

Figure 6: Impact points of VH-OZO and main wreckage.
Source: ATSB

Source: ATSB

The only components on the aircraft that may have recorded data were a digital fuel flow indicator/totaliser and a transponder, and the ATSB recovered these components. After consideration of the damage to these components and the potential value of any data, no further examination was undertaken.

Context

Pre-flight planning and in-flight monitoring

At 1326 on the day before the accident flight, the pilot accessed a location briefing for Lockhart River from the National Aeronautical Information Processing System (NAIPS) via an electronic flight bag (EFB) application. This type of briefing typically displayed current forecasts, reports, and ‘notice to airmen’ (NOTAM) applicable to the nominated location.

Later that day, at 1830, the pilot requested grid point wind and temperature charts (GPWT) and a specific pre-flight information bulletin (SPFIB) from NAIPS via flight planning software. The SPFIB request was for Cairns to Lockhart River and return with the estimated time of departure nominated as 1930 the same day. This bulletin was valid until 1830 on the day of the accident.

A printout of the SPFIB found at the accident site showed aerodrome forecast (TAF) and weather reports (METAR) for Cairns. The weather for the next day (day of accident flight) at Cairns Airport was expected to be visibility of 10 km or greater and showers of light rain with scattered[6] cloud at 1,800 ft[7] in the morning lifting to 2,500 ft. In addition, the forecast imposed a TEMPO[8] for the next day to specify periods of visibility reduced to 2,000 m with showers of moderate rain and broken[9] cloud at 1,000 ft.

On the printout of the SPFIB, a METAR for Lockhart River for 1800 (10 March) showed light winds, visibility 10 km or greater and nil cloud detected. Since 0900 that morning, recorded rainfall was 1.8 mm.

No TAF was provided on the SPFIB for Lockhart River as the time of the request was outside the issue and validity period. There were no predicted outages of global positioning system/global navigation satellite system (GPS/GNSS) capability for Cairns or Lockhart River. ‘Notice to airmen’ (NOTAM) information included a change to Lockhart River runway distance and gradient data and no other notices with significance for the planned flight.

After the SPFIB was received, at 1942, the pilot submitted a flight notification for the planned departure from Cairns at 0730 the next morning to Lockhart River followed by a departure at 1430 for the return sector. Both sectors were planned under instrument flight rules (IFR) with nominated capability for instrument approaches using GPS/GNSS equipment.

A damaged and partly illegible copy of the pilot’s flight plan/log was found at the accident site. This was a printout from flight planning software showing key navigational data and pilot notes on progress of the flight. There was no indication of any operational abnormalities.

A tabulated fuel plan showed 1,040 L on board at engine start at Cairns and expected fuel consumption of 285 L for the planned 94-minute flight to Lockhart River. The pilot had included provision for 45 minutes fixed reserve (124 L), 40 L variable reserve and 60 minutes holding (110 L) if required (consistent with TEMPO conditions). If the variable reserve and holding allowance was consumed on the outbound sector (in addition to the calculated flight fuel), the remaining 605 L was sufficient to return to Cairns with allowance for 60-minutes holding on arrival.

In summary, the pilot was not intending to refuel at Lockhart River, and the aircraft had sufficient fuel to conduct the flight from Cairns to Lockhart River and return, with additional fuel for holding on both sectors if required. Avgas was available at Lockhart River.

The pilot completed the operator’s passenger/cargo manifest form and calculated the aircraft’s weight and balance with reference to individual passenger weights and baggage. The take-off weight was recorded as 3,678 kg and nominal landing weight as 3,366 kg. The aircraft’s maximum take-off weight was 3,810 kg and maximum landing weight was 3,674 kg. The graphical trimsheet showed the centre of gravity was within limits throughout the flight.

A copy of the operator’s in-flight monitoring form was found at the accident site. When the pilot completed the form in cruise at 10,000 ft, all of the recorded engine parameters for each engine were comparatively similar with no indication of any aircraft-related problems.

After the pilot requested the SPFIB and submitted the flight notification on the evening before the accident flight, there was no record of further requests for meteorological information from NAIPS. Such information is also available from the Bureau of Meteorology website and other sources without any user registration requirements. It was reported that the pilot was aware of the current weather forecasts on the morning before the flight.

During the flight, the pilot was using an iPad with an electronic flight bag (EFB) application and was carrying a second iPad as a backup.

Meteorological information

Introduction

The Bureau of Meteorology produced aviation forecasts, observations, warnings and advisories. As the official provider of the Aeronautical Information Service, Airservices Australia delivered the bureau’s aviation meteorological products to pilots through NAIPS.

For the flight from Cairns to Lockhart River, the essential meteorological data was aerodrome forecast (TAF), graphical area forecast (GAF), grid point wind and temperature chart (GPWT) and any warnings (such as SIGMET). This could be supplemented by aerodrome weather reports (METAR), ground-based weather radar imagery, and satellite imagery.

Forecasts for Lockhart River

On 11 March 2020 (day of accident), the initial TAF for Lockhart River was issued at 0449 EST[10] and was valid from 0600 to 1800. The expected weather conditions were:

  • From 0600 to 1000: wind variable at 3 kt with visibility 10 km or greater. Light rain showers and cloud scattered at 1,000 ft (all heights are above the aerodrome elevation).
  • Between 0600 and 1000: TEMPO - visibility reduced to 3,000 m with rain and broken cloud at 500 ft.
  • From 0600 to 0800: 30 per cent probability of fog with visibility reduced to 500 ft and broken cloud at 100 ft.
  • From 1000 to 1800: wind from the north-east at 5 kt with visibility 10 km or greater. Light rain showers with scattered cloud at 1,000 ft.
  • Between 1000 and 1800: TEMPO - visibility reduced to 3,000 m with rain showers and broken cloud at 800 ft.
  • For the whole forecast period, 0600 to 1800: 30 per cent probability TEMPO - winds gusting 25 to 35 kt and visibility reduced to 1,000 m due to thunderstorms and rain. This was associated with broken cloud at 500 ft and scattered cumulonimbus cloud with the base at 1,000 ft.

Based on this forecast, for a flight expected to arrive at between 0900–1000, the pilot was required to plan for 60 minutes or diversion to an alternate. The aircraft had more than sufficient fuel for that purpose.

An amended TAF for Lockhart River was issued at 0925 and was valid from 0900 to 1800. The expected weather conditions were:

  • From 0900 to 1300: wind variable at 3 kt with visibility 10 km or greater. Light rain showers with cloud scattered at 1,000 ft and broken at 2,000 ft
  • For whole forecast period, 0900 to 1800: TEMPO – winds gusting from 20 to 35 kt and visibility reduced to 1,000 m due to thunderstorms and rain. This was associated with broken cloud at 500 ft and scattered cumulonimbus cloud with the base at 1,500 ft.
Other forecasts

A GAF was issued at 0853 and was valid from 0900 to 1500 and applicable from surface to 10,000 ft. This covered the Queensland-North region, which was divided into six areas for this forecast. Most of the flight including the arrival at Lockhart River was within one area that was forecast to have the following conditions:

  • Broken stratus 1,000 ft to 2,000 ft with broken cumulus/stratocumulus above that. Visibility reduced to 6,000 m in widespread rain.
  • Isolated towering cumulus from 2,000 ft, broken stratus from 800 to 2,000 ft, and broken cumulus/stratocumulus from 2,000 ft. Visibility reduced to 2,000 ft in scattered rain showers.
  • Isolated cumulonimbus from 2,000 ft and broken status between 500 ft and 1,000 ft. Visibility reduced to 500 m in isolated thunderstorm rain showers.

A GPWT forecast was issued at 0538 and was valid to 1000. Lockhart River was located near the intersection of four data boxes and therefore roughly equidistant from four forecast locations. Taking 2,000 ft as a reference height for the approaches and coastal data as more relevant, the wind was forecast to be from the north-west at 9 kt increasing to 21 kt north of Lockhart River.

There were no significant weather warnings applicable to the flight.

Aerodrome weather reports for Lockhart River

The METARs for Lockhart River were automatically generated every 30 minutes for routine reports and were issued as a special report (SPECI) at other times when one or more elements met specified criteria for degradation and improvement. For the period from 0830 to 0930 on 11 March 2020:

  • 0830: nil wind, visibility 10 km or greater with rain and scattered cloud from 3,000 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were both 25 °C. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm.
  • 0900: nil wind, visibility 10 km or greater with rain and broken cloud at 2,000 ft, 3,500 ft, and 4,100 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were both 25 °C. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm.
  • SPECI 0910: nil wind, visibility 10 km or greater with rain and broken cloud at 1,800 ft and 3,400 ft then overcast at 4,200 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were 26 and 25 °C respectively. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm.
  • SPECI 0913: nil wind, visibility 3,800 m with rain and broken cloud at 1,800 ft and 3,400 ft, overcast at 4,200 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were 26 and 25 °C respectively. Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.2 mm.
  • SPECI 0929: westerly at 5 kt, visibility 8,000 m with heavy rain and scattered cloud at 1,200 ft, broken cloud at 1,900 ft, and broken cloud at 3,600 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were both 25 °C . Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm.
  • SPECI 0930: westerly at 5 kt, visibility 9,000 m with heavy rain and scattered cloud at 1,200 ft, broken cloud at 1,900 ft and broken cloud at 3,600 ft. Temperature and dewpoint were both 25 °C . Rainfall in the previous 10 minutes was 0.4 mm.

The QNH remained at 1,008 hPa during this period, except at 0929 when it was reported as 1,009.

During the next 30 minutes, there were four SPECI issued with variations to visibility between 5,000 m and 10 km or greater. The wind varied in direction and strength no greater than 7 kt. The temperature and dewpoint both remained at 25°. There was persistent rain, and scattered to broken low cloud.

Automated weather information service

Lockhart River was equipped with an automated weather information service (AWIS) that transmitted text-to-speech on a discrete VHF frequency. A new AWIS message was generated every minute in a similar format to the METAR reports. This data was also available from a telephone service.

The pilot recorded the following data in the space allocated for arrival weather information in the flight plan/log:

  • calm (nil wind)
  • 10 km (visibility)
  • B1800 (broken cloud at 1,800 ft)
  • B3500 (broken cloud at 3,500 ft)
  • OV 5300 (overcast cloud at 5,300 ft)
  • 1008 (QNH)
  • 25 (temperature 25 °C).
Radar information

Figure 7 provides an indication of the weather around Lockhart River at 0930 on the morning of the accident.

Figure 7: Weipa radar image at 0930 WST (shortly after the accident) showing weather in Lockhart River area (circled, approximate radius 25 NM/46 km)

Figure 7: Weipa radar image at 0930 WST (shortly after the accident) showing weather in Lockhart River area (circled, approximate radius 25 NM/46 km).
Source: Bureau of Meteorology, annotated by the ATSB

Source: Bureau of Meteorology, annotated by the ATSB

Local weather observations

Two pilots were operating aircraft in the Lockhart River area before and after the accident. The first pilot, operating before the accident, tracked to Lockhart River from the south and conducted the RNAV (GNSS) RWY 30 approach, landing at 0810. There were intermittent rain showers in the area and the pilot advised that the end of the runway was visible while descending through 1,000 ft. The pilot remained on the ground at Lockhart River until later in the day and heard an aircraft (VH-OZO) fly over at high engine power. At that time, there was scattered low cloud at 500–1,000 ft with reduced visibility in rain showers.

The following pilot, operating after the accident, tracked to Lockhart River from the south-west and diverted 15 NM to the right of track due to weather. On arrival the pilot conducted the Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) RWY 30 approach and landed at 0953. There was rain in the area and, although the conditions allowed visual navigation after the final approach fix while descending through 1,500 ft, the runway was not visible until later in the approach.

A person who was near the aerodrome at the time of the accident described the conditions as an unusual morning with a bit of mist coming from the rainforest, and that there was about 5 to 10 minutes of heavy rain around the time the aircraft would have been in the area. At that time, there was low-lying cloud and no wind.

Two of the passengers recorded and shared images during the flight, including one image from each passenger while the aircraft was in the Lockhart River area. The first image (Figure 8) was sent by text messaging at 0903, which was during the first approach while the aircraft was over halfway between intermediate approach fix LHREI and final approach fix LHREF at an altitude between 3,100 and 2,500 ft. The camera is orientated to the north so the foreground, if visible, would be the ocean to the east of Lockhart River.

In a subsequent text message sent at 0914, the passenger advised that the first attempt at landing was unsuccessful and the runway was not visible due to heavy rain. This was followed a couple of minutes later by a text to advise of another attempt. No further communication was received.

Figure 8: Image recorded by a passenger looking forward over the right engine and sent via text message at 0903

Figure 8: Image recorded by a passenger looking forward over the right engine and sent via text message at 0903.
Source: Provided to the ATSB, lower section of image cropped by the ATSB

Source: Provided to the ATSB, lower section of image cropped by the ATSB

The second image (Figure 9) was uploaded at 0914 during the early stages of the second approach, while the pilot was tracking towards LHREI on a south-westerly heading at 3,500 ft. The camera is oriented to the west, which is in the general direction of Lockhart River. An associated message indicated very low visibility and the pilot was circling while waiting for a break in the weather. No further communication was recorded.

Figure 9: Image recorded by a passenger looking over the right wing and uploaded to social media at 0914

Figure 9: Image recorded by a passenger looking over the right wing and uploaded to social media at 0914.
Source: Provided to the ATSB

Source: Provided to the ATSB

Operator information

The Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) issued Air Connect Australia with an Air Operator’s Certificate (AOC) in March 2017 with an expiry date of 31 March 2020. It authorised the certificate holder to operate Cessna C310/340, C404, C402/421 and Raytheon Baron/Travelair aircraft types on charter and aerial work operations. At the time of the accident, CASA was assessing the operator’s application to renew the AOC.

From April 2017, the operator dry-leased VH-OZO from the aircraft owner based at Jandakot Airport, Western Australia. In this arrangement, the aircraft owner was responsible for the continuing airworthiness of the aircraft and the operator managed the operational aspects, such as fuel and flight crew.

The managing director carried out the key roles in the operator’s organisational structure, such as chief pilot and head of aircraft airworthiness and maintenance control. In the 18 months prior to the accident, Air Connect Australia operated one aircraft (VH-OZO) with one pilot additional to the chief pilot (that is, the pilot of the accident flight).

Pilot information

The pilot held a Commercial Pilot Licence (Aeroplane) with an instrument rating and multi-engine aeroplane endorsement. On 7 August 2019, the pilot completed an instrument proficiency check for multi-engine aeroplanes conducted by an independent CASA-approved flight examiner. This was valid until 7 August 2020 and deferred the requirement for a flight review up to August 2021.

Prior to joining the operator in October 2018, the pilot’s recorded total flying time was 2,800 hours. He had been operating as a commercial pilot in remote locations for 5 years, including a total of 3 years based in Arnhem Land, Northern Territory. Between March 2016 and February 2018, he was chief pilot for a charter company that operated Cessna 310 and Piper PA-31 aircraft.

The pilot completed operator induction in October 2018 and received type-specific training in a Cessna 421 from an independent CASA-approved flight examiner. The examiner recalled that the pilot managed the transition to the 400-series Cessna without any problems. Other than the pressurisation system in the C421, the examiner considered it was operationally equivalent to the unpressurised Cessna 404.

Following this, the chief pilot supervised the pilot in command on four flight sectors in VH-OZO and conducted an operator proficiency check (OPC) over two further sectors. The chief pilot noted that the pilot’s planning was satisfactory and operation of the aircraft was above standard. No further OPC was recorded, which was consistent with the operator requirement for an OPC within a 2-year period.

From November 2018 to the accident flight, the pilot was based in Cairns and conducted most of the operator’s charter flights in VH-OZO. During this period, the pilot recorded 70 RNAV (GNSS) approaches to various aerodromes including six at Lockhart River, most recently in October 2019. On one flight, the pilot recorded two RNAV (GNSS) approaches (to Aurukun), which indicates that the pilot conducted a missed approach after the first attempt and landed after a second approach.

In the 2 months prior to the accident flight, the pilot conducted a number of flights (56 sectors). Prior to the day of the accident, his most recent flights were on 18 February 2020. These flights included a RNAV (GNSS) approach and an instrument landing system (ILS) approach.

The pilot had recorded a total of 3,220 hours before the accident flight, including a total of 1,177 hours on multi-engine aircraft with 399 hours on the Cessna 404 aircraft type. Total instrument time was recorded as 148 hours, including 4.5 hours in the 90 days prior to the accident flight.

The pilot’s Class 1 (Commercial Pilot) Medical Certificate was renewed on 14 February 2020 and was valid until 14 February 2021. There were no indications of any significant medical problems in the pilot’s aviation medical records. It was reported that the pilot had been sleeping well in the nights preceding the accident and exercising regularly. He had been on a holiday in the weeks before the accident and was described to be in good health and looking forward to flying again.

Aircraft history and avionics

The aircraft was manufactured by the Cessna Aircraft Company in 1980. It was reported that the aircraft was first operated in Australia before being transferred to Papua New Guinea and registered as P2-ALG. In December 2009, after the aircraft was flown to Australia, a CASA certificate of airworthiness was issued and the aircraft was registered VH-OZO. At that time, the aircraft total time was 28,193 hours.

On arrival into Australia, the aircraft was fitted with aerial geophysical survey equipment and was operated in that configuration until that equipment was removed in March 2012. Concurrently, the avionics were modified in accordance with an engineering order to install new types of avionics and integrate those with existing units. The post-modification avionics, including existing equipment, consisted of:

  • Garmin GMA340 audio panel
  • Dual Garmin GNS430W GPS/Nav/Com
  • Dual Garmin GI-106A CDI Indicator
  • Garmin GTX327 Transponder
  • Bendix/King KR87 ADF and
  • Bendix/King KI-227 Indicator
  • Collins HF
  • Cessna 400B Navomatic Autopilot
  • Bendix non-colour weather radar.

These units were installed at the time of the occurrence except for the transponder, which was replaced by an automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast (ADS-B) compliant unit in April 2017.

The 400B autopilot was one of the standard equipment options for the C404 type. It can provide pitch and roll control with heading and altitude hold (on command). A navigation function provided the autopilot with inputs from an associated CDI instrument, which in this case received data from the number‑1 GNS430W. For a RNAV (GNSS) approach, the pilot could ‘couple’ the autopilot for lateral navigation and manage vertical navigation by adjusting the pitch control or selecting altitude hold.

The aircraft was fitted with the instrumentation required for operations under IFR. These instruments were conventional analogue indicators and reflected the original specifications for the aircraft. It was noted that the second artificial horizon/attitude indicator and altimeter were located on the right side of the co-pilot panel (far side of the instrument panel relative to the pilot).

Figure 10: VH-OZO instrument panel

Figure 10: VH-OZO instrument panel.
Source: Provided to the ATSB

Source: Provided to the ATSB

Aircraft maintenance

The aircraft logbook statement specified that VH-OZO was to be maintained in accordance with the system of maintenance (SOM) developed by the aircraft owner and approved by CASA. The key elements of the SOM were:

  • daily inspection in accordance with the Cessna 404 Pilot’s Operating Handbook
  • engine and airframe inspections every 100 +/- 10 hours in accordance with the Cessna 404 Progressive Care Program (Operations 1 and 2 plus 3 and 4 completed within 12-month period)
  • electrical and instrument inspections every 220 hours or 12 months in accordance with SOM schedules
  • IFR avionics inspections every 220 hours or 12 months in accordance with SOM schedules
  • Special inspections, Supplemental Inspection Documents, and Corrosion Prevention Control Program as required
  • altimeter and pitot-static system inspection and test every 24 months
  • maintenance release issue for a period of up to 220 hours or 12 months, whichever occurred first.

Scheduled engine and airframe maintenance was carried out by the CASA-approved maintenance organisation associated with the aircraft owner. While the aircraft was based in Cairns, electrical, instrument, and radio maintenance as well as unscheduled maintenance was contracted to licensed aircraft maintenance engineers.

The most recent maintenance was the scheduled 100-hour inspection based on Operations 3 and 4 of the Cessna 404 Progressive Care Program. This was completed on 16 February 2020 at 31,066 hours total time. A maintenance release was issued with the next scheduled maintenance being the oil/filter change after 50 hours operation and compass swing in July 2020.

Other key maintenance was:

  • 19 January 2020 at 31,050 hours: inspection of the electrical, instrument and IFR avionic systems certified as satisfactory
  • 29 January 2019 at 30,750 hours: inspection and test of the pitot-static system and check of altimeters certified as satisfactory.

The current maintenance release was not found at the accident site. Operator records showed that the aircraft had been operated for 3.8 hours between maintenance release issue and the accident flight. The operator and aircraft owner both advised that no aircraft defects had been reported.

Garmin GNS 430W

The Garmin GNS 430W is a panel-mounted unit that provided for GPS navigation, instrument landing system (ILS) or VHF omnidirectional radio range (VOR) navigation, and VHF radio communication. It was approved for IFR operations including RNAV (GNSS) approaches and was used in conjunction with a course deviation indicator (CDI) instrument.

Although the ‘W’ designates wide area augmentation system (WAAS) capabilities that allow for GPS approaches with vertical guidance, Australia does not have the associated infrastructure. As such, the GNS 430W was approved to provide distance and track information only for RNAV (GNSS) non-precision approaches.

To use the unit for RNAV (GNSS) approaches, it was a requirement that the NavData card was valid and the approach was loaded from the database. The operator subscribed to the Jeppesen NavData service that provided updates on a monthly basis. It was reported that the pilot updated the NavData card using a laptop computer in the 24 hours prior to the flight, although this is yet to be confirmed by the ATSB.

The GNS 430W has a terrain function that requires a valid 3D GPS position solution and a valid terrain and obstacle database to operate properly. Terrain information is advisory only and can include:

  • display of altitudes of terrain and obstructions relative to the aircraft’s altitude
  • pop-up terrain alert messages issued when flight conditions meet parameters set within the terrain system software algorithms
  • forward looking terrain avoidance alerts in all phases of flight
  • premature descent alerting on approach to land (including RNAV approaches).

The ATSB has not yet established if the terrain function was operable and the status of any user and system inhibitions.

Fault detection and exclusion was incorporated into the GNS 430W software to detect satellite failure and exclude failed satellites from usage.

Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) RWY 30 approach

It was reported that the pilot subscribed to the departure and arrival procedures published by Airservices Australia. A copy of the Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) RWY 30 approach chart as published by Airservices Australia is shown in Figure 10.

To enable the approach, the pilot loads the approach waypoints and approach tracks from the GPS database. All altitudes specified for the Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) RWY 30 approach are barometric and are managed by the pilot with reference to the altimeter. In addition to the various minimum safe altitudes for different segments of the approach, the pilot is provided with a distance/altitude scale that provides guidance for the optimum descent angle of 3°.

After the final approach fix LHREF, the pilot is permitted to descend to the MDA provided the aircraft is within tracking tolerances. Further descent is only allowed if the pilot has at least 4,200 m visibility and is able to continue the approach and land on the runway. If the pilot arrives at the missed approach point and is unable to continue the approach to land by visual reference, the pilot is required to conduct a missed approach by initiating a climb to the specified altitude and tracking in accordance with the procedure.

Figure 11: Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) Runway 30 approach chart

Figure 11: Lockhart River RNAV (GNSS) Runway 30 approach chart.
Source: Airservices Australia

Source: Airservices Australia

Further investigation

The investigation is continuing and will include further review and examination of:

  • recorded flight data for the accident flight
  • meteorological data at the time of the accident
  • recorded flight data as available for selected RNAV (GNSS) approaches conducted by the pilot at Lockhart River and other aerodromes
  • regulatory oversight processes for Air Connect Australia
  • software version and operation of Garmin GNS 430W units fitted to VH-OZO
  • training and checking practices related to RNAV (GNSS) approaches, including missed approaches and subsequent approaches
  • occurrences involving RNAV (GNSS) approaches, including at Lockhart River
  • existing and potential risk controls for controlled flight into terrain
  • human factors considerations
  • potential pilot incapacitation risk factors.

Should a critical safety issue be identified during the course of the investigation, the ATSB will immediately notify relevant parties so appropriate and timely safety action can be taken.

A final report will be released at the conclusion of the investigation.

Acknowledgements

The ATSB acknowledges the significant assistance provided by the Queensland Police Service during the on-site phase of this investigation.

The information contained in this preliminary report is released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003 and is derived from the initial investigation of the occurrence. Readers are cautioned that new evidence will become available as the investigation progresses that will enhance the ATSB's understanding of the accident as outlined in this preliminary report. As such, no analysis or findings are included in this report.

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information 

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2020

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Ownership of intellectual property rights in this publication

Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this report publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia.

Creative Commons licence

With the exception of the Coat of Arms, ATSB logo, and photos and graphics in which a third party holds copyright, this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence.

Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided that you attribute the work.

The ATSB’s preference is that you attribute this publication (and any material sourced from it) using the following wording: Source: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

Copyright in material obtained from other agencies, private individuals or organisations, belongs to those agencies, individuals or organisations. Where you wish to use their material, you will need to contact them directly.

  1. Eastern Standard Time (EST) is Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) + 10 hours.
  2. Visual Meteorological Conditions (VMC): an aviation flight category in which visual flight rules (VFR) flight is permitted – that is, conditions in which pilots have sufficient visibility to fly the aircraft while maintaining visual separation from terrain and other aircraft.
  3. Instrument flight rules (IFR): a set of regulations that permit the pilot to operate an aircraft to operate in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC), which have much lower weather minimums than VFR. Procedures and training are significantly more complex as a pilot must demonstrate competency in IMC conditions while controlling the aircraft solely by reference to instruments. IFR-capable aircraft have greater equipment and maintenance requirements.
  4. In the Lockhart River area, VHF contact with air traffic services was not generally available below 4,500 ft. Outside of VHF coverage, pilots communicated with Flightwatch using HF radio.
  5. QNH: code for the pilot-adjustable barometric pressure subscale of an altimeter. If the accurate QNH value is set on a serviceable altimeter and the aircraft static pressure system is functioning correctly, the altimeter will indicate the height above mean sea level within acceptable tolerances.
  6. Scattered indicates that cloud is covering between a quarter and a half of the sky at the specified height.
  7. In aerodrome forecasts and reports, the height datum for cloud is aerodrome elevation.
  8. TEMPO: a temporary deterioration in the forecast weather conditions, during which significant variation in prevailing conditions are expected to last for periods of between 30 and 60 minutes, and require 60 minutes holding fuel or diversion to an alternate aerodrome.
  9. Broken indicates that more than half to almost all the sky is covered by cloud at the specified height.
  10. In aviation meteorological products, time is expressed as coordinated universal time (UTC) and the data is generally expressed in coded terms. For ease of reference, the time has been converted to EST and the data has been decoded.

Occurrence summary

Investigation number AO-2020-017
Occurrence date 11/03/2020
Occurrence time and timezone 09:20 Australian Eastern Standard Time
Location 6 km south-east of Lockhart River Airport
State Queensland
Report release date 15/12/2022
Report status Final
Investigation level Systemic
Investigation type Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Aviation
Aviation occurrence category Controlled flight into terrain (CFIT)
Occurrence class Accident
Highest injury level Fatal

Aircraft details

Manufacturer Cessna Aircraft Company
Model 404 Titan
Registration VH-OZO
Serial number 404-0653
Aircraft operator Air Connect Australia
Sector Piston
Operation type Charter
Activity Commercial air transport-Non-scheduled-Passenger transport charters
Departure point Cairns Airport, Queensland
Destination Lockhart River Airport, Queensland
Injuries Crew - 1 (fatal), Passengers - 4 (fatal)
Damage Destroyed

Accredited Representative to UK AAIB investigation of a tail strike involving a Qantas, B787-9 registered VH-ZND, London Heathrow Airport, United Kingdom, 9 February 2020

Summary

On 9 February 2020, a Qantas Boeing 787-9 was conducting a flight from London Heathrow Airport, Greater London, United Kingdom to Perth Airport, Australia. During rotation, the pilots received a tail strike caution message and returned for landing at London Heathrow Airport. 

The United Kingdom Air Accident Investigation Branch (AAIB) is conducting an investigation into this occurrence. As Australia is the State of Registration of the aircraft, the AAIB has requested an Accredited Representative from the Australian Transport Safety Bureau (ATSB) be appointed.

To facilitate this request, the ATSB initiated an external investigation under the provisions of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003.

The UK AAIB is responsible for and will administer the release of the final investigation report into this incident.

Any enquiries relating to the investigation should be directed to the AAIB at: www.aaib.gov.uk 

Final report

The occurrence

On 9 February 2020, a Qantas Airways Boeing 787-900, registered VH-ZND, departed on a flight from London Heathrow Airport, United Kingdom to Perth Airport, Australia. Shortly after initiation of aircraft rotation,[1] the flight crew received a caution message indicating that the tail strike prevention system had been triggered. After performing the relevant checks the flight crew returned the aircraft for an overweight landing at Heathrow Airport.

Investigation

The United Kingdom Air Accident Investigation Branch (AAIB) was responsible for the investigation into this occurrence. As Australia is the State of Registration of the aircraft, the AAIB requested appointment of an Accredited Representative from the ATSB.

To facilitate this request, the ATSB initiated an external investigation under the provisions of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003.

Conclusion

The AAIB investigation concluded that, during conditions of strong and gusty winds, a high pitch rate near lift-off caused the trail strike sensor to contact the runway surface. This resulted in activation of the aircraft’s tail strike prevention system and generation of an Engine Indication and Crew Alerting System TAIL STRIKE message. While the tip of the sensor was abraded due to contact with the runway, no further damage was found.

The final report of the investigation conducted by the AAIB can be found at AAIB investigation to Boeing 787-900, VH-ZND (www.gov.uk)

Any further information regarding this investigation should be directed to the AAIB via: enquiries@aaib.gov.uk

 

_____________

The information contained in this update is released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003 and is derived from the AAIB investigation of the occurrence.

  1. Rotation: the positive, nose-up, movement of an aircraft about the lateral (pitch) axis immediately before becoming airborne..

Occurrence summary

Investigation number AE-2020-015
Occurrence date 09/02/2020
Location London Heathrow
State International
Report release date 04/02/2021
Report status Final
Investigation type External Investigation
Investigation phase Final report: Dissemination
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Aviation
Occurrence class Incident

Aircraft details

Manufacturer The Boeing Company
Model 787-9
Registration VH-ZND
Aircraft operator Qantas
Sector Jet
Operation type Air Transport High Capacity
Departure point London Heathrow, United Kingdom
Destination Perth, Australia
Damage Minor

Collision between Accolade II and Sandgroper, off Port Adelaide, South Australia, on 29 February 2020

Final report

Report release date: 29/10/2021

Safety summary

What happened

At about 0438 local time on 29 February 2020, in darkness and clear visibility, the inbound fishing vessel Sandgroper collided with the outbound self-discharging bulk carrier Accolade II, off the entrance to Port Adelaide, South Australia. The collision occurred within port limits shortly after Accolade II had exited the Port Adelaide channel and resulted in significant structural damage to Sandgroper and minor damage to Accolade II. There were no injuries reported on either vessel.

What the ATSB found

The ATSB found that a proper lookout using all available means was not being maintained on board either vessel in the time leading up to the collision. Consequently, neither vessel was aware of the risk of the collision posed by the other until shortly before the collision when it was too late to take effective avoiding action.

Accolade II’s bridge team did not have a complete appreciation of the traffic situation and of the risk of collision outside the port channel before the ship exited the channel. In particular, effective use was not made of radar and a dedicated look-out was not posted in darkness.

Sandgroper’s skipper initially sighted Accolade II while the ship was still in the channel. However, a proper look-out was not subsequently maintained using all available means, including radar and radio. As a result, Sandgroper's skipper was not aware that Accolade II had exited the port channel and a close quarters situation with the ship was developing. While Sandgroper was not equipped with, nor required to be equipped with, an automatic identification system (AIS) transceiver, had one been fitted, it would have improved the vessel's detectability. That in turn would have increased the chances that the vessel was detected by Accolade II’s bridge team in sufficient time to avoid collision.

What has been done as a result

Following this incident Sandgroper was fitted with an AIS transceiver.

Accolade II’s managers (Inco Ships) advised that a navigational audit of the ship’s operations was conducted, which resulted in several recommendations to improve the ship’s bridge resource management practices.

Safety message

The safety of fishers and people in small boats continues to be of concern to the ATSB as collisions between trading ships and small vessels on the Australian coast continue to occur. Safety investigations into such collisions have consistently shown that the keeping of a proper lookout by all available means, including radar, radio and AIS, in accordance with the collision regulations could have prevented most of these collisions.

 

The occurrence

At about 1100 Central Daylight-saving Time[1] on 28 February, Sandgroper (Figure 1) departed its fishing grounds off Kangaroo Island, South Australia and began making its way back to North Arm Marina in Port Adelaide. The vessel was crewed by a skipper and two uncertificated crew (deckhands). The crew had been fishing at sea for the previous week when a hydraulic equipment malfunction resulted in the decision to return to port.

Figure 1: Sandgroper

Figure 1: Sandgroper

Source: Ashworth Maritime Services

At 0226 on the morning of 29 February, Sandgroper was about 13 nautical miles (miles)[2] south‑west of Port Adelaide’s southern breakwater (Figure 2), on a heading[3] of about 020°, with steering in autopilot mode and a speed of about 5-6 knots. The skipper was on watch in the wheelhouse with the deckhands resting. At about 0300, the skipper handed over the watch to one of the deckhands in order to get some rest. The skipper instructed the deckhand to follow the course plotted on the chart plotter and to wake them if there were any concerns or when arriving at a nominated point marked on the chart plotter near Port Adelaide’s port limits. The skipper then lay down to rest on the wheelhouse bunk, aft of the conning position. Both the vessel’s very high frequency (VHF) radio units were set to maintain a listening watch on VHF channel 16.[4]

Meanwhile, Accolade II was alongside at Adelaide Brighton Cement’s K-Berth in Port Adelaide Inner Harbour. The ship was engaged in discharging a cargo of limestone loaded earlier that day at Klein Point, South Australia.

Figure 2: Section of chart Aus 781 showing key locations and vessel tracks

Figure 2: Section of chart Aus 781 showing key locations and vessel tracks

Source: Australian Hydrographic Office, annotated by the ATSB using electronically recorded data

At about 0230, Accolade II’s first engineer woke the chief mate and provided 1-hours’ notice for the ship’s planned departure at 0330 for Klein Point. The chief mate went up to the ship’s navigation bridge (bridge) to complete the bridge pre-departure checklist. The checklist included checking that the ship’s radar[5] was on, testing that the ship’s whistle was operational and testing engine and steering gear controls. The checks also included confirming that one VHF radio was set to the port’s working channel (VHF channel 12), and that the ship’s planned departure time of 0330 was reported to the Flinders Ports Communications Tower (communications tower).[6]

At 0255, the chief mate woke the chief integrated rating (IR)[7] and shortly after, the master. By about 0310, the master had made his way to the bridge where he met the chief mate who was on his way down to deal with cargo paperwork and read the ship’s draughts. At 0320, cargo discharge was completed, and the ship’s departure draught recorded as 3.77 m forward and 4.97 m aft.

At 0327, the master contacted the communications tower on VHF radio and reported that the ship was departing its berth. The ship’s forward mooring station were manned by the chief mate and an IR while the aft mooring station was manned by the chief IR and another IR. By 0329, all mooring lines were cast off and, by 0339, the ship had completed its swing to the north and commenced its outbound passage to Klein Point through the Port Adelaide Inner and Outer Harbours. The crew at the mooring stations were stood down and the chief IR went up to the bridge to assume helmsman duties. The chief mate went back to the accommodation to finalise cargo-related paperwork while the other IRs attended to routine post-departure tasks on deck.

At about the time Accolade II was casting off, Sandgroper was about 6.8 miles south-west of Port Adelaide’s southern breakwater. The fishing vessel was on autopilot, still on a heading of about 020° and a speed of about 5-6 knots, with a deckhand on watch and the skipper resting.

By 0356, Accolade II was passing the reporting point at beacon number 39 in the Port Adelaide River at a speed of about 8.9 knots. The master reported passing beacon number 39 to the communications tower on VHF channel 12 and continued the ship’s passage with the helmsman steering.

At about 0415, Sandgroper’s deckhand sighted a red light off the port bow and, shortly after, woke the skipper. The deckhand handed over the watch including reporting the sighting of the red light on the vessel’s port bow. The deckhand then left the wheelhouse to rest while the skipper made a coffee.

At about 0420, Sandgroper entered Port Adelaide’s port limits. The weather at the time was fine, with light winds, calm seas, good visibility and no moon. The skipper checked the reported red light and assessed it to be the port sidelight of an outbound ship in the channel. He then identified the ship on the radar display, which was set on a range scale of 3 miles. The skipper assumed the ship would stay in the channel, and at about 0426 or very shortly after, altered Sandgroper’s course to starboard to stay out of the channel and avoid giving the impression of heading for the channel and thereby impeding the ship’s progress. The skipper then reduced the radar display range scale from 3 miles to 0.125 miles as the vessel progressed towards the port’s breakwater.

At about 0428, as Accolade II was approaching Port Adelaide’s southern breakwater, the chief mate arrived on the ship’s bridge. At about 0433, the ship’s course was altered to port and it exited the channel between beacons number 13 and 15 at a speed of about 9.1 knots. The master contacted the communications tower and reported that the ship was ‘…departing at beacon 13.’ The master then instructed the helmsman to change the ship’s steering from manual to autopilot. The helmsman changed the steering to autopilot and turned off two of the ship’s four steering motors, which was the usual practice for the sea passage.

Meanwhile, the chief mate increased the range scale of Accolade II’s radar display from 0.75 miles to 3 miles and selected the ‘Off Center’ function to provide for the maximum view on the display ahead of the ship. Accolade II’s radar immediately detected Sandgroper. The fishing vessel’s radar echo immediately began to paint on the ship’s radar display about 1.2 miles off Accolade II’s starboard bow, but the chief mate did not notice it.

At about 0434, the chief mate used the radar to select and display the automatic identification system (AIS)[8] target data of two vessels off the ship’s port bow. At about the same time, the master dismissed the helmsman who then left the bridge with a radio. At about 0435, the chief mate answered a call on the bridge telephone. The call lasted about a minute before the chief mate went back to familiarising himself with the navigational situation and adjusting bridge equipment, such as dimming lights, in preparation for taking over the watch from the master.

The collision

Just after 0436, the chief mate, who was standing by the steering console on the ship’s centreline, sighted a red light fine off the ship’s starboard bow. The chief mate crossed to the starboard side of the bridge, got a pair of binoculars to better observe the sighted light and moved to the port side of the bridge to avoid a visual blind sector created by the ship’s bucket elevator on deck. Meanwhile, the master, who was also alerted to the red light, crossed to the port side of the bridge to get another pair of binoculars and returned to the centreline. Both officers then recalled seeing both red and green sidelights of the vessel. By this time, Sandgroper was about 0.5 miles from the ship.

Just over a minute later, at 0437, Accolade II’s radar range scale was reduced from 3 to 1.5 miles. By this time, Sandgroper had closed to about 0.25 miles and the master instructed the chief mate to ‘…go more south…’. The chief mate switched over to manual steering and applied 15° of port rudder helm as the master repeated his instructions to go further south. The master went out on to the starboard bridge wing and their instructions to ‘...go more south…’ became increasingly urgent. The chief mate then applied full port rudder as the ship slowly began turning to port at a speed of about 9.4 knots. The chief mate also attempted to sound the ship’s whistle without success.

Meanwhile, on board Sandgroper, the skipper unexpectedly saw Accolade II’s green sidelight at very close range. The skipper quickly put the vessel’s propulsion full astern, but this had little effect. Shortly after 0438, Sandgroper collided with Accolade II’s starboard side, just forward of midships (Figure 3).

Figure 3: Sections of charts Aus 130 and Aus 138 showing sequence of the collision

Figure 3: Sections of charts Aus 130 and Aus 138 showing sequence of the collision

Source: Australian Hydrographic Office, annotated by the ATSB using electronically recorded data

At about 0439, the master tried unsuccessfully to call Sandgroper on VHF channel 12. Meanwhile, the chief mate recalled the IR to the ship’s bridge and handed over the helm. The chief mate then issued helm orders to steady the ship’s heading to avoid close quarters situations with the two vessels on the ship’s port side. At about 0440, the master reported the collision to the port’s communications tower.

Shortly after, Sandgroper’s skipper called Accolade II on VHF channel 16. The masters of the two vessels then switched over to VHF channel 13 and exchanged details, confirmed that there were no injuries to anyone on either vessel and that neither vessel required assistance. Accolade II’s master then reported the collision to the ship manager by phone and, having assessed there was no significant damage, resumed the ship’s passage to Klein Point.

Sandgroper’s skipper telephoned the vessel’s manager to report the collision and was advised to resume its passage. By about 0830 that morning, Sandgroper was safely alongside at North Arm Marina.

Sandgroper sustained significant structural damage to the starboard bow (Figure 4) with some minor damage to the vessel’s port side as well. Additionally, Sandgroper’s anchor was lost from the vessel’s bow and was found lodged in Accolade II’s deck railings.

Figure 4: Damage to Sandgroper

Figure 4: Damage to Sandgroper

Source: Australian Maritime Safety Authority and Inco Ships

Accolade II sustained relatively minor damage to deck structures and railings on the ship’s starboard side as a result of the collision (Figure 5).

Figure 5: Damage to Accolade II

Figure 5: Damage to Accolade II

Source: Inco Ships

__________

  1. Central Daylight-saving Time (CDT): Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) + 10.5 hours.
  2. A nautical mile is 1,852 m.
  3. The direction of the bow of a vessel expressed in degrees, either magnetic or true. Sandgroper’s headings in this report are in degrees by magnetic compass while Accolade II’s headings are in degrees by gyro compass.
  4. VHF channel 16 (156.800 MHz) is the international distress, safety and calling frequency. All VHF-equipped vessels are required to maintain a continuous listening watch on this frequency at sea.).
  5. Accolade II was appropriately equipped with a single radar in accordance with the provisions of the relevant SOLAS regulations in force at that time of its construction
  6. The Flinders Ports Communications Tower’s call sign was ‘Adelaide Outer Harbour’.
  7. Integrated ratings are qualified to perform the duties of both an able seaman and an engine rating.
  8. The automatic identification system (AIS) is a very high frequency (VHF) radio broadcasting system which enables AIS equipped vessels and shore-based stations to send and receive identifying information. See the section titled Automatic identification system for further information.

Context

Accolade II

Accolade II is a 108 m, self-unloading bulk carrier of 6,310 gross tonnage, built in 1982 by Carrington Slipways, Newcastle, New South Wales. The ship was owned by Adelaide Brighton Cement and, at the time of the collision, was managed and operated by Inco Ships. Accolade II was designed and built for the carriage of limestone from quarries at Klein Point, South Australia, across the Gulf St. Vincent, to Adelaide Brighton Cement’s facilities at Birkenhead, situated within Port Adelaide’s inner harbour.

Equipment and machinery

Accolade II was a Regulated Australian Vessel (RAV). RAVs are commercial vessels which operate (or can be operated) outside the Australian exclusive economic zone. RAVs are subject to the Navigation Act 2012 and are generally required to comply with the requirements of international conventions as given effect by the Australian Maritime Safety Authority’s (AMSA) marine orders.[9]Accolade II was equipped with the navigational and safety equipment required by the International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS)[10] for a ship of its size and age.

The ship’s navigation equipment included a single radar, automatic identification system (AIS), gyrocompass, differential GPS and a bridge navigational watch alarm system.[11]Accolade II was also fitted with a Japan Radio Company (JRC) JCY 1850 simplified voyage data recorder (VDR).[12] The ship’s primary means of navigation was paper charts although it was also fitted with a chart plotter.[13]

The ship’s propulsion was provided by twin Fuji Diesel 6LG32X dual-fuel propulsion engines that used compressed natural gas as their main fuel, although they could also be operated with marine gas oil.

Radar

Accolade II was equipped with a single JRC JMA-5312-6 X‑Band[14] radar with automatic radar plotting aid (ARPA) and automatic target acquisition capability as well as data input from the AIS and GPS units.

SOLAS regulations prescribed radar carriage requirements for ships based on their gross tonnage. Most modern merchant ships of Accolade II’s size were required to be equipped with two radars. However, Accolade II was subject to the provisions of SOLAS regulations that were in force at that time of its construction, which only required that ships of 1,600 gross tonnage and upwards be fitted with a single, type-approved radar. The regulations allowed for ships constructed before 1 July 2002 to be fitted with equipment which fulfilled the requirements prescribed in the relevant regulations in force prior to 2002.

Crew

Accolade II was manned and operated by a crew of nine in compliance with the ship’s AMSA‑issued minimum safe manning document. The ship’s complement included two deck watchkeeping officers—a master and a chief mate—as well as three integrated ratings, a chief engineer, two first engineers and a cook. The ship’s crews operated on a 3-week roster and most personnel had been assigned to the ship for several years. Crew changes were staggered so that different crew began their 3-week duty periods at different stages of the 3-week roster period.

The master had about 32 years of seagoing experience and held an Australian master’s (unlimited) certificate of competency. The master had worked exclusively on Accolade II for the previous 6.5 years and had joined the ship 16 days before the collision. The master’s usual rank on board was as chief mate (with over 10 years’ experience in the rank) but he had acted in the role of master several times in the past, usually for about a week at a time. In this instance, he was acting in the role of master for the last week of his 3-week roster period. The master also held a marine pilotage exemption certificate (PEC) for Port Adelaide. The PEC was endorsed for night navigation and allowed the master to navigate Accolade II in the waters of Port Adelaide’s Inner and Outer harbours at any time without the need to take on a pilot.

The chief mate had about 15 years of seagoing experience, held a Philippines master’s (unlimited) certificate of competency and the equivalent Australian certificate of recognition. The chief mate had about 8 years’ experience in the rank, had worked exclusively on Accolade II for the previous 5 years and had joined the ship 2 days before the collision. The chief mate did not hold a PEC for Port Adelaide.

Operations

Accolade II generally conducted a daily return voyage between Port Adelaide and Klein Point.

The ship’s operations routinely involved a departure from Port Adelaide in the early hours of the morning with the exact time of departure varying depending on when cargo discharge was completed. The chief mate was usually woken about an hour before completion of cargo discharge/departure with the master usually woken about half-an-hour before departure. The chief mate assisted with unmooring operations, following which the master piloted the ship out of the harbour.

On exiting the channel, the chief mate usually took over the watch for the 4-hour sea voyage to Klein Point. The master returned to the bridge when the ship was approaching Klein Point and berthed the ship with the chief mate’s assistance. Once alongside, the chief mate was stood down while the master managed cargo loading operations, which usually took about 4 hours.

The chief mate was recalled for departure and then kept the sea watch for the passage back to Port Adelaide. The master returned to the bridge and took over the watch just before the ship entered the Port Adelaide channel (near beacon number 13). The chief mate then assisted with bringing the ship alongside and with mooring operations. Once alongside, both the master and chief mate stood down while the ship’s cargo was discharged, which usually took about 8 hours.

Sandgroper

Sandgroper is a steel-hulled trawler built in 1978 in Johnsonville, Victoria. The vessel was owned by Pescatore Di Mare and, at the time of the collision, managed and operated by Southern Fisheries Group. The vessel operated out of the Government-owned North Arm Marina, a commercial fishing harbour located in a narrow channel off the Port Adelaide river, south of Torrens Island.

At the time of the collision, Sandgroper was a class 3B domestic commercial vessel (DCV) and was equipped with navigational and safety equipment required for an ‘existing’ class 3B DCV.[15]

The trawler’s wheelhouse was equipped with a Furuno 1942 Mark-2 radar, GPS, echo sounder and two VHF radios, both with dual watch capability. Sandgroper was not equipped with AIS or VDR, nor was it required to be (see the section titled Automatic identification system). Additionally, the trawler was equipped with a vessel monitoring system (VMS)[16] required by the Australian Fisheries Management Authority (AFMA).

Sandgroper was crewed and operated by a crew of three – a skipper and two uncertificated crew – in compliance with the applicable conditions in the vessel’s AMSA-issued Certificate of Operation. The skipper had over 28 years’ seagoing experience and held an Australian master’s (<24 m, near coastal) certificate of competency as well as a marine engine driver’s (Grade 3, near coastal) certificate of competency. The skipper had operated out of Port Adelaide for more than 20 years.

International regulations for preventing collisions at sea

The look-out

The International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea, 1972, as amended (COLREGs) provide internationally‑agreed rules and measures to prevent collisions. The COLREGs generally apply to all vessels at sea, including fishing vessels. The COLREGs include requirements for keeping a look-out, assessing risk of collision with other vessels as well as the conduct and responsibilities of vessels in preventing collisions.

With respect to keeping a lookout, Rule 5 of the COLREGs (Look-out), states:

Every vessel shall at all times maintain a proper look-out by sight and hearing as well as by all available means appropriate in the prevailing circumstances and conditions so as to make a full appraisal of the situation and of the risk of collision.

The rules required that a lookout be kept not only by sight and hearing, but by all available means including radar, AIS, and information from other sources such as port radio broadcasts and ship‑to‑ship or ship‑to‑shore calls.

The ‘prevailing circumstances and conditions’ include various factors that should be considered when keeping an effective lookout. While not explicitly identified in the rule on the look-out, many of these factors were identifiable elsewhere within the COLREGS. For example, Rule 6 (Safe speed) listed several factors that were also relevant to the keeping of a lookout. Factors relevant to keeping an effective lookout include the:

  • state of visibility and time of day (day, night or twilight)
  • background lights (shore lights or back scatter from own lights)
  • expected traffic in the area (open sea, coastal passage, port or harbour)
  • traffic density, including concentrations of fishing and other vessels
  • characteristics, efficiency and limitations of radar (including its range and any interference)
  • constraints imposed by the radar range scale in use.

Other relevant factors include the availability, type, capability, and limitations of the AIS units of the vessels involved, available local knowledge and information, and the availability of traffic information via radio (ship‑to‑ship calls, all ship broadcasts and schedules). A number of the factors listed above are interrelated. For example, the use of radar significantly enhances keeping a lookout, particularly during darkness or when visibility is restricted by fog, rain or other conditions.

The COLREGs made specific mention of the proper use of radar equipment to obtain early warning of the risk of collision. The regulations also warned against making assumptions based on scanty information. The keeping of a proper lookout enables the risk of collision to be assessed in sufficient time for early and appropriate action to be taken.

Navigation lights

The COLREGs also described the requirements for vessels to exhibit specific lights (navigation lights) from sunset to sunrise. These lights were generally dependent on vessel length with some additional lights required depending on the type/purpose of the vessel or under certain circumstances and conditions.

Accolade II was required to display a white masthead light forward, a second masthead light abaft of, and higher than the forward one (mandatory for vessels 50 m or more in length), sidelights, and a stern light.

Sandgroper was not engaged in fishing at the time of the collision and therefore was required to display a single masthead light, sidelights and a sternlight.

At the time of the incident, both Accolade II and Sandgroper were probably displaying the required navigation lights for power-driven vessels of their size while underway. Additionally, neither vessel was displaying other lights, such as working lights or deck lights, that could obscure or be mistaken for regulation navigation lights or otherwise be an impediment to sighting and identifying navigation lights.

Signals to attract attention

The COLREGs required that vessels carry equipment to make sound signals for manoeuvring and warning purposes as well as to attract attention. Depending on size, a vessel may be required to carry a whistle, a bell and/or a gong.[17]

Accolade II was equipped with a pneumatic whistle fitted on the main mast. The whistle could be operated from six different locations, including from buttons on the bridge and bridge wings. Accolade II’s chief mate reported that when he attempted to sound the ship’s whistle to attract Sandgroper’s attention before the collision, he probably did not hold the button down long enough for it to sound. Accolade II was also equipped with an Aldis lamp[18] that was not used to attract attention because of the lack of available time.

Sandgroper was equipped with a manually operated horn. However, no attempt was made to use it, probably due to the rapid sequence and unexpected nature of the collision.

Accolade II’s look-out

Accolade II’s safety management system (SMS) included procedures for the navigation and operation of the ship. The procedures stated that the collision regulations as well as other international and local regulations relating to safe navigation were to be strictly complied with. They also noted that the primary reference documents for the operation of the ship at sea included:

  • the COLREGs
  • Standards of Training, Certification and Watchkeeping for Seafarers (STCW) Code[19]
  • AMSA’s Marine Order 28 (Operations standards and procedures)[20]
  • Master’s standing orders
  • Bridge Procedures Guide[21]

Together, these documents and publications, referenced in Accolade II’s procedures, comprehensively dealt with the subject of watchkeeping and the look-out.

The STCW Code provided mandatory watchkeeping standards applicable to ‘seagoing ships’ and required that a proper lookout be maintained at all times in compliance with the COLREGs. The Code required that the lookout be able to give full attention to lookout duties and not be assigned or undertake any duties which could interfere with that task. It also clarified that the duties of a lookout and helmsperson on a ship are separate. While the Code permitted the watchkeeping officer to be the sole lookout in daylight (in good conditions), it implied that a separate, dedicated lookout was to be posted in darkness.

Accolade II’s master’s standing orders made it clear that during the hours of darkness, the minimum manning requirement for the bridge was a qualified watchkeeping officer and one integrated rating (IR) as a lookout. The orders also clarified that the lookout should not be assigned any other tasks, although they could be absent from the bridge for brief periods to perform tasks such as a fire and safety round.

The Bridge Procedures Guide is a publication that aims to reflect best practice on subjects such as passage planning and watchkeeping, including on the subject of the look-out, and is widely used internationally to support shipboard safety management systems. The guide and its content are consistent with the requirements of COLREGs and the STCW Code.

On the morning of the collision, when Accolade II departed the berth at about 0339, the ship’s bridge was manned by a watchkeeping officer (the master) and a helmsman (an IR). The pilot‑exempt master (with the helmsman steering) navigated the ship in darkness within the confines of the Port Adelaide River for about 50 minutes before the chief mate joined them on the bridge at about 0428. As such, for the duration of the ship’s passage within the harbour in darkness, there was no separate, dedicated look-out posted as required.

Once on the bridge, the chief mate performed a number of tasks to become familiar with the navigational situation in preparation for taking over the watch. While the chief mate was pre‑occupied with these tasks, the IR (helmsman) was dismissed from the bridge instead of being retained as a dedicated look-out.

Events and conditions on board Accolade II

On departure from the berth, Accolade II’s radar display was centred, north-up and in relative motion mode on a 0.75 nautical mile (mile) range scale. A variable range marker (VRM) was turned on and set to a range of 1.005 miles, but no electronic bearing line (EBL) was turned on. The radar’s heading input was sourced from the gyrocompass while speed input was from the GPS. The radar’s functionality allowed the ship’s passage plan waypoints to be input to display the ship’s planned track, but this was not used. Target vectors were set to ‘True’ for a duration of 3 minutes.[22] The ‘Trails’ function was off. This function displays the recent history (or past track) of a target as an echo trail or afterglow, making it conspicuous while distinguishing it from inconsistent echoes, such as from sea clutter or from stationary targets such as beacons (depending on whether true motion trails or relative motion trails have been selected).[23].

During the bridge pre-departure checks, the cursor was moved to the right of the display, over the AIS information menu item (Figure 6). The cursor’s position and other radar settings remained unchanged for Accolade II’s passage through Port Adelaide River and channel.

Figure 6: Set-up of Accolade II's radar as it exited the channel at 0433

Figure 6: Set-up of Accolade II's radar as it exited the channel at 0433

The radar display was centred on a 0.75 mile range scale and that Sandgroper’s radar echo was not visible with these settings.

Source: Accolade II’s VDR, annotated by the ATSB 

Table 1 and Figure 7 below provide a brief sequence of the events leading up to the collision referenced against relevant radar and audio data from the ship’s VDR.[24]

Table 1: Sequence of events referenced against Accolade II's VDR radar and audio data

TimeEvent/action
0357·   Accolade II’s master reported passing beacon number 39 to tower
0428·   Chief mate arrived on bridge and engaged in general conversation with master and helmsman
0433:42·   Accolade II’s master reported exiting channel between beacons number 13 and 15 (Figure 6)
0433:47·   Radar display range scale increased from 0.75 miles to 3 miles
0434:02

·   ‘Off Center’ view selected

·   Sandgroper’s radar echo appeared at a range of about 1.2 miles (Figure 8)

·   Chief mate selected AIS target data of a vessel on Accolade II’s port side

0434:26·   Helmsman dismissed from bridge
0434:47

·   Chief mate selected AIS target data of a second vessel on Accolade II’s port side

·   Sandgroper’s radar echo was now at a range of 1 mile from Accolade II

0434:55·   Chief mate answered bridge phone
0435:56·   Chief mate completed phone call
0436:45

·   Chief mate reported sighting a ‘small fishing vessel’ to master

·   Sandgroper’s radar echo indicated that the vessel was now at a range of 0.5 miles

0437:32

·   Radar display range scale decreased to 1.5 miles

·   Sandgroper’s radar echo indicated that the vessel was now at a range of 0.25 miles

0437:46·   Master ordered the chief mate to ‘go more south…’
0438:02·   Ship’s heading began to alter to port (Figure 9)
0438:32·   Sandgroper collided with Accolade II.

Figure 7: Section of chart Aus 138 showing events leading up to collision

Figure 7: Section of chart Aus 138 showing events leading up to collision

Note that Sandgroper’s actual track between 0426 and 0434:02 is an approximate track as there was no positional data available for the vessel between these times

Source: Australian Hydrographic Office, annotated by the ATSB using electronically recorded data

Sandgroper first appeared on Accolade II’s radar display at about 0433 (Figure 8). However, no one on the bridge detected the fishing vessel until about 3 minutes later when the chief mate sighted its port sidelight. In those 3 minutes, the chief mate was pre-occupied with tasks such as adjusting radar settings, acquiring AIS icons of vessels on the radar, dimming lights and getting accustomed to the darkness in preparation to take over the watch.

About 1 minute of the chief mate’s time was taken up attending to a phone call. Meanwhile, the master recalled concentrating on navigating the ship clear of the channel and beacons (rather than checking outside the channel for traffic, either visually or using the radar). The master may have been experiencing a degree of cognitive tunnelling, which is an inattentional blindness where one becomes overly focused on some variable other than the present environment (Mack and Rock, 1998; Most, 2010).

Figure 8: Sandgroper's first appearance on Accolade II's radar at 0434:02

Figure 8: Sandgroper's first appearance on Accolade II's radar at 0434:02

The radar image at 0434:02 shows that as soon as the range scale was increased from 0.75 miles to 3 miles and the ‘Off Center’ view was selected, Sandgroper’s radar echo immediately became visible on the radar display.

Source: Accolade II’s VDR, annotated by the ATSB 

Additionally, the repetitive nature of the ship’s voyage may have induced a sense of complacency in the ship’s officers. One behavioural definition of complacency is trending behavioural variation that eventually exceeds safety boundaries (Hyten and Ludwig, 2017). This variation can be influenced by habituation. The master and chief officer had both worked on Accolade II for several years, executing the same voyage almost daily, to the point where it became a highly practiced activity.

Highly practised activities become automatic and require less attention than new or slightly practiced activities. Automatic processes occur without intention, taking place without effort. When a person is using automated processing (sometimes referred to as being on autopilot), they are sometimes ‘out of the loop’. It is recognised that to have good situational awareness, a monitoring operator needs to be ‘in the loop’, in order to notice anomalies.

Figure 9: Accolade II's radar display immediately before collision at 0438:02

The radar image at 0434:02 shows that as soon as the range scale was increased from 0.75 miles to 3 miles and the ‘Off Center’ view was selected, Sandgroper’s radar echo immediately became visible on the radar display. Source: Accolade II’s VDR, annotated by the ATSB   Additionally, the repetitive nature of the ship’s voyage may have induced a sense of complacency in the ship’s officers. One behavioural definition of complacency is trending behavioural variation that eventually exceeds safety boundaries (Hy


Source: Accolade II’s VDR, annotated by the ATSB

Bucket elevator

The cargo system on board Accolade II comprised a single hold, two longitudinal scraper conveyors, a transverse scraper conveyor, a shuttle belt conveyor and a bucket elevator. The bucket elevator was located on the starboard side, just forward of midships. The 2 m wide elevator extended about 8.5 m above the ship’s main deck. This created a visual blind sector across the view of the sea surface as seen from the ship’s bridge (Figure 10).

SOLAS regulations required that any blind sector caused by cargo gear outside of the wheelhouse forward of the beam that obstructs the view of the sea surface as seen from the conning position, should not exceed 10°. Additionally, SOLAS stated that each individual blind sector obstructing the view of the sea surface from the conning position, forward of the bow to 10° on either side, should not exceed 5°.

Figure 10: Views from different positions on Accolade II's bridge

Figure 10: Views from different positions on Accolade II's bridge

Source: Inco Ships, annotated by the ATSB

Figure 11: Bucket elevator visual blind sectors

Figure 11: Bucket elevator visual blind sectors

Source: Inco Ships, annotated by the ATSB

The bucket elevator had been documented in several of the ship’s annual navigational audits as a known visual obstruction. As such, the blind sector created by the elevator was a known factor that the ship’s crew were aware of and one they routinely allowed for.

While Sandgroper might have been temporarily visually obscured by the bucket elevator, it did not pose a significant impediment to detecting the vessel if an effective visual lookout had been kept. The blind sector would only have affected observers near the starboard extremities of the ship’s bridge with visibility for observers elsewhere on the bridge unaffected. In any case, the bucket elevator had no effect on the performance of the ship’s radar.[25]

Sandgroper’s look-out

Sandgroper’s SMS included procedures on passage planning and watchkeeping which stated that the COLREGs were to be complied with at all times.

Sandgroper’s skipper was alerted to the presence of Accolade II by the deckhand’s sighting of the ship’s red sidelight. The skipper assessed that the ship was in, and would remain within, the channel. Due to that expectation, the potential for collision with the ship was probably not anticipated. Sandgroper’s skipper may have been experiencing an expectation bias in expecting Accolade II to continue down the channel. Expectation bias can occur when an individual's expectations about an outcome influence the perception of one's own or others’ behaviour (Williams and others 2012).

The skipper reported that following the course alteration and reduction of the radar range scale (from 3 miles to 0.125 miles), no vessels were sighted either visually or on radar until the collision. At the reduced radar range scale, the skipper would only have been able to see radar echoes within about 230 m around the vessel. The skipper also reported that the presence of lights on the shoreline made it difficult to visually distinguish Accolade II’s navigation lights.

Sandgroper was within port limits when Accolade II’s master broadcast the message to the communications tower that the ship was exiting the channel at beacon number 13. Sandgroper’s skipper did not hear this VHF broadcast as a listening watch on channel 12 was not being maintained. Although the vessel was equipped with two VHF radio units, a listening watch was being maintained only on VHF channel 16 as was the skipper’s usual practice. The port rules did not require fishing vessels to report to the communications tower and the skipper could not recall any past communications or interaction with the tower.

Automatic identification system

The automatic identification system (AIS) is a maritime communications device that uses the VHF radio frequency band to transfer data, including a vessel’s course, speed and other dynamic and static data. The system enables AIS-equipped vessels and shore-based AIS stations to send and/or receive identification information that, in addition to the AIS unit, can be displayed on an electronic chart and compatible radar. The information received can be used to assist the watchkeeper in making a full appraisal of the situation and of the risk of collision.

The Australian Maritime Safety Authority (AMSA) is responsible for the safety of domestic commercial vessels (DCVs). Under the National Law,[26] the National Standard for Commercial Vessels (NSCV) set out the standards for vessel survey, construction, equipment, design, operation, and crew competencies for DCVs.

The NSCV required that class 3B vessels carry an AIS Class B receiver/transmitter unit. However, ‘grandfathering’ arrangements allowed older DCVs (built before July 2013) to continue to operate under the requirements that existed before the introduction of the National Law and NSCV. As an ‘existing vessel’ built in 1978, Sandgroper was not required to have an AIS unit fitted to comply with survey requirements, and an AIS unit was not fitted on the vessel at the time of the collision.

Use of AIS for collision avoidance

The use of AIS can enhance situational awareness and can assist in target tracking. AMSA considers the use of AIS to transmit accurate data and to locate targets as a way to keep a proper lookout. AMSA also encouraged operators to help improve the detectability of their vessels by transmitting AIS data.[27] However, it is also important to note the use of AIS cannot replace the need for a visual lookout. Additionally, AIS target tracking data should be treated with caution for collision avoidance for which radar plotting data and compass bearings of targets remain the primary assessment tools.[28]

Fatigue

Fatigue has been defined as decreased capability to perform mental or physical work, produced as a function of inadequate sleep, circadian disruption, or time on task (Brown, 1994). Factors that contribute to fatigue-impaired work performance include:

  • the duration of a duty period
  • inadequate sleep
  • circadian effects
  • the type or nature of the task being undertaken (workload)
  • the work environment.

Fatigue can have a range of effects on human performance, such as decreased short-term memory, slowed reaction time, decreased work efficiency, reduced motivational drive, increased variability in work performance, and increased errors of omission (Battelle Memorial Institute, 1998).

An AMSA safety awareness bulletin[29] summarised fatigue among seafarers as follows:

The nature of vessel operations means seafarers are exposed to conditions which lead to fatigue. Insufficient sleep, night work, irregular and long working hours, monotonous tasks, high work demands are all frequently present in seafaring jobs. These are the primary factors that lead to fatigue. The need to manage the risk of fatigue - both at the individual and management level - is critical.

The ATSB has also highlighted the issue of fatigue through previous investigation findings and specific publications, including for the fishing vessel sector.[30]

Accolade II

The crew on board Accolade II were required to comply with the rest hour requirements of the STCW Code (as given effect by AMSA’s Marine Order 28). The ship’s SMS included a procedure that defined fatigue, provided guidance on recognising the signs of fatigue and reflected the rest hour requirements of the STCW Code.

The SMS also required crew to record their daily hours of work and rest on board. The rest hour records for Accolade II’s master and chief mate showed that their rest hours complied with the minimum rest hour requirements of the STCW Code. While self-assessment of fatigue is not a reliable indicator of alertness, both reported feeling very alert and well rested.

The sleep environment on the ship was reportedly comfortable and hence suitable for achieving restorative rest. A review of the ship’s voyage reports for January and February 2020 showed at least two instances in each month when the ship’s sailing was delayed to ensure compliance with rest hour requirements. The reports also showed no voyage on 27 February 2020 (2 days before the collision), with the day marked as a ‘Reset day’.

FAST analysis

A roster analysis of the master and chief mate’s work and rest times was conducted using the Fatigue Avoidance Scheduling Tool (FAST) bio-mathematical model to assess fatigue/alertness, and the effect on performance.

The FAST analysis showed that while there may have been a slightly higher fatigue risk for the chief mate, overall, the analysis did not appear to show that levels of fatigue likely to influence performance were present for either the chief mate or the master. The accuracy of the analysis was influenced by the nature of the ship’s fatigue management system. The recorded hours of rest indicated rest opportunity and not the exact hours of sleep, which had to be estimated.

Sandgroper

As a DCV, Sandgroper and its crew were not subject to the minimum rest hour requirements of the STCW Code. There were no prescribed minimum hours of rest and no requirement to record hours of rest. However, AMSA’s Marine Order 504[31] required that ‘the risk of fatigue of the master and crew’ be considered, among other factors, when determining the number of crew required to safely carry out a vessel’s operations. The AMSA website also provided guidance on managing crew fatigue on DCVs including practical information on the causes, effects and management of fatigue and its risks. Owners and masters were advised to take all practicable steps to ensure the safety of the vessel and crew, and that the crew were to be involved in the management of fatigue and the risks to safety.

Sandgroper’s SMS included some basic information on managing crew fatigue and required the skipper to manage crew fatigue. Guidance for crew stated they were to try and achieve 7–9 hours of sleep in every 24 hours.

Sandgroper’s AFMA fishing logs showed that the crew usually shot their fishing gear from about 0230-0430 and hauled the gear between 0930-1330 with rest opportunity obtained in between these times. This meant there was a total of about 18 hours of rest opportunity in every 24-hour period.

On the night before the collision, the skipper reported resting from about 1700–2300 followed by taking the watch until about 0300. The skipper then handed the watch to the deckhand and slept for about an hour until woken shortly after 0415.

Sandgroper’s skipper self-reported feeling ‘…well rested as far as a fisherman gets rest’ and alert. The skipper reported consuming at least one cup of coffee after waking that morning.

FAST analysis

The accuracy of the FAST analysis for Sandgroper’s skipper was influenced by the absence of recorded hours of work and rest, and no reliable record of sleep obtained in the days preceding the collision. The analysis was conducted based on estimates of sleep obtained and the AFMA fishing logs. Overall, the analysis did not appear to show that levels of fatigue likely to influence performance were present for the skipper.

Summary

Based on the available evidence, it was considered unlikely that levels of fatigue likely to influence performance were experienced by either vessel’s crew. However, there were several relevant risk factors present that were conducive to an environment in which fatigue could develop or that could have increased the chances of crew being fatigued.

Port Adelaide

Port Adelaide is the main port of South Australia handling a range of cargo including grains and seeds, limestone, containers, dry and wet bulk, vehicles, and general cargo. The port was owned and operated by Flinders Ports which was formed in 2001 when the Flinders Ports consortium successfully acquired seven ports that were privatised by the South Australian Government.

Port Adelaide port rules

Flinders Ports’ published rules for Port Adelaide that were intended to inform commercial users of the port of their responsibilities for the safe navigation of vessels within the port. The rules did not specifically define a ‘commercial user’ but, according to Flinders Ports, it did not include fishing and recreational vessels.

The rules documented three entry and exit points for the channel—at the entrance beacon, beacon number 5 and beacon number 9—depending on the vessel’s draught. Fishing vessels and recreational vessels could enter/exit the channel at any point. While Accolade II’s entry/exit point between beacons 13 and 15 was not among those listed, the ship was allowed the liberty of entering/exiting the channel at this location owing to its long history of operating in the port and its generally shallow draught.

At the time of the collision, Port Adelaide was not authorised as a Vessel Traffic Service (VTS) Authority. A VTS is established to improve the safety and efficiency of vessel traffic and to protect the environment. Ports may apply to establish a VTS when the volume of traffic or degree of risk justifies the service. Port Adelaide operated a communications tower (Flinders Ports Communications Tower) that kept a 24/7 listening watch on VHF channels 16 and 12. Channel 12 was used for ship/shore operations, information, transit advice and ship-to-ship traffic.

Flinders Ports rules required all pilots, masters and exempt masters to communicate with the tower at designated reporting points on channel 12. The rules also stated that vessels should monitor VHF channel 12 at all times in port limits for information.

Flinders Ports clarified to the ATSB that the port’s reporting requirements and the requirement to monitor the port’s working channel (channel 12) within port limits only applied to commercial vessels. As such, fishing vessels and recreational vessels were not required to report nor were the rules regarding a listening watch on channel 12 applicable to them.

Port Adelaide VTS

On 4 December 2020, about 8 months after the collision, Port Adelaide was authorised as a VTS authority with a new call sign of ‘Adelaide VTS’. Adelaide VTS was authorised to provide services, including a traffic organisation service (TOS). The TOS is a service to prevent the development of dangerous marine traffic situations and to provide for the safe and efficient movement of vessel traffic within the declared VTS area.

Adelaide VTS required all vessels over 150 gross tonnage (or where there was no gross tonnage, vessels 35 m or greater in length) to participate in the VTS. The rules required all commercial vessels to comply with VTS reporting requirements and Adelaide VTS can request any other vessel in the coverage area to participate. However, fishing and recreational vessels were generally not required to report.

While VTS rules stated that all vessels were to maintain a listening watch on VHF channels 12 when within or approaching Port Adelaide port limits, Flinders Ports advised that the rule only applies to commercial vessels. However, all vessels, including fishing and recreational vessels were encouraged to monitor the channel through the port’s safety outreach programs to educate and inform the public. The South Australian Department of Planning, Transport and Infrastructure (DPTI) also published a recreational boating safety handbook and boating safety advice, which included material on radio communication and listed channel 12 as among the channels usually used for port communications.

Rules in other ports

Local rules covering operations within port waters vary depending primarily on the port’s specific risk profile and resources. The applicability of the various rules also varies from port to port but are usually applied on the basis of factors such as vessel type, length or tonnage. Consequently, in each port, certain rules apply to vessels meeting certain defined criteria and not to others as the following examples show.

The Port of Fremantle, Western Australia, required all vessels 35 m or greater in length and all commercial vessels, regardless of length, to participate in the VTS when operating in the coverage area. It required all vessels navigating within port limits or at an anchorage within the port to maintain a continuous listening watch on the port’s working channel.

The Port of Melbourne, Victoria, required all vessels 50 m or greater in length to report at designated points/times and maintaining a continuous listening watch on the VTS working frequency. Non-recreational vessels less than 50 m in length (including fishing vessels) were required to watch the VTS working frequency and to report to VTS if 35 m or greater in length. Recreational vessels less than 50 m in length and equipped with VHF radio were required to watch the VTS working frequency when operating in port waters.

The ports of Weipa and Cairns in Queensland required all vessels, whether commercial or recreational, to maintain a listening watch on channel 16 and, if equipped, channel 12 while within the ports’ pilotage areas. Additionally, all ships greater than 24 m in length had to obtain approval from VTS before entering, leaving or manoeuvring within the pilotage area and all ships between 10 and 24 m in length were required to advise VTS before entering, leaving or manoeuvring within the port’s pilotage area.

The Port of Darwin, Northern Territory, although not serviced by a VTS, required all vessels of 20 m or greater in length, vessels carrying more than 12 passengers and certain other vessels to participate in the port’s traffic organisation service. Other vessels were encouraged to participate voluntarily.

As evident from the examples above, port rules and their applicability vary depending on various factors and there was nothing unusual in the content or applicability of Port Adelaide’s rules.

Similar occurrences

Over the last 30 years, at least 68 collisions between trading ships and small vessels have been reported to the ATSB or its predecessor. Of these, at least 40 have been investigated. The failure to keep a proper and effective lookout and/or take early and effective avoiding action in accordance with the COLREGs were recurrent contributing factors that could have prevented most of these collisions.

Collisions between large trading ships and small vessels, particularly fishing vessels, continue to occur off the Australian coast. In these collisions, a fishing vessel, being significantly smaller than a ship, almost always comes off worse and sometimes with severe consequences. For example, the 2000 collision between Star Sea Bridge and the fishing vessel Sue M, off Evans Head, New South Wales, and the 2003 collision between Asian Nova and the fishing vessel Sassenach off Townsville, Queensland, both resulted in the loss of life and of the vessels themselves.

While the measures in place to prevent such collisions might appear straightforward, the recurrence of similar contributing factors indicates that further effort is required from operators and crews to implement these measures. In addition to its safety investigation reports into collisions, the ATSB has published a number of safety bulletins to highlight collision risks and educate all seafarers. These documents and other safety information about marine safety issues are available on the ATSB website.

__________

  1. Marine Orders, also described as regulatory instruments or legislative regulations, are legal instruments made by AMSA pursuant to powers under Commonwealth legislation.
  2. The International Convention for the safety of Life at Sea, 1974, as amended.
  3. A mandatory system, the bridge navigational watch alarm system (BNWAS) automatically alerts the master or another qualified officer if the officer of the watch becomes incapable of performing the officer of the watch’s duties for any reason such as falling asleep or becoming otherwise incapacitated.
  4. A voyage data recorder is designed to collect and store data from various shipboard systems in compliance with SOLAS requirements. A simplified voyage data recorder is similar to a voyage data recorder but does not store the same level of detailed data.
  5. A device used in marine navigation that integrates GPS data with an electronic navigational chart. It displays the electronic chart along with the position, heading and speed of the ship.
  6. An x-band radar operates at a frequency of about 10 GHz and its fine resolution makes it useful for collision avoidance.
  7. An ‘existing’ vessel is essentially one that was constructed or, for construction of which design approval was lodged or approved, before 1 July 2013. For a more detailed definition of an ‘existing’ vessel, see Section 22 of Marine Order 503 (Certificates of survey — national law) 2018.
  8. The vessel monitoring system (VMS) includes cameras and other equipment to monitor the position, course and speed of a vessel.
  9. A whistle means any signalling appliance capable of producing the required signals and is generally used by vessels to make manoeuvring and warning signals and to attract attention. The bell and gong are used to warn of vessels at anchor and vessels aground.
  10. A hand-held electrically operated signal lamp.
  11. International Maritime Organisation, The International Convention on Standards of Training, Certification and Watchkeeping for Seafarers 1978, as amended, IMO, London.
  12. Marine Order 28 (Operations standards and procedures) 2015 provides for the safe navigation and operation of vessels by giving effect to provisions of the STCW Convention and STCW Code.
  13. International Chamber of Shipping 2016, Bridge Procedures Guide, Marisec Publications, London
  14. A true vector represents the predicted true motion of a target for a specified period of time, showing course and speed with reference to the ground or sea. The direction of a true target vector indicates the true course of the target and its vector length is proportional to the target’s speed.
  15. Relative motion trails depict the trails of a target relative to the own ship and therefore, if the own ship is moving, the system plots trails of fixed targets as well as moving targets. True motion trails depict the absolute motion trails of a target irrespective of the own ship’s position and therefore, do not depict trails for fixed targets.
  16. The VDR saved radar images every 15 seconds. Therefore, times for some of the events or radar user-actions in this report could have occurred up to 14 seconds earlier than described.
  17. The ship did have a radar blind sector radar however this was located aft of the ship, mostly likely caused by the ship’s main mast.
  18. In 2013, the National System for Domestic Commercial Vessel Safety was introduced in Australia under the Marine Safety (Domestic Commercial Vessel) National Law Act 2012 (National Law).
  19. Australian Maritime Safety Authority, 2020, Marine Notice 6/2020 Reducing the risk of collisions at sea, Canberra, Australia.
  20. Maritime and Coastguard Agency, 2016, Marine Guidance Note (MGN) 324 (M+F), Navigation: Watchkeeping Safety – Use of VHF Radio and AIS, Southampton, United Kingdom.
  21. Australian Maritime Safety Authority, 2017, Maritime Safety Awareness Bulletin, Issue 5, March 2017, Canberra, Australia.
  22. Australian Transport Safety Bureau, 2004, Safety Bulletin 04 – Fatigue and fishing crews, Canberra, Australia.
  23. Australian Maritime Safety Authority, 2018, Marine Order 504 (Certificates of operation and operation requirements — national law) 2018, Canberra.

Safety analysis

Introduction

At about 0438 local time on 29 February 2020, in darkness and clear visibility, the inbound fishing vessel Sandgroper collided with the outbound self-discharging bulk carrier Accolade II, within port limits, about 1.5 NM south-west of the entrance to Port Adelaide, South Australia. The collision resulted in significant structural damage to Sandgroper and minor damage to Accolade II. Neither vessel identified that a risk of collision existed with the other until it was too late for effective avoiding action to be taken.

Look-out

Accolade II

In the time leading up to the collision, both the master and chief mate were occupied with tasks demanding much of their attention. The master was focused on navigating clear of the shipping channel while the chief mate was busy with various activities, including preparation to take over from the master. There was no dedicated look-out who could devote their full attention to sighting and reporting targets, including Sandgroper. As a consequence, the master and chief mate only sighted the fishing vessel moments before the collision.

Accolade II’s radar offered an additional means of detecting Sandgroper at an early stage. However, the radar’s initially small display range scale setting did not allow for an appreciation of the situation outside the channel before the ship exited it. Further, when the scale was eventually adjusted to one more conducive to detecting Sandgroper’s presence, the chief mate focussed on the automatic identification system (AIS) icons of two other vessels displayed on the radar display at the expense of Sandgroper’s radar echo. In addition, useful radar tools such as the trails function, which could have made Sandgroper’s radar echo more conspicuous and increased the chances of the vessel being detected were not used.

In summary, Sandgroper was not detected by anyone on board Accolade II until it was too late for effective avoiding action to be taken. Had better use been made of the radar or a dedicated lookout been posted as required, it would have increased the chances of detecting Sandgroper early and allowed more time to take action to avoid collision.

Sandgroper

Sandgroper’s skipper sighted Accolade II early when it was in the channel and assumed, not unreasonably, that it would remain in the channel. On that basis, the skipper altered Sandgroper’s course to keep clear of the ship. However, the skipper then paid little attention to the ship and its movement probably due to expectation bias that the ship would follow the channel. Further, the radar range scale was reduced to the minimum and an effective visual lookout by sight was also not maintained.

While there was no explicit requirement for fishing vessels to monitor Port Adelaide’s VHF radio working channel, Sandgroper was equipped to do so. Had the skipper monitored the working channel, it might have provided forewarning that Accolade II was exiting the channel at beacon number 13 (contrary to the skipper’s assumption), and to the developing close-quarters situation.

Sandgroper’s radar and VHF radio were both available means that could have enhanced the skipper’s look-out and allowed for an improved appreciation of the situation. However, neither was used effectively to maintain a proper look-out. Consequently, Sandgroper’s skipper was not aware of the risk of collision until collision was imminent and it was too late for effective avoiding action.

Automatic identification system

Sandgroper was not fitted with an automatic identification system (AIS) transceiver unit, nor was it required to be. Had an AIS unit been fitted, it would almost certainly have improved the detectability of the fishing vessel and made it more conspicuous on Accolade II’s radar and chart plotter. The evidence in this case shows that Accolade II’s chief mate readily acquired and monitored the AIS icons of two other vessels on the radar display but not Sandgroper’s radar echo, which should have been of immediate concern.

In addition, the fitting of an AIS unit with a display on board Sandgroper would have given its skipper the means to detect Accolade II’s AIS-transmitted data thereby enhancing situational awareness and augmented the keeping of a proper look-out.

Findings

ATSB investigation report findings focus on safety factors (that is, events and conditions that increase risk). Safety factors include ‘contributing factors’ and ‘other factors that increased risk’ (that is, factors that did not meet the definition of a contributing factor for this occurrence but were still considered important to include in the report for the purpose of increasing awareness and enhancing safety). In addition, ‘other findings’ may be included to provide important information about topics other than safety factors. 

These findings should not be read as apportioning blame or liability to any particular organisation or individual.

From the evidence available, the following findings are made with respect to the collision between Accolade II and Sandgroper, off Port Adelaide, South Australia, on 29 February 2020.

Contributing factors

  • A proper lookout by all available means was not maintained on board Accolade II. In particular, radar was not used effectively, and the dedicated lookout required in darkness was not posted. Consequently, Accolade II's watchkeepers were not aware of Sandgroper's presence or of the risk of collision until shortly before the collision when it was too late to take effective action.
  • After initially sighting Accolade II, Sandgroper’s skipper did not maintain a proper lookout or assess the risk of collision using all available means, in particular the radar and radio. As a result, the skipper only saw the ship when collision was imminent and unavoidable.

Other factors that increased risk

  • Sandgroper did not have an automatic identification system (AIS) transceiver fitted, nor was one required to be fitted. An AIS transceiver would have improved the vessel's detectability and enhanced the ability of its crew to keep a proper look-out.

Other findings

  • Accolade II’s bucket elevator did not pose a significant impediment to the ability of the ship’s watchkeepers to detect Sandgroper.

Safety actions

Central to the ATSB’s investigation of transport safety matters is the early identification of safety issues. The ATSB expects relevant organisations will address all safety issues an investigation identifies.

Depending on the level of risk of a safety issue, the extent of corrective action taken by the relevant organisation(s), or the desirability of directing a broad safety message to the marine industry, the ATSB may issue a formal safety recommendation or safety advisory notice as part of the final report.

All of the directly involved parties are invited to provide submissions to this draft report. As part of that process, each organisation is asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they have carried out or are planning to carry out in relation to each safety issue relevant to their organisation.

The initial public version of these safety issues and actions will be provided separately on the ATSB website on release of the final investigation report, to facilitate monitoring by interested parties. Where relevant, the safety issues and actions will be updated on the ATSB website after the release of the final report as further information about safety action comes to hand. 

Safety action not associated with an identified safety issue

Whether or not the ATSB identifies safety issues in the course of an investigation, relevant organisations may proactively initiate safety action in order to reduce their safety risk. All of the directly involved parties are invited to provide submissions to this draft report. As part of that process, each organisation is asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they have carried out to reduce the risk associated with this type of occurrences in the future.
Additional safety action by Southern Fisheries Group

Southern Fisheries Group advised the ATSB of the following safety action taken in response to the collision:

  • Sandgroper was fitted with an automatic identification system
  • Skippers and crews were provided with education on Port Adelaide River traffic
  • All crew are now required to be on watch when approaching port.
Additional safety action by Inco Ships

Accolade II’s managers (Inco Ships) advised the ATSB that, following the collision, a navigational audit was undertaken to assess the performance and effectiveness of the ship’s bridge team and bridge resource management. Inco Ships advised that the audit resulted in several recommendations to improve Accolade II’s bridge resource management practices.

Sources and submissions

Sources of information

The sources of information during the investigation included:

  • the master and chief mate of Accolade II
  • the skipper and deckhand of Sandgroper
  • Inco Ships
  • Adelaide Brighton Cement
  • Southern Fisheries Group
  • Australian Maritime Safety Authority
  • Australian Fisheries Management Authority
  • Flinders Ports
  • Ashworth Maritime Services
  • Lloyd’s Register.

References

Australian Maritime Safety Authority, 2017, Maritime Safety Awareness Bulletin, Issue 5, March 2017, Canberra, Australia.

Australian Maritime Safety Authority, 2018, Marine Order 504 (Certificates of operation and operation requirements — national law) 2018, Canberra.

Australian Maritime Safety Authority, 2020, Marine Notice 06/2020 Reducing the risk of collisions at sea, Canberra, Australia.

Australian Transport Safety Bureau, 2004, Safety Bulletin 04 – Fatigue and fishing crews, Canberra, Australia.

Battelle Memorial Institute. An Overview of the Scientific Literature Concerning Fatigue, Sleep, and the Circadian Cycle, 1998. (Report prepared for the Office of the Chief Scientific and Technical Advisor for Human Factors, Federal Aviation Administration, USA.).

Brown, I. D. (1994). Driver fatigue. Human Factors, 36(2), 298-314.

Hyten, C., & Ludwig, T. D. (2017). Complacency in process safety: A behavior analysis toward prevention strategies. Journal of Organizational Behavior Management, 37(3-4), 240–260.

International Maritime Organisation, Standards of Training, Certification and Watchkeeping for Seafarers (STCW) Code, 1995, as amended, IMO, London.

International Maritime Organization, 2020, The International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS) 1974 as amended, IMO, London.

Mack A & Rock I 1998, Inattentional blindness, MIT Press Cambridge MA.

Maritime and Coastguard Agency, 2016, Marine Guidance Note (MGN) 324 (M+F), Navigation: Watchkeeping Safety – Use of VHF Radio and AIS, Southampton, United Kingdom.

Most SB 2010, What's "inattentional" about inattentional blindness?, Consciousness and Cognition, vol. 19, pp.1102-1104.

Williams JB, Popp, D, Kobak KA & Detke MJ 2012, The power of expectation bias, European Psychiatry, vol. 27, pp.1

Submissions

Under section 26 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003, the ATSB may provide a draft report, on a confidential basis, to any person whom the ATSB considers appropriate. That section allows a person receiving a draft report to make submissions to the ATSB about the draft report.

A draft of this report was provided to the following directly involved parties:

  • the master, chief mate, owner and manager of Accolade II
  • the master, deckhand and manager of Sandgroper
  • Australian Maritime Safety Authority (AMSA)
  • Flinders Ports.

Submissions were received from AMSA and Accolade II’s managers (Inco Ships). The submissions were reviewed and, where considered appropriate, the text of the report was amended accordingly.

Glossary

JRCJapan Radio Company
MOMarine Order
NSCVNational Standard for Commercial Vessels
PECPilotage Exemption Certificate
RAVRegulated Australian Vessel
SASouth Australia
SMSSafety Management System
SOLAS The International Convention for the safety of Life at Sea, 1974, as amended
STCW    Standards of Training, Certification and Watchkeeping for Seafarers
VDR  Voyage Data Recorder
TOSTraffic Organisation Service
VHFVery High Frequency
VMSVessel Monitoring System
VRMVariable Range Marker
VTS     Vessel Traffic Service

Purpose of safety investigations & publishing information

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information 

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2021

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Ownership of intellectual property rights in this publication

Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this report publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia.

Creative Commons licence

With the exception of the Coat of Arms, ATSB logo, and photos and graphics in which a third party holds copyright, this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence.

Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided that you attribute the work.

The ATSB’s preference is that you attribute this publication (and any material sourced from it) using the following wording: Source: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

Copyright in material obtained from other agencies, private individuals or organisations, belongs to those agencies, individuals or organisations. Where you wish to use their material, you will need to contact them directly.

Occurrence summary

Investigation number 350-MO-2020-001
Occurrence date 29/02/2020
Location Off Port Adelaide
State South Australia
Report release date 29/10/2021
Report status Final
Investigation level Defined
Investigation type Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Marine
Marine occurrence category Collision
Occurrence class Serious Incident
Highest injury level None

Ship details

Name Sandgroper
Ship type Fishing
Flag Australia
Manager Southern Fisheries Group
Departure point Port Adelaide, South Australia
Destination Port Adelaide, South Australia

Ship details

Name Accolade II
IMO number 8012425
Ship type Cargo
Flag Australia
Manager Inco Ships
Departure point Port Adelaide , South Australia
Destination Klein Point, South Australia

Rescue hoist cable failure involving AS 350 B3, VH-UAH, 1 km south-west of Bulga, New South Wales, on 5 February 2020

Final report

Report release date: 21/10/2021

Safety summary

What happened

On 4 February 2020, an Airbus Helicopters AS 350 B3 was being operated in support of New South Wales National Parks and Wildlife Service activities. Winching of personnel and equipment was being conducted when the operating crewman detected a technical issue with the load cable of the hoist system fitted to the helicopter. The outer strands of the cable toward its termination into the hook assembly had loosened in respect of the inner core.

During a subsequent hoist operation to restore the cable integrity, the cable fractured at the hook assembly while under load, releasing the weight bag and hook assembly to the ground. There was no damage to the helicopter or injuries to personnel.

What the ATSB found

The ATSB found that variations in the operator’s stowage practices over an extended period of winching operations led to inadequate compression of the hook assembly and subsequent wear to the load cable. The wear damage was due to vibration and movement of the hook assembly during periods of helicopter operation. This led to a significant reduction in the cross-sectional area of the cable, fatigue and fracture of the strands and an associated reduction in cable strength.

It is likely that specific post-flight inspection requirements for the Breeze Eastern rescue hoist required in the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10 were not being adequately completed by the operator. The inspections were targeted at minimising wear damage to the load cable by ensuring correct stowage of the hook assembly at the end of each flight.

Finally, the operator’s method of cycle counting during operation of the rescue hoist led to an accumulation of cycles that significantly exceeded the helicopter manufacturer’s recommended life-limit. That exceedance probably compounded the level of wear damage sustained to the load cable. 

What has been done as a result

The New South Wales National Parks and Wildlife Service (ParkAir) implemented a range of pro‑active safety actions since the occurrence, including:

  • In July 2020, ParkAir provided Breeze-Eastern Flight Line maintenance training for all staff including pilots, maintainers and rescue hoist crewman.
  • A measurement gauge is now used by crewman to determine whether the hoist has adequate compression in accordance with the pre- and post-flight requirements listed within CASA Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10.
  • In January 2021, a revision of the ParkAir Flight Manual Supplement was accomplished to ensure cable inspection procedures requirements are now completed in accordance with CASA Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10.
  • ParkAir have adopted the more conservative Airbus Helicopters method for hoist cycle counting and all hoist cables now have a 500 cycle life-limit.

Additionally, as a direct result of this occurrence and the release of ATSB’s Safety Advisory Notice SAN-2020-013-001, the following pro-active safety advice was released by organisations responsible for the design, manufacture, and regulation of helicopter rescue hoist systems:

  • Breeze-Eastern Service Information Letter (SIL 14 Maintenance) Breeze-Eastern Rescue Hoist Maintenance & Flight Line Inspections for BL-29700 Series, release date 6 April 2020
  • CASA Airworthiness Bulletin (AWB) 25-034 Helicopter Rescue Hoist Wire Rope – Wear, Fatigue and Failure, release date 22 April 2020
  • Airbus Helicopters Safety Information Notice (SIN) 3507-S-25 Fatigue failure of a BREEZE 450 Lbs hoist cable, release date 4 June 2020
  • European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) Safety Information Bulletin (SIB) 2020-11 Helicopter Rescue Hoist Cable Failure, release date 11 June 2020.

Safety message

The ATSB advises all helicopter operators and flight crew involved in rescue hoist operations to review their current operational practices to ensure hoist operation and hook stowage are in accordance with the manufacturers’ published procedures.

In addition, it is recommended that the pre- and post-flight inspection requirements of the hook and cable assembly, along with any recurring scheduled maintenance of the hoist system are closely reviewed, to ensure that they are completed in accordance with the manufacturers’ instructions. Improper stowage of the hoist hook assembly can lead to excessive movement and accelerated wear of the cable, which if undetected, could have a fatal outcome.

Should any load cable exhibit an increased frequency of outer strand loosening requiring a condition operation, operators should be particularly mindful to check for narrowing or ‘necking’ of the cable at the ball end within the swivel hook assembly. This can signify that the cable has become damaged due to extreme wear and may no longer be safe to use.

Summary video

 

The occurrence

An Airbus Helicopters AS 350 B3, registered VH-UAH, was being operated by the New South Wales (NSW) National Parks and Wildlife Service (NPWS) Flight Operations Unit (ParkAir) in support of bushfire operations during the 2019/20 summer period. The helicopter had been repositioned from the ParkAir aviation base at Bankstown Airport to a NPWS depot at Bulga, NSW to provide aerial support to fire crews at the Springvalley fire-grounds, within the Blue Mountains National Park. During that period, the helicopter was operated by a single pilot and a crewman operated the rescue hoist.

On 2 February 2020, the crewman assigned to VH-UAH was exchanged with another ParkAir crewman who had mobilised to Bulga. At duty handover, the departing crewman identified that the rescue hoist was operating without issue, however the load cable was starting to exhibit loose wires and would need monitoring. Over the next two days of operation about 30 winches of personnel and equipment was conducted. During that period the replacement crewman identified that the condition of the load cable from the hoist was continuing to deteriorate.

The outer wire strands of the load cable toward its termination into the swivel hook had loosened in relation to the inner core. Such loosening can develop during repeated short-length cable deployment and retrieval cycles. The crewman reported that, in an attempt to rectify the looseness, the outer wires of the cable were massaged and manipulated as it was reeled in and wound onto the hoist drum during operation. Despite that, the looseness was unable to be rectified.

On 4 February 2020, at the conclusion of the daily operations and on return to the Bulga depot, the crewman recommended to the ParkAir senior pilot that a conditioning operation be accomplished. Cable conditioning was a specific procedure intended to tension the cable and realign the wires to restore the cable integrity. It was agreed that it would be completed the following day prior to the conduct of any further winching sorties.

On the morning of 5 February 2020, following a pre-flight inspection of the rescue hoist, the crewman and senior pilot commenced the conditioning operation. A 160 kg weighted bag was attached to the swivel hook and the helicopter was lifted into a low hover and flown to an open field adjacent the NPWS Bulga depot. The bag was suspended about 5 m above the ground and the helicopter lifted into a vertical climb at an equivalent rate as the cable was reeled out from the rescue hoist. This continued until the maximum reel out extension limits of the hoist system were reached, after which the cable was reeled in. At the conclusion of that first conditioning run the crewman identified that the cable had further degraded.

The conduct of an additional conditioning operation was agreed and during that operation while under tension and close to maximum reel out, the cable failed, releasing the weighted bag and swivel hook to the ground.

The crewman advised the pilot that the cable had failed and that the hook and bag had fallen. The pilot’s only reported perception of an anomaly was a slight tilt of the helicopter from the centre‑of‑gravity redistribution when the bag fell. Both crew members returned to the depot and recovered the bag and swivel hook for subsequent examination. There were no injuries to personnel or additional damage to the helicopter. A portion of the fractured cable and the general fitment of the rescue hoist to the AS350 helicopter is shown at Figure 1.

ParkAir immediate actions

Following the cable failure, the Chief Pilot and Senior Pilot distributed an internal notification to ParkAir staff advising of the occurrence. As an immediate measure, ParkAir contacted the hoist manufacturer and arranged for it to be examined. All further ParkAir winching operations were suspended until each system was inspected and had their cables replaced (with the exception of a single hoist that remained in service due to the recent fitment of a new load cable).

Figure 1: A NPWS ParkAir AS350 helicopter (left) displaying general fitment of the rescue hoist, and a close-up of the fractured cable (right)

Figure 1: A NPWS ParkAir AS350 helicopter (left) displaying general fitment of the rescue hoist, and a close-up of the fractured cable (right)

The fractured cable was found protruding from the swivel hook assembly.
Source: National Parks and Wildlife Service

Context

Operational overview

The New South Wales (NSW) National Parks and Wildlife Service (NPWS) Flight Operations Unit (ParkAir) utilised a fleet of four AS350 B3 helicopters to support field operations that included fire management, personnel insertion duties, feral animal and pest species control. Each ParkAir helicopter could be equipped with an electric-powered recue hoist. A fifth hoist, also operated by ParkAir, was used as back-up in case of an unserviceability. The hoists were used for aerial winching of personnel and equipment into confined areas.

Aircraft information

VH-UAH was an Airbus Helicopters AS350-B3 light utility helicopter manufactured in 2014. It was powered by a single turbine engine and depending on its internal cabin configuration, could transport up to six people. The helicopter had been fitted with a hoist that was attached to an externally mounted mechanical arm on the left side of the helicopter, adjacent to the rear cabin (Figure 1). The arm pivoted outward during use and also allowed the hoist to be stowed against the fuselage during forward flight.

Hoist information

Manufactured by Breeze-Eastern, the rescue hoist was a model HS-29700 and provided a means for the lowering and raising of a single person or equipment to and from the helicopter (Figure 2). The hoist was remotely operated by the crewmember using a controller and the pilot was also able to control the system if necessary.

The hoist was an approved modification for the helicopter. The instructions for continued airworthiness for the hoist were contained in the:

  • Breeze-Eastern Flight Line and Operations Manual[1]
  • Airbus Helicopters AS350B3 Master Servicing Manual.[2]

The HS-29700 hoist has an allowable lifting limit of 204 kg and contains a rotating drum onto which is spooled 50 m of useable wire cable that terminates with a swivel hook and bumper assembly. The cable speed can be varied[3] during operation and limit switches within the system automatically trigger to slow the hoist speed as the cable approaches the full-out, or full-in position. The bumper assembly near the swivel hook consists of a crushable rubber block and conical spring that is intended to compress as the cable is reeled in and the full-in limit switch is activated, stopping the hoist. Compression of the spring and bumper assembly is a design feature by the hoist manufacturer to ensure that the swivel hook is adequately homed after being reeled in.

The Breeze-Eastern maintenance manual contained the hoist operating instructions and guidance for continued airworthiness. The manual advised that when reeling in, the cable should be guided by hand, at full pendant thumbwheel deflection to the full in position. The manual provided the following cautionary statement:

WARNING: WHEN NOT IN USE, THE HOOK MUST BE HOMED COMPLETELY IN THE FULL IN POSITION TO AVOID FATIGUE OF THE CABLE NEAR THE BALL END DUE TO VIBRATION.

Hoist cable

The load cable was specified to be manufactured from 0.156-inch diameter corrosion‑resistant stainless steel into a 19-strand by 7-wire configured arrangement comprising an inner core and outer layer (Figure 2). To resist rotation during use, the outer strands were woven in the opposite direction to the inner core. A stainless-steel fitting with a spherical ball-end was swaged onto the termination of the cable to enable secure fitment of the swivel hook and bump stop assembly.

Cycle counting

The Breeze-Eastern hoist was designed with a mechanical counter that recorded each revolution of the drum. The number on the counter was required to be recorded in the hoist logbooks and a calculation provided the total number of hoist cycles accrued during each recurring maintenance period.

Breeze-Eastern used a method whereby the difference on the cycle counter between successive maintenance periods was divided by 264. One complete hoist cycle was equivalent to a full reel-out and then a full reel-in of the cable. This was equivalent to 264 revolutions of the drum being logged by the counter. The method was specific to Breeze-Eastern and did not consider the actual number of winch operations that had been completed. Breeze-Eastern recommended a 1,500‑cycle life-limit for their hoist cables. The following cautionary note was contained within the Breeze-Eastern hoist manual:

1500 hoist cycle recommended replacement criteria is under ideal laboratory conditions, and may not be representative of actual operating conditions, or usage.

Figure 2: Breeze-Eastern HS-29700 rescue hoist and cross-section of the load cable showing its 19 strand x 7 wire configuration

Figure 2: Breeze-Eastern HS-29700 rescue hoist and cross-section of the load cable showing its 19 strand x 7 wire configuration

Source: Breeze-Eastern, annotated by ATSB

Recent maintenance

All significant inspections, including recurring maintenance, were conducted by ParkAir’s maintenance provider for the hoist. Records showed that the occurrence rescue hoist (serial number 203) was bought and first introduced into service by ParkAir in December 2011. Over the subsequent 9 years of operation, the hoist was installed onto various AS350 helicopters within the ParkAir fleet until being rotated onto VH-UAH in July 2019 where it remained in service. The hoist logbook contained cycle counter entries confirming that ParkAir had been using the Breeze‑Eastern method for recording usage of their rescue hoists.

The last recorded maintenance activity contained in the hoist logbooks was on 3 December 2019 at approximately 600 hoist cycles and indicated the accomplishment of a 3-month and 6-month repetitive inspection in accordance with the Breeze-Eastern HS-29700 maintenance manual. Along with various checks of the system for functionality, an inspection of the swivel hook assembly was indicated as complete with no recorded defects. The load cable had accrued 617 hoist cycles at the time of the cable failure.

Technical examination

Hoist cable from ParkAir AS350 B3 helicopter, VH-UAH

The rescue hoist and the fractured load cable were sent to the ATSB technical facilities in Canberra for further analysis, with senior personnel from ParkAir in attendance during the preliminary examination.

The construction of the cable confirmed it to be of the configuration and type specified by Breeze‑Eastern for the BL-29700 hoist. Measurements confirmed the cable to be of the correct diameter with a 19-strand by 7-wire arrangement. The specifications[4] required the load cable to be manufactured from an austenitic stainless steel with a minimum breaking strength of 980 kg.

The load cable fractured approximately 10 mm from the swaged ball end fitting that terminated into the swivel hook assembly (Figure 3). The diameter of the remnant cable stub had drawn down with ‘necking’ of the cable cross-section evident. Measurements also identified that the inner core had retracted between 50 to 60 mm from the outer layer. Those outer strands had splayed which was typical of an overload cable failure, while the inner core remained tightly gathered. A faint serial number was etched on the shank of the swaged fitting that was confirmed by Breeze-Eastern to match their own records for the hoist and that the cable had been an original fitment from 2011.

Close visual examination of the cable at the point of fracture in the ‘necked’ region identified that many of the wires were grooved and scalloped (Figure 4). There was no evidence of foreign debris, external abrasion, corrosion, kinking or nicks that might otherwise explain the failure. Remnant lubricant was identified between the wires and on the swaged ball end fitting.

A scanning electron microscope (SEM) was utilised to further analyse the failed cable at much higher magnifications. The SEM examination confirmed that the severe scalloping was due to a wear mechanism of the cable near the point of fracture. The wear had progressed to an extreme level with many of the wires having lost almost the entirety of their cross-section.

A mixed fracture mode was also identified with evidence that some wires had sustained fatigue cracking prior to failure (Figure 5). The general shape of the fatigue cracking was indicative that the cable had been exposed to cyclic bending loads. A portion of the wires had also failed in ductile overstress and these were likely what provided the remnant cable strength during the final conditioning operation.

Hoist cable from ParkAir AS350 B3 helicopter, VH-ZHG

An additional hoist cable was also supplied by ParkAir for comparative examination. That cable had been removed from another Breeze-Eastern BL-29700 rescue hoist as an immediate organisational response to the failure. The secondary hoist cable had accrued 535 hoist cycles. External inspection before destructive sectioning of that cable showed local ‘necking’ had also occurred in the same area as the failed cable approximately 10 mm from the swaged ball end fitting.

The ‘necking’ provided an indicator of the onset toward a serious defect, such as worn or broken internal wires and strands. The subtle changes in diameter associated with the ‘necking’ could also be felt when handling the cable during physical inspection. Magnified examination of the ‘necked’ region identified that wear grooves and scallops had occurred to the wires comprising the cable. The damage was similar in appearance to that from the failed cable off VH-UAH, though all strands remained intact. Figures 6 and 7 provide further detail on the severity of wear damage associated with ‘necking’ of the intact hoist cable.

Figure 3: Swivel hook and bumper assembly

Figure 3: Swivel hook and bumper assembly

The wire strands comprising the inner core of the cable had retracted approximately 50 mm to 60 mm from the outer strands.
Source: ATSB

Figure 4: Close-up of the remnant cable portion near the swaged ball end fitting showed narrowing or ‘necking’ and grooves in many of the wires from severe wear damage

Figure 4: Close-up of the remnant cable portion near the swaged ball end fitting showed narrowing or ‘necking’ and grooves in many of the wires from severe wear damage

Source: ATSB

Figure 5: SEM images of the fractured cable identified severely worn wires (left) and fatigue crack progression bands from bending fatigue (right)

Figure 5: SEM images of the fractured cable identified severely worn wires (left) and fatigue crack progression bands from bending fatigue (right)

Source: ATSB

Figure 6: Another ParkAir rescue hoist removed from service after the occurrence displayed narrowing of the cable at the ball end fitting.

Figure 6: Another ParkAir rescue hoist removed from service after the occurrence displayed narrowing of the cable at the ball end fitting.

The narrowing, or ‘necking’, could be detected during physical handling and close visual examination. The cable had accrued 535 hoist cycles throughout its service life.

Source: ATSB

Figure 7: Severe wear to the wires was evident from the intact cable at the point of narrowing near the swaged fitting

Figure 7: Severe wear to the wires was evident from the intact cable at the point of narrowing near the swaged fitting

The cable strands in the ‘necked’ region were spread apart in order to identify the extent of wear damage.

Source: ATSB

Hoist cable inspection requirements

Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10 Breeze‑Eastern hoists

Australian operators of Breeze-Eastern hoists were required to comply with Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10.[5] The AD noted that damage can occur to a particular area of the load cable that may evade detection during normal inspection, resulting in a serious compromise of cable integrity. The AD referenced Breeze-Eastern document CAB-100-30[6] that introduced inspections intended to significantly improve the operational safety of the rescue hoist system. Specifically, operators of Breeze-Eastern hoists were required to conduct:

1. A one-time and recurring inspection of the of the hoist’s load cable in a specific area.

2. A pre-flight and post-flight inspection of the hook and bumper assembly during stowage.

During the one-time and recurring inspections, CAB-100-30 required maintenance personnel to partially disassemble the hook assembly to allow a close visual inspection of the cable at the ball end for evidence of necking down, loose or broken wires, and other damage. The hoist logbook indicated no defects were identified from that specific cable inspection, which had last been completed in December 2019 (at approximately 600 hoist cycles).

Pre- and post-flight inspections required from CAB-100-30 were intended to ensure proper stowage of the hook assembly ‑ firmly seated against the bump stop at the conclusion of the homing procedure. CAB-100-30 noted that assurance of adequate hook homing could be achieved by grasping it and rocking it fore and aft. Importantly, the advice from Breeze-Eastern within CAB-100-30 also indicated that during the post-flight inspection of the swivel hook, the degree of spring compression was required to be measured to verify proper homing of the hook, as identified in Figure 8.

Figure 8: Extract from Breeze-Eastern CAB 100-30 describing the inspection requirements 1) the load cable and 2) the hook and bumper spring compression measurement

Figure 8: Extract from Breeze-Eastern CAB 100-30 describing the inspection requirements 1) the load cable and 2) the hook and bumper spring compression measurement

Source: Breeze-Eastern

Organisation

ParkAir rescue hoist operation

While the rescue hoists within their operator’s fleet were primarily used for winching of personnel and equipment in response to operational requirements, another significant aspect of hoist usage involved hoist training/familiarisation exercises. The familiarisation training was mostly conducted at low heights with about 5 m of cable reeled out, leading to the accrual of hundreds of short-haul winches per year.

Hook homing

The Breeze-Eastern procedures for reeling up the load cable and homing of the hook assembly were defined in the hoist operations manual.[7] At the conclusion of a winching operation, and while positioning the hook to the upper limit stop, Breeze-Eastern indicated that it was important to ensure that completion of that action was uninterrupted and provided the following advice:

Always guide the hook by hand as the cable is reeled in, at full pendant thumbwheel deflection, to the full in position. Ensure the spring in the bumper is compressed sufficiently to prevent the hook from moving when the helicopter is in flight.

ParkAir advised the ATSB that minor variations to the prescribed Breeze-Eastern hook homing procedure had probably developed over the years without correction. It was indicated that in certain instances intermittent control of the cable speed and gentle homing had been conducted to avoid damaging the rubber bumper attached to the hook assembly.

The operator advised that it was uncertain how this deviation in practise arose, however it may have been influenced by a lack of recent Breeze-Eastern Flight Line maintenance training on the hoist system. Such training had last been conducted by ParkAir staff approximately 7 years prior. ParkAir had expanded in that time and staff turnover may have led to the factory‑instructed lessons being diluted.

AD/SUPP/10 hoist inspections pre- and post-flight

The ATSB identified that there was no reference within the operator’s supplementary documentation to ensure the pre- and post-flight verification that the hook assembly was correctly homed. The safety concerns and corresponding checks raised by CASA within AD/SUPP/10 regarding adequate compression of the hook assembly were not mentioned within the documentation. The operator indicated that, although homing of the hook assembly was physically checked by the crewman at the end of each winching operation, a verification measurement for hook assembly compression, as per AD/SUPP/10 was not accomplished.

Airbus Helicopters hoist specific maintenance

Airbus Helicopters provided technical guidance in their Master Servicing Manual[8]that specified the maintenance operations to be performed by the helicopter operator. Within section 25-63Equipment and Furnishings of the manual, Airbus Helicopters defined a hard life-limit of 500 hoist cycles on the load cable for the Breeze-Eastern BL-29700 hoist. Airbus Helicopters defined a hoist cycle as:

Hoisting cycles: HC (Hoist Cycle)

1 HC =

- In flight, one downward movement + one upward movement, whatever the length of cable and load involved.

- On the ground, one downward movement of 5 meters or more and one equivalent upward movement, whatever the load involved.   

Both the Airbus Helicopters definition of a hoist cycle, and their definition of load cable life-limit were notably different to the definition and limits specified by Breeze-Eastern. Airbus Helicopters indicated that the reason for the discrepancy was to align the hoist cycle definition to other hoists within the Airbus Helicopters fleet. It was also indicated that although the Airbus Helicopters life‑limit is significantly more restrictive than that defined by Breeze-Eastern, their limits were intended to provide a greater safety margin during operation.

Regulatory guidance on maintenance

During the course of the investigation, CASA advised the ATSB that regulatory information was available to operators regarding which publication should be consulted if there are two sources of conflicting information for maintaining continued airworthiness, such as that issued by Breeze‑Eastern and that issued by Airbus Helicopters. Civil Aviation Regulation (CAR) 50E Inconsistent requirements – resolution of inconsistencies, stated the order of priorities under these circumstances:

(4) The order of priority of requirements is as follows (starting with those of highest priority):

(a) requirements in these Regulations (except those requirements mentioned in the remaining provisions of this subregulation);

(b) requirements in instruments made under these Regulations;

(c) requirements in documents (including designs) approved by CASA or authorised persons under these Regulations;

(d) requirements in instructions issued by designers of modifications of aircraft;

(e) requirements in instructions issued by designers of modifications of aircraft components;

(f) requirements in instructions issued by aircraft manufacturers;

(g) requirements in instructions issued by aircraft component manufacturers;

(h) requirements in instructions issued by aircraft material manufacturers;

(j) requirements in documents that are approved maintenance data because of paragraph 2A(2)(e).

Using the above list of priority requirements, the hoist had been fitted to the helicopter under a separate engineering instruction 4(d), however that instruction advised that the Airbus Helicopters 4(f) and Breeze-Eastern 4(g) maintenance instructions should be followed. CASA indicated that in this instance, the life-limits listed in the Airbus Helicopters master servicing manual would take precedence and were therefore to be followed.

Other occurrences

A search of the Australian defect reporting system, managed by CASA, identified no specific examples of cable failure similar to the occurrence involving VH-UAH.

However, a similar report of cable ‘necking’ was identified on a rescue hoist fitted to an Agusta Westland AW139 helicopter. The necking was identified at the swaged terminal within the hook assembly of a Breeze-Eastern hoist by that operator in May 2020. The defect report indicated that the necking had been found after release of CASA AWB 25-034 Helicopter Rescue Hoist Wire Rope – Wear, Fatigue and Failure (released in response to the occurrence involving VH‑UAH). The cable had accrued 114 cycles and after identifying the necking it was replaced. Also mentioned in the defect report was an indication that the ‘necking’ was associated with many short hoist cycles accrued in training.

__________

  1. Breeze-Eastern TD-01-002, Flight Line Operation and Maintenance Manual HS-29700 Series Rescue Hoist System]\ BUMPER STOWAGE INSPECTION, 8 December 1987.
  2. Airbus Helicopters Master Servicing Manual AS350 B3
  3. Line speed for the HS-29700 winch could be varied by the air crewman from 0 to 210 feet per minute by adjustment of the thumbwheel on the remote pendant.
  4. US Department of Defence, MIL-DTL-83140A, ‘WIRE ROPE: STEEL, (STAINLESS STEEL) PREFORMED, NONROTATING, FOR AIRCRAFT RESCUE HOIST AND CARGO HANDLING (WINCHING)’, 9 July 2004
  5. Civil Aviation Safety Authority Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10 Breeze-Eastern Hoists, November 1998.
  6. Breeze-Eastern Customer Advisory Bulletin CAB-100-30, RESCUE HOIST LOAD CABLE AND HOOK / BUMPER STOWAGE INSPECTION, 8 December 1987.
  7. Breeze-Eastern Flight Line Operation and Maintenance Manual, HS-29700 Series Rescue Hoist System, 2008, p10.
  8. Airbus Helicopters Master Servicing Manual AS350 B3

Safety analysis

Introduction

The following analysis discusses the factors surrounding the cable failure from a Breeze-Eastern rescue hoist fitted to an Airbus Helicopters AS 350 B3 helicopter, registered VH-UAH, which occurred near Bulga, New South Wales. The failure occurred while the helicopter crew were conducting a conditioning maintenance operation of the rescue hoist system to restore the integrity of the cable. Although no personnel were injured in this occurrence, the helicopter had previously been conducting live winching.

Wear damage and cable failure

The ATSB’s technical examination identified that severe wear damage had developed within the wire strands of the load cable. Additionally, the cable internal core had retracted from the externally wound strands indicating that the inner portion had probably fractured prior to the commencement of the conditioning operation. The failure occurred when the cable was loaded with a 160 kg weighted bag which was significantly less than the ultimate tensile load limit of the cable. In normal circumstances the cable should have withstood the imposed load. There was no evidence of corrosion, kinking, shock loading or any other such damage on the cable that might have otherwise contributed to the failure. Remnant lubricant was identified between the wire strands.

The identified wear led to a significant reduction in cross-sectional area and eventual overstress of the load cable. Some of the worn wires also showed indicators of progressive fracture consistent with the development of fatigue cracking, with the remainder displaying ductile overstress fracture.

Stowage practices and Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10

Breeze-Eastern provided clear advice in the operating instructions for the rescue hoist that when homing the hook, it was important to ensure that the homing action was not interrupted, using full deflection of the controller. This ensured adequate compression of the bump spring and prevented the hook from moving during flight.

The operator commented to the ATSB that in certain instances, intermittent control of the cable speed and gentle homing of the hook had been conducted to avoid damaging the rubber bumper attached to the hook assembly. Although that stowage practice was intended to prevent component damage, it probably led to inadequate compression of the hook assembly that resulted in winch cable damage as the hook assembly vibrated and moved during helicopter operation. The observed wear in the failed cable and the cable off another ParkAir rescue hoist, found to be the result of vibratory movement, supported that conclusion.

In addition to variations in the homing practices, it is likely that specific post-flight inspection requirements for the Breeze Eastern rescue hoist listed in Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10 were not being adequately completed by the operator. The inspections were targeted at verifying correct stowage of the hook assembly at the beginning and end of each flight.

Although the hook assemblies were physically checked for security at the end of each winching sortie, a specific instruction contained within AD/SUPP/10 identified the requirement to measure the degree of spring compression that in turn verified proper hook stowage. The operator’s inspection requirements for the rescue hoist did not contain any reference for a compression measurement to be accomplished.

Cycle counting

A significant difference was identified between the method that Breeze-Eastern and Airbus Helicopters used to define hoist cycles and life-limits for load cables. Breeze-Eastern recommended a 1,500-cycle life-limit while Airbus recommended a 500-cycle life-limit. Breeze‑Eastern utilised a mechanical counter within the mechanism of the winch to determine a full winch cycle, while Airbus identified a hoist cycle as a downward and upward movement of the cable in flight.

The winch had been installed onto the helicopter using an engineering instruction that deferred to both the Breeze-Eastern and Airbus Helicopters technical documentation for maintaining continuing airworthiness. In the event of conflicting sources of information, Civil Aviation Regulation (CAR) 50E Inconsistent requirements – resolution of inconsistencies provided the means to prioritise the relevant instruction. Under these circumstances, given the hierarchy of inspection orders contained within the regulations, the Airbus Helicopters maintenance instructions should have been followed. ParkAir’s use of the Breeze-Eastern method for cycle counting during operation led to an accumulation of load cycles that significantly exceeded the 500-cycle life-limit recommended by Airbus Helicopters.

The wear that occurred to the wires probably occurred over an extended period of in-service movement of the hook assembly, further compounded by the overall extended age and accumulated load cycles of the cable. The hoist cable had accrued 617 hoist cycles and was 9 years old. Based on the number of short-haul winches accrued each year, it is very likely the cable had been exposed to thousands of load cycles. Had the Airbus Helicopters cycle life‑limit been followed, the cable would have been removed from service prior to failure.

Findings

ATSB investigation report findings focus on safety factors (that is, events and conditions that increase risk). Safety factors include ‘contributing factors’ and ‘other factors that increased risk’ (that is, factors that did not meet the definition of a contributing factor for this occurrence but were still considered important to include in the report for the purpose of increasing awareness and enhancing safety). In addition ‘other findings’ may be included to provide important information about topics other than safety factors. 

Safety issues are highlighted in bold to emphasise their importance. A safety issue is a safety factor that (a) can reasonably be regarded as having the potential to adversely affect the safety of future operations, and (b) is a characteristic of an organisation or a system, rather than a characteristic of a specific individual, or characteristic of an operating environment at a specific point in time.

These findings should not be read as apportioning blame or liability to any particular organisation or individual.

From the evidence available, the following findings are made with respect to the rescue hoist cable failure from an AS350 B3 helicopter that occurred on 5 February 2020.

Contributing factors

  • While the helicopter crew were conducting a conditioning maintenance operation of the hoist system, the hoist cable fractured, which allowed the suspended load to fall to the ground.
  • Wear damage from in-service movement of the hook assembly led to a significant reduction in cross-sectional area, fatigue and overstress fracture of the strands and an associated reduction in cable strength. The wear was probably compounded by the extended age of the cable and accumulated load cycles.
  • Variations in hook stowage practices following winching operations led to inadequate compression of the hook assembly. This probably led to the winch cable becoming damaged due to wear as the hook assembly vibrated and moved during helicopter operation.
  • It is likely that specific post-flight inspection requirements for the Breeze‑Eastern rescue hoist listed in Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10 were not adequately completed by the operator. The inspections were targeted at ensuring correct stowage of the hook assembly at the end of each flight. (Safety issue)
  • The operator’s method for cycle counting during operation of the rescue hoist led to an accumulation of cable load cycles that exceeded the 500-cycle life-limit recommended by Airbus Helicopters.

Safety issues and actions

Central to the ATSB’s investigation of transport safety matters is the early identification of safety issues. The ATSB expects relevant organisations will address all safety issues an investigation identifies.

Depending on the level of risk of a safety issue, the extent of corrective action taken by the relevant organisation(s), or the desirability of directing a broad safety message to the aviation, industry, the ATSB may issue a formal safety recommendation or safety advisory notice as part of the final report.

All of the directly involved parties were provided with a draft report and invited to provide submissions. As part of that process, each organisation was asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they had carried out or were planning to carry out in relation to each safety issue relevant to their organisation.

Descriptions of each safety issue, and any associated safety recommendations, are detailed below. Click the link to read the full safety issue description, including the issue status and any safety action/s taken. Safety issues and actions are updated on this website when safety issue owners provide further information concerning the implementation of safety action.

Safety action not associated with an identified safety issue

Industry awareness of the rescue hoist cable failure

After being notified of the cable failure and on completing the technical examination of the hoist components, the ATSB advised the Civil Aviation Safety (CASA), Breeze-Eastern, the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), and Airbus Helicopters. Those organisations, along with the ATSB, released the following advisories to provide an alert to the broader helicopter industry.

Breeze-Eastern released Service Information Letter (SIL 14 Maintenance) Breeze-Eastern Rescue Hoist Maintenance & Flight Line Inspections for BL-29700 Series, on 6 April 2020. The SIL reminded operators, hoist maintainers and personnel of the critical importance of all listed inspections, including pre-and post-flight, contained in the BL-29700 hoist maintenance manual. The SIL reiterated the requirement to ensure proper compression of the spring from the bumper assembly, and the need for careful inspection of the cable in the immediate area of the swaged ball end fitting.

Proper hook homing inspections post flight must be done according to the flight line maintenance manual and other appropriate technical documents. Failure to complete these checks and verify that the hook is homed correctly post flight could cause a loosely stowed hook to vibrate during flight, creating stress on the wire rope cable.

The continual vibration of a helicopter and a loosely “homed” hook can result in a fatigue failure of the cable immediately above the ball end fitting.

CASA released Airworthiness Bulletin (AWB) 25-034 Helicopter Rescue Hoist Wire Rope – Wear, Fatigue and Failure, on 22 April 2020 to emphasise the care, attention and proficiency required to safely operate and maintain winch systems that lifted and lowered personnel and loads. Within the AWB CASA discussed the cable failure and recommended operators to:

Ensure inspections are completed methodically and thoroughly.

Always ensure the hook has been homed securely, as per approved data. This will prevent the hook causing premature cable fatigue.

Hoist system cycle counters cannot be used to replace physical and visual system inspections. These cycles are based on fatigue life determined in laboratories. Many hoist operations consist of much shorter deploy and retrieve cycles, than a counter may show. Additional inspections may be warranted.

ATSB released a Safety Advisory Notice (SAN) AO-2020-013-SAN-001 on 23 April 2020 that provided a preliminary summary of the cable failure. The SAN was distributed to all Australian operators permitted to conduct aerial work and conduct helicopter winching operations. The SAN advised:

For all helicopter operators and flight crew involved in rescue hoist operations to review their current operational practices to ensure hoist operation and hook stowage are in accordance with the hoist manufacturers’ published procedures.

For operators, flight crew and maintainers to closely review the pre- and post-flight inspection requirements of the hook and cable assembly, along with any recurring scheduled maintenance of the hoist system, to ensure that they are completed in accordance with the manufacturers’ instructions.

Airbus Helicopters released a Safety Information Notice (SIN) 3507-S-25 Fatigue failure of a BREEZE 450 Lbs hoist cable, on 4 June 2020 to all operators of AS350 and AS355 civilian helicopters fitted with the Breeze-Eastern BL-29700 winch. The notice provided a reminder that:

… after a hoisting mission, the hoist operator must position the hoist hook to the upper stop, while holding the control handle in the upward direction without interrupting the automatic stop of the hoist so that the compression phase of the hook assembly is not interrupted.

The notice also advised operators that maintenance of the hoist was to be completed using the Airbus Helicopters definition of a hoist cycle, whereby:

1 Hoist cycle (HC) =

In flight, one downward movement + one upward movement, whatever the length of the cable and load involved

On the ground, one downward movement of 5 meters or more and one equivalent upward movement, whatever the load involved.

EASA released Safety Information Bulletin (SIB) 2020-11 Helicopter Rescue Hoist Cable Failure on 11 June 2020 that informed European operators of the Breeze-Eastern 450 lb BL‑29700 series rescue hoist of the Australian occurrence. EASA recommended the following to all AS350 and AS355 helicopter operators:

…maintenance personnel should use the applicable Airbus Helicopters definition of a hoist cycle

…maintenance personnel and pilot(s), as applicable, should perform the pre-flight and post-flight inspection(s) as per applicable B-E CMM instructions

…pilots and on-board hoist operators should ensure a proper hoist stowing at the end of each hoist operation, by fully reeling it in to compress the hook bumper. Failure to follow this procedure could result in damage (due to wear and fatigue through vibration and aerodynamic loading) to the cable.

Compliance with AD SUPP 10

Safety issue number: AO-2020-013-SI-01

Safety issue description: It is likely that specific post-flight inspection requirements for the Breeze Eastern rescue hoist listed in Airworthiness Directive AD/SUPP/10 were not adequately completed by the operator. The inspections were targeted at ensuring correct stowage of the hook assembly at the end of each flight.

Glossary

AD                   Airworthiness Directive

ATSB               Australian Transport Safety Bureau

AWB                Airworthiness Bulletin

CAR                 Civil Aviation Regulation

CASA               Civil Aviation Safety Authority

CMM                Component maintenance manual

EASA               European Aviation Safety Agency

HC                   Hoist cycle

NPWS              National Parks and Wildlife Service

NSW                New South Wales

SAN                 Safety Advisory Notice

SEM                 Scanning electron microscope

SIB                   Safety Information Bulletin

SIL                   Service Information Letter

SIN                  Safety Information Notice

Sources and submissions

Sources of information

The sources of information during the investigation included:

  • New South Wales National Parks and Wildlife Service Flight Operations Unit (ParkAir)
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • Breeze-Eastern
  • Airbus Helicopters

Additional references

Breeze-Eastern Customer Advisory Bulletin CAB 100-51, Use and Maintenance of Wire Rope on Airborne Personnel Hoists, October 1994

Civil Aviation Safety Authority, Helicopter Personnel Winching, Airworthiness Article AAC 1-103 September 1998

Civil Aviation Safety Authority, Airworthiness Bulletin 25-003 Issue 1, Helicopter Personnel Winching - Human External Cargo (HEC) Operations, 25 April 2015

Helicopter Rescue Techniques, Civilian Public Safety and Military Helicopter Rescue Operations, United States Department of the Interior National Park Service, National SAR Academy (NSARA), First edition October 2013

Information on Helicopter Hoist Wire Rope, Failure Modes, and Rejection Criteria, Zephyr International IIc 2013

James Paul WALLIS, The importance of cable care, AirMed & Rescue Magazine, 4 June 2019

Kasim TURGAT et. al. Falls from height: a retrospective analysis, World Journal of Emergency Medicine, 2018 pp46-50

US Department of Defence, Wire Rope – Steel - Nonrotating for Aircraft Rescue Hoist, Military Specification MIL-W-83140 April 1969. Washington, DC

Submissions

Under section 26 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003, the ATSB may provide a draft report, on a confidential basis, to any person whom the ATSB considers appropriate. That section allows a person receiving a draft report to make submissions to the ATSB about the draft report.

A draft of this report was provided to the following directly involved parties:

  • New South Wales National Parks and Wildlife Service Flight Operations Unit (ParkAir)
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • European Aviation Safety Association
  • United States National Transportation Safety Board
  • Breeze-Eastern
  • Airbus Helicopters
  • Bureau d'Enquêtes et d'Analyses of France
  • the helicopter owner
  • the rescue hoist maintainer

Submissions were received from:

  • Breeze-Eastern
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority

The submissions were reviewed and, where considered appropriate, the text of the report was amended accordingly.

Purpose of safety investigations & publishing information

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information 

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2021

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Occurrence summary

Investigation number AO-2020-013
Occurrence date 05/02/2020
Location 1 km south west of Bulga
State New South Wales
Report release date 21/10/2021
Report status Final
Investigation level Defined
Investigation type Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Aviation
Aviation occurrence category Infrastructure - Other
Occurrence class Serious Incident
Highest injury level None

Aircraft details

Manufacturer Airbus Helicopters
Model AS 350 B3
Registration VH-UAH
Serial number 7861
Aircraft operator Aviation Utilities Pty Ltd
Sector Helicopter
Operation type Aerial Work
Departure point Bulga, New South Wales
Destination Bulga, New South Wales
Damage Nil

Mid-air collision involving Piper PA-44-180 Seminole, VH-JQF and Beech D95A Travel Air, VH-AEM, 8 km south of Mangalore Airport, Victoria, on 19 February 2020

Final report

Report release date: 31/03/2022

Safety summary

What happened

Around midday on 19 February 2020 a Beech D95A Travel Air, registered VH-AEM, and a Piper PA44-180 Seminole, VH-JQF, collided mid-air approximately 8 km south of Mangalore Airport, Victoria. The Travel Air was approaching Mangalore Airport from the south, on descent to conduct a practice instrument approach, while the Seminole was southbound on climb from Mangalore to Essendon Airport.

Both aircraft were operating under the instrument flight rules (IFR) in non-controlled airspace. The pilots of each aircraft had been provided with traffic information about the other aircraft prior to the collision, in accordance with procedures. Both aircraft were fitted with dual radios. Other pilots monitoring the common traffic advisory frequency (CTAF) associated with Mangalore Airport reported hearing pilots from both aircraft broadcast but had no recollection of hearing them speaking directly to each other.

The two aircraft collided with no evasive manoeuvring identified in recorded flight data. All four pilots were fatally injured and both aircraft were destroyed.

What the ATSB found

This was the first mid‑air collision between two civil aircraft operating under the instrument flight rules and procedures that have been in place in Australia for decades.

The ATSB identified that, following receipt of verbal traffic information from the controller, the pilots did not successfully manoeuvre or establish direct communications on the CTAF to maintain separation, probably due to the collision risk not being recognised.

While it is probable that the aircraft were in instrument meteorological conditions at the time of the collision due to the presence of extensive cloud, the known limitations of the ‘see-and-avoid’ principle meant that the pilots were unlikely to have seen each other in sufficient time to prevent the collision even in clear weather conditions.

Additionally, following receipt of an alert indicating the developing proximity of the aircraft, the controller assessed it in accordance with the required procedure. However, after considering that the pilots were aware of each other’s presence and were required to ensure their own separation in non‑controlled airspace, the controller did not intervene further.

While the pilots were responsible for self-separation within the Mangalore CTAF area, they did not have access to radar or automatic dependent surveillance broadcast (ADS-B) information. As a result, the pilots were required to make timely decisions to avoid a collision without the best available information.

Finally, although not contributory to the accident, the ATSB identified that the wording of procedures relating to the conduct of practice instrument approaches at Mangalore Airport resulted in varied application and an increased risk of traffic conflicts.

What has been done as a result

Airservices Australia (Airservices) have proposed a change to the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) to introduce a surveillance flight information service (SFIS) around Mangalore Airport, designed to provide enhanced traffic information services to all aircraft operating in a 20 NM radius of the airport. The proposed service would require all aircraft to broadcast on the CTAF within the broadcast area, while providing a dedicated air traffic controller operating on the CTAF to provide a flight information service utilising surveillance.

By listening on the CTAF, the controller would be able to determine whether aircraft have arranged their own separation following receipt of traffic information and provide updated traffic information if required. A similar service was introduced around Ballina Airport in August 2021.

In September 2021, the CASA Office of Airspace Regulation (OAR) announced an aeronautical study into the airspace within a 25 NM area of Mangalore Airport, up to an altitude of 8,500 ft. The scope of this study involves:

  • a review of traffic type and density over the previous 5 years
  • an evaluation of the suitability and efficiency of the airspace
  • a review of the equitability of access to the airspace, the appropriateness of the airspace classification and the suitability of the existing services and facilities provided by Airservices Australia.

As of February 2022, this aeronautical study has not been published.

The proposal for the introduction of an SFIS on the Mangalore CTAF is currently on hold pending completion of the OAR review. However, a dedicated controller is providing safety alerting on the Mangalore CTAF in the interim period. Communications on the CTAF are recorded by Airservices when the safety alerting service is operational. A further consultation has been raised by Airservices to lower the base of Class E airspace around Mangalore Airport. As of February 2022, that proposal was in review by Airservices following an industry consultation period.

In December 2021, the Department of Infrastructure announced a $30 million fund to provide rebates to general aviation aircraft operators to fund up to $5,000 or 50% of the cost of installing ADS-B transponder technology into their aircraft.

Safety message

While this accident involved aircraft operating under the IFR, irrespective of whether operating under the instrument or visual flight rules, pilots are responsible for separation from other aircraft in non‑controlled airspace.

As such, if made aware of traffic, either via advice from air traffic control (ATC), a received broadcast or any other means it is vitally important that the traffic is risk assessed and, if necessary, a plan established to assure separation. The following separation methods can be useful in maintaining a safe operating distance between aircraft:

  • different operating altitudes
  • ground feature reference (e.g. townships, lakes or linear features – rivers, roads)
  • navigation or avionics reference (e.g. radial or GPS distance)
  • ‘clock code’ reference – useful to assist aircraft sighting.

The ATSB also strongly encourages the fitment of ADS‑B transmitting, receiving and display devices as they significantly assist the identification and avoidance of conflicting traffic. The continuous positional information that ADS‑B provides can highlight a developing situation many minutes before it becomes hazardous – a significant improvement on both point‑in‑time radio traffic advice and ‘see‑and‑avoid’. The ATSB also notes that ADS‑B receivers, suitable for use on aircraft operating under both the instrument or visual flight rules, are currently available within Australia at low cost and can be used in aircraft without any additional regulatory approval or expense.

It is also important to recognise however that ADS‑B cannot be relied upon to display all nearby traffic so effective use of radio remains a primary defence in avoiding mid‑air collisions. In that context pilots need to make all required broadcasts detailed in the Aeronautical Information Publication, even if there is no known traffic, and respond to broadcasts if a potential traffic conflict is identified.

The ATSB publication A pilot’s guide to staying safe in the vicinity of non-towered aerodromes highlights some of the known challenges presented to pilots operating around these airfields.

Finally, in line with the key objective of ATC being the prevention of collisions, controllers should advise pilots if they become aware of a developing traffic conflict rather than assume that the pilots are already aware of it.

 

The occurrence

On 19 February 2020, at about 1055 Eastern Daylight-saving Time[1], a Beech Travel Air D95A aircraft registered VH-AEM (AEM), departed Tyabb Airport, Victoria for an Instrument Flight Rules (IFR)[2] training flight to Shepparton via Mangalore, and return to Tyabb. A student pilot (the student) and an instructor (the instructor) were on board. The pilots were planning to conduct a practice VOR[3] approach to Mangalore Airport as part of the student’s training towards the issue of an instrument rating. AEM was estimated to arrive overhead Mangalore Airport at 1126.

At around the same time, a pilot (the pilot under examination) and flight examiner (the examiner) were at Mangalore Airport, Victoria, preparing for an instrument rating flight test in a Piper PA44‑180 Seminole, registered VH-JQF (JQF).

At 1111, the pilot under examination, seated in the left seat of JQF, contacted the Melbourne Centre air traffic controller responsible for the surrounding Class G non‑controlled airspace, to advise that the aircraft was taxiing for a departure from Mangalore Airport. The pilot had submitted a flight plan for a round-trip IFR flight via Essendon and Shepparton. At this time, the Mangalore automatic weather station recorded cloud as broken[4], with a base of about 3,200 ft above mean sea level (AMSL).

After departing Tyabb, the crew of AEM climbed the aircraft to 6,000 ft and tracked north through the Melbourne Class C controlled airspace, before being instructed to contact Melbourne Centre. The student pilot first made contact with the Melbourne Centre controller at 1117:42 (Figure 1). They were informed there was no IFR traffic for the descent to Mangalore Airport. At the time the student pilot in AEM acknowledged this information, JQF had not appeared on the controller’s surveillance display. At 1120:07 the controller passed traffic information to the pilots of AEM that JQF was shortly to depart Mangalore airport heading to the south.

Surveillance data for JQF first appeared on the controller’s display at 1120:31, indicating JQF was airborne. At 1122:19, the pilot under examination in JQF made a departure call to the Melbourne Centre controller and provided information that the aircraft was passing 2,700 ft on climb to 7,000 ft and tracking to waypoint LACEY. The controller identified the aircraft on their display and replied with the area QNH[5]. At 1122:44 the controller provided the pilots in JQF with the following traffic information:

6 [nautical] miles in your 12 o’clock is alpha echo mike, a King Air. They are inbound to Mangalore for airwork. Passing 5,000 [ft] on descent to not above 4,000 [ft].

At 1122:49, five seconds after the controller passed this traffic information to the pilots of JQF, an aural and visual short-term conflict alert (STCA)[6] was provided to the controller. The alert indicated that the two aircraft were to come within 4.8 NM lateral and 600 ft vertical proximity in the next 60‑90 seconds. Based on the predicted velocity vectors[7] presented on the radar display for the two aircraft, the controller assessed that the aircraft would pass each other, with JQF passing behind AEM, then acknowledged the STCA. At 1123:00 JQF acknowledged the traffic information. By this time, JQF was climbing through 3,250 ft, had a ground speed of 81 kt and had commenced a turn to intercept their planned outbound track from Mangalore Airport to LACEY (Figure 2). At the same time AEM had a ground speed of 187 kt and was descending through 4,918 ft on a track of 354⁰. At this point, there was 5.4 NM horizontally and about 1,675 ft vertically between the aircraft.

Under IFR operational requirements, the pilots in JQF were required to intercept their outbound track (in this case the direct track between Mangalore Airport and LACEY) within 5 NM of the airfield, and manoeuvre to ensure terrain clearance until above the minimum sector altitude of 3,400 ft within 10 NM of the airfield. Terrain clearance was also assured above 3,900 ft within 25 NM of the airfield.

Figure 1: Flight paths for AEM and JQF, and airspace around Mangalore, including Melbourne Class C airspace and waypoint LACEY

picture1-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Google Earth and Airservices, annotated by the ATSB

In addition to AEM and JQF, there were six other aircraft either taxiing on the ground at Mangalore Airport, operating in the circuit area, or in the local area monitoring the Mangalore common traffic advisory frequency (CTAF).[8] Multiple pilots recalled each of the aircraft communicating separately on the CTAF, with one of the crew of JQF making a, rolling and circuit departure broadcast and a pilot from AEM making an inbound broadcast. However, none of the pilots in the CTAF area recalled any radio communications to arrange separation between AEM and JQF.

At 1123:51, another STCA appeared on the controller’s screen for the two aircraft. The controller acknowledged the STCA at 1124:09, whilst providing traffic information to another aircraft. At the time of the STCA activation,  the velocity vector of JQF crossed the velocity vector of AEM, with JQF predicted to pass closely behind AEM. However, the controller’s display showed there was 500 ft vertical separation between the aircraft.

At 1124:20 the aircraft collided. Following the collision, the ATC radar display reverted from a presentation of the track of each aircraft based on surveillance data to the flight planned tracks. The controller attempted to contact each aircraft numerous times, before declaring a distress phase for both aircraft.

The collision occurred about 4 NM (7.5 km) south of Mangalore Airport[9] at around 4,100 ft. There were no witnesses to the collision. However, the pilot of a helicopter operating to the south of the collision point reported seeing one aircraft (AEM) descending rapidly, with the other aircraft (JQF) descending more slowly while spinning. Two other witnesses, one, a pilot located on the airfield, and a second closer witness, similarly reported seeing JQF spinning toward the ground.

The two aircraft impacted the ground about 1.3 km apart (Figure 2). Some lighter debris from each aircraft was located at a third location downwind from the collision point. All four pilots were fatally injured in the accident, and both aircraft were destroyed.

Figure 2: Flight path of AEM and JQF, and location of the ground impact of both aircraft

picture2-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Google Earth and Airservices, annotated by the ATSB

__________

  1. Eastern Daylight-saving Time (EDT): Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) +11 hours
  2. Instrument flight rules (IFR): a set of regulations that permit a pilot to operate an aircraft in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC), which have much lower weather minimums than visual flight rules (VFR). Procedures and training are significantly more complex as a pilot must demonstrate competency in IMC conditions while controlling the aircraft solely by reference to instruments. IFR-capable aircraft have greater equipment and maintenance requirements.
  3. VHF Omni-direction Radio Range (VOR): A VHF radio navigational system which provides continuous indication of bearing from the selected VOR ground station.
  4. Cloud cover: in aviation, cloud cover is reporting using words that denote the extent of the cover – ‘scattered’ indicates the cloud is covering between and quarter and a half of the sky, ‘broken’ indicates that more than half to almost all of the sky is covered, and ‘overcast’ indicates that all the sky is covered.
  5. QNH: the altimeter barometric pressure subscale setting used to indicate the height above mean sea level.
  6. Short Term Conflict Alert (STCA) – a tool intended to assist the controller in preventing a collision between aircraft by generating timely alerts of a potential, or actual, infringement of separation minima. See also the section titled Short term conflict alert.
  7. Velocity vector: a line that extends from the surveillance track symbol to the estimated future position of the track (computed according to the track’s current ground speed) at some selected time interval into the future. Velocity vectors are based on a present track and do not account for a future variations in tracking. The velocity vector is punctuated with dots to show the tracks estimated progress along the vector at regular intervals of time. The direction of the vector indicates the track heading, while the length of the vector gives an indirect indication of the track speed. See the section titled Controller display for further information.
  8. Common Traffic Advisory Frequency (CTAF): A designated frequency on which pilots make positional broadcasts when operating in the vicinity of a non-controlled aerodrome or within a Broadcast Area.
  9. Distances are taken from the Mangalore Aerodrome Reference Point (S36° 53.18’ E145° 11.03’).

Context

Personnel information

All four pilots and the air traffic controller held the required licences and medical approvals. It was considered unlikely that fatigue affected the performance of any of the involved pilots, due to the time of the accident, and their previous work and rest times. Workload and fatigue assessments for the controller are detailed in a separate section below.

VH‑AEM instructor

Qualifications and experience

The instructor onboard VH-AEM (AEM) held an Air Transport Pilot Licence (Aeroplane) (ATPL(A)) issued on 29 January 2004, and a Commercial Pilot Licence (Aeroplane) (CPL(A)) issued on 13 October 1993. The instructor also held a Grade 1 flight instructor rating with endorsements for multi-engine class rating[10] training and instrument rating training. The instructor had an English language proficiency of level 6[11].

The instructor’s instrument rating and multi-engine aircraft rating were valid until 29 February 2020, and their flight instructor rating was valid until 30 June 2020. The instructor had previously held an examiner rating covering private pilot licence and night visual flight rules testing endorsements, and English language proficiency assessments.

The instructor’s logbook showed a total flying experience of 5,907.2 hours to the last recorded flight on 14 February 2020. In the previous 90 days, the instructor had flown 29.3 hours of which 7.6 hours were in the Beech D95A Travel Air (Travel Air) aircraft type. In the previous 30 days the instructor had flown 25.1 hours total, 5.4 of which were on type.

The instructor had been the operator’s Chief Pilot since March 2019, and the Head of Operations since April 2019.

Medical information

The instructor held a class 1 aviation medical certificate valid until May 2020, with a restriction that it could not be used for ATPL operations. The instructor had a mild colour vision deficiency which had been assessed by specialists as ‘extremely mild’ and had been declared to the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA).

There were no restrictions preventing the instructor from undertaking commercial operations including flight instruction. Additionally, the instructor was not required to wear any vision correction in flight.

VH‑AEM student

Qualifications and experience

The instrument rating student in AEM held a CPL(A) issued on 30 April 2013. The student had also previously held a Grade 3 flight instructor rating permitting single engine aircraft, night VFR and design feature training. The student also held activity endorsements for formation flight, aerobatics and spinning. The student held a level 6 English language proficiency assessment.

The student’s logbook showed a total flying experience of 1,103.1 hours to the last recorded flight on 17 February 2020. The student’s total flying experience on the Travel Air was 6.6 hours. In the previous 90 days, the student had flown a total of 60.4 hours, including the 6.6 hours on the Travel Air; and in the last 30 days had flown 30.3 hours with 2.2 of those in the Travel Air.

Medical information

The student held a Class 1 aviation medical certificate valid until 2 September 2020. There were no restrictions on their medical certificate.

Instrument rating training

An instrument rating is an operational rating permitting a pilot to fly under the IFR.

The student passed their instrument rating theory examination on 2 October 2019. Logbook records indicate that the pilot first completed 1.1 hours in the simulator for ’NDB and instrument flying’ in June 2019. This was completed with another instructor.

Records indicate that the Travel Air instructor and the student began flying together in October 2019 for the purposes of completing the instrument rating. Table 1 identifies the flights logged in the student’s logbook, conducted as flight training toward the instrument rating with multi-engine aeroplane instrument endorsement. The first three flights were conducted as day VFR flights in the Travel Air, conducting elements of handling required for the multi-engine endorsement (see the section titled Pilot Licencing).

Table 1: Flights completed in preparation for instrument rating

DateAircraftDuration (Hours)Details
14 October 2019VH-AEM0.9 (VFR)General handling, stalls and circuits
16 October 2019VH-AEM1.1 (VFR)Circuits, go arounds
21 October 2019VH-AEM2.4 (VFR)Tyabb – LaTrobe Valley – Asymmetric engine operation and engine failure after take-off - Tyabb
28 October 2019Simulator1.7 (IFR)Sector entry and holding / basic instrument flying
28 October 2019Simulator1.0 (IFR)Holding with winds
18 November 2019Simulator1.0 (IFR)ILS at Essendon, RNAV and hold at Moorabbin
20 January 2020Simulator2.1 (IFR)Holding, cross wind, RNAV Mangalore and Yarram, VOR Approach
23 January 2020Simulator2.0 (IFR)Moorabbin, Yarram – Holding and RNAV, Essendon ILS
28 January 2020VH-AEM2.2 (IFR)Tyabb – Yarram – LaTrobe Valley – MOZZA[2] – MONTY – Essendon ILS
1 February 2020Simulator1.2 (IFR)Moorabbin – Mangalore – VOR approach

[1] ILS, RNAV and VOR are types of instrument approaches.
[2] MOZZA and MONTY are IFR waypoints. See the section titled Operational information.

VH‑JQF examiner

Qualifications and experience

The examiner on board VH-JQF (JQF) held an ATPL(A) that was issued on 17 July 1978. They held a flight examiner rating permitting examination of a variety of operational ratings, including an instrument rating and multi-engine aeroplane class rating. The examiner had a level 6 English language proficiency.

The operator’s records indicate the examiner received a briefing on relevant operational policies in August 2018. However, as per the regulations, the examination flight was conducted as a private flight rather than a commercial operation.

The examiner successfully completed an instrument rating proficiency check in a Seminole on 17 February 2020, two days before the accident flight. The examiner’s instrument rating and multi‑engine class rating were valid until 28 February 2021. The examiner’s grade 1 flight instructor rating was valid until 31 December 2021.

The examiner’s flight examiner rating had exceeded the renewal date, however, operation as an examiner was still permitted under CASA EX70/18, an exemption issued by CASA to extend the requirement to conduct a proficiency check until March 2020. This exemption was issued to assist with the transition of examiners from the Authorised Testing Officer delegations to the Civil Aviation Safety Regulations Part 61[12] Flight Examiner ratings.

A review of the examiner’s logbook showed a total flying experience of about 21,600 hours. CASA records indicate that the examiner conducted 194 flight tests in the 2 years prior to the accident, of which 34 were for the initial issue of an instrument rating.

Medical information

The examiner held a class 2 aviation medical certificate that was valid until 15 October 2020. There were two restrictions placed on the examiners medical certificate:

  • Distance correction was to be worn while exercising the privileges of this licence.
  • Reading correction was to be available while exercising the privileges of this licence.

The available evidence indicates that these restrictions were being complied with at the time of the accident.

VH‑JQF pilot under examination

Qualifications and experience

The pilot under examination had been enrolled in a diploma course with the operator since February 2017, and although having completed most of the flying program from Moorabbin Airport they were also familiar with operating to and from Mangalore Airport. The pilot under examination held a CPL that was issued on 24 June 2019. The final component of their training was the instrument rating and multi-engine class rating, being tested during the accident flight. The pilot had a level 6 English language proficiency.

The pilot’s logbook showed a total flying experience of 244.9 hours to the last recorded flight on 17 February 2020. The pilot’s total flying experience in the Seminole was 22.2 hours. In the previous 90 days, the pilot had completed 20.4 hours total flying (all in the Seminole), and in the last 30 days had completed 4.8 hours flying.

Medical information

The pilot’s Class 1 aviation medical certificate was renewed 3 days prior to the accident and was valid until 12 March 2021. There were no restrictions placed on their medical certificate.

Instrument rating training

The purpose of the accident flight was examination for an instrument rating, a multi-engine aeroplane instrument endorsement and a multi-engine aeroplane class rating. The pilot under examination had passed the theory component for the instrument rating on 11 November 2019.

Records indicate that the pilot began training for the multi-engine class rating and the instrument rating in August 2019. During this training, the pilot logged:

  • Day multi-engine aircraft flight: 32.0 hours
  • Night multi-engine aircraft flight: 7.2 hours
  • In-flight instrument flight time: 17.2 hours (logged during the 39.2 day and night multi-engine aircraft flight hours)
  • Simulator time: 20.4 hours

All training was completed with one instructor, and all flying was conducted in a Seminole. Documentation recommending the pilot for the flight examination was completed by this instructor after a final practice flight on 17 February 2020, which included flying to Mangalore Airport.

Air traffic controller

Qualifications and experience

The controller had worked for Airservices Australia (Airservices) since 1989. The controller was issued with ratings for area procedural control and area radar control in 1996; and was issued with an endorsement for the sector being controlled on the day (see the section titled Airspace) in January 2012. The controller held a level 6 English language proficiency.

The controller held a Class 3 medical, appropriate for air traffic controllers, which was valid until 6 October 2021, and required the controller to have reading correction available.

The most recent training completed by the controller prior to the accident was compromised separation refresher training on 2 October 2019, and effective scanning training on 26 February 2019.

Roster and workload

The controller reported that they did not feel fatigued prior to, or at the time of the accident. The controller noted that although some of the roster patterns worked could be fatiguing, controllers found ways to manage this. A review completed by Airservices did not identify any fatigue related‑ issues with the controller’s roster.

While the roster had a mix of morning, afternoon and night shifts during February, in the 3 days prior to the accident the controller had completed the following roster:

  • Sunday 16 February: day off
  • Monday 17 February: 1400 - 2200
  • Tuesday 18 February: 1400 - 2200
  • Wednesday 19 February: 1100 start

The controller recalled being asleep by midnight after the shift on Tuesday 18 February and waking to an alarm at 0800 on Wednesday morning. The controller arrived at work about 15 minutes early, to prepare for the day.

The controller described the workload on the day as having ‘a bit going on’, but not busy. It was further stated that there were no particular pressures on the day of the accident.

Medical and pathological information

Given the nature of the mid‑air and ground collisions, the accident was not survivable for any of the four pilots.

The autopsy of the examiner in JQF identified a level of ischaemic heart disease capable of causing death in isolation from other factors, but there was no evidence of an acute cardiac event having occurred at the time of the incident.

No other significant medical issues were identified in any of the remaining pilots. Further, the toxicology results did not identify any substance that could have impaired the pilots’ performance or that were not noted in their aviation medical records.

Aircraft information

Both aircraft met the equipment requirements for flight under the IFR, detailed in Civil Aviation Order 20.18 including the carriage of Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast (ADS-B)[13] equipment (see the section titled Automatic dependent surveillance broadcast).

VH‑AEM

The Beech D95A Travel Air is a four to six seat, low‑wing, retractable-tricycle-undercarriage aircraft fitted with two 180 horsepower Textron Lycoming IO-360-B1B reciprocating engines driving constant‑speed, two-bladed propellers.

AEM (Figure 3) was manufactured in the United States in 1966 with serial number TD 682. It was first registered in Australia in 1967, and prior to the departure from Tyabb, the aircraft had accumulated 7,400.3 hours in service.

Figure 3: Beech Travel Air VH-AEM

picture3-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Aircraft operator, annotated by the ATSB.

AEM had a current Certificate of Registration, Certificate of Airworthiness and maintenance release. The last maintenance conducted on the aircraft was a calibration of the aircraft’s altimeters, air speed indicators, compass, pitot-static system and fuel quantity system, conducted on 17 January 2020.

The aircraft was certified for IFR and charter operations and was equipped with dual controls for the student and instructor. The aircraft was also equipped with a Garmin GNS530 radio communication and GNSS navigation system, together with a second communication radio. The aircraft was also fitted with a Garmin GTX335 ADS-B OUT transponder. AEM did not have any ADS-B receiving equipment.

One notable modification to the aircraft was the replacement of the original two frame windscreen with a single pane ‘speed-slope’ windscreen. The exact date of replacement was unknown, however this was a common modification to Travel Air aircraft. The speed-slope screen is a component of later-model Travel Air aircraft and Beech Baron aircraft.

The modification involved removal of the centre spine of the original screen, with no further modifications to the fuselage roof area or side frames. The lower section of the speed-slope screen protruded approximately 75-100 mm further towards the aircraft nose than the original windscreen. A larger glareshield was also fitted to the aircraft to fill the space between the instrument panel and the new windscreen.

A review of the previous two aircraft maintenance logbooks for AEM showed that the speed‑slope screen was last replaced on 5 August 2011, and that the pilot’s side window had been replaced on 25 December 2014.

VH‑JQF

The Piper PA-44 Seminole is a four-seat, low-wing, twin-engine light aircraft. It is powered by two 180 horsepower Textron Lycoming O-360-E1A6D reciprocating piston engines. JQF was fitted with three-blade, constant‑speed and full-feathering aluminium propellers. The Seminole is equipped with hydraulically‑operated, retractable, tricycle landing gear. JQF (Figure 4) was manufactured in the United States in 1979 with serial number 44-7995291. It was first registered in Australia in 1990. The aircraft was owned by the operator. Prior to the accident flight, the aircraft had accumulated a total flight time of 11,190.6 hours.

Figure 4: Piper Seminole VH-JQF

picture4-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Aircraft operator, annotated by the ATSB.

JQF had a current Certificate of Registration, Certificate of Airworthiness and maintenance release. The maintenance release was issued on 12 February 2020, and the aircraft had completed 18.0 hours flying since that time.

The aircraft was certified for IFR and private/airwork operations. It was equipped with dual controls for the student and instructor. The aircraft was also equipped with a Garmin GNS430 radio communication and GNSS navigation system and a second communication radio. The aircraft was fitted with an Appaero Stratus Mode-S transponder unit, which had ADS-B OUT transmit capability only.

Operational information

Airspace

Overview

Airspace in Australia is separated into different classes that may be either controlled (Class A, Class C, Class D, Class E) or non-controlled (Class G) (Figure 5). Different services are offered to aircraft that operate in these airspace classes, based on the flight rules the aircraft is operating under (see the section titled Air traffic services).

Figure 5: Australian airspace structure

picture5-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Airservices

Common traffic advisory frequency

Mangalore Airport is a non-controlled airport that operates on a common traffic advisory frequency (CTAF). This frequency is shared with four other airfields in the local area – Locksley Field, Nagambie-Wirrate, Wahring Field and Puckapunyal (Figure 6).

The precise boundaries of a CTAF are not defined, however, the Aeronautical Information Publication (AIP[14]) stated that:

An aircraft is in the vicinity of a non-controlled aerodrome if it is within a horizontal distance of 10 [nautical] miles; and within a height above the aerodrome reference point that could result in conflict with the operations at the aerodrome.

Mangalore Airport is located 4 NM north of an 8,500 ft Class C control step. The accident took place almost directly underneath the 8,500 ft step boundary (Figure 6). Class G non-controlled airspace surrounds Mangalore Airport up to 8,500 ft; with Class E controlled airspace from 8,500 ft to flight level[15] 125 (FL125) and Class C controlled airspace from FL125 to FL180. Class A controlled airspace was in place above FL180.

Figure 6: Airspace surrounding Mangalore Airport

picture6-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Airservices, annotated by the ATSB.

Class G airspace

Class G airspace has been operational in Australia since 1995. In Class G airspace, air traffic controllers provide a traffic information service to IFR aircraft about conflicting IFR and observed VFR flights (see the section titled Flight Information Service). Controllers have offered a similar ‘flight service’ to IFR aircraft operating in non-controlled airspace since 1963.

AEM was transferred from one Melbourne Centre controller to another Melbourne Centre controller, just prior to the 30 DME[16] control boundary (Figure 7), where the lower level of Class C airspace increased from 4,500 ft to 8,500 ft.

The pilots of AEM first made contact with the Melbourne Centre controller at 1117:42, and they entered the airspace around 1118:22. They were not on the Melbourne Centre frequency at 1111 when the pilot of JQF made their taxi call to the Melbourne Centre controller.

Figure 7: Airspace around Mangalore Airport and the outbound IFR track to LACEY

picture7-ao-2020-012.jpg

Source: Airservices, annotated by the ATSB

Rules of the air

While both aircraft were operating in the same airspace under the IFR and were in contact with the Melbourne Centre controller, due to the airspace being class G non-controlled airspace, the controller was providing a flight information service only to these aircraft, rather than a traffic control service with positive separation (see the section titled Flight information service). This meant that, as with VFR operations in non-controlled airspace, the pilots were responsible for ensuring they maintained sufficient separation.

The Civil Aviation Regulations 1988 161 through 166 sets out a number of associated regulations detailing pilot responsibilities in relation to rules for the prevention of a collision, operating near other aircraft, right of way and operating in non-controlled airspace.

With regard to the responsibility of pilots to communicate on VHF radio, Civil Aviation Regulation 166C – Responsibility for broadcasting on VHF radio states

(1)    If:

a.    An aircraft is operating on the manoeuvring area of, or in the vicinity of, a non-controlled aerodrome; and

b.    The aircraft is carrying a serviceable aircraft VHF radio; and

c.    The pilot in command of the aircraft holds a radiotelephone qualification;

        The pilot is responsible for making a broadcast on the VHF frequency in use for the aerodrome in accordance with subregulation (2)

(2)    The pilot must make a broadcast that includes the following information whenever it is reasonably necessary to do so to avoid a collision, or the risk of a collision, with another aircraft:

a.    The name of the aerodrome;

b.    The aircraft’s type and call sign;

c.    The position of the aircraft and the pilot’s intentions.

The AIP defines a broadcast as: A transmission of information relating to air navigation for which an acknowledgement is not expected.

The AIP further clarified statements about broadcasts and collision avoidance in GEN 3.3 paragraph 7.5.1 Acknowledgement of broadcasts:

Broadcasts should not be acknowledged unless a potential collision risk exists

Flight plans

AEM

The student pilot of AEM submitted a flight plan to Airservices at 1041 on the morning of the flight. The flight plan details were to

  • depart Tyabb Airport at 1055
  • fly direct to Mangalore Airport and conduct the VOR hold and approach
  • depart to Shepparton Airport for the Area Navigation (RNAV) Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)[17] approach
  • return via Mangalore and LACEY to Moorabbin for the RNAV GNSS approach before returning to Tyabb.

A witness from Tyabb reported that the instructor and instrument rating student had tried to book slots to conduct instrument approaches at airports in the Melbourne control zone but were unable to secure any on the morning of the flight[18]. They were also unable to operate at East Sale due to military training. Therefore, it was decided to fly to Mangalore and Shepparton.

The aircraft proceeded as per the flight plan. The pilots were transferred to the Melbourne Centre controller just prior to the airspace boundary and entered the Class G airspace while maintaining 6,000 ft about 24 NM south of Mangalore Airport. About 90 seconds later, when the aircraft was about 18 NM from Mangalore Airport, the student pilot contacted Melbourne Centre to report their departure from 6,000 ft for airwork at Mangalore not above 4,000 ft (operations between ground level and 4,000 ft).

The planned instrument approach was the VOR approach to runway 23 (see the section titled Mangalore VOR). The approach required them to pass overhead the VOR not below 3,900 ft before beginning the outbound leg of the approach, and descending to no lower than 1,800 ft. There were no reported issues with the serviceability of the VOR at the time of the occurrence.

JQF

The pilot under examination submitted a flight plan at 0949. The flight plan detailed:

  • an 1100 departure from Mangalore Airport and climb to 7,000 ft while tracking to LACEY
  • conduct of an ILS[19]approach at Essendon Airport
  • a return to Mangalore for the VOR approach
  • conduct of an NDB[20] approach at Shepparton Airport before returning to Mangalore for an RNAV approach.

The flight plan submitted to Airservices did not specify the route planned to LACEY, other than Mangalore Airport direct to LACEY. However, a copy of a handwritten flight plan indicated the intention to track from Mangalore to LACEY along the published IFR route W481 (Figure 7).

JQF commenced the take-off roll from runway 23 at Mangalore just prior to 1120. The aircraft initially departed in an extended upwind direction, before commencing a series of left turns that resulted in the aircraft tracking towards the planned route to LACEY (Figure 8).

The pilot under examination made a departure call to the Melbourne Centre controller with the first communication commencing at 1122:19. At the time of this call, during which the pilots were provided traffic information about AEM, the track maintained by JQF was direct to LACEY. This may have been intentional, or co-incidental due to the increased workload of the student during the take-off phase and climb phase and managing the radio during the Melbourne Centre call. It was at this time the controller reviewed the velocity vectors that were based on the track of the aircraft not the flight planned track, and assessed that JQF would pass behind AEM (see the section titled Short term conflict alert). However, at the end of the radio communication, JQF resumed the turn towards the planned route to LACEY via route W481.

Figure 8: Track of JQF after take-off from Mangalore Airport

picture8-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Google Earth and Airservices, annotated by the ATSB

Mangalore VOR

The Mangalore VOR is one of four such navigation aids in Victoria. As part of the 2016 Navigation Rationalisation project, in a move towards using a Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), 179 ground-based navigation aids were decommissioned across Australia. Twenty eight of the decommissioned instrument approaches were in Victoria, including five VORs. The Mangalore VOR was maintained as part of the back-up network, along with VORs at Melbourne, Avalon and Mildura airports. Despite fewer available local VORs since the decommission of navaids, IFR traffic numbers using Mangalore Airport have decreased (see the section titled Aerodrome information).

Figure 9 details the published VOR instrument approach to Mangalore Airport.

Figure 9: Mangalore Runway 23 VOR approach

picture9-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Airservices, annotated by the ATSB

Pilot Licencing

Licencing of pilots with operational ratings and endorsements, such as the multi-engine aeroplane class rating and the instrument rating, requires the pilot to demonstrate relevant competencies to a flight examiner. These competencies are set by CASA and mandated under Part 61 of the Civil Aviation Safety Regulations (CASR).

The CASR Part 61 Manual of Standards (MOS) details these competencies both for initial testing and recurrent examination. At all stages of pilot licencing, competence in non-technical skills must be demonstrated by pilots under examination, including

-   Maintain effective lookout

-   Maintain traffic separation using a systemic visual scan technique at a rate determined by traffic density, visibility and terrain;

-   Maintain radio listening watch and interpret transmissions to determine traffic location and intentions;

-   Recognise and manage threats

Of the Part 61 MOS competencies outlined for the instrument rating, there were two competencies that were relevant to the departure path flown by the pilot of JQF:

-   2.2 (e) conduct instrument departure to comply with obstacle clearance requirements.

-   4 (w) pilot's responsibility in an IFR visual departure.

If either of these competencies were not demonstrated, then it would be marked as a failure item for the test. 

In complying with 2.2(e), the AIP ENR 1.5 stated:

4.4 Take-off minima for other IFR aeroplanes

   4.4.3 – It is a condition of the use of the minima in Section 4.4 that the pilot in command of the aeroplane must ensure that:

a. terrain clearance is assured until reaching either an en-route LSALT[21] or departure aerodrome MSA[22]

As identified on the VOR chart (Figure 9), the minimum sector altitude within 10 NM of Mangalore Airport was 3,400 ft, and the minimum sector altitude within 25 NM to the south and south‑east of the airport was 3,900 ft. Therefore, the pilot of JQF had to ensure terrain clearance was maintained until the aircraft climbed to 3,400 ft.

In complying with 4(w), AIP ENR 1.1 paragraph 10.6.2 stated:

The pilot of a departing aircraft is required to establish the aircraft on the outbound track as soon as possible after take-off, and in any case, within 5 nm of the departure aerodrome.

JQF departed from runway 23, and was flight planned on a published IFR route southbound via waypoint LACEY. Figure 10 identifies the latest position at which JQF could have intercepted this outbound track and complied with the requirement to be ‘established’.

Figure 10: JQF track flown and planned track to LACEY

picture10-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Google Earth and Airservices Australia, annotated by the ATSB

Another competency for a multi-engine aircraft class rating is the requirement to demonstrate how to safely manage a simulated engine failure. The ATSB considered the possibility that the examiner of JQF had simulated an engine failure for the pilot under examination take-off from Mangalore. However evidence provided by the operator suggested that this would not have been the standard practice of the examiner and the recorded climb performance was indicative of the aircraft climbing at a normal two‑engine climb rate.

Neither the student in AEM or the pilot under examination in JQF were likely to have been wearing an IFR ‘hood’, used to simulate instrument conditions, at the time of the accident. AEM had been in cloud for most of the descent from 6,000 ft and the hood for JQF was found in a basket behind the pilot seats, having not been used for the flight.

Self-separation by radio

As previously detailed, while operating in non-controlled airspace, even under the IFR, pilots remain responsible for ensuring their own separation from other aircraft. While the occupants of the two aircraft were provided with traffic information, where the possibility for traffic conflict occurs, communication between pilots over the radio remains the primary means for ensuring separation.

Interpreting location information heard over the radio into a useful mental model is a practical skill taught to pilots during initial training, and developed with experience. Once a pilot hears where another aircraft is through a radio call, they must:

  • process the audio information
  • identify where that aircraft is in relation to their own aircraft
  • determine where both aircraft are heading
  • assess whether there is a potential conflict and, if so, communicate this risk with the other aircraft.

Despite the importance of this skill, there is limited written guidance to pilots on how to communicate and arrange this separation. CASA CAAP 166-2 (2013) is one document that provided the following written guidance to pilots on suggested methods for traffic separation by radio:

Accurate provision and interpretation of traffic information for the purposes of separation to or from another aircraft is an essential pilot skill. Four commonly used ways of providing and interpreting traffic information by radio communication for the purpose of airborne separation are practised at non‑controlled aerodromes. All methods have their advantages depending upon circumstances.

-   Separation by ‘clock code’ – Pilots maintain traffic separation by reference to the central axis and numbers of an analogue clock face. Particular care must be given to identifying which aircraft is the central axis of the clock. You are at my 2 o’clock and low has the opposite meaning to I am at your 2 o’clock and low. The weakness of this method of separation is that is requires at least one pilot to have seen, identified and made contact with the other aircraft.

-   Separation by ground reference – Pilots maintain separation by radio by either identifying that each is in different places relative to a ground feature(s), or by agreeing to remain on different sides of a readily identifiable ground feature such as a runway extended centreline, road, town or railway line. The advantage of this method of separation is that it does not required either aircraft to have actually seen each other (although this is desirable). The weakness of this method of separation is that ground features could be misidentified. The uncertainty or confusion can distract from the effort of retaining separation through see-and-avoid.

-   Separation by altitude reference – Pilots maintain separation by radio by identifying that each is at a different altitude or by one aircraft descending/climbing to another level. Provided that both aircraft altimeters are set to the correct subscale reference (QNH) this method should provide separation for both aircraft regardless of visual contact.

-   Separation by navigational or avionic reference – Pilots maintain separation by identifying that each is in a different place relative to a known navigational point or line (radial), or separated by distance from a fixed point (e.g. Global positioning system (GPS) or a radio navigation aid). This method of separation does not require either aircraft to have actually seen each other (although this is desirable). The weakness of this method of separation is that differing avionic equipment or pilot navigational skill can lead to incorrect assumptions being made about the usability of the separation information offered.

Air traffic services

Overview

Airservices is the national air traffic services (ATS) provider for other than military‑related airspace within Australia. A number of different services are provided by Airservices based on the airspace classification (Table 2), broadly described as either an air traffic control service, or a flight information service.

Table 2: Services provided to IFR  aircraft in Australian Airspace

table-2-ao-2020-012.png

Source: CASA

The AIP defines an air traffic control service as:

A service provided for the purpose of:

a.     preventing collisions:

(1)   between aircraft; and

(2)   on the manoeuvring area between aircraft and obstructions; and

b.     expediting and maintaining an orderly flow of air traffic.

An air traffic control service is provided in controlled airspace, such as in Class A, C, D and E airspace in Australia. These classes of airspace have a separation standard for aircraft operating in these control areas. In controlled en route[23] airspace with surveillance services, the minimum separation requirements between IFR aircraft are 5 NM lateral separation and 1,000 ft vertical separation.

A flight information service (FIS), such as that provided in Class G airspace, is defined in the AIP as:

A service provided for the purpose of giving advice and information for the safe and efficient conduct of flights.

A flight information service differs from an air traffic control service in that pilots are not provided with positive separation between aircraft, and there are no separation standards for aircraft. Instead, pilots of IFR flights are provided with traffic information, and are required to comply with the rules of the air to maintain their own separation (see the sections titled Rules of the air and Flight information service).

Air traffic control surveillance

Both AEM and JQF were broadcasting ADS-B and SSR and were identified by the controller, therefore the pilots were receiving traffic information through a surveillance service rather than a procedural information service. All aircraft information on the controller’s display is filtered to update once every 5 seconds (see the section titled Recorded data)

The Manual of Standards (MOS) Part 172 (paragraph 10.2.3) required controllers to verify level information being broadcast by aircraft as being within ±200 ft, and that:

ATC must verify displayed pressure altitude-derived level information:

a.     On initial contact with the aircraft or, if this is not feasible, as soon as possible after initial contact; and

b.     By simultaneous comparison with:

i.    Altimeter-derived level information received from the same aircraft by radiotelephony.

On first airborne contact with each aircraft, the controller validated the altitude information provided by the pilots in the radio transmissions against the altitude displayed on the controller’s console. At this check AEM was indicating 100 ft higher than the pilot reported (6,100 ft rather than the reported 6,000 ft), as it was again when the pilot reported the start of descent for airwork at Mangalore. The altitude displayed on the controller display matched the altitude reported by the pilot of JQF. This was within tolerance for both aircraft.

Flight information service

At the time of the accident, AIP GEN 3.3 paragraph 2.16 outlined the traffic information provided in Class G airspace. This information was available to both pilots and controllers. Key information in this section of the AIP included:

2.16.1       In Class G airspace, a traffic information service is provided to IFR flights about other conflicting IFR and observed VFR flights.

2.16.1.1    An IFR flight reporting taxiing or airborne at a non-controlled aerodrome will be advised of conflicting IFR traffic which is not on that CTAF.

2.16.1.2    An IFR flight inbound to a non-controlled aerodrome will be advised of conflicting IFR traffic. The ATS obligation to provide the pilot with traffic information ceases when the pilot reports changing to the CTAF.

2.16.1.3    Traffic information will continue to be provided about an IFR flight following cancellation of its SARWATCH[24], until expiry of the flights ETA. Traffic information may be provided to an IFR pilot who has cancelled SARWATCH where workload and communications permit.

2.16.2       In accordance with the preceding paragraphs, traffic information will be provided to IFR flights when:

   a.           requested;

   b.           notifying intention to change level;

   c.           reporting either taxiing or airborne or departure, whichever is first; or

   d.           the ATS officer becomes aware of conflicting traffic.

2.16.3       Pilots of IFR aircraft should advise ATS of the callsign(s) of relevant IFR traffic, previously intercepted, to avoid receiving the same traffic information from ATS.

2.16.4       Traffic information will be provided in accordance with the preceding paragraphs whenever there is a possibility of confliction between aircraft in the following situations:

   a.          aircraft that climb, descent or operate with less than 1,000 ft vertical spacing and less than 15 NM lateral or longitudinal spacing;

   b.          overtaking or opposite direction aircraft on the same or reciprocal tracks with less than 1,000 ft vertical spacing and less than 10 minutes longitudinal spacing based on pilot estimates;

   c.          more than one aircraft arriving at, or departing from, the same aerodrome with less than 10 minutes between arrival and/or departure and falling within these guidelines.

2.16.5       When the traffic assessment is based entirely on the use of an ATS surveillance system, traffic information will be provided when, in the opinion of the controller, it is warranted by the proximity of the aircraft to each other.

2.16.7       Traffic information will include relevant factors from the following:

   a.           the identification of the conflicting aircraft;

   b.           the aircraft type;

   c.           the route of the aircraft;

   d.           the last position report received from the aircraft;

   e.           intentions of the pilot (if known), and, as required;

   f.            the aircraft’s initial departure track and intended cruising level;

   g.           inbound track or direction, level and next estimate; and

   h.           any other data which may enhance the value of the information.                     

An ATS surveillance service is defined in the AIP as a:

Term used to indicate an air traffic service provided directly by means of an ATS surveillance system.

An ATS surveillance system is defined in the AIP as:

A generic term meaning variously, ADS-B, primary surveillance radar, secondary surveillance radar or any comparable ground-based system that enables the identification of aircraft.

AEM and JQF were under a surveillance service, once they were identified by the controller following their first airborne radio calls. Therefore, AIP paragraph 2.16.5 was applicable, with the controller providing traffic information when warranted by controller opinion rather than through the requirements of 2.16.4. There was no requirement for the controller to pass updated traffic information to aircraft that had already received traffic information, even when the information passed no longer accurately reflected the current position the aircraft were in.

An air traffic controller overseeing Class G airspace has the responsibility to provide traffic information to IFR aircraft until they report changing to CTAF. This is a historical procedure that was in place when aircraft commonly only had one radio and remains despite many aircraft being fitted with dual radio systems. However, this procedure remains in the latest edition of the AIP, current 2 December 2021 (AIP GEN 3.3, paragraph 3.3.7.2).

Guidance in the Airservices and Department of Defence Manual of Air Traffic Services (MATS) supports the AIP information, and provides controllers with further advice about how to provide traffic position information to pilots:

9.1.6.5      Position information

Provide position information by:

a.     Clock reference;

b.     Bearing and distance;

c.     Related to a geographical point;

d.     Reported position and estimate; or

e.     Position in the circuit

Airspace

The Melbourne Centre controller was responsible for monitoring a section of airspace known as ‘Alpine’ that spanned an area from the Melbourne control zone to Canberra (Figure 11). This airspace included Class C and E controlled airspace, as well as Class G non-controlled airspace.

Where workload required, the ‘Alpine’ airspace can be sub‑divided into three sectors – Hume (HUM), Ovens (OVN) and Dookie (DOK). At the time of the accident, the controller was operating the three sectors combined.

Figure 11: Alpine airspace, including Dookie, Ovens and Hume sectors and key aerodromes

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Source: Airservices, annotated by the ATSB.

Controller display

Air traffic controllers have multiple screens on their console, displaying information such as a map view of the aircraft in their sector; flight plans of active and future aircraft; weather and NOTAM[25] information. Co-ordination of aircraft passing into their sector may occur either through verbal communication with another controller or through data messages sent between controllers.

The position of AEM and JQF as they operated under a surveillance service were identified through a combination of secondary surveillance radar (SSR) and ADS-B. Airservices advised that, when SSR information was available, this was the primary source of traffic information displayed to the controller. Additionally, data presented to the controller was only updated every 5 seconds (see the section titled Recorded data).

The controller had the ability to zoom into sections of the airspace on the display. This gave the controller the ability to further inspect information available about each aircraft, including callsign, altitude and flight plan information. The controller used this function to inspect alerts that were generated (see the section titled Short term conflict alert).

Following the accident, Airservices recreated the controller’s display for the period that AEM and JQF were operating in Class G airspace. While this did not replicate where the controller had the information labels[26] placed for each aircraft, it did display the same information as the controller would have seen.

The controller operated with the default display setting, with 2 minute velocity vectors projected ahead of each aircraft in their sector. The vectors were based on the current track of the aircraft, and not on any information included in the flight plan. Therefore, following the departure call from the pilot under examination in JQF, when traffic information about AEM was passed to the occupants of JQF (see the section titled Communication, Melbourne Centre), the vectors indicated that JQF would pass behind AEM (Figure 13). However, this projected information did not consider the flight planned track and the intent of the pilot in JQF to turn and intercept the Mangalore to LACEY track within 5 NM of Mangalore Airport (see the sections titled Flight plans and Pilot Licencing). Unlike the velocity vectors that projected where in space an aircraft would be if they continued on the same track and with the same groundspeed, there was no numerical predictive information provided to the controller relating to the projected altitude of a climbing or descending aircraft in that 2 minute timeframe. If needed, this information had to be determined by the controller through processing a combination of climb or descent arrows, known aircraft performance, flight plan information or speed information.

Short term conflict alert

A short term conflict alert (STCA) is an aural and visual alert received on a controller’s console when two aircraft come within a defined proximity of each other. In describing the intent of the STCA, the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO, 2016) noted:

The objective of the STCA function is to assist the controller in preventing collision between aircraft by generating, in a timely manner, an alert of a potential or actual infringement of separation minima.

In the Australian ATC system STCAs occur in both controlled and non-controlled airspace, with alerts inhibited in some areas. Specifically, Airservices advised that STCAs in Class G airspace are inhibited below 4,500 ft in the Brisbane flight information region[27], but occur to the ground in areas of the Melbourne flight information region.

When two aircraft are assessed by the system as likely to pass within prescribed vertical and lateral parameters in a particular time window, the controller will receive a pop-up window on their display with aircraft details. The parameters for an alert on aircraft in Class G airspace are the same as the parameters for aircraft in an en-route controlled environment. Aircraft operating below FL285, under a surveillance service will generate a STCA if they are projected to pass within 4.8 NM and 600 ft in the next 60-90 seconds.

The STCA only alerts for aircraft operating under a surveillance service. Both AEM and JQF were included in this, as they were both operating under a flight plan, broadcasting ADS-B and SSR data, and had both been positively identified by the controller. Some aircraft, such as 2 VFR aircraft in non‑controlled airspace operating without a submitted flight plan, will not generate a STCA even if a conflict situation develops.

The procedures documented for the response to a STCA did not differentiate between controlled airspace, where a STCA indicates an infringement of separation minima, and non-controlled airspace where there is no published separation minima.

In terms of prioritisation of alerts, the National ATS procedures manual (NAPM) identified the STCA as one of the highest priority alerts, indicating a system detected safety net critical event, requiring immediate attention.

The response procedure for a controller receiving a STCA was:

14.1.3.1    Alert integrity

On receipt of a STCA:

1.     Assess its integrity; and

2.     Issue a ‘Safety Alert’ or ‘Avoiding Action’ advice when appropriate.

The process for ‘assessing integrity’ of a STCA was undefined. Airservices advised the ATSB that it was an assessment based on controller judgement and experience, and there was no documented checklist or criteria that controllers used to complete this assessment. A STCA may be assessed as not having integrity if the procedure of passing mutual traffic information to two aircraft had been completed, and the aircraft were expected to be self-separating on the CTAF.

It was reported by the controller that it was not unusual to receive a STCA in the airspace being controlled after traffic information was passed. This statement was supported by the Airservices accident investigation report, which noted that other controllers operating the same Alpine sector received a high number of nuisance[28] STCAs. These STCAs activated between aircraft in the circuit or between aircraft on diverging tracks or who had already passed each other. It was reported that IFR aircraft in the vicinity of non-controlled aerodromes often pass within the STCA parameters when self‑separating and did not normally need further intervention after traffic information was passed.

After a controller assessed the integrity of a STCA, and determined that escalation was required, the information for controllers in the MATS regarding safety alerts stated:

9.1.4.1     Vigilance

                Remain vigilant for the development of safety alert or traffic avoidance advice situations

9.1.4.2     Responsibility

Do not assume that because another controller has responsibility for an aircraft that an unsafe situation has been observed and a safety alert or traffic avoidance advice has been issued.

9.1.4.3     Issuing a safety alert

Unless the pilot has advised that action is being taken to resolve the situation or that the other aircraft is in sight, issue a safety alert prefixed by the phrase ‘SAFETY ALERT’ when you become aware that an aircraft is in a situation that places it in unsafe proximity to:

a.     Terrain;

b.     Obstruction;

c.     Active restricted or prohibited areas; or

d.     Other aircraft

9.1.4.3.1   Airspace classes – safety alerts

You may issue safety alerts, including those based on visual observation, in all classes of airspace both within and outside ATS surveillance system coverage.

Advice to pilots in AIP GEN 3.3 current at the time of the accident stated:

5.1           ATC will issue a Safety Alert to aircraft, in all classes of airspace, when they become aware that an aircraft is in a situation that is considered to place it in unsafe proximity to:

a.          terrain;

b.          obstruction;

c.          active restricted or prohibited areas; or

d.          other aircraft.

5.1.1         When providing an ATS surveillance service, ATC will issue advice to pilots regarding avoiding action as a priority, when they become aware than an aircraft is in a situation that is considered to place it at risk of collision with another aircraft.

5.1.2         ATC will prefix advice to turn or change level with “suggest” unless the alerts are for controlled flights with reference to other controlled flights.

5.1.3         ATC may discontinue issuing Safety Alerts or advice regarding avoiding action when the pilot has advised action is being taken to resolve the situation or has reported the other aircraft in sight.


The AIP guidance for safety alerts stated that pilots would receive a safety alert whenever two aircraft were deemed by a controller to come within an unsafe proximity of each other, whether in controller or non-controlled airspace. When the combination of the MATS and NAPM guidance was followed after receipt of a STCA, a safety alert may not be issued if the controller deemed other risk controls were in place such that the proximity was safe. However, the guidance did not preclude a safety alert being issued when a controller deemed it necessary after a STCA, or at any other time.

There was no definition for what ‘unsafe proximity’ between aircraft was when operating in non‑controlled airspace under pilot separation as there was no separation standard in non‑controlled airspace. Further, when pilots were in the vicinity of a CTAF and had been provided traffic information, there was an expectation from controllers that the pilots were in radio contact with each other and self-separating.

The information in MATS regarding traffic avoidance advice was:

9.1.4.4      Traffic avoidance advice

Issue traffic avoidance advice, prefixed by the phrase ‘AVOIDING ACTION’, to an aircraft that:

a.     Is receiving an ATS surveillance service; and

b.     In your judgement, is in a situation that places it at risk of a collision with another aircraft under surveillance.

In the time between JQF taking off and the collision, there were three STCA alerts generated (Figure 12).

Figure 12: STCA activation and vertical profiles of AEM and JQF

picture12-ao-2020-012.jpg

Source: Airservices

Notes:

  • Callsigns of other aircraft redacted. Controller was actively communicating with either pilots or other controllers at these times.
  • ASD is an abbreviation for ‘Air Situation Display’, meaning the controller display.
  • Times on the graph are displayed in UTC (local time – 11 hours at the time of the accident).
  • Data is displayed in graph in 3 second intervals and is not representative of the 5 second intervals that the controller display was updated with.​

On the basis of analysis conducted by an ATC subject matter expert and technical detail provided by Airservices, it was assessed that:

  • The first STCA, at 1122:42, was a nuisance alert generated by JQF conflicting with VFR traffic in the Mangalore circuit area.
  • A second STCA, at 1122:49, occurred as the controller passed traffic information to JQF (Figure 13). At that stage, indications were that the aircraft would pass abeam each other. The STCA was assessed by the controller but not cleared from the screen at this point.
  • The controller re-inspected the two aircraft at 1123:30 after JQF had turned towards the planned outbound track. The velocity vectors indicated that lateral displacement would be maintained, with JQF passing behind AEM in about one minute. At that time, the controller’s display showed AEM at 4,800 ft while JQF was at 3,400ft.

A final STCA alert occurred at 1123:51. The controller zoomed in to inspect the aircraft flight paths and altitudes again and acknowledged the STCA at 1124:09. The controller identified that JQF was going to pass across the track of AEM, but at that time, 11 seconds prior to the collision, indications on the controller’s display showed AEM at 4,500 ft and JQF at 4,000 ft, with 0.9 NM lateral separation between the aircraft.

Figure 13: Recreation of STCA display at 1122:49

picture13-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Airservices data, annotated by the ATSB

Note: Not to scale or necessarily representative of how the controller had the labels configured.

When each of the STCAs displayed, the controller assessed the integrity of the alert in accordance with the NAPM procedure. The controller reported checking the path of each aircraft using the set velocity vectors, the vertical separation of the aircraft, and confirming that traffic information about each aircraft had been passed to the other aircraft. Having assessed that the aircraft would pass each other and:

  • the STCA was designed as an alert for a breakdown in separation standards
  • there was no set separation standard in non-controlled airspace
  • the pilots were responsible for their own separation

they decided that a safety alert or traffic avoidance advice was not required, and cleared the aural alert.

Radio communication

Common traffic advisory frequency

Table 3 shows the guidance provided by CASA (2019) to pilots on the recommended CTAF broadcasts in the vicinity of a non‑controlled aerodrome.

Table 3: Recommended positional broadcasts in the vicinity of a non-controlled aerodrome

table-3-ao-2020-012.png

Source: CASA (2019)[29]

In addition to this guidance, the En-Route Supplement Australia (ERSA)[30] identified a local procedure for pilots to make a report about intentions when conducting practice instrument approaches at Mangalore (see the section titled Practice instrument approaches). The ERSA also noted the following minimum number of radio calls for aircraft operating at Mangalore:

Taxiing, entering (a runway), departing: Inbound, Joining, Base and Final with position, altitude and intentions.

Note: Pilots must respond to radio requests from other traffic for their intentions, position or altitude.

Based on evidence provided by other students trained by the instructor, due to the higher performance of the Travel Air, the instructor encouraged students to make their inbound CTAF call around 15 NM from the airport. The operator of JQF advised that they had a similar procedure to make CTAF broadcasts around 15 NM from Mangalore Airport.

Radio transmissions on the Mangalore Airport common traffic advisory frequency (CTAF) were not recorded, nor were they required to be. Several witnesses stated the CTAF was often congested, but due to the weather at the time of the accident, there was limited flight training and so the CTAF was not as busy.

The ATSB interviewed the pilots operating in the Mangalore area at the time of the accident regarding calls made from the pilots of AEM and JQF. None recalled the pilots of AEM and JQF talking to each other to arrange separation. Various pilots recalled a pilot in JQF making a rolling call, and a departure from the circuit call, and one pilot remembered details of an inbound call made by a pilot of AEM, including mention of an altitude of 3,900 ft.

The CTAF frequency at Mangalore was not equipped with an aerodrome frequency response unit (AFRU)[31]. There was no evidence to suggest either aircraft had selected the incorrect radio frequency or that an AFRU would have changed the sequence of events. The radios installed in AEM were too damaged to be analysed, but notes found in the aircraft, and details provided by another pilot about an inbound call from AEM, indicated it was likely that AEM broadcast on the correct CTAF frequency.

The two radios from JQF were recovered and analysed by the ATSB. One was set to the Melbourne Centre frequency and the other to the Mangalore CTAF. The audio panel configuration was found in a position consistent with the pilots of JQF either broadcasting or intending to broadcast on the CTAF.

Melbourne Centre

The required radio reports for IFR pilots operating in Class G airspace are listed in the AIP (Table 4). Transmissions between each aircraft and the controller were made on the ATS Melbourne Centre 122.4 MHz frequency and were recorded.

Table 4: Required reports for IFR pilots operating in Class G airspace

table-4-ao-2020-012.png

Source: AIP

Table 5 outlines the communications that occurred between each of the aircraft and the controller providing traffic information (see the section titled The occurrence). A review of the radio recordings confirmed that the pilot of JQF made taxi and departure calls to Melbourne Centre. The student in AEM also made the appropriate calls when changing to the Melbourne Centre frequency and before changing level, when they started the descent from 6,000 ft into Mangalore.

Table 5: Key traffic information on Melbourne Centre frequency

Time start

(* indicates approximate time)

Time end

(* indicates approximate time)

AircraftComment
1111:211111:32JQFTaxi call
1117:421117:55AEMInitial contact with controller on entry to airspace. Area QNH provided and advice of no reported IFR traffic.
1119:351119:54AEMController contacted with information about commencing descent from 6,000 ft and establishing a SAR time for airwork in the Mangalore area. Advice of no reported IFR traffic provided by the controller.
1120:0711:20:08AEMController called the pilots of AEM to pass traffic. No response received.
1120:151120:28AEMController again called the pilots of AEM. Pilot responded and traffic information about JQF shortly to depart Mangalore was passed and acknowledged.
11:22:191123:00JQF

Departure report to controller. Information was provided that the aircraft was passing 2,700 ft on climb to 7,000 ft and tracking to LACEY. Controller advised the pilots that AEM was inbound to Mangalore in JQF’s 12 o’clock position, for airwork, passing 5,000 ft on descent to not above 4,000 ft.

During this conversation a STCA for proximity between AEM and JQF activated and was acknowledged by the controller.

1123:511124:09 STCA for AEM and JQF. Controller zoomed in on screen and acknowledged the STCA at 1124:09.
1124:20  Approximate time of collision

Source: Airservices, annotated by the ATSB

A review conducted by Airservices following the accident concluded that both aircraft were provided with, and acknowledged receipt of, mutual traffic that contained all relevant information. They also assessed that pilot communications with the controller were generally consistent with the AIP phraseology and the required content was included in the transmissions. A subject matter expert was independently asked by the ATSB to review the recordings and confirmed that the controller provided traffic in accordance with the procedures in the AIP and MATS.

Figure 14 details analysis conducted by the ATSB of ADS-B data and Melbourne Centre recordings provided by Airservices.

Figure 14: Approximate timeline of transmissions and key actions from 1117 to the collision

picture14-ao-2020-012.png

Source: ATSB, based on data provided by Airservices

Note: Radio transmissions on the Melbourne Centre frequency were recorded so correspond to exact times (see Table 5). The ATSB calculated data is based on ADS-B data. Due to a lack of available information, the following assumptions were made:

  • The start of the JQF take off, at 1120:00 corresponds to the first recorded ADS-B point, which occurred when the aircraft was approximately one third down the runway and around 50ft above the runway. It is likely that the pilot’s rolling call, and the start of the take-off roll occurred some seconds before this time. The time from application of power to attaining a height of 50ft has been estimated to be 20-25 seconds.
  • The pilots of AEM had a number of opportunities to listen to the Automated Weather Information Service (AWIS)[1] – before and after the descent call to the Melbourne Centre controller at 1119:35. As the aircraft was fitted with two radios, the pilots would likely have selected the AWIS frequency instead of the CTAF for the period of time required. This means they were unable to monitor the CTAF for this time period. A previous student of the instructor described setting up the AWIS frequency in the cruise so that it could be listened to as soon as it came into range, and before top of descent.

When the pilot under examination in JQF made a taxi report at 1111, AEM was not yet in the controller’s airspace. Therefore, at that point AEM was not assessed as conflicting traffic and so no information was provided to the pilots of JQF. Additionally, the expected arrival time of AEM at Mangalore was outside the 10-minute window to be considered arriving ‘traffic’ for JQF in accordance with the guidance provided in AIP GEN 3.3 paragraph 2.16.4c for non-surveillance traffic. The controller indicated awareness of this in interview with the ATSB.

AEM was not given traffic information about JQF when they first called the Melbourne Centre controller at 1117, or initially at 1119 when calling to notify their descent. While JQF had made the taxi call to Melbourne Centre by that time, JQF had not appeared on the controller’s screen as a prompt at that point.

However, the controller did identify JQF as potential traffic for AEM by 1120:07 and called the pilot of AEM. The pilot did not initially respond to this call, however, they did respond to a second call from the controller a short time later at 1120:15. It could not be determined why the pilot did not respond to the initial call, but consideration was given to whether the pilots were listening to the automated weather information services (AWIS) (see the section titled Meteorological information) or making an inbound call on the CTAF as at this point they were about 18 NM from Mangalore. The information given to the pilots of AEM was that JQF was shortly to depart Mangalore southbound via LACEY on climb to 7,000 ft.

Analysis of high-resolution ADS-B information identified that JQF’s take‑off coincided with the pilots of AEM’s call to Melbourne Centre to inform of their descent into Mangalore for airwork. This timing suggests that the pilots of JQF were unlikely to have been actively monitoring transmissions on the Melbourne Centre frequency at this time, including advice of AEM’s descent, due to their focus on the take-off.

AEM reached 15 NM from Mangalore at around 1120:30, just as they finished receiving traffic information from the Melbourne Centre controller. This is the position that previous students of the instructor identified that the instructor encouraged students to make their inbound call. The aircraft reached 10 NM around 1122:30 (Figure 14), which is the latest point the student should have made an inbound call-in accordance with expected CTAF procedures. It is therefore likely that an inbound CTAF broadcast was made during this 2-minute time period. Significantly, that time interval coincided with the time that JQF was in the initial climb, and making a departure call to Melbourne Centre. Therefore, it is possible that the pilots of JQF did not hear this inbound call, nor the pilots of AEM hear the CTAF circuit departure call or the Melbourne Centre departure call from JQF.

AIP GEN 3.4 paragraph 6.16.8 contained information about the standard phraseology expected from pilots making reports after take‑off in particular operating environments. The standard phraseology for a departure report made from a non-controlled aerodrome in a non‑surveillance environment was:

DEPARTED (location)(time in minutes) TRACKING [TO INTERCEPT] (track) CLIMBING TO (intended level) ESTIMATING (first reporting point) AT (time)

The standard departure report phraseology from non-controlled aerodromes under surveillance when notifying departure and identification was expected with the departure report was:

(location reference departure aerodrome) PASSING (current level) CLIMBING TO (intended level) ESTIMATING (first reporting point) AT (time)

AIP ENR 1.1 paragraph 10.6.4 also includes the information

If the pilot transmits the departure report before intercepting the departure track the report must include advice that the aircraft is manoeuvring to intercept departure track.

Radio communication between the Melbourne Centre controller and the pilot under examination in JQF after take‑off was as follows:

 1122:19JQF to ML CentreMelbourne Centre, juliet quebec foxtrot departure
 1122:22ML Centre to JQFjuliet quebec foxtrot’s identified, verify level with departure
 1122:27JQF to ML Centrejuliet quebec foxtrot departure at Mangalore two three passing two thousand seven hundred on climb to seven thousand tracking to LACEY, Mangalore.          
 1122:37ML Centre to JQF  juliet quebec foxtrot area QNH one zero one zero


      (Note this call was interrupted internally by another Melbourne controller)

 1122:41JQF to ML CentreOne zero one zero, juliet quebec foxtrot
 1122:44ML Centre to JQFAnd juliet quebec foxtrot, traffic six [nautical] miles in your 12 o’clock is alpha echo mike a king air, they’re inbound to Mangalore for airwork, passing five thousand on descent to not above four thousand.
 1123:00JQF to ML Centre

Copy (unintelligible) traffic juliet quebec foxtrot.

 


While the controller positively identified JQF, the statement made was by the pilots of JQF that they were tracking to LACEY, without the specific information that they were  tracking to intercept the IFR airway from Mangalore to LACEY (Figure 10). Additionally, it did not include detail of the position of JQF with reference to Mangalore, which at the time of the departure report was about 2.2 NM south-south‑west of the airport. While it could not be determined whether the pilots of AEM heard this departure report, the information had the potential to provide them with an incorrect mental model of the aircraft’s relative position. The Airservices investigation report identified that at this time the two aircraft had 8.6 NM lateral separation, and 2,600 ft vertical separation.

There was also a discrepancy with the traffic information, in referencing AEM as a King Air rather than a Travel Air. However, that was unlikely to have had a significant impact on the understanding of the presence of traffic, or its performance, as the groundspeed of AEM was similar to the approach speed of the type of King Air that frequented Mangalore Airport.

Based on the information presented by the velocity vectors, when giving this traffic information the controller judged that JQF would pass behind AEM.

While it would not be expected, as traffic self-separation broadcasts would generally be made on the CTAF, a review of the recording confirmed that neither aircraft attempted to contact the other using the Melbourne Centre frequency.

A review of the air traffic control recordings and transcripts indicated that between 1123:12 and 1124:08, the controller was actively engaged with other aircraft, or co-ordinating aircraft with another controller. It was during this time that the final STCA for the two aircraft occurred.

Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast

Overview

ICAO (2018) defined Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) as:

A means by which aircraft, aerodrome vehicles and other objects can automatically transmit and/or receive data such as identification, position and additional data, as appropriate, in a broadcast mode via a data link.

ADS-B uses the GNSS for positioning. ADS-B data can be both broadcast (ADS-B OUT) and received (ADS-B IN).

Under Civil Aviation Orders 20.18, both AEM and JQF were required to be fitted with ADS-B OUT equipment to operate under the IFR. Both aircraft were fitted with transponders that complied with this requirement.

To provide an ADS-B based surveillance service, Airservices has a range of ground-based ADS-B receivers. The resulting ADS-B coverage at an altitude of 5,000 ft across Australia is shown in Figure 15. Mangalore Airport was within the coverage area at this altitude. ADS-B coverage improves as altitude increases, and at 30,000 ft almost all flights within Australia can be conducted under an ADS-B surveillance service.

Figure 15: ADS-B coverage at 5,000 ft across Australia

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Source: Google Earth and Airservices, annotated by the ATSB.

Cockpit traffic display

Neither aircraft was fitted with a system to receive ADS-B information directly from other aircraft, nor were they required to be. As such, all the positional guidance the pilots had about other traffic was received from the controller and via any received radio broadcasts.

It is possible to receive ADS-B information from other aircraft directly into an aircraft. Aircraft that are fitted with such a receiver (ADS-B IN) can be configured with a cockpit display of traffic information (CDTI) to identify where other aircraft are relative to their position.

CDTI may give an image of the traffic over a moving map or directional guidance about the location of other aircraft. Some of these systems are also able to provide audible and visual alerts to pilots about identified traffic risks.

The CASA CNS/ATM guide (2017) identified some limitations with cockpit displays:

CDTIs will help you spot other ADS-B traffic more easily by showing you where to look. However:

-     Depending on the unit’s filtering capability, your CDTI might not show all ADS-B traffic

-     CDTIs will not display non-ADS-B traffic

-     Don’t try to second-guess ATC instructions with CDTI information

-     Do not attempt to take evasive action, or to separate your aircraft from other traffic, using a CDTI. It is there to enhance situational awareness, not to replace separation procedures.

Cockpit display of traffic information does not replace see-and-avoid. You still have to look out the window for other traffic.

Electronic flight bag

The student pilot in AEM was using ‘AvPlan’ electronic flight bag (EFB)[33] software installed on an iPad. In addition to the EFB, this pilot was also carrying a paper flight plan and set of relevant approach charts.

AvPlan has an option to display traffic information overlayed on the map display.

Traffic information can be obtained either by:

  • having an external ADS-B receiver attached
  • using the ‘AvPlan live’ feature.

Use of the AvPlan live traffic information system required the live tracking feature to be turned on, a data connection and a connection to a GPS position. The iPad in AEM was fitted with a SIM card capable of providing the required data connection to AvPlan live, but was not fitted with an external ADS-B receiver. The AvPlan user manual identified that traffic displayed using the AvPlan live function was from:

…other connected airborne AvPlan EFB users, a network of ADS-B ground receivers, and FLARM[34] ground receivers.

Data displayed using AvPlan live was updated every 5 seconds, rather than every second when an ADS-B receiver was attached. The software had no capability to identify aircraft using other EFB software, or non-ADS-B equipped aircraft. The AvPlan user manual noted:

Note that this traffic is a great start for situational awareness, however it does not include all traffic. Always be on the lookout/maintaining a listening watch for traffic.

Due to the damage to the tablet sustained in the impact, it was not possible to recover data from the iPad to determine whether the traffic information overlay display was selected at the time of the collision.

The ADS-B ground receiver network used by AvPlan for traffic information was not the same as the network used by Airservices for receiving ADS-B data, and there was limited coverage for the AvPlan network in the Mangalore area. Information provided by AvPlan after the accident identified that aircraft in the approximate location of the collision, 5 NM south of Mangalore airport, were not visible as traffic on AvPlan below approximately 4,900 ft. Therefore, as the pilots in JQF were not carrying an AvPlan‑connected iPad and it was unlikely that the AvPlan ADS-B ground network received broadcasts from JQF it is probable that JQF would not have appeared as traffic on the iPad used in AEM, even if the traffic information overlay had been selected.

The use of an external ADS-B receiver significantly increases the frequency of updated traffic information and receives ADS-B broadcasts directly from ADS-B OUT equipped aircraft within range of the receiver. Information from the AvPlan user manual stated:

When AvPlan EFB is connected to an ADS-B receiver, traffic as far as the receiver can observe will be displayed. Traffic sources from the receiver will be coloured green to allow quick identification of a traffic target’s source. No height or distance limitations are placed on traffic delivered by an attached device. Traffic received via this method is updated once every second”.

At the time of the accident, neither AvPlan nor OzRunways, another Australian EFB provider, provided audible alerts about proximal traffic, although at the time of writing AvPlan offered this feature.

Collision avoidance systems

ADS-B also has the ability to feed into an aircraft collision avoidance system (ACAS). Neither aircraft were required to have ACAS fitted.

In describing ACAS, the ICAO (2021) stated:

The objective of airborne collision avoidance systems (ACAS) is to provide advice to pilots for the purpose of avoiding potential collisions….

ACAS has been designed to provide a back-up collision avoidance service for the existing conventional air traffic control (ATC) system while minimizing unwanted alarms in encounters for which the collision risk does not warrant escape manoeuvres. The operation of ACAS is not dependent upon any ground-based system.

By providing pilots with visual information about where other aircraft are operating in their proximity, pilots are able to make more timely decisions based on displayed information and take avoiding action, thereby reducing the risk of collision.

At present in Australia, there are no regulatory requirements for aircraft of the size and operational category involved in this accident to have any form of ACAS fitted to the aircraft.

In 1991 the Bureau of Air Safety Investigation (the predecessor to ATSB) issued the Civil Aviation Authority (the predecessor to CASA) with a recommendation that:

In light of the serious limitations of the see-and-avoid concept, the CAA should closely monitor the implementation of TCAS[35] in the US and should consider the system for Australia.

In 1998, CASA accepted this recommendation and stated the system would be introduced when cost effective.

Under the current regulations in Australia, an approved ACAS must be fitted any turbine-engine aeroplanes operating under Part 121 (Australian Air Transport Operations – Larger Aeroplanes) that:

Paragraph 11.21

a. Either:

   i.          has a maximum take-off weight of more than 15,000kg; or

   ii.         has a maximum certificated passenger seating capacity of more than 30; or

b. Is first registered, in Australia or elsewhere, on or after 1 January 2014, and:

   i.          has a maximum take-off weight of more than 5,700 kg but not more than 15,000kg; or

   ii.         has a maximum certificated passenger seating capacity of more than 19 but not more than 30.

Aircraft operating under Part 135 (Australian Air Transport Operations – Smaller Aeroplanes) must be fitted with an approved ACAS if they are turbine-engined, have a maximum take-off weight of more than 5,700kg and was first issued with a certificate of airworthiness on, or after, 1 January 2014. There are no regulations requiring fitment of an ACAS to aircraft equivalent to AEM and JQF.

Meteorological information

Forecast weather

The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) produced a terminal area forecast (TAF)[36] for Mangalore Airport and the surrounding area, and a graphical area forecast (GAF)[37] for Victoria. The forecast conditions at the time of the accident included scattered cloud at 2,500 ft AMSL[38] and between 3,500 ft and 6,000 ft AMSL. Visibility was forecast to be greater than 10 km, and the wind from the south‑west (230°) at 15 knots at ground level, with gusts up to 25 knots. The grid-point wind and temperature forecast listed the wind at 5,000 ft as from 210° at 32 kt.

Actual weather

The Aerodrome weather report (METAR/SPECI) issued at 1130, 6 minutes after the collision, identified the presence of three cloud layers - broken layers at 3,000 ft and 3,700 ft AMSL[38] and an overcast layer at 4,500 ft.

At the time of the accident, the automatic weather service (AWS) at Mangalore Airport recorded two cloud layers: one scattered at about 3,500 ft AMSL[38] and a second broken layer at 4,200 ft (about the collision altitude).

Three photographic sources were also reviewed to assess the likely cloud conditions at the time of the accident. Figure 16 identifies the locations where these images were recorded.

Figure 16: Location of photographic sources used in the cloud assessment

picture16-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Google Earth, annotated by the ATSB

Figure 17 shows an image recorded by a BoM weather camera at Kilmore Gap (elevation 1,731 ft), looking north towards Mangalore Airport at the time of the collision.

Figure 17: Weather camera image from Kilmore Gap facing towards Mangalore Airport

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Source: BoM

A similar image was recorded at Wahring Field (elevation 410 ft) looking in a south-east direction at 1120 (Figure 18)

Figure 18: Weather camera at Wahring Field

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Source: BoM

Video imagery recorded by the Victoria Police Air Wing (Figure 19) near the accident site at 1240, 1 hour and 16 minutes after the accident showed a broken layer of cloud at approximately 4,050 ft AMSL with some lower patches of cloud also present. This is just below the approximate height of the collision (4,100 ft)

Figure 19: View of cloud from the Victoria Police Air Wing helicopter

picture19-ao-2020-012.png

Source: Victoria Police

The observed cloud conditions were marginally poorer than forecast, but still suitable for the flights. The observations show scattered, broken and overcast cloud layers with bases below, at, and above the collision altitude.

Information from the automatic weather service was available to pilots on an aerodrome weather information service (AWIS) radio frequency. It is likely that the pilots of AEM checked this information before making their inbound CTAF call.

Recognising that both the aircraft were operating under the IFR, AIP ENR 1.2 defined the criteria required for pilots to maintain visual meteorological conditions (VMC) (Table 6).

Table 6: Criteria to maintain VMC in Class G airspace

table-6-ao-2020-012.png

At the time of the collision a scattered cloud layer was observed at Mangalore Airport at 3,500 ft and a broken layer at 4,200 ft, encompassing the collision altitude. However, just 6 minutes after the accident the lower cloud layer was observed to be broken. The later Police video showed that the broken cloud base was about 4,000 ft with some lower patches. The observations recorded over the time between the accident and the Police helicopter arriving indicated the weather remained similar, with only a slight increase in cloud base of about 100 ft.

Therefore, at the time of the collision, the aircraft were probably near a layer of scattered to broken cloud, and just below a further broken to overcast cloud layer. Consequently, as AEM descended it is probable that the aircraft was surrounded by cloud until passing through about 4,500 ft. While the aircraft may not have been in cloud at the time of the collision, the extensive surrounding cloud would have reduced conditions to significantly below VMC, reducing the opportunity for visual acquisition by any of the pilots.

Aerodrome information

Overview

Mangalore Airport has an elevation of 467 ft. The airport has four paved runways – 05/23 and 18/36[39]. At the time of the accident, runway 23 was in use. The airport is used for a variety of general aviation purposes, including a high volume of ab-initio pilot training. There are no scheduled regular public transport operations to the airport.

There was no specific data collected by the airport about the number of aircraft using Mangalore Airport however, the CASA Office of Airspace Regulation (OAR) provided the ATSB with the traffic information used for monitoring risk at Mangalore airport, which was provided to them by Airservices. This traffic information is summarised in Table 7 (see the section titled Airspace oversight).

Table 7: Mangalore Airport movement data

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Source: CASA

Local flight procedures

The ERSA current at the time of the accident included a number of notes that identified several local flight procedures for the airport. Three of these were applicable to the operations of AEM and JQF. The procedure requiring additional radio calls above the standard requirements at non-controlled aerodromes has been previously discussed (see the section titled Common traffic advisory frequency)

Practice instrument approaches

Note 2 stated:

Except as required during instrument rating tests, pilots making practice instrument approaches should add 1,000 ft to the altitude prescribed in the approach to reduce interference with Mangalore AD circuit traffic. Such flights must broadcast their intentions, including altitude limits of OPS. Similarly, pilots making instrument approaches in IMC on encountering VMC are required to remain as high as practicable and join the circuit in the standard manner.

Records from CASA indicated that this local procedure first appeared in the Mangalore ERSA in July 1997. The airport manager provided information to the ATSB that this procedure was requested by a flying school to assist with the separation of instrument approach traffic from circuit traffic. Airservices and CASA were unable to provide any further background about this procedure.

This procedure is not unique to Mangalore Airport, the ERSA also described similar local procedures at Ballarat, Busselton, and Latrobe Valley airports. In a review of Ballarat Airspace published in August 2017, OAR received stakeholder feedback that IFR training aircraft were incorrectly approaching Ballarat without the required additional 1,000 ft of height stated in the ERSA. In response, OAR made a recommendation that:

CASA should provide specific information to IFR pilots that frequent Ballarat about the additional 1,000 ft procedure.

Interviews conducted by the ATSB established that the two operators involved in this accident interpreted and applied this ERSA local procedure differently. Specifically:

  • Previous students of the instructor in AEM applied 1,000 ft to the minimum decision altitude only, flying the approach as published and discontinuing early.
  • The operator of JQF stated that they required pilots to add 1,000 ft to all heights identified on the chart. However, they stated that while they were aware that the two largest flying schools using Mangalore Airport applied it this way, there were other operators that applied the procedure the same way as the operator of AEM.

When the ATSB requested clarification about the intention of the wording of the procedure, CASA advised that:

This procedure is to be applied by adding the 1,000 ft to all waypoints and the MDA.

Landing lights

Note 3 stated:

It is recommended that all ACFT shall illuminated LDG and taxi lights WI a 10 NM radius of the airport and when established in the circuit.

Due to the extent of damage, investigators were unable to determine whether AEM had landing lights switched on. Examination of JQF identified the landing lights were switched on at the time of impact however, it is also noted that landing lights have a relatively narrow beam and therefore are only visible from the frontal aspect of an aircraft.

Recorded data

Neither aircraft was equipped with a flight data recorder or a cockpit voice recorder, nor were they required to be, due to their size and type of operation. In January 2021, the ATSB issued a safety recommendation to CASA (Safety issue number AO-2017-118-SI-03) recommending the consideration of mandating the fitting of onboard recording devices for passenger-carrying aircraft with a maximum take-off weight less than 5,700 kg. A second recommendation (Safety issue number AO-2017-118-SI-04) was also made to the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO):

The Australian Transport Safety Bureau recognises that the International Civil Aviation Organization has developed technical standards for lightweight recorders and airborne image recorders. However, despite the known benefits for the identification of safety issues, the fitment of such devices for passenger-carrying aircraft with a maximum take-off weight less than 5,700 kg is not mandated. The Australian Transport Safety Bureau recommends that the International Civil Aviation Organization takes safety action to consider the safety enhancement of these devices to passenger-carrying operations.

Airservices provided the ATSB with two sources of data relating to the accident flight:

  • Filtered ADS-B and radar data showing the aircraft as they appeared on the controller’s display. This data was filtered to approximately 5 second intervals.
  • Raw ADS-B data captured from the ADS-B receivers. This information captured the ADS-B out data from each aircraft at intervals of less than 1 second. This data was not available to the controller at the time, but has been used for the aircraft performance and visibility study (see the section titled Aircraft performance and cockpit visibility study)

Flight data received from the EFB used by the student in AEM was also provided by AvPlan. This ADS-B data matched the data provided by Airservices.

No data was recoverable from any of the instruments on board either aircraft.

Flight path data

The raw ADS-B data was analysed to determine how the two aircraft came together. The data indicated that approximately 0.55 seconds before the collision AEM was on a true heading of 352° and JQF on a true heading of 132°, giving a relative heading angle of 140° (Figure 20). At this time JQF and AEM were estimated to be at the same level, 4,125ft, with JQF maintaining altitude and AEM descending on approach to Mangalore (Figure 21, Figure 22). The groundspeeds of JQF and AEM, considering all available wind information and limitations in the ADS-B data, were around 94 kt and 192 kt respectively with a closing speed just prior to the collision of approximately 245 kt.

The data for AEM showed very little variation in track and the data for JQF showed a slow turn towards the flight planned track to LACEY. Based on the lack of rapid or pronounced change in the aircrafts’ flight paths it is unlikely that an evasive manoeuvre was initiated by the pilots in either aircraft. Figure 22 shows the total separation, including both lateral and vertical components, of AEM and JQF after the time of JQF’s take-off from Mangalore. This illustrates that the two aircraft remained on a collision course for most of the flight.

It should be noted that this data was not available to the controller at the time of collision. However, this information would have been available to the pilots of AEM and JQF had both aircraft been fitted with additional ADS-B IN technology.

Figure 20: Aircraft position for AEM and JQF

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Source: ATSB, based on data provided by Airservices.

Note: Due to wind, the angle of approach (track angle) will appear smaller than the angle of collision (heading angle).

Figure 21: Vertical profile and timeline for AEM and JQF

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Source: ATSB, based on data provided by Airservices.

Figure 22: Total separation between AEM and JQF in nautical miles

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Source: ATSB, based on data provided by Airservices.

Wreckage and impact information

Overview

Following the mid-air collision, JQF continued for about 0.5 km before impacting an open field, while AEM continued in a northerly direction and impacted a lightly wooded area about 1.4 km from the collision point (Figure 23).

Airborne debris liberated in the collision formed a further wreckage field about 1.6 km to the north-north-east of the collision point and about 200 m to the west of the Hume Highway. The debris field contained parts of both aircraft, including the front section of JQF’s right wing, and the instrument panel coaming from AEM.

Inspection of both aircraft identified paint transfer from the other aircraft. A blue paint transfer was noted on the instrument coaming of AEM, indicating that the right wing of JQF had passed through the cabin area of AEM. After contact between the two aircraft, JQF likely lost a section of the right wing outboard of the engine nacelle, which was the piece found separate from the two aircraft.

Figure 23: Locations of collision, AEM, JQF and debris field

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Source: Google Earth and Airservices, annotated by the ATSB.

VH-AEM site

The Travel Air was found in a significantly disrupted state, and it was not possible to conduct an extensive examination of the engines and aircraft control systems.

From observations of the wreckage and damage to nearby trees and ground scars, it was established that the aircraft collided with the ground in a wings-level but steep, inverted attitude. The aircraft passed through the tree canopy and collided with flat ground, the right wing impacted the base of a large tree, a post, and a fence. The wreckage trail was on a heading of 355⁰, just right of the aircraft’s track prior to the collision, with the wreckage spread along a 30‑metre path, from the initial impact point to the resting position of the aircraft.

The examination of the airframe and engine systems did not identify any pre-existing defects likely to have contributed to the accident. Flight data showed the aircraft was descending in a stable attitude, until the mid-air collision. Site inspection indicated that the landing gear and flaps were retracted at impact with the ground.

VH-JQF site

Witnesses reported seeing JQF in a spinning descent prior to the collision with terrain, which is supported by the wreckage examination. The aircraft impacted terrain in a relatively flat attitude.

The examination of the airframe and engine systems did not identify any pre-existing defects likely to have contributed to the accident. Flight data showed the aircraft was level immediately prior to the mid-air collision.

All components of JQF were accounted for at the accident site with the exception of some of the right-wing sections, which were located in the debris field to the north of JQF’s location, and the right aileron mass balance weight, which was located inside the wreckage of AEM.

The collision

Analysis of the wreckage from each aircraft indicated that the two aircraft came together at an obtuse relative angle with JQF crossing over the top of the AEM (Figure 24).

Figure 24: Estimated collision aspect based on ADS-B data and wreckage assessment

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Source: ATSB.

Airspace oversight

Under the Airspace Act 2007, CASA, through their OAR was responsible for regulation of all Australian airspace. This included the classification of airspace.

Section 13 of the Airspace Act 2007 specified that:

(1)   CASA has the function of conducting regular reviews of the existing classifications of volumes of Australian-administered airspace in order to determine whether those classifications are appropriate.

(2)   CASA has the function of conducting regular reviews of the existing services and facilities provided by the providers of air navigation services in relation to particular volumes of Australian-administered airspace in order to determine whether those services and facilities are appropriate.

(3)   CASA has the function of conducting regular reviews of Australian-administered airspace generally in order to identify risk factors and to determine whether there is safe and efficient use of that airspace and equitable access to that airspace for all users of that airspace.

The Australian Airspace Policy Statement 2018 outlined the process for reviewing the classification of a volume of airspace at an aerodrome. The thresholds set for conducting an airspace review were based on a set number of either total annual:

  • aircraft movements;
  • public transport operation movements; or
  • public transport operation passengers.

If an airport met or exceeded any of the thresholds for a classification (Table 8), in line with the policy CASA should complete an airspace review of the particular volume of airspace. The purpose of a review was to determine whether the airspace classification was appropriate and whether additional air traffic services was required, considering public, industry and agency comments, forecast future traffic levels, and any other significant risk mitigators.

Table 8: Airspace review criteria thresholds

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Source: Australian Government (2018)

There were no requirements for the review of airspace where aircraft movements or passenger numbers did not meet the thresholds identified, however there was a provision in the Australian Airspace Policy Statement 2018, which stated that:

These criteria do not preclude CASA examining the requirement for airspace changes at other aerodrome locations should CASA consider such examinations is required, for example, on risk of safety grounds.

The available information on recorded aircraft movements and passenger numbers at Mangalore Airport (see the section titled Aerodrome information) did not reach the thresholds for the conduct of an airspace review.

Outside the formal review system, the OAR conducted risk assessments on numerous  aerodromes and their surrounding airspace. Records provided by CASA indicated that, prior to this accident, these assessments for Mangalore were last conducted in May 2018 and July 2019. Comments associated with these reviews indicated an awareness that the data quality about the known movements was poor, and that there were fluctuations associated with a low number of aircraft movements, and that there has been an increase in Seminole and King Air operations which CASA attributed to training flights.

At the time of the accident, the OAR had not conducted a formal review of the airspace around Mangalore. A 2011 study of the Melbourne airspace noted that Mangalore had a high level of aviation activity, but was outside the scope of the study. CASA launched an aeronautical study of the Mangalore airspace in September 2021. The results of this review had not been released at the time of publication of this report.

The Australian Airspace Policy Statement was updated in November 2021. This update removed the prescriptive thresholds for a review, and instead moved towards risk-based assessments.

Mid-air collisions

See and avoid

In non-controlled airspace, pilots rely on the use of the rules of the air and see-and-avoid to maintain separation from other aircraft sharing the airspace. The limitations of see-and-avoid principle are well published.

The 1991 ATSB report ‘Limitations of the See-and-Avoid Principle’ is cited extensively in pilot guidance by CASA and foreign regulators and investigators. The paper identified a number of factors that influence the ability for a pilot to see-and-avoid other aircraft. It includes the statement that:

See-and-avoid can be considered to involve a number of steps. First, and most obviously, the pilot must look outside the aircraft.

Second, the pilot must search the available visual field and detect objects of interest, most likely in peripheral vision.

Next, the object must be looked at directly to be identified as an aircraft. If the aircraft is identified as a collision threat, the pilot must decide what evasive action to take. Finally, the pilot must make the necessary control movements and allow the aircraft to respond.

Not only does the whole process take valuable time, but human factors at various stages in the process can reduce the chance that a threat aircraft will be seen and successfully evaded. These human factors are not ‘errors’ nor are they signs of ‘poor airmanship’. They are limitations of the human visual and information processing system which are present to various degrees in all pilots’.

It is likely that the cloud present on the day affected the ability of the pilots to see the approaching aircraft. However, even without this cloud, the ATSB paper identified additional limitations of see-and-avoid:

  • Workload – The pilots in JQF were in the climb phase of a test flight and establishing the aircraft on the outbound track. The crew of AEM were conducting the first in-aircraft VOR approach with this student.
  • Visual search – A human’s field of vision begins to narrow after 35, and significantly after age 55. Additionally, in daylight, a pilot must look almost directly at an object to see it. Therefore it is possible for a pilot to look past an object in their screen if they do not see it directly.
  • Cockpit visibility – Items such as engines, window pillars, sunshades, and dirt may impact on the pilot’s ability to see an aircraft.
  • Time to conduct a traffic scan – Pilots require a long time to effectively conduct a traffic scan, during which time the picture out the window changes due to the motion of the aircraft.
  • Limitations of vision – Factors such as the eye’s physiological blind spot and the threshold of an individual’s vision and the acuity of their vision. Some individuals may perceive another aircraft much further away than others.
  • Alerted traffic search – It is estimated that pilots who are told where an aircraft is are around eight times more likely to see the aircraft than pilots who are not alerted to the direction of an aircraft.
  • Characteristics of the aircraft – Aircraft are more easily spotted if they have a high contrast with their background
  • Relative movement between aircraft – It is difficult to see another aircraft when there is little relative motion between one aircraft and the other, such as when they are moving towards the same location in space. Furthermore, when aircraft have a high closing speed, the small visual angle presented by an aircraft may not grow rapidly until collision is imminent.

In addition to the issues presented with pilots seeing other aircraft, there is evidence that pilots need around 12.5 seconds after they see an aircraft to perceive what it is and respond with an evasive manoeuvre to avoid the collision. The research shows that older or less‑experienced pilots need even longer.

Excluding the likely influence cloud had on the opportunity for the pilots of each aircraft to sight the other aircraft; at 12.5 seconds prior to the collision, the angular size that each aircraft would have appeared was only around 0.4°; increasing to around 1° 5-6 seconds pilot to the collision.

Studies have assessed the size an object needs to be for it to be sighted, with estimations varying from 0.2° degrees (NTSB, 1988) to 0.4-0.6° (Morris, 2005). However, these observations may be made under certain conditions, and not reflective of the particular conditions experienced by these pilots.

Collision prevention

The United Kingdom (UK) Airprox[40] board commissioned a research paper (Helios 2014a, 2014b) to review the risk of mid-air collision in Class G airspace. While the particular operation and regulation of Class G airspace in the UK is slightly different from that in Australia, it remains non‑controlled airspace, with an available traffic information service.

The research identified seven barriers to mitigate the risk of mid-air collisions (Figure 25). Four of these were preventative, to avoid the occurrence of both conflicting traffic and incidents:

-   strategic conflict management,
-   pre-tactical events,
-   pilot tactical control, and
-   ATC tactical intervention,

The other three barriers were attempts to stop an incident becoming an accident:  

-   ATC recovery,
-   pilot recovery (ACAS) and
-   pilot recovery (see and avoid).

Analysis of all the received UK airprox reports identified that pilot see-and-avoid was the most effective at preventing mid-air collision, but was also the last available defence. The study also found that an alert provided by ATC following a STCA effectively prevented 1.5 per cent of events escalating to collisions.

Figure 25: Barriers of defence in preventing a mid-air collision

picture25-ao-2020-012.png

 

Source: Helios, 2014b

Aircraft performance and cockpit visibility study

As previously discussed, the evidence indicates that the collision occurred either in, or very close to, the bottom of a cloud layer (see the section titled Meteorological information), with minimal opportunity for the occupants of the two aircraft to see-and-avoid each other.

However, in order to more fully understand the situation presented to the pilots, the ATSB conducted an aircraft performance and cockpit visibility study for this investigation, based on similar work carried out by the United States National Transportation Safety Board[41] and refined for a number of investigations over recent years, most recently for the 2019 mid-air collision near Ketchikan, Alaska (NTSB, 2021).

The study estimated the time windows during which the respective aircraft would have been visible to the pilots in the other aircraft if the accident had occurred in visual conditions. It also assesses the value of the installation and availability of traffic display and alerting systems based on the ADS-B data that both aircraft were transmitting.

This study was conducted as ATSB Safety Study report AS-2022-001. Results of this study indicated that the pilots would have faced significant difficulties in using the see‑and‑avoid principle to avoid the collision and that ADS‑B‑based alerting would likely have prevented the accident.

Related occurrences

This is the first recorded mid-air collision between two civil IFR aircraft operating in Australia.

A review of the ATSB’s national aviation occurrence database identified that a total of 29 civil mid‑air collisions (including this occurrence) were reported in the 20 years between 2001 and 2020. Of these 29 collisions, 21 were classified as accidents, with 12 resulting in fatal outcomes. The remaining 8 collisions did not result in a sufficient level of damage or injury to meet the definition of an accident in the Transport Safety Investigation Act, 2003 and were instead categorised as incidents or serious incidents.

Of the 28 mid-air collisions, other than this accident:

  • One incident was a collision between an aircraft and a parachutist as they exited the aircraft;
  • Eight collisions occurred between two gliders (6 accidents with 2 being fatal; 2 serious incidents);
  • One serious incident was a collision between a paraglider and a hang glider;
  • One fatal accident was a collision between two ultra-light aircraft that reportedly also hit a powerline;
  • Three collisions involved two aircraft operating together in either aerial mustering or fire control activities (one fatal accident between two helicopters, one serious incident between two helicopters, and one fatal accident involving a helicopter and an aircraft);
  • Three collisions occurred between aircraft conducting formation flying (1 accident, 1 serious incident, 1 incident);
  • Four accidents occurred between aircraft on late final approach to land, 2 of which were fatal;
  • Five collisions occurred between aircraft operating elsewhere in the circuit – 2 of these were fatal accidents, 2 were accidents with no injuries and one was a serious incident;
  • One fatal accident occurred between an aircraft departing from an airport and one conducting aerial agriculture work in the vicinity of the aerodrome; and
  • One fatal accident occurred between two aircraft converging at the approach point to an airport.

All of the aircraft involved in these 28 mid-air collisions were operating under visual flight rules. Twenty six of the 28 mid-air collisions occurred in non-controlled airspace. Nineteen of these occurred within 10 NM of an airport, aerodrome or authorised landing area.

Apart from this accident, in the same 20-year period there have been 25 other airspace‑related occurrences reported to the ATSB in the vicinity of Mangalore Airport.

Eleven of the 25 occurrences were categorised as a near collision[42]; four of which involved one aircraft operating under the IFR, and one that involved both aircraft operating under the IFR. All eleven occurrences were categorised as serious incidents.

Two of these serious incidents were investigated by the ATSB and are summarised below:

  • AO-2011-119: Airprox - VH-CIX/VH-KHG, Piper PA-28-151/PA-44-180, Mangalore Airport, Victoria on 27 September 2011

While conducting circuits, the Piper PA-28 came within close proximity of a Piper PA-44 rejoining the circuit following an instrument approach, resulting in the crew of the PA-28 taking evasive action. Both aircraft were operated by the same company.

As a result of the incident the operator introduced a procedure whereby, when the wind conditions favoured a take-off towards the north or north-east, aircraft joining the circuit from a practice instrument approach were to descend to an overfly height of 2,000 ft AMSL and join the circuit from the non-active side of the circuit.

  • AO-2014-006: Near collision involving a Cessna 404, VH-VEC and a Piper PA-28, VH‑UNW near Mangalore Airport, Victoria on 10 January 2014

The pilot of a Cessna 404 aircraft registered VH-VEC (VEC) was conducting an aerial survey flight north-east of Mangalore Airport, Victoria. The flight was being conducted under the instrument flight rules (IFR) and flown at about 1,500 ft above ground level. The survey pattern required the aircraft to fly across the extended centreline of runway 36. The pilot made all required CTAF broadcasts while operating in the area.

At the same time as VEC was conducting the survey, several aircraft were departing Mangalore for a series of different navigational exercises. The pilot of VEC continually attempted to call the pilots in the departing aircraft, to establish their position and intentions. However, as per their training, the pilot’s did not respond until their respective aircraft were at least 500 feet above the ground. Also, due to misunderstanding the pilot of VEC’s intentions, they did not respond to his radio calls, unless the request was directed at their particular aircraft. When the solo student pilot of VH-UNW (UNW) departed runway 36, they focussed on flying the aircraft rather than communicating, until reaching 500 feet above ground level. The pilot of UNW then lowered the aircraft nose to check for traffic and saw VEC in close proximity. In response, they turned UNW to the right at the same time that the pilot of VEC initiated a climbing turn to the right.

Both of these near collisions involved a conflict between a VFR and IFR aircraft in the CTAF area. In the near collision in 2014, separation between the two aircraft was reduced to 100 m horizontally and 200 ft vertically. In the earlier occurrence the separation was 30‑45 m horizontally, and at the same level.

One of the other near collisions in the CTAF area at Mangalore involved two aircraft operating under the IFR. One of those aircraft was VH-JQF, the same aircraft involved in this collision. A summary is below:

ATSB Occurrence 201200571: The Piper PA-44 was tracking outbound in the VOR holding pattern when another PA-44 crossed its path in close proximity, tracking inbound to the NDB at the same level.

At the time of writing, the ATSB is investigating another separation occurrence between two aircraft near Mangalore Airport on 6 June 2021 (AO-2021-023). In this incident, an Augusta Westland 139 helicopter was flying southbound toward Mangalore at an altitude of 3,100 ft. At the same time, a PA-44 was conducting an instrument approach to Mangalore.

Due to cloud conditions, the PA-44 commenced a missed approach from below 2,000 ft in a northerly direction toward Mangalore. Shortly after the PA-44 began climbing, and prior to the pilot broadcasting that the missed approach had been commenced, the pilot of the AW139 received a traffic collision and avoidance (TCAS) alert and manoeuvred the aircraft to increase separation. Both flights continued without further incident. A final report for this investigation is due to be published in the second quarter of 2022.

  1. Multi-engine class rating: An aircraft class rating is a flight crew qualification that authorises the holder to operate aircraft that fit the description of the class rating and are not designated as a type-rated aircraft. See the section titled Pilot licencing.
  2. English language assessment: a measure of someone’s ability to communicate in English using an aviation-relevant assessment process. Level 6 indicates expert level and does not expire.
  3. Civil Aviation Safety Regulations (CASR) 1998 Part 61 prescribes the requirements and standards for the issue of flight crew licences, ratings and other authorisations, including those issued to pilots and flight engineers. It also includes the privileges, limitations and conditions on such authorisations, and rules for the logging of flight time.
  4. Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B): a means by which aircraft, aerodrome vehicles and other objects can automatically transmit or receive data such as identification, position and additional data, as appropriate, in a broadcast mode via data link.
  5. All regulation references refer to the version current at the time of the accident. For the AIP, this is the version current from 7 November 2019.
  6. Flight level: at altitudes above 10,000 ft in Australia, an aircraft’s altitude at standard air pressure is referred to as a flight level (FL). FL 125 equates to 12,500 ft. FL 180 equates to 18,000 ft.
  7. Distance Measuring Equipment (DME): Equipment which measures in nautical miles, the slant range of an aircraft from the selected DME ground station. A DME distance is the slant range from a DME signal to the receiving antenna. The 30 DME control boundary is measured from Melbourne Airport.
  8. Area Navigation (RNAV) Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) approach: A type of non-precision instrument approach procedure.
  9. Airservices run a booking system for conducting practice instrument approaches at airports within controlled airspace. In Victoria this booking system includes instrument approaches at Avalon, Essendon and Moorabbin airports.
  10. Instrument Landing System (ILS): A precision instrument approach system which normally consists of the following electronic components: VHF Localiser, UHF Glideslope, VHF Marker Beacons
  11. Non-Directional Beacon (NDB): A special radio station, the emissions of which are intended to enable a mobile station to determine its radio bearing or direction with reference to that special radio station.
  12. Lowest Safe Altitude (LSALT): The lowest altitude which will provide safe terrain clearance at a given place.
  13. Minimum sector altitude (MSA): The lowest altitude which may be used which will provide a minimum clearance of 300 m or 1,000 ft above all objects located in an area contained within a sector of a circle of 25 NM or 10 NM radius centred on a significant point, the Aerodrome reference point or the Heliport reference point.
  14. The en route phase of a flight is defined as the segment of flight from the termination point of a departure procedure to the origination point of an arrival procedure.
  15. SARWATCH: A generic term covering search and rescue alerting based either on full position reporting procedures, schedule reporting times or SARTIME (the time nominated by a pilot for the initiation of search and rescue action if a report has not been received by the nominated unit.
  16. NOTAM: A notice distributed by means of telecommunication containing information concerning the establishment, condition or change in any aeronautical facility, service, procedure or hazard, the timely knowledge of which is essential to personnel concerned with flight operations.
  17. The information label provides a controller with information about the aircraft registration, aircraft type, number of passengers on board, current altitude, cleared altitude, groundspeed, and any notes made about the aircraft. Figure 13 shows an example of information labels.
  18. Australia is divided into two flight information regions – Melbourne and Brisbane. Airservices advised that the inhibition within the Brisbane region was due to nuisance alerting.
  19. Airservices defined a nuisance alert is ‘an alert which is correctly generated according to the defined STCA system parameters (rule set),but is considered operationally inappropriate by the controller.
  20. CASA Civil Aviation Advisory Publication (CAAP) 166-01 v4.2 Operations in the vicinity of non-controlled aerodromes. February 2019.
  21. The ERSA is part of the Airservices Australia Aeronautical Information Service suite of documents.
  22. The aerodrome frequency response unit system is designed to assist pilots with the correct selection and volume of a CTAF frequency. When an AFRU is coupled to a CTAF the name of the CTAF is announced after a radio broadcast if the frequency has been dormant for more than 5 minutes. If a broadcast has been made in the previous 5 minutes, a 300 millisecond tone is generated.
  23. Automated Weather Information Service (AWIS): actual weather conditions, provided via telephone or radio broadcast, from Bureau of Meteorology automatic weather stations.
  24. Electronic flight bags can electronically store and retrieve documents required for flight operations, such as maps, charts, the Flight Crew Operations Manual, Minimum Equipment Lists and other control documents. See CASA CAAP 233-1
  25. FLARM is a collision avoidance system that shows other similarly equipped aircraft in the vicinity.
  26. Traffic alert and collision avoidance system (TCAS): a type of airborne collision avoidance system (ACAS).
  27. Terminal Area Forecast – a statement of meteorological conditions expected for a specific period of time in the airspace within a radius of 5 NM (9 km) of an aerodrome’s reference point.
  28. Graphical Area Forecast – provides information on weather, cloud, visibility, icing, turbulence and freezing level in a graphical layout with supporting text. These are procedure for 10 areas across Australia, broadly State-based.
  29. Cloud information recorded by the AWS and published in the TAF and METAR/SPECI references cloud heights in feet above ground level (AGL) rather than above mean sea level (AMSL). The ground level elevation at Mangalore Airport is 467 ft AMSL, therefore approximately 500 ft has been added to the AGL cloud layers in the BoM weather information to provide context on where the cloud layers sat for the two aircraft.
  30. Runway number: the number represents the magnetic heading of the runway.
  31. Airprox: An occurrence in which 2 or more aircraft come into such close proximity that a threat to the safety of the aircraft exists or may exist, in airspace where the aircraft are not subject to an air traffic separation standard or where separation is a pilot responsibility (Australian definition)
  32. The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) is the independent transport safety investigation body for the United States of America.
  33. Near collision is an ATSB categorisation when ‘an aircraft comes into such close proximity with another aircraft either airborne or on the runway strip, or a vehicle or person on the runway strip, where immediate evasive action was required or should have been taken’.

Safety analysis

Introduction

The two aircraft, VH-AEM and VH-JQF, collided in mid-air south of Mangalore Airport. This was the first recorded mid-air collision of two civil, instrument flight rules (IFR) flights in Australia, although not the first event where two IFR aircraft have come into close proximity with each other.

Site and wreckage examination did not identify any aircraft defects or anomalies that might have contributed to the accident. Additionally, no evidence was found to suggest any medical or fatigue‑related issues that would have likely affected pilot performance on the day of the flight.

Both aircraft involved in the accident were fitted with Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) OUT equipment which broadcast positional information. However, neither aircraft had the capability to directly receive this information. Flight path data did not support an evasive manoeuvre being initiated by either aircraft, suggesting that the pilots of both aircraft did not see each other in sufficient time prior to the collision to initiate avoiding action.

This analysis will examine how the two aircraft flight paths conflicted without the risk of a collision being identified and the accident prevented. Further, it will review the controls that could be used to prevent similar accidents from occurring in the future.

Operational environment

In non-controlled airspace, pilots hold responsibility for maintaining separation from other aircraft. The rules of the air require pilots to maintain a lookout for other aircraft when conditions permit, to not operate in a way that creates a hazard for other aircraft, and to monitor and broadcast on the appropriate frequency whenever it is reasonably necessary, to avoid the risk of collision.

Both aircraft had experienced pilots on board. The examiner in JQF and instructor in AEM were both highly experienced and had conducted similar operations many times before. The student in AEM had a high level of experience as a VFR pilot operating in controlled and non-controlled airspace. The exam candidate in JQF had completed an intense period of training and been assessed as competent to undertake the final assessment for their training course. All the pilots were familiar with the operational environment and how to separate from other traffic.

Both aircraft had operational requirements that needed to be achieved. According to the published approach chart, and the pilots interpretation of the ERSA requirements, AEM had to be at an altitude of not below 3,900 ft passing overhead Mangalore Airport to conduct the planned approach. Vertically, JQF had to avoid terrain until above 3,400 ft within 10 NM of the airport, and laterally, JQF had to be established on the outbound track to waypoint LACEY within 5 NM of the departure airport. If the intercept of the outbound track exceeded this distance, the candidate would not have demonstrated the required competencies for the departure sequence of the flight test. In controlled airspace these flight tracking requirements would be assessed and managed by an air traffic controller. In non-controlled airspace the pilots’ were required to assess and manage the operational requirements and collision risk.

AEM and JQF were both fitted with dual radios. Examination of the radios fitted to JQF identified that the radios were tuned to the expected CTAF and Melbourne Centre frequencies. As the pilots of AEM had not indicated to the controller that they were switching to the CTAF, it can also be reasonably assumed that they also had the radios tuned to the appropriate CTAF and Melbourne Centre frequencies.

Air traffic control recordings confirmed that pilots from both aircraft communicated with Melbourne Centre, and interviews with other pilots in the area identified calls occurring from pilots of both aircraft on the CTAF. Significantly, a review of events leading up to the collision identified that pilots from AEM and JQF may have been communicating on different frequencies at the same time and therefore missed important alerting information from, and about, the other aircraft.

The human ability to monitor two frequencies simultaneously is limited, particularly in periods of high workload or stress, such as during a flight test or early instrument flight, and when there are other non-pertinent broadcasts on the frequencies. While the instructor in AEM and the examiner in JQF had more capacity to monitor both frequencies than the students by virtue of their relative experience, they both had other responsibilities in their training and checking roles that may have affected their ability to identify and assess all broadcasts. The initially missed call made from the Melbourne Centre controller to the pilots of AEM, where the pilots were likely either listening to the AWIS or setting up the aircraft for the descent to the approach is consistent with the known effect of workload on other tasks.

While other pilots flying in the area recalled broadcasts from both aircraft on the CTAF prior to the accident, no‑one recalled coordinating transmissions between the pilots of the two aircraft. While it is possible that this may have occurred and not been recalled by other pilots in the area, this was considered unlikely.

Having both been advised of the presence of the other by the Melbourne Centre controller, it is also highly unlikely that the pilots intentionally continued into a situation where they assessed the other aircraft to be a threat without taking action, including communicating, to protect themselves. As such, the ATSB concluded that the pilots either failed to identify that a collision risk existed or identified the potential risk but incorrectly assessed that the aircraft were sufficiently separated. In either case, the primary defence of established self‑separation required in non‑controlled airspace was absent.

Limitations of see-and-avoid

While it is not certain that the accident took place in cloud, it is clear the accident took place in instrument meteorological conditions due to the presence of extensive cloud. It is likely that AEM was in cloud for most of its descent from 6,000ft. JQF may have manoeuvred around cloud during the climb, explaining the variation in track, or passed through cloud on its climb, and had cloud between it and AEM for most of the time from when traffic information was passed until the collision.

This would have significantly reduced the likelihood that the aircraft were visible to one another prior to the collision. If either aircraft were operating in cloud, see-and-avoid would have been unachievable to both. However, if visual meteorological conditions had existed, under IFR, they would have been expected to use see-and-avoid, along with radio broadcasts, to avoid each other.

The limitations of see-and-avoid have been widely discussed in previous accident investigations, and in CASA guidance to pilots.

After JQF entered a turn towards the outbound track, the two aircraft maintained a reasonably constant relative position. This means that, had they been visible to each other, their position in the windscreen would have had limited movement, making perception difficult. The closure rate between the two aircraft was also very high, meaning that even 20 seconds prior to the collision, the angular size of each aircraft would have made them barely perceivable. Other factors that may have affected the ability of the pilots to see and avoid conflicting traffic included:

  • The crew of AEM were not directly alerted to the direction and height of JQF once airborne and may have either believed JQF was right of their track from the information in the associated departure call. Equally, they may have not heard JQF’s departure call through making their own report to Melbourne centre or inbound CTAF broadcast at the same time, and therefore not realised JQF was airborne.
  • The aircraft were both white with a background of textured ground or cloud.

The lack of variation in the flight tracks prior to the mid-air collision strongly suggests that the pilots did not see the other aircraft in time to commence avoiding action.

Local procedures

The evidence supports the pilots in the two aircraft probably having different interpretations of the wording of the local altitude requirements for practice instrument approaches at Mangalore detailed in the En-Route Supplement Australia (ERSA). It is also known that these different interpretations were held and applied by pilots other than those involved in this accident.

The different interpretations affected the altitude that AEM was required to be at when overhead the VOR. According to the reported understanding of the pilots in AEM, the approach would be flown as published, passing overhead the VOR at 3,900 ft and terminating the approach 1,000 ft higher than the minima. However, using the reported understanding of the pilots in JQF, aircraft conducting a practice VOR approach at Mangalore would start the approach at 4,900 ft. While it is not possible to determine why the pilots of JQF levelled off briefly at 4,100 ft prior to the collision, one possible consideration is that they may have believed they were passing a safe distance below AEM on its inbound descent to the VOR.

While the controller provided traffic information to the pilots of JQF that AEM was descending for airwork to ‘not above 4,000 ft’, the information that AEM was at 5,000 ft when the traffic information was passed, combined with possibly not hearing any inbound call from AEM, may have supported the pilots of JQF’s mental model of the higher practice approach height being used.

The safety benefit of clearly worded standard operating procedures, applied in the same way by all, is clearly understood in aviation. The procedure was originally written to separate IFR traffic from circuit traffic, which both interpretations would achieve. The risk of misunderstanding this procedure was identified by the CASA Office of Airspace Regulation at Ballarat in 2017. Despite that, the written procedure remained unchanged at Ballarat, Mangalore and two other airports. Information in the ERSA is published by Airservices, based on information provided by the airport operator. CASA advised that the procedure was intended to be applied by adding 1,000 ft to all heights in the approach.

Traffic information

From the Melbourne Centre records, ADS-B data, and the estimated times of broadcasts on the CTAF, it appears that there was some overlap between the pilots of the two aircraft making key transmissions or actions on different radio frequencies at the same time. In particular, around 1119 – 1121 the crew of AEM were likely checking the AWIS and communicating with the Melbourne Centre controller at the top of their descent and receiving traffic information. During the same time period, the pilot under examination in JQF was probably broadcasting on the CTAF prior to take-off.

This may have affected pilot awareness of the position of the other aircraft, and the associated collision risk.

The controller provided traffic information to each aircraft in accordance with the required procedures. The content of the traffic information gave the pilot of each aircraft the position of the other aircraft at the time, and the intended flight path. However, the timing of the traffic information did not give the pilots in AEM in particular, a clear understanding of where JQF would be as their flight paths neared.

AEM was outside the Melbourne Centre controller’s airspace and on a different frequency when the pilot of JQF made their taxi call. When AEM was given traffic about JQF, it was reported that JQF was still on the ground, shortly to depart. Analysis of ADS-B data available after the accident, which was not available to the controller at the time, indicated it was likely that JQF was somewhere in the take-off sequence at this time, but had not yet appeared on the controller’s display.

It is possible that JQF made a rolling broadcast, reportedly heard by other pilots in the CTAF, at the time that the pilots of AEM were providing information to the Melbourne Centre controller about their descent and airwork, or listening to the AWIS. If this were the case, the pilots of AEM may have been waiting to hear a broadcast from JQF on the CTAF indicating their take-off, and not expecting that they were airborne already. This, combined with the absence of JQF on the electronic flight bag display of the student in AEM, and the higher workload environment that would be expected in training a first VOR approach, made it unlikely that they had updated their mental model that JQF had departed and were a potential threat.

At the time the pilots of JQF were passed traffic about AEM, AEM was 10-11 NM from Mangalore. Previous students of the instructor have advised they were taught to provide traffic information early, at about 15 NM rather than the minimum required 10 NM. This was a recommended procedure due to the high performance of the Travel Air, but also meant that it was likely that AEM made a CTAF broadcast sometime in the window that the pilots of JQF were in the initial climb, changing radio frequencies to Melbourne Centre, or actively making the departure report to the Melbourne Centre controller.

If the pilots of AEM had made their CTAF broadcast later in the window, closer to 10 NM, which is possible considering the workload for the student setting up and conducting their first VOR approach, it is possible that the CTAF broadcast from AEM and the Melbourne Centre report from the crew of JQF were made at the same time, with neither aircraft occupants hearing the other.

Alternatively, the pilots of AEM may have heard the Melbourne Centre departure report made by the pilot of JQF, but, due to the missing ‘tracking to’ information in the call, expected that JQF was to the right of their track and not a threat to their inbound descent.

In summary, while there were a number of factors that may have impeded radio communication between the pilots of the two aircraft, it could not be determined why there was no apparent coordination on the CTAF.

There were opportunities for the traffic information to have been passed by the controller to each aircraft earlier, although the pilots of AEM would still have been told JQF was on the ground and the crew of JQF would have been told that AEM was inbound, but over 15 minutes away at the time of the JQF taxi call. As such, the earlier provision of traffic information would probably not have changed the alerting it provided. There is potential however, that traffic information provided to the pilots of JQF while they were still on the ground after their initial taxi call, but prior to departure, could have led to the aircraft remaining on the ground until AEM was overhead the airport.

Air traffic control procedures have no requirement for a controller responsible for Class G airspace to provide updated traffic information to IFR aircraft. Analysis conducted for the ATSB by an air traffic services subject matter expert identified a number of potential reasons why updated traffic information would not have been provided. Specifically, the controller:

  • could reasonably expect the occupants of the aircraft were talking to each other and taking action to avoid each other
  • may over-transmit the pilots while they are trying to talk to each other
  • not being fully aware of any coordination between the occupants of the two aircraft, could give advice that created a hazardous situation.

Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast

When automatic dependent surveillance broadcast (ADS-B) equipment became mandatory for IFR aircraft, there was no requirement to be fitted with ADS-B receiving equipment. Had each aircraft been fitted with ADS-B IN, and a suitable cockpit display, the occupants would have received the same quality of surveillance information received by the controller.

This technology could have prevented this accident from occurring and, more generally, it provides a valuable enhancement to the long‑established procedures for maintaining separation in non‑controlled airspace.

Instead of receiving one snapshot of traffic information from a controller in non-controlled airspace, an ADS‑B display in the aircraft constantly updates a pilot about the position of other ADS‑B‑equipped aircraft and is capable of providing alerts when the traffic come within an unsafe proximity. If the pilots had more information about their proximity, either through updated traffic information or ADS-B IN display and alerts, they would probably have acted differently to separate, and avoided the collision.

Surveillance service technology has aided the work of air traffic controllers, enabling them to provide a traffic position service with known accuracy of aircraft altitude and position rather than simply applying procedural separation.

This accident occurred in a location where both SSR and ADS-B data was captured and a surveillance service was offered. In areas where an existing SSR service exists, the mandatory fitment of ADS-B broadcasting equipment, without the fitment of ADS-B receiving equipment and an in-cockpit display of traffic information has provided little advantage to operators of IFR aircraft in non-controlled airspace.

Arguably, if these two aircraft were operating outside a surveillance service, the traffic information provided to them based on AIP GEN 3.3 paragraph 2.16.4, in the AIP version dated 7 November 2019, current at the time of the accident standards, would have kept them further apart than when their positions were accurately known. So, while the controller had better traffic information and a more accurate picture of where the two aircraft were coming together, the pilots did not share this information.

The advantage of ADS-B broadcast equipment comes from extending the area in which a surveillance service can be offered to an operating aircraft, as well as providing direct information to aircraft fitted with receiving equipment both within and outside of a surveillance environment.

ADS‑B IN and OUT also provide valuable alerting to VFR aircraft. CASA Advisory Circular 91-23 (2020) stated, in relation to ADS-B options for VFR aircraft, that:

All instrument flight rules aircraft have ADS-B transmitting equipment (ADS-B OUT). Logically, ADS-B OUT is the ideal way for VFR aircraft to signal their presence directly to other aircraft. In effect, ADS-B turns the ‘see and avoid’ concept into ‘see, BE SEEN, and avoid’.

In the lead up to the collision, all four pilots had to make decisions about the location of the other aircraft, based on information supplied to them by the controller. It is difficult for pilots to keep an updated mental model of where other aircraft are, particularly if they are not familiar with the performance capability of that particular aircraft, as they manoeuvre their own aircraft in the airspace.

By contrast, ADS-B IN equipment has the benefit of identifying accurate positions of other aircraft broadcasting ADS-B OUT information, although it still has the limitation that it cannot display other aircraft not broadcasting ADS-B OUT. Consequently, even with ADS-B IN display equipment, pilots need to be aware of positional information about potentially conflicting not broadcasting ADS-B aircraft, and not just rely on alerts generated by the ADS-B IN equipment. The NTSB report into the 2019 Ketchikan, Alaska mid-air collision, in which both aircraft were carrying ADS-B IN display equipment, showed there were limitations in alerting functions due to software differences. As such, even when ADS-B receiving equipment is fitted, radio communications should remain the primary method for pilots operating in non-controlled airspace to arrange separation with other pilots in the vicinity.

The student pilot in AEM made a proactive choice to carry an electronic flight bag (EFB), connected to a mobile network. While this EFB had the ability to display conflicting traffic, there were limitations in the type of traffic that would be displayed, and in this case it was unlikely to have displayed JQF. Tablets can however be fitted with an external ADS-B receiving unit that will provide this additional information, and in some cases aural alerting, from ADS-B broadcasting aircraft.

Short term conflict alert

Once a controller passes traffic information to two IFR aircraft, they do not receive any feedback on whether the two aircraft have established communications or a separation plan. There is no requirement for a pilot to respond that they have traffic sighted or contacted. Once traffic is passed, the controller operates on the expectation that, if required, the pilots will coordinate to ensure separation.

Because aircraft operate in non-controlled airspace, without published separation standards, it is not unusual for controllers to receive a short term conflict alerts (STCAs). Nuisance alerts, or alerts which need to be checked but very rarely responded to are of little benefit. Controllers responsible for the same airspace reported regularly receiving STCAs, with this accident being the first collision involving IFR aircraft.

These were not the only two aircraft the controller was managing at the time. While it was not reported to be a high workload period, the controller was constantly communicating with other aircraft in the time between providing traffic to the pilots of JQF and the accident. There is guidance that a STCA alert should be responded to over all other communications, and records show that the controller did prioritise an assessment of the alert while talking to another aircraft.

In the documented procedures for a STCA, there was no written difference for response to a STCA in controlled airspace and non-controlled airspace. Controllers are taught to use their judgement in assessing the integrity of a STCA and to respond appropriately. Therefore, in non‑controlled airspace, when the controller is displayed a STCA, they assess the risk in the context of whether traffic information has been passed from the controller to each of the pilots of the involved aircraft. Additionally, Airservices do not consider the STCA as a defence in non-controlled airspace.

In the 3 minutes before the collision, the controller received three separate STCAs involving these two aircraft. One was spurious and the velocity vectors at the time of the others projected the aircraft would pass each other, albeit narrowly for the third alert. The recordings indicated that the controller responded to these as per procedures.

With hindsight, the velocity vectors during the third STCA, which occurred less than 30 seconds prior to the collision, accurately indicated the conflict. When the STCA was assessed and acknowledged by the controller about 10 seconds prior to the collision, the display indicated that 500 ft displacement existed between the two aircraft, which the controller considered to be a reasonable pilot‑managed vertical separation. However, taking into account the filtering of data, and the permitted 200 ft tolerances, the risk of collision was higher that indicated on the display.

Additionally, this information was presented in the context that:

  • alerts regularly occurred as nuisance or no-risk alerts
  • alerts were based on separation standards not appropriate to the airspace
  • traffic had been provided to the aircraft in accordance with procedures
  • the aircraft still appeared vertically separated
  • self‑separation permitted the two aircraft to pass relatively closely.

It is acknowledged that the final STCA activation provided limited time for the controller to react and broadcast a safety alert or suggested avoiding action.

However, given typical reaction times, the ATSB determined that 30 seconds was sufficient time to assess the final STCA, provide a safety broadcast and probably prevent the collision. Equally, given the same reaction time considerations, it is questionable whether a controller radio broadcast, 10 seconds prior to the collision could have been processed and reacted to by the pilots sufficiently to have manoeuvred the aircraft to prevent the accident.

Airspace

When operating in non-controlled airspace (such as the current Class G airspace around Mangalore), whether under the instrument or visual flight rules, pilots hold responsibility for separation from other aircraft. An ATSB review of historical occurrences identified that this was the first ever collision between aircraft operating under the instrument flight rules in Australia under a procedure that has been in place for some decades.

This record indicates that self-separation using broadcast traffic advice has been a largely reliable procedure.

The ATSB does however note that the effectiveness of the current pilot-separation method relies on individual pilots:

  • recognising a potentially unsafe situation
  • formulating an effective separation plan that often requires coordination with the occupants of the other involved aircraft.

This process is almost exclusively reliant on individual human actions without other mechanisms potentially acting as a safeguard and/or safety redundancy, and as such subject to human error, even when it involves experienced pilots. Furthermore, such errors often increase under high workload associated with, for example, instrument flying procedures, low experience or a busy airspace environment. Of note, the airspace surrounding Mangalore Airport is commonly utilised for training and by pilots gaining experience, especially in instrument flying.

In that context, while the available evidence in this investigation does not support a conclusion that the present self‑separation system is unsafe, there is an opportunity to potentially reduce safety risk further. 

The ATSB therefore supports systemic enhancements to the overall air traffic system that have been assessed by regulatory and air traffic specialists, in keeping with their obligations as providing a net overall safety increase. Key examples of such enhancements include:

  • the increased use of controlled airspace and ADS‑B aircraft surveillance data (both by air traffic services and in‑cockpit)
  • improved monitoring of air traffic movements (both quantity and complexity) to assist the identification of increasing risk areas.

With respect to the accident involving VH‑JQF and VH‑AEM, had the aircraft been operating in controlled airspace (an example being Class E airspace) they would have been positively separated and therefore the collision would have been unlikely to have occurred.

Findings

ATSB investigation report findings focus on safety factors (that is, events and conditions that increase risk). Safety factors include ‘contributing factors’ and ‘other factors that increased risk’ (that is, factors that did not meet the definition of a contributing factor for this occurrence but were still considered important to include in the report for the purpose of increasing awareness and enhancing safety). In addition ‘other findings’ may be included to provide important information about topics other than safety factors. 

Safety issues are highlighted in bold to emphasise their importance. A safety issue is a safety factor that (a) can reasonably be regarded as having the potential to adversely affect the safety of future operations, and (b) is a characteristic of an organisation or a system, rather than a characteristic of a specific individual, or characteristic of an operating environment at a specific point in time.

These findings should not be read as apportioning blame or liability to any particular organisation or individual.

From the evidence available, the following findings are made with respect to the mid-air collision and subsequent collision with terrain involving Piper PA44-180 Seminole, VH-JQF and Beech D95A Travel Air, VH-AEM, near Mangalore Airport, Victoria, on 19 February 2020.

Contributing factors

  • Following receipt of verbal traffic information, the pilots did not successfully manoeuvre or establish direct communications on the common traffic advisory frequency to maintain separation, probably due to the collision risk not being recognised.
  • While it is probable that the aircraft were in instrument meteorological conditions and could not visually separate to avoid the collision; the known limitations of the see-and-avoid principle meant that the pilots were unlikely to have seen each other in sufficient time to prevent the collision even in visual conditions.
  • Following receipt of a short-term conflict alert, the controller assessed it in accordance with the required procedure. After considering that the pilots had been passed mutual traffic information and were required to ensure their own separation in non‑controlled airspace, the controller did not intervene further.
  • While the pilots were responsible for self-separation within the Mangalore common traffic advisory frequency area, they did not have access to the same surveillance data, including automatic dependant surveillance broadcast information available to air traffic control. As a result, the pilots were required to make timely decisions to avoid a collision without the best available information.

Other factors that increased risk

  • The En-Route Supplement Australia included a requirement to add 1,000 ft to the prescribed practice instrument approach ‘altitude’ at Mangalore Airport. The procedure did not detail whether this height was to be applied to the minimum descent altitude or to all approach altitudes, resulting in varied application and an increased risk of traffic conflicts. (Safety issue)

Safety issues and actions

Central to the ATSB’s investigation of transport safety matters is the early identification of safety issues. The ATSB expects relevant organisations will address all safety issues an investigation identifies.

Depending on the level of risk of a safety issue, the extent of corrective action taken by the relevant organisation(s), or the desirability of directing a broad safety message to the aviation industry, the ATSB may issue a formal safety recommendation or safety advisory notice as part of the final report.

All of the directly involved parties were provided with a draft report and invited to provide submissions. As part of that process, each organisation was asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they had carried out or were planning to carry out in relation to each safety issue relevant to their organisation.

Descriptions of each safety issue, and any associated safety recommendations, are detailed below. Click the link to read the full safety issue description, including the issue status and any safety action/s taken. Safety issues and actions are updated on this website when safety issue owners provide further information concerning the implementation of safety action.

ERSA procedure

Safety Issue number: AO-2020-012-SI-01

Safety issue description: The En-Route Supplement Australia included a requirement to add 1,000 ft to the prescribed practice instrument approach ‘altitude’ at Mangalore Airport. The procedure did not detail whether this height was to be applied to the minimum descent altitude or to all approach altitudes, resulting in varied application and an increased risk of traffic conflicts. (Safety issue)

Safety recommendation description: The Australian Transport Safety Bureau recommends that the Civil Aviation Safety Authority addresses the ambiguity in the En‑Route Supplement Australia requirement relating to practice instrument approach altitudes at Mangalore Airport to reduce the variation in application and risk of traffic conflicts.

Safety action not associated with an identified safety issue

Whether or not the ATSB identifies safety issues in the course of an investigation, relevant organisations may proactively initiate safety action in order to reduce their safety risk. All of the directly involved parties are invited to provide submissions to this draft report. As part of that process, each organisation is asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they have carried out to reduce the risk associated with this type of occurrences in the future. The ATSB has so far been advised of the following proactive safety action in response to this occurrence.

Safety action by the Civil Aviation Safety Authority

The Civil Aviation Safety Authority is conducting a study of the airspace within a 25 NM area of Mangalore Airport from the ground to 8,500 ft AMSL. The study will evaluate the suitability of the airspace, including efficient use, equitable access for all users, appropriateness of the airspace classification and the existing services and facilities provided by the air navigation service provider. At the time of publication this study has not been published.

Safety action by Airservices Australia

Airservices Australia has submitted a proposal to the Civil Aviation Safety Authority for the implementation of a surveillance flight information service (SFIS) at Mangalore Airport, however the review process for the SFIS is pending the completion of the Office of Airspace Regulation study of the airspace surrounding Mangalore Airport. In the interim period a Melbourne Centre controller is monitoring the CTAF frequency during prescribed hours to provide a safety alerting service if required.

Airservices Australia has also raised a consultation to lower the base of Class E airspace around Mangalore Airport. At the time of writing that proposal was in review by Airservices following an industry consultation period.

Glossary

ACAS               Airborne collision avoidance system

ADS-B              Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast

AIP                   Aeronautical Information Publication

AMSL               Above mean sea level

AFRU               Aerodrome frequency response unit

ASD                 Air Situation Display

ATC                 Air traffic control

ATS                  Air traffic services

ATSB               Australian Transport Safety Bureau

AWIS               Automated weather information system

AWS                Automatic weather service

BoM                 Bureau of Meteorology

CASA               Civil Aviation Safety Authority

CASR               Civil Aviation Safety Regulations

CDTI                Cockpit display of traffic information

CTAF               Common traffic advisory frequency

DOK                 Dookie (sector of airspace)

EFB                 Electronic flight bag

ERSA               En-Route Supplement Australia

FIS                   Flight information service

GAF                 Graphical Area Forecast

GNSS              Global navigation satellite system

HUM                Hume (sector of airspace)

ICAO                International Civil Aviation Organization

IFR                  Instrument flight rules

ILS                   Instrument landing system

MATS               Manual of Air Traffic Services

MOS                Manual of Standards

NDB                 Non-directional beacon

NAPM              National ATS procedures manual

NM                   Nautical mile

OVN                 Ovens (sector of airspace)

QNH                That pressure setting, which, when placed on the pressure setting sub‑scale of a sensitive altimeter of an aircraft located at the                                reference point of an aerodrome, will cause the altimeter to indicate the vertical displacement of the reference point above mean                              sea level

SAR                 Search and rescue

SFIS                Surveillance flight information service

SME                 Subject matter expert

STCA               Short term conflict alert

TAF                  Terminal area forecast

TCAS               Traffic collision avoidance system

VOR                 VHF Omni-directional range

Sources and submissions

Sources of information

The sources of information during the investigation included the:

  • operators of VH‑AEM and VH‑JQF
  • aircraft owner of VH‑AEM
  • air traffic controller
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • Airservices Australia
  • Bureau of Meteorology
  • Victoria Police
  • next of kin
  • witnesses
  • AvPlan
  • air traffic control subject matter expert

References

Australian Transport Safety Bureau (1991) Limitations of the See-and-Avoid Principle. Retrieved from /publications/1991/limit_see_avoid

Australian Transport Safety Bureau (2013) A pilot’s guide to staying safe in the vicinity of non-towered aerodromes. Retrieved

Civil Aviation Safety Authority (2013) CAAP 166-2(1) Pilots’ responsibility for collision avoidance in the vicinity of non-controlled aerodromes using ‘see-and-avoid’. December 2013. Retrieved from https://www.casa.gov.au/sites/default/files/_assets/main/download/caaps/ops/166-2.pdf.

Civil Aviation Safety Authority (2017) CNS/ATM Resource Guide. Retrieved from Rules and regulations for CNS and ATM | Civil Aviation Safety Authority (casa.gov.au)

Civil Aviation Safety Authority (2019) CAAP 166-01 v4.2 Operations in the vicinity of non-controlled aerodromes. February 2019. 

Civil Aviation Safety Authority (2020) Advisory Circular 91-23 – ADS-B for enhancing situational awareness. July 2020. Retrieved from

Helios (2014a) Review of existing Class G airspace risk studies: what do we know? Helios Document reference P1838D002, produced for United Kingdom Civil Aviation Authority.

Helios (2014b) Class G airprox reports analysis: results and conclusions. Helios document reference P1838 D003, produced for United Kingdom Civil Aviation Authority.

International Civil Aviation Organization (2018)) Annex 11: Air Traffic Services. Fifteenth edition. International Civil Aviation Organization, Canada.

Morris, C (2005) Midair collisions: Limitations of the see-and-avoid concept in civil aviation. Aviation, Space, and Environmental Medicine. Vol 76, No. 4 April 2005.

National Transport Safety Board (1988) AIRCRAFT ACCIDENT REPORT - Midair Collision of Skywest airlines Swearingen Metro II, N163SW, and Mooney M20, N6485U, Kearns, Utah, January 15, 1987

Submissions

Under section 26 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003, the ATSB may provide a draft report, on a confidential basis, to any person whom the ATSB considers appropriate. That section allows a person receiving a draft report to make submissions to the ATSB about the draft report.

A draft of this report was provided to the following directly involved parties:

  • the operators of VH-AEM and VH‑JQF
  • the owner of VH-AEM
  • the air traffic controller
  • Airservices Australia
  • air traffic control subject matter expert
  • Bureau of Meteorology
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • AvPlan
  • United States National Transportation Safety Board
  • Office of the Aircraft Accident and Incident Investigation Commission, Thailand


Submissions were received from:

  • the operators of VH-AEM and VH-JQF
  • the air traffic controller
  • Airservices Australia
  • Bureau of Meteorology
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • Office of the Aircraft Accident and Incident Investigation Commission, Thailand

Purpose of safety investigations & publishing information

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information 

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2022

image_5.png

Ownership of intellectual property rights in this publication

Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this report publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia.

Creative Commons licence

With the exception of the Coat of Arms, ATSB logo, and photos and graphics in which a third party holds copyright, this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence.

Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided that you attribute the work.

The ATSB’s preference is that you attribute this publication (and any material sourced from it) using the following wording: Source: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

Copyright in material obtained from other agencies, private individuals or organisations, belongs to those agencies, individuals or organisations. Where you wish to use their material, you will need to contact them directly.

Appendices

Appendix A - Sequence of events

The sequence of events shows the key events identified in the report, including a transcript of the radio calls recorded between the Melbourne Centre controller and the pilots of AEM and JQF (in italics). The transcript does not include all calls made between the Melbourne Centre controller and other pilots or controllers.

Time start

(* indicates approximate time)

Time end

(* indicates approximate time)

AircraftComment
1055*  Departure of AEM from Tyabb
1111:211111:32JQFMelbourne Centre, JQF is two POB IFR Mangalore taxying for runway two three for Mangalore
Melbourne CentreJQF, Melbourne Centre, G’day. Squawk three six two four, there’s no reported IFR traffic.  
JQFThree six two four, JQF  
   Coordination to Melbourne Centre controller of AEM. Aircraft had previously reported estimating Mangalore at 1126.
1117:421117:55AEMMelbourne Centre, AEM, maintaining six thousand.
Melbourne CentreAEM, G’day Melbourne Centre. Area QNH one zero one zero, and there’s no reported IFR traffic for your descent for your airwork at Mangalore.  
AEMOne zero one zero, not traffic for airwork at Mangalore, thank you, AEM.  
1118:22  AEM entered ML Centre airspace (30 DME boundary)
1119:351119:54AEMAEM, leaving six thousand for airwork four thousand down to ground, will call again time five zero or on departure.
Melbourne CentreAEM thanks, I’ll talk to you again by time five zero and no reported IFR traffic for not above four thousand.  
AEMAEM  
1120:0711:20:08Melbourne CentreAEM, actually I will pass you some traffic when you’re ready.
1120:151120:28Melbourne CentreAEM, Centre?
AEMAEM go ahead  
Melbourne CentreAEM shortly to depart Mangalore southbound, or via LACEY is JQF, a Seminole, they’ll be on climb to seven thousand  
AEMJQF copied, AEM.  
1120:31  JQF first appeared on controller’s display
1122:191123:00JQFMelbourne Centre, JQF departure
Melbourne CentreJQF’s identified, verify level with departure  
JQFJQF departure at Mangalore two three passing two thousand seven hundred on climb to seven thousand tracking to LACEY, Mangalore  
Melbourne CentreJQF area QNH one zero one zero  
JQFOne zero one zero, JQF  
Melbourne CentreAnd JQF, traffic six miles in your twelve o’clock is AEM, a kingair, they’re inbound to Mangalore for airwork, passing five thousand, on descent to not above four thousand  
JQFCopy traffic JQF  
1122:42  First STCA - between JQF and other traffic (during calls listed above)
1122:49  Second STCA – between JQF and AEM. Occurred as Melbourne Centre controller was providing traffic to the pilots of JQF (above)
1123:5111:24:09 Third STCA appeared on controller display. Was assessed and acknowledged.
1124:16  Last updated data point displayed to controller prior to collision.
1124:20  Approximate time of collision

Preliminary report

Report release date: 23/04/2020

This preliminary report details factual information established in the investigation’s early evidence collection phase and has been prepared to provide timely information to the industry and public. Preliminary reports contain no analysis or findings, which will be detailed in the investigation’s final report. The information contained in this preliminary report is released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003.

The occurrence

On 19 February 2020, at about 1055 Eastern Daylight-saving Time[1], a Beech Travel Air D95A aircraft, registered VH-AEM (AEM), departed Tyabb Airport, Victoria for an Instrument Flight Rules (IFR)[2] training flight to Shepparton via Mangalore, and return to Tyabb. On board were an instructor and student.

At 1111, the pilot of a Piper PA44-180 Seminole, registered VH-JQF (JQF) contacted air traffic control (ATC) to advise that the aircraft was taxiing for departure from Mangalore Airport. The pilot had submitted a flight plan for a round-trip IFR flight for Mangalore via Essendon and Shepparton. Also on board was an authorised testing officer, who was testing the pilot for an instrument flight rating.

AEM tracked as per the flight plan and, at 1117, began a descent from 6,000 ft above mean sea level (AMSL) for airwork at Mangalore. Radio communication with ATC indicated the airwork was to occur between 4,000 ft and ground level.

At 1119, the air traffic controller passed traffic information to AEM about JQF departing from Mangalore. At 1122, JQF made a departure call from Mangalore, advising ATC of a planned climb to 7,000 ft. ATC passed traffic information about AEM to the Seminole crew.

At 1124, Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B)[3] data indicated the two aircraft collided approximately 8 km south of Mangalore Airport at approximately 4,100 ft (Figure 1). There were no witnesses to the collision, however another pilot in the area witnessed both aircraft descending immediately after the collision. All four pilots were fatally injured in the accident, and both aircraft were destroyed.

Figure 1: Flight path of AEM and JQF, and location of ground impact of both aircraft

Figure 1: Flight path of AEM and JQF, and location of ground impact of both aircraft.&#13;Source: Google, modified by the ATSB

Source: Google, modified by the ATSB

 

Context

Pilot information

All four pilots involved in the accident held the licences and medical approvals required to undertake the operations they were conducting.

The instructor on board AEM held an air transport pilot licence (aeroplane) and was a grade 1 flight instructor, with approvals to conduct instrument rating instruction and multi-engine aircraft class rating instruction. The instructor’s logbook indicated he had about 5,800 hours total flying experience. The student on this aircraft held a commercial pilot licence (aeroplane), and had passed the instrument rating theory exam. The student’s logbook indicated he had approximately 1,100 flight hours. This lesson was his second instrument training flight.

The examiner on board JQF held an air transport pilot licence (aeroplane), was a grade 1 flight instructor, and held a flight examiner rating to conduct a range of examinations, including for instrument ratings and multi-engine class ratings. He had about 21,000 hours flying experience. The pilot on this aircraft held a commercial licence (aeroplane), and had passed the instrument rating theory exam. This pilot’s logbook indicated she had approximately 220 hours of total flight experience. The test being conducted was for the purpose of issuing the pilot with both an instrument rating, and a multi-engine class rating.

Aircraft information

VH-AEM (Figure 2) was a Beech D95A Travel Air, twin-engine aircraft. It was manufactured in the United States of America in 1966 with serial number TD-682. It was first registered in Australia in 1967.

Figure 2: Beech Travel Air, registered VH-AEM

Figure 2: Beech Travel Air, registered VH-AEM.&#13;Source: Aircraft operator

Source: Aircraft operator

VH-JQF (Figure 3) was a Piper PA44-180 Seminole, twin-engine aircraft. It was manufactured in the United States of America in 1979 with serial number 44-7995291. It was first registered in Australia in 1990.

Figure 3: Piper Seminole, registered VH-JQF

Figure 3: Piper Seminole, registered VH-JQF.&#13;Source: Aircraft operator

Source: Aircraft operator

Wreckage and impact information

Following the mid-air collision, JQF travelled for about 0.5 km before impacting an open field, while AEM continued in a northerly direction and impacted a lightly wooded area about 1.4 km from the collision point. Airborne debris liberated in the collision formed a further wreckage field that was located about 1.6 km to the north-north-east of the collision point and about 200m to the west of the Hume Highway.

Meteorological information

The forecast meteorological conditions for the Mangalore area indicated scattered[4] cloud at 2,000 ft above ground level (approximately 2,500 ft above mean sea level), with scattered stratocumulus cloud between 3,000 and 6,000 ft. Visibility was forecast to be greater than 10 km, and the wind from the south‑west at 25 knots.

At the time of the accident, the automatic weather station at Mangalore Airport, 8 km north of the collision location, recorded two cloud layers: one scattered at 3,467 ft AMSL and a second broken layer at 4,174 ft AMSL, (about the collision altitude).

Video taken by the Victoria Police Air wing (Figure 4) near the accident site at 1240, 1 hour and 16 minutes after the accident showed the base of a broken layer of cloud to be at approximately 4,050 ft AMSL with some lower patches of cloud also present.

Figure 4: View of cloud from the Victoria Police Air Wing helicopter

Figure 4: View of cloud from the Victoria Police Air Wing helicopter. Source Victoria Police

Source: Victoria Police

Aerodrome and airspace information

Mangalore Airport has an elevation of 467 ft. The airport was non‑controlled, and utilised a ‘Common Traffic Advisory Frequency’ (CTAF)[5]. The CTAF frequency was shared with three other aerodromes in the local area.

Surrounding the Mangalore CTAF was class G non‑controlled airspace. In class G airspace, air traffic controllers provide traffic information to IFR aircraft about other conflicting IFR and observed VFR flights.

Recorded data

Neither aircraft was equipped with a flight data recorder or cockpit voice recorder, nor were they required to be. One aircraft was carrying an iPad, which had AvPlan[6] software installed and operating at the time of the accident. This data was provided to the ATSB.

Both aircraft were fitted with transponders that broadcast ADS-B data. This information included the position and altitude of the aircraft and was received by Airservices Australia, as well as other third-party ADS-B receivers (FlightRadar24) and provided to the ATSB.

Radio transmissions on the CTAF were not recorded.

Further investigation

The investigation is continuing and will include further examination and analysis of:

  • weather conditions at the time of the accident
  • recovered radios from the aircraft
  • recorded radar data, as well as recorded area frequency calls and recollections of CTAF radio broadcasts.
  • pilot qualifications, experience and medical histories
  • aircraft maintenance and operational records
  • air traffic services actions, procedures and practices
  • traffic density in and around Mangalore Airport
  • classification of the airspace around Mangalore Airport
  • Class G and CTAF operational and communication processes and procedures around Mangalore Airport
  • visibility from both aircraft.

Should a critical safety issue be identified during the course of the investigation, the ATSB will immediately notify relevant parties so appropriate and timely safety action can be taken.

A final report will be released at the conclusion of the investigation.

Acknowledgements

The ATSB acknowledges the assistance of Victoria Police, and the Victorian Coronial Support Unit in supporting the ATSB’s on-site investigation team and providing information and support through the evidence collection phase of the investigation.

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information 

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2020

image_5.png

Ownership of intellectual property rights in this publication

Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this report publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia.

Creative Commons licence

With the exception of the Coat of Arms, ATSB logo, and photos and graphics in which a third party holds copyright, this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence.

Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided that you attribute the work.

The ATSB’s preference is that you attribute this publication (and any material sourced from it) using the following wording: Source: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

Copyright in material obtained from other agencies, private individuals or organisations, belongs to those agencies, individuals or organisations. Where you wish to use their material, you will need to contact them directly.

__________

  1. Eastern Daylight-saving Time (EDT): Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) +11 hours
  2. Instrument flight rules (IFR): a set of regulations that permit the pilot to operate an aircraft in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC), which have much lower weather minimums than visual flight rules (VFR). Procedures and training are significantly more complex as a pilot must demonstrate competency in IMC conditions while controlling the aircraft solely by reference to instruments. IFR-capable aircraft have greater equipment and maintenance requirements.
  3. Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B): A means by which aircraft can automatically transmit or receive data such as identification, position and additional data, as appropriate, in a broadcast mode via a data link.
  4. Cloud cover: in aviation, cloud cover is reporting using words that denote the extent of the cover – ‘few’ indicates that up to a quarter of the sky is covered, ‘scattered’ indicates the cloud is covering between and quarter and a half of the sky, ‘broken’ indicates that more than half to almost all of the sky is covered, and ‘overcast’ indicates that all the sky is covered.
  5. Common Traffic Advisory Frequency (CTAF): A designated frequency on which pilots make positional broadcasts when operating in the vicinity of a non-controlled aerodrome or within a Broadcast Area.
  6. AvPlan is an electronic flight bag application.

Occurrence summary

Investigation number AO-2020-012
Occurrence date 19/02/2020
Location Mangalore Airport, Victoria
State Victoria
Report release date 31/03/2022
Report status Final
Investigation level Systemic
Investigation type Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Aviation
Aviation occurrence category Airborne collision
Occurrence class Accident
Highest injury level Fatal

Aircraft details

Manufacturer Beech Aircraft Corp
Model 95
Registration VH-AEM
Serial number TD-682
Aircraft operator Peninsula Aero Club
Sector Piston
Operation type Flying Training
Departure point Tyabb Airfield, Victoria
Destination Mangalore Airport, Victoria
Damage Destroyed

Aircraft details

Manufacturer Piper Aircraft Corp
Model PA-44
Registration VH-JQF
Serial number 44-7995291
Aircraft operator Moorabbin Aviation Services
Sector Piston
Operation type Flying Training
Departure point Mangalore Airport, Victoria
Destination Mangalore Airport, Victoria
Damage Destroyed

Derailment of passenger train ST23, Wallan, Victoria, on 20 February 2020

Final report

Report release date: 09/08/2023

Executive summary

What happened

On 3 February 2020, a fire in a signalling equipment hut at Wallan in Victoria resulted in damage to the signalling system on the standard gauge rail network operated by the Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC). Repair of the signalling system would take several weeks and ARTC commenced managing rail traffic over a 24 km section between Kilmore East and Donnybrook using administrative systems. The section was predominantly a single bi-directional track which included a crossing loop at Wallan.

Trains were initially being managed through this 24 km section under the existing train working protocols that limited train speeds to no more than 25 km/h. This speed limit led to significant delays and ARTC developed train working arrangements that would permit trains to operate at normal track speeds. For passenger trains, this was up to 130 km/h. The arrangements that were established used (paper-based) train authorities to give drivers permission to travel through the section without signals operational, and also required an accompanying qualified worker (AQW) to ride in the cab with the driver. The first train authority under these new arrangements was issued on the evening of 6 February.

After the initial loss of signalling, the crossing loop at Wallan was not used and the points at either end of the loop were then locked in their normal (straight) position. Then, on 20 February, trains were to be routed through the loop to clean contamination from the rail head in preparation for signalling system testing. Around mid-afternoon, the points at each end of Wallan Loop were changed to their reverse position to route trains through the turnout to the loop track.

That evening, NSW Trains (TrainLink) was operating XPT train ST23 from Sydney to Melbourne. Train ST23 entered the affected section at Kilmore East and after travelling about 15 km derailed in the turnout at the northern end of Wallan Loop. The derailment occurred at about 1943. As a result of the derailment, the leading power car of train ST23 overturned and slid on its side for some distance. The driver and the AQW in the driver’s cab of the power car did not survive the accident. Eight passengers were seriously injured,[1] and a reported 53 passengers and the 5 passenger services crew members sustained minor injuries.

What the ATSB found

The investigation found that train ST23 derailed due to its speed exceeding the infrastructure design speed by a significant margin. The train entered the turnout to Wallan Loop travelling at a speed of between 114 and 127 km/h following an emergency brake application a short distance before the turnout. The maximum permitted operational speed for the turnout was 15 km/h and the train could not negotiate the turnout at its higher speed.

There was no evidence identified to suggest that the driver was incapacitated leading up to the derailment, and no evidence to suggest a rolling stock or a track defect had contributed to the derailment.

Several scenarios that may have led to ST23 not slowing for the loop turnout were considered. The leading power car was not fitted with in-cab voice or video recording devices and the absence of information on the interactions within the driver’s cab reduced the certainty of this finding. On the balance of evidence, it was concluded that the driver of ST23 probably expected to remain on the straight track through Wallan and was operating the train with that expectation.

The driver had likely developed a strong expectation that ST23 would be travelling on the straight track through Wallan. The driver of ST23 had operated the XPT service through the location 8 times in the 12 days prior, and on all occasions the loop track at Wallan was locked out of service consistent with the arrangements not to use the crossing loop at Wallan while signalling was non-operational.

Information on the routing of ST23 through Wallan Loop on the evening of 20 February was provided to the driver in a modified train authority document given to them at Kilmore East. However, the train working arrangements that were established by ARTC on 6 February did not include protocols that would confirm the driver’s understanding of the authority and excluded the requirement for the driver to read back the train authority to the network control officer. Expectations based on past experience influence the perception of information and it is probable that the driver did not recognise the text changes made to the train authority from those issued to them on their 8 previous trips.

The train working arrangements that were established to manage traffic while the signalling system was not functioning deviated from ARTC network rules and there was ineffective management of the risks introduced by this deviation. There were several safety factors that increased safety risk including weaknesses in ARTC risk management, the train working arrangements, risk controls (including a reliance on manual processes), and stakeholder engagement. For the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February, it was concluded that there were several available and practical risk controls that were not used by ARTC.

Weaknesses were also identified in the distribution and collection of safety information. It was found that NSW Trains did not have a functioning process for obtaining safety critical information for its Victorian operations from the ARTC web portal (WebRAMS).

It was also found that the configuration of the driver’s cab contributed to the adverse outcome for the driver and AQW. The side door of the power car detached when the car overturned. This resulted in track ballast and earth entering the cab and trapping the driver and the AQW. Efforts by members of the train crew and emergency services to assist those trapped was thwarted by a lack of ground-level access to the cab. It was found that contemporary industry standards did not address the loading of the side-doors of driver cabs during overturn, and ground-level access to train crew trapped in an overturned vehicle.

Soon after the derailment, some passengers self-evacuated the train. It was found that the methods of providing safety information to passengers through briefings, onboard guides and signage did not provide reasonable opportunity for all passengers to have knowledge of what to do in an emergency. Systemic weaknesses in the training of passenger services crew by NSW Trains was also identified.

Other findings are made with respect to potential barriers to safety improvements on the ARTC rail network. These address shared risks between the rail infrastructure manager (RIM) and rolling stock operators (RSO) and the slow, and uncoordinated, adoption of technologies. There continues to be a high reliance on administrative controls and a slow take up of technological solutions by ARTC to improve safety.

What has been done as a result

ATSB identified 15 safety issues against which organisations were requested to advise on their proactive safety actions. The details of these actions, and ATSB comment on these actions, are described in the Safety issues and actions section of this report.

Six safety issues were allocated to ARTC. ARTC advised that it has introduced an updated management process for deviations from ARTC Network Rules (for planned or unplanned works). ARTC advised that this process required a risk assessment involving stakeholders, the development of appropriate controls for implementation by each stakeholder, and ARTC Executive approval of the risk assessment and plan. Three safety issues pertaining to network user engagement and distribution of safety information remained open, and updates will be provided on the ATSB website.

Six safety issues were allocated to NSW Trains. NSW Trains advised that it has developed new procedures for the daily access of the ARTC WebRAMS system for safety information and has also amended procedures to include confirmation of receipt of safety critical information by train crew prior to them starting their day of operations. NSW Trains also advised of changes to crew emergency response training, although 2 related safety issues remain open. The ATSB has made one recommendation to NSW Trains that it undertake further work to improve the methods used to provide safety information to passengers.

One safety issue was allocated to ActivateRail, a contractor to ARTC. Relevant to this safety issue, ActivateRail advised that it has introduced additional control processes pertaining to its participation in projects. ActivateRail also committed to ongoing and future risk management awareness training of its consulting and professional services staff.

The Rail Industry Safety and Standards Board (RISSB) has committed to consider the outcomes of this investigation in a review of the Australian Standards for body structural requirements (locomotive) and access and egress. The outcomes of the RISSB review of these standards will be reported on the ATSB website.

Safety message

Central to this occurrence was the breakdown of risk management processes following deviation from established network rules. Critical to successful risk management in degraded network conditions is the involvement of network users in the identification and assessment of emergent risks, and user participation in the development of appropriate risk controls.

This occurrence also highlighted an over reliance on administrative controls and the missed opportunities to use existing and emerging technologies to manage risk associated with human error. To improve safety outcomes, the rail sector must move faster and together in embracing technology to improve its management of safety risks.

 

The occurrence

Overview

On 20 February 2020, NSW Trains (TrainLink) was operating the express passenger train (XPT) designated ST23 from Sydney, New South Wales (NSW), to Melbourne, Victoria. Train ST23 was operating on the rail network managed by the Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC). For a 24 km section between Kilmore East and Donnybrook in Victoria, ARTC was managing rail traffic using temporary train working arrangements while it undertook repairs to the signalling system that had been damaged in early February.

Train ST23 entered the affected section at Kilmore East at about 1935 local time. At about 1943, and after travelling about 15 km into the affected section, ST23 derailed at the northern end of Wallan Loop. As a result of the derailment, the leading power car of ST23 overturned. The driver and an accompanying rail worker in the driver’s cab of the power car did not survive the accident. Several passengers were seriously injured, and a large number of passengers and the passenger services crew sustained minor injuries.

Prior to the occurrence

At about 2343 on 3 February 2020, ARTC identified that the centralised traffic control (CTC) signalling system had been disrupted around Wallan in Victoria. A subsequent investigation by ARTC determined that a road vehicle had struck overhead electrical wires in Wallan, resulting in a ‘power surge’ to the nearby signalling equipment hut. A subsequent fire in the hut resulted in extensive damage to equipment and cabling.

As a result of the damage to the signalling system at Wallan, ARTC commenced managing rail traffic through the affected section using caution orders and other safeworking rules. Under these arrangements, trains were required to proceed cautiously at a speed not exceeding 25 km/h, and as a result there were significant delays to rail services.

To reduce delays through this affected section, ARTC established train working arrangements that used train authorities[2] and permitted higher train speeds. The new arrangements commenced at 1900 on 6 February and the first train authority issued was at 2042 that day. This arrangement was used for the 24 km section between Donnybrook and Kilmore East (Figure 1).

Figure 1: Location of train working between Donnybrook and Kilmore East

Figure 1: Location of train working between Donnybrook and Kilmore East

The affected section was between signals within the passing lanes at Donnybrook and Kilmore East. Rail-km shown from Melbourne.

Source: Google Maps, annotated by CITS

Notification to network users of the change in train working was by a train notice[3] issued by ARTC. Train notice 266 (TN 266) describing the change was issued on 6 February, updated on 7 February, and further amended on 13 February. In the arrangements established, the turnouts at either end of Wallan Loop were set to their normal position for the No.1 track (the through route) and clipped in that position.[4]

For the train working arrangements established, ARTC did not impose any additional speed restrictions through the section. The maximum permitted speed for passenger trains travelling on the No.1 track through Wallan was 130 km/h.

On 19 February, TN 266 was supplemented with train notice 367 (TN 367) advising of a change at Wallan Loop. Trains were to be diverted through the loop (No.2 track) for a short period on 20 February. The purpose of routing trains through the loop was to remove any contamination that may have developed on the rail head of the No.2 track while it was not being used.[5] This was in preparation for signal system testing and re-establishment of the CTC signalling system.

Between 1453 and 1536 on 20 February, and with track protection in place,[6] the points at either end of Wallan Loop were manually reconfigured from their normal position to their reverse position.[7] This change meant that rail traffic travelling in either direction after this time would be diverted into the crossing loop (No.2 track). TN 367 reflected this change and also specified a speed limit of 15 km/h for entry into the loop, and a limit of 35 km/h when exiting the loop. On that same day between 1600 and 1837, track force protection was utilised about 1 km south (towards Donnybrook) of Wallan Loop for the laying of conduit.[8]

The first train to pass through Wallan Loop in this altered configuration was southbound V/Line train 8620. Immediately prior to 8620 departing Kilmore East, the network control officer (NCO) advised the driver that they were going to be the first train through Wallan Loop in the past 72 hours. This notification by the NCO was consistent with the NSW practice of advising drivers of the potential unreliability of track circuits if trains have not run on a track in the previous 72 hours, although in this instance the signalling system was not operating at Wallan Loop.[9] Train 8620 departed Kilmore East at about 1623 and its train authority was cancelled for its arrival at Donnybrook at 1647.

The second train through the loop was northbound V/Line train 8625. When stopped at Donnybrook, and during exchanges between the driver and the NCO, there was no mention by either party of transiting through Wallan Loop. The train departed Donnybrook at about 1857 and was in the affected section when ST23 arrived at Kilmore East. 

Train ST23 journey from Sydney to Albury

Passenger train ST23, operated by NSW Trains, was to be the third train through Wallan Loop under the modified train working arrangements. The train was comprised of leading power car XP2018, 5 passenger cars of varying configuration, and a trailing power car. It was a single-driver operation.

ST23 departed Central Station in Sydney at 0741 on 20 February 2020, just after the scheduled departure time of 0740. The train service was to travel through NSW, into Victoria, and to arrive at its final destination at Southern Cross Station (Melbourne) at 1830 that evening (Figure 2).

Figure 2: Train route from Sydney to Melbourne

Figure 2: Train route from Sydney to Melbourne

Source: Google Maps, annotated by CITS

The train proceeded south and arrived at Junee in southern NSW at 1452,[10] about 85 minutes behind schedule. There was a change of driver at Junee. The train departed Junee at 1456 and continued south, arriving in Albury on the NSW–Victorian border at 1637. There was a change in passenger services crew at Albury. The new passenger services crew comprised a passenger services supervisor (PSS), a crew member training for the supervisory role, and 3 passenger attendants.

Train ST23 journey from Albury

Train ST23 departed Albury at 1644, about 89 minutes behind schedule, and entered the Victorian section of its journey. After departing Albury, there was an announcement to passengers, tickets were checked, and the passenger services crew walked through the passenger cars checking door locks and equipment. Later, the driver was provided with a snack while the train was stopped at Wangaratta and the train departed that station at 1722, 87 minutes behind schedule.

Beyond Benalla, the focus of several of the passenger services crew was on meal activities in the buffet car. The crew described the journey as normal, although passengers were reported to be frustrated with the delays. ST23’s delay had originated prior to Junee.

At about 1840, the NCO at ARTC Network Control[11] contacted the driver of ST23 regarding a network alarm that had been received.[12] Later in the communication, the NCO advised the driver that ST23 would come into Kilmore East and wait until a V/Line train had passed.[13] As part of this communication, the controller mentioned that ‘you’re going via the loop there at Wallan’. The response from the driver did not reference the train’s route via Wallan Loop.

Train ST23 at Kilmore East

Train ST23 continued south before coming to a stand at about 1856 at intermediate home[14] signal KME28, which was displaying a stop indication. There was a standard-gauge passing lane at Kilmore East, with designated East and West Lines, and ST23 had been routed via the East Line (Figure 3).[15]

Figure 3: Kilmore East standard-gauge passing lane shown in black (not to scale)

Figure 3: Kilmore East standard-gauge passing lane shown in black (not to scale)

The schematic shows the track at Kilmore East including the passing lane. Only the signalling for the standard-gauge track is shown. NSW Trains’ services did not use the broad-gauge track.
Source: ARTC, modified and annotated by CITS

The driver of ST23 contacted the NCO at about 1904 and inquired when they might receive permission to proceed. ST23 was required to wait until the northbound V/Line train 8625 had cleared the single-line section.

At around this time, several rail workers were preparing for the arrival of ST23 at signal KME16 (at Kilmore East). These rail workers were to assist ST23 with the train working arrangements between Kilmore East and Donnybrook. Among these rail workers were an (in-field) signaller (referred to in this report as the signaller) and an accompanying qualified worker (AQW).[16] The AQW would accompany the driver from Kilmore East to Donnybrook and arrange the activation of level crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road just south of Wallan Loop.

ST23 was the first train that the signaller and AQW were to assist after commencing their shifts. The signaller had first arrived at Donnybrook at about 1830, and then travelled to Kilmore East to start their shift. The AQW had also first attended Donnybrook before travelling to Kilmore East. At the start of their shift, the AQW was provided with a copy of TN 367 and then briefed on the transit through the loop and the requirement to advise the driver.[17]

At about 1915, while ST23 was stopped at signal KME28, the signaller positioned near signal KME16 contacted the NCO to advise that they had come on shift and taken over from the previous signaller. During this call, train authority 17 (TA 17) for ST23 to proceed between Kilmore East and Donnybrook was issued to the signaller by the NCO. The NCO read TA 17 to the signaller, describing that the authority was issued in accordance with train notices 266 and 367, that the points at Wallan Loop were set and secured for No.2 track, and that there was a maximum speed entering the loop of 15 km/h and a maximum speed exiting the loop of 35 km/h. From this NCO dictation, the signaller completed their copy of the train authority form and then read the completed TA 17 back to the NCO. The NCO noted the time of the readback as 1920.

A condition affecting the network (CAN)[18] notice was then completed by the signaller under the instruction of the NCO. This notice was to warn train crew of the condition of the Wallan–‍Whittlesea Road level crossing protection, and that the protection was being manually operated. The CAN was designated number 7, and the readback of CAN 7 to the NCO by the signaller was noted by the NCO as being completed at 1921.

ST23 was held at signal KME28 on the East Line until the northbound V/line passenger train 8625 had transited the Donnybrook to Kilmore East single-line section, passed signal KME2, and was travelling along the West Line through Kilmore East. The V/Line train was clear of the single-line section by about 1925 and, soon after, the driver of ST23 was given permission by the NCO to proceed to home departure signal KME16,[19] still on the East Line within the Kilmore East location.

ST23 arrived at signal KME16 at about 1931. The train was met by several rail workers, including the signaller and the AQW. Shortly prior to the train’s arrival, the signaller gave documents TA 17 and CAN 7 to the AQW and briefed the AQW on their content. The AQW boarded the leading power car and joined the driver at the head of the train, and gave TA 17 and CAN 7 to the driver. It was intended that the AQW would accompany the driver for the 24 km section to Donnybrook. The XPT cab was not fitted with a cab voice recording facility (and was not required to be), and there was no record of the conversation between the AQW and driver.[20]

At about 1932, while the train was stopped at signal KME16, the driver and the on-duty NCO communicated via the train radio. This exchange included the NCO asking whether the driver had received all the paperwork, and the driver responding ‘yeah, authority 17 and CAN number 7 filled out ahh the same way it has been for the … rest of the time’.

During this communication between the NCO and driver, the NCO did not read the content of TA 17 to the driver, and the driver did not read back the content of TA 17 to the NCO.[21] The NCO commented ‘points all set for the loop’. The driver’s response to the controller did not reference transiting via the crossing loop (No.2 track) at Wallan. There was no communication between the controller and driver regarding the maximum speed of 15 km/h for entering Wallan Loop.

Derailment of train ST23

The train departed signal KME16 at about 1934 and entered the single-line section towards Wallan and Donnybrook. The line speed for the XPT between Kilmore East and Donnybrook was 130 km/h.[22] After departing from signal KME16, the speed of the train was increased and initially maintained between 100 km/h and 120 km/h.[23]

The AQW was to ensure that the active level crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road in Wallan was in place for the passage of the train.[24] A level crossing keeper (LCK)[25] was located at the crossing to activate the crossing protection. The AQW contacted the LCK by phone at approximately 1941, when the train was at about the 52 km mark. The LCK reported activating the crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road and confirmed its activation to the AQW. This phone call lasted about 53 seconds and the LCK did not recall anything unusual about the communications with the AQW. The call was completed when the train was about 4.5 km from the level crossing and 2.7 km from the entry to Wallan Loop.

The speed of ST23 then increased towards the line speed of 130 km/h as the train approached Wallan. At about 1943, ST23 was approaching the northern end of Wallan Loop when an emergency brake application was made. Brake cylinder pressure was recorded as commencing to rise when ST23 was between 153 and 50 m from the turnout.[26] This slowed the train a small amount before it entered the turnout travelling at a speed estimated to be between 114 and 127 km/h. The train was not able to negotiate the turnout to the No.2 track (loop) at this speed and derailed (Figure 4). The leading power car rolled onto its left side. The trailing 5 passenger cars remained upright although tilted by varying amounts, and the rear power car remained upright on the track.

Figure 4: Aerial photograph of derailment site

Figure 4: Aerial photograph of derailment site

Source: ATSB

Emergency response

At the time of the derailment, there were 155 passengers,[27] the driver, 5 passenger services crew members and the AQW on board the train. The driver and AQW were in the driver’s cab, a passenger services crew member was in the second passenger car and the other 4 passenger services crew members were in the buffet car (the third passenger car).

After the train came to a stop, the passenger services supervisor (PSS) called the train crew on a hand-held radio and received responses from the other members of the passenger services crew. However, the driver did not respond and the AQW was not in possession of a NSW Trains issued radio.

Two members of the passenger services crew then commenced raising the emergency using their hand-held radios.[28] The crew members made several emergency calls seeking assistance, advising that the XPT had derailed and requesting that all trains stop.

A V/Line signaller based at Wallan heard the emergency calls and responded within about 25 seconds of the first recorded ‘emergency emergency emergency’ radio broadcast by the passenger services crew. On confirming the nature of the emergency, the Wallan signaller contacted V/Line network control at Centrol.[29] Centrol then contacted ARTC Network Control at Junee at about 1945, relaying the information that the XPT may have derailed. During this communication, Centrol also advised ARTC Network Control that V/Line would stop trains on the broad-gauge tracks that ran parallel to the standard gauge. In response to the Centrol call, ARTC sought confirmation of what had happened and initiated its response.

Emergency services recorded the first ‘000’ call for assistance from a train passenger, time-stamped 1945:06.[30] This was followed by a series of calls from other passengers, members of the passenger services crew, and members of V/Line and ARTC.

Around this time or soon after, some passengers started to self-evacuate from the train prior to the passenger services crew receiving confirmation that rail traffic in the area had been stopped. Although passengers were told to vacate adjacent tracks and leave their belongings behind, video footage and photographs showed that there were mixed levels of compliance with these instructions.

In response to the emergency, passenger services crew undertook a range of tasks including managing passengers that had evacuated onto the track and attending to passengers on the train. At different times, three passenger services crew members also went to the leading power car to check on the driver and AQW. Two crew members separately entered the power car through its right-side cab door, accessible from the ‘top’ of the car laying on its left side. Finding it difficult from within the cab to assist the driver and AQW, who had both been trapped by track ballast and earth that had entered the cab, the crew attempted to break the cab’s windscreen to gain access from outside.[31] However, attempts by the passenger services crew to gain this ground-level access from outside the cab were unsuccessful.

The first emergency service to arrive on site was Victoria Police at about 2003, followed by further emergency, medical and fire services. However, both the driver and the AQW did not survive.

As a result of the movement of the passenger cars during the derailment sequence, 8 passengers were seriously injured and a reported 53 received minor injuries.[32] The 5 passenger services crew members also received minor injuries.

Context

Train operator

Train ST23 was operated by NSW Trains trading as NSW TrainLink.[33] NSW Trains was established in 2013 as part of a restructure of rail arrangements in New South Wales (NSW). NSW Trains operated regional rail and coach services in NSW and interstate rail passenger services between Sydney (NSW) and the east coast capital cities of Melbourne (Victoria) and Brisbane (Queensland).

In accordance with the Rail Safety National Law (RSNL), NSW Trains was an accredited rolling stock operator (RSO), that was defined (in part) as having ‘… effective control and management of the operation or movement of rolling stock on rail infrastructure for a railway…’.[34] As an RSO, NSW Trains was also defined in the RSNL as a rail transport operator and had defined safety duties.[35]

Train information

The XPT (Express Passenger Train) ST23 operating on 20 February 2020 was comprised of 7 vehicles (Figure 5). The leading 3 vehicles were manufactured by ABB Transportation in Dandenong, Victoria, and were commissioned in 1993. The trailing 4 vehicles were manufactured by Comeng in Granville, NSW, and were commissioned between 1981 and 1984. The fleet of XPT vehicles was maintained by Sydney Trains.[36]

Figure 5: Train configuration

Figure 5: Train configuration

Source: Vehicle images supplied by Sydney Trains, annotated by CITS

The XPT was first introduced into service in 1982 and was based on the InterCity 125/Class 43 design used in the United Kingdom. The power car included a forward driver’s cab that was located ahead of a compartment housing propulsive machinery. Cab features included side doors for primary access (fitted on the left and right sides of the driver’s cab), a rear door to the machinery space, the driver’s seat that was positioned slightly left of the car centreline, and a second seat that was located to its right (Figure 6).

Figure 6: Power car layout and cab seat arrangement

Figure 6: Power car layout and cab seat arrangement

Source: RailCorp (NSW Transport), annotated by CITS

A post-derailment review of the condition of the ST23 rolling stock did not identify any adverse rolling stock condition or defect that was likely to have contributed to the derailment. The review involved inspections, testing and an examination of maintenance records (Appendix A).

Inspections were conducted at several locations and included observations at the derailment site, inspection of vehicles XP2000 and XFH2108 at the Sydenham Maintenance Centre, and inspection of vehicles XP2018, XAM2179, XL2229, XBR2155 and XF2201 at the Auburn UGL facility. Post-occurrence testing conducted by Sydney Trains and witnessed by the Office of Transport Safety Investigations (OTSI) included testing of braking, vigilance and communication systems.

Personnel information

Driver

The driver of train ST23 had been associated with the rail industry for about 40 years, employed in a range of roles including driving, training, and management. They returned to driving in mid-2016 as a regional driver with NSW Trains and were assessed as competent on the route between Junee and Melbourne in July 2019. The driver was qualified to operate the XPT train and had completed continuation training (safeworking).

Typically when driving the XPT services between Junee and Melbourne, they would drive the Junee to Melbourne leg of the Sydney to Melbourne service and, following a period of rest in Melbourne, drive the return journey to Junee. After the commencement of train authority working through Wallan on 6 February 2020, they drove the Junee–Melbourne–Junee round trip (including a rostered rest period in Melbourne) 4 times between 8 and 19 February, including several trips after all signals within the section had been extinguished.

On 20 February, the driver’s shift commenced in Junee at 1315 and their scheduled sign-off in Melbourne was at 1845.[37] As a result of the delayed arrival of ST23 into Junee (85 minutes), the commencement of driving duties were delayed (to 1456) and would have led to a late arrival in Melbourne. A review of the driver’s roster and recent history found there was insufficient evidence to conclude that the driver was experiencing a level of fatigue that would adversely affect their performance (Appendix B).

The driver was medically assessed as fit for duty (unconditional) in accordance with the requirements for a Category 1 Safety Critical Worker[38] and no pre-existing health issues were identified that were likely to have contributed to the occurrence. Further, toxicology results did not identify any substance that may have impaired performance.

There was no evidence of any phone calls to or from the driver or messages sent from the driver’s phone in the period immediately prior to the occurrence.

Passenger services crew

There were 5 passenger services crew members on board ST23, one more than the normal complement. Their years of service ranged between 1 and 13 years. The passenger services crew consisted of:

  • a passenger services supervisor (PSS) responsible for overall supervision of the passenger operations and the management of passengers in an emergency[39] 
  • a senior passenger attendant (SPA) responsible for the buffet operations and ticket sales
  • a passenger attendant 4 (PA4) responsible for assisting the SPA in the buffet, and assisting with general passenger duties along the train
  • a passenger attendant 2 (PA2) responsible for general passenger duties along the train
  • an additional crew member who was shadowing the PSS as part of on-the-job training.
The accompanying qualified worker

The accompanying qualified worker (AQW) on board ST23 was employed by Programmed, a labour-hire organisation that provided skilled workers across a range of industries including transport. Programmed supplied several personnel to ARTC from 4 February 2020 to assist with the management of rail traffic between Donnybrook and Kilmore East.

The AQW was certified to Track Protection Coordination level 3.2, most recently renewed in March 2019. They had completed several safeworking related training modules including (in 2017) the units TLIC2081 (Pilot rail traffic within work on track authority limits)[40] and TLIL3083 (Implement a track work authority and manage rail traffic through worksites).

The AQW had been with Programmed since 2006. Records[41] indicated that the worker had been engaged by several rail operators in Victoria in various roles, and in recent years primarily as a track force protection coordinator or hand signaller. There were no records identified of previous experience in performing the role of an AQW, or in train pilotage.

The AQW had been engaged at Wallan from 4 February, primarily in the role of level crossing keeper (LCK) at the Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing. All shifts from February were night shifts that mostly commenced at about 1900. On 20 February, the AQW had just commenced the night shift. A review of the AQW's roster and recent history found there was insufficient evidence to conclude that the AQW was experiencing a level of fatigue that would adversely affect their performance. The AQW was rostered off duty from 16 to 18 February and conducted a night shift commencing 19 February from 1900 to 0500.

The evening of 20 February was the first time this rail worker performed the role of an AQW, and ST23 was to be their first train that evening. Reporting in at Donnybrook for the start of their shift, the AQW received a briefing from a more senior AQW on the tasks to be performed, and the conditions of transiting through the loop described in TN 367. They then travelled to Kilmore East for the start of the shift.

The AQW was medically assessed as fit for duty (unconditional) in accordance with requirements for a Category 1 Safety Critical Worker and no pre-existing health issues were identified that were likely to have contributed to the occurrence. Further, toxicology results did not identify any substance that may have impaired performance.

The network control officer

The network control officer (NCO) on duty at the time of the derailment had worked as a network controller since 2004 and was qualified on all the control boards at ARTC Junee network control. This was the first shift that this NCO had experienced the train authority process being used between Donnybrook and Kilmore East.

The NCO came on shift at about 1445. The NCO advised that they received instruction on how the train authority forms were to be used from the NCO that was previously on shift. A conversation also took place between an ActivateRail representative[42] and the NCO at 1530, during which the NCO was advised of the correct train authority forms that reflected train notice 367 (TN 367). At 1554 a further conversation took place between the NCO and the ActivateRail representative for the issuing of train authority 15 to train 8620, during which the NCO stated that they were ‘still trying to get my head round all of this’.

The NCO had been issued with the new train authority form for use under TN 367 and completed that form with the correct information in train authority 17 (TA 17) for the passage of train ST23. At interview, the NCO referred to the AQW as a ‘pilot’ and advised that they had not spoken to the ‘pilot’ that was issuing TA 17 for service ST23.

The signaller

The (in field) signaller involved in the receipt of TA 17 was employed by labour-hire firm Australian Recruiting Group (ARG Rail) and had been contracted by ActivateRail to perform the duties of a signaller on this project. They were certified to perform signalling duties and were rostered on night shifts from 1900 to 0700. Their first shift on this project was on 16 February and 20 February was their fifth consecutive night shift. At interview, the signaller also referred to the AQW as a pilot.

On the evening of 20 February 2020, the signaller, positioned at Kilmore East, was issued TA 17 and the condition affecting network (CAN) notice 7 from the NCO commencing at 1917. The signaller read back TA 17 to the NCO at 1920, and the train authority and CAN notice were then passed from the signaller to the AQW. The signaller remained at Kilmore East until the AQW had boarded train ST23. The signaller did not board the train or speak to the driver (consistent with the normal process implemented by other signallers involved in the train working arrangements). The signaller then left Kilmore East, by car, for Donnybrook with the intention of receiving the next train authority for a northbound freight train travelling between Donnybrook and Kilmore East.

Infrastructure

Network manager

ST23 was operating on the rail network managed by the Australia Rail Track Corporation (ARTC). This management included track and signalling infrastructure and rail traffic control. ARTC was created following a Commonwealth and mainland State Governments’ Intergovernmental Agreement in 1997 for the establishment of a ‘one-stop shop’ for rail operators seeking access to the standard gauge rail network between Brisbane and Perth.[43] Established in 1998, ARTC was a Government Business Enterprise fully owned by the Commonwealth of Australia.

In Victoria, the standard gauge infrastructure was leased by ARTC from VicTrack.[44] Under the agreement, ARTC was required to maintain, replace and repair the leased infrastructure to a level where its condition was no worse than it was at the commencement of the lease. There was also provision in the lease agreement that, in addition to maintenance, repair and renewal works, ARTC could undertake capital works at its own cost and risk.

In accordance with the RSNL, ARTC was an accredited rail infrastructure manager (RIM), that was defined (in part) as having ‘…effective control and management of the rail infrastructure…’.[45] As a RIM, ARTC was also defined as a rail transport operator in the RSNL and had defined safety duties.[46] ARTC was also accredited as a rolling stock operator.

Track

The XPT service was running on the standard-gauge interstate track that connected Sydney and Melbourne. The standard-gauge track between Donnybrook and Kilmore East was a single, bi‑directional line used by the XPT, V/Line passenger services and rail freight.

On this single-line section, there was a 1,550 m crossing loop located at Wallan (Figure 7). The northern entry to this loop was located about 1.8 km north of Wallan–Whittlesea Road. Towards the southern end of Wallan Loop was Wallan Railway Station, which serviced broad-gauge passenger trains operated by V/Line.[47]

Figure 7: Standard-gauge track and signals at Wallan Loop (not to scale)

Figure 7: Standard-gauge track and signals at Wallan Loop (not to scale)

The schematic shows the standard-gauge track at Wallan including the crossing loop. The standard-gauge tracks are shown in black, and the adjacent broad-gauge tracks in red. Only the signalling for the standard-gauge track is shown in this figure.
Source: ARTC, modified and annotated by CITS

Wallan Loop northern turnout

The turnout at the northern end of the Wallan Loop was located at the 49.058 km mark (Figure 8). The turnout design was reported by ARTC as being rated for a train speed of 25 km/h (for entry into the loop) and the maximum operational speed was 15 km/h in accordance with the ARTC operating code of practice.[48] It consisted of 60 kg/m rail on timber bearers, with a cast V-crossing. Following the left turnout, the right curve (in the direction of travel) along the No.2 track had a radius of about 420 m.

Figure 8: Elevated view of northern turnout to No. 2 track at Wallan Loop

Figure 8: Elevated view of northern turnout to No. 2 track at Wallan Loop

The photograph shows the turnout and signal WLN8 on 21 February 2020 after the passage of train ST23 and its derailment. The points are set for the No.2 track as they were at the time of the derailment.

Source: ATSB

For southbound trains approaching the northern end of Wallan Loop, there was a downhill gradient of approximately 1:150 and the track was tangent (straight) for about the final 800 m of the approach to the turnout with trees lining the rail corridor. The approach track was comprised of 60 kg/m rail, fastened to concrete sleepers.

Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing

The Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing was located just south of Wallan Loop (Figure 9).

Figure 9: Aerial view of Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing and surrounds

Figure 9: Aerial view of Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing and surrounds

Source: Pass Assets, annotated by CITS

The Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing was fitted with active protection that included boom barriers, flashing lights and bells. While the signalling system at Wallan was being repaired, the crossing protection was manually activated by a level crossing keeper (LCK) located at the crossing. The operation of the crossing protection for each train was initiated by a call from the AQW travelling on the approaching train.

Signalling

Approach from Kilmore East towards Wallan Loop

Approaching from Kilmore East, the first signal to advise of the state of the turnout at Wallan Loop was signal ES1712 located about 2.7 km prior to the northern turnout to Wallan Loop.[49] At the time of the derailment, signal ES1712 was extinguished and was fitted with a black cross near its base to indicate that it was not functioning (Figure 10).

Figure 10: Signal ES1712 following derailment, non-operational and with cross affixed

Figure 10: Signal ES1712 following derailment, non-operational and with cross affixed

Source: CITS

Signal ES1712 was a 3-position automatic signal. When operational, the signal would provide an indication of any speed reduction required approaching the next signal (WLN8) at Wallan Loop. A normal speed warning indication (yellow over red) at ES1712 would require a driver to be prepared to stop at the next fixed signal (WLN8) at the entry to Wallan Loop. If the train was signalled for the straight (No.1 track) at Wallan Loop, ES1712 would show a clear normal speed indication (green over red).

Wallan Loop Up home signal

Entry to the northern end of Wallan Loop was normally controlled by signal WLN8. At the time of the derailment, signal WLN8 was extinguished and was fitted with a black cross near its base to indicate that it was not functioning (Figure 11).

Signal WLN8 authorised train movements in the Up (towards Melbourne) direction. When operational, signal WLN8 could provide several indications (Figure 11). For train movements routed on the straight track at line speed, signal WLN8 would show a clear normal speed indication. For movements into the crossing loop, the low speed caution indication was used, which meant that trains must not exceed 15 km/h. Trains could also be signalled to stop at signal WLN8.

Figure 11: Signal WLN8 possible indications (left) and on day of occurrence (right)

Figure 11: Signal WLN8 possible indications (left) and on day of occurrence (right)

 

The figure shows the possible indication for signal WLN8 (when operational), and a photograph of the signal extinguished. The photograph of signal WLN8 also shows the black cross that was attached to the signal post.
Source: CITS

Broad-gauge signal near Wallan Loop entry

A broad-gauge distant signal was located about 45 m to the north of WLN8 and was probably indicating a proceed (green) aspect at the time ST23 passed (Figure 12).[50] This broad-gauge signal did not apply to the operation of ST23, which was running on the standard-gauge line.

Figure 12: Probable aspect of broad-gauge signal at the northern end of Wallan Loop

Figure 12: Probable aspect of broad-gauge signal at the northern end of Wallan Loop

The figure shows the approach to the Wallan Loop turnout. The image has been modified to show the extinguished state of standard gauge signal WLN8 and the probable proceed (green) indication of broad-gauge distant signal at the time of the derailment. In this image, the points are set for the straight and the black cross is not fitted to the base of signal WLN8 as the image was taken prior to the signalling failure.
Source: V/Line training video, with signal aspects modified and annotated by CITS

Environmental conditions

The conditions at the derailment location were dry. At 1930 at the nearest weather station, located at Kilmore Gap,[51] the temperature was recorded as 13°C, and the wind was from the south at 32 km/h. These weather conditions were unlikely to have been a factor in this occurrence.

The derailment occurred about 30 minutes before sunset. At 1943 at Wallan, the sun was at an azimuth[52] of 259°48'28" and altitude[53] of 5°02'59".[54] The direction of travel was 223° from true north, meaning the sun was about 36° to the right of the driver’s direct view ahead and low in the sky.

Photographs taken soon after the derailment showed a mostly cloud-covered sky with a break in the clouds on the southern horizon towards which ST23 was travelling. The sky near the horizon was therefore probably bright (with possible sun glare) when train ST23 approached Wallan. However, the circumstances of this occurrence do not suggest that visibility approaching Wallan Loop was a factor in the overspeed of ST23.

Management of rail traffic between Donnybrook and Kilmore East

Background

Late on 3 February 2020, ARTC identified that signalling had been disrupted around Wallan due to a fire in the signalling equipment hut. As a result of the damage to the signalling system, ARTC commenced managing rail traffic through the section using caution orders and other safeworking rules, consistent with the ARTC Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations (TA20). The rules associated with caution orders meant that trains were restricted to speeds not exceeding 25 km/h, which contributed to service delays of probably at least 45 minutes.[55]

To reduce delays, ARTC sought an alternative method of managing trains in the 24 km section between the passing lanes at Donnybrook and Kilmore East. The use of caution orders under the CTC safeworking system was then replaced with a method using train authorities that permitted train speeds up to normal line speed. Train authorities had previously been used by ARTC during infrastructure commissioning activities.

In early February, ActivateRail[56] had been engaged by ARTC to assist with a safeworking solution to improve the passage of rail traffic between Donnybrook and Kilmore East. The scope of its services included the development and management of the safeworking solution and the provision of qualified signalling personnel for its implementation. ActivateRail in turn engaged ARG Rail for the provision of an additional 3 qualified signallers.

ARTC also sourced personnel from labour-hire firm Programmed to assist with the implementation of the train working arrangements. Contracted workers included accompanying qualified workers (AQWs), car drivers (to transport personnel), level crossing keepers (LCKs), and track force protection staff.

Train notice 266 description of train working arrangements

Initial issue of Train Notice 266

The use of train authorities between Donnybrook and Kilmore East in February 2020 was notified by train notice 266 (TN 266), issued on 6 February 2020 and effective from 1900 on that day (Appendix C). The train notice was a typed document of 6 pages and provided the following introduction to the change of conditions:

TRAIN AUTHORITY WORKING DONNYBROOK PASSING LANE TO KILMORE EAST PASSING LANE:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Owing to signalling disarranged at Wallan Loop, commencing 1900hrs on Thursday 06/02/2020, rail traffic will operate by means of Train Authority issued by the ARTC Network Controller between signal DBK6 and DBK18 Donnybrook Passing Lane, and signals KME4 and KME16 at Kilmore East Passing Lane.
All signalling between Donnybrook Passing Lane and Kilmore East Passing Lane will be disarranged and the Train Authority single line section will be Donnybrook Passing Lane to Kilmore East Passing Lane.

TN 266 advised the details of the signals that were disarranged, and that black crosses were affixed to the posts of disarranged signals. TN 266 advised that within the affected section:

It should be noted that the signal may be lit and any aspect displayed may be ignored provided the driver of the rail movement is in possession of a Train Authority as detailed in this Train Notice.[57]

TN 266 also advised that the points at either end of Wallan Loop would be placed in the hand‑operating position and clipped in the normal (straight) position, and that signage would be installed at each end of the section advising of the transition between CTC and train authority working.

TN 266 discussed the roles of the various parties and advised:

ARTC NETWORK CONTROLLER
-----------------------------------------------
The ARTC Network Controller is responsible for ensuring the track is safe for traffic prior to each rail movement and issuing a Train Authority for a rail movement to proceed between Donnybrook Passing Lane to Kilmore East Passing Lane.
SIGNALLER
-----------------
A signaller will attend Donnybrook Passing Lane, or Kilmore East Passing Lane to receive a Train Authority and CAN from the ARTC Network Controller and issue it to the driver of each rail movement.
The signaller will deliver the Train Authority and CAN to the driver of the rail movement as required.
ACCOMPANYING QUALIFIED WORKER
-------------------------------------------------------
All rail movements operating between Donnybrook Passing Lane to Kilmore East Passing Lane during the period of the Train Authority Working will be provided with an Accompanying Qualified Worker who will advise the driver of the rail movement the activities occurring and the affected infrastructure.

TN 266 further specified the processes to be used for the issuing of the train authority to the driver. It described a requirement for the (in-field) signaller to read back the contents of the train authority to the NCO, and for delivery to the driver TN 266 stated:

The signaller may then hand the Train Authority to the driver and the driver must sign for the Train Authority on the butt of the form. The signaller will deliver the Train Authority to the driver of the rail movement as required.

TN 266 also described the processes for the issuing of a condition affecting the network (CAN) notice, which was required because the Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing protection was not operating normally.[58] The described process included the signaller delivering the CAN to the driver.

For the passage through the section under the train working arrangements, TN 266 stated:

RAIL MOVEMENT PASSAGE THROUGH SECTION
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Prior to entering the section, the driver must verify the Train Authority with the ARTC Network Controller.
The Accompanying Qualified Worker must also board the locomotive and once the Train Authority has been verified, the Accompanying Qualified Worker must advise the train crew of the work activities and that details of the non-operational level crossings.
The rail movement may proceed through the section in the normal manner.
As the movement approaches the Wallan - Whittlesea Rd level crossing at Wallan Loop. The Accompanying Qualified Worker must contact the level crossing keeper and advise of the rail movements approach, and when advised, the level crossing keeper operate the test switch to activate the level crossing and provide the driver the ‘all clear’ hand signal.
Changes to train notice 266

TN 266 was updated and reissued on 7 February. This amended notice introduced reference to the arrangements being in exception of a rule within TA20 and stated:[59]

SIGNALLING DISARRANGED
--------------------------------------------
Rule 5, clause b Section 5 of TA20 will not apply for the disarranged signals and the signals will have a black cross affixed to the signal post and the signal may be lit.
The following signals are disarranged and have a black cross affixed to the post of the signal…

TN 266 was further amended and re-issued by ARTC on 13 February 2020 (Appendix D). Amendments included:

  • removal of the advice that signals in the section may remain lit[60]
  • addition of text advising that ‘Repeat Back of the Train Authority is not required to be undertaken by the driver of the rail movement’
  • replacement of ‘The rail movement may proceed through the section in the normal manner’ with ‘The rail movement may proceed through the section up to track speed as advised by the Accompanying Qualified Worker’
  • addition of the instruction that ‘The driver must approach the level crossing with caution, prepared to stop short of the crossing unless the ‘all clear’ hand signal has been provided’
  • that Rule 1, Section 3, did not apply during Train Authority Working.[61]
Train authority form

A train authority form was prepared for use as part of the process described in TN 266 (Appendix E). This form was then to be completed by the NCO and the (in-field) signaller.

Application of train notice 266

In-practice application of TN 266

The method applied for issuing a train authority to a driver travelling in the section between Donnybrook and Kilmore East involved the on-duty ARTC NCO at Junee, an in-field signaller (the signaller) and an AQW. Key steps used by these parties in practice were:

  • The NCO and signaller were both provided with train authority forms to be used under TN 266 (Appendix E).
  • The signaller positioned themselves at whichever end of the Donnybrook–Kilmore East section that was to receive the next train.
  • Prior to the arrival of the next train, the signaller contacted the NCO to obtain details specific to the next train movement and was issued with a train authority.[62] The issuing process involved the NCO dictating the details of the train authority to the signaller and the signaller completing the form accordingly.
  • The signaller then read back the completed train authority to the NCO to verify its contents.
  • A CAN notice was also completed by the signaller under the instruction of the NCO.[63]
  • The signaller gave the completed train authority and CAN notice to the AQW and, on the train’s arrival, the AQW boarded the driver’s cab of the train. There was no contact between the signaller and the driver of the train.
  • Once on board, the AQW gave the train authority and CAN notice to the driver. The driver then contacted the NCO to verify the train authority. ARTC network control required the driver to verify the train authority to the NCO by its number only. There was no expectation that the driver would read the content of the train authority to the NCO, and no provision made on the train authority form for the driver to sign the form.
Train authority statistics

Between 6 and 20 February, 255 train authorities were issued for the section between Donnybrook and Kilmore East; 126 were issued at Donnybrook and 129 at Kilmore East.[64] Two of these authorities were cancelled owing to errors, one at each location.

Of the 255 train authorities issued, 55 were issued to XPT drivers, with 8 being issued to the driver of train ST23 prior to the day of the derailment. TA 17 was the ninth train authority that the driver had received. Drivers of other (non-XPT) passenger trains received 59 train authorities.

There were several instances during the two weeks where the signaller was issued a train authority for the single line section between Donnybrook and Kilmore East prior to the previous train authority for the single line section being cancelled. This was contrary to the instructions of TN 266.

Between 6 and 20 February, there were 21 NCOs and 5 signallers involved in the issuing of the authorities.

Driver readback statistics

Even though the train working arrangements did not specify a requirement for drivers to read back the train authority to the NCO, over a quarter of V/Line drivers and some others read the train authority back to the controller. The proportion was about the same before and after the (13 February) amendment of TN 266 that stated explicitly that readback was not required.

The driver of ST23 read back the train authority on their first journey under the altered train working arrangements. On subsequent trips, this driver did not read back the train authority and verified the authority by stating its number.

The reaction of NCOs to driver readback varied; on some occasions they allowed it to continue, and on other occasions they indicated to the driver that the readback was not necessary. At 1322 on 20 February 2020, when a V/Line driver was repeating back the train authority, the NCO on duty on the shift prior to the derailment, advised the driver that they did not need to repeat back. When the driver continued to repeat back the message, the NCO attempted to talk over the driver’s repeat back and instructed the driver to ‘standby’.[65] The driver continued to repeat back and advised the NCO that they were of the understanding that a repeat back to the controller was required.

Other operator queries and feedback

On establishment and the subsequent use of the alternative train working arrangements, there was disquiet within some sectors, and concern that the arrangements introduced were outside the established operating rules of TA20. The expressed concerns were mostly amongst V/Line drivers. The following is a selection of relevant actions and concerns on the train working arrangements in place:

  • On 7 February, a northbound NSW Trains driver queried the wording in TN 266 that indicated that drivers should disregard signals between signals DBK8 and KME2. The driver advised the on-duty NCO that DBK8 would be facing trains travelling in the other direction.[66] The NCO advised they would raise the matter, although there was no subsequent change to this part of TN 266.
  • On 10 February, a V/Line driver advised ARTC train control that that they would not pass signal WLN8 at stop (that was still lit), as they believed they could not treat it as a signal that could be disregarded. The driver requested separate authority to proceed, or for the lights in the signal to be extinguished, leading to a long delay in train operations through the section. The NCO advised that the instructions in the train notice covered the workings and they would not issue an additional authority as they believed this would be a second authority for the same section. All signals within the section were subsequently extinguished, and TN 266 was revised on 13 February with the text ‘the signal may be lit’ removed.
  • On 11 February, a V/Line driver made an inquiry to their management as to why ARTC had implemented train authority working when TA20 section 25.1d did not allow for such use of train authorities.
  • On 12 February, a V/Line driver advised the on-duty NCO that they had been instructed by their superiors to travel through the section at 25 km/h ‘due to the rule book’. TN 266 was reissued on 13 February with the text ‘Rule 1, Section 3, did not apply during Train Authority Working’ added and the text ‘The rail movement may proceed through the section in the normal manner’ in the original notice replaced with ‘The rail movement may proceed through the section up to track speed as advised by the Accompanying Qualified Worker.’
  • On 14 February, a V/Line driver requested that the signaller give them the train authority directly (as stated in TN 266) rather than via the AQW. This required the signaller (who had by that time departed the handover position) to return to Kilmore East to hand the train authority directly to the driver.

Train notice 367 description of changed conditions

Details of notice

Train Notice 367 (TN 367) (Appendix F) was issued on the evening of 19 February 2020 and contained additional instruction to TN 266. In relation to the changed conditions at Wallan Loop, the notice advised:

Trains Operating Via No. 2 Track Wallan Loop
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition to instructions contained in Train Notice 266 / 2020 issued on 13/02/2020 the following temporary alteration to working will apply.
On Thursday 20 February 2020 between 1430 hrs and 2130 hours, all trains will operate via No. 2 track at Wallan Loop, in the Donnybrook to Kilmore East, Train Authority Single Line Section.
At approx. 1400hrs the TFPC[67] will obtain a Track Warrant between Signal DBK8 at Donnybrook and KME4 at Kilmore East and upon Stop Boards being erected at Wallan Loop, the Safeworking Manager will set points 3 at the Melbourne end of Wallan Loop, and Points 7 at the Kilmore East end of Wallan Loop to the reverse position and then reapply the point clips and secure the point clips with special padlocks.

TN 367 also provided information on what would be in the train authority with the note:

NOTE: POINTS AT WALLAN LOOP SET AND SECURED FOR NO. 2 TRACK
MAXIMUM SPEED ENTERING WALLAN LOOP 15KPH
MAXIMUM SPEED EXITING WALLAN LOOP 35KPH UNTIL TRAIN HAS CLEARED POINTS

At the conclusion of TN 367 was the following special note:

SPECIAL NOTE:
# The maximum speed for trains entering Wallan No. 2 track and is 15Kph until the whole of the train has cleared the points, and
# The maximum speed for trains exiting Wallan No. 2 track is 35Kph until the whole of the train has cleared the points.
The Accompanying Qualified Worker must remind train crews of trains that the train will operate via No. 2 track at Wallan Loop and the speed limits required.[68]
A separate train notice details testing of signalling at Wallan after which normal main line running will resume.

The instruction in TN 367 on the maximum speed for entering Wallan Loop was not documented as a temporary speed restriction.[69] Therefore, a CAN warning for the 15 km/h speed limit at entry to Wallan Loop was not issued.

Train authority form for transit through Wallan Loop

A new train authority form was prepared for use by NCOs and (in-field) signallers during train transit through the loop (Appendix G). The form included the additional note that:

NOTE: POINTS AT WALLAN LOOP SET AND SECURED FOR NO. 2 TRACK
MAXIMUM SPEED ENTERING WALLAN LOOP 15KPH
MAXIMUM SPEED EXITING WALLAN LOOP 35KPH UNTIL TRAIN HAS CLEARED POINTS

Distribution and receipt of TN 367

ARTC distribution

ARTC procedures defined the processes to be followed for preparing, reviewing, approving and issuing operational notices (including train notices) on the ARTC network.[70] Different processes applied to different parts of the ARTC rail network. For its NSW and Queensland network, the ARTC procedures for distribution of operational notices specified direct transmission to selected internal and external stakeholders.

For Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia, approved operational notices were published on the ARTC WebRAMS (Rail Access Management System) portal.[71] Standing train notices were specified as being uploaded to this portal at approximately 1800[72] each evening. There was no specified timeframe in which a notice was to be issued prior to it coming into effect.[73] Access to WebRAMS was available to ARTC customers and stakeholders via an allocated User ID system. For rail operators operating in Victoria, the onus was therefore on them to access ARTC safety notices through this portal.

Formal distribution of TN 367 by ARTC to rail operators was via the WebRAMS portal. ARTC reported that TN 367 was uploaded to WebRAMS as part of an automated system update at 1845[74] on 19 February 2020.

In addition to the formal release (on WebRAMS), a draft of TN 367 was forwarded to V/line for comment at about 1330 on 19 February. There was no reported similar active engagement by ARTC with, or direct release of TN 367 to, NSW Trains or freight operators.

NSW Trains receipt

NSW Trains did not have an active process in place to interrogate the ARTC WebRAMS portal for network operational information related to its Victorian operations. The activity of searching the ARTC portal was inadvertently discontinued around 2017 following a restructure within NSW Trains. For its operations within Victoria, NSW Trains drew on weekly operational notices (WONs) prepared by Metro Trains Melbourne (MTM) that were issued each Tuesday for the week commencing the Wednesday.[75] The WONs included safety information for metropolitan and regional services. The WONs did not, however, typically include ARTC train notices, and reference was instead made within the WON to the ARTC WebRAMS portal.

Each week, NSW Trains extracted information from the WON that was considered relevant to its Victorian operations. This process was used to produce an information pack for NSW Trains regional drivers that would operate in Victorian territory. This information pack was then placed in the pigeonhole of each driver at their Junee base. It was a driver’s responsibility to collect the information from their pigeonhole and assimilate that information.

No evidence was identified to indicate that NSW Trains was aware of TN 367 prior to the occurrence. WON Issue No.07, which was published on 18 February 2020, did not include information from TN 367. This WON did contain TN 266 (as amended on 13 February), which was the ongoing train notice for the Kilmore East to Donnybrook section at the time of the release of WON 07. Its direct inclusion in the WON was not standard practice and was instead the result of V/Line re-issuing ARTC TN 266 (as amended on 13 February) within its own safety information distribution system.

Extracts from WON 07 were prepared for distribution to NSW Trains drivers by 1139 on the morning of 20 February. The information pack (that did not include information on TN 367) was reported as being placed in the pigeonholes of regional drivers (at Junee) by 1247 the same day. It could not be confirmed whether the driver of ST23 had read the information pack issued on that day. There was no functioning system to assure that drivers read and understood the distributed safety information.

For its operations on the NSW portion of the ARTC network, NSW Trains received SAFE notices directly from ARTC.[76]

V/Line receipt and distribution

Normal V/Line process entailed driver supervisors checking the WebRAMS portal after the evening publishing of ARTC notices on that portal and distributing train notices to affected drivers.

In the case of TN 367, V/Line also received pre-information by email at 1333 on 19 February. ARTC provided V/Line with a draft of TN 367, although the distribution was not accompanied by an assessment of risk and risk controls. The notice was then circulated to various staff within V/Line with safety responsibilities. At 1434, a V/Line member of staff responded that:

there should be track force protection mainly, due to the fact that for the past week we have been running at line speed, thru No.1 road, now we have a change to No.2 road with the necessary speed reductions.

In response to receiving TN 367, V/Line published a V/Line safe working circular (SW.0024.2020), incorporating TN 367, for distribution to all drivers. The V/Line drivers that were to run through Wallan Loop on 20 February were also contacted by their driver supervisor prior to their shift and advised of the change in operating conditions at Wallan Loop.

The issuing of TA 17 to ST23 under TN 266 and TN 367

On 20 February, the issuing of the train authority (TA 17) for the passage of train ST23 followed the same processes as had been used during the previous 2 weeks. The NCO issued TA 17 to the signaller, and that process included a signaller readback. The copy of TA 17 completed by the signaller was consistent with the TA 17 that was completed by the NCO. The signaller’s copy of TA 17 was then transferred via the AQW to the driver of ST23, again consistent with the processes used in the previous weeks.[77]

Operating rules

Safeworking rules and use of train authorities

ARTC operating rules for Victoria were defined in the ARTC Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations (TA20).[78] This code described the following safeworking systems for those parts of the ARTC network covered by the code:[79]

  • centralised traffic control (CTC)
  • the train order system.

Prior to the signalling hut fire at Wallan in early February 2020, rail traffic through this section was managed using the CTC system described in section 17 of TA20. In the case of signal failure, this section provided for the use of caution orders and CTC arrival messages. The caution order form used in conjunction with a CTC system required that traffic ‘proceed cautiously’ …. ‘in accordance with Rule 1, Section 3’.[80]

The use of train authorities in the circumstances that were present between Donnybrook and Kilmore East in February 2020 was not provided for in TA20. The procedures associated with train authorities were specified in section 25 of TA20. This section stated that ‘Train Authority Working[81] must be used as specified by the individual operation of the safeworking system’. For sections with Centralised Traffic Control, the scope of train authority use was specified in TA20 as:[82]

  • to assist a disabled train
  • train to return to the crossing loop in the rear
  • working a train to the point of an obstruction on one or both sides.

For those circumstances where the use of a train authority was permitted, section 25 of TA20 described the methods of delivery, books of train authority forms, and verification protocols. The processes subsequently used in the train working between Donnybrook and Kilmore East were not consistent with those described in section 25 of TA20.

Communication requirements in TA20

Section 25 described that a driver must not proceed into the section unless the train authority was fully understood.[83] Verbal communication requirements were also specified in section 1 of TA20, although the direct applicability of this section to the train working arrangements in use at the time of the derailment is unclear. Section 1 stated that ‘the receiver must confirm the content of a message by repeating the message back exactly as it was received to the sender, if the communication is about: …… special working.[84]

The same clause of TA20 section 1 also addressed the relaying of communications and stated that ‘if it is not possible for a sender to communicate directly with an intended receiver, Competent Workers may relay the content’. In this case, direct communication between drivers (the intended receiver) and the NCO was possible via radio.

Condition affecting the network (CAN)

Within the ARTC operating rules for Victoria (TA20), Section 1, rule 7.a. provided information on the issuing of CAN warnings and stated that the ‘Condition Affecting the Network (CAN) form is used by Network Controllers when giving written warning to rail traffic crews if … faulty or potentially faulty level crossings have been reported’.[85] The use of a CAN to notify drivers of the manual operation of the level crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road was consistent with this description.[86]

Other rules

Other codes and rules that described potentially relevant safeworking systems and procedures were also reviewed (Appendix H). None were considered directly relevant to this occurrence.

Risk management

ARTC risk management system

ARTC captured operational risks on the ARTC network in its enterprise risk management system (ERMS). The ERMS was a repository of identified risks, risk controls and risk owners.

For the top event of derailment, 44 potential causes were recorded. The top event of derailment was for any train type, and risks associated with passenger operations were not separately considered.

Of the 44 identified causes of derailment, the cause ‘Train driver error (eg. overspeed)’ was listed and was linked to 15 risk controls. ‘Other rail operator’ was identified as the responsible party for 6 of these controls that pertained to the rolling stock operator, and included controls such as driver competency, route knowledge and fatigue management. ARTC was identified as the responsible party for the remaining 9 risk controls. Of these ARTC controls, the first 2 listed were ‘ATMS (where in place)’[87] and ‘Two person train operation (where in place)’. Neither of these controls was applicable to passenger train operations in Victoria. Of the remaining 7 controls allocated to ARTC responsibility, the most significant were ‘Network rules and procedures’, ‘Track signage’ and ‘Train graphs’ that were each rated as ‘partially effective’.

Within other causes for derailment, the risk control of ‘ARTC Safety Management System (SMS)’ was a common risk control and rated as ‘substantially effective’. For the derailment cause of ‘Human Factors’, train notices were listed as an administrative control and rated as ‘minimally effective’.

For operations of the XPT on the ARTC network, the risk management interface between ARTC and NSW Trains was described in a 2011 interface agreement that was agreed between ARTC and RailCorp.[88] The document included a risk review table describing the risk of derailment due to train overspeed, although this document had not been updated since the agreement in 2011.

ARTC risk management procedure

ARTC’s safety management system (SMS) included a risk management procedure that advised that the identification and management of risk occurs at all levels of ARTC.[89] This procedure was described as being consistent with ISO 31000:2018 Risk Management – Guidelines[90] (Standards Australia 2018) and included different types of risk assessment and approaches (Appendix I).

This risk management procedure included requirements for a risk study or assessment for a range of activities and system changes. It specified that formal risk studies were usually undertaken for complex activities where potential impact was likely to be significant. The listed types of activities where the procedure suggested a formal risk study may be considered appropriate included:

  • significant civil works, such as tunnel construction, bridge construction
  • technical operational changes, such as introduction of new signal/track infrastructure
  • safety-critical system changes, such as network control system changes.

Consistent with the overarching procedure, the relevant ARTC work instruction[91] for the application of risk management referenced alignment with ISO 31000. The work instruction specified establishing the objectives, context and scope to be carried out by the workshop convenor prior to a risk workshop taking place.

Application of risk management for train working arrangements

Risk workshop and development of risk management plan

For the train working arrangements between Donnybrook and Kilmore East from 6 February, a risk management plan was prepared. A limited risk workshop was conducted at about 1600[92] on 6 February and involved representatives from ARTC and its contractor, ActivateRail. There was no evidence of involvement of a risk specialist or risk manager in the process. The associated risk management plan was then finalised on 7 February.

This documented risk management plan was not updated for the duration of the temporary train working arrangements. ARTC advised that risks relating to the train working continued to be informally assessed as feedback was received and that changes were reflected in the amendments made to TN 266.

Context described in risk management plan

Within the ‘context setting’ section of the risk management plan, the background of the risk assessment was documented as being the re-signalling of Ararat Junction and referenced documents included the ‘Operations and Safety Commissioning plan for the commissioning of signalling at North Geelong C’. It is probable that previous plans were used as the basis for risk assessment, but not all sections of the risk management plan had been updated for the signalling disruption between Donnybrook and Kilmore East and the planned train operations.

Scope described in risk management plan

The scope documented in the risk management plan stated ‘the scope is specific to the rail operations and safeworking activities for the commissioning’. It is probable that the scope referred to a previous commissioning activity and was not updated for the extended period of train operations between Donnybrook and Kilmore East.

Consultation in risk assessment process

The ARTC risk management procedure stated that ‘a consultative approach with stakeholders must be used to determine the context, risk criteria and structure for the remainder of the process.’ The risk management plan for the train working between Donnybrook and Kilmore East identified rail operators as stakeholders. The risk worksheet associated with the plan was released to V/Line and labour-hire firm Programmed at about 1700 on 7 February, the day after TN 266 and the train working arrangements came into effect. NSW Trains and freight operators were not included in this distribution.

Outcomes of risk assessment described in risk management plan

The risk management plan for the ‘Operation of Train Auth Working between Donnybrook and Kilmore East’ identified 10 risks and associated control measures. The plan documented the treatment for each risk and ARTC was identified as the ‘responsible party’ for each risk and associated control.[93] The plan provided no evidence of treatments that had been considered but rejected.

Several described hazards were associated with works and commissioning of signals. There were no identified hazards or scenarios (and associated risks) specific to passenger train operations.

Risks associated with routing trains through Wallan Loop or derailment due to overspeed were not directly identified in the risk worksheet. There were also no subsequent changes to the risk management plan specific to the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February.

Of the 10 risk items that were identified in the plan, the risks most relevant to this investigation were:

  • rail operator not aware of the altered train working (risk item 2)
  • deactivated level crossing protection (risk item 6).

The identified risks and risk controls associated with risk item 6 and the level crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road are described at Appendix J.

Rail operator not aware of the altered train working (risk item 2)

The risk management plan described the hazard, cause and outcome associated with the operator (driver) not being aware of the altered train working (Table 1).

Table 1: Risk management plan description of risk item 2

HazardRail Operators not aware of the altered working
Caused byTrain notices not received by train crews detailing the processes in place
Worst outcomeTrain driver accepts the train authority and proceeds into the section not conversant with the altered working

For this risk, the plan identified 4 controls that were to be implemented, of which 2 controls, the timely issue of train notices and the ‘piloting’ of the train, were also relevant to the management of risks associated with the subsequent routing of trains through Wallan Loop (Table 2).

Table 2: Specified risk controls for risk item 2 and ATSB comment on implementation

Specified risk controlATSB comment on the implementation of the control
Train notices will be issued in a timely fashion

All train notices were issued a short time prior to them taking effect.

  • The initial release of TN 266 was on 6 February and came into effect at 1900 the same day.
  • The 2 subsequent updates to TN 266 came into effect on the same day as their issue.
  • For the changed conditions at Wallan Loop, TN 367 was released on the ARTC portal at about 1845 local time (1815 in Adelaide) on the evening of 19 February, and the changed conditions (points set for the loop) existed by 1536 the following day (20 February).
Signals at the interface of the commissioning will have change of safeworking signage to indicate the interface between CTC and train authority working

Signage at Donnybrook and Kilmore East provided a visual cue to drivers at the extremities of the affected section of the transition between CTC and the altered train working.

This control was not relevant to the change to route trains through Wallan Loop.

Disarranged signals will have black crosses affixed to them

Black crosses were affixed near the base of disarranged signals rather than at the signal head and were reported as difficult to observe. In addition, the deviation from the practice of extinguishing affected signals resulted in confusion until signals were extinguished and the update reflected in the amended TN 266 issued on 13 February.

This control was not relevant to the change to route trains through Wallan Loop.

Trains are piloted through the section[94]

Although the risk management plan specified that trains would be piloted, a pilot was not made available for the trains operating during the altered working. Instead, an AQW was made available. Differences between the roles of pilot and AQW are discussed below.

For the changed conditions and routing of trains through Wallan Loop, this control was augmented by the issue of TN 367, which specified that the AQW was to advise the driver that the train would operate via No.2 track and of the speed limits required.

A pilot as a risk control

Although the definition of a ‘pilot’ varied across a number of references, descriptions were of a directive role (compared to that of the AQW described in TN 266). Consistent themes were that the role of a pilot involved directing the movement of the train, and that to perform their role the pilot required a full understanding of the route, the infrastructure and operational constraints.

Within the ARTC code of practice for operations in Victoria (TA20), the role of a pilot was mentioned within section 14 (Single Line Working) and section 15 (Infrastructure Works). These sections included detailed requirements for a pilot ranging from identification badges to tasks specific to the safeworking activity. Neither of sections 14 or 15 were applicable to the train operations in place at the time of the derailment of train ST23 and the described process for the AQW did not follow the requirements in these sections. There was no mention of the use of a pilot in section 25 of TA20 (Issue of Train Authorities).

The Rail Industry Safety and Standards Board (RISSB) Glossary defined the title of ‘Pilot’ as:

A Competent Worker, who accompanies, directs and advises rail traffic crews.

The ARTC Glossary[95] (applicable to NSW) included the following definitions pertaining to pilotage:

Pilot: a Competent Worker who accompanies, directs and advises Rail Traffic Crews
pilot: to direct or guide Rail Traffic Crews and advise them about local conditions and operating restrictions on running lines and at worksites.

Also applicable to NSW, the ARTC document ANRP 710: Piloting trains and track vehicles[96] contained specific requirements on what a pilot should do. Of note, the procedure advised that:

  • The driver was responsible for the safe operation of piloted trains and track vehicles.
  • The pilot needed to confirm their knowledge of the route.
  • The pilot needed to establish and maintain effective communication with the NCO.
  • The pilot needed to give clear directions (to the driver).

Comparing these requirements with the role of an AQW under TN 266 and TN 367:

  • The driver was similarly responsible for the safe operation of the train.
  • There was no clear requirement for the AQW to confirm their knowledge of the route.
  • The AQW was not required to, and did not, communicate with the NCO.
  • The AQW was not required to, and did not, direct drivers.
The role of an AQW for the train working arrangements

The role of an AQW was not defined nor referenced in either TA20 or the Code of Practice for the Defined Interstate Rail Network. The role of an AQW (or qualified worker) was also not defined by the industry body, RISSB.[97] The qualifications, knowledge and experience required of an AQW were also not described within the documentation for the train working arrangements between Donnybrook and Kilmore East in February 2020 (TN 266).

A primary task allocated to an AQW was to call (by mobile phone) the level crossing keeper (LCK) to ensure activation of the level crossing protection at the Wallan–Whittlesea Road prior to train arrival. TN 266 also described that the AQW was to advise the driver of the ‘work activities’ and affected infrastructure, and a later amendment to the notice added that ‘the rail movement may proceed through the section up to track speed as advised by the AQW’. Although not documented in TN 266, the AQW also performed the task of delivering the train authority and CAN notice to the driver of the train. There were no defined qualifications or experience requirements to perform the role of an AQW.

The role of an AQW was to provide information rather than be directive and there was no responsibility on the part of the AQW to ensure the driver understood the content of the train authority. Under TN 367, there was an additional requirement for the AQW to remind the driver that the train was to operate via No.2 track at Wallan Loop. However, there was no associated protocol for assuring driver understanding of the train authority, and no readback requirement between a driver and the AQW.

AQW experiences during the train working between Kilmore East and Donnybrook, including interactions with drivers, were explored in interviews. Described experiences included:

  • On the shifts prior to the change at Wallan Loop on 20 February, the AQWs told drivers that they could travel at line speed (at the driver’s discretion), that the crossing at Wallan–‍Whittlesea Road had been disabled, and that the LCK would be contacted to activate the crossing.
  • In the period that the disarranged signals were still lit (prior to the 13 February amendment to TN 266), the AQWs would generally inform drivers that they could pass any lit signals at normal speed.
  • Experiences and recall of train operating speeds varied across the AQW group. There was reasonable consensus that the XPT would generally operate at speeds around the line speed of 130 km/h, whereas V/Line trains would mostly travel at a lower speed, with one AQW suggesting typically around 75 km/h. The speed of freight operators varied.
  • AQWs varied in their recall of the speed of trains approaching the Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing. One AQW stated that they would advise the drivers to use caution going through this level crossing.
  • Interaction between the AQWs and train crew would vary. Although there were sometimes conversations with the drivers, one AQW described this as ‘cab-chat’.
Application of the role of AQW for train ST23

This shift was the first time the rail worker was performing the role of AQW. At the start of their shift, the AQW allocated to ST23 was briefed by a more senior AQW on the role of the AQW. The briefing included instruction on calling the LCK to facilitate and confirm level crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea, and the landmarks for making that call.

The briefing also included discussion on TN 367 that specified a requirement for the AQW to advise the driver that the train would operate via No.2 track at Wallan Loop and of the speed limits at entry to and exit from the loop. The AQW on ST23 was also in possession of a copy of TN 367. When at Kilmore East, the AQW was also briefed by the signaller on the particulars of the train authority and the speed restrictions. Based on this evidence, it is very likely that the AQW on train ST23 was aware that ST23 was being routed through Wallan Loop and of the requirement to advise the driver.

As previously noted, the AQW did not have experience as an AQW or as a pilot prior to this shift. The AQW also did not have front-of-train experience or route knowledge[98] for the section between Donnybrook and Kilmore East.

Also as previously noted, due to the absence of in-cab recordings the nature and content of the conversations that took place between the AQW and driver on ST23 are unknown.

Train recorded information

The Hasler RT recorder

Power cars XP2018 and XP2000 were each fitted with a Hasler RT data recorder. The Hasler RT is an electro-mechanical device that records data onto a waxed paper tape (roll). Data recorded included speed, distance, time, a combined power-vigilance parameter, and brake cylinder pressure. The Hasler equipment included an analogue speedometer located on the driver’s console.

Unlike modern data logger systems that provide digital information for a wide range of operating parameters, the Hasler tapes provide their limited information in graphical format. As a result, there is less precision in the data. GPS data from the train’s installed radio system was used to verify time, speed and position information.

Estimated train speed, throttle and braking

The Hasler and GPS data was analysed to assess recorded driver activities and train speed, including on the approach and into Wallan Loop (Appendix K). It was found that an emergency brake application was made when the train was travelling at about 129 km/h.[99] Brake cylinder pressure began to rise when the train was between 153 and 50 m from the turnout to Wallan Loop. The speed at entry to Wallan Loop was estimated to be between 114 and 127 km/h.

On the approach to Wallan, there was braking and throttle activity consistent with expected driver activity. A power application was made, and speed increased to about line speed after the confirmation was obtained from the LCK that the crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road was activated. There were no warnings provided by the vigilance system (therefore indicating there was driver activity) after the train departed Kilmore East.

Cab video and voice recording devices

The leading power car (XP2018) was not fitted with in-cab voice or video recording devices, nor was it required. As a result, there was no available evidence with respect to communications or interactions between the driver and AQW prior to the occurrence. Voice recording within the driver’s cab would have assisted the investigation in ascertaining the interactions within the cab, and the potential identification and analysis of any associated safety factors.

Derailment site

Site overview

The derailed train came to rest in a concertinaed arrangement and the leading power car had overturned onto its left side (Figure 13). The 5 passenger cars had derailed and were at various angles of incline. The rear power car was upright and still on track.

Figure 13: Train ST23

Figure 13: Train ST23

Source: ATSB

Turnout and track

At the time of the derailment, the points at the northern end of Wallan Loop were in their reverse position to provide entry to the loop (Figure 14). The points mechanism had been placed into the hand-operating mode[100] and the points were locked in position. The mechanism was also padlocked. These settings were consistent with the arrangements specified in TN 367 and TA 17.

Figure 14: No. 7 points at the northern entrance to Wallan Loop set to reverse

Figure 14: No. 7 points at the northern entrance to Wallan Loop set to reverse

Source: CITS

There was no evidence of derailment prior to the turnout. Inspection identified evidence of derailment within and beyond the turnout. Track damage, including to rail and track formation, was extensive within No.2 track.

There was no evidence identified to indicate that the condition of the track at the northern entry to Wallan Loop was a factor in the derailment, noting also that the speed of the train exceeded the design rating of the turnout by a significant margin. The left rail of the turnout had been lifted a small amount at the commencement of the reverse route, possibly as a result of loading of the right side of the track in the vicinity of the crossing block[101] during the passage of ST23.

Power car XP2018

The leading power car (XP2018) had rolled onto its left side and come to a stop to the left of No.2 track and against a row of pine trees (Figure 15). With the power car on its side, the only reasonable access to the cab was through the right-side driver’s cab door.

At the time the site observations were made, the brake controller in the driver’s cab of power car XP2018 was in the emergency brake position with the power (throttle) controller in OFF and the reverser direction in forward. Both diesel fuel tanks of power car XP2018 had been torn open along their bottom left edge during the derailment and overturn.

Figure 15: Power car XP2018 overturned and access route via right door

Figure 15: Power car XP2018 overturned and access route via right door

Source: ATSB

Leading passenger car

Of the passenger cars, the first (car A) had the greatest tilt (about 30° from the vertical) and the most extensive exterior damage. It had come to rest on a row of pine trees (Figure 16).

Figure 16: The derailed position of car A (photograph taken after cutting of trees)

Figure 16: The derailed position of car A (photograph taken after cutting of trees)

Source: CITS

Power car XP2018 crashworthiness and survivability

General inspection findings

Inspections of power car XP2018 were conducted to examine its crashworthiness performance and crew survivability features. The car was initially inspected at the derailment site, and further examined at the Auburn UGL facility (Figure 17).

Figure 17: Power car XP2018 at Auburn workshops on 10 March 2020

Figure 17: Power car XP2018 at Auburn workshops on 10 March 2020

Source: ATSB

Scouring damage was present along the full left side of the power car that suggested the car had slid on its side for a significant distance. The car had retained its whole-body structural integrity, however both doors on the left side had been dislodged. There was evidence of a significant amount of ballast and earth having entered the driver’s cabin through the left-side driver’s cab door opening. Instruments, control panels and interior fittings were mostly intact.

The car’s forward windscreen had remained in place during the derailment.[102] The lower rear corner of the left-side quarter window had detached from the frame, although it was assessed that only a limited amount of ground material had entered the cab through that opening.

Inspection of left-side cab door

The left-side driver’s cab door was made from fibre-reinforced polymer and contained a glass window panel (that remained intact). The door was inward opening, hung with 2 hinges on its rear edge and closed by a single door latch on its forward edge. After the power car overturned onto its left side, the door separated from the door frame and was loose within the cabin.

Inspection identified that the 2 hinges had failed. The upper hinge knuckles had peeled open (Figure 18) and the fastening of the lower hinge to the door frame had failed (Figure 19).

Figure 18: Upper internal hinge of left cab door of XP2018

Figure 18: Upper internal hinge of left cab door of XP2018

Source: ATSB

Figure 19: Lower internal hinge of left cab door of XP2018

Figure 19: Lower internal hinge of left cab door of XP2018

Source: ATSB

Assessment of left-side driver’s cab door separation

Design standards for pressure loading

The configuration of the driver’s cab door and the potential scenarios leading to its separation from the door frame were considered. It was concluded through inspection of the components, and the probable comparative loading on the upper and lower hinges, that the most likely initial failure was of the upper door hinge.

A simplified assessment of the hinge was conducted using design loads from contemporary Australian and overseas industry standards.[103] Australian standard AS 7521:2018 (Standards Australia 2018a) specified that external vehicle doors were required to meet the United Kingdom’s Rail Safety and Standards Board (RSSB) standard GMRT2100. Issue 6 (2020) of that standard specified external static and aerodynamic loads that were both defined as 2.5 kPa for trains travelling up to 200 km/h. Analysis indicated that the upper hinge on the XPT would not be expected to fail with a 2.5 kPa external pressure, applied quasi-statically (Appendix L).

Design standards for loading when overturned

GMRT2100 did not specify loading associated with external impact during rollover but did note that ‘where hinged external doors are used, typically for cabs, it is good practice to pay particular attention to the design of the door frame and locks’. It further noted that ‘there is a risk that, in the event of a derailment resulting in a roll-over, the structure can flex sufficiently to spring the door open, with the subsequent risk of the ingress of ballast and debris’. Assessment of the door and door frame of ST23 concluded that, in this instance, the door probably failed at its hinges rather than opening. Regardless, the result was the same with the entry of debris.

Australian industry standard AS 7520.1-2022 (Standards Australia 2022) specified that:

The cab roof structure, cab mounting systems, and adjacent structures should be capable of supporting the weight of the locomotive (including the bogies) in the situation when the locomotive is resting on its side without exceeding the critical design stress in the main supporting members …..

There were no specific requirements in the standard that related directly to the external loading of doors when the vehicle was on its side, nor dynamic loadings associated with a vehicle impacting the ground.

Although these loading scenarios were not specified for doors, an assessment was made of the upper hinge considering the pressure applied to the cab door if the power car was resting on its side with its own weight evenly reacted across the side profile of the car. This scenario equated to an applied pressure of about 11 kPa. It was found that the upper hinge knuckles would probably unfurl under this applied external pressure or at least commence to plastically deform (Appendix L).

Loading on door of ST23

In the process of overturning and sliding on its side over uneven ground, the dynamic loading of the left-side driver’s cab door would be expected to be significantly higher than the static load case of the car resting on its side (11 kPa). Given the probable commencement of unfurling of the upper hinge knuckles in the static-load case, complete unfurling of the upper hinge knuckles in the higher dynamic-load scenario was considered very likely. Consistent with this finding, it was also concluded that the cab side-door attachments were probably not designed to withstand the power car overturning and sliding on its side.

Survivability assessment of access to/egress from driver’s cab

Access to the driver’s cab on overturned power car

The normal access to and from the XPT driver’s cab was through its side doors. With the power car on its left side, the right-side driver’s cab door, which was now at the top of the overturned power car, was the most accessible access route to the cabin and the train crew inside.

The right-side driver’s cab door of ST23 remained operable and was used by members of the passenger services crew to gain access to the cab. However, this access route was only accessible by able-bodied people climbing on top of the power car and there was no reasonably practical way to extricate any non-ambulatory people from the driver’s cab.

At the rear of the driver’s cab there was an internal door to access the machinery space, and at the rear of that space there were 2 rear door side exits and a rear central door. However, access to the driver’s cab via the machinery and equipment compartments with the power car overturned would be hazardous and probably unrealistic.

Contemporary Australian egress requirements

Australian industry standard AS 7522:2021 (Standards Australia 2021)[104] specified that enclosed cabs of rolling stock shall be fitted with sufficient emergency exits to provide escape paths to the vehicle exterior when the vehicle was upright and when overturned on its side. There was no requirement specified for how a person might move to such exits if the vehicle was overturned. In the case of the overturned ST23, the right-side door at the top of the overturned vehicle was available to able-bodied people.

AS 7522:2021 and a NSW standard (Transport for NSW 2017) contained a number of other egress requirements for passenger train rolling stock. However, requirements generally applied to new passenger cars, or following a major modification, and none were identified as directly applicable to the configuration of the XPT power car.

There were no Australian Standards identified that specifically referred to requirements for ground-level access to overturned locomotives or power cars.

Similar occurrence related to crew survivability in a power car

On 6 November 2004, a 10-vehicle high speed train (HST) was derailed when it struck a motor vehicle at a level crossing at Ufton Nervet, United Kingdom. The accident was investigated by the RSSB (2005).

The HST was travelling at about 160 km/h at the time of the collision. The leading power car and all trailing vehicles derailed. The leading power car overturned and slid on its left side for some distance. Five passengers, the train driver and the motor vehicle occupant were fatally injured.

The XPT was based on the HST design and had similar form and structural configuration (Figure 20). There were differences in the cab internal layout, window arrangement and driver’s cab side door detail.

Figure 20: HST (left) and XPT (right)

Figure 20: HST (left) and XPT (right)

Source: Redditch Railway Interest Group and Government News

In the Ufton Nervet derailment, the leading power car came to rest on its left side with severe abrasions down the side of the car but with the whole-body structure substantially intact. There was structural failure at the top of a left leading pillar, this being the frame to which the left-side driver’s cab door was latched (Figure 21). The cab door had separated from the door frame and earth and ballast had entered the cab through the door aperture. In both the Ufton Nervet and Wallan derailments, the loss of the side cab door (when the power car overturned) resulted in material entering the cabin and impacting the occupants.

Figure 21: Ufton Nevert cab side damage (left) and Wallan cab side damage (right)

Figure 21: Ufton Nevert cab side damage (left) and Wallan cab side damage (right)

Skin penetrations are circled on the HST damaged at Ufton Nevert. The windscreens and windows have been removed on both trains.

Source: RSSB and ATSB.

The RSSB final investigation report into the Ufton Nevert derailment did not make a direct recommendation on the ingress of materials into the driver’s cab and referred the matter to the RSSB (2007) research project into cabin design and driver protection. The scope of this research project, which had already commenced at the time of the Ufton Nevert accident, was amended to include aspects of that accident; specifically, protecting the driver’s cab occupants from ingress of debris. The released report from this research project acknowledged that the door would open in such an accident and suggested the installation of partitions or reorientation of the door opening to screen the driver from the incoming debris.

Passenger car crashworthiness and survivability

Passenger injuries

There were 155 passengers and 5 crew members in the 5 passenger cars of train ST23. Available data from NSW Trains and Victoria Police was combined with passenger survey response data to estimate a total number of 61 passenger physical injuries.[105] This was comprised of 8 serious injuries and a reported 53 minor injuries.[106]

The estimated number of passengers in each car, the known injuries to passengers in each car, and the associated injury rate are shown in Table 3. The injury status for some passengers could not be determined, and it is possible there were more minor injuries. In addition to passenger injuries, the 5 members of the passenger services crew (1 in Car B and 4 in Car C) all received minor injuries.

Table 3: Estimated number of passengers in each car, known injuries and injury rate

Passenger carSerious injuriesMinor injuriesPassengersInjury rate
Car A (cabin / sleeper)21560%
Car B (first class)3285260%
Car C (first class / buffet)131233%
Car D (economy class)2165732%
Car G (economy class / baggage)052619%
Total85315539%

Most injuries to passengers were a result of people being unprepared for the sudden deceleration or movement during and following the derailment. Passenger injuries were more prevalent and more severe in the forward passenger cars (as shown in the table above). Loose luggage also became projectile hazards during the derailment. Some luggage fell from overhead racks and there were instances of loose luggage causing injury to passengers and service crew.

Inspections

The 5 passenger cars were inspected to examine crashworthiness performance (Appendix M). Inspection of all passenger cars was conducted at the derailment site, and the leading passenger (sleeper) car (Car A) was further examined at the Auburn UGL facility. Inspections did not identify any passenger car structures that generated injuries by their design.

Evacuation routes from passenger cars

The majority (14) of the 18 exits in the passenger cars were available for use. Four exits were deemed unavailable, either due to obstruction, jamming or excessive height off the ground.[107] Of the 14 usable exits, 6 exits were considered freely available and 8 were operable but with some hindrance to their free use due to the distance from the ground, the angle of the access ladder, or some other hazard.

Most people were able to evacuate with limited assistance although sometimes with difficulty due to the distance to the ground or the angle of the car. Some passengers with special needs were assisted out of the carriages.

Passenger information

Passenger survey
Overview

The ATSB conducted a survey of passengers who were on board train ST23 at the time of the derailment. From 155 passengers reported to be on board, 83 responses to the survey were received: a response rate of 54%. The survey included questions on:

  • passenger demographics
  • passenger seating location
  • safety information and briefings
  • experiences during and after the event
  • the nature of injuries.
Safety information

On questions pertaining to safety information:

  • Most (70%) of the passengers who responded to the question about the provision of safety information reported that they either did not receive any safety information or could not recall receiving any.
  • Of the 63 responses about the format of the safety information provided, 8 passengers (13%) reported that they received the information from a briefing card.
  • Of the 74 responses to a question related to paying attention to the safety information provided, 57% reported that they did not pay attention.
  • Most (70%) of the survey respondents reported that, prior to the derailment, they did not know how to get out of the train in an emergency.

In response to questions on suggestions for improvement in safety information:

  • Ten passengers referred to the way in which safety information is provided by airlines.
  • Some passengers mentioned that better signage on the seat in front of them or at the end of carriages may have been helpful.
  • Other comments included increasing the number of announcements.
The evacuation

There were varied responses from passengers about the communication received from crew members following the derailment. This was at least in part due to the distribution of the crew, with 4 of the 5 crew members being in the buffet car at the time of the derailment and no crew members present in Car A, Car D or Car G. Most of the passengers who responded advised that initial crew instructions were to remain on board the train. Others reported being unsure about what to do. There was no report of any announcements being made via the public address system or the use of megaphones.

Passengers were asked to estimate how long it took to exit the train. The responses ranged from a ‘few minutes’ to up to 30 minutes, supporting other evidence that some passengers self‑evacuated prior to being instructed to do so by the passenger services crew. About half of the respondents indicated having difficulty exiting the train due to carriage orientation and/or difficulty with getting down to the ground. Once passengers were out of the train, crew members were observed instructing passengers to move off the adjacent tracks (due to concern of possible rail traffic).

Sixteen respondents utilised the free text question to provide praise for the handling of the emergency event by members of the train crew and first responders.

Emergency preparedness

Passenger safety information
Verbal safety briefing

The train operator’s procedures provided details of the verbal safety briefing to be conducted by the passenger services crew (Appendix N). Key messages included, but were not limited to:

  • to remain seated and wait for instruction from the crew
  • to leave luggage if instructed to evacuate
  • to refer to the safety card for further information.

Evidence suggested that it was probably the normal practice for crew supervisors to develop their own announcement script rather than using a pre-prepared script developed by NSW Trains.

Operator procedures specified the conduct of announcements at the departure point in Sydney and at selected stations en route to Melbourne, including at Albury. The replacement passenger services crew boarded at Albury and an announcement was made to passengers using the public address system. However, the announcement did not include the full safety briefing. Evidence suggests that some crew members were not familiar with the requirement to provide a safety briefing at Albury.

Written briefing information

Written information about what passengers should do in an emergency was contained in an ‘on‑board guide’ located in the back pocket of passenger seats. This guide was a 10-page booklet that contained general information about the train service and destinations, food and beverage menu items, and emergency procedures.

The messaging on emergency procedures contained in this guide (Appendix N) was consistent with the operator’s procedures for verbal briefings. The instructions on what to do in an emergency included guidance to:

  • remain seated until instructed by the crew or emergency services
  • leave luggage behind
  • be aware of hazards outside the train.

The instructions were in written form only and did not include diagrams or pictorials to supplement the text.

It was reported by passenger services crew members that on some trips there would be a large proportion of onboard guides missing from the back of passenger seats. Although there were a significant number of onboard guides present on ST23 on the day of the derailment, not all seats were provided with a copy. The passenger survey indicated that only a small number of passengers obtained safety information from this guide.

On-board safety signage

There was no onboard safety signage identified on ST23 that provided guidance to passengers on actions for them to take in the case of emergency.

Emergency response procedures

Emergency response plan

The train operator had an emergency response plan that was supported by operational procedures. The emergency response plan was summarised in the Countrylink Incident Response Summary (Appendix O). This summary was contained in onboard logbooks, and displayed on the bulkhead at crew stations (Figure 22).

Figure 22: Onboard incident response summary at a crew station

Figure 22: Onboard incident response summary at a crew station

Source: NSW Trains, annotated by the ATSB

The response summary contained a 9-step action plan to be followed by the train crew in the case of a major incident or emergency. This action plan was supplemented by specified additional actions for 15 types of incidents, including derailment. The incident response summary also included guidance on communication protocol, deciding to evacuate, and evacuation procedures. A range of warnings were described, including to ‘evacuate to tracks only after receiving positive confirmation from Network Control Officer that train movements have been stopped …’.

Crew members were also provided with an ‘emergency pocket guide’ that included shortened advice on quickly assessing risk, and communicating with emergency services, the NCO and management.

There was no ready-use guidance available to crew members about what or how they should communicate with passengers in the period prior to the decision being made to evacuate. There were no documented standard phrases or positive commands to instruct passengers to remain seated or on board the train.

Procedures for an evacuation when not at a station

In circumstances where the train was not at a station and the crew had determined the situation to be life-threatening, they were required to conduct a risk assessment to determine the safest course of action. If an evacuation was required, the driver was responsible for securing the train, notifying the NCO and ensuring that all adjacent traffic had been stopped. The driver or PSS was then required to protect the train, determine an evacuation plan (including which doors to use), inform passengers and manage the evacuation.  

Use of the public address system

The public address (PA) system was serviceable throughout the train journey prior to the derailment. Following the derailment, it was not utilised by the passenger services crew to communicate to passengers. It was not determined if its serviceability was affected by the derailment. There was also no specific procedure that advised the crew what to do if the PA system was unsuitable for use in an emergency.

Megaphones were available for use on board the train. There was no specific procedure describing when they should be used, and they were not used in this instance.

Passenger services crew training

ST23 crew training and assessment records

NSW Trains provided details of crew training courses that included content related to emergency evacuation (Table 4).

Table 4: Training courses covering derailment and evacuation

Course nameFrequency
Safeworking (PSS only)Annually
CPRAnnually
Competency assurance check rideAnnually
WF25 Emergency ladder and evacuationEvery 2 years
IC01 Emergency and evacuationEvery 2 years
NCA01 NSW Operational staff competence assurance: Emergency and evacuationEvery 2 years
WX63R0109 Incident response planEvery 2 years
First AidEvery 3 years

The individual learning profiles of the passenger services crew on ST23 were compared with the courses required for passenger services crew. The review identified that not all the crew members had completed the required courses, several courses had not been completed at the frequency specified, and none of the passenger services crew members were recorded as having completed the listed course WX63R0109 (Incident response plan).

The facilitator guide for the incident response plan course was reviewed. Except for a specified instruction to use when initiating a passenger evacuation, the course material did not include other standard phrases or commands that the passenger services crew should use in an emergency, such as an instruction to remain on the train following a derailment. In addition, the training courses reviewed did not provide passenger services crew with the opportunity to practice using the PA or megaphone to make announcements, or use standard phrases or commands in an emergency context.

Assessment records were obtained for the passenger services crew members on ST23 and these included the written assessments for their most recent ‘NCA01 NSW Trainlink Operational Staff Competence Assurance: Emergency and Evacuation’ course. Review of these records found inconsistencies and, in some cases, an absence of the use of the marking scale. In several cases there was also an absence of assessor sign-off.

Training needs analysis

NSW Trains provided a report of a training needs analysis completed in April 2019.[108] This review included a detailed task analysis of passenger services crew roles, and the approach to training and assessment of required competencies. It identified that evacuation-related competencies should be trained and assessed practically, with a frequency of every 6–12 months. The report also included driver incapacitation scenarios and the use of high-fidelity mock-ups. The outcomes of this project had not been implemented at the time of the Wallan derailment.

Other information related to training and competency management

Research conducted by the NSW Independent Transport Safety and Reliability Regulator (ITSRR)[109] highlighted, among other things, that accident reports had a reoccurring theme in the deficiency of emergency procedures training provided to train crew (ITSRR 2004).

Published in July 2021 (post the Wallan derailment), the Office of the National Rail Safety Regulator (ONRSR) provided guidance about the management of rail safety worker competencies, which included a rail safety worker competency assessment fact sheet (ONRSR 2021) and various examples (including a competency register) of how organisations could record the competency requirements and expiries of train crew.

Review of regulator activities

Scope

ONRSR was the national rail regulator. A review was undertaken of potentially relevant regulatory activities in the 5 years preceding the Wallan occurrence.[110] Activities examined included reported overspeed occurrences, notified changes to safeworking arrangements, and relevant audit and inspection activity.

Notified occurrences associated with train overspeed from 2015

ONRSR was requested to provide notified overspeed occurrences on the ARTC network in Victoria in the 5 years prior to the Wallan occurrence.[111] Eleven overspeed occurrences were identified in the supplied data, including the following 5 that involved passenger trains:

  • 6/1/2015 – an XPT passenger train went through a 40 km/h temporary speed restriction between Somerton and Donnybrook at 130 km/h.
  • 11/7/2015 – a V/Line passenger train transited the turnout into Wallan Loop at over 90 km/h compared to the required 15 km/h. This overspeed occurrence was investigated by the ATSB.
  • 29/12/2015 – a V/Line passenger train went through a 40 km/h temporary speed restriction at Euroa at 72 km/h.
  • 13/3/2018 – an XPT reported travelling through a 40 km/h temporary speed restriction at Violet Town at excessive speed.
  • 6/8/2018 – a V/Line passenger train went through a 40 km/h temporary speed restriction between Seymour and Benalla at the line speed of 130 km/h.
Notifications of change to network rules from 2015

ONRSR advised that 5 notifications of change to the Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations (TA20) were submitted by ARTC in the 5 years preceding the Wallan occurrence. None of these notifications of change related to the processes used at Wallan on 20 February 2020.

Audits and inspections from 2015

Topics not audited

ONRSR used a risk-based approach in its decisions and plans for regulatory activity. As a result, regulatory activity was targeted and operators and topics received different priority. For the ARTC network in Victoria in the 5 years before the Wallan occurrence, ONRSR advised that it did not conduct audits or inspections of ARTC on the following topics:

  • caution orders or train authorities
  • the use of AQWs or safeworking pilots
  • the risk of train derailment due to overspeed[112]
  • the overspeed of a V/Line passenger train at Wallan Loop (Victoria) on 11 July 2015.
ARTC risk management

ONRSR was requested to provide audit and inspection reports that included the topics of ARTC risk management systems and/or risk assessment processes associated with safeworking. ONRSR identified 4 audits and 6 compliance inspections conducted across 2017 and 2018 that included either or both of the requested risk topics.

Reports from these regulatory activities referenced concerns with the currency of the centralised risk register and ARTC’s introduction of a new Enterprise Risk Management System (ERMS). Of note, an audit in November 2018 made several observations, including that ARTC should consider the risk of passenger and freight train derailment separately in view of the different potential consequences and required controls.

NSW Trains systems for accessing and distributing safety critical information

ONRSR was requested to provide audit and inspection reports that included the topics of NSW Trains’ systems for accessing safety-critical information (such as train notices) from ARTC for operations on the Victorian network, and NSW Trains’ systems for disseminating such information. In response, ONRSR identified a total of 5 audit and 5 inspection activities between 2015 and 2018 that referred to either or both of these topics.

Consistent through these activity reports was reference to the issue of a Train Crew Weekly Information Pack (WIP) as the primary vehicle for distributing safety-critical information including train notices. There was no commentary or findings identified in the review that discussed the collection and immediate distribution of notices accessed from the ARTC WebRAMS portal.

Other occurrences at Wallan Loop investigated by the ATSB

V/Line high speed entry into Wallan Loop in 2015

In July 2015, a Melbourne to Albury V/Line service entered the southern turnout to Wallan Loop travelling at more than 90 km/h (compared to the required 15 km/h). The train remained on track, however some passengers required medical attention from the onboard service crew due to the rough ride as the train transited the turnout.

This occurrence was investigated by the ATSB (2017). It was found that signalling at the location was operating as designed and there were no signal sighting issues, but that the driver did not demonstrate effective awareness and train handling techniques. The report also made findings related to post-occurrence processes and actions.

As part of the investigation into the derailment of train ST23, further enquires were made into safety actions taken by ARTC and V/Line following the 2015 occurrence, and specifically consideration of train enforcement solutions at Wallan Loop (to automatically enforce train braking if a train was detected as being overspeed).

ARTC advised that consideration of train enforcement solutions at Wallan Loop was a matter for V/Line. Also, ARTC did not introduce any additional risk controls at Wallan Loop in response to the V/Line train overspeed occurrence.

V/Line advised that, following the 2015 occurrence, the potential application of the train protection and warning system (TPWS) on the ARTC Northeast standard gauge line was evaluated.[113] It was concluded by V/Line that (based on safety risk to its operations) there was a case to install TPWS at several locations on the ARTC North-east standard-gauge line (including at Wallan Loop) to protect against a V/Line passenger train overspeed or the passing of a signal at danger. TPWS was used for V/Line trains on the Victorian broad gauge networks and V/Line passenger rolling stock was fitted with compatible equipment.

The project to integrate TPWS (for V/Line trains) on the ARTC network was being funded by the Victorian Government and ARTC confirmed in its response to ATSB that it had been involved in discussions with V/Line and was committed to supporting the implementation of TPWS. TPWS was scheduled to be fitted at Wallan Loop in 2024.

TPWS would not be compatible with the XPT (and its NSW Trains replacement) or freight traffic.

Derailment of freight train at Wallan Loop November 2017

On 4 November 2017, freight train 7MC1 was signalled into the southern entry to the crossing loop at Wallan. Entering the loop, the leading bogie on the 37th wagon derailed.

The occurrence was investigated (ATSB 2019). It was found that the derailment occurred within a rapid transition of track superelevation from the main line to the loop track, resulting in wheel unloading. Following the derailment, ARTC completed rectification works and enhanced its work management processes for the response to geometry conditions. There was no aspect of this occurrence found to be relevant to the derailment of train ST23.

Safety analysis

Introduction

The derailment of the interstate passenger rail service (train ST23) between Sydney and Melbourne resulted in the death of the train’s driver and the accompanying rail worker, and serious injuries to 8 passengers. There was potential for further passenger injury that was probably mitigated by a row of trees limiting the rollover of the leading passenger car.

The report analysis first considers the physical scenario that resulted in the derailment of train ST23 and describes those factors unlikely to have influenced the occurrence.

Potential scenarios that may have led to the train travelling at near the track speed of 130 km/h as it approached the turnout to Wallan Loop are then considered. Evidence supporting the most likely scenario, that the driver of train ST23 was probably unaware of the routing of ST23 through Wallan Loop, is discussed. Other scenarios considered less likely are also presented. The mechanisms for informing the driver of the changed conditions at Wallan Loop and missed opportunities are then introduced.

The analysis further examines the underlying factors that either directly influenced this occurrence or increased the safety risk associated with train operations. The analysis discusses the train working system, risk assessment processes, risk controls, and the distribution of safety critical information. Comment is also made on the risk management of passenger trains on the ARTC rail network.

The remainder of the analysis considers factors associated with events following the derailment, including power car survivability following overturn and the preparedness of passengers and passenger services crew for a major emergency occurrence such as train derailment.

The derailment

At Wallan Loop, the track was configured with low speed turnouts to No.2 track from No.1 track that had a permitted speed of 130 km/h for passenger trains. The significant speed differential at this location created the risk of derailment due to overspeed that was controlled through driver compliance with the signalling system. When the signalling system became non-operational in February 2020, the risk of derailment at the turnouts due to train overspeed was (initially) effectively eliminated by locking the points to their normal position and removing the option to transit through No.2 track. The hazard at the turnouts and the risk of derailment were then re‑established on 20 February when the points were locked in their reverse position to route trains via No.2 track with (only) the implementation of administrative control that relied on ‘paper-based’ information exchange.

The investigation found that train ST23 entered the turnout to Wallan Loop travelling at between 114 and 127 km/h. The turnout was rated by ARTC for a train entry speed of 25 km/h and the maximum permitted operational speed was 15 km/h. In the absence of indications of infrastructure or rolling stock defects, it was concluded that ST23 derailed as a result of its speed significantly exceeding the speed rating of the infrastructure.

Recorded data indicated that ST23 was approaching Wallan Loop at 129 km/h[114] when there was a rise in brake cylinder pressure as a result of an emergency brake application. Assuming a nominal 2 seconds between the cues of the unexpected situation and braking system response,[115] the cues(s) that resulted in the brake application may have arisen when ST23 was between 120 and 220 m from the turnout (Appendix K).[116] Possible reasons for the driver realising the need to brake included recall of the points setting by the accompanying qualified worker (AQW) or the driver, or direct observation of the setting of the points at the turnout to the loop.[117] Given the AQW had no driving experience, the emergency brake application was almost certainly the action of the driver.

Site inspection indicated that the vehicles of the train derailed within the Wallan Loop turnout and No.2 track, and there was no indication of derailment prior to the turnout. Given the leading power car overturned onto its left side, the rolling over of the power car was more likely to have occurred (or commenced) within the right curve transitioning onto the tangent (straight) section of No.2 track. Damage to the exterior of the power car also suggested it had slid on its left side for a significant distance.

Factors unlikely to have influenced the occurrence

Driver incapacitation

There was no evidence identified to suggest that the driver was incapacitated leading up to the derailment, and there was evidence to support the proposition that the driver and AQW were functioning normally. The AQW was in contact with the level crossing keeper (LCK) less than 2 minutes prior to the derailment, had sounded normal in that conversation and did not raise any concerns regarding the condition of the driver. An earlier brake application for a 115 km/h track section, and a power application made shortly after the conversation between the AQW and LCK, also support the proposition that the driver was actively in control of the train.

The derailment occurred about 6.5 hours after the driver started their shift, a little under 5 hours after they commenced driving ST23, and about an hour after the driver’s scheduled end-of-shift. Although the driver may have been tiring towards the end of the train journey, there was no evidence, including in radio communications, that suggested that driver fatigue was a factor. A review of the driver’s roster and recent history found that there was insufficient evidence to conclude that the driver was experiencing a level of fatigue that would significantly affect performance.  

There was no pre-existing health condition of the driver that was likely to have contributed to the accident and toxicology results did not identify any substance that may have impaired their performance.

Rolling stock condition

Inspections, testing and a review of maintenance records did not identify any adverse rolling stock condition or defect that was likely to have contributed to the derailment.

Track condition

There was no evidence identified to suggest that the condition of the track or turnout at the northern entry to Wallan Loop was a factor in the derailment, noting also that the speed of ST23 significantly exceeded the ARTC speed rating for the turnout. The facing points were found to be locked and in position for the train movement into No.2 track.

Factors leading to train overspeed

Discussion on potential scenarios
Scope

Having excluded the likelihood of driver incapacitation or defective train braking, this section discusses the evidence for, and likelihood of, the following scenarios that could have led to the overspeed of ST23 at the Wallan Loop turnout:

  • The driver of ST23 was not aware of the routing of ST23 via Wallan Loop and expected to travel on the straight track through Wallan.
  • The driver was aware of the routing of ST23 via Wallan Loop and forgot this information during the journey between Kilmore East and Wallan.
  • The driver lost awareness of their location in the section between Kilmore East and Wallan.
  • Approaching Wallan Loop, the driver misinterpreted an adjacent broad gauge signal (that was probably at proceed) as applying to the standard gauge track.
Driver awareness of changed conditions and expectancy

Prior to the derailment, there were a number of radio conversations between the NCO and the driver and there was no instance where the driver of ST23 expressed an understanding that conditions at Wallan Loop were different to what they had been during the previous 12 days, and that ST23 was being routed onto No.2 track on that day. In a radio conversation between the driver and the NCO about an hour before the derailment, the NCO mentioned that ‘you’re going via the loop there at Wallan’. There was no acknowledgement of the routing via the loop by the driver.

In another interaction with the NCO about 11 minutes before the derailment, when at Kilmore East receiving the train authority, the driver commented that they were in possession of the train authority and CAN and stated that they were ‘filled out ahh the same way it has been for the … rest of the time’. This latter interaction suggests that the driver may have believed that the track conditions were the same as they had been and that ST23 would proceed through Wallan in the same way as the driver had experienced in the preceding trips through the location, including on the day before.

Also while ST23 was stopped at Kilmore East for the driver to receive the train authority, the NCO mentioned ‘points all set for the loop’. The driver did not respond directly to this comment and there are a number of ways it could have been interpreted.

Expectations based on past experience strongly influence where a person will search for information and what they will search for (Wickens et al. 2023), and they also influence the perception of information (Wickens et al. 2022). In simple terms, people are more likely to see and hear what they expect to see and hear, and less likely to see and hear what they do not expect to see and hear. After the commencement of the alternative method of train working, the driver of ST23 ran the Junee–Melbourne–Junee round trip 4 times (8 times through the location) between 8 and 19 February. For all previous trips, the points at each end of Wallan Loop had been locked in the straight position, and trains could proceed through this location at normal track speed (130 km/h for the XPT). This experience likely developed an expectancy in the driver that strongly influenced their mental model on the day of the derailment.

Limitations of prospective memory

Another scenario is that the driver correctly assimilated the information from the train authority, the NCO’s mention of the transit through the loop and/or verbal information potentially provided by the AQW, but forgot about the changed conditions at the loop during the short journey between Kilmore East and Wallan Loop.

Remembering information about the use of the loop and associated speed restriction and applying it later would require prospective memory (Loukopoulos et al. 2009). Prospective memory refers to an intention to perform an action at a later time, and a delay between forming the intention and acting on it. It is known to be vulnerable to failure and has been associated with many incidents in aviation and other work domains (Dismukes 2012). Prospective memory errors have also been associated with previous incidents of overspeeding trains due to drivers forgetting a temporary speed restriction (Sato et al. 2020).[118]

Conditions that increase this vulnerability include the delay between the intention to do a task and the execution of the task being filled with other activities, an interruption to a task sequence, and the cues or prompts to retrieve the intention from memory not being explicit (Dismukes 2012). In the case of train ST23, the driver did not have any strong cues or prompts (such as signage or in‑cab alarms) for recalling the speed requirement. Conversely, there would probably not have been excessive task demands on the driver and, as far as is known, there were no distractions or interruptions to their normal driving activities. The interactions between the driver and the AQW during this period and any possible distractions could not be determined.

It is feasible that when ST23 approached the turnout loop, the driver recognised they were now approaching Wallan and remembered that they were being routed through Wallan Loop and made the emergency brake application. However, there was no evidence available to determine whether that scenario may have occurred or instead the driver reacted to being prompted by the AQW or observing the position of the points at the turnout.

Other possible scenarios

It is also possible that after departing Kilmore East, the driver lost awareness of their location within the 15 km section to Wallan, and only made a brake application after realising their proximity to Wallan Loop. Given the driver was familiar with the route and had travelled on this track several times in the preceding 12 days,[119] there was no compelling case to suggest a loss of positional awareness.

It was also considered whether the driver may have been confused by the broad gauge signal, which was probably at proceed. Given the experience of the driver, their familiarity with the route and their recent and repeated transits through the location with the standard-gauge signalling system not operating, there was also no compelling case to suggest that the driver had misread the broad-gauge signal as applying to the standard gauge track.

Summary

Having discounted several other possibilities, the remaining most likely scenarios were that the driver was either unaware of the routing through the No.2 track at Wallan, or the driver was aware of the routing but forgot (prospective memory failure). The recorded driving actions of applying power after receiving confirmation that the level crossing protection at Wallan had been activated and then making a late emergency brake application approaching the loop turnout were both consistent with, and plausible driver actions in the case of, either scenario.

There was, however, no direct evidence to support the proposition that a failure of prospective memory was a factor in this instance. No radio interactions between the driver and NCO suggested recognition by the driver of the routing through the loop, or the differences (compared to previous days) in the train authority that had been issued on that day. It was therefore concluded that there was insufficient evidence of a failure in the driver’s prospective memory.

Considering the radio communications between the driver and the NCO, and in the context of an expectation developed by this driver during 8 trips through the location in the 12 days after the signalling system was disrupted, it was concluded that it was more likely that the driver of ST23 was not aware that ST23 was being routed through Wallan Loop on that evening. Supporting the potential for such a scenario, there were several weaknesses in the delivery of information to the driver to overcome their expectancy, and several missed opportunities to confirm the driver’s understanding of the changed conditions.

Information available to driver and missed opportunities

Scope

This section discusses the information that was available (and not available) to the driver and introduces the missed opportunities for confirming driver awareness. These themes are developed further when discussing risk management and risk controls later in the analysis.

The information that is discussed and the implications for the driver include:

  • train notice 266 and its reinforcement of the expectation that the loop was not being used
  • train notice 367 and its absence as pre-information for the driver
  • train authority 17 and weaknesses in the delivery processes for assuring driver understanding
  • communications between the NCO and driver as a missed opportunity
  • communications between the AQW and driver as a missed opportunity
  • rail resource management as a missed opportunity
  • cues in the real-world environment as a missed opportunity.
Train notice 266

Prior to the day of the derailment, the driver of train ST23 had driven through the location several times operating under the altered train working arrangements and the instructions of train notice 266 (TN 266). On 8 February, the driver had also repeated back the associated train authority for this method of working prior to their first transit under these conditions. The driver was therefore very likely familiar with the conditions specified in TN 266, and specifically the condition that the points at either end of Wallan Loop were locked in their normal position for transit on No.1 track. TN 266 did not contain any information suggesting the possible operation of trains through Wallan Loop (No.2 track). This meant that TN 266 had worked to establish a strong expectation (in the driver) that the points would be set to their normal position (for the straight).

Train notice 367

TN 367 was a potential source of pre-information about the change in conditions at Wallan Loop, however, the driver did not have a copy of TN 367 with them on ST23 and was probably unaware of this notice. This removed the opportunity for the driver to familiarise themselves with the changed conditions.

Train authority 17

The driver of ST23 received a copy of train authority 17 (TA 17) while stopped at signal KME16, about 12 minutes before the derailment. TA 17 detailed the changed conditions at Wallan Loop, including the requirement to slow to 15 km/h. However, this added text was towards the end of TA 17 and was not marked or highlighted in any way to indicate it was different to the previous train authorities that had been issued for the same section of track in recent weeks. In addition, the body text of the train authority was in upper case, which can be more difficult to read or scan than lowercase text (Wickens et al. 2022). It is therefore very plausible that the driver did not pick up the change from previous train authorities. The radio communication by the driver that the documentation was ‘…filled out … the same way it has been...’ suggests this was probably the case.

Consistent with the practice that was used during the 2 weeks of the altered train working arrangements, TA 17 was given to the driver by the AQW. It was the practice for signallers to deliver the train authority to the driver via an AQW, although this was inconsistent with the description in TN 266 that specified that the signaller was to deliver the train authority to the driver. Delivery of TA 17 directly to the driver of ST23 would have provided an opportunity for the driver to receive direct verbal advice of the changed conditions from the signaller during the transfer of the authority document.

The driver was also not required to (and did not) read back the contents of TA 17 to the NCO or the signaller, and almost certainly did not read back TA 17 to the AQW. Readback/hearback refers to the process of issuing and confirming track authorisation (Gertner and Acton 2003). Verbal rehearsal can result in the encoding of information in short-term memory (Greene 1987). Readback of safety-critical information is adopted by industries to ensure information is correctly understood by the sender and the (actioning) receiver, in this case the NCO and the driver of ST23 respectively. An industry guideline on safety critical communications (RISSB 2018) stated that to ‘ensure the message has been understood, require the recipient to repeat back the message if not already done by them’. In their similar manual, the Rail Safety Standards Board (RSSB 2017) in the United Kingdom outlined that:

To confirm that all parties have the same understanding of the communication, the person with lead responsibility must ask for a ‘repeat back’. This is a crucial step in making sure the arrangements have been fully understood by both parties. It provides the opportunity to identify any misinformation, misunderstandings, or omissions.
The person with lead responsibility should use the phrase ‘repeat back’ to confirm the understanding of both parties. It can also be used by others who don’t have the lead responsibility to confirm their understanding. It can be used to confirm details relating to who we’re talking to, what the situation is, or what actions are being given.

Had the driver of ST23 read back the full content of TA 17 to the NCO, it is probable that they would have realised the changed conditions at Wallan Loop, complied with the speed instruction and this occurrence would probably not have occurred.

NCO – driver communications

In addition to the driver’s acknowledgement of the receipt of train authority 17, there were other conversations between the NCO and driver that were missed opportunities for the NCO to confirm the driver’s understanding of the change in conditions at Wallan Loop. The NCO and driver had conversations that skirted the topic of the routing of ST23 through Wallan Loop, without achieving confirmation of driver understanding. Although these opportunities existed, there was no procedural requirement for the NCO to seek confirmation of the driver’s understanding. In addition, the NCO’s belief that there was a pilot on board probably provided some reassurance with the arrangements.

AQW – driver communications

Tasks of the AQW included delivering the train authority and CAN notice to the driver and organising the activation of level crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road. These tasks were completed by the AQW on train ST23.

For this day, TN 367 added the instruction for the AQW to remind the driver that the train would operate via No.2 track at Wallan Loop, although the notice did not include any procedural requirement on how this activity was to be conducted by the AQW or how driver understanding was to be ensured (such as by readback). The AQW was briefed on this requirement and would also have expected that the driver was likewise aware of TN 367. There was probably sufficient time from when the AQW boarded ST23 to its departure from KME16 for this exchange of information to occur.

In the absence of voice recordings from the driver’s cab, the details of conversations between the driver and the AQW are unknown. There are many plausible scenarios in which conversations may have occurred but may have been misinterpreted by either party.

The presence of an authority gradient can influence the effectiveness of personal interactions. An authority gradient refers to the perceived difference in status between different members of an organisation (RISSB 2018). Its presence can influence the effectiveness of the delivery and receipt of information between safety-critical personnel. There was insufficient evidence available to examine whether this may or may not have been a factor in this instance.

Rail resource management

Rail resource management (RRM) is the application of non-technical skills of rail safety workers, which includes team communication and co-ordination, planning and contingency management, critical decision-making, situational awareness, and workload management (Klampfer and others 2012). These skills enable operational staff such as drivers, guards, NCOs, signallers and rail workers to effectively manage hazards and errors in the workplace. In this instance, there were missed opportunities for application of RRM principles between the NCO and the driver to assure driver awareness of transit through Wallan Loop. There was insufficient evidence to conclude the nature of the probably missed opportunities to apply RRM principles between the AQW and driver.

Visual and audible cues for the driver

The driver was not provided with visual cues (such as signage or conspicuous warning devices)[120] or audible cues (such as in-cab alarms) to warn of the need to slow to 15 km/h when approaching Wallan Loop. These were significant absent risk mitigants and missed opportunities for cues in the real-world environment to address limitations in transmitting information by administrative systems and mitigate against a failure of prospective memory and expectation bias.

Deviation from established network rules

A safety management system (SMS) is a ‘formalised framework for integrating safety into the daily operations of an organisation and includes the necessary organisational structures, accountabilities, policies and procedures’ (Fox 2009). The Rail Safety National Law described an SMS as providing a ‘comprehensive and systematic assessment of any identified risks’.[121]

The ARTC SMS was listed several times as a risk control for derailment within the ARTC enterprise risk management system (ERMS). The Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations (TA20) formed part of the ARTC SMS and described the operating rules for the Victorian section of the North-east standard gauge rail corridor.

The use of train authorities in the circumstances that were present through Wallan in February 2020 was not provided for in TA20, and uncoupling from the established procedure and rules was observed. The use of train authorities became sanctioned through train notices and further ‘gained legitimacy through unremarkable repetition’ (Snook 1996). The final ‘drift into danger’ (Rasmussen 1997) was the application of the administrative arrangements to transit through a section that included a low-speed turnout. The effectiveness of the paper-based train authority as a risk control then relied on non-formalised person-to-person interactions.

The effective management of safety during unpredicted situations requires risk management processes that can comprehensively identify and assess risks, effective implementation of those processes, and organisational systems that ensure safety is not compromised at the expense of operations.

Weaknesses in risk management and stakeholder engagement were evident in both the initial establishment of the train working arrangements on 6 February, and then to operate trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February. Each of these phases, including the implemented risk controls is discussed separately in the following 2 sections of the analysis.

Train authority working arrangements established on 6 February

Risk workshop and risk management plan

For the proposed implementation of ‘train authority working’ between Donnybrook and Kilmore East, there was a brief risk assessment workshop involving ARTC and ActivateRail on the afternoon of 6 February, shortly before implementation of the train working solution. The timing of the workshop, the absence of key stakeholders (rail operators) from the process and the preconceived suitability of a previously used arrangement reduced the likelihood of the workshop identifying all risks associated with the proposed rail operations and the controls to appropriately manage those risks.

The risk management plan was finalised on 7 February, the day after release of TN 266 and the commencement of the train working arrangements. The plan had significant weaknesses, including:

  • The context setting described in the risk management plan was from a previous assessment that had limited relevance to the risk profile associated with the train operations between Donnybrook and Kilmore East. The context should have reflected the specific environment of the activity to which the risk management process was to be applied (Standards Australia 2018). In addition, ARTC’s risk management procedure specified that ‘Establishment of operational context is a requirement of the risk assessment process. A consultative approach with stakeholders must be used to determine the context’. Deficiencies in stakeholder consultation diminished the likelihood of the context being correctly defined.
  • The scope documented in the risk management plan was specific to the rail operations and safeworking activities for (signal) commissioning, referring to previous commissioning activity. This scope was not fully reflective of the extended period of passenger and freight operations between Donnybrook and Kilmore East. This scope definition limited the scope of hazard scenarios and risks being considered.
  • The effectiveness of controls at addressing identified risks was not recorded in the risk management plan. The ARTC work instruction for the application of risk management stated that it was essential to ‘determine whether the control (or combination of controls) adequately reduces the risk level’ and ‘identify whether additional control(s) are required’.
  • Individual risk control owners were not identified in the risk management plan, either by name or position. ARTC’s work instruction for the application of risk management stated that control owners were responsible for taking remedial action to address identified deficiencies of controls.
  • Controls were identified within the risk management plan but not implemented. Specifically, pilotage was identified as a control but was replaced by an AQW in practice.
  • Treatments considered but rejected were not documented. ARTC’s procedures stated that ‘It is essential that rejected proposed treatments and information regarding the decision to reject the proposed treatment is recorded against the risk…’.

It was concluded that ARTC risk management and oversight processes resulted in a risk management plan that was limited in context, scope and risk identification and, as a consequence, risk controls had significant weaknesses. The non-integrated and manual aspects of the process design introduced potential points of failure.

Risk controls for train working arrangements

Scope

The risk management plan set out a range of risk controls for 10 risk items that had been identified. The following risk controls used in train working arrangements from 6 February and that were most relevant to this occurrence are discussed in this section:

  • the issuing of train notices
  • the issuing of a train authority for each train movement
  • a rail worker to accompany each train movement.
Train notices

The risk management plan listed ‘train notices detail the commissioning activities’ as an administrative control for network controller officers (NCOs) not being aware of the proposed changes. The train notice being issued in a timely fashion was also listed as an administrative control for rail operators not being aware of the train working arrangements.

A train notice can provide early advice on changed network conditions although notices were acknowledged by ARTC as a ‘minimally effective’ risk control.[122] Weaknesses included potential points of failure in document distribution and receipt (that are discussed later in the analysis).

In addition, the effectiveness of train notices can be influenced by their form, content and complexity. TN 266 was a detailed 6-page document describing processes that deviated from established and accepted practices and was amended and reissued twice. As a result, interpretation of this detail and commitment to memory was likely varied across the driver community.

The risk management plan specified issuing train notices in a ‘timely fashion’. Although TN 266 and its revisions were issued prior to their application, there was limited time made available for operators to distribute the notice to key personnel, including safety and risk management staff and drivers. This in turn limited the opportunity for full consideration of the notice detail, internal consultation, driver briefing and implementation of additional risk controls by rail operators.

The veracity of TN 266 was also undermined by its inconsistency with the in-field processes that were implemented by ARTC and ActivateRail, and a lack of clarity in some areas. Examples included:

  • TN 266 specified that the signaller was to deliver the train authority to the driver whereas the practice was to deliver the train authority to the driver via the AQW.
  • TN 266 described that the driver must sign for the train authority on the butt of the form. However, there was no provision on the train authority for the driver to sign off.
  • TN 266 (original issue) specified that the driver must verify the train authority with the NCO. This requirement was not clear and could reasonably be interpreted as verification of the content of the authority by readback, as was undertaken by a number of drivers. The revised TN 266 (amended 13 February) specified that readback was not required.
  • TN 266 (amended 13 February) added the explicit requirement that the driver must approach the level crossing with caution, and be prepared to stop short of the crossing unless the ‘all clear’ hand signal has been provided. The application of the ‘prepared to stop’ clause (in practice) probably varied among drivers, and would have required a significant slowing of trains ahead of the crossing. Verbal (mobile phone) confirmation by the LCK (to the AQW) was probably often used to confirm that the crossing protection was activated and the train was clear to pass.
  • Review of train authority records also identified that on several occasions a train authority for the single line section between Donnybrook and Kilmore East NCO was issued prior to the previous train authority being cancelled, and so contrary to the requirements of TN 266.

It was concluded that the effectiveness of the issued train notice TN 266 and its amendments was undermined by their form, their inexactness, the limited consultation with stakeholders, the method of distribution and their release only a short time before coming into effect.

The issuing of a train authority

The processes established under TN 266 was for the train authority to be issued to the signaller rather than to the driver and there was no protocol to confirm that the driver, the actioning ‘receiver’ of the train authority information, understood the contents of that authority. Network rules (TA20) described that the receiver must confirm the content of a message by repeating the message back exactly as it was received, and that the receiver must not act on the communication until the sender confirms that the message has been repeated correctly.[123] However, driver readback of the train authority was actively discouraged, both in the amended TN 266 (13 February) and by ARTC network control.

Readback of safety-critical information is adopted by industries to ensure information is correctly understood by the sender and the (actioning) receiver, in this case the NCO and the driver. The absence of a protocol that would confirm driver understanding of the train authority was inconsistent with industry practice, and a significant weakness in this risk control. This weakness was exposed following the change to the train authority for routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February and the absence of driver readback of the train authority process established on 6 February was probably a contributing factor to this occurrence.

A significantly more reliable method of issuing a train authority was directly from the NCO to the driver. This process would have involved the driver completing their copy of the train authority from the narration of its content by the NCO, and then repeating back its contents to the NCO to confirm its accuracy. Both the completion of the train authority form by the driver and the repeat back process would increase the likelihood of driver understanding. This process would probably have taken 2–3 minutes in this instance.[124]

Although less reliable than the NCO directly issuing the train authority to the driver, there were other enhancements to the process used that would have improved its effectiveness, including a mandated readback of the authority by the driver to the NCO. The repeating back of the information from the driver to the NCO was a practicable control, evidenced by some drivers repeating back the train authority even though this was not a requirement of TN 266.

A second weakness in the train authority process was its indirect delivery to the driver. Even though TN 266 described the signaller issuing the train authority to the driver, the accepted practice was for the train authority to be passed from the signaller to the AQW, and then from the AQW to the driver after boarding the train. This was contrary to the principles of TA20 that described relaying of communications by a competent worker (only) if it was not possible for a sender to communicate directly with an intended receiver.[125] This indirect delivery removed the opportunity for direct dialogue and information exchange between the signaller and the driver.

Although a risk management plan was produced by ARTC for the application of train authorities, there was no human factors assessment that may have identified weaknesses in the control as it was being implemented. In particular, the potential for human error inherent in the indirect method of issuing the train authority to the driver and the absence of readback by the driver to confirm their understanding was not considered by ARTC.

Rail worker to accompany the driver

Two controls in the risk management plan advised of the intended presence of a pilot. The first was that ‘Trains are piloted through the section’, and the second was ‘Level crossing in place to operate test switch, pilot on train announces approach’. However, the risk control of a pilot was not implemented and instead an AQW was provided as the control.

Industry references, including ARTC procedures, described a pilot as having a role that included providing direction to train crews and having interactions with the NCO. The Australian industry standard for the competency of piloting rail traffic (released after this occurrence) required a pilot to have demonstrated detailed knowledge of the route and the operating conditions.[126] Pilotage would therefore be expected to be a broader risk control than an AQW, and there would be less potential for an authority gradient with the driver.

In contrast, AQWs had limited tasks and were not required to have knowledge in train operations, nor be assessed as having route knowledge and front-of-train experience on the section of track between Kilmore East and Donnybrook. The absence of clearly defined qualification, capability and knowledge requirements weakened this control.

Tasks of the AQW included delivery of the train authority and CAN notice to the driver and to call the LCK to activate the level crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road. Evidence suggests that all AQWs involved in these processes successfully performed these tasks.

Potential risk controls that were not used

For signalling failure within a centralised traffic control (CTC) section, TA20 included train working processes using caution orders and other safeworking processes.[127] These processes were used up to 6 February and could have been continued for the full period of repairs. However, the impact on the service schedule was substantial due to the 25 km/h speed limit, increasing transit times to an hour or more (Table 5).

Table 5: Transit times for different average speeds through the affected 24 km section

Average train speed18 km/h24 km/h72 km/h96 km/h120 km/h
Transit time (min)8060201512

From 6 February, a potential additional risk control was to apply a temporary speed restriction (TSR) to the Kilmore East to Donnybrook section while rail traffic was operating under administrative controls and without signals. Although not formalised as an instruction, several V/Line drivers chose to run at a slower speed through the affected section. Limiting train speed was not a control in the risk management plan nor was the control referenced as being considered and rejected.

Stakeholder engagement for train working arrangements

Consultation with stakeholders was a key component of the Australian and international standard for risk management (Standards Australia 2018). However, there was limited engagement and consultation with rail operators for the establishment of the train working arrangements that deviated from the standing network rules. Risk worksheets were only released to V/Line and labour hire firm Programmed (the day after implementation) and were not distributed to NSW Trains and freight operators.

The timeframe for V/Line to respond to the arrangements and the exclusion of several rail operators from the process, including the XPT operator, was a significant weakness in engagement strategy and risk management. These factors limited the opportunity for network users to influence risk identification and controls to manage those risks, and the opportunity to consider additional (direct) risk controls that operators might implement for their operations.

ARTC engagement with rolling stock operators continued to be limited after commencement of the train working arrangements even though there was disquiet amongst some drivers. Operator queries and feedback on the train working arrangements, while resulting in some amendments to TN 266, did not trigger a deeper review by ARTC of the risks to train operations and the adequacy of the risk controls that were being implemented.

It was concluded that ARTC risk management and oversight processes did not result in effective stakeholder engagement to support risk management and the development of risk controls for train working arrangements that deviated from ARTC network rules (TA20). This increased the safety risk associated with the rail operations.

Contractor involvement in the establishment of the arrangements

ActivateRail was engaged by ARTC to develop and manage a safeworking solution for train working between and Donnybrook and Kilmore East. Industry contracting guidelines (RISSB 2017) discussed the primary safety duty as being with the accredited operator (ARTC in this case), while also acknowledging the shared responsibilities of contractors to achieve safety outcomes.

ActivateRail contributed to the development of train working arrangements that were inadequately supported by risk management processes. ActivateRail did not have systems that ensured that its contributions were consistent with the risk management procedures of the accredited rail infrastructure manager (ARTC) and Australian risk management standards.

Example of increased risk during temporary signal suspension

A 2018 collision in the USA provides an example of increased risk associated with rail operations during signal suspension and highlights the importance of stakeholder engagement and risk assessment to manage these risks.

In February 2018 in Cayce, South Carolina, a train collided head-on with another, resulting in the death of the driver and conductor of an Amtrak Train, and injury to 115 passengers. The accident was investigated by the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB 2019), and the identified probable cause of this collision was the failure to assess and mitigate the risk associated with operating through a signal suspension. The management of risk during signal outages was a matter considered further by the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) and a review of FRA incident data showed that operations during suspended signal system presented increased safety risks (DOT 2018).

Arrangements for transit through Wallan Loop on 20 February

Risk management and stakeholder engagement

For the routing of trains through No.2 track at Wallan Loop on 20 February, there was no documented risk assessment or review of risk controls, and there was no review or update of the risk management plan. ARTC risk management and oversight processes did not result in a risk assessment of the (new) introduced risk of derailment at the low-speed turnouts, and implementation of available and practical risk controls that would manage that risk.

There was also limited engagement with rail operators and limited opportunity for operators to contribute to a review of risk controls. During the afternoon of 19 February 2020, ARTC provided V/Line with a draft of the train notice for the changed condition at Wallan Loop, although no assessment of risks or listing of controls accompanied the notice. The draft was circulated within V/Line and an opinion expressed within V/Line that ‘at the very least, there should be track force protection’ due to the changed running from No.1 track to No.2 track. V/Line was subsequently proactive in issuing its own safety circulars on the change and directly advising affected drivers of this changed condition at Wallan Loop.

There was no similar direct issue of pre-information on the changed condition at Wallan Loop provided to NSW Trains or freight operators. NSW Trains was therefore not provided with the opportunity (as had been given to V/Line) to consider the implications of the change during the afternoon of 19 February and consider pre-emptive actions. Their only potential pre-information for the organisation was via the issue of TN 367 on the evening of 19 February, and this notice was not collected by NSW Trains.

It was concluded that for the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February, ARTC risk management and oversight processes did not result in effective engagement with all rail operators impacted by this change. There was no engagement strategy and passenger train operator NSW Trains was not directly advised of the change.

Risk controls used

Existing controls were utilised for the routing of trains through Wallan Loop, with some expansion as described below:

  • the issue of train notices (train notice 367 was issued)
  • the issuing of a train authority for each train movement (no change to process, text of train authority updated)
  • a rail worker to accompany each train movement (additional tasks allocated to AQW).
TN 367

Issuing train notices was an existing control, and for the change at Wallan Loop TN 367 was issued. TN 367 described the change to operations via No.2 track and was distributed as an additional instruction to TN 266. It was issued on 19 February 2020 on the ARTC web portal, reportedly at about 1815 Adelaide time (1845 in Victoria and NSW). This was 15 minutes later than the listed time of daily publishing of notices on this portal. The issue of this notice on the evening prior to implementation was not consistent with the risk control of train notices in a ‘timely manner’, particularly in the context of the significance of the changed conditions.

This risk control relied on operators accessing the portal after it being published, processing that information internally, distributing the notice to those affected within their organisation, and potentially considering taking additional precautioning action. In the case of V/Line, the earlier awareness of the notice provided greater opportunity for this activity. In the case of NSW Trains, TN 367 was not obtained from the ARTC portal and TN 367 was not known to NSW Trains.

TN 367 was known to the NCO, signaller and AQW who were on duty on the evening of 20 February. They had all received direct copies of the notice, were familiar with its contents and were all aware of the routing of trains through No.2 track at Wallan Loop.

Issuing the train authority

For the changed conditions at Wallan Loop, there were changes to the content of the train authority but no change to the process of issuing the train authority under TN 367. The train authority was accurately updated to include specific detail on the routing of trains through No.2 track and the speed requirements at the entry to, and exit from, the loop. However as noted earlier in the analysis, the changes to the train authority text were not highlighted and the changes were probably missed by the driver of ST23.

The effectiveness of this risk control was already compromised by the existing process weaknesses, including the indirect issuing of the train authority and the absence of a full readback of the content of the train authority by the driver. The gap in confirming driver understanding became a critical weakness when the conditions at Wallan Loop changed. The driver of ST23 did not (and TN 266 instructed that they should not) read back the content of TA 17 prior to entering the affected section. It is very likely that readback would have resulted in the driver becoming aware of the routing of ST23 through Wallan Loop.

Rail worker to accompany the driver

This risk control was already compromised by the use of an AQW rather than pilot, and the absence of clearly defined qualification, capability and knowledge requirements for an AQW. These weaknesses were exposed when additional obligations were placed on the AQW in TN 367, and (for train ST23) the AQW risk control became the final opportunity to ensure the driver understood the changed conditions at Wallan Loop.

It has been concluded that the driver probably never became aware of the changed conditions at Wallan Loop. For such a scenario, the AQW risk control did not ensure that the driver of ST23 understood the changed conditions at Wallan Loop. There was insufficient evidence to conclude the reason for the probable breakdown of this process. A weakness in this control was the absence of any protocol for how driver understanding of the information on Wallan Loop might be confirmed (by the AQW), including no requirement for the driver to read back the train authority to the AQW. The effectiveness of this control was also probably not assessed for potential susceptibility to human error.[128]

In the case of train ST23, the susceptibility to human fallibility was probably augmented by the AQW on duty at the time of the derailment not being familiar with the corridor from the front of the train and this being their first time in the role. Had the AQW been familiar with the rail corridor and key landmarks, they would have been better placed to warn the driver of the overspeed of ST23 as it approached Wallan Loop.

Potential risk controls that were not used
Context

The decision to use Wallan Loop for rail operations on 20 February, and the introduction of low‑speed turnouts into the section, substantially increased the risk of derailment due to overspeed. The risk to passenger trains was heightened due to their line speed of 130 km/h and the potential for serious injury and fatality. The following are examples of additional risk controls that could have been considered to assist with the management of this risk.

Elimination of risk by not running passenger trains through No.2 track

The ARTC SMS identified that in situations where track was not used for some time, such as occurred with No.2 track at Wallan that February, track circuits could be at risk of unreliable detection due to rail head contamination. Trains were routed to run along No.2 track on 20 February to clean the rail head in preparation for testing and recommissioning of the signalling system at Wallan.

Instead of running passenger trains through Wallan Loop for the purposes of cleaning the rails, there were other options available that may have been considered, including a rail vehicle solely for that purpose or another cleaning process. In the absence of any risk assessment where options may have been raised and documented, there was no evidence identified that options other than running passenger trains through the loop were considered.

Temporary speed restriction for section

A potential risk control while routing through the loop was to apply a temporary speed restriction (TSR) to the Kilmore East to Donnybrook section operating under administrative controls. A suitable speed restriction for the full section, or part of the section that included Wallan Loop, would probably have reduced the risk of derailment due to overspeed at the Wallan Loop turnout.

Signage or conspicuous devices ahead of loop as visual cues

Potential (but not used) sources of information to alert the driver were speed signs and/or other conspicuous devices to advise of the reduced speed required to enter Wallan Loop. Without visual cues in the real-world environment, the driver was reliant on obtaining information solely from the administrative controls and remembering to later apply that information. Signage had the benefit of providing in-field cues to mitigate against the scenarios of failed administrative controls (to alert the driver of the changed conditions) and a failure of driver prospective memory. The use of signage was listed as a control for derailment in ARTC’s risk library.[129]

In-cab warnings as visual and audible cues

The XPT train was fitted with an in-cab equipment (ICE) digital train radio system as part of the National Train Communication System (NTCS). This system was used by some other networks for electronic authorities and proximity reminders for speed reduction.[130] ARTC had not implemented such systems on their network.

Track force protection

‘Track Force Protection in place as last form of defence’ was listed as a control in the risk management plan for the altered train working arrangements, although there was no context in the plan as to when, or when not, track force protection was to be applied.[131] TA 20 section 15, rule 3 described several circumstances where track force protection should be applied. These generally related to situations where equipment may be on track and not to the situation that existed at Wallan. Nonetheless, a form of protection through the section was practical and available and had been used for trackside works on the same day, and only a short distance from the loop.

Summary

For the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February, ARTC risk management and oversight processes did not result in the implementation of available and practical risk controls to manage the risk of derailment at the low-speed turnouts at Wallan Loop. Options included not running passenger trains through Wallan Loop, signage or other visual cues in the real-world environment, track force protection for the Wallan Loop section and a temporary speed restriction for part or all of the section.

Distribution of safety-critical information

Distribution by ARTC

For its Victorian network, each evening ARTC issued train notices (to rail operators) on its web portal.[132] This was a pull communication strategy that required rail operators to check the portal each evening. ARTC had a different method of issuing train notices applicable to its NSW network. In NSW, ARTC used a push communication strategy and SAFE notices were emailed to key contacts within rail operators, including NSW Trains. As a result, rail operators with operations in NSW and Victoria would receive ARTC safety notices in different ways, depending on the location.

Safety notices were a common mechanism for distributing safety information in many modes of transport and there were a range of strategies used to maximise the reach and reliability of information distribution. The methods used by ARTC to distribute safety information were sub‑optimal and there was scope to improve the effectiveness of this risk control and support the safety needs of rail operators.

NSW Trains
Accessing ARTC web portal

NSW Trains did not have a functioning process for accessing the ARTC portal for train notices applicable to its Victorian operations and instead relied on Victorian weekly notices which did not normally include the ARTC train notices. The discontinuation of routine checking of the ARTC portal for Victorian network safety notices followed changes to the NSW Trains internal structures in 2017. The loss of these processes reflects a failure of change management within NSW Trains at the time of restructure.

From 2017, there were very likely gaps in NSW Trains’ awareness of operational information for the ARTC network in Victoria, and gaps in weekly information packs provided to XPT drivers operating on that network. The repercussions were a diminished opportunity for NSW Trains to consider any new operational risks and possible controls, and the absence of pre-information to drivers on changes to network conditions.

Distribution to drivers

For drivers commencing their shift at Junee, NSW Trains prepared weekly information packs that were distributed via pigeonhole. NSW Trains did not have a functioning system to monitor that drivers starting their shift at Junee received and had understood distributed safety information. This potentially weakened the reliability of train notices as a risk control.

V/Line receipt and distribution of safety information

Aided by receiving advance information on the proposed train working arrangements directly from ARTC, V/Line distributed this information within its organisation. Then, following receipt of advance information on the changed conditions at Wallan Loop (in TN 367), V/Line was proactive in distributing TN 367 within its safety information system, and driver supervisors briefed affected drivers of the changed conditions at Wallan Loop.

Risk management on the ARTC rail network

Context

The risks and risk controls associated with overspeed derailment at low-speed turnouts on the ARTC network were considered more broadly in the context of the following occurrences in Victoria:

  • the derailment of a freight train at Benalla in June 2006 (ATSB 2007)
  • the overspeed of a V/Line passenger service at Wallan in July 2015 (ATSB 2017)
  • this most recent occurrence of ST23 derailment at Wallan in February 2020.

During normal operations, the primary risk control at the Benalla and Wallan turnout locations was driver compliance with signalling.[133] In the Benalla (2006) and Wallan (2015) occurrences, driver unawareness was a factor in the overspeed. In all three cases, the common factor was the residual risk of a low-speed turnout within the track section, and a failure of risk controls to manage that infrastructure risk.

As part of this (2020) investigation, the ATSB sought information from ARTC and V/Line on their consideration (following the 2015 occurrence) of train enforcement solutions at Wallan Loop to protect against train overspeed.[134] In response:

  • ARTC provided the advice that consideration of train enforcement solutions at Wallan Loop was a matter for V/Line. Following the 2015 overspeed event, there were also no other new risk controls implemented by ARTC at this location. The Office of the National Rail Safety Regulator also provided advice that it did not conduct audits or inspections of ARTC on the topic of the overspeed occurrence at Wallan Loop in 2015.
  • V/Line advised that an internal assessment following the 2015 occurrence had identified that there was a case for additional protection at Wallan and several other locations on the ARTC North-east line (in Victoria) to manage the risk of passenger train derailment due to overspeed. The train protection and warning system (TPWS)[135] was subsequently scheduled to be installed at Wallan and several other locations on the ARTC standard gauge corridor between Melbourne and Albury.[136] The installation was to be funded by the Victorian government.

The installation of TPWS on the standard gauge corridor would facilitate enforced braking of V/Line passenger trains at installed locations but would not provide overspeed protection for incompatible rolling stock operated by NSW Trains (for example, the XPT and its replacement) and freight operators.[137]

Potential barriers to improvements in rail safety
Scope

This section of the analysis discusses identified potential barriers to safety improvements on the national rail network. It is beyond the scope of this investigation to quantify the influence of these factors on safety risk and the conclusions are listed as general findings to this report.

The following are discussed:

  • ARTC risk management for passenger train safety
  • the overlapping safety responsibilities of ARTC and rolling stock operators
  • slow adoption of available technologies
  • diversity of train protection systems in Australian rail networks.
ARTC risk management for passenger train safety

An operator on the ARTC network (V/Line) found that the residual risk of derailment (due to overspeed) for its passenger services should be reduced at higher risk locations on that network. This raises questions as to the role of the RIM in assessing and managing residual risk to passenger train safety that is primarily a result of hazards associated with infrastructure layout. Review of ARTC risk materials found that the ARTC enterprise risk management system (ERMS) was opaque on the assessment and treatment of the risk of passenger train derailment due to overspeed. This opacity had the potential to result in missed opportunities for ARTC to identify and implement additional risk controls to advance safety for passenger train operations on the ARTC network.

Considering the overspeed occurrences at Benalla and Wallan specifically, it was concluded that there were opportunities for improved safety management at higher risk locations that included low-speed turnouts. Examples of risk controls available to ARTC as the rail infrastructure manager at these higher risk locations included speed limits, changes to track and/or signalling infrastructure, and a variety of technological solutions to reduce the likelihood, or manage the outcome, of human error. In the absence of action by ARTC at these higher risk locations, unilateral action has been taken by one passenger train operator (V/Line) to address the potential for train overspeed at such locations. Other above rail operators will not benefit from these risk controls.

Safety responsibilities of infrastructure managers and rolling stock operators

Rail safety regulation in Australia described safety responsibilities (individually) applicable to the rail infrastructure manager (RIM) and the rolling stock operator (RSO). The mechanism for the management of overlapping regulatory obligations to reduce risk so far as is reasonably practical (SFAIRP) was less clear. The safety interface agreement was one available vehicle to facilitate engagement and potentially achieve joint safety outcomes. In the instance of ARTC and NSW Trains, the (safety) interface agreement had not been updated since 2011 and did not provide evidence of a proactive consultative regime that contributed to improved safety.

Barriers to improved safety on the ARTC rail network include the absence of an effective concept of shared safety responsibility between RIM and RSO, mechanisms that encourage proactive safety improvement where safety responsibilities overlap, and a framework to resolve funding barriers.

Slow adoption of available technologies

Metropolitan and several regional networks in Australia have adopted technological solutions to mitigate the risks associated with human error. Examples of regional applications include train protection and warning systems on the Victorian regional network, and in-cab information and warning systems on the NSW country regional network.

The roll out of available technologies on the ARTC network was slow by comparison. The ARTC advanced train management system (ATMS) was initiated by ARTC in 2005 and was operational on only a small portion of its network, and opportunities to utilise existing train radio systems to enhance in-cab information and warning had not been taken.

Diversity of train management systems in Australian rail networks

Technological advances in train management systems provide opportunities for significant improvements in the safety of rail transport. There are several technical options and rail networks around Australia are adopting an array of solutions to meet their operational needs (RISSB 2021b).[138] Each network solution requires network users (rolling stock) to interface with the management system for that network.

The range of systems being adopted across Australia raises questions around interoperability and the safety implications of an uncoordinated application of train management technologies.[139] An uncoordinated approach may result in lost opportunities for improved safety while also introducing interface risks.

Power car survivability

Detachment of driver’s cab door

When the leading power car overturned and slid on its side, the left-side driver's cab door detached from the door frame. Although the sequence of door component failures could not be ascertained with certainty, analysis confirmed that the knuckles of the upper hinge would probably unfurl during an overturn event, and that the door attachments were probably not designed to withstand such a loading scenario.

The left-side cab door probably detached early in the sequence of the power car overturning and sliding. With the door aperture open, ballast and earth entered the cab, impacting and trapping the driver and the accompanying qualified worker (AQW) who were inside. A similar derailment in Ufton Nevert in the United Kingdom where the train driver died involved the overturn of a power car of similar design (to the XPT) and track material entering the driver’s cabin.

Contemporary Australian industry standards referred to international standards that required cab side doors to meet external pressures that had aerodynamic origins. Neither these standards nor the Australian standard covering structural integrity included requirements for cab doors following overturn. There was no other Australian standard identified that included requirements to prevent or mitigate against the potential ingress of ballast materials into the driver’s cab following overturn.

Access and egress

Access was available to the driver’s cab via the right-side door, however it proved a difficult route to provide assistance to the driver and AQW in the overturned power car. Without ground-level access to the interior of the cab, passenger services crew and emergency first responders were inhibited in their ability to provide effective assistance to the trapped driver and AQW, prolonging the train crew’s exposure to the adverse environment within the cab.

Contemporary Australian rail industry standards did not include requirements for ground-level access to or egress from driver's cabs in the event of a rollover.[140] This can hinder escape by occupants or immediate access to rolling stock interiors by other crew members and first responders.

Fuel tank breach

The lower left-side edge of both fuel tanks on the leading power car were breached, allowing diesel fuel to drain from the tanks. The fuel tanks were single-skinned and exposed to penetrating and abrading materials in the case of derailment.

The derailment and overturn of a CountryLink Xplorer at Baan Baa in May 2004 resulted in the Office of Transport Safety Investigation (OTSI) recommending that the rolling stock owner (Railcorp at that time) review ‘the design, positioning and protection of fuel tanks on its diesel fleet’ (OTSI 2005). A review of records indicated that a response was provided to the rail regulator by Railcorp indicating that its review had found that there was no significant risk reduction to be obtained by changing the design, positioning and protection of fuel tanks on its diesel fleet.

Passenger safety

Scope

Following the derailment, some passengers started to self-evacuate the train onto the adjacent tracks prior to the train crew directing an evacuation, and prior to the crew receiving confirmation that all trains had been stopped.

This section of the analysis considers the factors that may have led to the passengers’ actions, including the safety information provided prior to the derailment, the communication from crew members during the incident and the training received by crew members to be able to manage such incidents.

Passenger safety information
Overview

The post-occurrence passenger survey revealed a low level of assimilation of onboard safety information and it is probable that the majority of passengers on ST23 were not aware of the specified actions for passengers in the case of an emergency event such as derailment. A range of reasons were given by passengers, including not recalling or not paying attention to safety announcements, and not reading the safety information located at the rear of the onboard guide.

Although passenger attention to safety briefings and retention of the information provided is difficult to ensure, it is important that operators provide passengers the best opportunity of receiving and comprehending safety information. NSW Trains provided passenger safety information to passengers in various formats, including verbal and written information. However, the methods used to convey safety information in this case were not effective for probably the majority of passengers. This meant that, following the derailment, there was greater reliance on passenger services crew to provide instructions to passengers on what to do, and specifically the instruction to remain on the train until it was confirmed safe to evacuate.

Verbal briefing

Passenger inability to recall that information had been provided does not mean that they did not receive the information, however it does indicate that the methods used to provide the information had limited effectiveness.

Although there was a standard announcement documented within the operator’s procedures, it was probably not unusual for a passenger services supervisor (PSS) to prepare their own briefing. This meant that it could not be assured that passengers would receive safety information fully consistent with the NSW Trains’ guidelines.

In addition, there were occasions where passengers boarded at intermediate stations where the briefing was not provided, and in the case of ST23 a full safety briefing was not given in Albury. Any gaps in verbal briefing were compounded by ineffective onboard written safety information.

Written information

Printed instructions provide passengers with a greater opportunity to understand emergency information. This is particularly important when not all passengers receive a verbal briefing when they first board a train.

Passengers on the XPT were provided written safety information in an onboard guide that contained other information not relevant to safety. The passenger survey indicated that only a small portion of passengers accessed that information, and some passengers also commented that information presented like that on airlines (as a safety card) may have been helpful.

The safety information in the onboard guide was presented without any pictorials. Research supports the combination of text and pictorials, particularly for information that is not familiar. The use of both text and pictorials can increase a person’s ability to translate meaning (Mandl and Levin, 1989). In addition to the format of the written information, it was reported that the onboard guides were not present in the back of every passenger seat. 

In addition, signage containing simple instructions to guide passengers on what to do in an emergency were not present on ST23. Some of the surveyed passengers mentioned that better signage on the seat in front of them or at the end of carriages may have been helpful.

Communication to passengers in an emergency

Following the derailment, not all passengers received immediate instruction to remain on board the train. This was in part due to the location of the passenger services crew members at the time of the derailment, which limited the opportunity to immediately communicate directly with passengers in remote passenger cars. As a result, some passengers decided to self-evacuate, probably within a few minutes of the derailment and prior to the adjacent tracks being confirmed by the passenger services crew as being safe for the evacuation.

This situation highlights the importance of communicating with all passengers quickly, especially when they are physically dispersed in different passenger cars. Crew members might achieve this via the use of the public address (PA) system or megaphones. Neither the PA system nor megaphones were used in this instance.

NSW Trains’ procedures referred to the use of the PA system in an evacuation to advise passengers to be prepared to evacuate, however there was no procedure that provided train crew with standard phrases or positive commands to inform passengers of the need to remain on board the train.

The incident response summary guidance located at the passenger service crew stations on ST23 were comprehensive, however they could not be considered a quick reference. Additionally, there was no reference to the use of the megaphones in an emergency to assist in maintaining control of passengers on board, or once they had been evacuated.

Passenger services crew training in emergency procedures

All the passenger services crew members except one had completed some form of emergency and evacuation training. The training included material related to a train derailment and an opportunity for participants to talk through scenarios. However, none of the scenarios were hands‑on or practical in nature. Research (Arthur et al. 2013) shows the importance of practice for skill acquisition and retention, particularly for those tasks that may not be performed on a regular basis.

It is acknowledged that a 2019 NSW Trains training needs analysis identified that evacuation‑related competencies for passenger services crew should be trained and assessed practically. However, changes recommended by this review had not yet been implemented at the time of the Wallan derailment.

Training and assessment administration

Administrative processes for the conduct of written assessments (in this case for emergency and evacuation training) of the passenger services crew on ST23, such as signing of examinations, recording of marks, and the use of the documented marking system, were not consistent with the principles of assessment and rules of evidence (ASQA 2015).

Not all passenger services crew members had been recorded as having completed the required emergency procedures training and some were outside the recurrency requirements. There was also no matrix or recording system that identified the required training and frequency for different crew roles. This meant that the management of the train crews’ competency in emergency procedures was inconsistent and it was unclear how the standards were being applied.

Findings

ATSB investigation report findings focus on safety factors (that is, events and conditions that increase risk). Safety factors include ‘contributing factors’ and ‘other factors that increased risk’ (that is, factors that did not meet the definition of a contributing factor for this occurrence but were still considered important to include in the report for the purpose of increasing awareness and enhancing safety). In addition ‘other findings’ may be included to provide important information about topics other than safety factors. 

Safety issues are highlighted in bold to emphasise their importance. A safety issue is a safety factor that (a) can reasonably be regarded as having the potential to adversely affect the safety of future operations, and (b) is a characteristic of an organisation or a system, rather than a characteristic of a specific individual, or characteristic of an operating environment at a specific point in time.

These findings should not be read as apportioning blame or liability to any particular organisation or individual.

From the evidence available, the following findings are made with respect to the derailment of train ST23 at Wallan on 20 February 2020.

Contributing factors

The derailment
  • Low-speed (15 km/h) turnouts from the 130 km/h through track at Wallan Loop resulted in a risk of derailment due to train overspeed. This risk was re-introduced into the section on 20 February.
  • Train ST23 did not slow sufficiently to negotiate the turnout to Wallan Loop. ST23 was travelling at between 114 and 127 km/h when it entered the turnout compared to the specified operational speed for the turnout of 15 km/h.
  • The driver was probably unaware of the routing of ST23 into Wallan Loop and their understanding of this routing was not confirmed. During the preceding 12 days, the driver had very likely developed a strong expectation that while signals were not operating trains were not being routed via No.2 track at Wallan Loop.
Train working arrangements and risk management
  • The driver of ST23 did not (and was not required to) read back the content of train authority 17 prior to entering the affected section. Readback of the train authority would likely have resulted in the driver becoming aware of the routing of ST23 through Wallan Loop.
  • Train working arrangements established by ARTC on 6 February 2020 excluded communication protocols to confirm driver understanding of the content of the train authority giving them permission to enter that section. This gap in communication protocols became a critical weakness in this risk control when the track configuration was changed to route trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February.
  • For the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February, ARTC did not implement available and practical risk controls to manage the risk of derailment due to overspeed at a Wallan Loop turnout.
  • For the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February, ARTC risk management and oversight processes did not result in a documented assessment of the introduced risks and the application of controls necessary to manage those risks. (Safety issue)
  • For the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February, ARTC processes did not result in its effective engagement with network users that would be affected by this change. (Safety issue)
Power car survivability
  • The power car left-side door detached from its frame when the power car overturned and slid on its side. This allowed earth and ballast materials to enter the driver’s cab of train ST23, impacting and trapping the driver and the accompanying qualified worker.
  • Passenger services crew and first responders were unable to render immediate and effective assistance to the trapped driver and accompanying qualified worker due to the lack of ground level access to the driver's cabin.

Other factors that increased risk

Risk management
  • For the establishment of train working arrangements that deviated from ARTC network rules, ARTC risk management and oversight processes resulted in a risk management plan that was limited in context, scope and risk identification and risk controls that had significant weaknesses. (Safety issue)
  • For the establishment of train working arrangements that deviated from ARTC network rules, ARTC stakeholder engagement did not support its management of the safety risks to network users and the development of agreed risk controls.  (Safety issue)
  • For the establishment of train working arrangements that deviated from ARTC network rules, ActivateRail did not implement processes to ensure its contributions were consistent with the risk management procedures of the accredited rail infrastructure manager (ARTC) and Australian risk management standards. (Safety issue)
Train working arrangements
  • ARTC use of train authorities in the circumstances that were present between Donnybrook and Kilmore East in February 2020 was not provided for in the ARTC Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations (TA20). In the absence of effective risk management and stakeholder engagement, deviation from the established practices introduced the potential for a degraded level of rail safety.
  • The effectiveness of the ARTC train notices as a risk control was undermined by their form, their inexactness, the limited consultation with stakeholders that would be affected, their method of distribution, and their release only a short time prior to each coming into effect.
  • The practice of the train authority being delivered to the driver by the accompanying qualified worker rather than directly from the signaller removed an opportunity for direct contact and an exchange of safety information between the signaller (who had been issued the train authority by the network control officer) and the driver.
  • ARTC did not specify the qualification and knowledge requirements of persons who were to perform the safety critical role of an accompanying qualified worker. (Safety issue)
  • The accompanying qualified worker used by ARTC for train ST23 was not familiar with the rail corridor environment between Kilmore East and Donnybrook from front of train.  
Distribution of safety critical information
  • ARTC distribution of safety information by train notice was sub-optimal. There was scope to improve reliability of safety information distribution and to consider opportunities for operators in Victoria (and SA and WA) to receive direct distribution of train notices for their operations on the ARTC network. (Safety issue)
  • NSW Trains did not have a functioning process for obtaining safety information from the ARTC web portal for its rolling stock operations within Victoria and did not routinely obtain ARTC train notices. (Safety issue)
  • NSW Trains did not have a functioning system to monitor that drivers starting their shift at Junee received and had understood distributed safety information. (Safety issue)
Power car survivability
  • Contemporary Australian industry rail standards did not include structural requirements for cab doors, or other performance-based requirements, that addressed the protection of train crew in the case of vehicle overturn. (Safety issue)
  • Contemporary Australian industry rail standards did not include requirements for ground-level access to or egress from driver's cabs in the event of a rollover. (Safety issue)
Passenger safety
  • A significant number of passengers self-evacuated onto tracks that had not been confirmed safe by the train crew.
  • The majority of passengers on ST23 were probably not aware of the NSW Trains’ specified actions for passengers in the case of an emergency event such as derailment.
  • NSW Trains’ methods of providing safety information to passengers (including verbal safety briefings, onboard guides and signage) did not provide reasonable opportunity for all passengers to have knowledge of what to do in an emergency. (Safety issue)
  • NSW Trains’ procedures did not provide specific instructions to passenger services crew on when, how and what to communicate to passengers in an emergency. (Safety issue)
  • NSW Trains’ training of passenger services crew did not include periodic simulated exercises that would allow crew members to demonstrate and maintain the knowledge and skills required in an emergency. (Safety issue)
  • NSW Trains did not have systems in place to achieve outcomes in emergency response training consistent with its competency framework for passenger services crew. (Safety issue)

Other findings

Factors unlikely to have influenced occurrence
  • Evidence suggests that both the driver of ST23 and the accompanying qualified worker were fit for normal functioning and were not incapacitated at the time of the derailment.
  • Rolling stock testing, inspections, and a review of maintenance records did not identify an adverse condition or defect that was likely to have contributed to the derailment.
  • There was no evidence identified to suggest that the condition of the track at the northern entry to Wallan Loop was a factor in the derailment.
Voice recorders on rolling stock
  • Voice recording within the driver’s cab would have assisted the investigation to examine the interactions within the cab, and to potentially identify additional safety factors.
Potential barriers to safety improvements on the ARTC rail network
  • The ARTC enterprise risk management system was opaque on the assessment and treatment of the risk of passenger train derailment due to overspeed at higher risk locations (such as Wallan Loop). This probably resulted in missed opportunities for ARTC to identify and implement additional risk controls to advance safety for passenger train operations on the ARTC network.
  • Where risks were shared between the rail infrastructure manager (RIM) and rolling stock operators (RSO), there was the potential for lost opportunities for safety improvement. A review of the (safety) interface agreement between ARTC and NSW Trains did not identify an active safety interface mechanism for the promotion of improved safety.
  • The rollout of technological solutions on the ARTC rail network to mitigate risks associated with human error was slow in comparison with several other regional rail networks in Australia.
  • The uncoordinated application of train management technologies on Australian rail networks could result in lost opportunities for improved safety while also potentially introducing interface risks.

Safety issues and actions

Central to the ATSB’s investigation of transport safety matters is the early identification of safety issues. The ATSB expects relevant organisations will address all safety issues an investigation identifies.

Depending on the level of risk of a safety issue, the extent of corrective action taken by the relevant organisation(s), or the desirability of directing a broad safety message to the rail industry, the ATSB may issue a formal safety recommendation or safety advisory notice as part of the final report.

All directly involved parties were provided with a draft report and invited to provide submissions. As part of that process, each organisation was asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they had carried out or were planning to carry out in relation to each safety issue relevant to their organisation.

Descriptions of each safety issue, and any associated safety recommendations, are detailed below. Click the link to read the full safety issue description, including the issue status and any safety action/s taken. Safety issues and actions are updated on this website when safety issue owners provide further information concerning the implementation of safety action.

Risk management for routing trains through Wallan Loop

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-01

Safety issue description: For the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February, ARTC risk management and oversight processes did not result in a documented assessment of the introduced risks and the application of controls necessary to manage those risks.

Stakeholder engagement for routing trains through Wallan Loop

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-02

Safety issue description: For the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February, ARTC processes did not result in its effective engagement with network users that would be affected by this change.

Risk management to deviate from network rules

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-03

Safety issue description: For the establishment of train working arrangements that deviated from ARTC network rules, ARTC risk management and oversight processes resulted in a risk management plan that was limited in context, scope and risk identification and risk controls that had significant weaknesses.

Stakeholder engagement to deviate from network rules

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-04

Safety issue description: For the establishment of train working arrangements that deviated from ARTC network rules, ARTC stakeholder engagement did not support its management of the safety risks to network users and the development of agreed risk controls.

Contractor processes to support deviation from network rules

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-05

Safety issue description:For the establishment of train working arrangements that deviated from ARTC network rules, ActivateRail did not implement processes to ensure its contributions were consistent with the risk management procedures of the accredited rail infrastructure manager (ARTC) and Australian risk management standards.

Definition of knowledge requirements of safety critical workers

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-06

Safety issue description: ARTC did not specify the qualification and knowledge requirements of persons who were to perform the safety critical role of an accompanying qualified worker.

ARTC distribution of safety information

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-07

Safety issue description: ARTC distribution of safety information by train notice was sub-optimal. There was scope to improve reliability of safety information distribution and to consider opportunities for operators in Victoria (and SA and WA) to receive direct distribution of train notices for their operations on the ARTC network.

NSW Trains collection of safety information

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-08

Safety issue description: NSW Trains did not have a functioning process for obtaining safety information from the ARTC web portal for its rolling stock operations within Victoria and did not routinely obtain ARTC train notices.

NSW Trains distribution of safety information to drivers

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-09

Safety issue description: NSW Trains did not have a functioning system to monitor that drivers starting their shift at Junee received and had understood distributed safety information.

Standards for protection of train crew from debris

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-10

Safety issue description: Contemporary Australian industry rail standards did not include structural requirements for cab doors, or other performance-based requirements, that addressed the protection of train crew in the case of vehicle overturn.

Standards for accessing crew in overturned vehicle

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-11

Safety issue description: Contemporary Australian industry rail standards did not include requirements for ground-level access to or egress from driver's cabs in the event of a rollover.

Safety information for passengers of XPT

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-12

Safety issue description: NSW Trains’ methods of providing safety information to passengers (including verbal safety briefings, onboard guides and signage) did not provide reasonable opportunity for all passengers to have knowledge of what to do in an emergency.

Safety recommendation description: The Australian Transport Safety Bureau recommends that NSW Trains undertake further work to improve the methods used to provide safety information to ensure that passengers are given a reasonable opportunity to gain knowledge of what they may be required to do in the event of an emergency.

Guidance on passenger communications in an emergency

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-13

Safety issue description: NSW Trains’ procedures did not provide specific instructions to passenger services crew on when, how and what to communicate to passengers in an emergency.

Simulated exercises in emergency management training

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-14

Safety issue description: NSW Trains’ training of passenger services crew did not include periodic simulated exercises that would allow crew members to demonstrate and maintain the knowledge and skills required in an emergency.

Competency management of passenger services crew

Safety issue number: RO-2020-002-SI-15

Safety issue description: NSW Trains did not have systems in place to achieve outcomes in emergency response training consistent with its competency framework for passenger services crew.

Safety actions not associated with an identified safety issue

Whether or not the ATSB identifies safety issues in the course of an investigation, relevant organisations may proactively initiate safety action in order to reduce their safety risk. All of the directly involved parties are invited to provide submissions to this draft report. As part of that process, each organisation is asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they have carried out to reduce the risk associated with this type of occurrences in the future.
ARTC

ARTC advised that a standing Train Notice has been issued requiring the Network Controller, when issuing a Train Authority to the Rail Traffic Crew, to receive a read back of the Train Authority from the Rail Traffic Crew in full. Confirmation of having read and understood the content of Train Authority is provided by the Rail Traffic Crew via signature, with the time of the Train Authority read back also recorded.

NSW Trains

NSW Trains advised that it has taken the following additional steps to reduce the risks associated with this type of occurrence in the future:

  • Introduction of a range of initiatives to enhance safety critical communications including:
    • the development of a new program to strengthen the quality of safety critical communication across all NSW Trains rail safety workers (as well as digitisation)
    • benchmarking of NSW Trains' systems against safety critical communication systems used by other rail operators
    • five risk workshops with key internal and external stakeholders to identify opportunities to strengthen safety critical communications
    • exploration of future digital solutions for safety critical communications.
  • Additional resources to ensure that NSW Trains has 24/7 shift manager coverage to enhance frontline crew ability to liaise directly with a supervisor.
Programmed

Programmed advised that actions undertaken to strengthen existing controls around placement of rail workers included:

  • Receiving job orders from customers and confirming these in writing by the recruitment and placement teams following a verification against recognised competency frameworks and network rules ie RISSB, TA20 etc.
  • Employing a dedicated National Rail Training and Compliance Manager who is responsible for monitoring and verifying RIW competencies of Programmed’s rail safe working crews.  This extends to arranging RIW refresher training.
  • Implementing a new technology platform for undertaking desktop and in field audits that includes a verification of training and qualification to the role types being supplied.

Sources and submissions

Sources of information

The sources of information during the investigation included:

  • Australian Rail Track Corporation
  • NSW Trains
  • Sydney Trains
  • ActivateRail
  • Programmed
  • ARG Rail
  • V/Line
  • Office of the National Rail Safety Regulator
  • Victoria Police

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Submissions

Under section 26 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003, the ATSB may provide a draft report, on a confidential basis, to any person whom the ATSB considers appropriate. That section allows a person receiving a draft report to make submissions to the ATSB about the draft report.

A draft of this report was provided to organisations and individuals to confirm factual accuracy and/or where parties were potentially affected by findings within the report. Submissions from those parties were reviewed and, where considered appropriate, the text of the draft report amended accordingly.

Appendices

Appendix A – Rolling stock condition assessment

Derailment site observations

Observations were made at the derailment site prior to the rolling stock being moved. The preliminary observations did not identify evidence of rolling stock defects or equipment failures potentially causal to the derailment. All vehicles remained mechanically coupled, although some couplers had sustained damage in the derailment. All bogies remained attached to their car body.

Testing of braking and vigilance systems

Static brake testing on the leading power car (XP2018) was conducted at the Auburn UGL facility to determine whether the brakes were degraded prior to the derailment.[141] Testing also included assessment of the vigilance control system that initiates a brake application in the case of driver incapacitation. There was no evidence found that the brake system or vigilance control system on XP2018 was defective or may have contributed to the derailment. Also, the driver of ST23 did not report any issues with the braking system prior to the derailment.

Power car XP2018 twist test

A twist test on power car XP2018 was conducted at the Auburn facility to determine the vehicle’s capacity to negotiate track twist.[142] The twist test arrangements were in accordance with the twist (packing) described in RailCorp Standard ESR0001-200 (2013) that represented the standard current at the time of the derailment. The testing found a maximum wheel unloading of 57.3%, compared to the maximum permissible value of 60%. Given this result, it is unlikely that the twist performance of the leading power car contributed to the derailment.

Train radio performance

The radio system was function tested and radio logs reviewed to assess the condition of the radio system shortly prior to the derailment. During testing, the system was operational although with some degraded performance, probably due to derailment damage and removed antennas. Based on results of this function testing and the review of radio log files, the Sydney Trains specialist maintenance group responsible for the train communications concluded that there was no evidence to suggest that the onboard communications systems were non-operational or defective at the time of the occurrence.

A review of maintenance records also found that the train radio system was within the required maintenance inspection timeframes and compliant at the time of the derailment. The most recent inspection of communications equipment on XP2018 was on 6 February 2020, and for power car XP2000 the inspection was on 4 February 2020.

Bogie and wheel inspections

The strip-down inspection of the bogies of power car XP2018 did not identify defects likely to have contributed to the derailment. There was minor distortion of the bogie frames, possibly as a result of the derailment. Non-destructive testing identified cracking of one brake bracket casting in the trailing bogie, probably a result of the derailment. 

There were no pre-existing adverse conditions identified in the bogies of the passenger cars. Review of bogie and wheelset sheets did not identify any areas of concern with the condition of the bogies at the time of overhaul or wheelset change. Bogie weights at time of overhaul were within specification. Braking components including brake levers and cylinders were within specified dimensions and clamping forces at the time of servicing.

Wheel profile measurements taken following the derailment were compared to the WPR2000 profile specified for these vehicles. No sharp flanges were identified, and profiles were within tolerance and generally close to the WPR2000 profile. The most recent routine wheel measurement also indicated flange and rim thickness were within engineering standards.

Maintenance status of ST23 on 20 February 2020

Maintenance of the XPT fleet was managed using the Sydney Trains enterprise asset management (EAM) system. Work orders were generated within the EAM in accordance with the requirements of the technical maintenance plan (TMP). The TMP specified the frequency of tasks required for the power cars and trailer (passenger) cars. Maintenance inspections included major inspections and trip inspections (prior to service). In addition to the maintenance regime, heavy overhauls were conducted at specified frequencies.

Open and closed faults for the 120 days prior to the derailment were reviewed. There were no open faults identified that would suggest the train was operating at increased risk relevant to the derailment sequence. Review of closed faults did not show any recent faults that might have been addressed incorrectly and created increased risk.

At the time of the derailment of ST23, a number of work orders within the TMP were listed as ‘open’ although none of the open orders were found to be relevant to the risk of derailment. It was also found that ST23 entered service with work orders for the Trip Inspection of all cars identified as ‘open’. However, review of records identified that most tasks had been completed prior to the train entering service. Those tasks that were not completed were not considered potential contributors to the derailment.

Appendix B – ST23 driver roster and fatigue assessment

The driver’s actual and scheduled duty hours for the 2 weeks prior to the occurrence are shown in Table 6. The driver commenced a series of duty periods at about 0215 on 19 February, with the second commencing at about 1815 and ending at about 0100 on 20 February. After about 12 hours free of duty, the driver’s third duty period commenced at Junee at 1315 and the scheduled sign-off time in Melbourne was 1845.[143]

Table 6: Scheduled and actual duty times for the driver of ST23

DateWork activityRoster startRoster finishActual finishActual hours
7 FebruaryOff    
8 FebruaryJunee to Melbourne0215074508596:44
8 FebruaryMelbourne to Junee1815010001056:50
9 FebruaryOff    
10 FebruaryJunee to Melbourne0215074508326:17
10 FebruaryMelbourne to Junee1815010001006:45
11 FebruaryOff    
12 FebruaryJunee to Melbourne0215074508325:36
12 FebruaryMelbourne to Junee1815010001277:12
13 FebruaryOff    
14 Feb 2020Off    
15 Feb 2020Junee to Sydney1341211622318:50
16 Feb 2020Melbourne to Junee07251340Note 1Note 1
17 Feb 2020Off    
18 Feb 2020Off    
19 Feb 2020Junee to Melbourne02150745Note 1Note 1
19 Feb 2020Melbourne to Junee18150100Note 1Note 1
20 Feb 2020Junee to Melbourne13151845Note 26:28

Note 1. The driver had not submitted actual worked hours for the period 16 to 20 February as of the day of the occurrence.

Note 2. The derailment occurred at about 1943.

It was reported that the driver normally slept 8 hours a night, though less at times when doing shift work. Information from the driver’s mobile phone included phone calls, messages sent and physical activity (steps taken in each 1-hour period). There was no such phone-related activity for a 5-hour period at night prior to the first shift on 19 February (as well as an earlier period of more than 60 minutes in the afternoon), a 6.5-hour period prior to the second shift on 19 February, and an 8-hour period prior to the shift commencing on 20 February. For the 2 nights prior to these shifts, there were periods of more than 10 hours without such phone activity.

Overall, it was not possible to determine the quantity or quality of sleep obtained by the driver in the days leading up to the occurrence. However, based on the available information (including the length of the duty period and the time of day), there was insufficient evidence to conclude that the driver was experiencing a level of fatigue known to adversely influence performance at the time of the occurrence.

 Appendix C – Train Notice 266 initial issue

Appendix C – Train Notice 266 initial issue
Appendix C – Train Notice 266 initial issue
Appendix C – Train Notice 266 initial issue
Appendix C – Train Notice 266 initial issue
Appendix C – Train Notice 266 initial issue
Appendix C – Train Notice 266 initial issue

Appendix D – Train Notice 266 as amended 13 February

Appendix D – Train Notice 266 as amended 13 February
Appendix D – Train Notice 266 as amended 13 February
Appendix D – Train Notice 266 as amended 13 February
Appendix D – Train Notice 266 as amended 13 February
Appendix D – Train Notice 266 as amended 13 February
Appendix D – Train Notice 266 as amended 13 February

Appendix E – The train authority form used under TN 266

Appendix E – The train authority form used under TN 266

Appendix F – Train Notice 367

Appendix F – Train Notice 367

 

Appendix F – Train Notice 367

Appendix G – The train authority form used after TN 367

Appendix G – The train authority form used after TN 367

Appendix H – Other rules and codes

Scope

The operating rules for Australian Rail Track Cooperation’s (ARTC’s) Victorian network were described in the ARTC Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations (TA20). This appendix provides a brief summary of other codes and rules that were reviewed for any possible relevance to the protocols that were established between Donnybrook and Kilmore East in February 2020.

Code of Practice for the Defined Interstate Rail Network

Volume 3 of the Code of Practice for the Defined Interstate Rail Network described safeworking rules and route standards for the Defined Interstate Rail Network in Western Australia, South Australia, parts of New South Wales and a small section of the Victorian network west of Dimboola (DOTARS 2002).[144] The document had the intention to ‘provide a more unified, harmonised and efficient operation’ and was aligned with 'occupancy control systems and occupancy authorities' defined in AS 4292.5 (Standards Australia 2006).

This code described the potential use of train authorities to pass fixed signals at stop through a section during Centralised Traffic Control (CTC) system failure, where the cause was not unsafe track. Section 3.9 of the code also specified a range of procedural requirements for preparing and issuing train authorities, including step by step instructions for the processes of communication between the train controller and the ‘recipient’ of the train authority. There were broad similarities between the train authority format requirements of this code and the train authorities used between Donnybrook and Kilmore East in February 2020, but also some variation in detail and the application of narration and readback requirements. The system used in February 2020 could therefore not be described as being consistent with all the detail of this code.

Australian Network Rules and Procedures for CTC

The Australian Network Rules and Procedures, and the subsequent National Rules Framework, (RISSB) described how access providers and access users could operate safely on the Australian network.[145] Rules for the CTC system were described in ANRP5001 (RISSB 2014) and stated that if the function to control points and signals failed, the network control officer (NCO) could institute a method of special working.

Special working was included in the RISSB glossary and defined as ‘working rail traffic using an Alternate Proceed Authority (APA) or manual block working’. The RISSB glossary stated an APA may be used to authorise rail traffic movements when the proceed authority normally provided by the safeworking system was not available. In the instance at Wallan, the issuing of caution orders and other safeworking requirements specified in TA20 for the CTC system was available and had been applied in the initial days of the signalling failure.

Australian Network Rules and Procedures for Network Communication

Industry guidance on communications (RISSB 2014a) allowed for the relaying of communications when it was not possible to communicate directly with the intended receiver. However, direct communication between train control and train drivers was always available between 6 and 20 February 2020, as evidenced by train drivers confirming receipt of train authorities and CAN forms to train control.

Appendix I – ARTC types of risk assessment

Appendix I – ARTC types of risk assessment

Appendix J – Risk management of level crossing protection

The ARTC risk management plan for the train authority working between Donnybrook and Kilmore East in February 2020 described the controls being used to manage the risks associated with the absence of automated activation of the level crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road. The risk management plan described the hazard, cause and outcome associated with the deactivated level crossing (Table 7).

Table 7: Risk management plan description of risk item 6

HazardTrain operates through non operating level crossing at Wallan
Caused byLevel crossing taken out of service and no protection in place
Worst outcomeCollision with road vehicle or pedestrian leading to injury or fatality.

For the identified risk, the risk management plan identified 2 controls that were to be implemented by the on-duty level crossing keeper (LCK) and the accompanying qualified worker (AQW). Those controls and how they were implemented are described in Table 8.

Table 8: Specified risk controls for risk item 6 and ATSB comment on implementation

Specified risk controlATSB comment on the implementation of the control
Level crossing (keeper) (LCK) in place to operate test switchAn LCK was located at the Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing and would communicate with the AQW of the approaching train. When notified, the LCK would activate the crossing protection and confirm its activation with the AQW. There were no instances identified where this process had failed.
Pilot on train announces approachAn AQW (not a ‘pilot’) on board the approaching train would contact the LCK by mobile phone at sufficient distance to warn of the train’s approach, confirm successful activation of the crossing protection by the LCK, and advise the driver of its activation. There were no instances identified where this process had failed.

Appendix K – Train recorder (Hasler) analysis

The Hasler RT recorder

Power cars XP2018 and XP2000 were each fitted with a Hasler RT data recorder and the tapes from the 2 power cars were recovered for analysis (Figure 23). Limited parameters are recorded and included time, speed, throttle and vigilance control (on the same trace), and brake cylinder pressure.

Figure 23: Hasler waxed paper rolls removed from power cars XP2018 and XP2000

Figure 23: Hasler waxed paper rolls removed from power cars XP2018 and XP2000

The photograph shows the recovered waxed tapes. The centre roll is the tape from power car XP2000. The left and right rolls are the tape from power car XP2018 that jammed during its removal and was torn at one location.
Source: CITS

Data processing

To process the data, both tapes were scanned and examined using photographic software. The traces for each recorded parameter were assessed for alignment with key events, such as start/stop points. Some horizontal re-alignment of parameters was required and both the horizontal and vertical scales of the images were calibrated for measurement.

Wheel diameter corrections

The Hasler used a pre-set (average) wheel diameter to calculate both speed and distance from the measured revolutions of the left wheel on the second axle of the power car (wheel 3).[146] Actual speed may deviate from that recorded (and displayed) due to differences between this pre-set diameter and the diameter of the actual wheel providing the feed to the Hasler system. The actual measured wheel diameter for both power cars was larger than the pre-set value.

The recorded values for speed and distance were corrected for the ratio of actual-to-pre-set wheel diameter (Table 9). The larger actual wheel diameter on the XP2018 (compared to the pre-set) meant that the recorded speed was about 2% lower than the actual train speed.

Table 9: Measurements used for speed and distance correction factor

 XP2018 – leadingXP2000 – trailing
Pre-set diameter (mm)1,0001,000
Measured diameter (mm)1,019.21,011
Ratio (correction factor)1.01921.011
Uncertainties in recorded data

An initial review identified a likely recording anomaly in the latter part of the XP2018 data. All channels recorded noise in the latter phase, likely associated with the derailment. An overlay of the data from the 2 power cars showed the discrepancy (visible as diverging speed toward the end of the data) and also confirmed that the speed data prior to this occurring was consistent (Figure 24).

Figure 24: Overlay of data recordings from XP2018 and XP2000

Figure 24: Overlay of data recordings from XP2018 and XP2000

The image shows an overlay of speed records from power cars 2018 and 2000. It indicates consistent speed records after departing Kilmore East, then a consistent initial sharp deceleration of both cars followed by diverging speed records during the derailment.

Source: ST23 Hasler recordings annotated by the ATSB

There were also potential inaccuracies in the XP2000 data in the latter stages due to uncertainty in the measured wheel rotation being an accurate measure of train speed during this phase.

Other sources of train speed

GPS data from the installed ICE radio system[147] was interrogated and used as a comparator for time, speed and position information. Although only coarse GPS data was available due to the system’s polling frequency, it provided a source for comparison with the Hasler data and an enhanced confidence in the assessed train speed. The GPS data was also the primary source for locating the position of ST23 when stopped prior to signal KME16.

Throttle and braking events

One limitation of the fitted Hasler data recorder was that it did not record the positions of the driver’s throttle and brake handles. Instead, it recorded a generic power ON-OFF parameter and brake cylinder pressure.

Between Kilmore East and Wallan, the Hasler recorded that power was applied on departing Kilmore East at approximately 19:34:57. Application of power was maintained until around 19:41:34 and remained off until 19:42:20. During this 46 seconds, 2 periods of brake application were recorded that controlled the speed of the train to between 115 km/h and 120 km/h. The reductions in speed were consistent with permanent speed restrictions of 115 km/h between 55.43 km and 53.52 km at Wondong, and between 52.00 km and 51.21 km at Heathcote Junction. At 19:42:20, application of power was recorded. This was maintained until a power off and brake application was recorded at approximately 19:43:22. No records of vigilance control acknowledgements were recorded for the journey of train ST23 between Kilmore East and Wallan loop as brake and throttle controller movements would have acted as vigilance control system task linked activities.

The data from both power cars indicated that, at a point just prior to the commencement of deceleration, the power moved from ON to OFF and there was a rapid increase in brake cylinder pressure. For each recording, the points at which brake cylinder pressure began to rise and then reached a steady state were determined. The steady state pressures were noted for each record and compared with expected values. For both power cars, the recorded pressure was above that expected for a Notch 7 (full-service) application (345 kPa). The pressure recorded on XP2018, the leading power car, was about 378 kPa, which was in line with the pressure expected for an emergency application (375 kPa). Although the pressure recorded on XP2000 was lower, about 358 kPa, it was still substantially above the full-service value. These results indicated that it was very likely that the brake application was an emergency application. The speed of the train at the commencement of braking was about 129 km/h.[148]

Location of rise in brake cylinder pressure

Due to known limitations and potential anomalies in the Hasler data recording, obtaining position information from the data with respect to fixed points on track was difficult to achieve with high levels of accuracy. Therefore, the position at which brake cylinder pressure began to rise and the speed at which the train entered the turnout could not be directly read from the Hasler data.

Instead, the Hasler speed and distance data was used to calculate estimates of position considering different known stop locations. This was cross-checked using data from other sources to provide greater confidence. The different methods yielded slightly different results, however all indicated that the brake cylinder pressure started to rise before entry to the Wallan Loop (Table 10).

Table 10: Estimated limit points of rise in brake pressure and speed at entry to turnout

ParameterEstimated closest brakingEstimated furthest braking[149]
Distance from brake cylinder pressure rise to No.7 points50 m153 m
Speed at No. 7 points127 km/h114 km/h

The brake cylinder pressure increase was a result of an emergency brake application, presumed to be by the driver in response to a cue or cues. To provide an estimate of when the cue(s) for braking may have presented, a nominal 2 second period from the cue(s) to brake cylinder pressure rise has been used.[150] Based on this figure, the cue(s) may have presented when ST23 was between about 120 and 220 m from the turnout.

Train handling of ST23 during journey

The Hasler recordings and the GPS data were examined to evaluate any potential trend in speed exceedance by ST23 during the Victorian segment of the journey. The ARTC Route Access Standard specified a maximum speed for express passenger trains in Victoria (including the XPT) of 130 km/h in areas where no local speed restrictions applied.[151] The assessment focussed on any identifiable trends and did not include local speed restrictions remote from the event.

Review of the GPS data identified 11 speed peaks of between 133 and 137 km/h in the Victorian section. These exceedances within the GPS data were cross-checked with the Hasler recordings and similar peaks identified, including a maximum actual value of about 139 km/h.[152]

None of the overspeeds identified were for a significant duration. These observations suggest that the driver was targeting line speed and occasionally overshooting. There was no evidence identified to suggest unusual train handling.

Vigilance parameter

The locomotive was fitted with a vigilance system. The installed Hasler data recorder did not record all information on driver activity associated with the vigilance system and its information was therefore of limited value.[153] However, the Hasler did record a vigilance parameter. The last point at which the vigilance parameter was recorded as active was prior to the stop at signal KME28. There were no vigilance parameter events recorded between ST23 departure from signal KME16 and the derailment.

Appendix L - Driver’s cab side door separation

Sequence of door attachment failure

There were 3 potential failure scenarios of the left-side driver’s cab door considered plausible:

  1. External loading on the door led to the knuckles of the upper hinge unfurling. This was then followed by the failure of the lower-hinge fastening and disengagement of the door latch.
  2. External loading on the door led to failure of the lower hinge fastening. This was then followed by failure of the upper hinge and disengagement of the door latch.
  3. External loading on the door and flexing of the car body led to disengagement of the door latch, followed by the failures at both hinges.

Although the sequence of failure cannot be confirmed with certainty, it was concluded through inspection of the components and the comparative loading on the upper and lower hinges that the more likely component to fail first was the upper hinge.

Evaluation of upper hinge

To evaluate the upper-hinge behaviour under defined loads, simplified loading was assumed. The external force was assumed to be an even pressure acting over the entire door, as used in design standards. This was converted to a point load (F) applied at the centroid of the door’s external surface, and resolved into balanced forces acting on the attachments in the frame from the external door surface (Figure 25).

Figure 25: Inside view of cab door opening and fitting locations (dimensions in mm)

Figure 25: Inside view of cab door opening and fitting locations (dimensions in mm)

Source: ATSB

The glass fibre composite cab door was a plug shape that rotated inward on the hinges mounted on the inner rear edge of the door frame. The door hinges were fabricated from 3 mm thick stainless steel, and attached to the door frame by bolts into tapping plates (Figure 26).

Figure 26: Door and doorframe section drawing

Figure 26: Door and doorframe section drawing

Source: Commonwealth Engineering (NSW) Drawing 022010940-1 annotated by CITS.

Unfurling of upper hinge knuckles

The upper hinge failed through the unfurling of its knuckles from the hinge pin. The lower (still closed) knuckle disengaged from the rotating pin and the 3 upper knuckles unfurled (Figure 27).

Figure 27: Failed hinge knuckles (upper hinge)

Figure 27: Failed hinge knuckles (upper hinge)

Source: ATSB

The mechanism of the failure of the upper hinge provided a specific failure mode for assessment. Loading of the 3 knuckles that unfurled was assumed for the estimation of material stresses in specified loading scenarios and compared against material yield strength. Dimensional assumptions were also made for the unfurling sequence (Figure 28).

Figure 28: Assumed hinge unfurling sequence

Figure 28: Assumed hinge unfurling sequence

Source: ATSB

Outcomes of simplified load analysis

The potential for hinge failure by unfurling of knuckles was assessed against 2 load scenarios; an externally applied quasi static pressure of 2.5 kPa (GM/RT 2100 aerodynamic loading criteria) and a static pressure based on the power car lying on its side (AS7520.1-2022).

Aerodynamic load case of 2.5 kPa

Considering a 2.5 kPa static external pressure, the simplified analysis indicated that the door attachments would withstand the pressure and the knuckles of the upper hinge would not unfurl.

Load case for power car resting on side

An evenly distributed pressure from the self-weight of the power car when on its side, resulted in a static pressure on the cab door of about 11 kPa. Under this load, the simplified load analysis suggested that the upper-hinge knuckles would probably unfurl, or as a minimum commence plastic deformation.

Load case experienced by ST23

Under the dynamic loading conditions experienced by ST23 during the action of overturning and subsequent sliding, the cab door would be expected to have experienced loading significantly greater that the 11 kPa static (resting on side) load case. Based on the probable failure of the upper hinge (by unfurling) in the static (11 kPa) load case, the knuckles of the upper hinge would be expected to unfurl in the dynamic loading experienced by ST23. This analysis therefore confirmed the plausibility of the failure of the upper hinge by unfurling as the possible first point of failure.

Appendix M – Passenger car crashworthiness information

Introduction

This appendix provides a brief description of the observed damage to internal spaces of the passenger cars that formed part of ST23 (Figure 29).

Figure 29: Passenger cars

Figure 29: Passenger cars

Source: Vehicle images supplied by Sydney Trains, annotated by CITS

Passenger car XAM2179 (Car A)

Car A had a sleeper/cabin configuration and was the leading passenger car. The car had 9 cabins that could each seat 3 passengers. Some cabins were fitted with forward-facing seats and others with rear-facing seats.

The car came to rest at an angle of about 30° to its left. External damage included 4 broken exterior windows on the left (passenger aisle) side of the carriage and exterior damage to the roof line above the windows as a result of the car striking pine trees adjacent to the track. Damage within the sleeper car included collapsed interior lining in the passenger aisle. Two cabins had cracked glass partitions, most likely from being struck by luggage or passengers.

Passenger car XL2229 (Car B)

Car B was a first-class car with 56 forward-facing passenger seats in a single open cabin.

The car came to rest at an angle of approximately 17° to its right. There was no evidence of structural failure or dislodged internal fittings acting as projectiles. The only significant damage to the cabin was exterior binding at the front right corner with the car ahead (Car A). This prevented the use of the exits at this location.

Passenger car XBR2155 (Car C)

Car C was half first-class forward-facing seating with the other half being the buffet section. It was near upright when it came to a stop. The car suffered no interior damage of consequence.

Passenger car XF2201 (Car D)

Car D was an economy-class car with 68 forward-facing passenger seats in a single open cabin. It was near upright when it came to a stop. The car suffered no interior damage of consequence.

Passenger car XFH2108 (Car G)

Car G was half economy class forward-facing seating with the other half being the baggage section. It was at an angle of about 10° when it came to a stop. The car suffered no interior damage of consequence.

Appendix N – Passenger safety information

Extract of operator’s procedures on content of verbal briefing

NSW Trains’ procedures specified the following safety content for the verbal briefing:

If you require assistance in an emergency, push the red emergency call button at either end of your carriage.

In the unlikely event of an emergency, please remain seated, stay calm and wait for instructions from the onboard staff.

Staff are trained in emergency procedures and know how to proceed. We will help you exit the train swiftly and safely if an evacuation is necessary.

If instructed to evacuate, leave your luggage behind.

In an emergency, it is often safer to remain on-board rather than to evacuate.

For further information, please refer to the safety card in the seat pocket or table in front of you

Extract of safety information in onboard guide

The section in the onboard guide on emergency procedures stated:

If you’re unable to locate a nearby emergency exit, ask a crew member to show you. All crew members are trained in emergency procedures and can help you exit the carriage or evacuate the train quickly and safely.

What to do in an emergency

1. Push the red emergency call button at either end of your carriage.
2. Alert a crew member immediately.
3. Stay calm and remain seated until you’re instructed by crew members or by rescue, fire or police personnel.
4. When asked to move, leave luggage behind, use handrails and watch out for trip hazards.
5. If told to evacuate the train, please be aware of your surroundings and watch out for hazards. Do not exit the train in a tunnel or on a bridge unless you are told to do so. Follow safety instructions from trained personnel at all times.
6. After leaving the train, move away from the tracks and follow directions to an assembly area organised by crew. Stay together and remain there until further instruction.
 

Appendix O – Countrylink incident response summary

Appendix O – Countrylink incident response summary

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2023

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[1]     A serious injury is defined in the Transport Safety Investigation Regulations 2021 as an injury that requires, or would usually require, admission to hospital within 7 days after the day when the injury is suffered.

[2]     Train authority: an instruction in the prescribed format issued by a network control officer in connection with the movement of a train.

[3]     Train notice: operational information issued by or on behalf of the rail infrastructure manager.

[4]     The points at either end of Wallan Loop were placed in the hand operating mode and clipped in the normal position; With the points at either end of Wallan Loop set to their normal positions, trains would continue on the straight track (No.1 track) rather than being diverted into the loop (No.2 track).

[5]     Residues such as iron oxides can hamper electrical connection between wheel and rail and therefore impact the performance of a signalling system.

[6]     Rail traffic was stopped to permit workers to change the points.

[7]     The normal position of the turnouts was for routing on the straight, and the reverse position was for the loop.

[8]     For these works, the applied track force protection provided for flagmen to warn approaching trains, and for trains to comply with the signals shown by the flagmen.

[9]     ARTC document ANGE 220 Unreliable Track-Circuit Operation dated 11 October 2015 (applicable to NSW).

[10]    Stopping times at stations are those recorded by NSW Trains.

[11]    The ARTC Network Control office for this section of track was located in Junee, NSW.

[12]    An alarm had been received by ARTC Network Control for a possible signal passed at danger (SPAD) at Tallarook, 23 km north-east of Kilmore East. The NCO indicated that there had been power outages at this location, that may have showed up as a SPAD. The driver indicated that all signals had been ‘clear’ through Tallarook.

[13]    The decision around the order of trains through the location was made following discussions between the NCO and their supervisor. NSW Trains operations were informed of the holding of ST23 at Kilmore East and the delay to that service.

[14]    This signal protected the broad-gauge crossover going into the Apex ballast quarry. It was called an ‘Intermediate Home’ because it was in an intermediate location along the passing lane.

[15]    The passing lane (an extended crossing loop) was about 7 km in length.

[16]    Accompanying qualified worker: the term used in train notices for the worker that would accompany the driver between Kilmore East and Donnybrook.

[17]    The AQW’s copy of TN 367 was found within the driver’s cabin.

[18]    A CAN was a warning of an unsafe condition affecting, or potentially affecting, the network.

[19]    Home departure signal KME16 was protecting the turnout at the end of the passing lane.

[20]    In Australia, locomotive and train operating cabs were generally not fitted with voice recording devices.

[21]    The latest version of TN 266 was explicit in not requiring the driver to repeat the contents of the train authority back to the NCO. Also under the train working arrangements described in TN 266, there was no requirement for the NCO to read the content of TA 17 to the driver.

[22]    Within this section, there were 115 km/h speed restrictions applied to some sections of track.

[23]    Speed maintained until approximately the 51 km mark. There was a 115 km/h permanent speed restriction at Heathcote Junction between the 52.00 and 51.21 rail-km locations.

[24]    Active protection on the other level crossings on the Kilmore East-to-Donnybrook section were working normally and it was only the Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing that required local operation.

[25]    The person who activated the level crossing protection locally at the crossing, colloquially referred to as the bellhop.

[26]    Range estimated from train recorded data (Appendix K).

[27]    Passenger numbers based on available data from the operator.

[28]    For open radio broadcast on this ARTC corridor, crew were to switch their radios to channel 6. Of the two crew members making emergency calls, one immediately changed to channel 6 and the other a short time later, probably following prompting. The remainder of the crew were then required to also switch to channel 6 to maintain ongoing communications among the crew members.

[29]    V/Line’s network train control centre located in Melbourne.

[30]    The emergency services call centre time stamp.

[31]    Using tools sourced from the train’s emergency breakdown kit.

[32]    A serious injury is defined in the Transport Safety Investigation Regulations 2021 as an injury that requires, or would usually require, admission to hospital within 7 days after the day when the injury is suffered. A minor injury is any other reported physical injury that does not meet the serious injury threshold.

[33]    NSW Trains was an agency of the NSW State Government and was within a division of Transport for NSW (TfNSW).

[34]    Schedule—Rail Safety National Law, Part 1—Preliminary, Section 4 - Interpretation (RSNL version: 3.10.2019 to 30.6.2020)

[35]    Schedule—Rail Safety National Law, Part 3—Regulation of rail safety, Division 3—Rail safety duties Interpretation (RSNL version: 3.10.2019 to 30.6.2020)

[36]    Sydney Trains was part of Transport for NSW.

[37]    Due to the delay in the service on this day, arrival in Melbourne would have been later than the rostered end of shift.

[38]    Health and fitness requirements for Rail Transport Operators and Rail Safety Workers were governed by the Rail Safety National Law (RSNL) and associated Regulations.

[39]    NSW Trains procedures NTTWP100 Responsibilities of Train Crews and NTOSP11 Train evacuation and detraining when not at a station refer to the duties of the driver and the PSS/Guard.

[40]    The training was limited to ‘within work on track work authority limits’ and not the arrangements in place for the train working arrangements between Donnybrook and Kilmore East.

[41]    Detailed work-placement records were available from 2014.

[42]    The ActivateRail representative (contracted by ARTC) was performing the role of signaller at 1530, and had been involved in developing and implementing the safeworking solution for train working between and Donnybrook and Kilmore East.

[43]    ARTC Corporate Plan 2021-22

[44]    VicTrack was a State-owned organisation that owns Victorian rail land, assets and infrastructure.

[45]    Rail Safety National Law, Part 1—Preliminary, Section 4— Interpretation (RSNL version: 3.10.2019 to 30.6.2020)

[46]    Rail Safety National Law, Part 3—Regulation of rail safety, Division 3—Rail safety duties (RSNL version: 3.10.2019 to 30.6.2020)

[47]    Standard gauge trains did not stop at Wallan.

[48]    TA20 ARTC Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations, Section 2, Rule 13 g.

[49]    Signal ES1712 was located at 51.77 km rail-km from Melbourne

[50]    The indication of this signal at the time ST23 passed is not known with certainty because its state was not recorded. However, broad gauge rail traffic records indicated that the signal was more likely to be at proceed. If not at proceed, the signal would have been at its alternate ‘caution’ indication, a single yellow light.

[51]    13.7 km from Wallan Railway Station

[52]    Azimuth is the clockwise horizontal angle (in degrees, minutes and seconds) from true north to the sun.

[53]    Altitude is the vertical angle (in degrees, minutes and seconds) from an ideal horizon to the sun.

[54]    Computed using National Mapping Division's sunmoonposn program, version 1.1.

[55]    A 45 minute delay would be the result of a 24 km/h average speed compared to a 96 km/h average speed over the 24 km section; The issuing of caution orders and applying other safeworking rules in accordance with TA20 also increased the workload on network control resources.

[56]    ActivateRail offered professional advisory services, project managers as well as worksite supervisors, site managers and track safety personnel.

[57]    Project representatives suggested signals remained lit to assist electrical testing, and as location markers for drivers.

[58]    A CAN notice was issued because the Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing protection was affected by the signalling system failure and was being manually operated.

[59]    TA20 Section 5 Rule 5 Clause b stated ‘Light signals not in use are distinguished by a black cross on the front of the lights. The lamps are not to be lit’.

[60]    Some V/Line drivers and the RTBU (Rail Tram and Bus Union) had expressed concern at signals remaining lit within the affected section. On 10 February, a driver refused to pass a lit signal within the section without authority to proceed.

[61]    Rule 1, Section 3, pertained to the process when stopping at and then passing automatic signals that were displaying a stop indication. When applied, the rule required the train to proceed with caution and at a speed not exceeding 25 km/h.

[62]    In doing so, the train authority was issued by the NCO to the signaller rather than a driver.

[63]    Issued because the Wallan–Whittlesea Road level crossing protection was being manually operated. TA20 section 1, clause 7, described the issuing of a CAN warning in a range of scenarios that included faulty or deactivated level crossing warning equipment.

[64]    Figures for train authorities issued includes all notices issued until the derailment of ST23, including those issued after the issue of Train Notice 367.

[65]    The NCO involved was not the NCO on duty at the time ST23 transited the affected area.

[66]    The same ‘anomaly’ existed in the descriptions for southbound travel

[67]    Track Force Protection Coordinator

[68]    There was no available evidence with respect to the communications between the driver of ST23 and the AQW.

[69]    Temporary speed restriction: a speed, less than the maximum allowable permanent signposted speed, applied for track, signal, train equipment, or environmental conditions.

[70]    Preparation and Distribution of Operational Notices OPE-PR-001, Version Number 1.2, 31 May 2019

[71]    In ARTC procedure OPE-PR-001, the acronym NRAMS was used.

[72]    Australian Central Standard Time

[73]    The ARTC procedure specified that proposed standing train notices should be lodged (with ARTC operational staff) at least 10 days prior to their application, although it did not specify a publication timeframe requirement.

[74]    The update of WebRAMS was reported to have been actioned in Adelaide at 1815 central daylight time, which was 1845 eastern daylight time.

[75]    The WON was published by the Office of Rail Safety Manager (a part of MTM) on behalf of MTM and V/Line.

[76]    SAFE Notices are used by ARTC on its NSW and Queensland corridors to give notice of changes or exceptions to ARTC Network information publications.

[77]    Although consistent with the process used by signallers and AQWs in the previous weeks, TN 266 described that ‘the signaller will deliver the Train Authority and CAN to the driver of the rail movement as required’.

[78]    At the time of the derailment, Issue 2.1, 01 July 2018

[79]    Safeworking is an integrated system of operating rules and procedures that defines the interaction between workers and engineered systems. Of primary concern of a rail safeworking system is safe operations including train separation and speed management.

[80]    Rule 1, Section 3 specified proceeding at a speed not exceeding 25 km/h.

[81]    The phrase ‘Train Authority Working’ was used in section 25 of TA20. ARTC advised that this type of working had previously been used in Victoria during commissioning activities following signalling system upgrade.

[82]    The scope of application of train authorities was similarly defined for the Train Order System.

[83]    TA20 section 25 rule 2.f.

[84]    TA20 section 1 rule 8.b.

[85]    There were a number of other scenarios for which a CAN would be issued including a temporary speed restriction.

[86]    The application was, however, inconsistent with the rule that specified that the ‘Network Controller must dictate the CAN warning details direct to the rail traffic crew'. There was provision for relaying the message when direct communication between an NCO and a driver was not possible. However, radio communication was possible.

[87]    Advanced train management system that monitors and manages rail traffic

[88]    ARTC and Rail Corporation New South Wales (RailCorp) entered into an interface agreement in 2011 for RailCorp operations on the ARTC network. The functions of Railcorp were transferred to NSW Trains and other entities on 1 July 2013 and at the time of the derailment of ST23 at Wallan in February 2020, the 2011 interface agreement was the applicable interface agreement between ARTC and NSW Trains.

[89]    ARTC (2019) RSK-PR-001 Risk Management, version 1.4

[90]    The objective of AS ISO 31000:2018 is described within the standard as being to provide guidelines on managing risk faced by organisations. The application of these guidelines can be customised to any organisation and its context, is not industry or sector specific, and the standard also provides a common approach to managing any type of risk.

[91]    ARTC (2019) Application of Risk Management, RSK-WI-001

[92]    Approximate time of risk assessment advised by ARTC.

[93]    The plan did not identify individual risk owners as required by the ARTC risk management procedure.

[94]    The risk assessment reference to ‘piloted’ is different to TN 266 that refers to an accompanying qualified worker (AQW).

[95]    ARTC Glossary Issue 4.0, 15 January 2023, (accessed at www.artc.com.au/uploads/Glossary-I-4-Rev-0.pdf)

[96]    ANRP 710 Piloting Trains and Track Vehicles, Network Procedures (11 October 2015). This document was only applicable to the NSW portion of the ARTC network.

[97]    A competent worker was defined as a worker certified as competent to carry out the relevant task (RISSB).

[98]    Route knowledge: Essential knowledge required to enable rail traffic crew to work safely over a route (Standards Australia 2017).

[99]    The speed display on XP2018 would have been reading about 127 km/h.

[100]   No. 7 points were controlled by a dual-control point machine. They could be operated in motor (remote operation) or hand (manual operation) mode.

[101]  Crossing block: a casting or fabricated steel component that enables a wheel travelling along one rail to pass through the rail of a track which crosses its path.

[102]   Following the derailment, the windscreen was removed by rescuers to improve access to the driver’s cab.

[103]   Given the age of the power car and its apparent compliance with door loading specified in contemporary standards, there was no attempt to assess the door against loading requirements in historical standards.

[104]   AS 7522:2021 Access and Egress, Rail Industry Safety and Standards Board, sections 6.1.6 and 6.3.3.9

[105]   There were also reports of instances of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) that are not included in this injury total.

[106]   A serious injury was defined in the Transport Safety Investigation Regulations 2021 as an injury that required, or would usually require, admission to hospital within 7 days after the day when the injury was suffered. A minor injury was any other reported physical injury that did not meet the serious injury threshold.

[107]   Exits were considered not usable (by height) if the bottom rung of the ladder was more than 1.5 m from the ground.

[108]  NSW Trains Competence Assurance; NSW Trains Risk Based Training Needs Analysis, NSW Trains, 2019.

[109]   The rail safety regulatory functions of this body were transferred to the national regulator, ONRSR.

[110]   Activities were reviewed for the period January 2015 to 20 February 2020.

[111]   Under the ONRSR reporting scheme, overspeed incidents were captured in the broader category of safeworking rule or procedural breach. ONRSR provided details of 262 incidents in this category, and 11 were identified as overspeed.

[112]   Audit activity 3827 (November 2018) referred to the risk of passenger train derailment as a result of overspeed.

[113]   Between 2000 and 2006, the Regional Fast Rail (RFR) project in Victoria upgraded track and signalling infrastructure on major regional lines to allow passenger trains to run at speeds of up to 160 km/h. RFR contractors Thiess-Alstom Joint Venture (TAJV) and Regional Rail Link (RRL) offered the TPWS to provide additional protection from the risk of trains passing signals (at stop) without authority and potentially colliding with other trains or derailing. The rail safety regulator at the time of the project was satisfied that TPWS was a suitable system for use in Victoria based on independent advice that TPWS was compatible with Victorian signalling principles and could be implemented with minimal changes to Victorian rail industry signalling standards, operating rules or maintenance practices, and it was a proven system having been in operation in the UK since 2000.

[114]   The speed display on XP2018 would have been reading about 127 km/h.

[115]   This is a nominal figure incorporating driver reaction to cues and system response. Human reaction times may vary considerably due to individual differences and other factors such as expectation and workload.

[116]   The distance range is an estimate only, and the cues to make a brake application may have presented earlier.

[117]   The ability to observe the points setting would have depended on several factors including the train’s distance from the points, lighting conditions at the time, the environment of the driver’s cab, and the eyesight of the individuals.

[118]   See also (RAIB 2008) and (RAIB 2016).

[119]   With signals initially lit and then several trips with all signals within the section extinguished.

[120]   A conspicuous warning device is a permanent or temporary indication which provides information to, or requires action to be taken by, train crews.

[121]   Rail Safety National Law (SA) Act 2012, Part 3, Division 6.

[122]   ARTC enterprise risk management system

[123]   TA20 section 1, clause 8 b.

[124]   The issuing by NCO of a train authority to the (in-field) signaller and their readback typically took about 2 minutes.

[125]   TA20 section 1, clause 8 b.

[126]   TLIC0030 (Pilot rail traffic with due consideration of route conditions) released in 2022 (after this occurrence).

[127]   For these circumstances, TA20 also specified the use of CTC arrival messages within the section.

[128]   As described in the ARTC Risk Management Overview - Workshop participants guide (2018). This stated that ‘two key factors to consider when determining the effectiveness of a control are: whether the control is adequate, and how susceptible the control is to human error or non-compliance’.

[129]   ARTC risk library ID: 0559

[130]   Such systems can be found on the Country Regional Network (CRN) in NSW that is managed by UGL.

[131]   Track Force Protection involves the use of hand signals and audible track warnings to control the movement of rail traffic through a worksite.

[132]   The same system was used for distributing notices in South Australia and Western Australia

[133]   The ARTC ERMS risk control of advanced train management system (ATMS) was not operating in Victoria, and the risk control of two-person train operation was not applicable to V/Line or NSW Trains passenger train operations which operated with single-person crewing.

[134]   Train enforcement pertains to the forced (automated) initiation of train braking in the case of train overspeed.

[135]   TPWS was used elsewhere in Victoria (on regional and metropolitan networks) to enforce braking of V/Line trains passing a signal at stop or detected as travelling too fast to comply with the next signal.

[136]   TPWS was scheduled for installation at Wallan Loop in 2024.  

[137]   TfNSW advised that the new NSW TrainLink regional trains (Regional Rail Project) will be fitted with automatic train protection (ATP) systems that are compatible with the Sydney Trains network (ETCS Level 2) and provisioned to allow the future fitment of onboard systems to interface with the ARTC advanced train management system (ATMS).

[138]   Examples include the advanced train management system (ATMS) on the ARTC network, the European train control system (ETCS) of various levels, and communications-based train control (CBTC) systems.

[139]   The National Transport Commission (NTC) is progressing a rail interoperability framework through an Interoperability Advisory Group. The NTC was established through the National Transport Commission Act 2003 and the Inter-governmental Agreement for Regulatory and Operational Reform in Road, Rail and Intermodal Transport.

[140]   While AS 7552:2021 states that ‘enclosed cabs of rolling stock shall be fitted with sufficient emergency exits to provide escape paths to the vehicle exterior when the vehicle is upright and when overturned on the side’, these emergency exits may not be accessible at ground level.

[141]   Static testing was conducted on power car XP2018 as the trailer cars immediately behind in the consist were damaged and without significant repairs could not be tested. Some components of XP2018 damaged during the derailment required repair in preparation for the brake testing.

[142]   The variation in the cross-level between two track locations separated by a nominated distance interval.

[143]   Due to the delay in the service on this day, arrival in Melbourne would have been later than the rostered end-of-shift.

[144]   Adopted by ARTC as Code of Practice for the Defined Interstate Rail Network, volume 3 operations and safeworking, Part 1: Rules, ARTC Version 3.0: 01 July 2018 (also referenced Issue 3.0- ARTC Annotated Version)..

[145]   RISSB developed the Australian Network Rules and Procedures into a National Rules Framework. The Framework provided a principles-based platform for rail transport operators in development of their own rulebooks.

[146]   An average wheel diameter was used to accommodate wear and a reducing diameter during the wheel’s life.

[147]   The ICE radio GPS speed is not displayed to the driver in the locomotive cab.

[148]   The speed display on XP2018 would have been reading about 127 km/h.

[149]   Braking data for XPT full-service braking (with 80% average deceleration), full seated load and a 1:150 descending grade indicates a stopping distance from 130 km/h of 1,120 m.

[150]   Includes braking system response and driver reaction. Reaction times of individuals can vary considerably.

[151]   ARTC Route Access Standard D53.

[152]   Actual speed calculated by correcting the recorded speed for actual wheel diameter. The recorded speed was about 2% lower than this estimated actual.

[153]   AS 7527:2015 (amendment 2019) recommended that legacy, tape based data loggers should, as a minimum record the following information: train speed, distance, time, and brake status (i.e. brake pipe pressure or brake cylinder pressure).

Interim report

Report release date: 10/06/2021

This Interim Report details factual information established in the investigation’s evidence collection phase and ATSB interim observations of that evidence. An Interim Report has been prepared to provide progress information to the public and the rail industry, and information on safety actions so far taken. This Interim Report does not contain findings or safety factors, that will be detailed in the Final Report.

The information contained in the Interim Report is released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003 (Cth).

Prior to the occurrence

At about 2343[1] on 3 February 2020, the Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC) identified that Centralised Traffic Control (CTC) signalling had been disrupted on the Somerton to Albury line between Donnybrook and Kilmore East. A subsequent investigation by ARTC determined that a road vehicle had struck overhead wiring in Wallan, impacting power supplies to the rail signalling system. A fire in the Wallan signalling hut led to extensive damage to equipment and cabling.

As a result of the damage to the signalling system at Wallan, ARTC commenced managing rail traffic through the location using Caution Orders. Under this instrument, trains were required to proceed cautiously, resulting in significant delays to rail services using this section of the standard-gauge network. As repair of the signalling system was expected to take a significant period of time, alternative train working arrangements to Caution Orders were considered by ARTC.

ARTC commenced managing rail traffic through the location using a Train Authority[2] instrument on the evening of 6 February.[3] The instrument was used for the 24 km section between Kilmore East (at about the 63.8 km[4] mark) and Donnybrook (at about the 40.2 km mark). Wallan Loop was located between these locations, from the 49.058 km mark to the 47.268 km mark.

Notification to network users of the change to the use of Train Authorities was by an ARTC Train Notice.[5] The relevant Train Notice (TN 266) was issued on 6 February, updated on 7 February and further amended on 13 February. In the arrangements established, the points at Wallan Loop had been set for the straight and locked in that position. ARTC did not impose any additional speed restrictions through the section. The maximum permitted speed for the XPT when travelling on the main line through Wallan was 130 km/h.

On 19 February, Train Notice TN 266 was supplemented with a further Train Notice (TN 367) advising of a change at Wallan Loop, with trains to be diverted through the loop for a short period on 20 February. The purpose of routing trains through the loop was to remove any contamination that may have developed on the rail head while the loop track was not being used.[6] This was in preparation for signal system testing and re-establishment of the CTC signalling system over the coming days.

Between 1453 and 1536 on 20 February,[7] the points at either end of Wallan Loop were manually reconfigured from their Normal position to their Reverse position.[8] This change meant that rail traffic travelling in either direction after this time would be diverted from the main line into the crossing loop track (No.2 Road). Train Notice TN 367 reflected this change and also specified a 15 km/h speed limit for entry into the loop, and a limit of 35 km/h when exiting the loop. Between 1600 and 1837, Track Force Protection[9] for the laying of conduit was also in place near Wallan, between the 46.3 km and 45.4 km marks.

The first train to pass through Wallan Loop in this altered configuration was southbound V/Line train 8620. Immediately prior to train 8620 departing Kilmore East, the train controller advised the driver that they were going to be the first train through Wallan Loop in the past 72 hours. It departed Kilmore East at about 1623 and the Train Authority was cancelled at 1647 for its arrival at Donnybrook.

The second train through the loop was northbound V/Line train 8625. When stopped at Donnybrook and during exchanges between the driver and the network controller, there was no mention by either party of transiting through Wallan Loop. The train departed Donnybrook at about 1857. Train ST23 operated by NSW TrainLink was to be the third train through the loop.

Train ST23 from Sydney to Albury

On 20 February 2020, passenger train ST23 departed Central Station in Sydney, New South Wales (NSW) at 0741, just after the scheduled departure time of 0740. ST23 was to travel through NSW, and into Victoria to its destination in Melbourne (Figure 1).The service was scheduled to stop at several stations en-route to arriving at its final destination at Southern Cross Station (Melbourne) at 1830 that evening. ST23 comprised leading power car XP2018, five passenger cars of varying configuration, and a trailing power car.

Figure 1: Train route from Sydney to Melbourne

Train route from Sydney to Melbourne

Source: Google Maps, annotated by CIT

The train proceeded south and arrived at Junee in southern NSW at 1452,[10] about 85 minutes behind schedule. ST23 was a single-driver operation, and there was a change of driver at Junee. The train departed Junee at 1456 and continued south, arriving in Albury on the NSW-Victorian border at 1637. There was a change in passenger services crew at Albury. The new passenger services crew comprised a Passengers Services Supervisor (PSS), a crew member training for the supervisory role, and three passenger attendants.

Train ST23 from Albury

The train departed Albury at 1644, about 89 minutes behind schedule, and entered the Victorian section of its journey. After departing Albury, the PSS made an announcement covering a welcome, the delay, and emergency procedures. Tickets were checked and crew walked through the passenger cars checking door locks and equipment. Later, the driver was provided with a snack while stopped at Wangaratta Railway Station and the train departed that station at 1722.[11] Beyond Benalla, the focus of several attendants was on meal activities in the buffet car. The crew described the journey as normal although passengers were reported to be frustrated with the delays.

At about 1840, ARTC Network Control[12] contacted the driver of ST23 regarding a network alarm that had been received.[13] Later in the communication, the network controller advised the driver that due to the altered train working, ST23 would come into Kilmore East and wait until a V/Line train had passed. As part of this communication, the controller mentioned that ‘you’re going via the loop there at Wallan’. The response from the driver did not reference the train’s route via the Wallan crossing loop.

Train ST23 at Kilmore East

The service continued south before coming to a stand at Intermediate Home[14] signal KME28, that was at Stop. It was about 1856. There was a standard-gauge passing lane at Kilmore East, with designated East and West Lines, and ST23 had been routed via the East Line (Figure 2).[15]

Figure 2: Kilmore East standard-gauge passing lane (shown in black)

Kilmore East standard-gauge passing lane (shown in black)

The schematic shows the track at Kilmore East including the passing lane. Only the signalling for the standard-gauge track is shown.
Source: ARTC, modified and annotated by CITS

The driver of ST23 contacted ARTC Network Control at about 1904 and inquired when they might receive permission to proceed. ST23 was required to wait until the V/Line train 8625 had cleared the single-line section.

At around this time, several rail workers were preparing for the arrival of ST23 at signal KME16. These rail workers were to assist with the alternate train working that had been implemented between Kilmore East and Donnybrook. Amongst these rail workers were an in-field signaller and an Accompanying Qualified Worker (AQW).[16] The AQW would board the train and accompany the driver from Kilmore East to Donnybrook. Both the signaller and the AQW had just started their shift and ST23 was the first train they were assisting that evening.

At about 1915 while ST23 was stopped at signal KME28, the in-field signaller positioned near signal KME16 contacted ARTC Network Control to advise that he had come on shift and taken over from the previous in-field signaller. During this call, Train Authority number 17 (TA17) for ST23 to proceed between Kilmore East and Donnybrook was issued to the on-ground signaller by the network controller. The controller read TA17, describing that the authority was issued in accordance with Train Notices 266 and 367, that the points at Wallan Loop were set and secured for number 2 track, and that there was a maximum speed entering the loop of 15 km/h, and a maximum speed exiting the loop of 35 km/h. There was then a full read back of TA17 by the in-field signaller. The network controller noted the time of the read back as 1920. A Condition Affecting Network[17] number 7 (CAN7) was then completed by the signaller under the instruction of the controller. This notice was to warn train crew of the condition of the Wallan-Whittlesea level crossing protection, and that the protection was being manually operated. The read-back of CAN7 by the in-field signaller was noted by the controller as being completed at 1921.

ST23 was held at signal KME28 on the East Line until the northbound V/line passenger train 8625 had transited the Donnybrook to Kilmore East single-line section, passed signal KME2 and was travelling along the West Line through Kilmore East. The V/Line train was clear of the single-line section by about 1925 and, soon after, ST23 was given permission by the network controller to proceed to Home Departure signal KME16,[18] still on the East Line within the Kilmore East location.

ST23 arrived at signal KME16 at about 1931. The train was met by several rail workers that included the in-field signaller and the AQW. The AQW boarded the lead power car and joined the driver at the head of the train. It was intended that the AQW would accompany the driver of ST23 for the 24 km section to Donnybrook. The XPT cab was not fitted with a cab voice recording facility (and was not required to be), and there is no record of the conversation between the AQW and driver.[19]

At about 1932 while the train was stopped at signal KME16, the driver and ARTC Network Control communicated via the train radio. This exchange included confirmation by the driver that he was in possession of ‘authority 17 and CAN number 7 filled out the same way it has been’.

During this communication between the network controller and driver, the controller did not read the content of TA17 to the driver and there was no read back of the content of TA17 by the driver.[20] The controller commented ‘points all set for the loop’. The driver’s response to the controller did not reference transiting via the crossing loop or number 2 track at Wallan. There was no communication between the controller and driver regarding the maximum speed of 15 km/h for entering the crossing loop.

The derailment of train ST23

The train departed signal KME16 at about 1934 and entered the single-line section towards Wallan. The line speed for the XPT between Kilmore East and Donnybrook was 130 km/h.[21] After departing from signal KME16, the speed of the train was increased and maintained between 100 km/h and 120 km/h.

The AQW was to ensure that the level crossing protection[22] at Wallan–Whittlesea Road in Wallan was in place for the passage of the train.[23] A Level Crossing Keeper (LCK)[24] was located at the crossing to perform the manual activation. The AQW contacted the LCK at approximately 1941, when the train was at about the 52 km mark. The LCK reported activating the crossing protection at Wallan–Whittlesea Road, and confirmed its activation to the AQW. This phone call lasted about 53 seconds and the LCK did not recall anything unusual about the communications with the AQW. The call had been completed when the train was about 4.5 km from the level crossing and 2.7 km from the entry to Wallan Loop.

At about 1943, ST23 was approaching the northern end of Wallan Loop at about the track’s line speed. A brake application was made a short distance before the turnout, probably between 50 and 153 m from the points. This slowed the train a small amount before it entered the turnout travelling at a speed probably between 114 and 127 km/h. The train was not able to negotiate the turnout to the crossing loop track at this speed and derailed. The leading power car rolled onto its left side. All vehicles derailed excepting the rear power car (Figure 3).

Figure 3: Aerial photograph of derailment site

Aerial photograph of derailment site

Source: ATSB

Emergency response

At the time of the derailment, there were 155 passengers,[25] six train crew and the AQW aboard the train. The driver and AQW were in the driver’s cab, four passenger services crew were in the buffet car (the third passenger car) and another passenger services crew member was in the second passenger car.

After the train came to a stop, the PSS called the train crew on a hand-held radio and received responses from the other members of the passenger services crew. However, the driver did not respond and the AQW was not in possession of a NSW Trains issued radio.

Around this time, members of the train crew attempted to report the emergency using their radios. A V/Line signaller based at Wallan heard and responded to one of the emergency calls. The Wallan signaller contacted Centrol[26] and, at about 1945, Centrol contacted ARTC Network Control at Junee relaying the information that the XPT may have derailed. In this conversation, Centrol also advised ARTC that V/Line would stop trains on the broad-gauge tracks that ran parallel to the standard-gauge. In response to the Centrol call, ARTC initiated its response.

Emergency services recorded the first ‘000’ call for assistance from a train passenger, time-stamped 19:45:06.[27] This was followed by a series of calls from other passengers, members of the train crew, and members of V/Line and ARTC.

Around this time or soon after, some passengers started to self-evacuate from the train. A member of the train passenger services crew was allocated to manage passengers on the track, and two services crew members remained on the train to attend to passengers. The other two passenger services crew went to the lead power car. Here, they entered the power car through its the right-side cab door, accessible from the ‘top’ of the car laying on its left side. Finding it difficult to assist from within the cab, they then went to the outside and attempted to gain ground-level access by breaking the windscreen of the driver’s cab.[28] However, attempts by the passenger services crew to gain this ground-level access were unsuccessful.

The first emergency services to arrive on site was Victoria Police at about 2003, followed by further emergency, medical and fire services. However, both the driver and the AQW did not survive the accident.

As a result of the movement of the passenger cars during the derailment, eight passengers were seriously injured and 53 received minor injuries. The five passenger services crew located in the passenger cars also received minor injuries.

__________

  1. All times are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) and use the 24-hour clock.
  2. An instruction in the prescribed format issued by the Network Control Officer in connection with the movement of a train. RISSB Glossary of Terms, viewed 30 March 2020, <https://www.rissb.com.au/glossary/>.
  3. The first Train Authority was issued at 2042 on 6 February.
  4. Rail-km from Melbourne.
  5. Operational information issued by or on behalf of the Rail Infrastructure Manager. RISSB Glossary of Terms, viewed 30 March 2020,< https://www.rissb.com.au/glossary/>
  6. Residues such as iron oxides can hamper electrical connection between wheel and rail and impact performance of signalling systems.
  7. A track warrant for this activity was taken between these times.
  8. The Normal position of the turnouts was for ‘straight-through’ traffic, and the Reverse position was for the loop.
  9. A system used to protect a worksite.
  10. Stopping times at stations are as recorded by NSW TrainLink.
  11. 87 minutes behind schedule.
  12. The ARTC Network Control office for this section of track is located in Junee in NSW.
  13. An alarm had been received by network control for a possible signal passed at danger (SPAD) at Tallarook, 23 km NE of Kilmore East. The network controller indicated that there had been power outages at this location, that may have showed up as a SPAD. The driver indicated that all signals had been ‘clear’ through Tallarook.
  14. This signal protected the broad-gauge crossover going into the Apex ballast quarry. It is called an ‘Intermediate Home’ because it is in an intermediate location along the passing lane.
  15. The passing lane was about 7 km in length. A ‘passing lane’ is an extended crossing loop long enough to be considered a short section of bi-directional double track.
  16. The term used in Train Notices for the worker that would accompany the driver between Kilmore East and Donnybrook.
  17. A Condition Affecting Network is a warning provided of an unsafe condition affecting, or potentially affecting, the network.
  18. Home Departure signal KME16 was protecting the turnout at the end of the passing lane. Permission for passing this signal at Stop was included in the Train Authority.
  19. Currently in Australia, locomotive and train operating cabs are generally not fitted with voice recording devices.
  20. In the extant version of Train Notice TN 266, read back of the Train Authority by the driver was not required
  21. Within this section, there were 115 km/h speed restrictions applied to some sections of track.
  22. Boom barriers and flashing lights at this location.
  23. Active protection on the other level crossings on the Kilmore East-to-Donnybrook section were working normally and it was only the Wallan-Whittlesea Road level crossing that required local operation.
  24. The person who activated the level crossing protection locally at the crossing, colloquially referred to as the bellhop.
  25. Passenger numbers based on available data from the operator.
  26. V/Line’s network train control centre located in Melbourne.
  27. The emergency services call centre time stamp.
  28. Using tools sourced from the train’s emergency breakdown kit.

Context

Train operator

ST23 and the XPT fleet was operated by NSW TrainLink, the operating name of NSW Trains, an agency of Transport for NSW (TfNSW).[29] NSW Trains provided passenger services in regional NSW and between the east coast capital cities of Melbourne (Victoria), Sydney (NSW) and Brisbane (Queensland).

Train crew

The driver

The driver of ST23 had been associated with the rail industry for about 40 years, employed in a range of roles including driving, training, and management. They returned to driving in mid-2016 as a Regional Driver with NSW Trains and were assessed as competent on the Junee - Melbourne route in July 2019.The driver had been medically assessed as fit-for duty (unconditional) in accordance with requirements for a Category 1 Safety Critical Worker.[30]

The driver regularly drove the XPT services between Junee and Melbourne. They would run the Junee to Melbourne leg and, following a period of rest in Melbourne, the return leg to Junee. After the commencement of alternate train working through Wallan on 6 February 2020, the driver ran the Junee–Melbourne–Junee round trip (including a rostered rest period in Melbourne) four times between 8 and 19 February. On 20 February, the driver’s shift commenced at Junee at 1315 and the scheduled sign-off time in Melbourne was 1845.[31]

The accompanying qualified worker

The Accompanying Qualified Worker (AQW) aboard ST23 was employed by Programmed: a labour-hire organisation that provided skilled workers across a range of industries including transport. Programmed supplied several personnel to ARTC from 4 February for the management of rail traffic between Kilmore East and Donnybrook.

The AQW had been with Programmed since 2006. Records[32] indicate that the worker had been engaged by several rail operators in Victoria in various roles, in recent years primarily as a Track Force Protection Coordinator or hand signaller. The AQW was certified to Track Protection Coordination level 3.2, most recently renewed in March 2019. They had been medically assessed as fit-for duty (unconditional) in accordance with requirements for a Category 1 Safety Critical Worker.

The AQW had been engaged at Wallan from 4 February, primarily in the role of Level Crossing Keeper at the Wallan–Whittlesea Road crossing. All shifts from February had been night shifts that mostly commenced at about 1900. On 20 February, the AQW had just commenced the night shift. This was their first shift providing AQW services through Wallan, and this was their first train that evening.

Passenger services crew

There were five passenger services crew aboard ST23, one more than the normal complement of four. The passenger services crew consisted of:

  • A Passenger Services Supervisor (PSS) responsible for overall supervision of the passenger operations
  • A Senior Passenger Attendant (SPA) responsible for the buffet operations and ticket sales
  • A Passenger Attendant 2 (PA2) responsible for general passenger duties along the train
  • A Passenger Attendant 4 (PA4) responsible for assisting the SPA in the buffet, and assisting with general passenger duties along the train
  • An additional crew member designated acting Passenger Services Supervisor (aPSS) who was shadowing the PSS as part of on-the-job training.

Train information

The XPT (Express Passenger Train) was first introduced into service in 1982 and was based on the InterCity 125/Class 43 design used in the United Kingdom. The fleet of XPT vehicles were maintained by Sydney Trains.[33]

The XPT operating service ST23 on 20 February 2020 comprised seven vehicles that included five passenger cars (Figure 4). The leading three vehicles were manufactured by ABB Transportation in Dandenong, Victoria and commissioned in 1993. The trailing four vehicles were manufactured by Comeng in Granville, NSW and commissioned between 1981 and 1984.

Figure 4: Train configuration

Train configuration

Source: Vehicle images supplied by Sydney Trains, annotation by CITS

The power car comprised a forward driver’s cab with two seating positions, ahead of the compartment housing propulsive machinery (Figure 5). The primary access to the driver’s cab was via its side doors.

Figure 5: Power car layout and cab seat arrangement

Power car layout and cab seat arrangement

Source: RailCorp (NSW Transport), annotation by CITS

Infrastructure

Track

The XPT service was running on the standard-gauge track that connects Sydney and Melbourne. The track was part of the Defined Interstate Rail Network (DIRN) and was managed by the Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC).[34]

The standard-gauge track between Kilmore East and Donnybrook was a single, bi-directional line used by the XPT, V/Line passenger services and rail freight. There were passing lanes at Kilmore East and Donnybrook and a 1,550 m crossing loop at Wallan (Figure 6). The northern entry to this loop was located about 1.8 km north of Wallan–Whittlesea Road. At the southern end of the Wallan loop was Wallan Railway Station that serviced broad-gauge passenger trains.[35]

Figure 6: Standard-gauge track and signals at Wallan Loop

Standard-gauge track and signals at Wallan Loop

The schematic shows the standard-gauge track at Wallan including the crossing loop. The standard-gauge tracks are shown in black, and the adjacent broad-gauge tracks in red. Only the signalling for the standard-gauge track is shown in this figure.
Source: ARTC, modified and annotated by CITS

Wallan Loop northern turnout

The turnout at the northern end of the Wallan Loop was located at the 49.058 km mark. For southbound trains approaching the northern end of Wallan Loop, there was a downhill gradient of approximately 1:150 and the track was tangent (straight) for about the final 800 m of the approach to the turnout. The approach track was comprised of 60 kg/m rail, fastened to concrete sleepers.

The turnout design was rated for a train speed of 25 km/h and the maximum operational speed was 15 km/h in accordance with the ARTC operating code of practice.[36] It consisted of 60 kg/m rail on timber bearers, with a cast V-crossing.

Following the left turnout, the right curve (in the direction of travel) leading onto the No. 2 Road had a radius of about 422 m.[37][38]

Signals

Entry to the northern end of Wallan Loop was normally controlled by signal WLN8. Signal WLN8 was a 3-position Home signal able to authorise movement in the Up direction. When operational, signal WLN8 could provide ‘Clear Normal Speed’, ‘Low Speed Caution’ or ‘Stop” indications (Figure 7). For movements into the crossing loop, the ‘Low Speed Caution’ indication would be used.

At the time of the derailment, signal WLN8 was extinguished and was fitted with a black cross near its base to indicate that it was not functioning (Figure 7).

Figure 7: Signal WLN8 possible indications (left) and on day of occurrence (right)

Signal WLN8 possible indications (left) and on day of occurrence (right)

The figure shows the possible indication for signal WLN8 (when operational), and a photograph of the signal extinguished on the day of the occurrence. The photograph of signal WLN8 also shows the black cross that was attached to the signal post.
Source: CITS

A broad-gauge distant signal was located about 45 m to the north of WLN8 and was probably indicating a Proceed (green) aspect at the time ST23 passed (Figure 8).[39] This broad-gauge signal did not apply to the operation of ST23 that was running on the standard-gauge line.

Figure 8: The tracks and signalling at the northern end of Wallan Loop

The tracks and signalling at the northern end of Wallan Loop

The photograph shows the approach to the Wallan Loop turnout. The photograph has been modified to show the extinguished state of standard-gauge signal WLN8 and the probable Proceed (green) indication of broad-gauge distant signal at the time of the derailment. The black cross that was fitted near the base of signal WLN8 at the time of the derailment is not shown in this figure. 
Source: V/Line training video, with signal indications modified and annotated by CITS

Environmental conditions at Wallan

Weather

The conditions at the derailment location were dry. At 1930 at the nearest weather station at Kilmore Gap,[40] the temperature was recorded as 13°C, and the wind was from the south at 32 km/h.

Location of sun

The derailment occurred about 30 minutes before sunset. At 1943 at Wallan, the sun was at an azimuth[41] of 259°48'28" and altitude[42] of 5°02'59".[43] The direction of travel was 223° from true north, meaning the sun was about 36° to the right of the driver’s direct view ahead.

Management of rail traffic (safeworking)

Safeworking systems and rules

Purpose

Safeworking is an integrated system of operating rules and procedures that defines the interaction between workers and engineered systems for the safe operation of a railway.[44] Of primary concern is safe operations including train separation and speed management.

Operating rules 

ARTC operating rules for Victoria were defined in the ARTC Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations (TA20).[45] This Code formed part of ARTC’s Safety Management System (SMS).[46] The Code described two safeworking systems, Centralised Traffic Control (CTC) and the Train Order System.[47]

Centralised Traffic Control

Prior to the signalling hut fire at Wallan in February 2020, standard-gauge rail traffic through this section was managed using the CTC system of safeworking described in section 17 of TA20. In the case of signal failure in a CTC system, this section provided for the use of Caution Orders. The Caution Order form used in conjunction with a CTC system required that traffic ‘proceed cautiously’ …. ‘in accordance with Rule 1, Section 3’.[48]

Train Authorities

The procedures associated with Train Authorities were specified in section 25 of TA20, and also in section 17 for the CTC system. The circumstances specified for the use of Train Authority with a CTC system were:[49]

  • To assist a disabled train
  • Train to return to the crossing loop in the rear
  • Working a train to the point of an obstruction on one or both sides.

The Code specified that ‘Train Authority Working[50] must be used as specified by the individual operation of the safeworking system’.

ATSB observation

The use of Train Authorities in the circumstances that were present through Wallan in February 2020 was not provided for in the ARTC Code of Practice for Main Line Operations (TA20).

Use of Train Authority working in previous projects

ARTC advised that Train Authority working had previously been used during commissioning activities, often following signalling system upgrade.

Implementation of Train Authority working at Wallan

Background

Late on 3 February 2020, the Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC) identified that signalling had been disrupted between Donnybrook and Kilmore East. As a result of the damage to the signalling system, ARTC commenced managing rail traffic through the section using Caution Orders. To reduce traffic delays associated with Caution Orders, ARTC commenced managing rail traffic through the location using Train Authorities from 1900 on 6 February.[51]

Resourcing for altered train working arrangements

ARTC implementation of altered train working arrangements between Donnybrook and Kilmore East involved the engagement of several contractors. ActivateRail[52] was contracted to provide specialist rail project services, and labour hire firms Programmed and ARG Rail[53] supplied several rail workers.

Establishment of altered train working arrangements

A system of train working was established between Home Departure signals at Donnybrook and Kilmore East and notified by the issue of Train Notice 266. In this notice, operators were advised that rail traffic would operate by means of Train Authority. The notice included the processes that would be used and also advised that the points at either end of Wallan Loop would be clipped in the Normal position. Signage would be located at either end of the affected section advising drivers of the demarcation between CTC and Train Authority working.

Issuing of Train Authorities in the altered train working

The system used in February 2020 for issuing a Train Authority to a driver travelling between Kilmore East and Donnybrook involved the on-duty ARTC Network Control Officer (NCO) at Junee, an in-field signaller and an accompanying qualified worker (AQW). The key steps used in practice were:

  • The in-field signaller was provided with partially completed Train Authority (TA) forms.
  • The in-field signaller positioned themselves at whichever end of the Kilmore East – Donnybrook section that was to receive the next train.
  • Prior to the arrival of the next train, the in-field signaller contacted the NCO to obtain details of the TA specific to the next train movement. The NCO dictated the details of the TA to the signaller and the signaller completed the form accordingly.
  • The in-field signaller would then read back the completed TA to the NCO to verify its contents.
  • A Condition Affecting Network (CAN)[54] notice was also completed by the signaller under the instruction of the controller.
  • The in-field signaller would give the completed TA to the AQW (together with the CAN) and, on the train’s arrival, the AQW would board the driving cab of the train. There was no contact between the in-field signaller and the driver of the train.[55] 
  • Once on board, the AQW would give the TA and CAN notice to the driver. The driver would then contact the NCO to verify the TA. ARTC required the driver to verify the TA by its number. There was no expectation that the driver would read the TA to the NCO.[56]
Train Notice 266[57]

The use of Train Authorities between Kilmore East and Donnybrook in February 2020 was notified in Train Notice 266 (TN 266), issued on 6 February 2020 and commenced at 1900 on that day.

TN 266 was amended and reissued on 7 February. This amended notice advised that, in exception of a rule[58] within TA20, some disarranged signals may be lit, and that they would have a black cross affixed to the signal post.[59]

TN 266 was further amended and re-issued on 13 February 2020. Amendments included:

  • Removal of the advice that signals in the section may remain lit.[4]
  • Addition of text advising that ‘Repeat Back of the Train Authority is not required to be undertaken by the driver of the rail movement’.
  • Replacement of ‘The rail movement may proceed through the section in the normal manner’ with ‘The rail movement may proceed through the section up to track speed as advised by the Accompanying Qualified Worker’.
Train Notice 367[61]

Train Notice 367 was issued on the evening of 19 February 2020 and contained additional instruction to TN 266. It advised that ‘In addition to instructions contained in Train Notice 266 / 2020 issued on 13/02/2020 the following temporary alteration to working will apply’.

TN 367 included advice that:

  • the points at Wallan Loop would be set for the No. 2 Track and that the maximum speed at entering the loop was 15 km/h and the maximum speed exiting the loop was 35 km/h.
  • TN 367 also included advice that ‘The Accompanying Qualified Worker must remind train crews of trains that the train will operate via No. 2 track at Wallan’.[62]

New, part-completed, Train Authority forms that included detail consistent with TN 367 were issued to the in-field signallers and ARTC Network Control, replacing the previous Train Authority forms.

Risk management

Safety Management System

ARTC’s Safety Management Systems (SMS) included procedures requiring risk assessments for standard and ‘out-of-course’ safeworking arrangements.[63] This procedure identified the potential need for a risk study or assessment for a range of activities and system changes. The procedure for risk management specified that formal risk studies were usually undertaken for complex activities where potential impact was likely to be significant. The listed types of activities where a formal risk study may be appropriate included:

  • Significant civil works, such as tunnel construction, bridge construction
  • Technical operational changes, such as introduction of new signal/track infrastructure
  • Safety critical system changes, such as network control system changes.

The procedure also specified that formal risk assessment was undertaken in order to identify potential risks, their causal and contributory factors, the likelihood and consequence of the risk eventuating, and controls that may be implemented to prevent the risk or otherwise minimise the impacts of the risk. It specified that a formal, documented risk assessment must be conducted in various circumstances (including when notifiable changes are planned to the SMS and/or network configuration and as directed in project management procedures). This could include the identification and assessment of risks associated with:

  • Achievement of organisational objectives
  • Operational activities of the organisation
  • Projects
  • Impending changes to the organisation, operational environment or systems.
Risk assessments associated with altered train working through Wallan

Initial risk assessment

A risk assessment for the operation of rail traffic between Donnybrook and Kilmore East by Train Authority working was reported as being conducted at approximately 1600[64] on 6 February 2020 and the associated documentation finalised on 7 February. The risk assessment involved representatives from ARTC and ActivateRail and was based on previous applications of Train Authority working by ARTC.

The risk assessment for Wallan contained 10 identified hazards and associated control measures. Hazards and risks associated with routing trains through Wallan Loop were not directly identified in the risk worksheet. Hazard number 2 (Rail Operators not aware of the altered working) was indirectly relevant to any potential train operations through the loop (Table 1).

Table 1: Extracts of risk assessment for altered train working

 HazardCaused byWorst OutcomeControlRisk Rank
2Rail Operators not aware of the altered workingTrain notices not received by train crews detailing the processes in placeTrain driver accepts the train authority and proceeds into the section not conversant with the altered working

Train Notices will be issued in a timely fashion.

Signals at the interface of the commissioning will have change of Safeworking signage to indicate the interface between CTC and Train Authority working.

Disarranged signals will have black crosses affixed to them.

Train are piloted through the section.[65]

Low

ARTC reported that the risk worksheet was released to V/Line and Programmed. NSW Trains and freight operators were not included in this distribution. The documented risk assessment was not updated after 7 February 2020. However, ARTC has advised that risks relating to the altered train working continued to be informally assessed as feedback was received and that changes were reflected in the amendments made to Train Notice 266.

Risk assessment for travelling through Wallan Loop

There was no documented risk assessment specific to the routing of trains through Wallan Loop on 20 February and the release of Train Notice 367. The risk controls adopted for this change included the provision of information to operators through the issue of TN 367, and a note within that notice that the AQW was to advise the driver that the train will operate via No. 2 Track at Wallan Loop and of the speed limits required (for entry to and exit from the loop).

ATSB observation

Formal risk assessment was not used to identify hazards and available risk controls to manage the risk associated with train overspeed at the entry to Wallan Loop.

Distribution of safety notices

ARTC

Procedures defined the processes to be followed for preparing, reviewing, approving and issuing Operational Notices (including Train Notices) on the ARTC Network.[66] Different processes applied to different parts of the ARTC network.

Approved operational notices for Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia were published on the ARTC WebRAMS (Rail Access Management System) portal.[67],[68] Standing Train Notices were specified as being uploaded to this portal at approximately 1800[69] each evening. Access to WebRAMS was available to ARTC customers and stakeholders via an allocated User ID system. Rail operators were required to access the safety notices through this portal.

For the New South Wales and Queensland network, the ARTC procedures for distribution of operational notices specified direct transmission to selected internal and external stakeholders.

ARTC Distribution of Train Notice 367

Formal distribution of Train Notice 367 by ARTC to rail operators was via the WebRAMS portal. ARTC reported that TN 367 was uploaded to WebRAMS as part of an automated system update at 1815[70] on 19 February 2020.

In addition to the formal release, information regarding transit via Wallan Loop and the release of TN 367 was shared with V/Line. There was no active engagement by ARTC with, or direct release of TN 367 to, NSW Trains or freight operators.

NSW Trains

Sources of safety information for operation on the Victorian network

For its operations within Victoria, NSW Trains drew on Weekly Operational Notices (WONs) prepared by Metro Trains Melbourne (MTM) and issued each Tuesday for the week commencing the Wednesday.[71] The WONs included safety information for metropolitan and regional services. The WONs did not, however, typically include ARTC Train Notices, and reference was instead made within the WON to the ARTC WebRAMS portal.

NSW Trains did not routinely interrogate the ARTC WebRAMS portal for network operational information related to its Victorian operations. For its operations on the NSW portion of the ARTC network, it received train notices directly from ARTC.

ATSB observation

NSW Trains systems for obtaining network safety information for operations within Victoria did not include accessing information via the ARTC web portal.

Distribution of safety information to drivers

Each week, information considered relevant to its Victorian operations was extracted from the WON. This was used to produce an information pack for its regional drivers that would operate in Victorian territory. This information pack was then placed in the pigeon-hole of each driver at their Junee base. It was the driver’s responsibility to collect information from their pigeon-hole.

NSW Trains distribution of Train Notice 367

No evidence has been identified to indicate that NSW Trains was aware of Train Notice 367 prior to the occurrence. WON Issue No. 07 that was published on 18 February 2020 did not include information from TN 367. Extracts from WON 07 were prepared for distribution by 1139 on the morning of 20 February and were reported placed in the pigeon-holes of regional drivers (at Junee) by 1247 the same day.

ATSB observation

NSW Trains and its regional drivers coming on shift were probably not aware of the issuing of Train Notice 367 by ARTC and the possible operation of the ST23 through Wallan Loop on 20 February 2020.

WON Issue No. 07 that was published on 18 February 2020 did contain Train Notice 266 (as amended on 13 February). This was the ongoing operational notice for the Kilmore East to Donnybrook section at the time of the release of WON 07. It’s direct inclusion in the WON was not standard practice, and was the result of V/Line re-issuing ARTC TN 266 (as amended 13 February) within its own system.

V/Line distribution of Train Notice 367

Normal V/Line process entailed driver supervisors checking the WebRAMS portal after the evening publishing of ARTC notices on that portal and distributing train notices to affected drivers.

In this instance, on the evening of 19 February, V/Line also published a V/Line safe working circular (SW.0024.2020) incorporating TN 367, for distribution to all drivers including those running broad-gauge services. The V/Line drivers that ran through Wallan Loop on 20 February were also contacted by their driver supervisor prior to their shift and advised of the change.

Derailment site information

Position of leading vehicles

The derailed train came to rest in a concertinaed arrangement. The lead power car had rolled onto its left side and decelerated at a higher rate than trailing vehicles (Figure 9).

Figure 9: Leading three vehicles in the derailment

Leading three vehicles in the derailment

The photograph shows power car XP2018 on its left side, and first two passenger cars A and B. 
Source: CITS

Of the passenger cars, the first (Car A) had the greatest tilt of about 30 degrees from the vertical. It had come to rest on a row of pine trees and its trailing end had bound with the next car, Car B (Figure 10). The row of pine trees had probably stopped Car A from rolling onto its side.

Figure 10: The derailed position of Car A (left photograph taken after removal of trees)

The derailed position of Car A (left photograph taken after removal of trees)

The left photograph shows Car A rolled to its left and supported by pine trees, and the right photograph shows the trailing end of Car A bound with the leading end of the next car, Car B. 
Source: CITS

Points position and turnout

At the time of the derailment, the points at the northern end of Wallan Loop were in their Reverse position to provide entry to the loop (Figure 11). The point mechanism had been placed into hand-mode [72] and the points locked in the Reverse position. The mechanism was also padlocked.

There were a number of witness marks on rails and within the track that indicated that wheels had derailed within the turnout. There were no derailment marks identified prior to the turnout.

Figure 11: No. 7 points at the northern entrance to Wallan Loop

No. 7 points at the northern entrance to Wallan Loop

Source: CITS

Train recorded information

The Hasler RT recorder

Power cars XP2018 and XP2000 were each fitted with a Hasler RT data recorder. The Hasler RT is an electro-mechanical device that records data onto a waxed paper tape (roll). Data recorded included speed, distance, time, a combined power-vigilance parameter, and brake cylinder pressure. The Hasler equipment included an analogue speedometer located on the driver’s console.

The Hasler tapes from the two power cars were recovered for analysis (Figure 12). During retrieval, the Hasler tape from XP2018 jammed in the recorder and was damaged. However, all information was recovered and data relevant to the investigation was not affected.

Figure 12: Hasler waxed paper rolls removed from power cars XP2018 and XP2000

Hasler waxed paper rolls removed from power cars XP2018 and XP2000

The photograph shows the recovered waxed tapes. The centre roll is the tape from power car XP2000. The left and right rolls are the tape from power car XP2018 that jammed and was torn at one location. 
Source: CITS

Data processing

Unlike modern data logger systems that provide digital information for a wide range of operating parameters, Hasler recorders provide limited information in graphical format. In addition to the limited range of information, the format can introduce a loss of precision in the presentation of recorded data.

To process the data, both tapes were scanned and examined using photographic software. The traces for each recorded parameter were assessed for alignment with key events, such as start/stop points. Some horizontal re-alignment of parameters was required and both the horizontal and vertical scales of the images were calibrated for measurement.

Wheel diameter corrections

The Hasler used a pre-set (average) wheel diameter to calculate both speed and distance from the measured revolutions of the left-hand wheel on the second axle of the power car (wheel 3).[73] Actual speed may deviate from that recorded (and displayed) due to differences between this pre-set diameter and the diameter of the actual wheel providing the feed to the Hasler system. The actual measured wheel diameter for both power cars was larger than the pre-set value, hence recorded speed and distance were lower than the actual values.

The recorded values for speed and distance were corrected for the ratio of actual-to-pre-set wheel diameter (Table 2). The larger actual wheel diameter on the XP2018 (compared to the pre-set) meant that the recorded speed was about 2% lower than the actual train speed.

 XP2018 – leadingXP2000 – trailing
Pre-set diameter (mm)10001000
Measured diameter (mm)1019.21011
Ratio (correction factor)1.01921.011
Uncertainties in recorded data

An initial review identified a likely recording anomaly in the latter part of the XP2018 data. All channels recorded noise in the latter phase. An overlay of the data from the two power cars showed the discrepancy (visible as diverging speed toward the end of the data) and also confirmed that the speed data prior to this occurring was consistent (Figure 13).

Figure 13: Overlay of data recordings from XP2018 and XP2000

Overlay of data recordings from XP2018 and XP2000

The image shows an overlay of speed records from power cars 2018 and 2000. It indicates consistent speed records after departing Kilmore East, then a consistent initial sharp deceleration of both cars followed by diverging speed records during the derailment. 
Source: ST23 Hasler recordings annotated by ATSB

There were also potential inaccuracies in the XP2000 data in the latter stages due to uncertainty in measured wheel rotation being an accurate measure of train speed during this phase.

Other sources of train speed

GPS data from the installed ICE radio system[74] was interrogated and used as a comparator for time, speed and position information. While only coarse GPS data was available due to the system’s polling frequency, it provided a source for comparison with the Hasler data and an enhanced confidence in the assessed train speed. The GPS data was also the primary source for locating the position of ST23 when stopped prior to signal KME16.

Throttle and braking events

One limitation of the fitted Hasler data recorder was that it did not record the positions of the driver’s throttle and brake handles. Instead it recorded a generic power ON-OFF parameter and brake cylinder pressure.

The data from both power cars indicated that, at a point just prior to the commencement of deceleration, the power moved from ON to OFF and there was a rapid increase in brake cylinder pressure. For each recording, the points at which brake cylinder pressure began to rise and then reached a steady state were determined. The steady state pressures were noted for each record and compared with expected values. For both power cars, the recorded pressure was above that expected for a Notch 7 (Full-Service) application (345 kPa). The pressure recorded on XP2018, the leading power car, was about 378 kPa which was in line with the pressure expected for an Emergency application (375 kPa). While the pressure recorded on XP2000 was lower, about 358 kPa, it was still substantially above the Full-Service value. These results indicate that it was very likely that the brake application was an Emergency application. The speed of the train at the commencement of braking was about 129 km/h.[75]

Location of rise in brake cylinder pressure

Due to known limitations and potential anomalies in the Hasler data recording, obtaining position information from the data with respect to fixed points on track was difficult to achieve with high levels of accuracy. Therefore, the position at which brake cylinder pressure began to rise and the speed at which the train entered the turnout could not be directly read from the Hasler data.

Instead, the Hasler speed and distance data was used to calculate estimates of position considering different known stop locations. This was cross-checked using data from other sources to provide greater confidence. The different methods yielded slightly different results, however all indicated that the brake application was commenced before entry to the Wallan Loop (Table 3).

Table 3: Estimated start of braking and speed at entry to turnout

ParameterEstimated closest brakingEstimated furthest braking[76]
Distance from brake cylinder pressure rise to No.7 points50 m153 m
Speed at No. 7 points127 km/h114 km/h

 

Train handling of ST23 during journey

The Hasler recordings and the GPS data were examined to evaluate any potential trend in speed exceedance by ST23 during the Victorian segment of the journey. The ARTC Route Access Standard specified a maximum speed for express passenger trains in Victoria (including the XPT) of 130 km/h in areas where no local speed restrictions applied.[77] The assessment focussed on any identifiable trends and did not include local speed restrictions that were remote from the event.

Review of the GPS data identified 11 speed peaks of between 133 and 137 km/h in the Victorian section. These exceedances within the GPS data were cross-checked with the Hasler recordings and similar peaks identified, including a maximum actual value of about 139 km/h.[78]

None of the over-speeds identified were for a significant duration. These observations suggest that the driver was targeting line speed and occasionally overshooting. There was no evidence identified to suggest unusual train handling.

Vigilance parameter

The locomotive was fitted with a vigilance system. The installed Hasler does not record all information on driver activity associated with the vigilance system and its information is therefore of limited value.[79] However, the Hasler does record a vigilance parameter. The last point at which the vigilance parameter was recorded as active was prior to the stop at signal KME 28. There were no vigilance parameter events recorded between ST23 departure from signal KME 16 and the occurrence.

Cab video and voice recording devices

Power car XP2018 was not fitted with in-cab voice or video recording devices, nor was it required. As a result, there is no available evidence with respect to any communications or interactions that may have taken place between the driver and AQW prior to the occurrence.

Voice and video recording within the driver’s cab would have assisted the investigation in ascertaining the interactions within the cab, and the potential identification and analysis of associated safety factors.

ATSB observation

Voice and video recording within the driver’s cab would have assisted the investigation in the identification and analysis of potential safety factors.

Rolling stock condition assessment

Overview

Scope of condition assessment

The assessment of rolling stock condition was led by OTSI. The assessment involved vehicle inspections, oversight and review of testing conducted by Sydney Trains on behalf of ATSB, and a review of maintenance records. Specific testing was conducted on braking, vigilance and communication systems. The twist characteristics of power car XP2018 were also assessed.

Assessments were conducted at several locations and included observations at the derailment site on 21 February 2021, inspection of vehicles XP2000 and XFH2108 at the Sydenham Maintenance Centre on 6 March 2020 and inspection of vehicles XP2018, XAM2179A, XL2229, XBR2155 and XF2201 at the Auburn UGL facility on 10 March 2020. Further inspection and testing was witnessed by OTSI at the Auburn UGL facility. 

Summary findings of rolling stock condition assessments

Based on post-incident testing of safety critical systems including braking, vigilance and communications systems, vehicle and component inspections, and a review of maintenance records, no rolling stock condition or defect has been identified that was likely to have contributed to the derailment.

ATSB observation

Completed post-incident assessment of ST23 rolling stock did not identify a condition or defect that was likely to have contributed to the derailment. This included braking, vigilance control and radio communications systems.

Incident site observations

General

Observations were made at the derailment site prior to the rolling stock being moved. The preliminary observations did not identify evidence of rolling stock defects or equipment failures potentially causal to the derailment. All vehicles remained mechanically coupled although some couplers had sustained damage in the derailment. All bogies remained attached.

The derailed vehicles exhibited wheel tread damage consistent with (and typical for) running on track ballast. The wheels on the leading passenger vehicle (XAM2179) exhibited significantly more wheel tread damage than those of power car XP2018, suggesting that power car XP2018 had travelled in an upright derailed state for a shorter distance than the following passenger vehicle. This was consistent with the power car overturning early in the derailment sequence.

Brake controller position

At the time the site observations were made, the brake controller in the driver’s cab of power car XP2018 was in the Emergency brake position with the power (throttle) controller in OFF and the reverser direction in Forward.  

Sydney Trains maintenance systems

Maintenance of the XPT fleet was managed using the Sydney Trains Enterprise Asset Management (EAM) system. Work orders were generated within EAM in accordance with the requirements of the Technical Maintenance Plan (TMP). The TMP specified the frequency of tasks required for the power cars and trailer cars. Maintenance inspections included Major Inspections and Trip Inspections (pre-release to service). In addition to the maintenance regime, heavy overhauls were conducted at specified frequencies.

The Major Inspection was typically completed at 90-day intervals and inspected the condition of the carriage in greater detail. The task list for each Major Inspection varied with the inspection cycle, with some tasks completed more frequently than others.

Review of maintenance system

Open work orders

At the time of the derailment of ST23, a number of work orders within the TMP were listed as Open. However, none of the Open orders were found to be relevant to the risk of derailment.

It was also found that vehicles of ST23 entered service with work orders for the Trip Inspection of all cars identified as Open. However, review of the task list identified that most tasks had been completed prior to the train entering service. Those tasks that were not completed were not considered potential contributors to the derailment.

Fault management

Open and closed faults for the 120 days prior to the derailment were reviewed. There were no open faults identified that would suggest the train was operating at increased risk relevant to the derailment sequence. Review of closed faults did not show any recent faults which might have been addressed incorrectly and created increased risk.

Bogies and wheelsets

Bogie overhaul and wheelset records

Review of bogie and wheel set sheets did not identify any areas of concern with the condition of the bogies at the time of overhaul or wheelset change. Assessment of bogie weights at time of overhaul were within specification. Braking components including brake levers and cylinders were within specified dimensions and clamping forces at the time of servicing.

Bogie post-incident overhaul

Overhaul of bogies from ST23 has not identified defects relevant to the derailment. Inspection and overhaul of all bogies was not yet complete at the time of finalising the Interim Report.

Condition of wheels

The last routine wheel measurement indicated flange and rim thickness were within engineering standards.

Wheel profile measurements taken following the incident were compared to the WPR2000 profile specified for these vehicles. No sharp flanges were identified, and profiles were within tolerance and generally close to the WPR2000 profile.

Braking and vigilance systems

Static brake testing and vigilance system

Static brake testing on power car XP2018 was conducted at Auburn, NSW.[80] The purpose of this testing was to determine whether the brakes were degraded prior to the derailment. In preparation for the static brake testing, some of the items damaged during the derailment were repaired and the testing supported by workshop services.[81]

Given the damage sustained by the rollover derailment, the performance of the braking system and the vigilance control system was better than expected. There was no evidence found that the brake system or vigilance control system on XP2018 contributed to the derailment.

Review of maintenance records for braking system

During the (pre) Trip Inspection, the braking system was required to be tested. The test consisted of a functionality check of the braking system including brake pipe pressure, automatic and electro-pneumatic brake function, driver safety system (operator enable handle and pedal) and the vigilance control unit. Sydney Trains was unable to provide brake testing capture sheets from the most recent Level 1 or Level 2 brake testing and advised that the tasks were completed and signed off within the EAM but no paper records were available. The absence of these brake testing sheets prevented a more detailed assessment of the brake condition at the time of these maintenance checks. However, a review of the fault history did not show any known faults.

Additional to the testing, there were no known reports of issues with the braking system during the journey of ST23 prior to the derailment.

Power car XP2018 response to track twist

A twist test on power car XP2018 was conducted at Auburn, NSW. The purpose was to determine this vehicle’s capacity to negotiate track twist. The twist test arrangements were in accordance with the twist (packing) described in RailCorp Standard ESR0001-200 (2013) that represented the standard current at the time of the derailment. For testing, vehicle suspension was retained in its as-derailed condition that included some contained debris, and some suspension damage.

The testing found a maximum wheel unloading of 57.3 per cent, compared to the maximum permissible value of 60 per cent. Given this result, it is unlikely the twist performance of this vehicle contributed to the derailment.

Train radio performance

Post incident function testing and log review

The radio system was function tested and logs reviewed to assess the condition of the radio system just prior to derailment. The train radio system had sustained damage during the derailment and antennas had been removed, resulting in some performance degradation during testing.

Based on results of radio function testing and the review of radio log files, the Sydney Trains specialist maintenance group responsible for the train communications concluded that there was no evidence to suggest that the on-board communications systems were non-operational or defective at the time of the incident.

Assessment of recordings of communication between the train driver and ARTC Network Control were consistent with the train radio system operating normally.

Maintenance records of communications system

The maintenance history for the communication equipment fitted to ST23 was reviewed, with the primary focus being power cars XP2018 and XP2000. The review found that the train radio system was within the required maintenance inspection timeframes and compliant at the time of the derailment. The most recent inspection of communications equipment on XP2018 was completed on 6 February 2020, and on 4 February 2020 for XP2000.

Rolling stock crashworthiness and survivability

Scope

The ATSB conducted crashworthiness and survivability inspections of the lead power car and the five passenger cars. Inspections included an examination of features pertinent to the survivability and evacuation of the train crew and passengers. The unoccupied rear power car remained upright and on track and was not inspected for its crashworthiness.

Inspections were conducted at the derailment site on 21 February. Power car XP2018 and the leading passenger (sleeper) car were further examined at the Auburn UGL facility on 10 March 2020.

Power car XP2018

General findings

Damage to the vehicle’s exterior indicated that the lead power car had slid on its side for some distance (Figure 14). The driver’s cab retained its structural integrity. However, the left-side cab door separated from the door frame, and the left-side engine room door at the rear of the power car was dislodged. Fuel tanks on the left side were also breached.

The car’s forward windscreen remained in place during the derailment. The screen was subsequently removed by rescuers to access the driver’s cab. The lower rear corner of the left-side quarter window had detached from the frame, sufficient to allow a limited amount of ground material into the cab.

Internally within the cab, equipment and fittings remained mostly intact. Instruments, control panels and interior linings contained little or no damage. The driver’s side (left-side) headrest was detached from the seat back.

Figure 14: Power car XP2018 at Auburn workshops 10 March 2020

Power car XP2018 at Auburn workshops 10 March 2020

Source: ATSB

Driver’s left-side cab door

The most significant damage to the power car was to the left cab entry door. The cab door had been secured with two hinges on its rear edge and a single door latch on its forward edge. The glass fibre composite doors were a plug shape and rotated inward on the rear door frame. The hinges were attached to the door and frame using bolts secured to embedded plates (Figure 15).

Figure 15: Door and doorframe section drawing

Door and doorframe section drawing

Source: Commonwealth Engineering (NSW) Drawing 022010940-1 annotated by CITS.

The door hinges had failed as a result of the external loading during the sliding event. The door had become disconnected from the door frame and loose within the cabin. The door-side fingers of the upper hinge had peeled open (Figure 16) and the lower hinge had failed by the loss of fastening on the frame-side of the hinge (Figure 17).

With the door aperture open, the rear of the door frame had acted as a scoop for ballast and dirt which accumulated inside the cab. A significant amount of material was found to have entered the cab space.

ATSB observation

The left cab door of the power car did not withstand the external loading associated with power car 2018 rolling on to its side. This resulted in materials entering the driver’s cab of the power car.

Figure 16: Upper internal hinge of left cab door of XP2018

Upper internal hinge of left cab door of XP2018

Source: ATSB

Figure 17: Lower internal hinge of left cab door of XP2018

Lower internal hinge of left cab door of XP2018

Source: ATSB

Evacuation routes from driver’s cab

The normal access to and from the driver’s cab was through the side doors. At the rear of the cab, there was an internal door to the machinery space and at the rear of that space there were a further two door exits either side of the car, and a rear central door. With the power car on its left side, the right driver’s cab door was the most accessible access route to the cabin and the crew inside. The right driver’s cab door remained operable and was used by members of the crew to gain access to the cab. This access route was only accessible by able bodied people climbing on top of the vehicle and there was no practical way to extricate any survivor if they themselves were not ambulatory.

ATSB observation

With power car XP2018 on its left side, there were no points of entry at or near ground-level.

Rear left door

The rear external machinery space entry door on the left side of the power car had also been dislodged but the top hinge did not fully part from the frame (Figure 18). There was a build-up of ballast and dirt at the base of the door.

Figure 18: The rear left-side door of power car XP2018

The rear left-side door of power car XP2018

The left photograph shows a full view of the rear left-side door of XP2018, and the right photograph the base of the door pushed-in by track ballast and dirt.  
Source: ATSB

Passenger cars

Overview

Inspections did not identify any structures that would have generated injuries by their design. In the lead passenger car, some windows had been shattered introducing a hazard. It was also reported that luggage had fallen from overhead racks, some of which struck passengers and service staff causing injury.

Most injuries to passengers were a result of people being unprepared for the sudden deceleration or losing their balance when their car lurched or tilted. Passenger injuries were more prevalent and more severe in the forward passenger cars.

Passenger car XAM2179 (Car A)

XAM2179 was the leading passenger car and had a cabin/sleeper configuration. It consisted of nine cabins which could seat three passengers each. Some cabins had forward facing seats while others were rear facing. This sleeper car came to rest rolled to about 30 degrees to its left. External damage included four broken exterior windows on the left (passenger aisle) side of the carriage and exterior damage to the roof line above the windows from the passenger car striking pine trees adjacent to the track. The trailing end had also bound with the leading end of the following car, XL2229.

Damage within the sleeper car included collapsed interior lining in the passenger aisle. Two cabins had cracked glass partitions most likely from being struck by luggage or passengers (Figure 19).

Figure 19: Passenger car A, left-side corridor (left) and fractured glass partition (right)

Passenger car A, left-side corridor (left) and fractured glass partition (right)

Source: ATSB

Being the most widely spaced seats in the train, these occupants had the largest free-flight distance available that can lead to more serious injuries. The injuries in this car were most likely the result of passengers being thrown a significant distance before impacting structures and fittings. Injuries occurred to people sitting in both forward- and rearward-facing seats.

Passenger car XL2229 (Car B)

This was a first-class car with 56 forward-facing passenger seats in a single open cabin. It was seating an estimated 52 people at the time of the derailment. It was the car with the most reported injuries and the most reported serious injuries. The injuries were most likely the result of passengers being thrown from their seats or being hit by luggage falling from the overhead racks. The car came to rest at an angle of approximately 17 degrees to its right.

There was no evidence of structural failure or dislodged internal fittings acting as projectiles. The only significant damage to the cabin was exterior binding at the front right corner with the car ahead, Car XAM2179. This prevented the use of the exits at this location.

Passenger car XBR2155 (Car C)

This car was half first-class forward-facing seating with the other half being the buffet section. It was near upright when it came to a stop. The car suffered no interior damage of consequence.

Passenger car XF2201 (Car D)

This was an economy-class car with 68 forward facing passenger seats in a single open cabin. It was the most heavily populated car in the set with an estimated 57 passengers in this car at the time of the derailment. Comparatively fewer injuries were reported in this car. It was near upright when it came to a stop. The car suffered no interior damage of consequence.

Passenger car XFH2108 (Car G)

This car was half economy class forward facing seating with the other half being the baggage section. The baggage section was locked meaning there was only one pair of exits (forward) immediately obvious to passengers. A key to the baggage compartment was available behind breakable glass. This would have permitted a second set of exits to be used through the baggage compartment, however in this instance these rear exits were not used. This car was at an angle of about 10 degrees when it came to a stop and had the least number of reported injuries and the lowest injury rate. The car suffered no interior damage of consequence.

Evacuation routes from passenger cars

The majority of exits in passenger cars were available. Six of the 18 exits for passengers could be considered freely available. A further eight exits were operable and available but with some hindrance to their free use due to the distance from the ground, the angle of the access ladder, or some other hazard. Four exits were deemed not to be available, either due to obstruction, jamming or excessive height off the ground.[82]

Most people reported, and general evidence suggests, that the majority of passengers were able to evacuate without or with limited assistance. Some special needs passengers were assisted out of the carriages.

While not obstructing the evacuation, the angle of two carriages slowed some people getting off. The longitudinal angle of most cars was negligible, however the lateral angle (roll) of the front two passenger cars was significant.

Passenger information

Passenger numbers and injuries

Based on information supplied by the rail operator and Victoria Police, the total number of passengers on board ST23 at the time of the derailment was 155.[83]

Available injury information from the operator and police was combined with ATSB passenger survey response data to estimate a total number of passenger physical injuries of 61.[84] ,[85] This total figure was comprised of 8 serious injuries and 53 minor injuries.<[86]

Passenger survey

Overview

The ATSB conducted a survey of passengers that were aboard train ST23 at the time of the derailment. From 155 passengers reported to be on board, 83 responses to the survey were received: a response rate of 54 per cent. The survey included questions on:

  • passenger demographics
  • passenger seating location
  • safety information and briefings
  • experiences during and after the event
  • the nature of injuries.
Safety information

On questions pertaining to safety information:

  • Seventy per cent of passengers who responded to the question about the provision of safety information reported that they either did not receive any safety information or could not recall receiving any.
  • Of the 63 responses about the format of the safety information provided, eight passengers reported that they received the information from a briefing card.
  • Of the 74 responses to a question related to paying attention to the safety information provided, 57 per cent of passengers reported that they did not pay attention. Some passengers mentioned that the reason for not paying attention was that there was no information provided.
  • Seventy per cent of survey respondents reported that, prior to the event, they did not know how to get out of the train in an emergency.

In response to questions on suggestions for improvement in safety information:

  • Ten passengers referred to the way in which safety information is provided by airlines.
  • Some passengers mentioned that better signage on the seat in front of them or at the end of carriages may have been helpful.
  • Other comments included increasing announcements.
The evacuation

There were varied responses about the communication received from crew members following the derailment. This was at least in part due to the distribution of the crew, with four of the five crew being in the buffet car at the time of the derailment. There were no crew members in three of the cars at the time of the derailment. Most of the passengers who responded advised that initial crew instructions were to remain on board the train. Others reported being unsure about what to do. There was no report of any announcements being made via the public address system or the use of loud hailers.

Responses indicated that some passengers self-evacuated before receiving instructions from the crew. Passengers were asked to estimate how long it took to exit the train. The responses ranged from a ‘few minutes’ to up to 30 minutes, supporting other evidence that some passengers self-evacuated prior to being instructed by train crew. About half of the respondents indicated having difficulty exiting the train due to carriage orientation and/or difficulty with getting down to the ground.

Once passengers were out of the train, crew members were observed instructing passengers to move off the adjacent tracks (due to concern of possible rail traffic).

In response to questions on areas for improvement in emergency response, suggestions included:

  • a greater number of staff members to manage an emergency
  • crew training in emergency management
  • leadership and direction, including more information being provided to passengers
  • consistency in the information provided.

Sixteen respondents utilised the free text question to provide praise for the handling of the event by members of the train crew and first responders.

__________

  1. A NSW Government agency constituted by the Transport Administration Act 1988 Part 1A Section 3C.</li
  2. Health and fitness requirements for Rail Transport Operators and Rail Safety Workers were governed by the Rail Safety National Law (RSNL) and associated Regulations.
  3. Due to the delay in the service on this day, arrival in Melbourne would have been significantly later than the rostered end-of-shift.
  4. Detailed work-placement records were available from 2014.
  5. Sydney Trains is an agency of Transport for NSW.
  6. ARTC is a statutory corporation fully owned by the Government of Australia.
  7. Standard-gauge trains did not stop at Wallan.
  8. TA20 ARTC Code of Practice for the Victorian Main Line Operations, Section 2, Rule 13 g.
  9. As recorded in the PTV Pass Assets database, viewed 26 October 2020
  10. A small superelevation of 8 mm was recorded at the commencement of the right-hand curve by the track recording vehicle in August 2019, indicating the left hand rail slightly higher than the right-hand rail in the ‘Up’ (towards Melbourne) direction.
  11. The indication of this signal at the time ST23 passed is not known with certainty, because its state was not recorded. However, broad-gauge rail traffic records indicate that the signal was more likely to be at Proceed. If not at Proceed, the signal would have been at its alternate ‘Caution’ indication, a single yellow light.
  12. 13.7 km from Wallan Railway Station
  13. Azimuth is the clockwise horizontal angle (in degrees minutes and seconds) from true north to the sun.
  14. Altitude is the vertical angle (in degrees minutes and seconds) from an ideal horizon, to the sun. An ideal horizon exists when the surface forming the horizon is at a right angle to the vertical line passing through the observer's position on the earth. If the terrain surrounding the observer was flat and all at the same height above sea level, the horizon seen by the observer standing on the earth would approximate the ideal horizon.
  15. Computed using National Mapping Division's sunmoonposn program, version 1.1.
  16. RISSB Glossary of Terms, viewed 30 March 2020 <https://www.rissb.com.au/glossary/>
  17. At the time of the derailment, Issue 2.1, 01 July 2018
  18. A Safety Management System provides a systemic approach to managing safety risks and includes, amongst other items, codes, policies, standards, procedures and documents.
  19. The CTC system was described in section 17 of TA20 and the Train Order System in section 18.
  20. Rule 1, Section 3 specified proceeding at a speed not exceeding 25 km/h.
  21. The scope of application of Train Authorities was similar for the Train Order System.
  22. The phrase ‘Train Authority Working’ is used in section 25 of TA20.
  23. The first Train Authority was issued at 2042 on 6 February 2020.
  24. ActivateRail describes itself as a rail interface solutions business, formed from the specialist rail project services arm of Sterling Infrastructure. It offers professional advisory services, project managers as well as worksite supervisors, site managers and track safety personnel.
  25. ARG Rail provided labour and recruitment services to the rail infrastructure sector.
  26. Issued because the Wallan-Whittlesea level crossing protection was being manually operated.
  27. TN266 specified that the signaller would deliver the Train Authority and CAN to the driver, although in practice this was done via the AQW. On one occasion (Train Authority number 20 on 14 February 2020), the driver requested that the signaller give him the Train Authority directly rather than via the AQW and the signaller complied with this request.
  28. On this point, the practice of drivers varied. During the period that Train Authority working was being used between Kilmore East and Donnybrook, on 30 occasions out of the 253 Train Authorities issued, the driver ‘repeated back’ the contents of the TA, and had that repeat back verified by the ARTC network controller.
  29. This section is limited to a brief account of notice TN266 and its amendments. The section does not include detail of the distribution of the notice, nor the receipt of the notice or awareness of its information by organisations or individuals.
  30. TA20, Section 5, Rule 5.
  31. TA20 Section 5 Rule 5 Clause b stated ‘Light signals not in use are distinguished by a black cross on the front of the lights. The lamps are not to be lit’.
  32. Some V/Line drivers and the RTBU (Rail Tram and Bus Union) had expressed concern at signals remaining lit within the affected section. On 10 February, a driver refused to pass a lit signal within the section.
  33. This section is limited to a brief account of notice TN367. The section does not include detail of the distribution of the notice, nor the receipt of the notice or awareness of its information by organisations or individuals.
  34. There is no available evidence with respect to the communications between the driver and the AQW.
  35. r RSK-PR-001 Risk Management, version 1.4, 5 April 2019.
  36. Approximate time of risk assessment advised by ARTC
  37. The risk assessment reference to ‘piloted’ is different to TN266 that refers to an Accompanying Qualified Worker.
  38. Preparation and Distribution of Operational Notices OPE-PR-001, Version Number 1.2, 31 May 2019
  39. http://webrams.artc.com.au/
  40. In procedure OPE-PR-001, the acronym NRAMS was used.
  41. Australian Central Standard Time
  42. Adelaide time
  43. The WON was published by the Office of Rail Safety Manager (a part of MTM) on behalf of MTM and V/Line.
  44. No. 7 points were controlled by a dual-control point machine. They could be operated in motor (remote operation) or hand (manual operation) mode.
  45. An average wheel diameter is used to accommodate wear and a reducing diameter during the wheel’s life.
  46. The ICE radio GPS speed is not displayed to the driver in the locomotive cab.
  47. The speed display on XP2018 would have been reading about 127 km/h.
  48. To reduce train speed from 130 km/h to 15 km/h at the turnout would require braking at least 800 m before the turnout.
  49. ARTC Route Access Standard D53.
  50. Actual speed calculated by correcting the recorded speed for actual wheel diameter. The recorded speed was about 2 per cent lower than the estimated actual.
  51. AS 7527:2015 (amendment 2019) Legacy, tape based data loggers should, as a minimum record the following information that included train speed, distance, time, and brake status (i.e. brake pipe pressure or brake cylinder pressure).
  52. Static testing was conducted on XP2018 as the trailer cars immediately behind in the consist were damaged and without significant repairs could not be tested. The main areas of focus were the driver control aspects of XP2018.
  53. During the derailment and subsequent rollover, some pneumatic equipment was dislodged from the power car or damaged, while other equipment remained intact. In preparation for the static brake testing, approval was provided to Sydney Trains to repair some of the items damaged during the derailment in preparation for the test to be undertaken.
  54. Considered not usable in cases where the bottom rung of ladder was more than 1.5 m from the ground
  55. Based on available information.
  56. Some passenger information was incomplete, and this reported data represents a summary of available information.
  57. There were also reports of psychological impacts including instances of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) that are not included in the injury total.
  58. A serious injury is an injury that required, or would usually require, admission to hospital within 7 days of the event.

Safety actions

Australian Rail Track Corporation

ARTC advised[87] that, since the incident, it had taken the following steps to improve the safety of its operations, that are relevant to two ATSB Observations:[88]

  1. ARTC has developed an amendment to TA20 to facilitate an “Alternative Proceed Authority”. Once implemented, TA20 will provide for a new form of safeworking, similar to Train Authority Working, that can be implemented in circumstances where Centralised Traffic Control (CTC) is not operational for an extended period of time. The proposed amendment to TA20 has been the subject of initial user consultation including internal briefing sessions with operational areas within ARTC’s business and external briefing sessions with rail operators. A Human Factors assessment is scheduled to be undertaken in relation to the proposed amendment in Quarter 4 of Calendar Year 2021. The proposed amendment will then be subject to further formal stakeholder consultation and ARTC’s management of change processes prior to implementation.
  2. ARTC is developing a new risk assessment tool for abnormal circumstances, to be known as an Event Flow Work Tool, with a focus on risk scoring and authority escalation requirements. A prototype has been developed and is to be further work shopped with Network Controllers prior to implementation.
  3. Until the steps referred to in 1) and 2) above have been completed, ARTC has implemented an interim requirement that the implementation of any altered method of safeworking, other than Caution Orders, requires a formal Risk Assessment and approval by ARTC’s Executive Risk Committee.
  4. ARTC has developed an amendment to TA20 to include a new rule titled “Train Notices”. Once implemented, the new rule will clarify the manner and circumstances in which the operation of TA20 may be amended through the issue of Train Notices. Implementation of the new rule is subject to consultation wit

NSW Trains

NSW Trains advised[89] that, since the incident, it had undertaken a number of safety actions. Safety actions taken included:

  1. The development of new procedures for the daily access of the ARTC WebRams system
  2. Amendment of procedures to include confirmation of receipt of safety critical information by train crew prior to them starting their day of operations
  3. Additional resources to ensure that NSW Trains has 24/7 frontline leader coverage across the network
  4. The review of interface agreement risks from all rail infrastructure managers (RIMs) to identify and assess NSW Trains' systems and procedures for managing interface safety risks with the relevant RIMs
  5. A range of initiatives to enhance safety critical communications including:
    • the development of a new program to strengthen safety critical communication across NSW Trains (TrainLink) rail safety workers
    • international benchmarking against safety critical communication systems used by other rail operators
    • risk workshops with key internal and external stakeholders to identify opportunities to strengthen safety critical communications
    • the development of a business case for future digital solutions for safety critical communications.
      ____________
  6. 22 April 2021
  7. ATSB Observations: • The use of Train Authorities in the circumstances that were present through Wallan in February 2020 was not provided for in the ARTC Code of Practice for Main Line Operations (TA20) • Formal risk assessment was not used to identify hazards and available risk controls to manage the risk associated with train overspeed at the entry to Wallan Loop.
  8. 22 April 2021

Ongoing investigation

The investigation is continuing and will include further consideration of the following:

  • management of train operations, including implementation of altered train working, risk management and communications
  • distribution of safety critical operational information
  • train operations and further human factors analysis
  • survivability and crashworthiness standards relevant to this type of event
  • finalisation of derailment sequence analysis
  • finalisation of rolling stock and track condition assessments
  • passenger services crew training and preparedness for a derailment event
  • passenger safety information
  • similar occurrences.

Relevant parties are notified of critical safety information identified during the course of the investigation so that appropriate and timely safety action can be taken.

A final report will be released at the conclusion of the investigation.

Purpose of safety investigations & publishing information

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2021

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Ownership of intellectual property rights in this publication

Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this report publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia.

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With the exception of the Coat of Arms, ATSB logo, and photos and graphics in which a third party holds copyright, this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence.

Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided that you attribute the work.

The ATSB’s preference is that you attribute this publication (and any material sourced from it) using the following wording: Source: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

Copyright in material obtained from other agencies, private individuals or organisations, belongs to those agencies, individuals or organisations. Where you wish to use their material, you will need to contact them directly.

Preliminary report

Report release date: 03/04/2020

The information contained in this report is released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003 and is derived from the initial investigation of the occurrence. Readers are cautioned that new evidence will become available as the investigation progresses that will enhance the ATSB's understanding of the accident as outlined in this update. As such, no analysis or findings are included in this report.

The occurrence

On 20 February 2020, passenger train XPT ST23 departed Central Station in Sydney, New South Wales (NSW), at about the scheduled departure time of 0740.[1] The service was scheduled to stop at several stations en-route to its final destination at Southern Cross Station in Melbourne, Victoria that evening at 1830 (Figure 1).

Figure 1: Train route from Sydney to Melbourne

Figure 1: Train route from Sydney to Melbourne.&#13;Source: Google Maps, annotated by Chief Investigator, Transport Safety

Source: Google Maps, annotated by Chief Investigator, Transport Safety

The train proceeded south and arrived at Junee in southern NSW at 1452,[2] about 85 minutes behind schedule. At Junee there was a change of driver before the train continued south, arriving in Albury on the NSW-Victorian border at 1637, still about 85 minutes behind schedule. There was a change in passenger car crew at Albury.

The train departed Albury at 1644 and entered the Victorian section of its journey. The service continued south, stopping at several stations before coming to a stand at Intermediate Home[3] signal KME28 at Kilmore East, at about 1856. Signal KME28 was at Stop, and the driver contacted Network Control at about 1904 to inquire when he might receive permission to proceed. There was a standard-gauge passing lane at Kilmore East, with East and West Lines (Figure 2).[4]

Figure 2: Kilmore East passing lane (standard-gauge track shown in black, with signals)

Figure 2: Kilmore East passing lane (standard-gauge track shown in black, with signals).&#13;Source: ARTC, modified and annotated by Chief Investigator, Transport Safety

Source: ARTC, modified and annotated by Chief Investigator, Transport Safety

The XPT waited at signal KME28 on the East Line until the north-bound V/line passenger train 8625 had transited the Donnybrook to Kilmore East single-line section, passed signal KME2 and was travelling along the West Line through Kilmore East. The V/Line train was clear of the single-line by about 1925 and, soon after, the XPT was given permission by Network Control[5] to proceed to Home Departure signal KME16,[6] still on the East Line within the Kilmore East location.

As a result of damage to signalling equipment, a 24 km section from Kilmore East signal KME16 (at about the 63.8 km mark)[7] to Donnybrook (at about the 40.2 km mark) was being managed using an alternative safeworking system.[8] Wallan was located in this section, about 48 rail-km from Melbourne.

At signal KME16, XPT ST23 was met by several rail workers, including a Signaller and an Accompanying Qualified Worker (AQW).[9] The AQW boarded the lead power car and joined the driver at the head of the train as part of the alternative safeworking system in place for the 24 km section to Donnybrook.

At about 1932 while the train was still stopped at signal KME16, the driver and the Network Control Officer communicated over the radio about the Train Authority[10] for the section through to Donnybrook. The train then departed signal KME16 and entered the single-line towards Wallan. The line speed for the XPT in this section was 130 km/h and after departing, the speed of the train was increased towards this line speed.

One function of the AQW was to ensure that the level crossing protection[11] at Wallan–Whittlesea Road in Wallan was in place for the passage of the train.[12] The Level Crossing Keeper[13] positioned at this level crossing reported receiving a call from the AQW and activating the crossing protection.

The train was now approaching Wallan. Earlier that afternoon, the points at either end of Wallan Loop had been changed from their Normal position to their Reverse position.[14] This change meant that rail traffic, in both directions, would be diverted from the Main Line (straight) into the loop track (No.2 Road). A Train Notice[15] reflected this change and also specified a 15 km/h speed limit for entry into the loop, and a limit of 35 km/h for exiting the loop.

At about 1943, XPT ST23 was approaching the northern end of Wallan Loop at about the track’s line speed. Recordings from the train indicate an Emergency brake application a short distance before the points. This slowed the train a small amount before it entered the turnout travelling at a speed in excess of 100 km/h. The train was not able to negotiate the turnout to the loop track at this speed and derailed. All vehicles derailed excepting the rear power car (Figure 3).

Figure 3: Aerial photograph of derailment site

Figure 3: Aerial photograph of derailment site.&#13;Source: ATSB

Source: ATSB

During the derailment sequence, the leading power car rolled onto its left side and the XPT driver and the AQW sustained fatal injuries. Three passengers were seriously injured and 36 received minor injuries.[16] Five train crew that were in the passenger cars also sustained injuries.

Context

Track information

The XPT service was running on the national standard-gauge track that connects Sydney and Melbourne. The track is part of the Defined Interstate Rail Network (DIRN) and is managed by the Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC).[17]

The standard-gauge track between Kilmore East and Donnybrook was a single, bi-directional line that serviced the XPT, V/Line passenger services and rail freight. There were passing lanes at Kilmore East and Donnybrook and a 1,550 m crossing loop at Wallan. The northern entry to this loop was located about 1.8 km north of Wallan–Whittlesea Road (Figure 4).

Figure 4: Wallan Loop (standard-gauge track shown in black, with signals)

Figure 4: Wallan Loop (standard-gauge track shown in black, with signals).&#13;Source: ARTC, modified and annotated by Chief Investigator, Transport Safety

Source: ARTC, modified and annotated by Chief Investigator, Transport Safety

Train information

The first XPT (Express Passenger Train) commenced service in 1982. The XPT fleet is operated by NSW TrainLink[18] and provides passenger services in regional NSW and between the east coast capital cities of Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane. XPT vehicles are maintained by Sydney Trains[19].

The XPT ST23 running on 20 February 2020 included five passenger cars (Figure 5). The leading three vehicles were manufactured by ABB Transportation in Dandenong, Victoria and commissioned in 1993. The trailing four vehicles were manufactured by Comeng in Granville, NSW and commissioned between 1981 and 1984.

Figure 5: Train configuration

Figure 5: Train configuration.&#13;Source: ATSB, vehicle images supplied by Sydney Trains

Source: ATSB, vehicle images supplied by Sydney Trains

Train data logger

Both power cars were fitted with a Hasler RT data logger. The data logger is an electro-mechanical device that records speed, distance, time, a combined power-vigilance parameter, and brake cylinder pressure parameters. These parameters are recorded on a waxed paper tape (roll). The Hasler system also included an analogue speedometer located on the driver’s console.

The train’s speed is derived from the measurement of the rotation of the left hand wheel on the second axle of the power car. In order for this rotation to be translated into distance (and speed), an average wheel diameter is assumed. Actual speed may deviate from that recorded (and displayed) due to differences between this assumed diameter and the diameter of the actual wheel providing the feed to the Hasler system.

The Hasler tapes from the two power cars were recovered at the accident scene and examined by the ATSB. Corrections to the recorded speed were made to account for the differences between the assumed wheel diameter and the actual wheel diameter on each power car. The results from both recorders indicated a speed of about 130 km/h approaching Wallan Loop.[20] The Hasler analogue speedometer would have read less than this, probably between the 125 km/h and 130 km/h marks.[21]

The data from both recorders indicate that there was an Emergency brake application nearing the turnout to the loop, and an associated small reduction in speed prior to the train entering the loop. The Hasler recordings will be the subject of further detailed analysis and review against other evidence.

Train crew and passengers

The XPT is a single-driver operation. The driver of the XPT was designated as a Regional Driver, and at the time of the derailment, an AQW was also in the driver’s cab. Both the driver and AQW suffered fatal injuries in the derailment.

Within the passenger vehicles, there were five further crew members including a Passenger Service Supervisor, Senior Passenger Attendant and three Passenger Attendants. All five have reported injuries.

There were 153 passengers recorded as being on the train at the time of the derailment, of which 39[22] have reported injuries.

Management of rail traffic (safeworking)

Safeworking is an integrated system of operating rules and procedures that defines the interaction between workers and engineered systems for the safe operation of a railway.[23] Of primary concern is safe operations including train separation and speed management according to infrastructure.

Relevant to this occurrence, the signalling infrastructure used for standard-gauge traffic through Wallan was damaged as a result of a fire in a track-side equipment hut on 3 February 2020. From 6 February, Train Authority Working was established to manage traffic between Home Departure signals DBK6 and DBK18 at Donnybrook[24] and KME4 and KME16 at Kilmore East.[25] The alternative safeworking arrangements permitted only one train in the section between Donnybrook and Kilmore East at any one time, and Wallan Loop was not being used for trains to cross or pass. From the commencement of Train Authority Working on 6 February, Wallan Loop was configured for trains to travel along No.1 Road.[26] This changed to the No.2 Road on 20 February.

Further investigation

The areas explored and requiring further investigation include:

  • Derailment sequence: Further investigation will include a detailed examination and review of available evidence to refine the derailment sequence.
  • Track condition: To date, site observations and preliminary review of track data have not identified adverse conditions directly contributing to the derailment. Further investigation will include the detailed examination of post- and pre-occurrence track geometry and maintenance information.
  • Rolling Stock condition: To date, site observations and vehicle workshop inspections (that commenced 6 March) have not identified adverse conditions directly contributing to the derailment. Inspections are ongoing and include detailed inspection of vehicles and testing of braking and driver safety systems.
  • Crew and passenger survivability: Detailed survivability inspection of the leading power car XP2018 and all passenger vehicles is complete. A passenger survey is being conducted researching passenger experiences of the derailment and subsequent evacuation and emergency response.
  • Train operation: Further investigation will include a detailed examination of the operation of the train drawing on a wide range of evidence sources.
  • Management of train operations: Further investigation will include a detailed examination of the alternative safeworking systems used to manage rail traffic at this location from 6 to 20 February 2020.
  • Other areas of investigation: Further areas of investigation may be identified as the investigation progresses.

Acknowledgements

The ATSB would like to acknowledge the significant assistance provided by all involved parties during the initial investigation, particularly in the context of the impact of COVID-19 on business operations and the community.

Train details

Train operator:NSW TrainLink  
Persons on board:Crew: 6 +1Passengers: 153[27]
Fatalities:Crew: 1+1Passengers: 0
Other Injuries:[28]Crew: 5Passengers: 39
Damage:Substantial, to train and track 

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The information contained in this report is released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003 and is derived from the initial investigation of the occurrence. Readers are cautioned that new evidence will become available as the investigation progresses that will enhance the ATSB's understanding of the accident as outlined in this update. As such, no analysis or findings are included in this report.

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2020

image_5.png

Ownership of intellectual property rights in this publication

Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this report publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia.

Creative Commons licence

With the exception of the Coat of Arms, ATSB logo, and photos and graphics in which a third party holds copyright, this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence.

Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided that you attribute the work.

The ATSB’s preference is that you attribute this publication (and any material sourced from it) using the following wording: Source: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

Copyright in material obtained from other agencies, private individuals or organisations, belongs to those agencies, individuals or organisations. Where you wish to use their material, you will need to contact them directly.

__________

  1. All times are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).
  2. Stopping times at stations are as recorded by NSW TrainLink.
  3. This signal protected the broad-gauge crossover going into the Apex ballast quarry. It is called an ‘Intermediate Home’ because it is in an intermediate location along the passing lane.
  4. The passing lane was about 7 km in length.
  5. ARTC network control for this section of track is located at Junee, NSW.
  6. This Home Departure signal was protecting the turnout at the end of the passing lane.
  7. Rail-km from Melbourne.
  8. Safeworking is described in this report at section, Management of rail traffic (safeworking).
  9. The term used in Train Notices for the worker that would accompany the driver between Kilmore East and Donnybrook.
  10. An instruction in the prescribed format issued by the Network Control Officer in connection with the movement of a train. RISSB Glossary of Terms, viewed 30 March 2020, <www.rissb.com.au/glossary>.
  11. Boom barriers and flashing lights at this location.
  12. Active protection on the other level crossings on the Kilmore East-to-Donnybrook section were working normally and it was only the Wallan-Whittlesea Road level crossing that required local operation.
  13. The person who activated the level crossing protection locally at the crossing, colloquially referred to as the bellhop.
  14. The Normal position of the turnouts was for ‘straight-through’ traffic, and the Reverse position was for the loop.
  15. Operational information issued by or on behalf of the Rail Infrastructure Manager. RISSB Glossary of Terms, viewed 30 March 2020,<www.rissb.com.au/glossary>
  16. Injury information accounts for physical injuries and does not include non-physical injury or distress.
  17. ARTC is a statutory corporation fully owned by the Government of Australia.
  18. The brand name of NSW Trains, an agency of Transport for NSW.
  19. Sydney Trains maintains trains on behalf of NSW Trains through a service agreement. Sydney Trains is an agency of Transport for NSW.
  20. The results of the interim analysis. Further analysis will be undertaken and reviewed against other evidence sources.
  21. This difference is because the actual wheel diameter was greater than that used as input to the Hasler system.
  22. This figure may be updated during the investigation.
  23. RISSB Glossary of Terms, viewed 30 March 2020 <www.rissb.com.au/glossary>
  24. DBK6 and DBK18 were at a similar km location at Donnybrook, servicing the West Line and East Line respectively.
  25. KME4 and KME16 were at the same km location at Kilmore East, servicing the West Line and East Line respectively.
  26. Utilising manual operation and clipping of the points.
  27. The number of passengers on board at the time of the derailment may be updated during the investigation.
  28. Injury data may be updated during the investigation.

Occurrence summary

Investigation number RO-2020-002
Occurrence date 20/02/2020
Location Wallan
State Victoria
Report release date 09/08/2023
Report status Final
Investigation level Systemic
Investigation type Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Rail
Rail occurrence category Derailment
Occurrence class Accident
Highest injury level Fatal

Train details

Train operator NSW TrainLink
Train number ST23
Type of operation Passenger Service
Departure point Sydney, New South Wales
Destination Melbourne, Victoria
Train damage Substantial

Operational non-compliance involving Airbus A380, 9V-SKQ, near Sydney Airport, New South Wales, on 9 February 2020

Final report

Report release date: 07/04/2021

Safety summary

What happened

On 9 February 2020, an Airbus A380 aircraft, registered 9V-SKQ was being operated by Singapore Airlines on a scheduled passenger service from Singapore to Sydney, New South Wales.

During the approach to runway 16 right at Sydney, the aircraft encountered windshear and in response, the flight crew commenced the windshear recovery procedure and missed approach. During this time, air traffic control (ATC) instructed the flight crew to turn right onto a heading of 270°. The flight crew read back the heading, however, did not include the direction of the turn. Air traffic control did not correct the incomplete readback and the flight crew commenced turning the aircraft left instead of right.

Air traffic control issued a safety alert to the flight crew, advised them of a Bombardier DHC-8 aircraft about 6 NM (11 km) on final for runway 16 left, and instructed them to turn right and climb immediately. Air traffic control then instructed the flight crew of the DHC-8 to make a right turn in order to maintain separation with the A380. This resulted in a loss of separation between the DHC-8 and a Boeing 737 aircraft on approach to runway 16 right.

What the ATSB found

The ATSB found that the flight crew were likely experiencing high workload as a result of conducting the windshear recovery and published missed approach procedure. This, in combination with an expectation that they would be turning left, contributed to them mishearing the ATC instruction to turn right. As a result, the aircraft was turned left. In addition, the flight crew omitted information from their readback and ATC did not correct the flight crew’s incomplete readback, which was a missed opportunity to correct the misheard instruction.

What has been done as a result

Singapore Airlines issued a notice to flight crew, highlighting strategies to manage high workload situations, as well as reiterating the importance of correct readbacks and acknowledgement from ATC.

Safety message

Compliance with ATC published procedures, such as readback procedures, provides assurance that instructions are correctly understood, which is especially important during high workload periods and/or in times of high traffic density. This incident highlights the importance of flight crew completing full readbacks, as well as controllers correcting any readback discrepancies immediately. The ATSB’s aviation research and analysis report Radiotelephony Readback Compliance and its Relationship to Surface Movement Control Frequency Congestion (20060053) provides further information regarding readback compliance.

 

The investigation

Decisions regarding whether to conduct an investigation, and the scope of an investigation, are based on many factors, including the level of safety benefit likely to be obtained from an investigation. For this occurrence, a limited-scope investigation was conducted in order to produce a short investigation report, and allow for greater industry awareness of findings that affect safety and potential learning opportunities.

The occurrence

On the morning of 9 February 2020, an Airbus A380 aircraft, registered 9V-SKQ, was being operated by Singapore Airlines, on a scheduled passenger service from Singapore to Sydney, New South Wales. The captain was the pilot flying and the first officer (FO) was the pilot monitoring.[1] Prior to, and during the flight, the flight crew had noted the deteriorating weather conditions in Sydney and briefed on conducting a missed approach, following the published missed approach procedure.

On arrival at Sydney, the flight crew was cleared by air traffic control (ATC) for an instrument landing system[2] approach to runway 16 right (16R). At about 1122 Eastern Daylight-saving Time,[3] while on approach and descending through about 1,000 ft, the A380 encountered windshear. The flight crew actioned the windshear recovery procedure and in response, commenced a missed approach, which included applying take‑off/go‑around thrust, flaps extended and a rate of climb of 3,000 ft per minute. At 1123:00, the flight crew advised ATC that they were ‘going around due to windshear’. Air traffic control acknowledged the flight crew and at 1123:29, ATC instructed them to turn right onto a heading of 270° and to maintain 3,000 ft.

The FO gave an incomplete readback of the instruction, omitting the direction of the turn. Air traffic control did not correct the incomplete readback.

The flight crew believed that they heard ATC instruct them to turn left. They were also expecting ATC to issue instructions to turn left, once they had completed the published missed approach procedure, to avoid significant weather and aircraft traffic to the west of Sydney. The flight crew therefore commenced turning the aircraft left, crossing the approach path of the parallel runway (runway 16 left (16L)).

Air traffic control noticed the aircraft turning in the opposite direction to the instruction and 30 seconds after issuing the turn instruction, queried the flight crew as to whether the aircraft was turning right. The FO responded that the aircraft was not turning right. During this time, ATC had continuous communications with another aircraft. At 1124:17, ATC instructed the flight crew to turn the aircraft onto a heading of 060° and 19 seconds later, issued a safety alert. The safety alert advised the flight crew about a Bombardier DHC-8 aircraft in their 12 o’clock position,[4] bout 6 NM (11 km) away and on approach to runway 16L. At 1124:40, ATC instructed the flight crew of the DHC-8 to make a right turn in order to maintain separation with the A380. This subsequently resulted in a loss of separation [5] between the DHC-8 and a Boeing 737 aircraft on approach to runway 16R. The minimum distance between the two aircraft reduced to 2.6 NM (4.8 km) laterally and 1,300 ft vertically. Figure 1 shows the representative aircraft tracks at the time of the incident.

Figure 1: Aircraft tracks at the time of incident

Figure 1: Aircraft tracks at the time of incident

Source: Google Earth, modified by the ATSB

Context

Weather

The Sydney Airport automatic terminal information service [6] issued at 1118 and current at the time of the incident, reported wind from an east-south-easterly direction at 20-40 kt, with a maximum crosswind of 29 kt. There was rain present, and a warning for windshear and turbulence on final approach was also current. A previous automatic terminal information service stated that severe windshear had been reported on final approach for runway 16R by the flight crew of another aircraft.

The Bureau of Meteorology[7] defines windshear as ‘a wind direction and/or speed change over a vertical or horizontal distance. It is significant when it causes changes to an aircraft’s headwind or tailwind such that the aircraft is abruptly displaced from its intended flight path and substantial control action is required to correct it’. Although windshear can occur at any level, windshear below 2,000 ft can be particularly problematic to aircraft approaching stall [8] speeds, predominantly seen in the take-off, initial climb, approach or landing phases of flight. This is even more so the case in larger jets, where there is a significant lag between applying and achieving thrust.

Aircraft operations

Published missed approach procedure

A missed approach procedure is to be followed if an approach to land cannot safely continue. It specifies a point where the missed approach begins, and a point or an altitude where it ends. In this case, the missed approach procedure was to initially track on a heading of 155°, when at 600 ft above mean sea level turn right onto a track of 170° and climb to 3,000 ft, or as directed by ATC.

Windshear recovery procedure

A windshear recovery procedure is an operational abnormal manoeuvre used by flight crew to escape a windshear encounter. The Singapore Airlines recovery procedure involved applying take-off/go-around thrust and following the speed reference system until the aircraft was clear of windshear. Such manoeuvres are high in workload due to their dynamic nature, increasing an already high workload of the approach phase of flight.

Air traffic services

Summary of radio calls

The table below (Table 1) summarises the radio calls made by the flight crew of 9V-SKQ (Singapore 231) and ATC.

Table 1: Summary of radio calls

Time (local)CallerSummary
1123:00Singapore 231Singapore 231 communicate they are going around due to windshear
1123:02ATCATC acknowledge the intentions of Singapore 231
1123:29ATCATC instruct Singapore 231 turn right on a heading of 270°, maintaining 3,000 ft
1123:36Singapore 231Singapore 231 reads back the heading and altitude, but omits the direction of the turn
1123:41ATC/Other aircraftContinuous communications between ATC and another aircraft
1123:59ATCATC contact Singapore 231 to confirm turning right on a heading of 270°
1124:03Singapore 231Singapore 231 respond ‘ah negative’
1124:12Singapore 231Singapore 231 request heading from ATC
1124:17ATCATC instruct Singapore 231 to continue flying on a heading of 060°
1124:24Singapore 231Singapore 231 confirm heading
1124:36ATCATC issue ‘safety alert’, advising Singapore 231 of traffic on final and issue instructions to turn immediately on a heading of 060°
1124:45Singapore 231Singapore 231 confirm turning immediately
1124:51ATCATC instructs Singapore 231 to climb immediately to 5,000 ft
1124:55Singapore 231Singapore 231 confirm 5,000 ft
Readbacks

A readback is a procedure whereby the receiver of a message repeats the message or an appropriate part thereof back to the transmitter, in order to obtain confirmation of correct reception and compliance. In aviation, flight crew are required to read back to ATC, safety-related parts of ATC clearances and instructions that are transmitted by voice. These items include, but are not limited to, altitude, direction of turn, heading and speed instructions. Specifically, the Airservices Australia Aeronautical Information Publication, section GEN 4.4, stated that this should include level instructions, direction of turn, heading and speed instructions. In response, the controller will listen to the readback to ascertain that the clearance or instruction has been correctly acknowledged and will take immediate action to correct any discrepancies revealed by the readback.

Safety alert

The Airservices Australia and Department of Defence Manual of Air Traffic Services stated that, ATC will issue a safety alert to flight crew when they become aware that an aircraft is in a position that is considered to place it in unsafe proximity to other aircraft. This is to notify pilots of information that is of a time-sensitive and safety-critical nature. It is important pilots understand the critical nature of these instructions and respond in a timely manner to ensure the safe conduct of flight.

Separation standards

Separation standards are used by ATC to manage air traffic safely. They refer to the minimum horizontal and/or vertical distance, or time apart, that aircraft operating in controlled airspace must maintain. When the separation between two or more aircraft is less than the standard, there is a loss of separation event.

A surveillance separation standard is used when aircraft position information is derived from air traffic services’ surveillance systems (including radar). The Manual of Air Traffic Services stated that, for two aircraft on independent parallel visual approaches, the required separation was 3 NM (5.6 km) horizontally or 1,000 ft vertically. However, Airservices Australia advised that, in accordance with section 9.7.5.2 of the manual, when determining whether an aircraft has passed a level on descent, a 400 ft tolerance was required to be made to the aircraft’s altitude shown on the controller’s situation display. Based on the 400 ft tolerance, a loss of separation occurred when the Boeing 737 and DHC-8 were within 3 NM laterally and less than 1,400 ft vertically.     

Analysis

Workload and misheard instruction

Workload is considered to be ‘the relation between the function relating the mental resources demanded by a task and those resources supplied by the human operator’.[9] Considering the amount of information flight crew can deal with at any one time is limited, particularly during high workload phases of flight, it is possible to exceed individual processing capacity,[10] increasing the risk of errors.

The approach phase of flight is associated with high workload for flight crew during normal operations. The flight crew of the A380 were experiencing a significantly higher level of workload than what is typically experienced during a normal approach, due to the weather and conducting a windshear recovery procedure, following the published missed approach procedure for runway 16R at Sydney. This involved managing a high-energy aircraft state, which included applying take‑off/go‑around thrust, flaps extended, and a rate of climb of 3,000 ft per minute. In addition, the published missed approach requirement for runway 16R at Sydney to level off at 3,000 ft, requiring the flight crew to the reconfigure the aircraft in under a minute. The flight crew also did not expect to receive an instruction from ATC before completing the published missed approach procedure and the instruction to turn right was contrary to their expectations. This, combined with significantly increased workload, likely contributed to them mishearing the ATC instruction.

Readbacks

The flight crew omitted the direction of the turn during readback of the ATC instruction and ATC did not correct the flight crew’s incomplete readback. An uncorrected, incomplete readback may lead to an unintended deviation from ATC instruction and may not be detected until the controller visually observes the deviation. In addition, the absence of ATC correcting a readback is perceived by most flight crews as an implicit confirmation of the readback.[11] Research suggests that ‘errors of omission largely associated with diverse aspects of concurrent task management, when not detected or corrected, are a major threat to aviation safety’.[12] In this incident, the incomplete readback by the flight crew and the absence of a readback correction by ATC was a missed opportunity to identify and correct the misheard instruction. This ultimately resulted in the flight crew turning the aircraft in the opposite direction to that instructed.

Findings

ATSB investigation report findings focus on safety factors (that is, events and conditions that increase risk). Safety factors include ‘contributing factors’ and ‘other factors that increased risk’ (that is, factors that did not meet the definition of a contributing factor for this occurrence but were still considered important to include in the report for the purpose of increasing awareness and enhancing safety). In addition, ‘other findings’ may be included to provide important information about topics other than safety factors. 

These findings should not be read as apportioning blame or liability to any particular organisation or individual.

From the evidence available, the following findings are made with respect to the operational non‑compliance involving an Airbus A380 aircraft, registered 9V-SKQ, on 9 February 2020.

Contributing factors

  • The flight crew misheard an air traffic control turn instruction, likely due to a combination of the high cockpit workload associated with the missed approach and their expected turn direction.
  • The flight crew omitted the direction of the turn during the readback, which was not corrected by air traffic control. The absence of the readback correction by air traffic control, combined with the misheard turn instruction, resulted in the aircraft being turned in the wrong direction.

Safety actions

Whether or not the ATSB identifies safety issues in the course of an investigation, relevant organisations may proactively initiate safety action in order to reduce their safety risk. All of the directly involved parties are invited to provide submissions to this draft report. As part of that process, each organisation is asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they have carried out to reduce the risk associated with this type of occurrences in the future.

Singapore Airlines

After an internal investigation into the incident, Singapore Airlines issued a notice to flight crew, highlighting strategies to manage high workload situations, as well as reiterating the importance of correct readbacks and acknowledgement from ATC.

Sources and submissions

Submissions

The sources of information during the investigation included the:

  • Singapore Airlines
  • Airservices Australia.

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information 

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2021

image_5.png

Ownership of intellectual property rights in this publication

Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this report publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia.

Creative Commons licence

With the exception of the Coat of Arms, ATSB logo, and photos and graphics in which a third party holds copyright, this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia licence.

Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided that you attribute the work.

The ATSB’s preference is that you attribute this publication (and any material sourced from it) using the following wording: Source: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

Copyright in material obtained from other agencies, private individuals or organisations, belongs to those agencies, individuals or organisations. Where you wish to use their material, you will need to contact them directly.

__________

  1. Pilot flying (PF) and pilot monitoring (PM) are procedurally assigned roles with specifically assigned duties at specific stages of a flight. The PF does most of the flying, except in defined circumstances, such as planning for upcoming stages of the flight. The PM carries out support duties and monitors the PF’s actions and the aircraft’s flight path.
  2. A precision instrument approach system, which normally consist of the following electronic components: VHF localiser, UHF glideslope, VHF marker beacons.
  3. Eastern Daylight-saving Time (EDT): Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) + 11 hours.
  4. The clock code is used to denote the direction of an aircraft or surface feature relative to the current heading of the observer’s aircraft, expressed in terms of position on an analogue clock face. Twelve o’clock is ahead while an aircraft observed abeam to the left would be said to be at 9 o’clock.
  5. An occurrence in which the spacing between two or more aircraft is less than prescribed separation minima in airspace where the aircraft is subject to an air traffic service.
  6. The provision of current, routine information to arriving and departing aircraft by means of continuous and repetitive broadcasts during the hours when the unit responsible for the service is in operation.
  7. Bureau of Meteorology (2014). Hazardous Weather Phenomena Windshear.
  8. Occurs when airflow separates from the wing’s upper surface and becomes turbulent. A stall occurs at high angles of attack, typically 16° to 18°, and results in reduced lift.
  9. Parasuraman, R., Sheridan, T. B., & Wickens, C. D. (2008). Situation Awareness, Mental Workload, and Trust in Automation: Viable, Empirically Supported Cognitive Engineering Constructs. Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making, 2(2), 140–160. https://doi.org/10.1518/155534308X284417.
  10. Civil Aviation Safety Authority (2006). Civil Aviation Advisory Publication Navigation using Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) (CAAP 179A-1(1))
  11. Eurocontrol (2006) European Action Plan for Air Ground Communications Safety Edition 1.
  12. Loukopoulos, L. D., Dismukes, K., & Barshi, I. (2009). The multitasking myth: Handling complexity in real-world operations. Farnham, England: Ashgate Pub. Ltd.

Occurrence summary

Investigation number AO-2020-011
Occurrence date 09/02/2020
Location Sydney Airport
State New South Wales
Report release date 07/04/2021
Report status Final
Investigation level Short
Investigation type Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Aviation
Aviation occurrence category Operational non-compliance
Occurrence class Incident
Highest injury level None

Aircraft details

Manufacturer Airbus
Model A380-841
Registration 9V-SKQ
Serial number 79
Aircraft operator Singapore Airlines
Sector Jet
Operation type Air Transport High Capacity
Departure point Changi, Singapore
Destination Sydney Airport, New South Wales
Damage Nil

Derailment of freight train 4MC2 and subsequent impact with passenger train 8630, at Barnawartha, Victoria, on 29 January 2020

Final report

Report release date: 22/04/2025

Investigation summary

What happened

On 29 January 2020, Pacific National freight train 4MC2 was approaching Barnawartha in northern Victoria when several wagons derailed and the train parted into 3 sections. It had been traveling toward Albury, New South Wales on the interstate rail network managed by the Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC). 

The front section, which included 3 derailed wagons, continued until V/Line passenger train 8630 became visible, approaching from the opposite direction, traveling on the adjacent track. The drivers of the freight train reported that they observed a brake pipe airflow indication at about the same time as the passenger train came into view and their train had begun slowing. The driver of the passenger train observed dust ahead and the approaching freight train and responded by applying the brake on their train.

The trains could not be stopped prior to passing which resulted in passenger train 8630 impacting a shipping container on a derailed wagon of 4MC2, sustaining minor damage. There were no injuries to passengers or crew. The passenger train stopped about 50 m short of another container that had fallen from the freight train and was obstructing both tracks.

What the ATSB found

Mid-consist wagons of freight train 4MC2 derailed in response to the geometry of the track. A vertical track geometry defect was present immediately prior to the derailment location and a lateral track misalignment probably formed under train 4MC2.

The vertical track geometry defect was associated with a mud hole. The defect was not identified in the exceedance report generated from ARTC code of practice criteria due to track geometry being assessed against incorrect limits. When assessed against the correct limits, the geometry exceeded defect levels and required a maintenance response. 

A lateral misalignment was present in the track following the derailment although not prior to the passage of the train. The most likely scenario is that a lateral misalignment formed under the train. However, the factors contributing to this probable misalignment could not be fully determined. The extent that rail stress condition may have contributed could not be assessed as ARTC was not monitoring rail stress at this location. 

ARTC was applying a system for reducing the risk of track misalignment. This system and its associated procedures did not lead to locations at or adjacent to the derailment being identified as special locations potentially vulnerable to track instability.

What has been done as a result

ARTC has made several changes to procedures and standards relating to track misalignment, track geometry defects and mud hole management. These safety actions seek to improve ARTC’s capacity to identify locations that may become vulnerable to track instability. In addition, ARTC has undertaken to review available technology to improve its stress‑free temperature testing capability. ARTC has also changed its processes relating to the selection of track speed used to set the appropriate limits for track geometry assessment.

Safety message

This and other occurrences highlight the potential roles of track geometry and instability in derailment. Track managers are encouraged to ensure standards and processes are effective at identifying and rectifying geometry and stability issues to ensure derailment risk is managed. 

 

The occurrence

Introduction

On 29 January 2020, Pacific National freight train 4MC2 was operating on the standard gauge interstate rail network traveling from Melbourne, Victoria to Griffith (via Cootamundra), New South Wales. It had departed Melbourne at 1355 and passed through Wangaratta, Victoria at about 1716 travelling towards Albury, New South Wales (Figure 1). On the same afternoon, V/Line passenger train 8630 departed Albury at 1720 travelling to Melbourne.

Figure 1: Freight train route from Wangaratta (Victoria) to Albury (NSW)

Figure 1: Freight train route from Wangaratta (Victoria) to Albury (NSW)

Source: Google Earth, annotated by the Office of the Chief Investigator (OCI)

Derailment of freight train 4MC2

Train 4MC2 was operated by 2 drivers and consisted of 4 locomotives hauling 46 container wagons. From Wangaratta, 4MC2 was travelling on the East Track. At about 1740, it was approaching Barnawartha travelling on tangent (straight) track and descending a moderate downgrade. 

On the descent, the driver in control was managing the train’s speed between about 114 km/h and 117 km/h with a series of brake applications. Neither member of the locomotive crew recalled observing any track misalignment ahead of their train and front-of-train camera footage similarly did not show any signs of track misalignment. 

Several wagons of 4MC2 derailed commencing at about 277.8 track km.[1] The train parted into 3 sections: the locomotives and wagons 1 to 29 (front), wagons 30 to 40 (middle), and wagons 41 to 46 (rear). The trailing wagon in the rear section came to a stand about 120 m past the derailment location. A schematic of the sections of the separated freight train, derailed wagons and the passenger train is provided in Appendix A.

Figure 2: The middle and rear separated sections of freight train 4MC2

Figure 2: The middle and rear separated sections of freight train 4MC2

Source: ATSB

The locomotives with wagons 1 to 29 attached initially continued for over a kilometre. In this front section of the train, the trailing bogie of wagon 26 and the leading bogie of wagons 28 and 29 were derailed to the left in the direction of travel. It is likely that the trailing bogie of wagon 29 also derailed to the left before it then separated from its wagon at Frying Pan Creek bridge and the rear container from this wagon subsequently fell across both tracks (Figure 3).

Figure 3: Separated trailing bogie from wagon 29 and dislodged container in distance

Figure 3: Separated trailing bogie from wagon 29 and dislodged container in distance

Source: OCI

The locomotive drivers on 4MC2 reported that they were alerted to an issue by a brake pipe airflow indication. At about the same time they observed the approaching passenger train 8630. They recalled that they made attempts to contact the passenger train by radio.

Passenger train 8630 impact with derailed wagon of 4MC2

Train 8630 had departed Albury on schedule. The train consisted of an N-Class locomotive (N474) and 4 passenger cars. Train crew comprised 2 locomotive drivers and 2 conductors, and there were a reported 17 passengers on board. 

Approaching Barnawartha, train 8630 was travelling on the parallel West Track at about 104 km/h. The driver in control recalled observing dust ahead and then train 4MC2. They responded by applying the brake on their train at about 1742 and reported attempting to contact the freight train by radio. The driver estimated their train impacted one derailed container wagon at about 25 to 35 km/h. 

When both trains stopped, at about 1743, the container connected to the last wagon of the front section of 4MC2 was against the end carriage of 8630 and the fallen container was about 50 m in front of the locomotive (Figure 4). The impacted container did not penetrate the passenger compartment and there were no injuries. 

Communication was established between the trains, although it is not clear which communication attempt was ultimately successful, or when it occurred as the radio communication was not recorded. 

Figure 4: Train 8630 passenger car in contact with container of derailed wagon of 4MC2

Figure 4: Train 8630 passenger car in contact with container of derailed wagon of 4MC2

Source: ATSB

Context

Track information 

Overview

The derailment occurred within the Seymour to Albury section of the standard gauge interstate rail network managed by the Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC). In the area of the derailment, there were parallel tracks, referred to as the East and West Tracks, both bidirectional. Freight train 4MC2 was travelling on the East Track northbound towards Albury.

The maximum permitted train speeds in the area of the derailment were:[2]

  • 115 km/h for freight trains (with axle load up to 20 t)
  • 130 km/h for passenger trains (with axle load up to 19 t)

There were no Temporary Speed Restrictions (TSR) in force proximate to the derailment location, nor any speed restrictions activated due to heat.

The East Track, in the direction of travel for train 4MC2, leading up to and through the derailment area was tangent (straight) with a moderate downhill grade.[3] There was a turnout about 300 m prior to the derailment location and a 2,400 m radius curve to the left about 200 m beyond it. The curve was about 650 m long, after which the track was straight. There were no other significant track features near to the derailment location. 

Track construction

The East Track utilised continuously welded[4] 60 kg/m rail affixed to concrete sleepers with resilient fasteners. For track with concrete sleepers, ARTC used a nominal sleeper spacing of 667 mm.[5] The engineering code specified 300 mm wide ballast shoulders to either side of the sleeper and ballast height in line with the top of the sleeper (Figure 5Figure 6).[6] Ballast shoulders that conformed to these dimensions were considered ‘full’. Ballast provides support for the sleepers and distributes the loads from the sleepers to the formation to maintain track geometry under vertical, lateral and longitudinal loads.

Figure 5: Ballast shoulder dimensions

Figure 5: Ballast shoulder dimensions

Source: OCI

Track inspection

The track at the derailment location was inspected the day after the derailment. A mud hole was observed within about 10 m of track between 277.780 track km to about 277.790 track km where there was contamination of ballast, a loss of ballast between sleepers, and loss of ballast profile at sleeper ends (Figure 6). A lateral track misalignment was also present, beginning at about the same location as the northern extent of the mud hole (277.790 track km). The visible length of misaligned track was about 65 m although the full extent of the misalignment was likely obscured by subsequent damage from derailed wagons. The misalignment was predominantly toward the left in the direction of travel and the greatest measured lateral deviation was about 0.7 m. Several sets of witness marks from the passage of wheels were identified on the rail head in the section of misaligned track.

Figure 6: Overview of derailment area

Figure 6: Overview of derailment area

Source: ATSB, annotated by OCI

The witness marks consistently indicated that left wheels had ridden up and over the left rail (Figure 7). Related marks were also observed where the corresponding right wheels had dropped between the rails, and where both wheels began contacting sleepers. It was not possible to ascertain which marks were associated with the first derailed wheelset.

Figure 7: Witness mark from a wheel flange climb 

Figure 7: Witness mark from a wheel flange climb

Source: OCI

Within the length of the track misalignment, the ballast had been disturbed by sleeper movement and the impact of derailed wheels. Therefore, the condition of the ballast shoulder could not be assessed. Undisturbed track was inspected at about 277.770 track km. In this area sleeper ends were visible, suggesting that ballast shoulders were less than full (Figure 8).

Figure 8: Sleeper ends protruding from ballast (about 277.770 track km)

Figure 8: Sleeper ends protruding from ballast (about 277.770 track km)

Source: ATSB

Track condition monitoring

Track patrols and inspections

ARTC specified that track patrols were to be conducted every 7 days or as specified in a Track Maintenance Plan. Unscheduled inspections were also carried out in response to ‘defined or abnormal events’ and included those required at special locations where defects were more likely.

ARTC conducted a range of other general and detailed track inspections to monitor the condition of track infrastructure, ranging in frequency from 6 to 24 months. ARTC standards specified that a general inspection of track stability was required as temperatures started to increase after the cold season, normally the end of August, and as close as possible to, or in conjunction with, the ballast general inspection.

A mud hole had been identified during inspection and was recorded in ARTC’s Ellipse maintenance system. It was first identified in 2014 when it was 1 m long and was monitored intermittently through track inspection. The most recent update was on 8 February 2019, at which time the mud hole was listed as a P4 priority defect between 277.780 track km and 277.790 track km (10 m). A defect assigned a P4 priority was to be addressed within 12 months.[7] At the time of the derailment the defect was less than 2 weeks from exceeding this but had not yet been addressed.

Track geometry measurement

Background

The AK car inertial measurement system[8] was utilised by ARTC to measure track geometry without obstructing normal railroad operations. The AK car utilised various sensors to record the lateral and vertical position of the rails at locations along the track. The system processed the information to produce track geometry data for assessment against applicable limits.

ARTC’s Code of Practice (CoP) for track geometry[9] contained the limits applicable for track geometry measurements. It specified that measurements be conducted at least every 4 months by the geometry car (the AK car). The measurements were to be assessed against the CoP limits and the type, size and location of any defects recorded (defects referred to locations where measured track geometry exceeded the relevant limit).

An initial review identified that the measured vertical geometry contained significant variations around the derailment location. Other geometry parameters measured by the AK car were also reviewed but the maximum values proximate to the derailment location were well below CoP defect limits. In some cases, vertical geometry defects may result in elevated track twist.[10] However, that did not occur at the defect location. The vertical geometry values for both rails increased evenly, therefore, no significant twist was present.

Assessment of vertical geometry

Top is a term commonly used to describe variations in the vertical position of an individual rail. The CoP specified three different top parameters, 20 m inertial, Long 20 m chord and Short 4 m chord (Table 1). Notes accompanying the CoP indicated that only the 20 m inertial parameter was applicable to geometry measured by the AK car.

The maintenance response required when a defect level was exceeded changed depending on the speed permitted in a track section. The permitted speeds on this track section were 115 km/h for freight trains and 130 km/h for passenger trains. Therefore, the appropriate speed band reference for geometry limits and corresponding response categories was referred to in the CoP as the 115/160 (freight/passenger) band. This was the highest speed band listed by the CoP and correspondingly had the strictest requirements for defect response.

Table 1: Vertical geometry defect limits and maintenance response categories

Measured parameters in mm under loaded trackMax. speed (Freight/Passenger)
Top100/115115/160
20 m inertialLong 20 m chordShort 4 m chord
>42>90>23E1E1
40-4272-9020-23E1E1
36-3967-7117-19E1E1
33-3557-6615-16E2E1
29-3252-5613-14P1E2
27-2847-5111-12P2P1
24-2638-469-10NP2
Note: The information presented is an extract from the relevant table in the ARTC CoP. Parameters not relevant to the derailment have been removed. 

Where the measured geometry exceeded a limit, it was considered a defect and a response category was assigned that determined what response was required. The responses for each defect response category were provided in the CoP (Table 2).

Table 2: Defect response category and action

Response categoryInspectRepair
E1 (Emergency class 1)Prior to next trainPrior to next train
E2 (Emergency class 2)Within 2 hours or prior to the next train, whichever is greatestWithin 24 hours
P1 (Priority class 1)Within 24 hoursWithin 7 days
P2 (Priority class 2)Within 7 daysWithin 28 days
NNormal scheduled inspection regimeNormal scheduled inspection regime
Note: The information presented is an extract from the relevant table in the ARTC CoP.

ARTC provided 2 exceedance reports for a section of the East Track that included the derailment location. They were generated from track geometry data recorded on 9 October 2019. The exceedance reports identified locations where the measured geometry had exceeded the relevant limit and were therefore considered defects.

Geometry exceedance report 1

Exceedance report 1 was the result of an assessment of measured data against the CoP ‘20 m inertial’ limits. It did not identify any defects close to the identified derailment site (277.795 track km). Information contained within the report indicated that the measured geometry had been assessed against the 100/115 km/h speed band. However, the speed band that should have been applied in this assessment was 115/160 km/h, consistent with the permitted track speeds and as used in a previous assessment.

ARTC advised that the speed band used for assessment had been manually adjusted on the AK car in order to produce reports required for a track upgrade program.[11] This change was still in place when the assessment for geometry exceedance report 1 was undertaken, resulting in the wrong speed band being used.

ARTC also provided an extract from the measured data. It advised that the surface (top) parameter provided in the extract was directly comparable to the ‘Top 20 m inertial’ limits prescribed in the CoP. The local maximum values (at 277.792 track km) were 25.9 mm on the left rail and 24.3 mm on the right rail. Both values exceeded the P2 limit for the 115/160 km/h speed band and were therefore defects at the time of the measurement on 9 October 2019. The CoP required inspection within 7 days and repair within 28 days for a P2 level defect.

Geometry exceedance report 2

A second exceedance report identified a vertical geometry defect at about 277.792 track km. The report was an assessment of the measured data against a 6 m chord top criteria that was not listed in the CoP. ARTC advised that this criteria was to be actioned by local teams as agreed with their managers. Although the defect was recorded in ARTC’s Ellipse maintenance system, there were no records of actions taken in response.

Defect growth

ARTC provided an extract of measured vertical geometry data from the previous AK car measurement run that occurred on 12 June 2019. Local maxima were present at 277.792 km on both rails, albeit that these maxima were less than the lowest defect limit for the 115/160 speed band in the CoP.

The data from the 12 June 2019 measurement was compared to the 9 October 2019 measurement (Figure 9). The comparison showed consistent waveforms between the two sets of measurements and significant growth (38% on the left rail and 48% on the right rail) at the 277.792 km location.

Figure 9: Surface (top) deviation, between June and October 2019 measurements

Figure 9: Surface (top) deviation, between June and October 2019 measurements

 Source: ATSB, generated from ARTC data

The growth of the irregularity in the preceding 4 months (120 days) suggested that it was likely that the defect would have continued to grow in the subsequent period up to the occurrence date (113 days). However, the size of the defect at the time of the occurrence cannot be inferred from this as the growth rate is unlikely to be linear, instead dependent on several factors including prevailing weather and traffic density.

Other geometry standards

The measured vertical track geometry was assessed against the defect severity and maintenance response criteria of other track geometry standards. The standards assessed were:

  • Rail Industry Safety Standards Board (RISSB) AS 7635[12] 
  • RailCorp engineering manual TMC 203[13] 
  • V/Line network infrastructure standard NIST-2706.[14] 

Unlike the CoP, the 3 standards did not use an inertial measurement-based criteria. Instead, they prescribed defect limits for surface geometry irregularities using chord offset measurements. The length of the chord and the offset varied between the standards. 

The inertial vertical geometry measured on 9 October 2019 was reprocessed into the chord offsets relating to each standard. Each result was compared to the defect limit and maintenance response criteria of the applicable standard. Further detail is provided in Appendix B. In all cases this resulted in a defect at the 277.792 track km location with a required response that was more urgent than that required by the ARTC CoP (inspection within 7 days and repair within 28 days). The responses required by each standard are listed below:

  • The long chord criteria in AS 7635 required action (repair or further assessment) within 24 hours.
  • The short chord criteria in AS 7635 required action (repair or further assessment) prior to the passage of the next train.
  • The RailCorp standard required action (repair or further assessment) within 24 hours for both long and short chords.
  • The V/Line standard required an immediate speed restriction and repair within 7 days.

Since the derailment occurred, an updated (2023) version of RISSB AS 7635 has been issued. The new edition emphasised that the table of geometry limits was informative rather than a requirement of the standard. The standard suggests that infrastructure managers:

Should develop appropriate geometry defect limits and intervention thresholds that are appropriate for the class of traffic, infrastructure, configuration, and risk appetite.

Track lateral stability 

Introduction

Track lateral stability is the general term used to describe whether a track is sufficiently restrained against moving sideways under an applied load. The load may be applied in various ways, one significant source being by thermally induced stress in the rails. In ballasted track, the resistance to lateral movement is provided by the ballast, including the shoulder ballast at the ends of the sleepers. A track buckle[15] occurs when stress in the rail overcomes the track structures’ resistance to lateral movement. Therefore, managing track lateral stability involves both the management of rail stress, and the maintenance of track support structures that resist buckling, including ballast.

Rail stress and buckling resistance

Rail stress and stress‑free temperature

Steel rails expand when heated and contract when cooled. In the vertical and lateral directions these changes are small and without consequence. However, in the longitudinal direction, expansion and contraction of continuously welded rail (CWR) is restricted. Instead, changes in temperature cause stress within the rail. If the stress becomes excessive it can cause buckled rail (compressive stress when the temperature is high) or broken rail (tensile stress when the temperature is low). 

At a certain temperature the rail is neither in tension nor in compression, this is its stress‑free temperature (SFT). Rail stress is managed by controlling the temperature at which the rail is stress‑free. ARTC specified a rail SFT of 38°C in track with CWR. The SFT may change with time due to lateral, longitudinal and vertical movement of the track structure. Train forces such as braking and traction create longitudinal movements (creep) in the rail which may also change the in-service SFT (Kish and others 2013). 

The ARTC CoP specified that rail creep monitoring and control measures would not usually be necessary at locations with CWR, concrete sleepers and resilient fastenings. The CoP noted that this type of track structure was known to provide good resistance to longitudinal rail movements, but that ‘practices for the measurement of rail creep should be considered and take into account the influence of fixed points in the track’. There were no creep monitoring facilities through the Barnawartha location.

Changes in a rail SFT are not easily observed in CWR.[16] ARTC did not measure changes to the SFT in CWR affixed to concrete sleepers unless it was identified during inspection that there was a risk that the SFT may have lowered. When identified as being required, ARTC measured rail SFT using VERSE testing.[17] This testing involved unfastening 30 m of rail and lifting it by hydraulic jack. The force required to lift the rail, and the rail temperature at the time was used to calculate the SFT. ARTC had not conducted VERSE testing at the derailment location at any time since it had been rerailed (circa 2010-2011). Subsequently, the SFT of the rails at the time of the derailment and any change in SFT were unknown.

Buckling resistance (ballast)

The Code of Practice (CoP) for ballast[18] specified the required ballast profile, and the corrective action where it was deficient. The response code table notes[19] stated that ‘in concrete sleepers the responses apply where height and width deficiencies occur over 10 m or greater’.

The track proximate to the derailment had not been identified by ARTC as a location requiring ballast rectification. A mud hole was observed in post‑derailment inspections that included sections with deficient ballast (Figure 10). The mud hole was about 10 m long, sufficient length for the CoP to require a response due to ballast deficiency.

Figure 10: Extent of mud hole and light-coloured ballast

Figure 10: Extent of mud hole and light-coloured ballast

Source: ATSB

System for managing track lateral stability

Overview

The system ARTC used for managing track lateral stability was described across multiple documents. Relevant documents included:

  • the ARTC Code of Practice for track lateral stability 
  • related procedure ETM-06-08 – Managing track stability
  • reference document ETGN-06-01 – Track stability handbook

Code of Practice for track lateral stability

The Code of Practice (CoP) for track lateral stability[20] specified the design, maintenance, and inspection actions required in order to provide sufficient lateral stability of the track.

The only applicable design requirement was to install (or adjust) the rail at the target stress‑free temperature. There were no requirements for maintaining concrete sleepered track, though the CoP did suggest that measurement of rail creep should be considered.

The CoP requirements for inspection included:

  • identification of special locations
  • scheduled inspections
  • unscheduled inspection, including:
    • when a temperature threshold was exceeded
    • when a defect was suspected or reported
  • assessment and actions following inspection to verify the track’s capacity to provide adequate lateral stability

The CoP described reasons why track sections should be managed as special locations, including where:

  • reduced lateral stability had been identified (through inspection)
  • a history of lateral track instability existed.

The requirements for assessment and actions included that identified conditions affecting track stability were to be controlled with practices described in other sections of the CoP including ballast (Section 4) and track geometry (Section 5).

Procedure for managing track stability

A procedure for managing track stability[21] contained further requirements and related contextual information. It identified that maintenance of track stability required both management of buckling force (through management of rail stress) and buckling resistance (through maintenance of ballast profile). It described that management of buckling force involved monitoring of changes to stress‑free temperature. The guidance relating to management of buckling resistance focused on identification and assessment of failure or poor condition of components which impact on lateral resistance.

The procedure required a track stability management plan (TSMP) for ‘each section of track’. TSMP’s were to be reviewed at least twice annually (once prior to the onset of hot weather season and once after its conclusion). A TSMP was described as a concise plan of all activities associated with inspecting and managing track to ensure lateral stability that included:

  • requirements for managing buckling force
  • requirements for managing buckling resistance
  • a register of identified special locations.

The procedure described special locations as areas potentially vulnerable to instability, with a history of instability or where stress‑free temperature was suspect. It gave a list of examples that could be special locations that included areas with non-conforming ballast profile and mud holes. A separate list gave examples of mandatory special locations, it included sites with multiple concurrent initiator defects and sites that had previously buckled (where risk of further instability remained).

Information relating to inspection and assessment were contained in the procedure and were largely aligned with the CoP. Inspection to identify and assess localised initiators, including vertical geometry and pumping sleepers[22] (that occur at mud holes) was required at locations that had been identified as special locations. Though not required by either document, the CoP had indicated detailed inspection ‘may be necessary’ for sections of track where reduced lateral stability had been identified. The procedure described that detailed inspections could include measurement of stress‑free temperature or rail creep.

Track stability handbook

The track stability handbook[23] was referenced within the procedure for managing track stability and contained related guidance material. While the handbook addressed special locations, it did so in the context of things to do at identified special locations. It did not provide guidance on the identification of special locations.

The handbook identified that inspection and assessment of track with continuously welded rail, including measurement of stress‑free temperature, could reduce the likelihood of buckles occurring in the hotter months of the year.

Track stability management plan

A track stability management plan (TSMP) existed for the 2019–2020 high temperature season and was last reviewed in November 2019. The TSMP covered multiple track sections including a section of the East Track that contained the derailment location.

The list of stress‑free temperature test locations within the TSMP did not include any within 2 km of the derailment. Several included locations listed vertical geometry or mud holes as reasons for inclusion, but only where lateral geometry, ballast deficiency, or generic ‘rough track’ were also listed.

The TSMP identified that no creep measurements were planned ‘as there is no creep monuments currently installed’. This was justified on the basis that ‘there has been little or no evidence of creep found’ and that tracks ‘have been consolidated and been stable for several years… stress‑free temperature measurements are taken in suspect locations each year’.

With regard to ballast condition, the TSMP required locations with ballast deficiency to be monitored during track patrol for evidence of movement. It instructed inspectors to refer to the Ellipse defect management system for a list of ballast deficient locations. Although a 10 m mud hole had been recorded in the management system, the entry did not reference a ballast deficiency and it was not included in a list of ballast deficient locations provided by ARTC.

Several mud holes and ballast deficient locations were included on the special locations register associated with the TSMP. However, the mud hole proximate to the derailment location was not. The only locations listed with a vertical geometry defect had other defects in combination (e.g. vertical and lateral geometry together, or with an associated ballast deficiency).

Related inspections

Several inspections of the track were conducted in the 6 months prior to the derailment including:

  • inspection for conditions affecting stability (August 2019)
  • 3‑monthly mud hole inspection (October 2019)
  • a 40°C heat patrol inspection (November 2019)
  • a heat patrol inspection after three consecutive 38°C days (December 2019)
  • a front of train inspection (15 January 2020)
  • a track patrol (28 January 2020).

No inspections identified the derailment location as being vulnerable to track instability.

Train information

Freight train 4MC2

Train 4MC2 consisted of 4 locomotives and 46 wagons. The leading locomotive was NR71, followed by a G class locomotive, then 2 further NR class locomotives. 44 of the wagons were single platform container wagons each capable of carrying three 20 ft shipping containers. Wagons in positions 15 and 46 were multi-platform well wagons that had 5 wells each. Each well was able to carry two 20 ft shipping containers on this corridor.

Most wagons were lightly loaded, with axle loads between 5 t and 7.2 t. The wagons with higher loading were well in front of the first derailed wagon. The axle loading for 5 wagons either side of position 26 (the forward-most derailed wagon) was between 6.7 t and 7.2 t.

Empty or lightly‑loaded wagons positioned between fully‑loaded wagons within a train consist can increase derailment risk (ATSB 2020). However, as the wagons close to position 26 were all lightly‑loaded, the marshalling of wagons (their order) was unlikely to have contributed to this derailment.

Recorded information

Key events

Information from the event recorders on the leading locomotive of train 4MC2 and the locomotive of train 8630 was reviewed. A table of events in chronological order is provided in Appendix C. Key events included:

  • The driver of freight train 4MC2 briefly released and reapplied the dynamic brake as the train transitioned the derailment area. Observation of the train speed during this period suggests they were using the dynamic brake to control the train’s speed down a grade.
  • Wagon 26, the forward-most derailed wagon, transitioned the derailment location about 10 s before the first reduction in brake pipe air pressure, this was consistent with a loss of brake pipe air as a result of brake lines parting during the derailment.
  • In response to the speed of train 4MC2 decreasing, the driver of the freight train released the dynamic brake and applied the throttle in an effort to maintain speed.
  • The brake application on passenger train 8630 occurred at about 280 track km. This is before the location where 8630 and 4MC2 crossed and is consistent with the driver of 8630 applying the brakes promptly after observing dust from the freight train in the distance.

Freight train dynamic braking

The driver of train 4MC2 was utilising dynamic brake applications to control train speed on a descending grade. The dynamic brake slows only the locomotives, therefore when it is used, buff (compressive) force is induced between the locomotives and the trailing wagons slowing them in turn. In the vicinity of the derailment, the dynamic brake was released then reapplied 13 seconds later.

Repeated application and release of dynamic brake may contribute to in-train forces[24] that vary in magnitude along the length of the train. However, there was insufficient evidence to support this having contributed to the derailment.

Freight train emergency braking

When a brake pipe parts on a train the pressurised air rapidly vents. It is expected that this reduces brake pipe pressure and results in an automatic emergency brake application. However, in this instance the brake pipe pressure at the lead locomotive did not reduce sufficiently to cause an automatic brake application.[25] This was possibly due to the air volume available from the compressors and main reservoirs on all 4 locomotives being able to supply a sufficient volume of air into the brake pipe to maintain the pressure at the lead locomotive above the automatic brake application pressure while air was venting further along the train. This allowed the front section of the train to continue, and for the driver to apply traction power, after sections of the train and the brake pipe parted.

When the air brake system supplies air to the brake pipe, an airflow meter measures and displays to the driver the amount of airflow. However, the airflow measurement was not recorded by the NR class locomotive event recorder. Therefore, it was not possible to assess whether airflow into the brake pipe was the reason that an emergency brake application did not occur when the brake pipe parted in the derailment.

Wagon inspections

Overview

Wagons 26 and 28 were identified for further inspection. The inspected wagons used the ‘three‑piece’ bogie which is the standard freight bogie in Australia. It consists of 2 side frames and a bogie bolster spanning them. Two side bearers are located on the bogie bolster roughly half-way between the centre and each end. Side bearers provide a degree of control over wagon roll motion (side-to-side tilt) and bogie rotational movement. The inspected wagons utilised constant contact side bearers (CCSBs). As the name implies, when correctly configured, CCSBs are in contact with the wagon body at all times.

Wagon 26

Wagon 26 was found to be in good condition with no items identified that might have contributed to the derailment. There was no indication of improper maintenance, excessive wear or signs of hunting oscillation (cyclic lateral motion).

Wagon 28

The inspection of wagon 28 identified that there was a gap between the side bearer on the left side (in the direction of travel) and the wagon body of the leading bogie. Shims were missing from above the side bearer wear plate creating the gap. Missing side bearer shims could reduce the speed at which the wagon was susceptible to hunting. However, it was not determined whether the shim was missing before the derailment and other indicators of hunting were not present, such as wear on gib[26] contact surfaces (Figure 11).

Figure 11: Wagon 28 lead bogie gib condition

Figure 11: Wagon 28 lead bogie gib condition

Source: OCI

Environmental conditions

Around the time of the derailment, the air temperature measured at the Bureau of Meteorology weather station at Wangaratta, Victoria, was about 36°C. It was clear and dry with SSW wind speeds of around 17 km/h. It is probable that conditions at Barnawartha, located about 45 km from Wangaratta, were similar.

When exposed to direct sunlight rail reaches temperatures considerably higher than the ambient. Published literature suggests that rail temperature can be 50% above the air temperature in direct sunlight (Wu and others, 2010). Using this relationship and the ambient temperature recorded at Wangaratta, the rail temperature was probably about 54°C. This is 16°C above the nominal design stress‑free temperature. 

Similar occurrences

Several investigation reports have been published into occurrences relating to track lateral stability and vertical alignment on Australian railways. Key information from selected reports relevant to this occurrence, including other events on this corridor, is presented below:

On the ARTC network
  • Creighton, Victoria, 21 January 2019: Track lateral instability contributed to a lateral misalignment resulting in a derailment. Mud holes present at the derailment location reduced the track’s resistance to movement. Additionally, the investigation identified that ARTC’s systems for managing track lateral stability did not lead to the location being managed as a special location potentially vulnerable to instability (ATSB investigation RO-2019-003).
  • Locksley, Victoria, 12 February 2013: Track disturbing maintenance activities and a track structure that had reduced capacity to withstand lateral forces (due to ballast fouling) probably contributed to a track misalignment and subsequent derailment. Additionally, the investigation found that despite the location having characteristics consistent with the criteria for a ‘Special Location’ no action had been taken to manage the increased risk (ATSB investigation RO‑2013-006).
  • Ararat, Victoria, 28 November 2003: A small buckle became progressively worse as a train passed over it, resulting in the derailment of 2 wagons. Track disturbing works that had occurred a week prior had probably reduced the lateral resistance provided by the ballast and likely reduced the stress‑free temperature of the rail, although this was not monitored. Additionally, the investigation recommended that ARTC review track maintenance procedures to ensure track geometry and stress‑free temperature were within specified standards (ATSB investigation 2003-006).
On other networks
  • Duaringa, Queensland, 24 January 2018: The driver of a loaded coal train observed a track buckle form as their train approached. It subsequently derailed multiple wagons as it passed over the buckle. Several factors were identified that contributed to the buckle, including track disturbing works and local fixed points. The report also found that a Hazard Location Register was being used as a record of past occurrences rather than as a tool to proactively identify hazard locations (ATSB investigation RO-2018-005)
Summary of similar occurrences

Although each reviewed occurrence investigation report involved unique aspects, thematic similarities included:

  • the formation of lateral track misalignments under (or in one case immediately in front of) the passage of a train
  • locations not being identified on relevant hazard registers
  • track disturbing works occurring prior to the lateral track misalignment occurring 
  • an absence of stress‑free temperature monitoring.

Safety analysis

Introduction

Pacific National freight train 4MC2 was travelling north on the interstate rail network when it derailed at about 277.8 track km near Barnawartha in Victoria. The trailing bogie of wagon 26 was the forward-most derailed bogie. Several wagons behind this position completely or partially derailed and the train separated into three sections.

Initially, the front section of the freight train continued for over a kilometre before being slowed by its driver when alerted to an issue. Concurrently, passenger train 8630 was approaching Barnawartha from the opposite direction on a parallel track. The driver of 8630 observed dust and the headlights of 4MC2 and applied their train’s brakes in response. The trains came together at slowing speeds, with the passenger train impacting a container on derailed wagon 29 of the freight train.

This analysis discusses:

  • factors associated with the derailment of freight train 4MC2
  • management of track geometry
  • management of track lateral stability 
  • the passenger train collision with the derailed freight train.

Derailment of freight train 4MC2

Background

Post‑derailment inspection identified several locations of wheel flange climb over the rail head of the left rail in the direction of travel. Subsequent damage to sleepers was consistent with full wheelset derailment, the furthest south location identified was at 277.795 track km, about 5 m past an observed mud hole. The flange climb marks were consistent with the derailed states of wagons 26 (trailing bogie), 28 (leading bogie) and 29 (both bogies) being toward the left in the direction of travel. While it was not possible to conclusively determine which marks were associated with which wheel derailments, the observation of flange climb marks on the rail head indicate that the initial derailment was probably by the action of a flange climb. 

Flange climb occurs when lateral forces between the wheel and the rail exceed the capacity for vertical forces to restrain, either through excessive lateral force alone, or a combination of increased lateral force and reduced vertical force. 

The presence of wagon hunting was considered as it may affect wheel to rail forces. While higher speed generally increases the potential for hunting, and the derailed train was traveling at or near the maximum speed for this track, there was insufficient evidence to conclude that hunting was occurring in this case.

The features identified that could contribute to flange climb in this instance were:

  • the vertical geometry defect at 277.792 track km
  • the lateral track misalignment.
Derailment mechanism

Contribution of vertical track geometry defect

The vertical geometry defect was in close proximity (and prior) to the derailment location. When a wagon’s wheels pass over an upward vertical geometry defect at speed there is initially an increase in the vertical force between wheels and rails, above the static load value. The load then decreases to below the static force once the wheel is past the highest point of the track geometry defect. This may induce a vertical dynamic response of the wagon body, which in turn can cause further fluctuation in the vertical force between wheels and rails. Therefore, the vertical geometry defect contributed to locations of reduced vertical force in the vicinity where the derailment occurred.

There was no evidence identified that indicated that wheels passing over the vertical geometry defect contributed to an increased lateral force between wheel and rail. The recorded track geometry did not include significant lateral (when both rails move to one side) or twist (where one rail is higher than the other) defects present alongside the vertical defect to initiate lateral motion of the wagons. Therefore, the evidence did not suggest that the wagon transitioning the vertical track geometry defect was sufficient to initiate the derailment on its own but contributed by reducing the vertical force present between wheels and rails.

Contribution of lateral track misalignment

A lateral track misalignment was present after the derailment. It was not present in footage obtained from the forward-facing camera on train 4MC2. The misalignment therefore either occurred during the passage of the train or as a consequence of the derailment. Lateral track misalignments often occur under, and in response to, the passage of a train, as supported by the findings of previous occurrence investigation reports.

When a train is in normal straight running, there is a gap present between the wheel flanges and the side face of the rails. This and the guidance afforded by conical railway wheelsets (steering of the wheels) mean that small lateral misalignments of the rail are overcome without flange contact and large lateral forces. However, when the lateral misalignment is large, the wheel flange contacts the rail. Although other factors are involved, the magnitude of the resulting lateral force is related to the size of the misalignment.

As a lateral track misalignment forms under a train, it creates increasing lateral wheel to rail forces as it grows. It may also induce a lateral (roll) response of the wagon bodies which can contribute to further high lateral forces as well as affecting vertical force between the wheels and rails.

While it is possible that the lateral track misalignment formed as a consequence of the derailment, there was an absence of evidence of other mechanisms for generating lateral force or otherwise initiating the derailment. Therefore, it was probable that the lateral track misalignment formed under the passage of the train and contributed to the derailment by increasing the lateral force present between wheels and rails.

Examining possible causes of lateral track misalignment

Severe lateral track misalignments (commonly referred to as track buckles) occur when longitudinal compressive forces in the rails cause lateral buckling forces to exceed the restraint offered by the track structure. Managing the risk of lateral misalignment therefore requires both the management of longitudinal compressive forces in rails and the maintenance of track ballast that provides restraint.

The hot, sunny condition at the time of the derailment meant that it was almost certain that some longitudinal compressive force was present in the rails at the derailment location. However, the severity of the force and the increase in risk of lateral misalignment are not known as ARTC was not monitoring changes to the stress‑free temperature (SFT) of the rail at the derailment location.

ARTC’s procedure for managing track stability listed locations with increased risk of lateral instability, including locations with:

  • a history of instability
  • bunching points
  • areas with non-conforming ballast profile
  • track disturbing works (such as tamping)
  • localised initiators (including mud holes).

There was no recent history of instability in the vicinity of the lateral track misalignment or record of recent track disturbing works.

Rail bunching occurs when the rails move toward fixed points in the track, typically as a result of train braking and acceleration forces. Bunching results in rails having a reduced SFT. In such circumstances, higher than anticipated longitudinal compressive stresses occur during hot weather at bunching points, which increases the risk of track instability. Turnouts, road crossings and bridge decks are commonly identified as bunching points. The closest turnout was about 300 m south of the derailment and the closest bridge deck was 1075 m to the north, making them both unlikely to have contributed to the misalignment. The mud hole near the derailment was also unlikely to have been a bunching point relevant to this occurrence given the down grade of the track and the location of the buckle after the mud hole (in the direction of travel of train 4MC2). 

Although the mud hole was identified as having deficient (non-conforming) ballast profile, it did not shift laterally. It is possible that some of the section of track that moved laterally had less than full shoulder ballast, consistent with observations of track further south. However, this had not been recorded by ARTC as deficient prior to the derailment, nor was it to the extent of the deficiency present at the mud hole location.

ARTC described localised initiators as ‘additional conditions present that will increase the locations vulnerability to instability’. Track geometry defects and pumping sleepers (that occur at mud holes) were identified as potential localised initiators. However, the mud hole and track geometry defect present at the time of the derailment were at one end of the lateral track misalignment, rather than within the section that had substantially moved. It is therefore unclear whether these contributed to the initiation of lateral track misalignment in this case.

The high rail temperature on the day of the derailment did contribute to the probable lateral track misalignment, by inducing a level of compressive force in the rails. However, if the rails had the nominal SFT and were in track with normal levels of lateral stability, this increased temperature would not have been sufficient to induce misalignment on its own. Whether the SFT had reduced was not known and, of the factors that had been associated with increased risk of lateral instability, several were not present. The presence and contribution of other factors was not known. Therefore, the factors contributing to the track misalignment could not be comprehensively determined based on the available evidence.

Contributing factor

The dynamic motion of wagons as they transitioned a vertical track geometry defect and a probable lateral track misalignment led to the derailment of train 4MC2. The factors contributing to the probable lateral track misalignment could not be fully determined.

Train condition

Wagon 26 was the furthest forward in the train consist to have derailed, with the trailing bogie derailed to the left side in the direction of travel. Its position within the train suggested that it was probably the first wagon to derail. The wagon was inspected post-derailment and no indication of improper maintenance, excessive wear or signs of cyclic dynamic motion (hunting) that may have contributed to the derailment were observed.

The train consist indicated that this wagon was lightly loaded. Wagons adjacent to it were similarly loaded indicating that derailment risk due to in-train forces that exists for lightly loaded wagons adjacent to heavily loaded wagons was not present in this occurrence.

Track geometry

Mud hole

Ballast fouling, associated with a mud hole was present immediately before the derailment location, the northern extent was at 277.790 track km. The ballast profile in the area of the mud hole was deficient, with sleeper ends protruding, indicating that the track support was reduced.

A vertical geometry defect existed at 277.792 track km on both rails. The defect was within 2 m of the northern extent of the mud hole, which indicated that it was associated with the mud hole. The defect was a result of the track level within the mud hole being lower, then rising up at the defect location. The magnitude of the measured geometry rise had grown in 4 months preceding the October 2019 measurement and would have likely continued to grow up to the occurrence date.

Contributing factor

A mud hole resulted in a vertical track geometry defect and localised reduction in track support immediately prior to the derailment location.

Identification of vertical geometry defect

Vertical track geometry defects existed in both rails at 277.792 track km in October 2019 that exceeded ARTC’s P2 level. However, they were not included in the exceedance report generated for this date as it was based on an assessment against limits applicable for a lower speed track. Had this been detected, additional management would have been required as the ARTC CoP required that a P2 severity defect be inspected within 7 days and repaired within 28 days.   

A second exceedance report was generated from the track geometry recorded on the same day. It identified a defect at about 277.792 track km. However, this exceedance report was generated from an assessment against a parameter that was not listed in the CoP. There was no requirement for inspection or maintenance to be performed other than at the discretion of the maintenance team.

Contributing factor

ARTC did not identify and manage the vertical track geometry defect in accordance with its Code of Practice for track geometry. For the October 2019 measurement, track geometry was assessed against limits for the wrong speed band.

 

Comparison with other geometry standards

The measured vertical track geometry was evaluated against other standards. The standards chosen for assessment were the Australian Standard, New South Wales RailCorp standard, and Victorian V/Line standard. The standards used for assessment were those versions current at the time of the derailment. In all cases, the response required was more urgent than required by the ARTC CoP.

Based on the assessment of this defect, the limits prescribed in the CoP for inertial measurement permitted larger defects than comparable chord-based standards for vertical geometry defects. None of the standards provide a methodology detailing how their limit or response levels have been established, nor does the CoP.

A broader assessment of a large sample of possible and actual track recordings against objective safety criteria would be required to establish whether the limits and responses prescribed in the CoP provide a suitable level of safety. Such an assessment would be broadly aligned with the guidance offered by the 2023 update of the Australian Standard.

Other finding

For the track geometry that existed at 277.792 track km, ARTC’s Code of Practice for track geometry was less restrictive in managing vertical geometry than other comparable standards. The suitability of the limits and responses prescribed in the ARTC Code of Practice was not established.

Management of track lateral stability

ARTC’s system for managing track lateral stability was being applied at the time of the derailment. A track stability management plan had been created for the relevant track section. Inspections and stress‑free temperature measurements were occurring at identified special locations and additional general inspections were also occurring. However, no location at or adjacent to the location of the probable lateral track misalignment were identified as a special location or had stress‑free temperature measured. In other words, a location that was potentially vulnerable to track instability was not identified.

The proximity of the mud hole to the derailment appeared to provide the greatest opportunity for the location to be identified as a special location. It is unclear why the mud hole was not identified as a special location given that it had been recorded in ARTC’s maintenance system and had ballast deficiency. Other locations of mud holes and ballast deficiency were identified as special locations.

A vertical track geometry defect also provided an opportunity for identification as a special location. However, both the error that caused it not to be detected, and the lack of other examples of isolated vertical geometry defects (where no lateral defect, ballast deficiency or general rough track were present) being included as special locations, limited the likelihood of this mechanism being useful for the identification of a special location.

The inclusion of a location proximate to the derailment location on the special location register would not guarantee that lateral track misalignment would be prevented. However, it would have provided the opportunity to carry out stress‑free temperature measurement, providing information that was otherwise missing relating to the risk of track instability.

The investigation into a derailment at Creighton, Victoria in 2019 identified that ARTC’s systems for managing track lateral stability did not lead to the location being managed as a location potentially vulnerable to instability. Safety action taken by ARTC at the time did not include changes to improve the system’s ability to prospectively identify vulnerable locations.

Other factor that increased risk

ARTC’s systems for management of track lateral stability did not lead to identification of the location as a special location potentially vulnerable to track instability. (Safety issue)

Passenger train impact

At about the same time that the driver of freight train 4MC2 reported observing a brake pipe airflow indication, V/Line passenger train 8630 approached Barnawartha from the other direction, heading toward Melbourne on the West Track. The driver of 8630 applied the brakes promptly after observing dust from 4MC2 in the distance. Despite this, the distance remaining when the brake application occurred was less than the stopping distance required.

The drivers of both trains described attempting to provide advanced warning by radio to the opposing train. However, it is not clear which communication attempt was ultimately successful, or the exact timing of communication attempts, as the radio channel used was not recorded. It was consistently described that all communication attempts occurred after the trains were first in view of each other and the brake applied on the passenger train. In this scenario, radio communication would not have influenced the outcome as the brake application had already occurred.

The passenger train could not stop in time and impacted a shipping container on derailed wagon 29 of train 4MC2 at a low speed. The passenger train stopped about 50 m short of another container that had fallen from wagon 29 and was obstructing both tracks. There was very little opportunity for any further actions to reduce the risk to safety in this occurrence by stopping passenger train 8630 prior to collision.

Findings

ATSB investigation report findings focus on safety factors (that is, events and conditions that increase risk). Safety factors include ‘contributing factors’ and ‘other factors that increased risk’ (that is, factors that did not meet the definition of a contributing factor for this occurrence but were still considered important to include in the report for the purpose of increasing awareness and enhancing safety). In addition ‘other findings’ may be included to provide important information about topics other than safety factors. 

Safety issues are highlighted in bold to emphasise their importance. A safety issue is a safety factor that (a) can reasonably be regarded as having the potential to adversely affect the safety of future operations, and (b) is a characteristic of an organisation or a system, rather than a characteristic of a specific individual, or characteristic of an operating environment at a specific point in time.

These findings should not be read as apportioning blame or liability to any particular organisation or individual.

From the evidence available, the following findings are made with respect to the derailment of freight train 4MC2 and subsequent impact with passenger train 8630, at Barnawartha, Victoria on 29 January 2020. 

Contributing factors

  • The dynamic motion of wagons as they transitioned a vertical track geometry defect and a probable lateral track misalignment led to the derailment of train 4MC2. The factors contributing to the probable lateral track misalignment could not be fully determined.
  • A mud hole resulted in a vertical track geometry defect and localised reduction in track support immediately prior to the derailment location.
  • ARTC did not identify and manage the vertical track geometry defect in accordance with its Code of Practice for track geometry. For the October 2019 measurement, track geometry was assessed against limits for the wrong speed band.

Other factors that increased risk

  • ARTC’s systems for management of track lateral stability did not lead to identification of the location as a special location potentially vulnerable to track instability. (Safety issue)

Other findings

  • For the track geometry that existed at 277.792 track km, ARTC’s Code of Practice for track geometry was less restrictive in managing vertical geometry than other comparable standards. The suitability of the limits and responses prescribed in the ARTC Code of Practice was not established.

Safety issues and actions

Central to the ATSB’s investigation of transport safety matters is the early identification of safety issues. The ATSB expects relevant organisations will address all safety issues an investigation identifies. 

Depending on the level of risk of a safety issue, the extent of corrective action taken by the relevant organisation(s), or the desirability of directing a broad safety message to the Rail industry, the ATSB may issue a formal safety recommendation or safety advisory notice as part of the final report.

All directly involved parties were provided with a draft report and invited to provide submissions. As part of that process, each organisation was asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they had carried out or were planning to carry out in relation to each safety issue relevant to their organisation. 

Descriptions of each safety issue, and any associated safety recommendations, are detailed below. Click the link to read the full safety issue description, including the issue status and any safety action/s taken. Safety issues and actions are updated on this website when safety issue owners provide further information concerning the implementation of safety action.

Special location not identified

Safety issue number: RO-2020-001-SI-01

Safety issue description: ARTC’s systems for management of track lateral stability did not lead to identification of the location as a special location potentially vulnerable to track instability.

Safety action not associated with an identified safety issue

Whether or not the ATSB identifies safety issues in the course of an investigation, relevant organisations may proactively initiate safety action in order to reduce their safety risk. All of the directly involved parties are invited to provide submissions to this draft report. The ATSB has been advised of the following proactive safety action in response to this occurrence
Additional safety action taken by ARTC

ARTC has made several changes in response to this derailment including:

  • The Code of Practice for track geometry has been updated to include a 6 m chord top criteria in addition to the 20 m inertial criteria. If assessed against the 6 m chord criteria in the updated standard, the vertical geometry identified in this investigation would have been classified as an E2 level defect (requiring inspection within 2 hours and rectification within 24 hours, or a significant reduction in speed).
  • The mud hole management guideline has been updated to incorporate significant guidance on the identification, assessment and management of mud holes.
  • In response to the use of an incorrect speed band for geometry assessment, ARTC has changed its process regarding the creation of additional reports. This is now achieved as a post-process rather than changing the speed in configuration files used on the AK car. In addition, ARTC is transitioning to a process that automatically assigns speed bands based on a linear referencing system, removing the need for manual configuration of speeds and allowing cross-checking by AK car operators. The automatic assignment of speed bands has been implemented in South Australia, Western Australia and Victoria and is scheduled to be completed in New South Wales by December 2025.

Glossary

ARTCAustralian Rail Track Corporation
CCSBConstant contact side bearer
CoPThe ARTC Track and Civil Code of Practice. Comprised of sections related to specific topics. Sections referenced in this report include: Section 2 – Sleepers and fastenings, Section 4 – Ballast, Section 5 – Track geometry, Section 6 – Track lateral stability 
CWRContinuously welded rail
RISSBRail Industry Safety Standards Board
SFTStress‑free temperature
TSMPTrack stability management plan
TSRTemporary speed restriction

Sources and submissions

Sources of information

The sources of information during the investigation included:

  • Australian Rail Track Corporation 
  • Pacific National
  • V/Line
  • the drivers of both involved trains (4MC2 and 8630)
  • data from locomotive event recorders. 

References

  • ATSB. (2020). Derailment and collision between coal trains, Ravenan (25km from Muswellbrook), New South Wales, on 26 September 2018 (RO-2018-017)
  • Wu Y., Munro P., Rasul M.G., Khan M.M.K., A review of Recent Developments in Rail Temperature Prediction for use in Buckling Studies, RTSA Conference on Railway Engineering, Wellington, 2010
  • Kish A, Mui W, Track Buckling Research, John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Centre (U.S.) 2013., https://rosap.ntl.bts.gov/view/dot/11985.

Submissions

Under section 26 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003, the ATSB may provide a draft report, on a confidential basis, to any person whom the ATSB considers appropriate. That section allows a person receiving a draft report to make submissions to the ATSB about the draft report. 

A draft of this report was provided to directly involved parties and other relevant organisations. Submissions received were reviewed and, where considered appropriate, the text of the report was amended accordingly.

Appendices

Appendix A – Post derailment location of trains

Appendix A – Post derailment location of train

Appendix B – Comparison of standards for vertical geometry

Introduction

Maintenance response criteria for vertical geometry from the Rail Industry Safety Standards Board (RISSB) AS 7635, RailCorp Engineering Standard ESC 210 and the V/Line Network Infrastructure Standard NIST-2706 were compared with the criteria in the ARTC Code of Practice. 

The length of the chord and the offset used in evaluation (including whether it was symmetric or asymmetric) varied between the standards. The chord offsets[27] used by the selected standards were: 

  • 10 m / 1.8 m (AS 7635 and RailCorp)
  • 5 m / 2 m (AS 7635)
  • 6 m / 3 m (RailCorp)
  • 10 m / 5 m (V/Line)

As the limits nominated for vertical geometry (top) in the 3 standards relate to specific nominated chord lengths, these limits couldn’t be directly compared to ones used with other measurement systems.[28] While it is possible to calculate the geometry for one chord offset from a measurement using a different chord offset, some information is lost in this process meaning it may not closely reflect the results of a direct measurement. However, the inertial measurement generated by the AK car is an estimate of the ‘true’ vertical geometry. Therefore, chord offsets can be calculated from the inertial measurement data without loss of information (providing the chord is of a reasonable length). It is understood that ARTC used this method to generate their 6 m exceedance report.

Results

Results for the vertical geometry using each of the 4 chord offsets were generated from the inertial data provided for the measurement undertaken on 9 October 2019 (Figure B1) The calculation used ARTC supplied formulae. The results vary substantially from the inertial value.  

Figure B1: Comparison of vertical geometry results – Left rail

  Figure B1: Comparison of vertical geometry results – Left rail

Source: ATSB, generated from ARTC data

Results obtained using a symmetric chord offset (10 m / 5 m and 6 m / 3 m) are independent of orientation. In practice, when a real measurement system is used, the same result will be recorded regardless of the direction travelled over the defect. However, for the asymmetric chord offsets (10 m / 1.8 m and 5 m / 2 m) the recorded values are dependent on direction of travel. The orientation implied in the formulas ARTC provided was with the offset closer to the leading end of the chord (in direction of travel) and is therefore the orientation presented. 

The local maxima that occurred near the existing defect location at 277.792 track km were identified for each chord offset approximation. Table B1 presents the maximum value obtained for each rail and the corresponding defect response level based on the limits prescribed in the relevant standard. The defect response level may be different for each rail; when this occurred, the higher response was applied at the location.

Table B1: Summary of maximum value and corresponding response category

MethodLeft  (mm)Left (category)Right (mm)Right (category)Standard
Inertial25.9P224.3P2ARTC
10 m / 5 m33.7A-H32.3A-HV/Line[1] Class 2[2]
10 m / 5 m33.7A-H32.3A-HV/Line[1] Class 2M[2]
10 m / 1.8 m23.3E2 20.4P1 AS 7635 / RailCorp[3]
6 m / 3 m[4]29.4E228.2E2RailCorp
5 m / 2 m23.3E123E1AS7635
  1. V/Line standard uses different intervention levels to ARTC and the AS 7635. Where the ARTC and AS 7635 uses E1, E2, P1, P2 Limits, V/Line uses A (Priority) and B (General), and a subset of A: A-N (Normal) and A-H (High). The definition of required actions for A-N and A-H generally align with the P1 and E2 classes of AS 7635.
  2. V/Line standard uses different track class / permitted speed criteria to ARTC, RailCorp and AS 7635. Class 2 aligns with the maximum speed permitted for V/Line passenger trains on this corridor (115 km/ h). Class 2M aligns with the maximum speed permitted for any passenger trains on this corridor (130 km/h for the XPT). Both were assessed and, in this case, there was no difference in the fault level.
  3. RailCorp standard intervention levels are aligned with ARTC and the AS 7635 with an additional P3 limit. While there are differences between the defect magnitudes and intervention levels between AS 7635 and RailCorp standards, in this case they both resulted in the same response category.
  4. The RailCorp 6 m / 3 m chord is included despite being listed as a ‘manual’ limit as it is believed to be the origin of the ARTC AK car generated exceedance report for 6 m chord top.
Summary 

The method used for categorisation of responses varied between the standards. However, the response actions associated with the categories could be compared. The response categories and actions are listed below:

  • The ARTC standard categorised the vertical geometry as P2 level defects on both rails, requiring action in 28 days. 
  • The V/Line standard (class 2 and 2M) categorised the vertical geometry as class A-H defects for both rails, requiring immediate application of an 80 km/h speed restriction and repair within 7 days. 
  • The AS 7635 10 m / 1.8 m method categorised the vertical geometry as an E2 defect on the left rail and a P1 defect on the right rail. This required action within 24 hours and 7 days respectively or application of appropriate speed restrictions. 
  • The RailCorp standard 10 m / 1.8 m method categorised the vertical geometry as an E2 defect on the left rail and a P1 defect on the right rail. This required action within 24 hours and 7 days respectively or application of appropriate speed restrictions.  
  • The RailCorp standard 6 m / 3 m method categorised the vertical geometry as E2 defects on both rails, requiring action within 24 hours. 
  • The AS 7635 5 m / 2 m method categorised the vertical geometry as E1 defects on both rails, requiring action or application of appropriate speed restrictions prior to the passage of the next train. 

There is difference in the maintenance responses triggered by the same vertical geometry when assessed against the different standards. Assessment against the three chord-based standards (V/Line, RailCorp, and AS 7635) all resulted in a more urgent response than required by the ARTC CoP. Based on the assessment of this defect, the limits prescribed for the CoP permit larger defects than comparable chord-based standards for vertical geometry defects. 

Appendix C – Analysis of recorded information

Introduction 

Information recorded on the event recorders from the leading locomotive of train 4MC2 and the locomotive of train 8630 was reviewed. The times recorded on both were compared to times recorded for key events recorded by the ARTC signalling system. Corrections were applied to align the recordings. 

No correction was applied to the recorded speed or distance. All positions (track km values) were calculated based on the distance from the position that each train stopped relative to Havelock Street level crossing at 279.490 track km.

Table of events

Table C1 below provides contextual events identified from both trains in chronological order.

Table C1: Recorded events in chronological order

TrainTimeSpeed (km/h)Front of train  (track km)Wagon 26 (track km)Comment
863017:29:210299.350 Departs Wodonga 
4MC217:39:41115275.616274.947Initial dynamic brake application on approach to the derailment location
4MC217:40:49116277.800277.131Initial dynamic brake release and front of train 4MC2 closest to derailment location
4MC217:41:02116278.218277.549Second dynamic brake application
4MC217:41:03117278.251277.582Maximum speed
4MC217:41:10116278.478277.809Time when wagon 26 is closest to derailment location
4MC217:41:20111278.797278.128Brake pipe pressure reduced from 496 kPa to 489 kPa
4MC217:41:21112278.829278.160Second dynamic brake release
4MC217:41:27108279.012278.343Throttle on
863017:41:57104280.032 Brake pipe pressure decrease and brake cylinder pressure increase (likely brake applied by driver of 8630)
4MC217:42:0365279.870279.201Throttle off
863017:42:0988279.704 Power knock‑out switch activates, a likely indication that the brake application was an emergency application
4MC217:42:1054279.984279.315Locomotive brake pipe pressure decreases (from 475 kPa to 399 kPa within 2 seconds) and cylinder pressure rise (likely brake applied by driver of 4MC2)
4MC217:42:310280.143279.4744MC2 stops
863017:43:090279.269 8630 stops

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through: 

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

It is not a function of the ATSB to apportion blame or provide a means for determining liability. At the same time, an investigation report must include factual material of sufficient weight to support the analysis and findings. At all times the ATSB endeavours to balance the use of material that could imply adverse comment with the need to properly explain what happened, and why, in a fair and unbiased manner. The ATSB does not investigate for the purpose of taking administrative, regulatory or criminal action.

Terminology

An explanation of terminology used in ATSB investigation reports is available here. This includes terms such as occurrence, contributing factor, other factor that increased risk, and safety issue.

Publishing information

Released in accordance with section 25 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003

Published by: Australian Transport Safety Bureau

© Commonwealth of Australia 2025

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[1]      Track kilometre (track km): refers to the distance along a track from a known location. On the Victorian section of the Interstate Rail Network the 0 km reference is Southern Cross Station in Melbourne.

[2]      ARTC, Route access standard, D53 Albury – Somerton, Version 2

[3]      The track gradient was 1:137 from about 277.4 track km extending through the derailment area to 278.5 track km. Gradient and curve data from PASS Assets XBC Public Transport Victoria (PTV)

[4]      Continuously welded rail (CWR): Rail lengths welded end-to-end into strings greater than 400 m.

[5]      ARTC, Engineering (Track & Civil), Code of Practice, Section 2, Sleepers and fastenings, Version 2.0

[6]      ARTC, Engineering (Track & Civil), Code of Practice, Section 4, Ballast, Version 2.4

[7]      ARTC procedure EGP-10-01 Enterprise Asset Management System contained the definition for these priority codes.

[8]      Proprietary measurement system of Vista Instrumentation LLC

[9]      ARTC, Engineering (Track & Civil), Code of Practice, Section 5, Track Geometry, Version 2.12

[10]    Twist: the change in cross-level (the height difference between two rails) measured over a fixed distance. ARTC specify long (14 m) and short (2 m) twist measurement distances.

[11]    The North East Line upgrade was a project undertaken by ARTC to improve the rail line and passenger rail services between Melbourne and Albury. The project was to upgrade the track to a standard consistent with other regional long‑distance rail lines in Victoria.

[12]    RISSB AS 7635 Track Geometry – Appendix B (2013)

[13]    RailCorp Engineering Manual TMC 203 Track inspection – Chapter 5 (version 5.3 - 2013)

[14]    V/Line Network infrastructure standard NIST-2706 – Inspection and assessment: Track geometry. Attachments 2, 3 and 9 (Rev 3 – 2018)

[15]    Buckling is the sudden change of shape of an object when a critical load is exceeded. In the case of long slender beams, such as rails, buckling occurs when compressive force exceeds a critical value. For track, buckling is delayed beyond the critical value for the individual rails by the resistance forces exerted by the sleepers and ballast. 

[16]    By comparison, in jointed track, the expansion and contraction of rail can be observed and simple measurements taken at joints to estimate the stress condition of the rail at temperature extremes.

[17]    VERSE is a proprietary device used for non-destructively measuring the stress‑free temperature in rail.

[18]    ARTC, Engineering (Track & Civil), Code of Practice, Section 4, Ballast, Version 2.4

[19]    ARTC, Engineering (Track & Civil), Code of Practice, Section 4, Ballast, Version 2.4 - Note 2 relating to tables 4.3, 4.4 and 4.5.

[20]    ARTC, Engineering (Track & Civil), Code of Practice, Section 6, Track lateral stability Version 2.5

[21]    ARTC, Track & Civil, Procedure, ETM-06-08 - Managing track stability, Version 1.2

[22]    Pumping sleepers refers to sleepers that move up and down significantly more than intended when trains pass over. In locations where water is present (i.e. where drainage is not sufficient), this action can pump fine soil particles from the formation below up through the ballast to the surface. This is commonly observed where mud holes have formed. 

[23]    ARTC, Track & Civil, Guideline, ETN-06-01 - Track stability handbook, Version 1.

[24]    In-train force: forces propagated longitudinally along a train due to changes in relative speed and acceleration of adjacent locomotives and wagons. These forces occur during braking (run-in or buff), where the rear of the train may compress toward the front, or acceleration (run-out or draft), where the front stretches away from the rear of the train.

[25]    The brake pipe pressure was only recorded at the locomotives. It is likely that the brake pipe pressure did reduce sufficiently to apply the brakes in wagons further back in the front section (closer to the parted location).

[26]    Gibs are lugs on each end of a bolster which face a mating surface on each side frame. The space between these is a contact area between bolster and side frames that limits lateral movement of the bolster within the bogie side frames and inhibits bogie over-rotation.

[27]    The format used describes the chord first and then the offset, which is the distance of the measurement point from one end of the chord. For example: a 5 m / 2 m chord offset uses a 5 m chord, with the measurement point offset from one end of the chord by 2 m.

[28]    Note 2, Table 5-11 – Geometry Defects, ARTC Code of Practice, Track Geometry, Section 5, Version 2.12, reviewed 26 July 2019

Occurrence summary

Investigation number RO-2020-001
Occurrence date 29/01/2020
Location Barnawartha
State Victoria
Report release date 22/04/2025
Report status Final
Investigation level Systemic
Investigation type Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Rail
Rail occurrence category Collision, Derailment
Occurrence class Accident
Highest injury level None

Train details

Train operator Pacific National
Train number 4MC2
Type of operation Freight service
Rail vehicle sector Freight
Departure point Melbourne, Victoria
Destination Griffith, New South Wales
Train damage Substantial

Train details

Train operator V/Line
Train number 8630
Type of operation Passenger service
Departure point Albury, New South Wales
Destination Melbourne, Victoria
Train damage Minor

Technical Assistance to RAAus – Collision with terrain, Aeroprakt, A22 Foxbat, 24-4239, 111 km south-south-west of Isisford, Queensland, on 2 December 2019

Summary

On 2 December 2019, an Aeroprakt A22 Foxbat, recreational registration 24-4239, collided with terrain while conducting mustering 111 km SSW of Isisford, Queensland. The pilot sustained serious injuries.

In response to this accident, Recreational Aviation Australia (RAAus) commenced an investigation. As part of its investigations, RAAus requested technical assistance from the ATSB to download flight data from a Garmin GPS.

To protect the information supplied by RAAus to the ATSB and the ATSB's investigative work to assist RAAus, the ATSB initiated an investigation under the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003.

The ATSB has concluded the examinations of the Garmin GPS and has provided the results of that work to RAAus on 7 February 2020.

Any enquiries relating to the accident investigations should be directed to RAAus at: www.raa.asn.au

Occurrence summary

Investigation number AE-2020-009
Occurrence date 02/12/2019
Location 111 km SSW of Isisford
State Queensland
Report release date 11/02/2020
Report status Final
Investigation type External Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Aviation
Aviation occurrence category Collision with terrain
Occurrence class Accident
Highest injury level Serious

Aircraft details

Manufacturer Aeroprakt Ltd
Model A22 Foxbat
Registration 24-4239
Sector Piston
Operation type Aerial Work
Damage Substantial

Collision with water involving Textron Aviation Inc. (Cessna) 206, VH-AEE, near Happy Valley, Fraser Island, Queensland, on 29 January 2020

Final report

Report release date: 08/07/2021

Safety summary

What happened

At 1322 Eastern Standard Time, on 29 January 2020, a Cessna Aircraft Company U206G, registered VH-AEE and operated by Air Fraser Island with two pilots onboard, was being used for landing emergency procedure training on a beach aircraft landing area (ALA) on Fraser Island, Queensland.

Just after touching down, the aircraft veered significantly to the left, toward the sea. The training pilot took control of the aircraft and conducted a go-around. Once airborne it was identified that the rudder was jammed in the full‑left position and the pilot had to apply full opposite aileron to maintain control. The engine subsequently stopped and the aircraft collided with water. The pilots escaped the aircraft and swam to shore. The aircraft was destroyed.

What the ATSB found

The ATSB found that, following touchdown, a section of the nose landing gear attachment failed, resulting in the rudder becoming jammed in the full‑left position. Due to the aircraft’s significant deviation towards the water, a go-around was initiated. While there was only a short timeframe to make the decision to abort the landing, it resulted in flight over water with significantly reduced aircraft controllability that required uncoordinated flight control inputs to control the aircraft.

It was also identified that fuel starvation, due to either the uncoordinated flight or damage associated with the nose gear failure, led to the engine losing power at a height too low for recovery and the aircraft collided with water.

The ATSB also identified two safety issues associated with the Cessna 206 that, while not contributory to this accident, can lead to fatal consequences in the event of a ditching.

Firstly, the Cessna 206 procedure for ditching and forced landing stated that the flaps were to be extended to 40°. While that permitted the aircraft to land at a slower speed, it also significantly restricts emergency egress via the cargo door. However, there is no warning about that aspect in the ditching or forced landing pilot’s operating handbook emergency procedures.

In addition, the Cessna 206 with the cargo door does not meet the aircraft certification basis for the design of cabin exits, due to the complexity associated with opening the cargo door if it is blocked by the flaps. This significantly hampers emergency egress and has previously resulted in fatalities.

What has been done as a result

The ATSB has recommended that Textron Aviation take safety action to address the procedure for ditching and forced landing in the pilot operating handbook for the Cessna 206, to ensure pilots are aware that extending the flaps beyond 10° will significantly restrict emergency egress via the cargo door.

The ATSB also recommends that the United States Federal Aviation Administration and the Civil Aviation Safety Authority take safety action to address the certification basis for the design of the cargo door in the Cessna 206, as wing flap extension beyond 10° will block the forward portion of the rear double door, significantly hampering emergency egress. 

In addition, and as a result of this accident, the operator has changed their procedures to specify that during emergency procedure training on the beach, no non-company vehicles are permitted to operate within the runway complex. They have also reassessed the company hazard register and included brake failures.

Safety message

This occurrence highlights the issue of evacuation through the cargo door when the flaps are extended in the Cessna 206. Pilots should be aware that lowering the flaps will block this exit and significantly increase the difficulty of opening the door. Consequently, all passenger pre‑flight briefings should include a practical demonstration of how to open a partially‑obstructed cargo door. Additionally, in the event that a ditching is required, pilots should consider not extending the flaps.

Furthermore, in 2009, research by the Transport Safety Board of Canada found that in the previous 20 years, where an aircraft had collided with water, 70 per cent of fatalities were caused by drowning. That statistic reflects the inherently disorientating nature of underwater exit from an often-inverted aircraft.

Transport Canada released TP 2228E-18 (04/2003), an ‘underwater egress’ safety guide which was forwarded to all Canadian operators of passenger carrying operations operating on water. This guide was to be provided to passengers before flight to increase their likelihood of survival in the event of a ditching.

 

The occurrence

At 1322 Eastern Standard Time,[1] on 29 January 2020, a Cessna Aircraft Company[2] (Cessna) U206G aircraft, registered VH-AEE (AEE) and operated by Air Fraser Island, was being used for emergency procedure training at a beach aircraft landing area (ALA), south of Happy Valley, Fraser Island, Queensland (Figure 1). There were two pilots onboard, including a trainee pilot (trainee), who had just commenced flying with the company. The trainee was seated on the left and was flying the aircraft.

Figure 1: Accident location

Accident location

Source: Google Earth annotated by ATSB

The crew were simulating failure of the left main wheel brake during the landing phase. Just after the aircraft touched down, the trainee heard a snapping noise and the aircraft immediately veered left, towards the sea. The training pilot reported that, on taking control of the aircraft, their[3] rudder pedals were ‘lying on the floor’. However, there was no change in the aircraft’s pitch or bank attitude, as would be expected if a major component of the landing gear had failed.

The training pilot immediately applied full power to conduct a go-around. The aircraft lifted off just before the water’s edge and struck a number of waves as it began to climb. The trainee advised that full aileron deflection was required to keep the wings level. The aircraft continued to climb to a height where the training pilot felt comfortable. They then lowered the nose to gain airspeed and reduced the flap, one stage at a time, to 20˚. The training pilot advised that as the airspeed increased above 70 kt they encountered difficulties controlling the aircraft’s roll, despite having full aileron deflection, so they reduced the power to maintain around 65–70 kt. About 150 m from the shore, they turned the aircraft north to parallel the beach. At that stage, the aircraft was maintaining a height of 150–300 ft above the water.

Both pilots then began to troubleshoot the control issues and identified that the flaps had raised symmetrically, and the rudder was jammed and fully deflected to the left. That control position resulted in significant uncoordinated flight (sideslip) to maintain control of the aircraft.

The training pilot advised the trainee that they were going to land back on the beach however, a short time later, estimated to be about 1.5 minutes after commencement of the go‑around, the engine stopped. The trainee advised there was about 5–6 seconds before the aircraft contacted the water. The training pilot had time to lower the nose and change fuel tanks from the right to the left tank, but not enough time to attempt to restart the engine.

After hitting the water, the aircraft remained upright, and the cabin quickly began to fill with water. Both pilots undid their seatbelts and the trainee tried unsuccessfully to open the single front pilot door (see the section titled Emergency egress in the U206). When the door could not be opened, the training pilot climbed over the seats into the rear cabin, kicked the cargo door to force it open, and then tried unsuccessfully to locate the trainee pilot in the aircraft. The training pilot then exited the aircraft via the cargo door.

Once outside, the training pilot could not locate the trainee so they re-entered the aircraft, which was then three quarters submerged. As the trainee could not be located, they exited a second time taking hold of a life jacket as it floated past. During this time, the trainee had opened and climbed out the pilot door window.

The training pilot then observed the trainee on the other side of the aircraft and after making them swim around the aircraft, put the life jacket on them. The training pilot subsequently put their arm through the life jacket and they both started swimming back to shore. They were met by a paramedic from the Happy Valley ambulance station who had entered the water to assist them to shore. Both pilots suffered minor injuries and the aircraft was destroyed (Figure 2).

It was reported that the aircraft’s nosewheel leg was found on the beach on the afternoon of the accident, approximately half-way between where the go‑around commenced and where the aircraft collided with water. The aircraft, without the engine, washed up on the beach the morning after the accident. At the time of writing, the engine had not been recovered (Figure 2).

Figure 2: VH-AEE on the beach at Fraser Island

VH-AEE on the beach at Fraser Island

Source: Operator

__________

  1. Eastern Standard Time (EST): Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) + 10 hours.
  2. The current type certificate holder is Textron Aviation.
  3. Gender-neutral plural pronouns are used throughout the report to refer to an individual (i.e. they, them and their)

Context

Flight crew

The training pilot held a Commercial Pilot (Aeroplane) Licence with a Class 1 Aviation Medical Certificate. They had accrued over 10,200 hours of which around 5,000 hours were accumulated in the Cessna 206. At the time of the accident, they had been awake for around nine hours and advised feeling ‘fine’ on the day.

The trainee held a Commercial Pilot (Aeroplane) Licence with a Class 1 Aviation Medical Certificate. They had accrued around 500 hours flying. At the time of the accident, they had been awake for about nine hours and had self-assessed their fatigue level at ‘2: very lively’.[4]They advised that as part of their training they had completed the theory section of the emergency procedures training detailed in Civil Aviation Orders 20.11. They had previously been operating as a ground crew member on Fraser Island for the operator for several months and were proficient in the emergency procedure briefing for the aircraft and the use of life jackets.

Aircraft information

General details

The Cessna U206G is a single engine, six seat, high wing aircraft with fixed undercarriage. It is powered by a Teledyne-Continental Motors six-cylinder, horizontally opposed, fuel-injected piston engine with a constant speed propeller. The aircraft had modifications to improve the short take‑off and landing (STOL) capabilities.

AEE was manufactured in the United States in 1979 and first registered in Australia in the same year. The aircraft was maintained in accordance with the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA) maintenance schedule, which required a periodic inspection every 100 hours or twelve months, whichever came first. It had undergone a periodic inspection on the 14 January 2020 and had a valid maintenance release. At the time of this inspection, the aircraft had accumulated about 13,725 hours in service. The operator advised they had purchased the aircraft two weeks prior to the occurrence.

Fuel system

The fuel system consists of left and right wing-mounted fuel tanks, which feed into separate fuel reservoir tanks. The pilot uses the fuel selector to select fuel from either the left or right reservoir tank. The fuel then passes from the selected reservoir tank into the engine through an auxiliary fuel pump, fuel strainer, engine driven fuel pump and fuel control unit.

The pilot operating handbook stated that, with a quarter tank or less, ‘prolonged uncoordinated flight such as slips or skids can uncover the fuel tank outlets, causing fuel starvation and engine stoppage’. This can occur with uncoordinated flight in excess of one minute.

The pilots reported they had departed Sunshine Coast Airport that morning with full fuel tanks. The trainee reported they had conducted approximately 1.5 hours flying before arriving at Hervey Bay Airport. The training pilot advised they had departed Hervey Bay Airport at approximately 1200. The accident occurred at approximately 1322. The training pilot reported that they had been changing fuel tanks every half hour. While the specific amount of fuel at the time of the accident could not be determined, based on the described flight sequences it is likely that each tank was about one third full.

Weight and balance

The aircraft was within the weight and balance limits at all stages of the flight.

Steering and brake system

The rudder pedals of both control positions are interconnected by torque tubes. The nose wheel steering system links the rudder pedals to the nose wheel steering arm, through a spring‑loaded steering bungee. This allows steering control on the ground using the rudder pedals and brakes. The steering bungee limits the turning of the nose wheel to 15-20°. Additionally, the nose wheel is locked straight ahead when there is no weight on the wheel.

The rudder system is also connected to the rudder pedals through the torque tubes. The torque tubes connect directly to the rudder via cables, and to a steering bellcrank, via pushrods, to form a closed loop system.

The brake system consists of a single disc, which has a hydraulically actuated brake, on each main landing gear wheel. The brake is operated by pressing the top of the rudder pedal. The right‑seat brakes are connected to the left-seat brakes by torque tubes located inside the rudder pedal torque tubes. Hence, applying the right brake on the right-seat pedal moves the right brake on the left-seat pedal, which then actuates the right brake master cylinder.

Stowable right-side pedals were an option on some models however, AEE had standard rudder pedals installed.

Damage to aircraft during accident sequence

While the ATSB did not attend the accident site, a review of supplied images identified the following damage to the nose landing gear area (Figure 3 and Figure 4):

  • the nose wheel assembly had detached at the upper strut assembly and the steering bungee had separated
  • the drag link had fractured at both ends
  • both lower trunnion braces had fractured at their attachments
  • the fuel line to the fuel strainer had fractured and fuel strainer bowl was missing.

From the photographs of the aircraft, all fractures appeared to be overstress failures with no evidence of pre-existing damage. However, it could not be determined which failure occurred first.

The rudder cables were also found to be intact and connected at both the forward and aft cable ends.

Figure 3 : Nose landing gear area (image rotated 180˚) and exemplar C206 nose landing gear area

Nose landing gear area (image rotated 180˚) and exemplar C206 nose landing gear area

Source: Supplied, annotated by ATSB

Figure 4: Nose landing gear leg and front of aircraft showing the main fuel line (image rotated 180˚)  

Nose landing gear leg and front of aircraft showing the main fuel line (image rotated 180˚)

Source: Supplied, annotated by ATSB

Recorded information 

The aircraft was not fitted with a recording device, nor was it required to be. A witness supplied video footage of the final portion of the flight. It showed that the aircraft was maintaining level flight before it suddenly lost altitude, which was consistent with both pilots’ recollection of events. It also showed the aircraft initially floated upright on the sea surface, which most likely assisted the pilots to evacuate the aircraft.

Weather conditions

The graphical area forecast for the area indicated visibility was greater than 10 km with scattered[5] cloud above 2,000 ft. The terminal area forecast for Hervey Bay, about 31 km west of the Happy Valley ALA, indicated the wind was from the east-north-east at 8 kt. The supplied video footage showed clear skies with a light sea chop. The training pilot advised the ocean was flat, with 1.2 m sets of waves with no wind. The current was running along the beach, from north to south.

Beach landing area

The operator used the criteria specified in Civil Aviation Advisory Publication 92-1(1) Guidelines for aeroplane landing areas to establish ALAs at various locations on the eastern beach on Fraser Island. These were set up, on the day, by trained ground crew. The pilots reported that the ALA was low on the beach with firm, hard sand. The ATSB did not attend the ALA after the accident and could not verify its condition.

Operator training

The operator regularly conducted sightseeing and passenger transfer flights from different locations along the eastern beach at Fraser Island. Their operations manual required that a passenger briefing be conducted prior to every passenger flight. This was to include the use of life jackets along with the location of, and the procedure to operate the emergency exit.

The operations manual had a section which outlined the training for the ground handling personnel. This section required that ground personnel be proficient in the use of all emergency exits in aircraft used in beach operations.

Newly employed pilots were required to complete pilot induction training, which included at least 15 hours of training in operating on the beach. In addition, pilots were required to undergo a beach-operations check every 90 days and a six-monthly route check.

The operator had a section in their operations manual which outlined their pilot training syllabus, covering all aspects of training. In the pilot induction training section, the syllabus specified that, along with other competencies, brake failure and asymmetric braking would be covered during the theory training, with no mention of simulated brake failure training in the practical syllabus. Despite this, the operator advised they always conducted simulated brake failures on the beach during the practical flying training. There was no information in the operations manual on how the brake failure simulation was to be conducted.

The operator advised they had devised their own method for brake failure training. To simulate the brake failure, after landing and with all three wheels on the ground, the flying pilot would apply full rudder on the side they were simulating as failed and then use the opposite brake to maintain directional control. That is, a simulated left brake failure required full deflection of left rudder pedal and the use of right brake to slow the aircraft and control direction and vice versa for simulation of right brake failure. The training pilot advised that they used this method, as the turning force associated with full brake application on one side was greater that the turning force created by the rudder and could result in the aircraft running off the side of the runway.

CASA had approved the operator’s operations manual, which included the operator’s pilot training syllabus. When questioned about the brake failure training being conducted by the operator, CASA stated ‘all pilots are taught basic “asymmetric brake failure recovery techniques” from an early stage in the flying training…’ but advised they had not observed the operator’s brake failure training method in the aircraft. They advised that brake failure training is normally conducted while taxiing rather than the landing phase of flight. CASA also advised that:

Due to the safety risks associated with the simulation of an asymmetric brake condition different training techniques may be used to simulate the failure that mitigate the safety risks, in the same way CASA expects flight training operators to manage the safety risks associated with flight training activities. As there was no guidance in the aircraft flight manual on the simulation of asymmetric brake failure the operator should have included clear guidance and procedures on how such activities were to be conducted.

The operator used Mahindra Airvan 8 (formerly GippsAero GA8 Airvan), Cessna 206 and 172 aircraft and advised that they conducted simulated brake failure training in all three aircraft types.

The ATSB sought Textron Aviation’s (type certificate holder for the Cessna 206) views on this type of simulated brake failure training. In response, they advised that they did not have an opinion about training.

A search of the ATSB database and CASA defect reporting service, between 2000 and 2020, did not identify any brake failures having been reported by the operator.

Effect of simulated brake failure training on nose wheel

In the Cessna 206 and 172, the nose gear steering is designed so the nose wheel is held with zero steering deflection while the gear strut is fully extended, regardless of rudder pedal deflection. Nose wheel steering is only available once the nose strut deflects and then it is only influenced by the steering bungee loads. The application of full rudder pedal deflection on the ground will only result in 15–20° of nosewheel deflection. However, for aircraft with direct nose gear steering linkages, such as the Airvan 8,[6] this could mean that the steering angles on the nose wheel could be much higher.

Aircraft design requirements account for fore/aft and side loads on the nose gear based on towing and tyre friction over a variety of hard surfaces. The friction properties of sand are likely to be low initially. However, if ploughing were allowed to develop the side loads on the nose wheel could be relatively high. For a wheel that can only turn 15–20°, this effect is not likely to develop to any great extent. However, for aircraft with direct steering linkages, the loads may increase significantly.

Differential braking is permitted and designed into the braking system. It does not produce any additional loads on the airframe other than side load on the nose gear, but this would be proportionally low. Therefore, stopping the aircraft with brakes from one wheel of the aircraft would not be damaging.

It was difficult to determine whether the side loads on the nose wheel would exceed the design requirements in the Airvan 8. As this was not the aircraft type involved in the accident, further consideration of this aspect was outside the scope of the investigation.

Operator training on accident flight

The training being conducted at the beach landing area consisted of flapless landings and simulated brake failures during landing. The crew advised that, as there was very little wind, they were taking off and climbing to 500 ft before conducting a teardrop turn to land back on the ALA in the opposite direction. They were conducting flapless landings when landing to the north and simulating a brake failure during the landing to the south. They advised they had conducted at least five simulated brake failure landings that day, with no problems encountered.

Operator’s safety management system

While not required by CASA, the operator had begun to introduce a safety management system (SMS) into their organisation in about 2013. This was incorporated into their operations manual which was divided into sections including one on the SMS and a section on specialised operations. The SMS section included procedures for a hazard identification process and included the statement ‘hazards can only be mitigated and controlled if their existence is known’.

The specialised operations section included information and procedures for beach operations. It identified that, due to operation in the harsh beach environment, special attention should be paid to the brakes in the pre-flight inspection. Despite this special attention and additional regular brake failure training, the operator had not identified brake failures as a hazard in their hazard register. CASA had approved the operations manual incorporating the SMS in 2015. However, they had not identified that the hazard register did not identify this aspect.

Go-around decision

The approach and touch down on the incident landing were reported to have been normal. The trainee pilot advised that, as they applied left rudder, but before applying the right brake, there was a snapping noise and the aircraft veered left. The training pilot advised that the aircraft veered left between 15–20˚.

They immediately called out ‘taking over’ and assumed control of the aircraft, with the trainee pilot removing their hands and feet from the flight controls. The training pilot assessed that their rudder pedals had collapsed forward, so they had neither rudder nor brake authority. They decided that, as they were heading for the water, which was about 40‑50 m away, and the aircraft was still moving at approximately 50–60 kt, the safest option was to apply full power and conduct a go‑around.

The trainee pilot stated that if they had continued on the ground ‘it would not have been a smooth impact’.

Federal Aviation Administration guidance

The Federal Aviation Administration’s (FAA) publication The art of aeronautical decision-making advises that aviation decision making can be broken down into three parts - to perceive, process and perform.

The FAA publication Airplane flying handbook Chapter 17 Emergency procedures advises that a pilot takes about 4 seconds to perceive and react to an emergency situation. In addition, ‘there are several factors that may interfere with a pilot’s ability to act promptly and properly when faced with an emergency’. These are listed as:

  • reluctance to accept the emergency situation
  • desire to save the airplane
  • undue concern about getting hurt.

It goes on to advise:

A pilot who is faced with an emergency landing in terrain that makes extensive airplane damage inevitable should keep in mind that the avoidance of crash injuries is largely a matter of: (1) keeping the vital structure (cabin area) relatively intact by using dispensable structure (i.e., wings, landing gear, fuselage bottom) to absorb the violence of the stopping process before it affects the occupants (2) avoiding forceful bodily contact with interior structure.

Emergency egress in the U206

The U206[7] has a door adjacent to the left pilot’s seat and a double clamshell cargo/cabin door in the passenger compartment on the right, adjacent to the second and third seat rows (Figure 5).

Figure 5: Cessna U206 showing location of pilot door and double clamshell cargo/cabin door

Cessna U206 showing location of pilot door and double clamshell cargo/cabin door

Source: TSB investigation report A18W0129, adapted by ATSB to match occurrence aircraft 

Operation of rear cargo doors

The forward door of the rear double cargo doors must be opened first to allow the aft door to open (Figure 7). The forward door handle is accessible for passengers in the middle row seats and is difficult to reach by passengers in the back-row seats. The forward door handle has three positions:

  • when the lever is horizontal (with the lever facing forward), the door is locked
  • turned clockwise 90° to the vertical position, the door is closed
  • turned clockwise another 30°, the door is open.

When the flaps are extended, the front half of the clamshell cargo door is blocked by the flap and can only be opened approximately 8 cm (Figure 6).

Figure 6: Cessna U206 with door unable to be opened more than 8 cm when flap is extended

Cessna U206 with door unable to be opened more than 8 cm when flap is extended

Source: TSB investigation report A18W0129, annotated by ATSB 

A red lever, mounted in the aft door leading edge, is used to unlatch the aft door (see Figure 7: Cessna 206 forward cargo door open showing red lever activated on the leading edge of rear door). However, this lever is in line with the backrest of the right middle row seat. As such, it is difficult to reach for the passenger occupying the middle seat and is again difficult to operate by passengers in the back-row seats.

In addition, when the red lever in the leading edge of the aft door, is lowered to the open position, it strikes the slightly open forward door, which prevents the aft door from opening. The lever must therefore be restowed before opening the aft door, being mindful that the aft door latch does not re-engage.

A service bulletin was subsequently released by Cessna to improve the red lever operation so that the lever automatically restowed (see Cessna service bulletin SEB91-4 Cargo door latch improvement in Australian requirements). Having to keep the forward door open to operate the lever in the forward edge of the aft door, adds to the difficulty of the procedure, especially when attempting to open the doors from the rear seats.

Figure 7: Cessna 206 forward cargo door open showing red lever activated on the leading edge of rear door

Cessna 206 forward cargo door open showing red lever activated on the leading edge of rear door

This image shows an aircraft where service bulletin SEB91-4 has not been incorporated and the red handle does not retract automatically. Before the door can be opened, the red lever is required to be restowed without the door relatching. This is not indicative of the accident aircraft.
Source: TSB investigation report A18W0129, annotated by ATSB

In addition, when the doors on the aircraft are locked from the inside, neither the front nor the rear cargo door can be opened from the outside.

Emergency Procedures

The pilot operating handbook (POH) emergency procedures section provided checklist and amplified recommended actions to be taken in the event of an abnormal situation. In the ‘forced landings’ section, the procedure for ditching stated that flaps were to be extended to 40˚. In addition, it noted ‘evacuate through the cabin doors. If necessary, open window and flood cabin to equalise pressure so doors can be opened’.

There was no reference in this section to warn that the cargo door will be blocked if the flaps are extended. The procedures for other forced landings, with or without engine power, also stated that the flaps were to be extended to 40°. Again, there was no reference in that section to warn that the cargo door will be blocked if the flaps are extended.

The amplified procedures section contained a brief description of the ‘cargo door emergency exit’, which included:

if the wing flaps are extended, open the doors in accordance with the instructions shown on the placard (Figure 8) which is mounted on the forward cargo door.

Figure 8: Cargo door emergency exit placard

Cargo door emergency exit placard

Step 4 is not required in aircraft where Cessna service bulletin SEB91-4 has been incorporated.

Source: Cessna 206 pilot operating handbook

Federal Aviation Administration certification requirements

The Cessna 206 was first certified in 1963 under the United States (US) Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Civil Aviation Regulation Part 3. Section 3.387 which stated:

Closed cabin airplanes carrying more than 5 persons shall be provided with emergency exits consisting of movable windows or panels or of additional doors which provide a clear and unobstructed opening….The exits shall be readily accessible, shall not require exceptional agility of a person using them….The method of opening shall be simple and obvious, and the exits shall be so arranged and marked as to be readily located and operated even in darkness.

There have been a number of revisions made to this standard over the years however, once an aircraft has been certified, the design standard under which it was certified continues to apply.

Australian requirements

In 1988, the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA),[8] released an airworthiness directive AD/Cessna 206/47 that required improved placarding of Cessna 206 emergency exits. Cessna subsequently released service bulletin SEB91-4 Cargo door latch improvement in March 1991, which recommended modifying the handle in the rear door half to include a spring to ensure that the handle would return to the stowed position.

That same year, the CAA issued AD/Cessna 206/47 amendment 2, which allowed SEB91-4 to be an alternate means of compliance to the required placards. In 2011, CASA subsequently issued amendment 3 to AD/Cessna 206/47 which clarified which 206 models the AD applied to, as SEB91-4 had been incorporated at manufacture in some models and other models did not have the cargo door, however, SEB91-4 remained as an alternate means of compliance. AEE complied with this AD.

Transport Safety Board of Canada

In 2018, the Transport Safety Board of Canada (TSB) investigated a collision with water involving a float-equipped U206 (A18W0129). In this occurrence, the aircraft inverted upon impact and became submerged. The pilot and one passenger escaped through the forward door window. Three other passengers survived the impact and were found with their seatbelts undone, however, they did not escape the aircraft and subsequently drowned.

The TSB report noted ‘the rear double cargo doors have been identified as a risk to passengers in emergency situations for many years’. Further, the report documented some of the work which had been conducted to address the risk associated with the design of the cargo door, including:

  • In 1991, Cessna issued Service Bulletin SEB91-4 which provided a service kit to incorporate a spring assembly to automatically retract the handle on the leading edge of the rear half of the door to allow it to pass the front half of the door. It also included improved placarding to clarify the instructions on how to open the door in an emergency.
  • In 1998, Cessna resumed manufacturing the 206 with the 206H. This was certified under the US Federal Aviation Regulations[9] 23.807 legislation. Transport Canada determined that the 206H did not meet the requirements of the legislation, as the rear cargo door could not be considered an emergency exit as the means of opening was not ‘simple and obvious’. As a result of that assessment Transport Canada reduced the number of occupants permitted in the aircraft to five.
  • Between 1999 and 2003, Transport Canada, the FAA and Cessna worked on a design change to address this issue, which could be applied to the 206H, and retrofitted to the previous 206 models. No acceptable solution was found, and the matter was discontinued.
  • In 2005, Transport Canada proposed an airworthiness directive to address the issue of different models allowing different numbers of occupants, despite having the same design. However, following industry consultation, the proposal was withdrawn.

In response to the 2018 Canadian occurrence, TSB released an Aviation Safety Advisory A18W0129-D1-A1 Cessna 206 emergency exit – blocked double cargo door with flaps extended, ‘to bring attention to the significant safety issue involving Cessna 206 series aircraft fitted with double cargo doors’.

Other action taken by regulatory bodies

November 1996

As a safety action in response to an accident in a Cessna U206 where a pilot and three passengers drowned when they could not escape the aircraft after it capsized during the take‑off run (A96Q0114), Transport Canada (TC) wrote to the FAA to express concern about the adequacy of the emergency exit in the Cessna U206 aircraft. In the letter, TC strongly recommended that should production of the U206 resume:

…the FAA require Cessna to incorporate a solution which eliminates the interference problem between the flaps and the emergency exit…

No action was taken by FAA in response to this letter.

March 2020

FAA released an Airworthiness Concern Sheet NOTC0041 asking for information from people who had experience using the 206 cargo door. They subsequently advised that 95 per cent of the respondents did not want action taken on the issue. They also advised that their research had shown that the biggest positive impact to safety was ensuring that pilots briefed their passengers on how to use the door. No further action was planned.

April 2020

Transport Canada released Airworthiness Directive CF 2020-10 which limited the number of seats in Cessna 206 aircraft to five, in other than the 206H and T206H models,[10] and aircraft which had not been modified to FAA supplemental type certificate (STC) SA1470GL (see Right side door below). Additionally, if passengers were seated in the rear row, they must have demonstrated the capability to operate the cargo door on the day of the flight. They must also have been briefed that the cargo doors were only to be used in an emergency if the front left cabin door was obstructed.

The same month, the Civil Aviation Authority of New Zealand released Continuing Airworthiness Notice 25-003 to alert operators of Cessna 206s in New Zealand to CF 2020-10. 

August 2020

The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) released a Safety information bulletin 2020‑16 to alert European operators of Cessna 206s to CF 2020-10.

Cessna 206 exit modifications

Several organisations have developed solutions to ensure the cargo door can be opened easily in the event of an emergency. Some of these solutions have received approvals from the FAA and are commercially available. Some of these include:

Right side door

FAA STC SA1470GL approves a right-side door in the front cabin, which allows both egress for the front right passenger and emergency egress from the centre row seats in the cabin.

Installation of the Split Forward Cargo Door Window

Transport Canada have approved supplemental type certificate SA20-34. This allows for the forward cargo door to be split allowing the door to open when the flap is extended (Figure 9). This has also been approved in Europe under EASA STC 10074631 and the FAA under STC SA04550NY.

Figure 9: Cessna 206 split cargo/cabin door

Cessna 206 split cargo/cabin door

Source: Coast Dog Aviation, annotated by ATSB

PDQ emergency egress system

At the time of writing this report, the manufacturer reported that the FAA were in the final stages of approval for supplemental type certificate ST02309AK. Under this approval a handle is installed which, when activated, allows the front cargo door to be released (Figure 10). This allows access to the red lever and the aft cargo door can then be opened.

Figure 10: Cessna U206 with emergency egress system

Figure 10: Cessna U206 with emergency egress system

 Source: Airframe Innovations

Similar occurrences

The ATSB conducted a search of aviation investigation databases, and other sources, to identify accidents involving Cessna 206 aircraft, where the impact was likely survivable however, difficulties opening the cargo door resulted in significant delays during the emergency egress, or the cargo door had not been opened. The following accidents were identified: 

Table 1: Similar occurrences

YearInjuriesSummaryLink
2018

5 persons on board (pob)

3 fatalities

During a landing on water, a float equipped U206G nosed over. The pilot and one passenger survived. The three remaining passengers, who received no injuries during the accident, were unable to escape the fuselage and drowned. The passengers were found with their seatbelts unfastened but had not opened the cargo door, which was blocked by 20˚ flap.

TSB

A180129

2012

5 pob

1 fatality

During a landing on water, the float equipped 206 nosed over. The flaps were extended blocking the cargo door. The pilot and three passengers escaped by bending the cargo door. The fourth passenger, found in her seat with the seatbelt on, likely died through injuries caused by the accident.

NTSB

ANC12FA073

2010

5 pob

4 fatalities

During cruise, the engine failed, and the pilot conducted a ditching into Lake Michigan. The pilot did not lower the flap; however, the cargo door had not been opened. The pilot survived. Two passengers were found outside the aircraft however, their life jackets had failed. Of the two passengers found inside the cabin, one had removed their seatbelt.NTSB CEN10FA465
2003

2 pob

1 fatality

During the landing on water, the float equipped 206 flipped over. Contrary to instructions provided by the pilot, the passenger made their way to the rear of the aircraft, was unable to exit, and drowned.TSB aviation occurrence A03Q0083
2001

5 pob

1 fatality

During the landing, the aircraft collided with a hole in the runway, nosed over and slid into a river. The pilot and three passengers escaped with minor injuries, however, one of the passengers drowned trying to escape the aircraft.Aviation Safety Network Wikibase Occurrence 45813
1997

3 pob

2 fatalities

During the landing on water, the float‑equipped aircraft flipped as the landing gear had not been retracted. Two passengers were unable to exit the aircraft and drowned. The door handle was found in the upright closed position.TSB Aviation investigation report  A97C0090
1996

6 pob

4 fatalities

During the take-off on water, the aircraft capsized. The pilot and three passengers drowned in the rear of the aircraft, when the pilot could not open the cargo door. Two passengers escaped through the pilot door. There was evidence that an adult had attempted to open the cargo door.TSB Aviation investigation report A96Q0114
1989

5 pob

4 fatalities

During the landing on water, the float equipped 206 nosed over. The flaps had been extended to 20˚ and then raised to 10° during the accident sequence to prevent the flaps from blocking the cargo door. The pilot survived, however four passengers drowned when the cargo doors could not be opened.[1]Aircraft Accident Investigation Board – Norway 06/99
1985

5 pob

3 fatalities

During the landing on a dam, the float‑equipped 206 nosed over as the landing gear had not been retracted. The pilot and one passenger survived, but three passengers were fatally injured.ATSB 198503550

In March 1999, at Pitt Island, New Zealand, a Cessna 206 had an engine failure and ditched in the sea. The pilot was aware of the issue with deployed flap blocking the rear doors and ditched the aircraft with the flaps retracted. Consequently, all the occupants escaped from the aircraft and swam to shore. (Transport Accident Investigation Commission New Zealand 99‑001)

__________

  1. The ATSB uses the Samn-Perelli fatigue scale from 1 (Fully alert. Wide awake. Extremely peppy) to 7 (Completely exhausted. Unable to function effectively. Ready to drop).
  2. Cloud cover: in aviation, cloud cover is reported using words that denote the extent of the cover – scattered indicates that cloud is covering between a quarter and a half of the sky.
  3. During the operator’s described simulated brake failure training, it was assumed that the initial touchdown was conducted using the rudder inputs required to keep the aircraft straight.
  4. The U206, TU206 and 206H models are designed with the rear double cargo door.
  5. In July 1995, the Civil Aviation Authority separated into the Civil Aviation Safety Authority and Airservices Australia.
  6. The United States Civil Air Regulations were replaced with the Federal Aviation Regulations on 1 February 1965.
  7. Transport Canada had previously reduced the number of passengers permitted in the 206H and T206H models to 5.

Safety analysis

Introduction

On 29 January 2020, at about 1322, the flight crew of a Cessna U206G aircraft, registered VH‑AEE, were conducting simulated brake failure training on a beach at Fraser Island, Queensland. During the landing roll, directional control was lost, and the training pilot conducted a go-around. While the aircraft was flying parallel to the beach, with flight control issues, the engine stopped, and the aircraft collided with the water. Both pilots escaped the aircraft and swam to shore with minor injuries.

This analysis will examine the sequence of failure in the nose landing gear system, the decision to conduct a go-around and the engine stoppage. Further, it will analyse the brake failure training conducted by the operator and the interaction between the landing flaps and cargo door in the context of emergency egress.

Accident sequence

Both pilots reported having conducted several landings involving simulated brake failure, without incident. On this landing, just after touchdown, and as the left rudder was applied the trainee pilot heard a snapping noise, immediately followed by loss of directional control. Examination of the rudder control system after the occurrence established its continuity. As such, it is likely that a partial failure in the nose gear assembly compromised the interconnected rudder and steering controls. The training pilot reported the rudder was jammed in the full left position and use of the brakes was not possible as the right-seat pedals had collapsed.

Despite the nose landing gear being found on the beach between where the aircraft took off and where the collision occurred, it is likely the nose gear leg did not detach from the aircraft while the aircraft was on the ground as this would probably have resulted in the propeller striking the sand and stopping the engine.

Additionally, as the rudder probably jammed due to the partial failure of the nose gear assembly, if the nose gear detached during the take-off or initial climb, control of the rudder would likely have been restored. However, based on the account of the pilots, this did not happen.

Supplied images showed that the fuel strainer was missing, and the fuel line that fed the strainer was fractured. These components were in the nose gear bay and directly fed the engine fuel system. Loss of fuel supply at this location would have resulted in almost immediate engine stoppage. As the engine continued to provide power for approximately 1‑1.5 minutes after take-off, it is highly probable that the nose gear separated and fractured the fuel line, as the aircraft collided with the water.

Examination of the nose gear fracture surfaces revealed they were consistent with the attachments failing in overstress, with no indication of a pre-existing fault. It could not be established which part of the nose landing gear failed first nor why the training pilot’s rudder pedals were affected as described.

Engine failure and collision with water

The engine, and associated components, were not recovered for examination. However, as neither pilot reported issues with the engine before the accident, it is unlikely there was a coincidental mechanical issue with the engine.

The aircraft departed the Sunshine Coast Airport with full fuel and had been flying for approximately three hours, leaving less than half fuel remaining at the time of the accident. The fuel system could only be operated on one tank at a time. As the aircraft collided with water, the exact quantity of fuel in each tank at the time of the accident could not be confirmed, however if the fuel management had maintained roughly equal quantities of fuel, each tank would have been about one third full.

Following the go-around, the training pilot applied full right aileron to prevent the aircraft from rolling. This resulted in the aircraft being flown in a significantly uncoordinated state (sideslip), with right wing low. The pilot operating handbook stated that, with a quarter tank or less, ‘prolonged uncoordinated flight such as slips or skids can uncover the fuel tank outlets, causing fuel starvation and engine stoppage’. The aircraft was flown in an uncoordinated state for between 1‑1.5 minutes before the engine failed. If the fuel usage had not been equalised then it is possible the right tank contained quarter or less fuel, resulting in fuel starvation to the engine. It is also possible that the magnitude of the required sideslip permitted unporting of the fuel tank outlet at greater than one quarter capacity.

It is also possible, although considered less likely, that the damage to the landing gear in turn damaged the fuel strainer/fuel line during the final stages of the flight, again leading to fuel starvation.

Go-around decision

According to the United States Federal Aviation Administration, the typical time taken to realise there is a problem and react to it, is about 4 seconds. In that time frame, the pilot must perceive the problem, process the alternatives, and perform the selected action.

On this occasion, the decision to commence a go-around was influenced by the aircraft’s deviation towards water with little to no directional control or brake function. Taking into consideration that the flight crew were conducting training for emergency procedures (including multiple go-arounds), there may also have been a greater inclination to commence a go-around. While opting for a go‑around on this occasion was understandable, it resulted in flight over water with significantly reduced aircraft controllability.

The FAA’s guidance for emergency procedures advised that accepting there will be an accident may be the safest option and using the aircraft’s dispensable structure to absorb the ground/water impact forces will most likely reduce injuries. In this case, there was about 40‑50 m from when the pilots perceived they had no braking or directional control, to the water’s edge. Allowing the aircraft to continue to slow and using the aircraft structure to absorb the impact would, in hindsight, most likely have been the safest option.

Operator’s safety management system

The operator had determined that their aircraft were susceptible to brake failures because they were operated regularly on the beach. To mitigate this safety concern the operator ensured the brakes were inspected during the pre-flight inspections and conducted regular simulated brake failure training. However, the concern had not been formally documented in the operator’s hazard register.

The CASA booklet: SMS for aviation-a practical guide stated that if an operator identified a specific risk to their operation, appropriate mitigators should be identified and assessed. A risk analysis should be conducted to ensure the risk, after mitigators are applied, has been reduced to a level that is ‘as low as reasonably practicable’. Not documenting the brake failure hazard in the register was a missed opportunity to both:

  • assess the magnitude of the risk, taking in to account that apparent low likelihood of brake failure actually occurring
  • identify any hazards that simulated brake failure training introduced, including the potential for nose wheel damage.

ATSB assessment of the brake failure training, did not identify excess stresses on the Cessna U206 or 172 nose wheel. However, analysis of the stresses on the nose wheel in the Mahindra Airvan 8, also used by the operator, indicated if the nose wheel were fully deflected and the aircraft encountered soft sand, the additional side loads on the nose wheel system may induce damage.

Emergency egress

When the aircraft collided with the water, the extended flap prevented the front cargo door from opening fully. On this occasion, it is likely that when the training pilot kicked the doors open, the edge of it deformed the partially‑extended (20°) flap sufficiently to allow egress.

More generally, the Cessna U206 pilot’s operating handbook (POH) stated that 40° of flap were to be selected during ditching (and forced landings), creating a greater cargo door obstruction than occurred during this accident. Having the flap extended allows the aircraft to land at a slower speed, which has been shown to improve the chances of surviving a ditching. However, the POH emergency procedures did not identify that such a flap selection also prevents the forward cargo door from fully opening.

That situation may leave pilots unaware of the significant consequences of flap deployment. By contrast, at least one accident report shows that where the pilot has understood this issue and has not extended the flap during a ditching, the passengers have been able to readily exit the aircraft.

The aircraft’s certification criteria required that emergency doors be clear, unobstructed and capable of being opened with a simple and obvious method. This is particularly important in the event of ditching, due to the inherently disorientating nature of underwater egress. The Cessna U206 cargo door requires a number of sequential steps to open, and when the flaps are extended, this process is even more complicated. The inability to open the cargo door in this aircraft type has been shown in numerous accidents to have contributed to passengers being unable to exit the aircraft, resulting in fatalities.

Therefore, although the Cessna U206 with cargo door was certified, the method for opening the cargo door is not simple and in some flap configurations the forward door cannot be opened and therefore does not meet the emergency egress requirements.

Steps have been taken by regulators in an attempt to address the hazard presented by the rear double cargo door design, but to date, they have been ineffective at eliminating it. However, approved modifications are now available that remove the flap/door interference issue, despite this, to date no regulatory action has been taken to mandate the application of one of these modifications or remove the hazard by another means.

Findings

ATSB investigation report findings focus on safety factors (that is, events and conditions that increase risk). Safety factors include ‘contributing factors’ and ‘other factors that increased risk’ (that is, factors that did not meet the definition of a contributing factor for this occurrence but were still considered important to include in the report for the purpose of increasing awareness and enhancing safety). In addition, ‘other findings’ may be included to provide important information about topics other than safety factors. 

Safety issues are highlighted in bold to emphasise their importance. A safety issue is a safety factor that (a) can reasonably be regarded as having the potential to adversely affect the safety of future operations, and (b) is a characteristic of an organisation or a system, rather than a characteristic of a specific individual, or characteristic of an operating environment at a specific point in time.

These findings should not be read as apportioning blame or liability to any particular organisation or individual.

From the evidence available, the following findings are made with respect to the collision with water involving a Cessna Aircraft Company U206G aircraft, VH-AEE, near Happy Valley, Fraser Island, Queensland, on the 29 January 2020.

Contributing factors

  • Following touchdown, during a simulated brake failure exercise, a section of the nose landing gear attachment failed, resulting in the rudder becoming jammed in the full‑left position.
  • A go-around was initiated after directional control was lost on the ground. While there was only a short timeframe to make the decision to abort the landing, it resulted in flight over water with significantly reduced aircraft controllability.
  • It is most likely that fuel starvation led to the engine losing power at a height too low for recovery and the aircraft collided with water.

Other factors that increased risk

  • The 20° flap setting blocked the forward portion of the rear double cargo door, delaying the training pilot’s exit via the cargo door.
  • The Cessna 206 procedure for ditching and forced landing states that the flaps are to be extended to 40°. While that permits the aircraft to land at a slower speed, it also significantly restricts emergency egress via the cargo door. However, there is no warning about that aspect in the ditching or forced landing pilot’s operating handbook emergency procedures. (Safety issue)
  • Cessna 206 aircraft, that feature a rear double cargo door, do not meet the aircraft certification basis for the design of cabin exits. Wing flap extensions beyond 10° will block the forward portion of the rear double cargo door, significantly hampering emergency egress. This has previously resulted in fatalities. (Safety issue)

Safety issues and actions

Central to the ATSB’s investigation of transport safety matters is the early identification of safety issues. The ATSB expects relevant organisations will address all safety issues an investigation identifies.

Depending on the level of risk of a safety issue, the extent of corrective action taken by the relevant organisation(s), or the desirability of directing a broad safety message to the aviation industry, the ATSB may issue a formal safety recommendation or safety advisory notice as part of the final report.

All of the directly involved parties are invited to provide submissions to this draft report. As part of that process, each organisation is asked to communicate what safety actions, if any, they have carried out or are planning to carry out in relation to each safety issue relevant to their organisation.

Descriptions of each safety issue, and any associated safety recommendations, are detailed below. Click the link to read the full safety issue description, including the issue status and any safety action/s taken. Safety issues and actions are updated on this website when safety issue owners provide further information concerning the implementation of safety action.

Cessna 206 emergency procedures 

Safety Issue number: AO-2020-010-SI-01 

Safety issue description: The Cessna 206 procedure for ditching and forced landing states that the flaps are to be extended to 40°. While that permits the aircraft to land at a slower speed, it also significantly restricts emergency egress via the cargo door. However, there is no warning about that aspect in the ditching or forced landing pilot’s operating handbook emergency procedures.

Cabin exit design criteria (Issue owner: United States Federation Aviation Administration) 

Safety issue number: AO-2020-010-SI-02

Safety issue description: Cessna 206 aircraft that feature a rear double cargo door do not meet the aircraft certification basis for the design of cabin exits. Wing flap extensions beyond 10° will block the forward portion of the rear double cargo door, significantly hampering emergency egress. This has previously resulted in fatalities.

Cabin exit design criteria (Issue owner: Civil Aviation Safety Authority)

Safety issue number: AO-2020-010-SI-02

Safety issue description: Cessna 206 aircraft that feature a rear double cargo door do not meet the aircraft certification basis for the design of cabin exits. Wing flap extensions beyond 10° will block the forward portion of the rear double cargo door, significantly hampering emergency egress. This has previously resulted in fatalities.

Additional safety action by Air Fraser Island

As a result of this accident, the operator has changed their procedures to specify that during emergency procedure training on the beach, no non-company vehicles are permitted to operate within the runway complex (the marked section of beach using bollards and witches hats identifying the area which has been identified as a suitable aircraft landing area.)

The operator has also reassessed the company hazard register and included brake failures.

Sources and submissions

Sources of information

The sources of information during the investigation included:

  • the flight crew
  • Air Fraser Island
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • United States Federal Aviation Administration
  • Cessna Aircraft Company – Textron Aviation
  • the insurance company
  • video footage of the accident flight and other photographs
  • Transport Canada
  • Transport Safety Board of Canada.

References

Federal Aviation Administration, Airplane flying handbook FAA-H-8083-3B. US Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration. Available on the FAA website www.faa.gov

Submissions

Under section 26 of the Transport Safety Investigation Act 2003, the ATSB may provide a draft report, on a confidential basis, to any person whom the ATSB considers appropriate. That section allows a person receiving a draft report to make submissions to the ATSB about the draft report.

A draft of this report was provided to the following directly involved parties:

  • the flight crew
  • Air Fraser Island
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • Federal Aviation Authority
  • United States National Transportation Safety Bureau
  • Transport Safety Board Canada
  • Textron Aviation

Submissions were received from:

  • Air Fraser Island
  • Civil Aviation Safety Authority
  • Transport Safety Board Canada
  • Textron Aviation

The submissions from those parties were reviewed and, where considered appropriate, the text of the report was amended accordingly.

Purpose of safety investigations & publishing information

Purpose of safety investigations

The objective of a safety investigation is to enhance transport safety. This is done through:

  • identifying safety issues and facilitating safety action to address those issues
  • providing information about occurrences and their associated safety factors to facilitate learning within the transport industry.

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Occurrence summary

Investigation number AO-2020-010
Occurrence date 29/01/2020
Location Near Happy Valley, Fraser Island
State Queensland
Report release date 08/07/2021
Report status Final
Investigation level Defined
Investigation type Occurrence Investigation
Investigation status Completed
Mode of transport Aviation
Aviation occurrence category Collision with terrain
Occurrence class Accident
Highest injury level Minor

Aircraft details

Manufacturer Cessna Aircraft Company
Model U206G
Registration VH-AEE
Serial number U20605226
Aircraft operator Beasts Company
Sector Piston
Operation type Business
Departure point near Happy Valley, Queensland
Destination near Happy Valley, Queensland
Damage Destroyed